WTO Expert Symposium on EvaluationWTO Expert Symposium on Evaluation

Monitoring AfT flowsMonitoring AfT flows

OutlineOutline

• Why monitor aid for trade?• How to monitor aid for trade?• Aid for trade flows in 2006

– Global flows

– Sector distribution

– Regional distribution

– Main recipients

– Main donors

– Additionality

• Conclusions2

Why Monitor Aid for Trade? Why Monitor Aid for Trade?

3

How to Monitor?How to Monitor?

4 TPRM: more in-depth assessments

QuantitativeInformation

QualitativeInformation

WTO Global Review of Aid for Trade

In-countryself-assessments

Tracking Aidfor Trade flows

Donorself-assessments

PerformanceIndicators

5

DAC

Global Amounte.g. € 23 bn.

Economic Growth Social Development Other

Donor Amounte.g. € 2 bn.

Recipient Amount e.g. € 0.5 mn.

• Education• Health• Governance

Other Trade-Related Needs

Donors

CRS

Recipient

• Debt• Multi Sector• Emerging Aid• Administrative Costs

• Trade Policy & Regulations• Productive Capacity• Infrastructure• Trade Related

Structural Adjustment

WTO Annual Aid for Trade ReviewWTO Annual Aid for Trade Review

Tracking Global Flows Using theTracking Global Flows Using theCreditor Reporting System (CRS)Creditor Reporting System (CRS)

Aid for Trade CommitmentsAid for Trade Commitments

In 2006:

• 10% increase, or

• $2.2 bn

6

(USD billion, 2005 constant)

Sector DistributionSector Distribution

7

Infrastructure Productive Capacity Building Trade Policy & Regulations

52.4%

42.7%

3.1 %

53.4%

42.2%

4.4%

In 2006:

• Infra + $1 bn

• PCB + $0.8 bn

• TPR + $0.4 bn

(USD billion, 2005 constant)

Regional DistributionRegional Distribution

8

2002-05 Ave. 2006

$1.8 bn

$1.2 bn

$10.4 bn

$7.5 bn

$0.2 bn

Regional and Sector DistributionRegional and Sector Distribution

9

Infrastructure Productive Capacity Building Trade Policy & Regulations

AFRICA AMERICA ASIA OCEANIA GLOBALEUROPE

Regional ProgrammesRegional Programmes

10

2002-2005 Average

GLOBAL (6.6%)

REGIONAL (10%)

COUNTRIES (84%)

Regional ProgrammesRegional Programmes

11

2006

GLOBAL

REGIONAL

Increased to:

• USD 4.2 billion

• 18.5% share of total Aid for Trade

• Global programmes remained constant

COUNTRIES

Income GroupsIncome Groups

12

2002-05 Ave. 2006

LDCsOLICs GNI < $825 per capita

LMICs $825 < GNI < 3255LIMICs $3256 GNI < 10.065

LDCs OLICs LMICs UMICs

8

7

6

5

4

3

2

1

0

Country Concentration: VolumeCountry Concentration: Volume

13

Country Concentration: Per CapitaCountry Concentration: Per Capita

14

DonorsDonors

15

2002-05 Ave. 2006

5.0

4.5

4.0

3.5

3.0

2.5

2.0

1.5

1.0

.5

0

Additionality?Additionality?

16

ConclusionsConclusions

• Increased 10%• Regional programmes doubled• Additionality: positive outlook

17

Aid for Trade in 2006Aid for Trade in 2006