wow 20161023 v1
TRANSCRIPT
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05/03/2023 Understanding Cognitive Systems 1
Next Generation Curriculum
Jim Spohrer (IBM)Las Vegas, NV USA; October 23, 2016
World of Watson (WOW): Evolving Education with Cognitive and Data Scienceshttp://www.slideshare.net/spohrer/wow-20161023-v1
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05/03/2023 Understanding Cognitive Systems 2
Intelligence Building Blocks
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Artificial
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Artificial
• Learning• Perception• Reasoning• Interaction• Knowledge
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Augmented
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Augmented
• Science• Design• Business Value• Societal Impact• Interdisciplinarity
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Intelligence Building Blocks
• Augmented• Science (People)• Design• Business Value• Societal Impact• Interdisciplinarity
• Artificial• Learning• Perception• Reasoning• Interaction• Knowledge
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Science – People (Child to Adult)
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Science - People (Novice to Expert)
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Design• HCI
• Human-Computer Interactions
• CSCW• Computer Supported Collaborative
Work
• PSS• Performance Support Systems
• SDC• Social-Dynamic Counseling
• STS-D• Socio-Technical Systems - Design
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Design (Books)
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Business Value
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SocietalImplications
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05/03/2023 Future of AI 14
Interdisciplinary• Disciplines: Breadth of disciplines to
tackle issues:• Psychology and cognitive science,
philosophy, design and art, public policy and management, law and regulations
• Systems: Professional associations to tackle industry and system issues, including novice to expert progression on tasks• Socio-technical system design loop
and smart service systems
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Intelligence Building Blocks
• Augmented• Science (People)• Design• Business Value• Societal Impact• Interdisciplinarity
• Artificial• Learning• Perception• Reasoning• Interaction• Knowledge
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IBM Cognitive Build: Experiment• Tool• Assistant• Collaborator• Coach• Mediator
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Progression: Types and Models
Models (columns)Types (rows)
Task & World Model/Planning & Decisions
Self Model/Capacity & Limits
User Model/Episodic Memory
Institutions Model/Trust & Social Acts
Tool + - - -
Assistant ++ + - -
Collaborator +++ ++ + -
Coach ++++ +++ ++ +
Mediator +++++ ++++ +++ ++
tool
assistant
collaborator
coach
mediator
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Value Migration: Hardware < Software < Data < Experience < Transformation
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Next generation cognitive curriculum
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I have…
Have you noticed how the building blocks just keep getting better?
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Learning to program:My first program
Early Computer Science Class:Watson Center at Columbia 1945
Jim Spohrer’s First Program 1972
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IBM Cloud Bluemix: Watson APIs are growing…
© IBM UPWard 2016
So far (June 2016), 100,000 faculty and students globally given access
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1955 1975 1995 2015 2035 2055
Can better service help us be wiser?
Cognitive Mediator (2035): Tool, Assistant, Collaborator, Coach
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05/03/2023 24© IBM UPWard 2016
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Computing: Then, Now, Projected
05/03/2023
2035
2055
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What exists in 2016?
360,000 100,000 120,000 60,000 150,000
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Jim Spohrer (IBM)Seoul, South Korea; October 13, 2016
Consulting Conferencehttp://www.slideshare.net/spohrer/korea-day1-keynote-20161013-v6
Come visit IBM Research – Almaden in San Jose, CA USA – monthly
university day!
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Build: 10 million minutes of experience
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Build: 2 million minutes of experience
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Books
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Today’s Talk• Four Cool Tech Topics
• Today: AI• If time others
• Definitions• Perspectives
• Industry• IBM
• Relationships• Industry 4.0/IoT
• Challenge & Opportunity• Too hard to build, understand, and
work with AI systems
© IBM UPWard 2016
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Definitions: Types of Cognitive System Entities(symbol and pattern processing systems)• Socio-Technical (Organization-based)
• Businesses• Cities• Nations
• Biological (Brain-based)• People• Animals
• Technological (Computation-based)• Embodied (Robot, Car, Device)• Virtual (Local, Cloud)
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Brief History of AI
• 1956 – Dartmouth Conference• 1956 – 1981 Micro-Worlds• 1981 – Japanese 5th Generation• 1988 – Expert Systems Peak• 1990 – AI Winter• 1997 – Deep Blue• 1997 – 2011 Real-World• 2011 – Jeopardy! & SIRI• 2013 – Cognitive Systems Institute• 2014 – Watson Business Unit &• True North Brain Chip• 2015 – “Cognition as a Service”
on IBM Bluemix
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Dedication: Douglas C. EngelbartFather of the mouse and augmentation theory
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But this stuff is still really hard…
© IBM UPWard 2016
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Understand them…
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What might Reality 2.0 look like?
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How fast is Artificial Intelligence approaching?
What might it look like?