world in numbers
TRANSCRIPT
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HAND BOOK
TheWorldIn
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CONTENTS
Agriculture 4
Banking And Markets 8
Business Environment12
Economy 16
Human Development 28
Industry And R&D 46
Environment 50
Population And Employment 54
Power, Transport And Communication 60
Quality Of Life 66
Resources 72
Trade And Investment 76
CONTENTS
Project EditorDesign
GraphicsCover Design
Thomas P AbrahamManish MarwahPinaki PaulArindam
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THE GLOBAL economy is chang-ingas never beore. And the
chie harbinger o this changehas been the advent o glo-
balisation. It has unleashed a wave oprosperity in countries, which a decadeago, stood at the pithead o economic
despondency and national despair.And the greatest beneiciary o this
wave o prosperity has been the devel-oping countries, including India, China
and Brazil.
Data rom the study shows that the
march o developing countries to-wards attaining the tag o developed
countries is marked by certain defningdevelopments. These include a shit in
employment patterns in developingeconomiesrom the agriculturalsector to manuacturing and services;
and cost competitiveness (o develop-ing countries vis--vis the developed
ones). However, compared to devel-oped countries, developing countries
continue to suer rom low (abysmal,
in some instances) penetration o tele-
2
OUTLOOK BUSINESS & WFOREWORD
com, inormation technology, automo-biles, banking credit and medical acili-
ties, despite great strides being madein these ields by some. The study
shows that people living in developedcountries enjoy 100% or near-100% ac-cess to amenities such as piped water
and toilet acilities, both in the rural aswell as urban areasa ar cry rom the
prevailing conditions in a majority odeveloping countries.
This handbook is a joint eort byOutlook Business and the World Bank
to bring to our reading and relevant ac
concise and reader-o the scores o cou
the World Bank repthe spotlight on keand quality o lie nu
countries including(Figures in italics ind
pertain to the next
product, we believe
thing o interest to o
walks o lie .
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OUTLOOK BUSINESS & W
WITH ECONOMIC growth,
the share o agriculture inthe global economy has
declined. Even so, agricul-
ture remains important in many de-
veloping economies and the source o
income or many poor people around
the world. On average, agriculture con-tributes more than 20% to value added
in the low-income economies.
Globally, about 40% o the active
labour orce is employed in the agri-
cultural sector, but in the Sub-Saha-
ran Arica, Asia and the Pacifc, about60% o the population is dependent
on it. Compare that with 18% in Latin
America, and our percent in the high-
income economies.
Agriculture is asso
wealth, particularlyeconomies. A recen
estimates that routhe natural wealth in
tries is embodied inpasturelands o the
Bank 2006).
Agricultures chan
scored by the rapidtion. The United Natin 2007, or the frst
o the global populsiding in urban are
Population Division 2
tion Prospects, 2004
expected to continu
Urban populatio
grow at 1.8% a yeamost twice as ast as
tion. Productivity mso that the shrinkin
can provide more ucts or a rising urba
higher incomes.In recent years, th
mand or ood haveer productivity throtensifcation, techn
mechanisation and However, continu
degradation o natconstitute the ag
main inputswate
slow the growth o t
The Changing Face Of Global Agriculture
GREEN REVOLUTION: Output must rise to beable to feed a growing urban population
AGRICULTURE
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AGRICULTURE OUTLOOK BUSINESS & W
Feeding The World Better
One o the biggest changes that have come about in the agricultural sector across the world is the rising
yield o cereals per hectare over the years. While in developing countries like India, this rise has been
steady, it has been nothing short o spectacular in the developed countries. This is the efect o wide-
spread use o ertilisers and high-yielding crop varieties developed through exhaustive R&D.
Agriculture Comes Of Age
Over the last decade, agricultural land as a percentage o total land area has e
stagnant. Also, over this period, employment in agriculture as a percentage o tota
Yet, global agricultural productivity has risen by leaps and bounds. This is clearly
age o ertilisers and the mechanisation o agriculture. The percentage o land be
however, has remained largely unchanged.
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FINANCIAL SECTOR develop-
ments have a positive impact oneconomic growth and poverty.
The size o the sector determinesthe amount o resources mobilised or
investment. Access to fnance can ex-pand opportunities or all, with higher
levels o access and use o banking ser-
vices associated with lower fnancingobstacles or people and businesses. A
stable fnancial system that promotes
e cient savings and investment is alsocrucial or a thriving democracy and
market economy. The banking system
is the largest sector in the fnancial sys-tem in most countries.
The development o credit marketsdepend on access to timely, reliable
and accurate data on borrowers credithistories. One way to improve access to
credit is to increase inormation aboutpotential borrowers credit-worthiness
and make it easy to create and enorcecollateral agreements.
The size and mobility o international
capital ows have made it importantto monitor the strength o inancial
systems. Robust fnancial systems helpincrease economic activity and welare,
but instability in the fnancial system
can disrupt inancial activity and im-
pose huge costs on the economy.
The stock market indicators includemeasures o size (market capitalisa-
tion, number o listed domestic com-panies) and liquidity (value traded as
a percentage o the gross domesticproduct, value o shares traded as a
percentage o market capitalisation).
The comparability o such indicators
between countries may be limited byconceptual and statistical weaknesses.
The percentage change in stock marketprices in US dollars, rom the Standard
& Poors Emerging Markets Data Base(S&P/EMDB) indices, is an important
measure o overall perormance. Regu-
latory and institutio
aect investor conftry and exit restrict
o a securities and esion, and the qual
tect investors, mayunctioning o stock
however, not includ
Robust Financial Sector Driv e Economic Activity
VITAL PARAMETER
credit histories is keKEDARBHAT
BANKING & MARKETS
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Development Matters
There is a direct correlation between economic development and banking credit coverage. The rate in
developed economies is higher than that o the others. Also, banks in developed economies have lesser
non-perorming loans than their counterparts in other economies.
Private Afair
During the period 2000-06, the market capitalisation o countries as a percentage
product (GDP) has shot up signifcantly. This is an indication o the increasing le
liberalisation sweeping across the globe. But interestingly, the number o listed co
as signifcantly. This probably is the result o the high levels o mergers and acqui
BANKING & MARKETS
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AVIBRANT PRIVATE sector iscentral to promoting growth
and expanding opportunitiesor poor people. But encour-
aging frms to invest, improve produc-tivity and create jobs requires a legal
and regulatory environment that os-
ters access to credit, protects property
rights, and supports e cient judicial,taxation, and customs systems.
When entrepreneurs start a business,the frst obstacles they ace are the ad-
ministrative and legal procedures re-quired to register the new frm. Coun-
tries dier widely in how they regulate
the entry o new businesses. In some
countries the process is straightor-ward and aordable. But in others the
procedures are so burdensome thatentrepreneurs may opt to run their
business inormally.Property registries were irst devel-
oped to help raise tax revenue, but
they have benefted entrepreneurs as
well. Securing rights
ings, a major sourcecountries, strengthe
vest and acilitates trprocedures to regist
sociated with less peproperty rights, mo
more corruption.
Lack o access to biggest barriers ent
starting and operatiThere are many t
censes required, anbalance between
business and consu
continuous reorm.Since constructio
in most economie
required or a contrcritical to enable bu
with new borrowWithout good cont
trade and credit wismall community o
developed relationpeated dealings or
assets they hold. The institution t
tracts between deb
and suppliers andcourt. And the ei
enorcement is reetors: the number o
to resolve a disput
takes to enorce a co
Laying TheGroundworkFor Growth
VIVAN MEHRA
BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT
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DOING BUSINESS INDICATORS
Testing Patience
It could be a big challenge for businesses from the developed world to set up
countries. This is borne out by the numbers in this chart, which clearly indicate t
business to closing it down, time taken and procedures involved are far greater in
mies. Clearly, this is another issue the economies need to address.
BRIGHT PROSPECT:Doing business in developedcountries is far easier than in developing ones
OUTLOOK BUSINESS & WBUSINESS ENVIRONMENT
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ECONOMY OUTLOOK BUSINESS & W
Further integration into world mar-
kets, better unctioning internal mar-kets, and rising demand or manycommodities all contributed to theacceleration o growth in developingcountries. Past periods o growth wereoten interrupted by inancial or bal-ance o payments crises. But recovery
rom such crises ha
and durable. Deveare running lower defcits, accumulatiand adopting more and inancial policmake economies shocks and less volaconidence o inveeconomies are expethan high-income eprise is that they odecade brought a The average growtdle-income economo high-income eco
The high growth developing world w
panding trade and aclimate. The very rapo large countries sIndia also beneiteprimary commoditiminerals, and agricu
Macroeconomic stSince the high ina
crises o the 1970siscal, monetary, apolicies have broudown in most deve
Trade surpluses aers remittances hadeveloping countrlarge holdings o rthe past fve years.
DEVELOPING ECONOMIES
grew aster over the last de-cade (19952005) than in thetwo previous decades and
aster than high-income countries.World output in 2005 amounted toabout $61 trillion, measured in pur-chasing power parities. This was a 45%
increase over 1995, when the world
output was $42.3 trillion. The share odeveloping economies in global out-put rose rom 39% to 46%. Developingeconomies in the East Asia and the Pa-cifc regions grew the most, doublingtheir output and increasing their shareo global output rom 13% to 19%.
Emergence OfA New Order
BRISK PACE: Developing economies
are charting a fast growth path
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ECONOMY OUTLOOK BUSINESS & W
Growing Muscle
During 1995-2005, despite expanding trade and commerce, revenue as a percentage o gross domestic
product (GDP) has remained more or less constant in many developed economies. Interestingly, while it
remained nearly constant in India, in China it nearly doubled. Expense as a percentage o GDP, however, has
risen in most cases. In the case o debt and interest payments, while the amounts have allen signifcantly
in developed countries, it has allen quite sharply in the case o some developing countries such as India.
Thats The Way To Live
Compared to developing countries, developed countries have, generally, succeede
in their consumer price index low, allowing their populations to indulge in more
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ECONOMY OUTLOOK BUSINESS & W
Trade Patterns
During 1990-2000 and 2000-2005, percentage growth o gross capital ormation showed a mixed trend
or the developed and developing economiesrising and alling across countries with no tangible pat-
tern. However, in the case o exports and imports, there is a clear pattern visiblethat o alling exports
and rising imports in the developed economies. For the developing economies, it is again a mixed bag.
Services Take Centrestage
Rising economic prosperity in developing economies is marked by rising contribu
to average annual growth. This corresponds with a drop in average annual grow
economies. While average industrial growth picked up steam in India and Russia,
erably in high-cost economies such as the US and UK.
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ECONOMY OUTLOOK BUSINESS & W
Infrastructure All The Way
Investment in inrastructure projects with private participation has risen by leaps and bounds in the de-
veloping countries over the period 1995-00 to 2000-05. This has ostered greater development in these
countries. While underlining the act that inrastructure is key to economic development, it also shows that
ultimately private participation is important or the development o inrastructure. And o course, domestic
credit plays a major part in this und-ow to the inrastructure sector.
Flavour Of The Season
Emerging markets (developing countries) were the toast o the world during 2005
age percentage growth in gross domestic product (GDP) zoomed to double-dig
years. India and Russia ollow closely.
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ECONOMY OUTLOOK BUSINESS & W
Too Many Mouths To Feed
Though India ranks No 10 on the gross national income parameter, it stands a poor 158 on the gross na-
tional income per capita, thanks to its huge population, which dilutes the benefts o economic growth.
Saving For A Rainy Day
During the years 1990 to 2005, compared to developed countries, gross savings i
in the developing countries on the back o lower expenditure on household cons
such as India managed to keep government consumption in control, the rising res
to productive usedirected towards gross capital ormation.
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Taxing Times
In the developing countries, tax revenue collections by the government, as a perc
product, has generally risen. However, the time required to prepare, fle and pay
countries remain signifcantly higher than in the developed ones. Interestingly, s
ginal tax rates are seen in the developed countries.
SMOOTH RIDE:Tax revenues must drive thecreation of modern infrastructure facilities
OUTLOOK BUSINESS & WECONOMY
SHOMEBASU
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ADVANCES IN technology andknowledge o health and hy-
giene have transormed lieover the past 50 years. In 1960
more than 20% o children in devel-oping countries died beore reaching
their ith birthday; by 2005 this had
allen to just over 8%. The declines are
large, even or the poorest countries.But this reassuring picture, painted by
rising global averages, obscures sub-stantial disparities among the worlds
regions and among the poor withincountries. For millions o people health
services and modern medicines are still
out o reach, and many die prematurely
rom diseases that are easily preventedor cured. More than 25 years ater the
Health or All declaration, improvingthe health o the poorest in developing
countries remains a challenge.What can improve all this? There is
no consensus on which determinants
are most important across countries.
But there is agreem
reduce extreme incmajor risk or poor
ture death. The Wosation (WHO) conc
poverty-oriented hquires complement
sectors (WHO 2003)
proving access to eing the position o
marginalised groupment policies in ag
development, andand participatory go
Priorities in health
ocus on health prothat aect the poo
quire directing pro
ward the poor and and availability o he
cially where they areDiferences in the
poor countries remsome case are incr
mortality ell by ovcome countries rom
only 20% in developreventable diseasea toll on the world
But more importanin proportion are t
ive mortality is ivmiddle-income cou
income countries a
in lower-income cou
Healthcare WoesRemain A Concern
EXPENSIVE: Quality healthcare
remains out of reach for millionsin lower-income countries
HUMAN DEVELOPMENT
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Pension Woes
In the developed economies, the percentage o labour orce contributing to pension und, is very high
running into the 90s in the US, UK and France. The system in these countries ensures that maximum num-
ber o employees are brought under the pension net, enabling them to enjoy pension benefts during their
retired lie. Compared to this, in the developing economies, the percentage o labour orce contributing to
the pension und is low, indicating a system unable to bring most o the labour orce under the pension
net. Also, public expenditure on pensions in developed economies is higher than in the developing ones.
Literally Growing
In the developed countries, rom 1991 to 2005, the percentage o people complet
tion has risen to the highest levels. Within this segment, males and emales con
age, indicating equal status to both the sexes. As or literacy rates or youth wit
to 24, while the percentage in the developed countries hovers around 100%, t
developing economies too. However, in the developing economies, youth (age g
rates are higher among male youth than emale youth. This is especially true in
despite a rise in emale literacy ratios, the actual fgure remains quite low. Also, a
very high in the developed economies compared to the developing countries.
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Mass Education
In developing countries, public expenditure per student in the primary stage is ar lesser than in developed
countries. Also, public expenditure on education, as a percentage o the gross domestic product, in devel-
oping countries is lesser than in the developed ones. The number o pupils per teacher, too, is ar higher in
the developing countries compared to the developed ones.
Hardly Healthy
Expenditure on health, as a percentage o gross domestic product, is signifcantly
countries than in the developed ones. Even the per capita expenditure on healthc
oping countries than in the developed countries. Worse, the out-o-pocket compo
is ar higher in the case o developing countries than in the developed ones.
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Rising Expectations
Developed economies boast o a higher lie expectancy at birth compared to deve
vital indicator o good living conditions enjoyed by people living in developed eco
o emales is much higher across the board except in India where it is higher only m
more women representatives in the seats o power o developed economies com
economies. However, it is worth noting that during the period 1990 to 2005, th
representatives in developing countries rose, albeit at a lower rate than that in the
LIFES A LAUGH:Better healthcare facility isincreasing the life expectancy of global populations
OUTLOOK BUSINESS & WHUMAN DEVELOPMENT
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INDUSTRY AND R&D OUTLOOK BUSINESS & W
Investing In Tomorrow
For India, which spends a paltry 0.85% o its gross domestic product on research and development, hightechnology exports constitute a respectable fve percent. The number o patent applications fled by India
too is a healthy 10,671 compared with 10,905 by Germany and 11,138 by the UK.
Towards Higher Value Add
One o the hallmarks o economic growth is the higher levels o value addition masector. Comparative fgures or 1990 and 2003 indicate a signifcant rise in the
value added, both in the developed and the developing economies. Among t
while India witnessed a strong 74% rise in manuacturing value addition, it jump
China (though Chinas fgures during 1990 to 1993 are not strictly comparable w
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OUTLOOK BUSINESS & W
used or comparison purposes here
may not refect the quality o water inspecic locations.
Unlike estimates rom earlier stud-ies based on engineering or economic
models, these estimates are basedon actual measurements o plant-
level water pollutio
organic water poorganic waste, mea
biochemical oxygebecause the data o
the most plentiul able or cross-coun
emissions. BOD mea
o an organic wasteoxygen consumed i
A sewage overloadexhausts the water
content. Wastewacontrast, reduces BO
Indoor and outd
place a major burdeMore than hal o t
tion rely on dung, w
coal to meet their bCooking and heati
uels on open ireschimneys leads to in
Every year indoor sponsible or the de
peopleone deathIn many urban are
pollution is the ma
threat to human hexposure to soot a
in the air contributeo health eects, in
diseases, lung canease. Particulate po
or in combination
ide, leads to the bur
No SolutionIn Sight ToPollution Woes
E
MISSIONS OF organic pollutants
rom industrial activities are amajor cause o degradation o
water quality. Water quality andpollution levels are generally measured
in terms o concentration or loadtherate o occurrence o a substance in an
aqueous solution. Polluting substances
include organic matter, metals, miner-als, sediment, bacteria, and toxic chem-
icals. We ocus on organic water pollu-tion resulting rom industrial activities.
Because water pollution is sensitive tolocal conditions, the national-level data
BREATHTAKING: Carbon emissions
threaten to kill the worlds tomorrow
ENVIRONMENT
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Gas For Your Lungs
The world is becoming a more polluted place to live in. In 2003, while the US, one of the most developedcountries, topped the charts of polluting countriestotal carbon dioxide emission by the US was higher
than the combined lot of Brazil, France, Germany, India, Italy, Republic of Korea, Mexico, Thailand, South
Africa and UKChina, a developing country, is fast catching up with the worlds top polluters.
Water, Water Everywhere
For rural and urban populations in developed economies such as the US, UK, Au
and Japan, access to improved water sources stands at an enviable 100%, far ab
China, South Africa and the Republic of South Korea. This, despite no dearth of r
water resources for any of these countries.
ENVIRONMENT
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POPULATION AND EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK BUSINESS & W
POPULATION ESTIMATES are usu-ally based on national popula-
tion censuses, but the requencyand quality vary by country.
Most countries conduct a complete
enumeration no more than once a de-cade. Estimates or the years beore and
ater the censuses are interpolations or
extrapolations based on demographicmodels. Errors and undercounting oc-
cur even in high-income countries; indeveloping countries such errors may
be substantial because o limits in thetransport, communications, and other
resources required to conduct andanalyse a ull census.
The quality and reliability o of cial
demographic data are also aected bythe public trust in the government, the
governments commitment to ull andaccurate enumeration, the coniden-
tiality and protection against misuseaccorded to census data, and the in-
dependence o census agencies rom
undue political inluence. Moreover,
the international co
ulation indicators iences in the concep
collection procedurmethods used by n
agencies and othercollect population d
Unemployment
ment in an economest indicators o ec
reected by the labunemployment is u
time some workerunemployedbet
ployers look or the
workers search Changes in un
time may rele
demand or anbut they may a
in reporting practiunemployment ra
guise substantial powhile high unemp
occur in countries weconomic developm
dence o poverty. In
unemployment orpeople eke out a liv
sector. In countrieoped saety nets, w
to wait or suitableBut high and sustain
indicates serious in
allocation o resourc
DynamicsOf RisingNumbers
COUNTLESS:Toomany mouths to eeddilute the benefts o
economic growth
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POPULATION AND EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK BUSINESS & W
..
38.7
17.2
62
64
5.7
56
73
43
22.6
..
..
17
73
71
2003
1997
1996
2003
2003
2003
2003
2003
2003
2004
2003
2003
52.4
..
..
65
71.8
..
88.8
59.1
43.3
45.1
..
..
..
47.6
51
2002
2002
2002
2002
2002
2002
2002
2002
2002
Nothing Informal About It
Figures for the urban informal sector employment are interestingclearly indicating the absence of thiscategory in the developed economies. However, India thrives on inputs by this category. Also, youth em-
ployment as a percentage of labour force is higher in developed economies than in the developing ones.
A Hard Days Work
As economies move up the development ladder, the participation of labour forceincrease. This is clearly evident from the charts that show the rising percentage of
the labour force over the years 1990 to 2005. However, the rise in percentage of fe
labour bandwagon in the developing economies is lesser than in the developed e
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POPULATION AND EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK BUSINESS & W
Labour Pains
While in the US and UK, the percentage of unemployed males and female has fallen, in the other coun-triesdeveloped and developingthe trend is pretty mixed. However, as a percentage of the total
unemployed labour force, the segment least vulnerable to unemploymentin both the developed and
developing economies is the one that has completed the tertiary level of education.
Moving Home To Town
From 1990 to 2005, populations in cities with over one million people have increthe rise in urban population has been higher in developing countries than in the de
of people moving away from jobs in the agriculture sector to those in manufact
ever, growth in access to sanitation facilities has not kept pace for those living in d
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POWER, TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATION OUTLOOK BUSINESS & W
U
SE OF energy is important
in improving peoples stan-dard o living. But electricity
generation also can damagethe environment. Whether such dam-
age occurs depends largely on howelectricity is generated. For example,
burning coal releases twice as much
carbon dioxidea major contributor
to global warmingas does burning
an equivalent amount o natural gas.Nuclear energy does not generate car-
bon dioxide emissions, but it producesother dangerous waste products.
The quality o an economys inra-structure, including power and com-
munications, is an important element in
investment decisions or both domes-
tic and oreign investors. Government
eort alone is not enough to meetthe need or investments in modern
inrastructure; public-private partner-ships, especially those involving local
providers and fnanciers, are critical orlowering costs and delivering value or
money. In telecommunications, com-
petition in the marketplace, along with
sound regulation, is
improving the qualservices around the
Over the past decand technology, alo
tion and liberalisathave spurred dram
telecommunicatio
countries. With the ro mobile telephony
pansion o the Inteand communicatio
increasingly being retial tools o develop
to global integratio
public sector eectand transparency.
Globally, there ha
provements in accenications, driven ma
o mobile telephonymobiles outpaced t
line telephones in tries, and rural area
with urban areas.Transport inrastr
railways, ports and w
ports and air tra cand the services th
crucial to the activiproducers and gov
perormance indiccantly by transport
highly specialised a
fed indicators are re
Economic Growth And The U se Of PowerSPEED OF LIGHT:Better accessto power and telecom arecrucial for economic growth
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POWER, TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATION OUTLOOK BUSINESS & W
Empowering Populations
Transmission and distribution (T&D) losses are lesser in the developed countries than in the developingones. Also, the ormer boasts o a higher percentage o population covered by mobile phones.
Electric Rise
The increase in production o electricity in China during 1990 to 2004 is indeed 621.2 billion kilowatt hours to 2,199.6 billion kilowatt hours. The call or clean
resulted in increasing use o gas as a source o electric power. Nuclear power too
signifcant extent by the developed countrieschiey Francewhich meets
total electricity requirements rom nuclear power.
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POWER, TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATION OUTLOOK BUSINESS & W
The Road To Prosperity
While many developed countries such as France, Germany and the UK have near-100% paved roadsinterestingly US and Japan have only 64.5% and 77.7% o their roads paveddeveloping countries lag However, at 6.43 million km, the US has the largest road network in the world. Signifcantly, it is ollowed closely by India with 3.38 million km. China, Brazil and Japan ollow. As per fgures available, the US l
passengers carried by roads ollowed by Germany and Japan. China, however, is ar ahead o other countr ies in the qu antum o port container tra c logged. In railways, the US has the largest rail line network in t
the largest number o people through rail lines. US is the leader in the air tra c segment too, with the largest number o carriers, passengers carried and air reight hauled.
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QUALITY OF LIFE OUTLOOK BUSINESS & W
INEQUALITY IN the distribution oincome is relected in the percent-
age shares o income or consumptionaccruing to portions o the popula-
tion ranked by income or consump-tion levels. The portions ranked low-
est by way o personal income receive
the smallest shares o total income. In
this regard, the Gini index provides aconvenient summary measure o the
degree o inequality.Data on the distribution o income or
consumption come rom nationally rep-resentative household surveys. Where
the original data rom the household
survey were available, these have been
used to directly calculate the income orconsumption shares by quintile. Other-
wise, shares have been estimated romthe best available grouped data.
The ratio o gross domestic product(GDP) to energy use provides a mea-
sure o energy eiciency. To produce
comparable and consistent estimates
o real GDP across c
physical inputs to Go energy useGD
2,000 constant intering the purchasing
rates. Dierences iperiod o time and
relect in part the s
in the economy, chaef ciency o particu
erences in uel mixBecause commerc
traded, it is necessbetween its produ
Net energy import
to which an econoits domestic produc
countries are net
while middle-incombeen their main sup
Among the chanmodern day are t
ormation revolutchanged the way
communicates, coand treats illnesses
tion and commun
gies oer vast oppopopulations or pro
o lie across variouprovide opportun
growth, improved service delivery, lea
tance education as
cultural advances.
EnergyThe New Growth Paradigm
CONSUMPTION: Economic growthkindles the desire to live the good life
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QUALITY OF LIFE OUTLOOK BUSINESS & W
Equal Status
The Gini Index, which measures economic equality, throws up some interesting acts. Among the countrieseatured here, South Arica has the highest Gini Index, indicating high level o economic inequality, while
Japan, which has the lowest Gini Index, has the highest level o economic equality. Generally, the levels o
income inequality are highest among the developing countries, indicating low penetration o economic
growth to the general population o these countries.
High Octave
The ratio o GDP to energy use provides a measure o energy ef ciency. To producreal GDP across countries relative to physical inputs to GDP, that is, units o energ
to 2000 constant dollars using purchasing power parity (PPP). It is good to see t
risen in most countries during the period under consideration (1990 to 2004).
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QUALITY OF LIFE OUTLOOK BUSINESS & W
Still A Far Cry
Despite the economic development that is sweeping India, the percentage o households with TV sets is apaltry 32%. This indicates that the country has miles to go beore development reaches the hinterlands.
Highway To Glory
Far ewer people living in developing economies are able to enjoy the comorts than those in developed countriesmore so, passenger cars. However, there has
ment in the numbers over the years 1990 to 2004. Yet, the developed economies
the particulate matter concentrations over these years.
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were designed or the collection o tax
revenue. Because taxes on land are nolonger a major source o government
revenue, the quality and coverage oland use data (except or cropland)
have declined. Data on orest area maybe unreliable because o diferences in
denitions and irregular surveys.
Population estimates are usuallybased on national population cen-
suses, but the requency and qualityvary by country. Most countries con-
duct a complete enumeration no morethan once a decade. The quality and
reliability o o cial demographic data
are also aected b
in the government,commitment to
enumeration, the cprotection against m
census data, and thcensus agencies ro
inuence. Moreove
comparability o ptors is limited by
concepts, deinitioprocedures, and es
used by national sand other organisa
population data.
T
HREE BILLION people, includ-
ing 70% o the worlds poorpeople, live in rural areas.
Thereore, adequate indicatorsto monitor progress in rural areas are
essential. However, indicators o ruraldevelopment are sparse, as ew indica-
tors are disaggregated between rural
and urban areas. Rural population isapproximated as the mid-year non-
urban population. It is the dierencebetween total and urban population,
which is calculated on the basis o theurban share reported by the United
Nations Population Division. However,
there is no universal standard or distin-guishing urban rom rural areas.
Land use patterns are changing.
Countries use dierent deinitionso rural and urban population and
land use. The Food and AgricultureOrganisation, occasionally adjusts its
denitions o land use categories andsometimes revises earlier data. Because
the data relect changes in reporting
procedures as well as actual changesin land use, apparent trends should be
interpreted with caution.Satellite images show land use that
difer rom that given by ground-basedmeasures in both area under cultiva-
tion and type o land use. Moreover,
land use data in countries such as Indiaare based on reporting systems that
Great Urban-RuralDivide Shows
OUTLOOK BUSINESS & W
BRIDGING GAPS:Data on land use and
population spread are essential
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OUTLOOK BUSINESS & W
Galloping Numbers
Developing countries account or a major share o the worlds rising population. By 2015, while developingcountries will continue to add to population at a positive rate o growth, many developed countries will
see negative growth in population. And while many developing countries will beneft rom the addition to
their 15 to 64 years population, many developed countries will see rise in the 65+ age group population.
Home, Sweet Home
India is one o the ew countries where the rural population climbed during 1990triesboth developed and developingit ell. This is a sign o the population m
Also, during the period 1990 to 2005, many developed and developing countr
their orest coveran important step in the fght to prevent rising global warmi
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OUTLOOK BUSINESS & W
T
HE GROWING integration o
societies and economies hashelped reduce poverty in many
countries. One indication o in-creasing global economic integration
is the growing importance o trade inworld economy. Another is the rising
size and importance o private capi-
tal fows to developing countries thathave liberalised their nancial markets.
The numerators on trade and pri-vate capital fows are based on gross
fows that capture the two-way fow ogoods, services and capital. In conven-
tional balance o payments account-
ing, exports are recorded as a creditand imports as a debit. And in nancial
accounts, inward investment is a credit
and outward investment a debit. Thus,net fows, the sum o credits and deb-
its, represent a balance in which manytransactions are canceled out. Gross
fows are a better measure o integra-tion as they show the total value o -
nancial transactions during a period.Merchandise trade is an important
part o global trade. Trade in services
is an important element o global in-tegration. The dierence between
the growth o real trade in goods andservices and the growth o GDP helps
identiy economies that have integrat-ed with the global economy by liberal-
ising trade, lowering barriers to oreign
investment and harnessing their labor
to gain an advantage in labor-intensivemanuactures and services.
Foreign direct investment (FDI) maybe understated in many developing
countries. Some countries ail to report
reinvested earnings and the denition
o long-term loans diers among coun-tries. Under-reporting o FDI outfows
is more pervasive, particularly wheninvestors are attempting to avoid con-
trols on capital and oreign exchange
or high taxes on investment income.
Some countries dooutfows in their ba
statistics. However, terage o the data a
result o eorts by
national statistics ag
Global VillageADream Not TooDistant
STACKED UP:R
has helped redu
TRADE AND INVESTMENT
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AP
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TRADE AND INVESTMENT OUTLOOK BUSINESS & W
Till Debt Do Us Apart
Among the countries or which data is availableincidentally all developing countriestotal externaldebt has tended to rise. (Comparative fgures or Russia and South Arica are however, not readily avail-
able.) Within this space, the rise in private non-guaranteed external debt, wherever available, has been the
sharpest. This is ollowed by long-term debt. However, it is interesting to note that the rise in public and
publicly guaranteed debt, which generally comes with many strings attached, has been the least during
this period (1990-2005).
Spend On A Good Life
The average rise in household consumption in many developing countries underscmade during 1990-2005. But the phenomenon was absent in many developed cou
ernment consumption ell in many developing countriesnations not known or
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Exports Carry The Day
Within the scenario o rising global merchandise trade during 1990 to 2005, developing countries such asIndia and China witnessed sharp rise in merchandise exports. Though merchandise exports rom devel-
oped countries too moved northwards, the rate o growth was lesser than that in developing countries.
While export o agricultural raw materials rom India ell, export o ores and metals registered a rise.
TRADE AND INVESTMENT
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