world gold council: gold demand trends full year 2014

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Gold Demand Trends Full Year 2014 Alistair Hewitt 13th February 2015

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Page 1: World Gold Council: Gold demand trends full year 2014

Gold Demand Trends

Full Year 2014

Alistair Hewitt

13th February 2015

Page 2: World Gold Council: Gold demand trends full year 2014

Agenda

2World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Full Year 2014 | February 2015

• Review of demand

• Review of supply

• Outlook

• Conclusion

Page 3: World Gold Council: Gold demand trends full year 2014

Full year gold demand was 4% lower than in 2013

3World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Full Year 2014 | February 2015

Page 4: World Gold Council: Gold demand trends full year 2014

US$ gold price stable; other denominations rise

4World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Full Year 2014 | February 2015

Page 5: World Gold Council: Gold demand trends full year 2014

Jewellery demand falls after exceptional 2013, but

still above 5-year average

5World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Full Year 2014 | February 2015

Page 6: World Gold Council: Gold demand trends full year 2014

Bar and coin demand continues to be higher than

pre-crisis levels

6World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Full Year 2014 | February 2015

Page 7: World Gold Council: Gold demand trends full year 2014

Outflows from ETFs continued in 2014, but at slower

pace

7World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Full Year 2014 | February 2015

Page 8: World Gold Council: Gold demand trends full year 2014

Central banks bought 477t; second highest for 50

years

8World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Full Year 2014 | February 2015

Page 9: World Gold Council: Gold demand trends full year 2014

Russia accounted for 36% of central bank demand

9World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Full Year 2014 | February 2015

Page 10: World Gold Council: Gold demand trends full year 2014

Q4 strength saw 2014 finish on a firm footing

10World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Full Year 2014 | February 2015

Page 11: World Gold Council: Gold demand trends full year 2014

Supply

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Page 12: World Gold Council: Gold demand trends full year 2014

Mine supply reached a record high of 3,114 tonnes

12World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Full Year 2014 | February 2015

Page 13: World Gold Council: Gold demand trends full year 2014

Recycling sinks to a 7-year low

13World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Full Year 2014 | February 2015

Page 14: World Gold Council: Gold demand trends full year 2014

Outlook

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Page 15: World Gold Council: Gold demand trends full year 2014

Conclusion

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• The market stabilised in 2014 and demand fell 4% to 3,924t

• After 19% growth in 2013, jewellery demand slipped 10%. It remained 5% above its 5-year

average.

o India’s jewellery demand was 662t, its highest since our records began in 1995

o China’s jewellery demand fell a third but, at 624t, it is its second highest since our records began in 1995

• Bar and coin demand fell to 1,064t, 40% lower than the 2013 record

• ETF outflows slowed from 880t in 2013 to 159t in 2014

• At 477t, central banks posted their second highest year of annual demand in 50 years

• Total supply was steady at 4,278t: a 2% increase in mine production was off-set by

recycling falling to a 7 year low of 1,122t

• Our outlook for 2015 is for gold demand to be between 4,100t-4,200t

World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Full Year 2014 | February 2015

Page 16: World Gold Council: Gold demand trends full year 2014

Disclaimer

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COPYRIGHT AND OTHER RIGHTS

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Thomson Reuters and GFMS, Thomson Reuters content is the intellectual property of Thomson Reuters. Any copying, republication or redistribution of Thomson

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liable for any errors or delays in its content, or for any actions taken in reliance thereon. "Thomson Reuters" is a trademark of Thomson Reuters and its affiliated

companies.

All references to The London Gold Market Fixing prices are used with the permission of The London Gold Market Fixing Limited and have been provided for

informational purposes only. The London Gold Market Fixing Limited accepts no liability or responsibility for the accuracy of the prices or the underlying product to

which the prices may be reference.”

Other third party content is the intellectual property of the respective third party and all rights are reserved to them. All rights reserved. No organisation or individual is

permitted to reproduce, distribute or otherwise use the statistics and information in this report without the written agreement of the copyright owners.

DISCLAIMER

This presentation is provided solely for general information and educational purposes. It is not, and should not be construed as, an offer to buy or sell, or as a

solicitation of an offer to buy or sell, gold, any gold related products or any other products, securities or investments. It does not, and should not be construed as

acting to, sponsor, advocate, endorse or promote gold, any gold related products or any other products, securities or investments. While we have checked the

accuracy of the information in this presentation, the World Gold Council does not warrant or guarantee the accuracy, completeness or reliability of this information. The

World Gold Council does not undertake to update or advise of changes to the information in this presentation. The World Gold Council does not accept responsibility

for any losses or damages arising directly or indirectly, from the use of this document, even if notified of the possibility of such losses or damages.

This presentation does not purport to make any recommendations or provide any investment or other advice with respect to the purchase, sale or other disposition of

gold, any gold related products or any other products, securities or investments, including without limitation, any advice to the effect that any gold related transaction is

appropriate for any investment objective or financial situation of a prospective investor. A decision to invest in gold, any gold related products or any other products,

securities or investments should not be made in reliance on any of the statements in this presentation. Before making any investment decision, prospective investors

should seek advice from their financial advisers, take into account their individual financial needs and circumstances and carefully consider the risks associated with

such investment decision.

Expressions of opinion are those of the author and are subject to change without notice.

World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Full Year 2014 | February 2015