world drug report 2005_presentation.pdf · alcohol tobacco illicit drugs in % of population age...
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WORLD DRUG REPORT
2005
50%
30%
5%
0%
20%
40%
60%
Alcohol Tobacco Illicit drugs
in %
of p
opul
atio
n ag
e 15
-64
Annual prevalence of the use of psychoactive substances at the global level (2003)
non-controlled substances controlled substances
144.1
24.2
14.0 13.5 9.2
146.2
29.6
13.3 15.2 9.2
160.1
26.2
13.7 15.9 10.64.5 8.3 7.9
0.3%0.4%0.3%0.2%
0.6%
4.0%
0
40
80
120
160
200
Cannab
is
Amphetamine
s
Ecstasy
Cocaine
Opiates
Heroin
mill
ion
peop
le
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
in %
of p
opul
atio
n ag
e 15
-64
Drug use in the late 1990s
Drug use in 2001/02
Drug use in 2003
Annual prevalence of drug use at the global level
Treatment demand in 2003
9%
6%
73%
12%
Cannabis
Opiates
Amphetamine-typestimulants
Cocaine-type
Others
No data available
ASIA*EUROPE*
N. AMERICA*
S. AMERICA*AFRICA*
OCEANIA*
*Unweighted average oftreatment demand (2001-2003)in Canada, Mexico and the USA.
*Unweighted average oftreatment demand in 26countries of South America,Central America and theCaribbean, 1998-2003.
*Unweighted average oftreatment demand in 37European countries in1999-2003.
*Unweighted average oftreatment demand in 24African countries in1995 - 2003.
*Unweighted average oftreatment demand inAustralia and New Zealand1998-2003.
*Unweighted average oftreatment demand in34 Asian countries &territories in 1997-2003.
1
%7%
22%
61%
10%
32.5%
0.4% cocaine
29.7%
23.9%
13.4%
63.8%
9.5%10.5%
23.9%
6.3%
62.3%
6%
14%
8.5%
9.2%62.5%
12.9%
8.2%
16.4%45.1%
11.7%39.7%
9.5%10.6%
58.5%16.6%
24.1%
0.5% ATS0.4% O
piates
Source: UNODC, Annual Reports Questionnaire Data / DELTA.
Opiates
Global opium production (in metric tons), 1990-2004
5,6205,764
4,691
1,596
4,4914,765 4,850
+2%
-16%
Global opium production (in metric tons), 2002-2004
Trafficking in heroin and morphine, 2003
Production: 477 mt in 2003565 mt in 2004
Abuse of opiates, 2003 (or latest year available)
0.8%0.5%
Global abuse of opiates: opiates: 0.4% of which heroin: 0.3 %
0.5%0.4%
0.4%
0.1%
0.3%0.2%
0.4%0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
Cocaine
Potential cocaine production (in metric tons), 1990-2004
930
687
925
-26%674
+2%
Potential cocaine production (2002 - 2004)Potential cocaine production (in % of global total)
Cocaine trafficking, 2003
Production: 674 mt in 2003687 mt in 2004
Use of cocaine (2003)
2.3%
0.8%
1.0%
0.2%
0.1%
0.9%
< 0.1%
annual prevalence at global level: 0.3% of pop. age 15-64
Changes in the use of cocaine, 2003
USA: -50% since mid 1980s
Cannabis
Cannabis herb trafficking, 2003
Production estimate: 42,000 mt
Cannabis resin trafficking, 2003
Production estimate: 7,400 mt
Use of cannabis, 2003
15.8%
10.2%
8%
5.6%
2.9%
2.2%
annual prevalence at global level: 4.0% of pop. age 15-64
Changes in cannabis use, 2003
ATS
Trafficking in ATS (excluding ecstasy), 2003
Production estimate: 332 mt
Use of amphetamines in 2003
annual prevalence at global level: 0.6% of pop. age 15-64
3.1%
1.1%
0.7%
0.5%
0.5%
0.4%
Changes in consumption of amphetamines, 2003
Trafficking of Ecstasy (MDA, MDEA, MDMA), 2003
Production estimate: 90 mt
Use of ecstasy in 2003
3.1%
0.9%0.8 %
0.2 % 0.05%0.03%
0.1%
annual prevalence at global level: 0.2% of pop. age 15-64
Changes in ecstasy use, 2003
HIV/AIDS and Drugs
HIV/AIDS prevalence (%) among injecting drug users (1998- 2003)
IDU-related HIV/AIDS spreading along trafficking routes, 2003 (data for 1996 in brackets)
Sources: EuroHIV, HIV/AIDS Surveillance in Europe End -year report 2003, November 2004; UNODC, DELTA.
Value of Illicit Drug Markets
Size of global illicit drug market in 2003
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
Producer level Wholesale level Retail level
billi
on U
S$
Gross profit at retail level
Gross profit at wholesale level
12.8
94.0 wholesale value
321.6 retail value
Illicit drugs *compared to export values of agricultural commodities in 2003
Size of illicit drug markets in 2003
1.2 0.5
8.8
0.7 0.6 1.0
20.6 18.810.4
6.8 7.7
64.870.5
113.1
28.8 28.3
16.1
29.7
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0
Opiates Cocaine Cannabis herb Cannabis resin Amphetamines Ecstasy
billi
on U
S-$
producer-level wholesale-level retail-level
Global Illicit Drug Index
Creating a global Illicit Drug Index (IDI):Objective:Create a comparative measure of a country’s (regions’) drug problem that will enable comparisons across countries (regions) and over time.
Challenges:- Overcome the substance boundary: Diversity of drugs and effects (How to compare cannabis with heroin?)
- Overcome the sectorial boundary: Diversity of illegal activities (production, trafficking, consumption).
Rationale and methodology:The IDI measures the contribution of a country (region) to the world’s drug problem. The larger illicit drug production, trafficking and abuse, the more serious – it is assumed - is a country’s drug problem. The Global Illicit Drug Index is the (unweighted) composite of three sub-indices which reflect the situation of a country/region in terms of the harm created through drug production, drug trafficking and drug abuse.
Components:Production sub-indexProduction in tons, converted into consumer doses, multiplied by a ‘harm factor’ to arrive at production of a virtual drug Trafficking sub-indexTotal trafficking is defined as: global production less seizuresDistribution • Seizures (converted into doses and multiplied by the ‘harm factor’)• Reports of origin, transit and destination of drugs (weighted by the seizures of reporting
countries, converted into doses and multiplied by the ‘harm factor’ )Abuse sub-indexNumber of consumers of specific drugs, multiplied by average annual consumption;Results are transformed into doses and multiplied by the ‘harm-factor’ Harm factorused for making different drugs comparable, was derived from • treatment demand per 100,000 drug users• IDU related to drugs• toxicity of drugs• drug related deaths for 100,000 drug usersIllicit Drug Index:Aggregate of ‘production sub-index’, ‘trafficking sub-index’ and ‘abuse sub-index’.
4.6
Global average = 1
2.5
2.2
1.7
1.31.2
1.1
1.1
1.10.7
0.7
0.5
0.5
0.40.2
0.3
Illicit Drug Index, per capita, by sub-region
0.00 11.36 22.72 34.08 45.44 56.80
Near & Middle E as t/S outh-Wes t As iaS outh AmericaNorth America
OceaniaCentral As ia & Trans caucas ian countries
Wes t & Central E uropeS outheas t E urope
E as t E uropeCaribbean
Central AmericaNorth Africa
S outhern AfricaE as t & S outh-E as t As ia
Wes t & Central AfricaS outh As iaE as t Africa
P roduction
T rafficking
Abuse
0.00 11.36 22.72 34.08 45.44 5
Near & Middle Eas t /S outh-Wes t As iaS outh AmericaNorth America
OceaniaCentral As ia & Trans caucas ian countries
Wes t & Central EuropeSoutheas t Europe
Eas t EuropeCaribbean
Central AmericaNorth Africa
Southern AfricaEas t & South-Eas t As ia
Wes t & Central AfricaSouth As iaEas t Africa
Opiates
Coca
CannabisATS
Illicit Drug Index (per capita) - dimensions of the problem
ATS10%
Opiates56%Coca
22%
Cannabis12%
WORLD DRUG REPORT
2005