wilcox ag/wx conference - university of arizona...radar • ~5000 ft asl • wilcox is ~50 miles...

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Jerald Meadows NWS Meteorologist June 12 th , 2014 WILLCOX AG/WX CONFERENCE

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Page 1: Wilcox Ag/Wx Conference - University of Arizona...RADAR • ~5000 ft ASL • Wilcox is ~50 miles away at near 4190 ft ASL • That makes the lowest beam possible to reach Wilcox is

Jerald Meadows

NWS Meteorologist

June 12th, 2014

WILLCOX AG/WX CONFERENCE

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TWO WAY COMMUNICATION

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VEGETATION IMPACT PROGRAM (VIP)

• Midwestern Regional Climate Center (MRCC) collaboration project with weather forecasters, climatologist, Extension Specialist, and other vegetation experts (Growers)

• Forecasters issue products from given thresholds.

• I.E., ≤28° = Hard Freeze Warning

• Though, different vegetation has different critical thresholds.

• Project open to anyone with vegetation expertise by joining the Listserv

• Simple answers go a long way

• “No” – there isn’t any plants that are susceptible to low temps at this time. (Plants dormant so headline would be unwarranted)

• “Maybe” – may be there are only a few plants susceptible to low temps. (Now NWS forecasters know to communicate with experts if low temps forecast)

• “Yes” – Plant susceptible to low temps present (if low temps forecast issue headline)

Page 4: Wilcox Ag/Wx Conference - University of Arizona...RADAR • ~5000 ft ASL • Wilcox is ~50 miles away at near 4190 ft ASL • That makes the lowest beam possible to reach Wilcox is

VEGETATION IMPACT PROGRAM (VIP)

Page 5: Wilcox Ag/Wx Conference - University of Arizona...RADAR • ~5000 ft ASL • Wilcox is ~50 miles away at near 4190 ft ASL • That makes the lowest beam possible to reach Wilcox is

VEGETATION IMPACT PROGRAM (VIP)

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VEGETATION IMPACT PROGRAM (VIP)

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RADAR COVERAGE

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RADAR COVERAGE CONTINUED

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RADAR TILTS

Page 10: Wilcox Ag/Wx Conference - University of Arizona...RADAR • ~5000 ft ASL • Wilcox is ~50 miles away at near 4190 ft ASL • That makes the lowest beam possible to reach Wilcox is

RADAR

• ~5000 ft ASL

• Wilcox is ~50 miles away at near 4190 ft ASL

• That makes the lowest beam possible to reach Wilcox is roughly 6000 ft above the city

• So the take away we can’t see what is happening at that level, especially when it comes

to dust.

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THE MONSOON…

• Comes from the Arabic word for season

• Used by the NWS in the same way as you use the word

summer or autumn. “I will be in Canada for the next 6

months, so I will miss the monsoon.”

• Does not refer to an individual thunderstorm or several

thunderstorms

• Begins June 15th and continued through September 30th

Page 12: Wilcox Ag/Wx Conference - University of Arizona...RADAR • ~5000 ft ASL • Wilcox is ~50 miles away at near 4190 ft ASL • That makes the lowest beam possible to reach Wilcox is

Asian

Monsoon

North

American

Monsoon

What is a Monsoon? Seasonal Wind Shift on a Regional Scale

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Non-Monsoon Season Monsoon Season

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DUST PRODUCTS

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FORECAST REFERENCE CROP

EVAPOTRANSPIRATION

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OBSERVATIONS/GROUND TRUTH

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OBSERVATIONS MAKE A WORLD OF

DIFFERENCE

Raw Model Data After observation corrections

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OUR HOME PAGE

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FORECAST

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FORECAST

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FORECAST

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FORECAST

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FORECAST

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OUR HOME PAGE

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USER DEFINED FORECAST AREA

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USER FORECAST AREA

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OUR HOME PAGE

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WEATHER ACTIVITY PLANNER