why tsa for egypt? - world tourism...
TRANSCRIPT
Tourism Satellite Accounts: The Case of Egypt
UNWTO Committee on Statistics and TSA
Twelfth MeetingUNWTO Headquarters, Madrid, Spain27-28 January 2011
Tourism is among the leading sectors in the Egyptian economy:
Chief contributor to GDP growth.
Major job provider.
Principal generator of foreign exchange earnings and public revenues.
Main achiever of balanced spatial development.
WHY TSA FOR EGYPT?
The current national tourism statistical system does not reflect the real significance of tourism
to the Egyptian economy.
HOWEVER
Incomplete Fragmented Inconsistent
H&R only Hotel Residents Inbound Tourism Licensed Establishments Full-time Workforce Hotel & Tourist Villages Investments
TOURISM DATA LIMITATIONS
Incomplete Fragmented Inconsistent
Local Administration Private Associations Official Bodies
(MOT, CBE, CAPMAS, GAFI, MOED, etc…)
TOURISM DATA LIMITATIONS
Incomplete Fragmented Inconsistent
Differences in:
CoverageMethodology
TOURISM DATA LIMITATIONS
Launching the TSA Project
Conclusion of Protocol of cooperation (MOT & MOED) – Feb. 2008 Issuance of MOT Ministerial Decree Creation of MOT specialized unit for TSA project
Establishing the Policy Working Group (PWG) “Steering Committee”
Forming the Technical Working Group (TWG)
THE INSTITUTIONAL PLATFORM
KEY PLAYERS
Data Producers
Quality Assurance
BodiesData Users
Ministry of Tourism Ministry of Econ. Development CAPMAS* IDSC** Central Bank of Egypt Passport & Immigration
Authority of the Ministry of Interior (MOI).
Ministries: Civil Aviation, Transport, Culture, Environment Manpower & Immigration, Finance and the Supreme Council of Antiquities.
Tourism affiliated bodies and federations.
Universities and research institutions.
Investors in the Tourism Business.
Governmental bodies.
Centre for Survey and Statistical Applications (CSSA), Faculty of Economics and Political Science, Cairo University
(*) Central Agency for Public Mobilization and Statistics.(**) Cabinet’s Information and Decision Support Center.
Organizational Structure of the TSA ProjectMinistry of Tourism
Steering Committee
General Coordinator
Technical Working Groups
Legislative & IT Secretariat
Administrative & Technical Secretariat
Project ExpertsExpatriate & National Consultants Project Manager
MOT
IDSC
CAPMAS
ETF*
MOT
MOI
MOED
CBE
MOT
FEPS
MOT
MOED
(*) Egyptian Tourism Federation.
DATA SOURCES (I)
IDSC
DATA SOURCES (II)
FEPS
Basic Principles:Product classification in accordance with CPC, Version 2
Expenditure estimates at purchaser’s price
Distinction between accommodation services and other services provided by the same entity
Flexibility in identification of country specific tourism characteristic products
THE DEMAND SIDE
Floating Hotels Sleeping Wagons (trains)
Health/Medical Centers
Others
Hotels & TV
Furnished Flats
T. Specific Goods T. Specific Services
Papyrus, bazar items, leather and textile,
etc…Safari Trips
Health & Medical Services for non-
residing foreignersDiving
TABLE (1)INBOUND TOURISM EXPENDITURE
TABLE (1)INBOUND TOURISM EXPENDITURE
Universe: 12.5 Million 622,336 936,905
Sample Size: 120,770 3,775 11,952
INBOUND TOURISM EXPENDITUREBY TYPE OF VISITOR
Source: Inbound Tourism Surveys, 2009.
AVERAGE EXPENDITURE OF VISITORS(PER NIGHT)
Including International Transport
(only national carriers)
Excluding International Transport
1. Foreign Visitors
118.9101.3A. Individuals
8681.8B. Package Tours
97.287.9Average (1A and 1B)
98.489.22. Average expenditure (including same day visitors)
29.926.83. Non-residing Egyptians (individuals)
(US$/Night)
INBOUND TOURISM EXPENDITUREBY PRODUCT GROUP
Source: Inbound Tourism Surveys,2009.
COMPARISON BETWEEN TSA & BOP TRAVEL ITEM
BOP Travel ItemTSARevenues
10.811.02International Visitors
--1.0International Transport Earnings (national carriers)
--1.2Non-residing Egyptian’s Expenditure
Average daily visitor expenditure ($) TSA= 89.2BOP Travel Item = 85.0
(US$ Billion) Total BOP Travel Item = 10.8
Total TSA Tourism Revenues = 13.4
Difference = 2.6
Average Expenditure
Difference = 0.4
National Carriers (transport) = 1.0
Non-residing Egyptian
Expenditure = 1.2
(US$ Billion)
TABLE (2)DOMESTIC TOURISM EXPENDITURE
TABLE (2)DOMESTIC TOURISM
RELATIVE DISTRIBUTION OF DOMESTIC TOURISM EXPENDITURE
DOMESTIC TOURISM EXPENDITURE BY PRODUCT GROUPS
TABLE (3)OUTBOUND TOURISM EXPENDITURE
TABLE (3)
Total Outbound Tourism Expenditure
US$ 2.6 Billion
OtherUmrahPilgrimage
US$ 1.2 Billion
9.5 % 46.8 % 43.7%
Source: Outbound Tourism Surveys, 2009.
TABLE (4)INTERNAL TOURISM CONSUMPTION
TABLE (4)THE DEMAND STRUCTURE
* Excluding Outbound Visitor Expenditure (during trips).
Table 2
Domestic Tourism Expenditure
EGP 16.9 Billion
= US$ 3.02 Billion
+
OTHER COMPONENTS OF TOURISM CONSUMPTION
Sources: National Accounts Estimates, Survey on Timeshare units, Survey on Ministries and Syndicates, Ministry of Education and National Council of Youth Data.
1 2 3 4
-
=Aggregate Total = EGP 12.5 Billion
= US$ 2.2 Billion
INTERNAL TOURISM CONSUMPTION BY TYPE
TABLE (5)PRODUCTION ACCOUNTS
OF TOURISM AND OTHER INDUSTRIES
TABLE (5)PRODUCTION ACCOUNTS OF TOURISM
& OTHER INDUSTRIES
Source: National Accounts Data.
Output of Domestic Producers
Other IndustriesTourism Characteristic Industries
Products/Services
35.1035.1Accommodation
38.8038.8Food and Beverage
61.6061.6Transportation
6.006.0Travel Agency & other Reservation Services
20.4020.4Cultural , Sport, and Recreational
5.305.3Country Specific Tourism Characteristic Products
1537.61503.334.3Other Products/Services
1704.81503.3201.5Total Output
632.4559.373.1Total Intermediate Consumption
1072.4= US$ 191.5 Billion
944= US$ 168.6 Billion
128.4= US$ 22.9 BillionTotal Gross Value Added
(EGP Billion)
GROSS VALUE ADDED BREAKDOWN IN THE TOURISM INDUSTRY
TABLE (6)TOTAL DOMESTIC SUPPLY
& INTERNAL TOURISM CONSUMPTIONBY PRODUCTS (AT PURCHASERS’ PRICES)
TABLE (6)DOMESTIC SUPPLY & INTERNAL TOURISM CONSUMPTION AT
PURCHASERS PRICES*
*Purchasers Prices include values at basic prices plus net taxes on products and trade margins.Source: National Accounts Data and Tourism Surveys.
(EGP Billion)
Tourism Product Ratio (%)
Internal Tourism Consumption
Domestic SupplyProducts/Services
76.128.036.8Accommodation
42.116.739.7Food and Beverages
30.421.470.3Transportation
90.25.56.1Travel Agency and Other Reservation Services
56.211.821.0Cultural, Sport, and Recreational
97.37.27.4Country Specific Tourism Characteristic Products
0.713.61874.0Other Products/Services
5.1104.2
= US$ 18.6 Billion2055.3
= US$ 367 BillionTotal Output
Source: National Accounts Data and Tourism Surveys.
TABLE (6)DERIVATION OF TOURISM INDUSTRY RATIOS, 2009
(EGP Billion)
Output of Domestic Producers (at basic prices)
Other Industries
TOURISM INDUSTRIES
Products TotalCountry Specific Tourism
Characteristic Industries
Cultural, Sport &
recreational Industry
Travel Agencies
TransportFood & Beverages
Accommodation
35.1035.11.90.100.1032.9Accommodation
38.8038.82.40.400.125.610.3F&B
61.6061.60.20.6059.701.2Transport
6.006.0006000Travel Agencies
20.4020.4020.00000.4CSRS
5.305.35.300000CSTCP
1537.61503.334.31.600.131.600.9Other Products
1704.81503.3201.511.521.16.191.525.645.8Total Output (at basic prices)
112.210.5101.711.111.85.527.810.734.8Tourism Share (in value)
6.60.750.596.255.990.130.442.076.1Tourism Ratio (%)
Source: TSA-Table 6 Results.
(EGP Billion)
TOURISM DIRECT GROSS VALUE ADDED ANDTOURISM DIRECT GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
367.042055.4Total Supply of Goods & Services (domestic)
53.4299.1(-) Imports of Goods & Services
9.251.41(-) Net Taxes on Products (taxes less subsidies)
304.41704.8= Total Domestic Supply of G&S (output of domestic producers)
112.9632.4(-) Intermediate Consumption
191.51072.4= Gross Value Added of the Economy
22.9128.4Gross Value Added of the Tourism Industries
12%12%GVATI (%)
17.799.3Total Tourism Output
7.542.2(-) Total Tourism Intermediate Consumption
10.257.2= Tourism Direct Gross Value Added
5.3%5.3%TDGVA (%)
0.74.0(+) Tourism Share of Net Taxes on Products
10.961.2= Tourism Direct Gross Domestic product (TDGDP)
5.4%5.4%TDGDP (%)
(US$ Billion)
MAJOR AGGREGATES
18.6104.2Internal Tourism Consumption
91.7Internal Tourism Expenditure
12.5Other Components of Tourism Consumption
22.9128.4Gross Value Added of the Tourism Industries
10.257.2Tourism Direct Gross Value Added
10.961.2Tourism Direct Gross Domestic Product
(EGP Billion)
12Tourism Industries Contribution to GDP
Tourism Direct Contribution to GDP
5.4TSA Results
3.5MOED Results (H&R only)
(%)
(US$ Billion)
TABLE (7)EMPLOYMENT IN THE TOURISM
INDUSTRY
Source: Labour Force Survey, 2009.
TABLE (7)EMPLOYMENT IN THE TOURISM INDUSTRIES
(Thousand)
(%)Number of
fulltime Equivalent
Jobs
Labour Hours
Number of Jobs by Status in Employment
TOURISM INDUSTRIESTotalSelf
EmployedEmployees
10.4156.6390,868.4143.64.0139.6Accommodation
20.2304.0758,721.6265.885.3180.5F&B
4.668.4170,716.069.2069.2Railways Passenger Transport
51.5775.31,935,180.0689.2295.2394.0Road Passenger Transport
1.827.769,102.824.90.724.2Water Passenger Transport
2.132.380,516.832.7032.7Air Passenger Transport
0.23.07,420.42.81.71.1Transport Equipment Rental
5.379.2197,750.872.56.166.4Travel Agencies & Other Reservation Services
0.710.325,656.811.32.19.2Cultural Industry
1.320.150,164.418.09.28.8Sports and recreational Industry
0.68.922,245.68.03.05.0Retail Trade of Country-Specific Tourism Characteristic Goods
1.319.247,933.618.51.217.3Country Specific Tourism Industries
100.01,504.93,756,277.21,356.5408.5948.0Total
MAIN INDICATORS OF TABLE (7)
1.4 Million Employees in the Tourism Industries
TABLE (10)NON-MONETARY INDICATORS
TABLE (10)A. NUMBER OF TRIPS & OVERNIGHTS BY FORM OF TOURISM
& CLASS OF VISITORS
Source: Tourism Surveys and MOT Data, 2009.
Outbound TourismNumber of Trips: 1.3 MillionNumber of Overnights: 22.3 Million
TABLE (10)B. INBOUND TOURISM: NUMBER OF ARRIVALS & OVERNIGHTS BY MODES
OF TRANSPORT
Source: Inbound Tourism Surveys and MOT Data, 2009.
Scheduled Flights: 59.1%Unscheduled Flights: 40.9%
TABLE (10)C. NUMBER OF ESTABLISHMENTS & CAPACITY
BY TYPES OF ACCOMMODATION
Room Capacity Utilization Rate (%)
Capacity (beds)Capacity (rooms)Number of Establishments
Accommodations
68.7%429,066214,5331458Hotels and Similar
---1,019,380Real Estate Activities
---1,012,000A. Property Real
Estate Activities (Own or Lease)
---7,380
B. Real Estate Activities on a Fee or Contract (Time Share)
Source: MOT Data and National Accounts Data, 2009.