why not adopt better institutions?
TRANSCRIPT
This article was downloaded by: [University of Connecticut]On: 29 October 2014, At: 16:04Publisher: RoutledgeInforma Ltd Registered in England and Wales Registered Number: 1072954 Registeredoffice: Mortimer House, 37-41 Mortimer Street, London W1T 3JH, UK
Oxford Development StudiesPublication details, including instructions for authors andsubscription information:http://www.tandfonline.com/loi/cods20
Why Not Adopt Better Institutions?Brian Kelleher Richter a & Jeffrey F. Timmons aa Economics, and Public Policy, Richard Ivey Business School,University of Western Ontario , 1151 Richmond Street North,London , ON , N6A 3K7 , Canadab IE Business School, IE University, Calle Álvarez de Baena 4,1 ,Madrid , 28006 , SpainPublished online: 31 May 2012.
To cite this article: Brian Kelleher Richter & Jeffrey F. Timmons (2012) Why Not Adopt BetterInstitutions?, Oxford Development Studies, 40:2, 272-281, DOI: 10.1080/13600818.2012.677819
To link to this article: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/13600818.2012.677819
PLEASE SCROLL DOWN FOR ARTICLE
Taylor & Francis makes every effort to ensure the accuracy of all the information (the“Content”) contained in the publications on our platform. However, Taylor & Francis,our agents, and our licensors make no representations or warranties whatsoever as tothe accuracy, completeness, or suitability for any purpose of the Content. Any opinionsand views expressed in this publication are the opinions and views of the authors,and are not the views of or endorsed by Taylor & Francis. The accuracy of the Contentshould not be relied upon and should be independently verified with primary sourcesof information. Taylor and Francis shall not be liable for any losses, actions, claims,proceedings, demands, costs, expenses, damages, and other liabilities whatsoever orhowsoever caused arising directly or indirectly in connection with, in relation to or arisingout of the use of the Content.
This article may be used for research, teaching, and private study purposes. Anysubstantial or systematic reproduction, redistribution, reselling, loan, sub-licensing,systematic supply, or distribution in any form to anyone is expressly forbidden. Terms &Conditions of access and use can be found at http://www.tandfonline.com/page/terms-and-conditions
Why Not Adopt Better Institutions?
BRIAN KELLEHER RICHTER & JEFFREY F. TIMMONS
ABSTRACT How much growth do (economic and legal) institutions cause? To quantify this effect,we adapted the baseline regression in Acemoglu, Johnson and Robinson’s (2002, Quarterly Journalof Economics, 117(4), pp. 1231–1294) seminal work on the causal relationship between the qualityof institutions and differences in modern-day income levels was adapted. We found that improvinginstitutional quality by one standard deviation increased a country’s average annual growth rate byonly 0.4% from 1820 to 1995.
JEL Classification: O4, N1, E0
1. Introduction
Long run is a misleading guide to current affairs. In the long run we are all dead.
John Maynard Keynes (1923)
Social scientists have long debated whether and by how much institutions affect
development outcomes, notably economic growth (North, 1990). In seminal work,
Acemoglu, Johnson and Robinson (hereafter AJR) (2001, 2002, 2005) used an instrumental
variable approach to identify the causal effect of institutions. Even though AJR’s approach
has been subject to considerable criticism—some have taken issue with their instrument
(Albouy, forthcoming), others their sample (McArthur & Sachs, 2001) and others their
measures of institutions (Glaeser et al., 2004)—their findings are generally seen by
economists as providing the most compelling empirical evidence that “institutions are the
fundamental cause of differences in economic development” (Acemogly et al., 2005, p. 385)
across countries. Rather than challenging AJR on statistical grounds, we seek to understand
howmuchgrowth institutions cause, assuming their econometric framework is a validway to
generate causal inference.
In this paper, we transform the income levels regression in AJR’s paper into growth rate
regressions. This exercise allows us to assess howmuch growth institutions cause, a question
ISSN 1360-0818 print/ISSN 1469-9966 online/12/020272-10
q 2012 Oxford Department of International Development
http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/13600818.2012.677819
This paper has benefited from conversations with Romain Wacziarg and Krislert Samphantharak along with
comments from David Meyer and participants in a seminar at UCLA Anderson. Richter also acknowledges the
support of the Center for International Business Education and Research (CIBER) at UCLA Anderson. Timmons
thanks the UCLA International Institute for financial support. Any errors in this draft, however, are our own.
Brian Kelleher Richter (corresponding author), Assistant Professor of Business, Economics, and Public Policy,
Richard Ivey Business School, University of Western Ontario, 1151 Richmond Street North, London, ON N6A
3K7, Canada. Email: [email protected]. Jeffrey F. Timmons, Assistant Professor of Strategy, IE Business
School, IE University, Calle Alvarez de Baena 4,1, Madrid 28006, Spain. Email: [email protected]
Oxford Development Studies,Vol. 40, No. 2, 272–281, June 2012
Dow
nloa
ded
by [
Uni
vers
ity o
f C
onne
ctic
ut]
at 1
6:04
29
Oct
ober
201
4
that has largely beenoverlooked, despite its importance.We focus on the long run because this
is when institutions should matter, according to most of the literature, including AJR, who
specifically assert that “early institutions persisted to the present” (2000, p. 20), allowing them
to use measures of institutions from recent periods as proxies for the entire time horizon.1
Using AJR’s narrative and econometric framework as a guide, we estimate that if a
country could have improved its institutional quality by one standard deviation, it would
have added 0.4% to its average annual growth rate between 1820 and 1995. This number
may provide an insight into the question of why not every country adopts better
institutions: from the perspective of the average person, the annualized pay-off from
improving institutional quality appears relatively modest.
2. A Brief Reprise of Acemoglu, Johnson and Robinson
Although AJR’s theory and results are well known, we summarize them briefly before
proceeding to ourmodificationof their analysis. They argue that present-day income levels are
a function of postcolonial institutions. Specifically, they claim colonial powers established
institutions conducive to long-run growth when the cost of settlement was low, allowing
colonizers to transplant their people and rules en masse. When the costs of settlement were
high, by contrast, they set up rules that facilitated predation and resource extraction—in effect
institutions that were not conducive to long-run growth. This hypothesis justifiedAJR’s use of
settlermortality rates as an instrumental variable for present-day institutions.With a sample of
64 former colonies, they show the instrumented measure of institutions has a strong effect on
contemporaneous income levels across countries.
The specific equation AJR (2002) estimated to establish the causal role of institutions in
explaining levels of income today takes the form:
logðIncomeiÞ ¼ aþ bDi þ X0igþ 1i;
where Incomei represents per capita income today, Di is an instrumented measure of
institutions and Xi is a vector of other covariates.
AJR’s framework establishes causality, but it does not readily allow one to infer the amount
of growth caused by institutions, arguably a more relevant question to contemporary
policymakers. Moreover, such regressions are easily misinterpreted because time is embedded
into the equation. To take one example: Rodrik & Subramanian (2003, p. 32) wrote “ . . . if
Boliviawere somehow to acquire institutions of the quality ofKorea, its GDPwould be close to
$18,000, rather than its current level of $2,700”.This interpretation conflates income levelswith
growth rates—a common mistake. Endowing Bolivia with first-rate institutions today would
not instantly transform it from poor to rich. Instead, it would merely accelerate the growth rate.
3. Data
3.1 Constructing Long-run Average Growth Rates
The first piece of data needed for our regressions is a long-run average growth rate. An
average annual growth rate (in percentage terms) can be calculated using the formula:
g ¼ 100*Incomet
Incomet2h
� �1h
2100:
Why Not Adopt Better Institutions? 273
Dow
nloa
ded
by [
Uni
vers
ity o
f C
onne
ctic
ut]
at 1
6:04
29
Oct
ober
201
4
Assuming we have the basic inputs—per capita income levels today (Incomet), per capita
income levels at the beginning of the horizon period (Incomet2h), and the length of
a horizon over which growth compounds (h)—this equation can be used to compute long-
run average annual growth rates for any country. One barrier to using this measure is data
availability, as widely accepted historic levels of per capita income (Incomet2h) are scarce.
The most comprehensive source, Maddison (2003), lists only 27 countries in 1500, of
which only nine are in AJR’s sample.
We used Maddison’s data to calculate long-run average annual growth rates over the
periods 1500–1995 and 1820–1995 for all countries with estimates of initial income
levels. We chose these periods because they fit best with AJR’s (2002) time horizons.
They claim many modern-day institutions were established after the first European
colonies (approximately 1500), but did not trigger growth until the Industrial Revolution
(approximately 1820). To make the results comparable to AJR, we used 1995 as an
end date.
We also calculated a separate series of growth rates for all countries in AJR’s sample by
filling in missing data with the best available estimates. If Maddison did not provide
a specific income figure in 1500 we used $400 because it is the minimum and modal value.
For 1820, Maddison provides more country-level income estimates as well as regional
estimates for all countries; when the former weremissing, we used the latter. Consequently,
we may marginally over- or under-estimate growth rates for a few countries.2
All of the long-run growth rate data we constructed are available in Table A1 in the
Appendix. That table also includes the income levels we used from Maddison in
constructing those growth rates. Moreover, Table A1 includes all other data used in our
analysis.
3.2 Measuring Institutions
There is no consensus on how best to measure economic institutions. AJR (2002) used two
relatively broad and widely used metrics: Political Risk Services’ expropriation risks,
which proxies for the general security of property; and Polity IVs constraints on the
executive, which incorporates the independence of legislative and judicial branches of
government in its construction. Woodruff (2006) notes that an advantage of AJR’s (2002)
measures are that they incorporate both formal and informal institutional features, as they
factor in not only what the institutions represent on paper, but also how they work in
practice. Nevertheless, even AJR (2000) accept that their choice of variables for
institutions is not immune to criticism, as they could have focused instead on any number
of measures representing slightly different concepts. In an early working paper version of
their now famous work, they wrote there are “a variety of institutional guarantees,
including constraints on government expropriation, independent judiciary, property rights
enforcement, equal access to education, and respect for civil liberties, that are important to
encourage investment and growth” (Acemoglu et al., 2000, p. 3). They went on to test
some of these other measures before settling parsimoniously on expropriation risks as
a final measure because it relates to all of these other concepts and because it provides
strong statistical inferences.3
In this analysis, AJR’s (2002) measures were used for several reasons. First, we wanted
to remain consistent with AJR’s entire econometric framework in asking how much
institutions matter. Second, AJR’s measures are the benchmark in the literature, as they are
274 B. K. Richter & J. F. Timmons
Dow
nloa
ded
by [
Uni
vers
ity o
f C
onne
ctic
ut]
at 1
6:04
29
Oct
ober
201
4
the most widely used (Woodruff, 2006). Third, AJR’s measures have a far stronger causal
relationship with present income levels than many alternatives, including formal measures
of judicial independence (Acemoglu & Johnson, 2005; Acemoglu et al., 2011). In
summary, AJR picked the measures of institutions that should have the highest impact on
growth. Consequently, our estimates should be thought of as approaching the upper bound,
relative to any other measure of institutions.
4. Estimating the Impact of Institutions on Long-run Growth
We quantify the effect of institutions on long-run average growth rates using the same
regression framework that establishes causality, changing only the dependent variable,
from the log of the level of modern-day (1995) income to a long-run average growth rate.
Our estimate takes the form:
gi ¼ aþ bDi þ 1i;
where b should approximate the impact of a one-unit change in the institutions variable
over the time horizons suggested by AJR.4 Figure 1 provides scatter plots of AJR’s
original second-stage results and ours; our work mirrors theirs.
Table 1 shows AJR’s preferred instrumented measure of institutional quality (average
expropriation risk from 1985 to 1995) against long-run average annual growth rates for the
two time horizons.5 We do not show the first stages as they are identical to those in AJR’s
original paper.
The results, unsurprisingly, show that institutions play a causal role in determining long-
run average annual growth rates across countries.6 The coefficients estimated in
regressions with and without filled initial income values are hardly distinguishable,
suggesting that our method of filling in missing values does not bias any findings.7
6
7
8
9
10
11
4 5 6 7 8 9
AGO
ARG
AUS
BFABGD
BHS
BOL
BRA
CAN
CHL
CIV CMRCOG
COLCRI
DOMDZAECU
EGY
ETH
GAB
GHAGIN
GMB
GTM
GUY
HKG
HND
HTIIDNIND
JAM
KEN
LKA
MAR
MDG
MEX
MLI
MLT
MYS
NERNGA
NIC
NZL
PAK
PAN
PERPRY
SDNSEN
SGP
SLE
SLV
TGO
TTO
TUN
TZA
UGA
URY
USA
VEN
VNM
ZAF
ZAR
Institutions (Expropriation Risk), Instrumented Value
Log(
1995
Per
Cap
ita In
com
e)
Acemoglu Johnson and Robinson (2002) Regression
–0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
4 5 6 7 8 9
AGO
ARG
AUS
BFA
BGD
BHS
BOL
BRA
CAN
CHL
CIVCMR
COG
COLCRI
DOM
DZAECUEGY
ETH
GAB
GHA
GIN
GMB
GTM GUY
HKG
HND
HTI
IDN
IND
JAM
KEN
LKAMAR
MDG
MEX
MLI
MLT
MYS
NER
NGANIC
NZL
PAK
PAN
PERPRY
SDN
SEN
SGP
SLE
SLV
TGO
TTO
TUN
TZA
UGA
URY
USA
VEN
VNM
ZAF
ZAR
Institutions (Expropriation Risk), Instrumented Value
Ave
rage
Gro
wth
Rat
e, 1
820-
1995
, Fill
ed
Our Regression changing the Dependent Variable
Figure 1. Comparing Acemoglu, Johnson and Robinson’s regression with ours.
Why Not Adopt Better Institutions? 275
Dow
nloa
ded
by [
Uni
vers
ity o
f C
onne
ctic
ut]
at 1
6:04
29
Oct
ober
201
4
Table
1.Institutionsregressionwithlong-runaveragegrowth
ratesas
thedependentvariable
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)
(6)
Dependentvariable
Averagegrowth
rate,
1500–1995
Averagegrowth
rate,
1500–1995;n/a
obser-
vationsfor1500income
filled
usingminim
um
knownvalue($400)
Averagegrowth
rate,
1820–1995
Averagegrowth
rate,1820–
1995;n/a
observationsfor
1820incomefilled
using
regional
mean
Inst
itu
tio
ns(e
xp.
risk)
0.176**
0.209**
0.200*
0.424**
0.495**
0.541**
(0.043)
(0.022)
(0.028)
(0.086)
(0.073)
(0.109)
Co
nve
rgen
ceh
ypo
thes
isco
ntr
ols
log(1500
Inco
me,
Fil
led)
20.003*
(0.001)
log(1820
Inco
me,
Fil
led)
20.0004
(0.0006)
Constant
20.926**
20.988**
0.301
21.999**
22.332**
22.387**
(0.262)
(0.142)
(0.473)
(0.676)
(0.479)
(0.539)
Noofobsaervations
964
64
19
64
64
No
tes:
Theseregressionsreplicatetheresultsin
tableVIII,column2,panelCofAcemoglu
eta
l.(2002),butchangethedependentvariablefrom
thelogofincome
levelsin1995tolong-runaveragegrowth
rates.Thefirst-stageregressionisnotshownbecause
itisthesameas
intheoriginalpaper.T
heinstitutionsvariable
inthisregressionisaverageexpropriationrisk
from
1985to
1995;itsoriginalsourceisPoliticalRiskServices.Long-runaveragegrowth
ratesarecalculated
asdescribed
inthetextbased
onMaddison(2003).Allother
datacomefrom
Albouy(forthcoming)andwereprovided
tohim
byAcemoglu
eta
l.*Signficant
atthe5%
level;**significantat
the1%
level. **significantat
the1%
level.
276 B. K. Richter & J. F. Timmons
Dow
nloa
ded
by [
Uni
vers
ity o
f C
onne
ctic
ut]
at 1
6:04
29
Oct
ober
201
4
5. Interpretation and Implications
To facilitate interpretation of the coefficient for institutions from Table 1, Table 2 presents
three scenarios: improving institutions by one standard deviation, from the median to the
best, and in the extreme case from the worst to the best. Under all of the scenarios, the
impact of institutions on long-run average annual growth rates is larger over the 1820–
1995 horizon than over the 1500–1995 horizon, consistent with AJR’s argument that
institutions mattered more following the Industrial Revolution.8
Whether institutions’ impact is large or small depends on the benchmark used to
evaluate their effect. If it were “free money on the sidewalk”, every country would have
wanted to pick up the 1.95% gain in average annual growth rates by moving from worst to
best; however, only one country had the worst institutions. Most countries could have
made only modest gains in their institutional quality: a one standard deviation
improvement would have yielded a 0.42% increase in its growth rate. This number implies
that improved institutional quality would have had a hardly perceptible impact on the
common person—insufficient to double their income by the end of their lifetime. The
bottom row of each scenario in Table 2 shows the number of years it would take improved
Table 2. Impact of institutions on long-run growth rates
Dependent variablein regression
Average growth rate,1500–1995;n/a observations for 1500
income filled using minimumknown value ($400)
Average growth rate,1820–1995; n/a observationsfor 1820 income filled using
regional mean
Regression coefficient (fromTable 1)
0.209 0.495
Impact of improving institutions by one standard deviation on growthOne standard deviation ofunderlying data
0.85 0.85
Predicted impact 0.177% 0.418%Years needed for institutionaleffects to double incomes
174 117
Impact of improving institutions from the median to the best on growthValue of best institutions 8.73 8.73Value of median institutions 6.36 6.36Predicted impact 0.495% 1.173%Years needed for institutionaleffects to double incomes
107 63
Impact of improving institutions from theworst to best on growthValue of best institutions 8.73 8.73Value of worst institutions 4.79 4.79Predicted impact 0.823% 1.950%Years needed for institutionaleffects to double incomes
79 43
Notes: “Predicted impact” is calculated by multiplying the regression coefficient by the improvement ininstitutional quality in the scenario. “Years needed for institutional effects to double incomes” iscalculated assuming that a country would grow at a 1% rate regardless of the improvement ininstitutional quality by solving for n in the equation: 2 ¼ (1.01 þ impact of institutions)n 2 (1.01)n.The mean average annual growth rate for 1820–1995 was 0.9% and the mean for 1500–1995was 0.4%.
Why Not Adopt Better Institutions? 277
Dow
nloa
ded
by [
Uni
vers
ity o
f C
onne
ctic
ut]
at 1
6:04
29
Oct
ober
201
4
institutional quality to double incomes under a conservative scenario: these values range
from 43 to 174 years.9
In other words, if AJR’s narrative were true, differences in income levels today that
stem from institutional divergence many years ago represent the power of compounding
small differences in growth rates over long time horizons as much as the potency of the
institutions themselves. From a political economy perspective, it is possible that heads of
state with the weakest institutions might have preferred the private benefits of
expropriation (or lack of constraints) over the (small) risk of regime change prompted by
citizens’ unlikely collective outrage over the nearly imperceptible consequences of living
with second-rate institutions (Olson, 1996). Put succinctly, better institutions cause more
growth, but perhaps not enough to compel countries to adopt them.
Notes
1 Jones & Olken (2008) also found, for example, that institutional change is not correlated with
extraordinary up or down movements in growth over shorter intervals.2 Errors in initial income levels are insignificant over long time horizons (calculations available).3 When we attempted to extend the AJR framework and use the AJR instrument on two alternative
measures of institutions, namely “independence of courts” as a formal institution and “trust” as an
informal institution, we found that the first-stage regression failed to confirm that the instrument was
viable when applied to measures of institutions other than AJR’s.4 As a specification check, we also estimated regressions including the initial income levels as a control
for convergence. The results appear in Table 1, columns 3 and 6, respectively.5 We obtain very similar results using AJR’s alternative institutions measure: constraints on the executive
in 1990 (results available).6 These findings (and AJR’s) are subject to the McArthur & Sachs’s (2001) caveat: simple cross-country
regressions capture only some elements of the growth process observable across countries, and none of
the elements within countries, including context-specific conditioning factors.7 Any bias appears to make the coefficients larger, rather than smaller.8 While the greater impact of institutions following the Industrial Revolution is a mechanical result of
rescaling the dependent variable, it also suggests that institutional quality may matter more in absolute
terms in periods of higher growth.9 These values were calculated under the assumption that baseline growth rates were 1% annually by
solving for n in the equation 2 ¼ (1.01 þ impact of institutions)n 2 (1.01)n. These estimates are
conservative because the mean average annual growth rate for 1820–1995 was 0.9% and the mean for
1500–1995 was 0.4%. With a baseline growth rate of 0%, doubling times range from 57 to 623 years.
References
Acemoglu, D. & Johnson, S. (2005) Unbundling institutions, Journal of Political Economy, 113(5), pp. 949–995.
Acemoglu, D., Johnson, S. & Robinson, J. A. (2000) The Colonial Origins of Comparative Development:
An Empirical Investigation, NBER Working Paper 7771.
Acemoglu, D., Johnson, S. & Robinson, J. A. (2001) The colonial origins of comparative development: an
empirical investigation, American Economic Review, XCI, pp. 1369–1401.
Acemoglu, D., Johnson, S. & Robinson, J. A. (2002) Reversal of fortune: geography and institutions in the
making of the modern world income distribution, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 117(4), pp. 1231–1294.
Acemoglu, D., Johnson, S. & Robinson, J. A. (2005) Institutions as a fundamental cause of long-run growth, in:
P. Aghion & S. N. Durlauf (Eds) Handbook of Economic Growth, Vol. 1A (Amsterdam: Elsevier BV),
chapter 6.
Acemoglu, D., Johnson, S. & Robinson, J. A. (2011) Hither Thou Shalt Come, But No Further: Reply to
“The Colonial Origins of Comparative Development: An Empirical Investigation: Comment”, NBER
Working Paper 16966.
278 B. K. Richter & J. F. Timmons
Dow
nloa
ded
by [
Uni
vers
ity o
f C
onne
ctic
ut]
at 1
6:04
29
Oct
ober
201
4
Albouy, D. Y. (forthcoming) The colonial origins of comparative development: an empirical investigation:
comment, American Economic Review, available at: http://www-personal.umich.edu/,albouy/AJRr
einvestigation/ajrcomment.dta (accessed 3 July 2008).
Glaeser, E., LaPorta, R., Lopes-de-Silanes, F. & Shleifer, A. (2004) Do institutions cause growth? Journal of
Economic Growth, 9(3), pp. 271–303.
Jones, B. & Olken, B. (2008) The anatomy of start–stop growth, The Review of Economics and Statistics, 90(3),
pp. 582–587.
Keynes, J. M. (1923) A Tract on Monetary Reform (London: Macmillan).
Maddison, A. (2003) The World Economy, Vol. 2: Historical Statistics (Paris: Organization of Economic
Development and Cooperation).
McArthur, J. W. & Sachs, J. D. (2001) Comment on Acemoglu, Johnson, and Robinson, NBER (Cambridge,
MA), Working Paper No. 8114.
North, D. C. (1990) Institutions, Institutional Change and Economic Performance (Cambridge: Cambridge
University Press).
Olson, M. (1996) Big bills left on the sidewalk: why some nations are rich, and others poor, Journal of Economic
Perspectives, 10(2), pp. 3–24.
Rodrik, D. & Subramanian, A. (2003) The primacy of institutions (and what this does and does not mean),
Finance & Development, 40(2), pp. 31–34.
Woodruff, C. (2006) Measuring institutions, in: S. Susan Rose-Ackerman (Ed.) International Handbook on the
Economics of Corruption (Northampton, MA: Edward Elgar), chapter 3.
Appendix 1. Data
The data we used in our analysis are provided here, so that our work can be replicated. Of
particular note, Table A1 shows the values we constructed for long-run average growth
rates and the income levels we used from Maddison (2003). All of the other data come
from the sources stated above and are readily downloadable.
Why Not Adopt Better Institutions? 279
Dow
nloa
ded
by [
Uni
vers
ity o
f C
onne
ctic
ut]
at 1
6:04
29
Oct
ober
201
4
Table
A1.Datausedin
analysis
Observation
Long-runGrowth
Rates,
based
onMaddison
(DependentVariables)
AJR
’sMeasuresof
Institutions(K
eyIndependent
Variable)
Instrumentsfor
1stStageRegressions
Convergence
Hypothesis
ControlVariables
Other
Data
forGrowth
Construction
Countr
yA
bbr.
Ave
rage
Gro
wth
Ra
ge,
1500
–19950
Ave
rage
Gro
wth
Rage,
1500
–1995;
n/a
obse
rvati
ons
for
1500
Inco
me
fill
edu
sin
gM
inim
um
know
Valu
e
Ave
rage
Rage,
1820
–1995
Ave
rage
Gro
wth
Rage,
1820
–1995;
n/a
obse
rvati
ons
for
1820
Inco
me
fill
edusi
ng
Reg
ional
Mea
n
Exp
ropri
ati
on
Ris
k(P
rim
ary
)
Const
rain
tson
the
Exe
cuti
ve(A
lter
nati
ve)
log
of
Set
tler
Mort
ali
tyR
ate
s
Popula
tion
Den
sity
in1
50
0
Inco
me
leve
lsin
15
00
;n/a
obse
rvati
ons
for
1500
Inco
me
fill
edusi
ng
Min
imum
know
Valu
e
Inco
me
leve
lsin
1820;
n/a
obse
rvati
ons
for
1820
Inco
me
fill
edusi
ng
Reg
ional
Mea
n
Inco
me
leve
lsin
1995
Algeria
DZA
0.381
1.040
1.040
6.50
24.36
7.00
400.00
430.27
2632.31
Angola
AGO
0.094
0.238
5.36
35.63
1.50
400.00
419.76
635.81
Argentina
ARG
0.607
1.391
6.39
64.23
0.11
400.00
713.20
8004.66
Australia
AUS
0.779
0.779
2.067
2.067
9.32
72.15
0.03
400.00
517.96
18601.61
Baham
as,The
BHS
0.522
1.215
7.50
4.44
1.46
400.00
635.79
5260.67
Bangladesh
BGD
0.122
0.133
5.14
24.27
23.70
400.00
581.02
732.53
Bolivia
BOL
0.363
0.762
5.64
74.26
0.83
400.00
635.79
2400.16
Brazil
BRA
0.523
0.523
1.209
1.209
7.91
74.26
0.12
400.00
646.11
5295.79
Burkina
Faso
BFA
0.128
0.335
4.45
15.63
4.23
400.00
419.76
754.02
Cam
eroon
CMR
0.183
0.490
6.45
25.63
1.50
400.00
419.76
987.62
Canada
CAN
0.786
0.786
1.764
1.764
9.73
72.78
0.02
400.00
904.41
19293.26
Chile
CHL
0.622
1.434
7.82
74.23
0.80
400.00
713.20
8612.47
Colombia
COL
0.528
1.165
7.32
64.26
0.96
400.00
713.20
5417.92
Congo,Dem
.Rep.
ZAR
20.059
20.193
3.50
15.48
1.50
400.00
419.76
299.13
Congo,Rep.
COG
0.343
0.945
4.68
25.48
1.50
400.00
419.76
2177.37
CostaRica
CRI
0.521
1.213
7.05
74.36
1.54
400.00
635.79
5242.35
Cote
d’Ivoire
CIV
0.232
0.630
7.00
26.50
4.23
400.00
419.76
1258.82
Dominican
Republic
DOM
0.387
0.830
6.18
64.87
1.46
400.00
635.79
2702.79
Ecuador
ECU
0.473
1.074
6.55
74.26
2.17
400.00
635.79
4126.00
Egypt,Arab
Rep.
EGY
0.336
0.336
0.953
0.953
6.77
34.22
100.46
475.00
474.96
2496.22
ElSalvador
SLV
0.376
0.800
5.00
4.36
1.54
400.00
635.79
2563.56
Ethiopia
ETH
0.064
0.155
5.73
23.26
6.67
400.00
419.76
550.27
Gabon
GAB
0.504
1.404
7.82
25.63
1.50
400.00
419.76
4811.36
Gam
bia,The
GMB
0.145
0.382
8.27
77.29
4.23
400.00
419.76
817.70
Ghana
GHA
0.212
0.574
6.27
16.50
4.23
400.00
419.76
1143.62
Guatem
ala
GTM
0.423
0.933
5.14
44.26
1.54
400.00
635.79
3228.53
280 B. K. Richter & J. F. Timmons
Dow
nloa
ded
by [
Uni
vers
ity o
f C
onne
ctic
ut]
at 1
6:04
29
Oct
ober
201
4
Guinea
GIN
0.053
0.123
6.55
16.18
4.23
400.00
419.76
520.58
Guyana
GUY
0.428
0.947
5.89
43.47
0.21
400.00
635.79
3309.63
Haiti
HTI
0.134
0.115
3.73
14.87
1.32
400.00
635.79
776.88
Honduras
HND
0.319
0.638
5.32
54.36
1.54
400.00
635.79
1935.48
HongKong,
China
HKG
0.801
2.030
2.030
8.14
2.70
0.09
400.00
615.00
20725.57
India
IND
0.208
0.208
0.607
0.607
8.27
73.88
23.70
550.00
533.10
1537.89
Indonesia
IDN
0.430
0.976
0.976
7.59
25.14
4.28
400.00
611.93
3347.78
Jamaica
JAM
0.453
0.964
0.964
7.09
74.87
4.62
400.00
700.75
3753.41
Kenya
KEN
0.191
0.514
6.05
34.98
2.64
400.00
419.76
1028.81
Madagascar
MDG
0.107
0.276
4.45
36.28
1.20
400.00
419.76
679.82
Malaysia
MYS
0.579
1.408
1.408
7.95
72.87
1.22
400.00
602.79
6965.44
Mali
MLI
0.130
0.339
4.00
17.99
1.00
400.00
419.76
759.17
Malta
MLT
0.750
2.107
7.23
2.79
62.50
400.00
419.76
16145.32
Mexico
MEX
0.537
0.537
1.191
1.191
7.50
34.26
2.62
425.07
759.07
6026.96
Morocco
MAR
0.366
0.366
0.998
0.998
7.09
24.36
9.08
400.00
429.90
2445.93
New
Zealand
NZL
0.735
0.735
2.094
2.094
9.73
72.15
0.37
400.00
400.00
15030.61
Nicaragua
NIC
0.246
0.430
5.23
35.10
1.54
400.00
635.79
1348.03
Niger
NER
0.047
0.105
5.00
35.99
1.00
400.00
419.76
504.33
Nigeria
NGA
0.211
0.570
5.55
17.60
4.23
400.00
419.76
1134.46
Pakistan
PAK
0.308
0.658
6.05
33.61
23.70
400.00
581.02
1830.48
Panam
aPAN
0.525
1.223
5.91
75.10
1.54
400.00
635.79
5333.44
Paraguay
PRY
0.429
0.951
6.95
54.36
0.50
400.00
635.79
3330.70
Peru
PER
0.439
0.914
5.77
74.26
1.56
400.00
713.20
3505.07
Senegal
SEN
0.233
0.634
6.00
35.10
4.23
400.00
419.76
1268.12
SierraLeone
SLE
0.126
0.329
5.82
36.18
4.23
400.00
419.76
745.97
Singapore
SGP
0.785
1.987
1.987
9.32
32.87
0.09
400.00
615.00
19224.80
South
Africa
ZAF
0.457
1.277
1.277
6.86
72.74
0.49
400.00
414.84
3824.11
SriLanka
LKA
0.408
1.038
1.038
6.05
54.25
15.47
400.00
492.17
2996.68
Sudan
SDN
0.137
0.360
4.00
14.48
14.03
400.00
419.76
787.21
Tanzania
TZA
0.047
0.106
6.64
34.98
1.98
400.00
419.76
504.92
Togo
TGO
0.102
0.262
6.91
16.50
4.23
400.00
419.76
663.76
Trinidad
and
Tobago
TTO
0.662
1.615
7.45
74.44
1.46
400.00
635.79
10502.70
Tunisia
TUN
0.450
1.237
1.237
6.45
34.14
11.70
400.00
429.71
3692.45
Uganda
UGA
0.104
0.268
4.45
35.63
7.51
400.00
419.76
670.53
United
States
USA
0.835
0.835
1.711
1.711
10.00
72.71
0.09
400.00
1257.19
24483.91
Uruguay
URY
0.590
1.343
7.00
34.26
0.11
400.00
713.20
7365.43
Venezuela,
RB
VEN
0.630
1.456
7.14
34.36
0.44
400.00
713.20
8950.26
Vietnam
VNM
0.253
0.558
0.558
6.41
34.94
6.14
400.00
527.10
1396.61
Why Not Adopt Better Institutions? 281
Dow
nloa
ded
by [
Uni
vers
ity o
f C
onne
ctic
ut]
at 1
6:04
29
Oct
ober
201
4