why acs?...11 5. successful transformation process completed 5.872 3.880 2.751 1.587 2.293 457 964...
TRANSCRIPT
January 10th, 2017
WHY ACS?
Building the world of tomorrow
7th Spain Investors Day
2
Why ACS is an attractive investment?
1. A global leading contractor
2. Highly diversified in terms of activities and geographies
3. Resilient operating performance
4. Sustainable growth potential
5. Successful transformation process completed
6. Trading at reasonable prices
ACS18%
Fluor14%
Skanska9%
BECHTEL9%
Tutor Perini7%
Balfour Beatty6%
Bouygues5%
Jacobs4%
Lendlease 4%
Obayashi3%
Others21%
Shimizu17%
Taisei16%
Obayashi16%
ACS14%
Hyundai13%
BECHTEL13%
Bouygues3%
Vinci3%
Others5%
3
1. A global leading contractor…
1st
Source: ENR, bloomberg, companies’ reports, internal analysis
US & Canada market share(1)
ASIA PACIFIC* market share(1)
Chinese companies excluded
(1) Market share: from total revenues of top contractors in the region
US & CAN total construction output $ 891br → top contractors revenues represent 8%
TOP 1 INTERNATIONAL CONTRACTOR
4
46%14.6 €bn
38%
3%
5%
R 4%
13%
8%
R
North America
South America
6%1.8 €bn
1%
1%
22%6.8 €bn
Europe Asia Pacific
25%7.9 €bn
Africa
1%0.3 €bn
6%
2%
1%
1%
LTM sales as of Sep 16
15%
NOTE: Sales distribution excluding recent disposals of Urbaser & Sintax
2. Highly diversified in terms of activities and geographies
5%
11%
9%5%
32%
38%
5
2. Highly diversified in terms of activities and geographies
9M16 Sales.
Building
Contract mining
Civil Works
EPC
Facility management
Support Services
Construction 75%
Industrial Services 20%
Environment 5%
NOTE: Sales distribution excluding recent disposals of Urbaser & Sintax
6
3. Resilient operating performance
2,040 2,110
EBITDA* and margin evolution (€mn)
2014
EBIT* and margin evolution (€mn)
* Excluding the contribution of Urbaser and renewables assets
2,039
6.2%6.3%
6.5%
EBITDA
EBITDA margin
2015 2016LTM
1,3131,390
2014
1,429
EBIT
EBIT margin
2015 2016LTM
4.0%
4.2%
4.5%
Improved margins across activities…
…with a sustainable trend for the future
7
4. Sustainable growth potential…
56,975
62,138
9M15 9M16
+9.1%
+14.6%
+6.7%
Robust backlog growing across regions… …and activities
47,21751,801
+9.7%
8,151 +5.4%
+8.7% 1,748
8,590
9M15 9M16
9M15 9M16
USA30%
Australia21%
Spain 10%
Canadá 5%
Germany 4%
Mexico 3%
Others 27%
Backlog bycountry
Industrial Services
TOTAL BACKLOG
1,608
Facility management
83%
3% 14%
Construction
Asia Pacific
North America
Domestic
8
4. Sustainable growth potential
Leading position in the US market
100km of high speed railway, California
€ 811 mn
Backlog
18.3€bn
Sales*
12.0€bn
*LTM
Chesapeake Bay Bridge-Tunnel, Virginia
€ 678 mn
Harbor Bridge replacement project, Corpus Christi, Texas
€ 363 mn
Long Island Rail Road (LlRR) Grand Central Terminal, New York
€ 346 mn
Union Terminal Renov. & Rehabilitation, MuseumCenter, Cincinnati, Ohio
€ 136 mn
C-470 Tolled Highway, Express Lanes, Segment 1, Denver, Colorado
€ 128 mn
Naval Academy's Center for Cyber Security Studies, Maryland
€ 103 mn
Sand Lake Road (SR 482), Orlando, Florida
€ 68 mn
Prince George s Community College in Largo, Maryland
€ 62 mn
+9%
+23%
+7%
YoY Sales growth (%)
2014 2015 2016 LTM
+19%
+18%
YoY Backlog growth (%)
2014 2015 2016LTM
+21%
TOP US Construction
Group in terms of revenuesI-10 and SR 303L Estrella
Freeway, Arizona
€ 59 mn
University of Michigan Clinical Pathology, Michigan
€ 56 mn
UC Davis North Addition, office building, Sacramento, California
€ 54 mn
Throgs Neck Bridge, New York
€ 44 mn
9
5. Successful transformation process completed
CIMIC HOT America
HOT Europe
Risk management and system deployment
Structure rationalization
B/S quality improvement and sale of non core assets
Management and strategy changes
Overheads cuts
Business reorganization
Increased operating efficiencyCash generation focus
10
5. Successful transformation process completed
Cost overruns reduction
D&A reduction thanks to lesser
capital intensity
EBIT HOCHTIEF FCF HOCHTIEF
2012
(321)
2013 2014 2015 2016LTM
(316)
322
985 978
349496
6891.4%
1.9%
2.5%
3.3%
542
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016LTM
733
3.8%
Increased operating efficiency
WC capital management discipline
CAPEX reduction
Cash generation focus
11
5. Successful transformation process completed
5.872
3.880 2.751
1.587
2.293
457
964
222
sep.-14 sep.-15 sep.-16 sep.-16 PF
Deuda Neta Deuda ligada a Activos Mantenidos para la Venta
2,5x
1,6x
1,4x
0,8x
Deuda Neta / EBITDA
Swift de-gearing process backed by strong cash generation from…
Net Debt Assets Held For Sale Debt
AHS debt include €742mn from Urbaser
5.43%
4.53%
Implicit cost of debt
-24%
958
2014 2015
Urbaser
1,036
LTM 2016
776
699532
606
3.74%*
-44%
* Ex Urbaser, annualized
…allowing a reduction of the implicit cost of debt through restructuring and refinancing efforts
Total Group indebtedness evolution
Gross financial expenses evolution
Net Debt / EBITDA
Proforma Net Debt after Urbaserdeal closing
Operating activities
Rotational assets
Sale of non core assets
12
5. Successful transformation process completed
Capital intensity reduction as
part of transformation process…
Deseasonalized Operating Working Capital variation (€mn)
2013 2014 2015 2016LTM
(873)
(571)
625387*Urbaser
327
Disciplined Working Capital management as part of transformation process
CAPEX Evolution (€mn)
2013 2014 2015
941
611
229*336
*Ex Urbaser
2016LTM*Ex Urbaser
-76%-32%
…enhanced by Urbaser sale
Risk management control system across the group
34,5x
20,1x
17,3x
14,9x
12,8x
0,0x 10,0x 20,0x 30,0x 40,0x 50,0x 60,0x
CELLNEX TELECOM
ACERINOX
FERROVIAL SA
INDITEX
MELIA HOTELS INT
AMADEUS IT GROUP
GRIFOLS SA
INDRA SISTEMAS
MEDIASET ESPANA
GAMESA
ACCIONA SA
AENA SA
VISCOFAN
MERLIN PROPERTIE
ABERTIS
BANKINTER
TECNICAS REUNIDA
ENDESA
ARCELORMITTAL
RED ELECTRICA
IBERDROLA SA
CAIXABANK S.A
TELEFONICA
ENAGAS SA
GAS NATURAL SDG
ACS
BANKIA SA
REPSOL SA
DISTRIBUIDORA IN
MAPFRE SA
BANCO SANTANDER
BBVA
BANCO SABADELL
INTL CONS AIRLIN
PER 16E
13
6. Trading at reasonable pricesPrice to Earnings (16E) ratio IBEX 35
PER high (> 17x)
PER average (13 - 17x)
PER low (<13x)
Within the lowest percentile of IBEX 35
Lowest PE of Group peers
Source: Bloomberg
0x 2x 4x 6x 8x 10x 12x 14x
2016
2015
Price/FCF (LTM)
WW Peer group* ex ACS & China ACS
0,0x 0,2x 0,4x 0,6x 0,8x 1,0x
2016
2015
Price/sales (LTM)
WW Peer group* ex ACS & China ACS
0x 5x 10x 15x 20x 25x
2016
2015
LTM PE ratio
WW Peer group* ex ACS & China ACS
0x 5x 10x 15x 20x
2016
2015
EV/EBITDA (LTM)
WW Peer group* ex ACS & China ACS
14
Price & valuation ratios vs worldwide peer Group
*Balfour Beatty PLC, Bouygues SA, Eiffage SA , Ferrovial SA, Fluor Corp, FCC SA, HOCHTIEF AG, Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co Ltd, Jacobs Engineering Group Inc, Boskalis Westminster, OHL SA, Orascom Construction Industries, Sacyr SA, Salini Impregilo SpA, Skanska AB, SNC-Lavalin Group Inc, Strabag SE, Vinci SA, Metallurgical Corp
Source: Bloomberg (BI)
6. Trading at reasonable prices
0x
5x
10x
15x
20x
25x
30x
35x
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
15
EV to EBITDA ratio (LHS) vs Gearing (RHS) evolution
ACS
WW peer Group* weighted index
6.9x
17.3x
*EIFFAGE, CHINA STATE CONST, BOUYGUES, FCC, VINCI, BOSKALI W, SACYR, SALINI IMPREGILO, HYUNDAI E&C, SKANSKA, FLUOR, SNC-LAVALIN, HOCHTIEF, BALFOUR BEATTY PLC, STRABAG, FERROVIAL, OHL, JACOBS ENGINEERING, METALLURGICAL CHINA
6. Trading at reasonable prices
7,3x
5,6x
2,6x2,4x 2,4x
1,3x
0,8x
Total Net Debt / EBITDA
2x
4x
5x
6x
3x
1x
7x
0x
5x
10x
15x
20x
25x
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
16
Price to Earnings (Trail LTM) ratio evolution
ACS
12.8x
20.4x
WW peer Group* weighted index
*EIFFAGE, CHINA STATE CONST, BOUYGUES, FCC, VINCI, BOSKALI W, SACYR, SALINI IMPREGILO, HYUNDAI E&C, SKANSKA, FLUOR, SNC-LAVALIN, HOCHTIEF, BALFOUR BEATTY PLC, STRABAG, FERROVIAL, OHL, JACOBS ENGINEERING, METALLURGICAL CHINA
Source: Bloomberg (BI)
6. Trading at reasonable prices
17
ACS market & target price evolution
Source: Bloomberg consensus
€ 30.0
€ 33.5
6. Trading at reasonable prices with attractive intrinsic value
12% Upside
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
Jan-10 Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14 Jul-14 Jan-15 Jul-15 Jan-16 Jul-16
PX_LAST BEST_TARGET_PRICE
Dec-16
18
Conclusions
1. Excellent competitive position worldwide
2. Solid financial fundamentals
3. Multiple growth opportunities
4. Attractive share price
4. ANÁLISIS COMPARATIVO SERVICIOS INDUSTRIALES
19
España 33%
México 24%Arabia Saudita 7%
Perú 6%
Brasil 3%Portugal 3%
Chile 2%Estados Unidos 2%
Rep. Dominicana 2%
Resto 18%
América del Norte26%
América del Sur21%
Europa40%
Asia Pacífico10%
África2%
VENTAS por países y regiones
CARTERA por regiones
VENTAS por actividades
Servicios Industriales Desglose por actividades
Millones de Euros 2014 2015 Var.
Mantenimiento Industrial 3.471 3.759 +8,3%
Redes 661 738 +11,7%
Instalaciones Especializadas 1.965 2.163 +10,0%
Sistemas de Control 845 859 +1,7%
Proyectos Integrados 2.923 2.691 -7,9%
Energía Renovable: Generación 406 113 -72,1%Eliminaciones de Consolidación (50) (63)
TOTAL 6.750 6.501 -3,7%
Total Internacional 4.284 4.335 +1,2%
% sobre el total de ventas 63,5% 66,7%
Servicios Industriales Cartera por Áreas Geográficas
Millones de Euros dic-14 dic.-15 Var.
España 1.937 2.026 +4,6%
Resto de Europa 370 350 -5,4%
América 3.626 3.551 -2,1%
Asia Pacífico 1.247 1.659 +33,1%
África 842 836 -0,8%
TOTAL 8.021 8.421 +5,0%