who controls the flow? sharing flow fairly at the confluence of regional water and energy governance
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Mekong Forum on Water, Food and Energy. 2012. Presentation from Session 7: Dams, Livelihoods and FlowsTRANSCRIPT
Who Controls the Flow? Sharing Flow Fairly at the Confluence of Regional Water and Energy Governance
Carl MiddletonMA in International Development Studies Program,Chulalongkorn University
Basin Development Plan and its Planning Scenarios
Foreseeable Future Scenario (2030): Includes irrigation expansion (1.6 million hectares), water supply demands, and an additional 30 tributary dams (beyond definite future scenario (DFS) until 2015)
* Additional Net Present Value of US$ 8 billion compared to the DFS* Additional 650,000 jobs (hydropower, irrigation, and fisheries)* 10% reduction in capture fisheries* Impact on 5 environmental hotspots * Negatively affect 1.4 million people
Who Controls the Flow?: The Government
Regional Powertrade Masterplan (ADB) MRC Biomonitoring stations
Who Controls the Flow?: The Market
“Ch Karnchang, Thailand's second-biggest building contractor, has a 57 percent share in the project, …. Shares in Ch Karnchang rose 5.7 percent on Monday to 9.3 baht, their highest since January 2011, and climbed another 2.7 percent on Tuesday at one point before ending down 0.5 percent.” (Reuters, 7.11.12) http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/11/07/us-laos-dam-idUSBR
E8A610K20121107
Source: EIA. 2007. World’s Net Electricity Consumption. Table 62. http://www.eia.doe.gov/iea/elec.html
Mekong Electricity Consumption by Country
0.00
20.00
40.00
60.00
80.00
100.00
120.00
140.00
Year
Bill
ion
Kilo
wat
t-hou
rs
Cambodia Laos Thailand Vietnam Myanmar
Who Controls the Flow?: The Market
Thailand’s current fuel mix
Who Controls the Flow?: The People
Sharing Fairly At the Confluence of Regional Water and Energy Governance
“Floods and droughts … both impose large economic and social costs on the people of the basin but the economic benefits of floods far out-weigh their costs. The average annual cost of flooding in the Lower Mekong Basin [LMB] is US$60–70 million a year, while the average annual value of flood benefits is US$8–10 billion a year – i.e. some 100 times greater” MRC State of the Basin Report, 2010
EGAT prepared Power
Development Plan
Thai civil society prepared Power
Development Plan