What We Face

Working Group Meetingof the Exploratory Project on Human Services and Social ChangePrepared byGary D. BassOMB Watch1742 Connecticut Ave., NWWashington, D.C. 20009(202) 234-8494http://www.ombwatch.org

The Budget & Tax Picture TodayWeve got plenty of money in Washington, D.C., by the way.President Bush in Louisville, KYFebruary 26, 2004The tension is money. Theres not enough money.Sen. Ted Stevens (R-AK), Chair Appropriations CommitteeMarch 3, 2004---------------------------------

(Deficit excluding Social Security as % of GDP)SurplusDeficit1983-6.0%2004-5.9%

Chart2

1.2

4.1

-0.3

-1.7

1.3

-1

-2.2

-0.7

-1

0.6

0.6

-0.7

-2.5

0.1

-0.7

-1

-0.7

-1

-0.2

-0.4

-1.6

-3.2

-0.1

-0.9

-2.4

-2.2

-1.2

-0.6

-3.5

-4.1

-2.5

-2.5

-1.5

-2.7

-2.4

-3.7

-6

-4.8

-5.4

-5.4

-3.6

-3.9

-3.8

-4.8

-5.4

-5.5

-4.6

-3.7

-3.1

-2.3

-1.3

-0.3

0.05

0.9

-0.3

-3.1

-5

-5.9

On-Budget Deficit

% of GDP

Deficit as % of Economy Hits 2nd Highest Level Since End of World War II

Sheet1

DeficitsOn-BudgetRevenueOutlays

DeficitTotalIncome TaxTotalOn-budget

19300.83.4

19310.64.3

19324.06.9

19334.58

19345.910.7

19354.09.2

19365.510.5

19372.56.6

19380.17.7

19393.210.3

19403.06.8

19414.37.6

194214.210.15.624.424.3

194330.313.38.943.643.6

194422.820.916.543.743.6

194521.520.415.541.941.8

19467.217.612.524.824.7

19471.71.216.511.314.714.6

19484.64.116.211.311.611.5

19490.2-0.314.59.814.314.1

19501.1-1.714.49.615.615.4

19511.91.316.111.114.213.8

19520.4-1.01914.119.418.9

19531.7-2.218.613.720.419.8

19540.3-0.718.413.418.718

19550.8-1.016.611.817.316.3

19560.90.617.412.416.515.4

19570.80.617.712.61715.7

19580.6-0.717.311.917.916.2

19592.6-2.516.11118.716.9

19600.10.117.811.917.815.7

19610.6-0.717.711.718.416.2

19621.3-1.017.511.618.816.4

19630.8-0.717.811.518.616.1

19640.9-1.017.611.318.516

19650.2-0.21710.817.214.8

19660.5-0.417.311.417.815.2

19671.1-1.618.311.819.416.8

19682.9-3.217.611.220.517.9

19690.3-0.119.713.119.316.7

19700.3-0.91912.119.316.6

19712.1-2.417.310.519.416.4

19722.0-2.217.510.719.516.4

19731.1-1.217.610.718.815.3

19740.4-0.618.310.918.715.1

19753.4-3.517.910.421.317.4

19764.2-4.117.21021.417.4

19772.7-2.51810.820.816.7

19782.7-2.51810.920.716.6

19791.6-1.518.511.320.116.1

19802.7-2.718.911.321.617.4

19812.6-2.419.611.322.217.7

19824.0-3.719.110.723.118.4

19836.0-6.017.59.523.519.2

19844.8-4.817.49.322.217.9

19855.1-5.417.79.622.918.6

19865.0-5.417.59.322.518.3

19873.2-3.618.410.221.617.4

19883.1-3.918.19.921.217.2

19892.8-3.818.310.121.217.3

19903.9-4.8189.721.817.9

19914.5-5.417.89.622.318.3

19924.7-5.517.59.322.218.2

19933.9-4.617.69.621.517.4

19942.9-3.718.19.821.117

19952.2-3.118.510.220.716.8

19961.4-2.318.910.720.316.4

19970.3-1.319.311.219.615.8

19980.8-0.319.911.819.115.4

19991.40.052011.618.615.1

20002.40.920.812.418.415

20011.3-0.319.911.418.615.1

20021.5-3.117.99.719.416

2003-3.5-516.58.519.916.6

2004-4.5-5.915.78.220.216.9

2005-3.0-4.516.99.219.916.6

2006-2.1-3.717.49.619.616.4

2007-1.8-3.517.79.819.516.4

2008-1.7-3.517.89.919.516.5

1980-200021.317.2714285714

2001-200419.516.15

Sheet1

On-Budget Deficit

% of GDP

Deficit as % of Economy Hits 2nd Highest Level Since End of World War II

Sheet2

Revenue

% of GDP

Revenue as % of Economy isLowest Level Since 1950

Sheet3

Income Tax

% of GDP

Income Tax as % of Economy isLowest Level Since 1942

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

On Budget Outlays

% of GDP

Outlays (without Social Security) as % of Economy

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

On Budget Outlays

% of GDP

Total Outlays as % of Economy

0

0

% of GDP

Spending NOT Out of ControlOutlays as % of GDP

1950 14.4%2004 15.7%

Chart4

16.2

14.5

14.4

16.1

19

18.6

18.4

16.6

17.4

17.7

17.3

16.1

17.8

17.7

17.5

17.8

17.6

17

17.3

18.3

17.6

19.7

19

17.3

17.5

17.6

18.3

17.9

17.2

18

18

18.5

18.9

19.6

19.1

17.5

17.4

17.7

17.5

18.4

18.1

18.3

18

17.8

17.5

17.6

18.1

18.5

18.9

19.3

19.9

20

20.8

19.9

17.9

16.5

15.7

Revenue

% of GDP

Revenue as % of Economy isLowest Level Since 1950

Sheet1

DeficitsOn-BudgetRevenueOutlays

DeficitTotalIncome TaxTotalOn-budget

19300.83.4

19310.64.3

19324.06.9

19334.58

19345.910.7

19354.09.2

19365.510.5

19372.56.6

19380.17.7

19393.210.3

19403.06.8

19414.37.6

194214.210.15.624.424.3

194330.313.38.943.643.6

194422.820.916.543.743.6

194521.520.415.541.941.8

19467.217.612.524.824.7

19471.71.216.511.314.714.6

19484.64.116.211.311.611.5

19490.2-0.314.59.814.314.1

19501.1-1.714.49.615.615.4

19511.91.316.111.114.213.8

19520.4-1.01914.119.418.9

19531.7-2.218.613.720.419.8

19540.3-0.718.413.418.718

19550.8-1.016.611.817.316.3

19560.90.617.412.416.515.4

19570.80.617.712.61715.7

19580.6-0.717.311.917.916.2

19592.6-2.516.11118.716.9

19600.10.117.811.917.815.7

19610.6-0.717.711.718.416.2

19621.3-1.017.511.618.816.4

19630.8-0.717.811.518.616.1

19640.9-1.017.611.318.516

19650.2-0.21710.817.214.8

19660.5-0.417.311.417.815.2

19671.1-1.618.311.819.416.8

19682.9-3.217.611.220.517.9

19690.3-0.119.713.119.316.7

19700.3-0.91912.119.316.6

19712.1-2.417.310.519.416.4

19722.0-2.217.510.719.516.4

19731.1-1.217.610.718.815.3

19740.4-0.618.310.918.715.1

19753.4-3.517.910.421.317.4

19764.2-4.117.21021.417.4

19772.7-2.51810.820.816.7

19782.7-2.51810.920.716.6

19791.6-1.518.511.320.116.1

19802.7-2.718.911.321.617.4

19812.6-2.419.611.322.217.7

19824.0-3.719.110.723.118.4

19836.0-6.017.59.523.519.2

19844.8-4.817.49.322.217.9

19855.1-5.417.79.622.918.6

19865.0-5.417.59.322.518.3

19873.2-3.618.410.221.617.4

19883.1-3.918.19.921.217.2

19892.8-3.818.310.121.217.3

19903.9-4.8189.721.817.9

19914.5-5.417.89.622.318.3

19924.7-5.517.59.322.218.2

19933.9-4.617.69.621.517.4

19942.9-3.718.19.821.117

19952.2-3.118.510.220.716.8

19961.4-2.318.910.720.316.4

19970.3-1.319.311.219.615.8

19980.8-0.319.911.819.115.4

19991.40.052011.618.615.1

20002.40.920.812.418.415

20011.3-0.319.911.418.615.1

20021.5-3.117.99.719.416

2003-3.5-516.58.519.916.6

2004-4.5-5.915.78.220.216.9

2005-3.0-4.516.99.219.916.6

2006-2.1-3.717.49.619.616.4

2007-1.8-3.517.79.819.516.4

2008-1.7-3.517.89.919.516.5

1980-200021.317.2714285714

2001-200419.516.15

Sheet1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

On-Budget Deficit

% of GDP

Deficit as % of Economy Hits Highest Level Since End of World War II

Sheet2

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Revenue

% of GDP

Revenue as % of Economy isLowest Level Since 1950

Sheet3

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Income Tax

% of GDP

Income Tax as % of Economy isLowest Level Since 1942

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

On Budget Outlays

% of GDP

Outlays (without Social Security) as % of Economy

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

On Budget Outlays

% of GDP

Total Outlays as % of Economy

21.3

19.5

% of GDP

Spending is NOT Out of Control Outlays as % of Economy

0

0

% of GDP

Spending NOT Out of ControlOutlays as % of GDP

1.8% of GDP = $207 Billion in 2004

Chart1

21.3

19.5

% of GDP

Spending NOT Out of ControlOutlays as % of GDP

Sheet1

DeficitsOn-BudgetRevenueOutlays

DeficitTotalIncome TaxTotalOn-budget

19300.83.4

19310.64.3

19324.06.9

19334.58

19345.910.7

19354.09.2

19365.510.5

19372.56.6

19380.17.7

19393.210.3

19403.06.8

19414.37.6

194214.210.15.624.424.3

194330.313.38.943.643.6

194422.820.916.543.743.6

194521.520.415.541.941.8

19467.217.612.524.824.7

19471.71.216.511.314.714.6

19484.64.116.211.311.611.5

19490.2-0.314.59.814.314.1

19501.1-1.714.49.615.615.4

19511.91.316.111.114.213.8

19520.4-1.01914.119.418.9

19531.7-2.218.613.720.419.8

19540.3-0.718.413.418.718

19550.8-1.016.611.817.316.3

19560.90.617.412.416.515.4

19570.80.617.712.61715.7

19580.6-0.717.311.917.916.2

19592.6-2.516.11118.716.9

19600.10.117.811.917.815.7

19610.6-0.717.711.718.416.2

19621.3-1.017.511.618.816.4

19630.8-0.717.811.518.616.1

19640.9-1.017.611.318.516

19650.2-0.21710.817.214.8

19660.5-0.417.311.417.815.2

19671.1-1.618.311.819.416.8

19682.9-3.217.611.220.517.9

19690.3-0.119.713.119.316.7

19700.3-0.91912.119.316.6

19712.1-2.417.310.519.416.4

19722.0-2.217.510.719.516.4

19731.1-1.217.610.718.815.3

19740.4-0.618.310.918.715.1

19753.4-3.517.910.421.317.4

19764.2-4.117.21021.417.4

19772.7-2.51810.820.816.7

19782.7-2.51810.920.716.6

19791.6-1.518.511.320.116.1

19802.7-2.718.911.321.617.4

19812.6-2.419.611.322.217.7

19824.0-3.719.110.723.118.4

19836.0-6.017.59.523.519.2

19844.8-4.817.49.322.217.9

19855.1-5.417.79.622.918.6

19865.0-5.417.59.322.518.3

19873.2-3.618.410.221.617.4

19883.1-3.918.19.921.217.2

19892.8-3.818.310.121.217.3

19903.9-4.8189.721.817.9

19914.5-5.417.89.622.318.3

19924.7-5.517.59.322.218.2

19933.9-4.617.69.621.517.4

19942.9-3.718.19.821.117

19952.2-3.118.510.220.716.8

19961.4-2.318.910.720.316.4

19970.3-1.319.311.219.615.8

19980.8-0.319.911.819.115.4

19991.40.052011.618.615.1

20002.40.920.812.418.415

20011.3-0.319.911.418.615.1

20021.5-3.117.99.719.416

2003-3.5-516.58.519.916.6

2004-4.5-5.915.78.220.216.9

2005-3.0-4.516.99.219.916.6

2006-2.1-3.717.49.619.616.4

2007-1.8-3.517.79.819.516.4

2008-1.7-3.517.89.919.516.5

1980-200021.317.2714285714

2001-200419.516.15

Sheet1

On-Budget Deficit

% of GDP

Deficit as % of Economy Hits Highest Level Since End of World War II

Sheet2

Revenue

% of GDP

Revenue as % of Economy isLowest Level Since 1950

Sheet3

Income Tax

% of GDP

Income Tax as % of Economy isLowest Level Since 1942

On Budget Outlays

% of GDP

Outlays (without Social Security) as % of Economy

On Budget Outlays

% of GDP

Total Outlays as % of Economy

% of GDP

Spending is NOT Out of Control Outlays as % of Economy

% of GDP

Spending NOT Out of ControlOutlays as % of GDP

The Longer-Term Budget & Tax PictureI dont want to abolish government. I simply want to reduce it to the size where I can drag it into the bathroom and drown it in the bathtub.Grover Norquist, Americans for Tax ReformJune 25, 2003

Source: Steuerle, Carasso, Bishop, based on data from Gale, Orszag, and the Tax Policy Center.

3.3%

Source: Steuerle, Carasso, Bishop, based on data from Gale, Orszag, and the Tax Policy Center.

Lost Federal Revenue Compared to Philanthropic GivingAll figures in 2009 Dollars. Philanthropy source: American Association of Fundraising Counsels Trust in Philanthropy/Giving USA 2003.

Assuming charitable giving keeps pace with the growth in the economy, giving in 2009 will be $341.4 billion. Charity would need to increase 142% to replace the lost federal revenue, assuming it continues to fund existing activities.

Chart7

485.1528

260.3470337594

38.1237627008

25.6520485087

17.290331039

$ in Billions

Sheet1

DeficitsOn-BudgetRevenueOutlays

DeficitTotalIncome TaxTotalOn-budget

19300.83.4

19310.64.3

19324.06.9

19334.58

19345.910.7

19354.09.2

19365.510.5

19372.56.6

19380.17.7

19393.210.3

19403.06.8

19414.37.6

194214.210.15.624.424.3

194330.313.38.943.643.6

194422.820.916.543.743.6

194521.520.415.541.941.8

19467.217.612.524.824.7

19471.71.216.511.314.714.6

19484.64.116.211.311.611.5

19490.2-0.314.59.814.314.1

19501.1-1.714.49.615.615.4

19511.91.316.111.114.213.8

19520.4-1.01914.119.418.9

19531.7-2.218.613.720.419.8

19540.3-0.718.413.418.718

19550.8-1.016.611.817.316.3

19560.90.617.412.416.515.4

19570.80.617.712.61715.7

19580.6-0.717.311.917.916.2

19592.6-2.516.11118.716.9

19600.10.117.811.917.815.7

19610.6-0.717.711.718.416.2

19621.3-1.017.511.618.816.4

19630.8-0.717.811.518.616.1

19640.9-1.017.611.318.516

19650.2-0.21710.817.214.8

19660.5-0.417.311.417.815.2

19671.1-1.618.311.819.416.8

19682.9-3.217.611.220.517.9

19690.3-0.119.713.119.316.7

19700.3-0.91912.119.316.6

19712.1-2.417.310.519.416.4

19722.0-2.217.510.719.516.4

19731.1-1.217.610.718.815.3

19740.4-0.618.310.918.715.1

19753.4-3.517.910.421.317.4

19764.2-4.117.21021.417.4

19772.7-2.51810.820.816.7

19782.7-2.51810.920.716.6

19791.6-1.518.511.320.116.1

19802.7-2.718.911.321.617.4

19812.6-2.419.611.322.217.7

19824.0-3.719.110.723.118.4

19836.0-6.017.59.523.519.2

19844.8-4.817.49.322.217.9

19855.1-5.417.79.622.918.6

19865.0-5.417.59.322.518.3

19873.2-3.618.410.221.617.4

19883.1-3.918.19.921.217.2

19892.8-3.818.310.121.217.3

19903.9-4.8189.721.817.9

19914.5-5.417.89.622.318.3

19924.7-5.517.59.322.218.2

19933.9-4.617.69.621.517.4

19942.9-3.718.19.821.117

19952.2-3.118.510.220.716.8

19961.4-2.318.910.720.316.4

19970.3-1.319.311.219.615.8

19980.8-0.319.911.819.115.4

19991.40.052011.618.615.1

20002.40.920.812.418.415

20011.3-0.319.911.418.615.1

20021.5-3.117.99.719.4161

2003-3.5-516.58.519.916.60.9579897121

2004-4.5-5.915.78.220.216.90.9047095761

2005-3.0-4.516.99.219.916.60.8614063642

2006-2.1-3.717.49.619.616.40.820608966

2007-1.8-3.517.79.819.516.40.7811824597

2008-1.7-3.517.89.919.516.50.7424101456

10373.40.7055966698

1982-1989Reagan Years189.82522.27518.0375

1980-200018.51904761921.317.2714285714

2001-200417.519.516.15

Current $In 2002 Dollars

deflator2002 DeflateGDPGDP adjLost RevenueLost RevenueIndividual GivingFoundationsBequestsCorp GivingPhilanthropic Giving

200011.04159708.4

20011.02341.017686144210040.7

20021.0415110373.410373.4342.3222

20031.05850.983939537110828.310654.3924893718

20041.07240.97118612461146611135.6201044386

200051.08580.959200589412042.411551.0771781175

200061.10210.945014064112641.111946.0172851828

200071.12040.929578721913279.112343.9688057837

20081.14190.91207636413972.612744.078202995

20091.16510.893914685414701.613141.9761393872485.1528433.6852125998183.726.918.112.2240.9

2009 adj260.347033759438.123762700825.652048508717.290331039341.4131760079

Sheet1

1.2

4.1

-0.3

-1.7

1.3

-1

-2.2

-0.7

-1

0.6

0.6

-0.7

-2.5

0.1

-0.7

-1

-0.7

-1

-0.2

-0.4

-1.6

-3.2

-0.1

-0.9

-2.4

-2.2

-1.2

-0.6

-3.5

-4.1

-2.5

-2.5

-1.5

-2.7

-2.4

-3.7

-6

-4.8

-5.4

-5.4

-3.6

-3.9

-3.8

-4.8

-5.4

-5.5

-4.6

-3.7

-3.1

-2.3

-1.3

-0.3

0.05

0.9

-0.3

-3.1

-5

-5.9

On-Budget Deficit

% of GDP

Deficit as % of Economy Hits Highest Level Since End of World War II

Sheet2

16.2

14.5

14.4

16.1

19

18.6

18.4

16.6

17.4

17.7

17.3

16.1

17.8

17.7

17.5

17.8

17.6

17

17.3

18.3

17.6

19.7

19

17.3

17.5

17.6

18.3

17.9

17.2

18

18

18.5

18.9

19.6

19.1

17.5

17.4

17.7

17.5

18.4

18.1

18.3

18

17.8

17.5

17.6

18.1

18.5

18.9

19.3

19.9

20

20.8

19.9

17.9

16.5

15.7

Revenue

% of GDP

Revenue as % of Economy isLowest Level Since 1950

Sheet3

5.6

8.9

16.5

15.5

12.5

11.3

11.3

9.8

9.6

11.1

14.1

13.7

13.4

11.8

12.4

12.6

11.9

11

11.9

11.7

11.6

11.5

11.3

10.8

11.4

11.8

11.2

13.1

12.1

10.5

10.7

10.7

10.9

10.4

10

10.8

10.9

11.3

11.3

11.3

10.7

9.5

9.3

9.6

9.3

10.2

9.9

10.1

9.7

9.6

9.3

9.6

9.8

10.2

10.7

11.2

11.8

11.6

12.4

11.4

9.7

8.5

8.2

Income Tax

% of GDP

Income Tax as % of Economy isLowest Level Since 1942

16.9

15.7

16.2

16.4

16.1

16

14.8

15.2

16.8

17.9

16.7

16.6

16.4

16.4

15.3

15.1

17.4

17.4

16.7

16.6

16.1

17.4

17.7

18.4

19.2

17.9

18.6

18.3

17.4

17.2

17.3

17.9

18.3

18.2

17.4

17

16.8

16.4

15.8

15.4

15.1

15

15.1

16

16.6

On Budget Outlays

% of GDP

Outlays (without Social Security) as % of Economy

18.7

17.8

18.4

18.8

18.6

18.5

17.2

17.8

19.4

20.5

19.3

19.3

19.4

19.5

18.8

18.7

21.3

21.4

20.8

20.7

20.1

21.6

22.2

23.1

23.5

22.2

22.9

22.5

21.6

21.2

21.2

21.8

22.3

22.2

21.5

21.1

20.7

20.3

19.6

19.1

18.6

18.4

18.6

19.4

19.9

On Budget Outlays

% of GDP

Total Outlays as % of Economy

21.3

19.5

% of GDP

Spending NOT Out of ControlOutlays as % of GDP

$ in Billions

1

$ in Billions

As Baby Boomers Come of Age, the Deficit ExplodesSource: Derived from Chart 12-5, OMB, 2005 Budget, Analytical Perspectives, page 194

Chart6

12.1

3.8

In Trillions

2001-03 Tax Cuts vs. Social Security:Present Value of Costs Over 75 Years

Sheet1

Follow Tax and BudgetDomestic Non-Homeland Security

Somewhat CloselyVery CloselyNominaladj 2000Inflation Adjusteddeflator2003 Deflate2000 Deflate

State3436200011.0585What the Public Does Not Mind About Paying Taxes

Federal382620011.02341.03429743990.9771350401

20021.04151.01632261160.9601536246AgreeDisagree

2003376355.21965044873761.058510.9447331129Not StronglyNot Strongly

2004383357.14285714293781.07240.98703841850.9324878777StronglyStrongly

2005382351.81433044763721.08580.97485724810.9209799226I dont mind paying taxes because my taxes contribute to making sure we have public schools, clean streets, public safety and a national defense and a cleaner environment6123510

2006381345.70365665553661.10210.96043916160.9073586789

2007383341.84219921463621.12040.94475187430.8925383792I dont mind paying taxes because my taxes are part of my contribution to society as a citizen of the United States5626710

2008385337.15736929683571.14190.92696383220.8757334267

2009387332.16032958543521.16510.90850570770.8582954253I dont mind paying taxes because I want to play a strong role in helping people, when in need46301112

I dont mind paying taxes because it is my contributions to make sure our government helps create opportunities and keep the economy growing43321012

Support for a long-term offensive campaignSource: Survey of 1,000 likely voters conducted for Public Interest Projects by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research between October 21 and October 26, 2003.

Somewhat AgreeStrongly Agree

3456

2005-2014

Bush Tax Cuts2341Tax Cuts if Made Permanent12.1

Social Security Surplus235775-Year Shortfall in Social Security3.8

Conservative Perspectives on Taxation are NOT Supported

AgreeDisagree

StronglyNot StronglyStronglyNot Strongly

Support for a long-term offensive campaign

State6.92I dont like paying taxes because the government doesnt do anything for me10%12%26%49%

National6.64I dont like paying taxes because government spends too much money on welfare and other handouts15%13%33%36%

All Groups6.2Source: Survey of 1,000 likely voters conducted for Public Interest Projects by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research between October 21 and October 26, 2003.

Local5.81

Regional5.6

Intl5.16AgreeDisagree

StronglyNot StronglyStronglyNot Strongly

I dont mind paying taxes because my taxes contribute to making sure we have public schools, clean streets, public safety and a national defense and a cleaner environment61%23%5%10%

I dont mind paying taxes because my taxes are part of my contribution to society as a citizen of the United States56%26%7%10%

I dont mind paying taxes because I want to play a strong role in helping people, when in need46%30%11%12%

I dont mind paying taxes because it is my contributions to make sure our government helps create opportunities and keep the economy growing43%32%10%12%

Source: Survey of 1,000 likely voters conducted for Public Interest Projects by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research between October 21 and October 26, 2003.

Support for a long-term offensive campaign by region

Somewhat AgreeStrongly Agree

South Carolina4349

Chicago3456

Phoenix2864

Philadelphia3558

Seattle3060

All Areas3456

Somewhat ImportantVery Important

Cut Deficit w/ Spending Cuts2516

Revenue for Unmet Needs3139

Promote Need for Govt3045

Cut Regressive Taxes2463

Funding Fed Mandates2961

Highlight Domestic Needs2961

Econ Growth & Jobs3360

Progressive Taxes w/ Adequate $1777

Somewhat UnimportantNot Important

Cut Deficit w/ Spending Cuts3719

Challenges

Disagree/NoSomewhat Disagree/UnlikelySomewhat Agree/LikelyStrongly Agree/Very Likely

Launch Campaign-3-53456

Participate-21-283116

Engagement

Develop Common Messages, Themes & Principles69.3

Info on State/Local Impact63.5

Distribute Up-To-Date Tax/Budget Info63.2

Info on Issue Area Impacts63

Internet Resource Center49.5

Funding for Tax/Budget19.880.2

Trainings on Tax/Budget32.767.3

Challenges to a Network

Somewhat ChallengeMajor Challenge

Lack of Coordination3541

Limited Leadership & Org Structure3240

Somewhat DisagreeStrongly Disagree

Impossible to Agree on Message3626

Activities to Be Undertaken

Somewhat ImportantVery Important

Develop Policies & Principles the Provide Vision3450

Improve Language We Use -- Values Based Language3153

Voter Mobilization for Accountability2464

Push State & Federal Legislation on Tax/Budget3158

Sheet1

00

00

Somewhat Closely

Very Closely

%

Sheet2

00

Somewhat Agree

Strongly Agree

%

Sheet3

0

0

0

0

0

0

Intensity(0-10 scale)

5.2

5.8

6.6

6.9

4349

3456

Somewhat Agree

Strongly Agree

%

00

00

Somewhat Agree

Strongly Agree

%

00

00

Somewhat Agree

Strongly Agree

%

3558

3456

Somewhat Agree

Strongly Agree

%

00

00

Somewhat Agree

Strongly Agree

%

00

00

00

00

00

00

Somewhat Important

Very Important

%

00

00

00

00

Somewhat Important

Very Important

%

00

00

00

Somewhat Important

Very Important

%

00

Somewhat Important

Very Important

00

Somewhat Unimportant

Not Important

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

&A

Page &P

Inflation Adjusted

Nominal

In Billions

Domestic Non-Homeland Security Spending

0

0

In Billions

Bush Tax Cuts vs. Social Security Surplus(FY 2005-2014)

$2.36 T

$2.34 T

00

Tax Cuts if Made Permanent

75-Year Shortfall in Social Security

In Trillions of Dollars

Bush Tax Cuts vs. Social Security:Present Value of Costs Over 75 Years

$12.1

$3.8

0000

0000

Somewhat Disagree/Unlikely

Disagree/No

Somewhat Agree/Likely

Strongly Agree/Very Likely

%

5

28

3

21

0

0

0

0

Ranking

0

0

0

0

Ranking

0

0

Ranking

00

00

Somewhat Challenge

Major Challenge

%

Top Two Challenges to Success

00

00

Somewhat Challenge

Major Challenge

%

40

41

00

Somewhat Disagree

Strongly Disagree

%

00

00

00

00

Very Important

Somewhat Important

%

0

0

In Trillions

Bush Tax Cuts vs. Social Security:Present Value of Costs Over 75 Years

The Long-Term ProblemIts a Revenue Problem. The tax cuts since 2001 cause long-term systemic problems. Additionally, there is a need to develop a fairer tax system with more revenue.

Hard Choices Await Us. Even with additional revenue, some hard choices about spending priorities may be necessary. For example, some note that current health care policies are not sustainable over the long-term.

OMB WatchTax and BudgetInternet Survey

A Look At Service Providers

Troubling Tax & Policy Issues to Service Providers81%82%88%91%73%73%63%39%%To what extent do the following current federal tax and budget policy issues trouble you?

Chart8

19.172

17.569.7

27.754.1

21.758.9

20.752.2

2844.9

23.638.9

19.718.5

Somewhat Troubled

Very Troubled

Sheet1

Follow Tax and BudgetDomestic Non-Homeland Security

Somewhat CloselyVery CloselyNominaladj 2000Inflation Adjusteddeflator2003 Deflate2000 Deflate

State3436200011.0585What the Public Does Not Mind About Paying Taxes

Federal382620011.02341.03429743990.9771350401

20021.04151.01632261160.9601536246AgreeDisagree

2003376355.21965044873761.058510.9447331129Not StronglyNot Strongly

2004383357.14285714293781.07240.98703841850.9324878777StronglyStrongly

2005382351.81433044763721.08580.97485724810.9209799226I dont mind paying taxes because my taxes contribute to making sure we have public schools, clean streets, public safety and a national defense and a cleaner environment6123510

2006381345.70365665553661.10210.96043916160.9073586789

2007383341.84219921463621.12040.94475187430.8925383792I dont mind paying taxes because my taxes are part of my contribution to society as a citizen of the United States5626710

2008385337.15736929683571.14190.92696383220.8757334267

2009387332.16032958543521.16510.90850570770.8582954253I dont mind paying taxes because I want to play a strong role in helping people, when in need46301112

I dont mind paying taxes because it is my contributions to make sure our government helps create opportunities and keep the economy growing43321012

Support for a long-term offensive campaignSource: Survey of 1,000 likely voters conducted for Public Interest Projects by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research between October 21 and October 26, 2003.

Somewhat AgreeStrongly Agree

Everyone3456

Service Providers35.753.5

2005-2014

Bush Tax Cuts2341Tax Cuts if Made Permanent12.1

Social Security Surplus235775-Year Shortfall in Social Security3.8

Conservative Perspectives on Taxation are NOT Supported

AgreeDisagree

StronglyNot StronglyStronglyNot Strongly

Support for a long-term offensive campaign

State6.92I dont like paying taxes because the government doesnt do anything for me10%12%26%49%

National6.64I dont like paying taxes because government spends too much money on welfare and other handouts15%13%33%36%

All Groups6.2Source: Survey of 1,000 likely voters conducted for Public Interest Projects by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research between October 21 and October 26, 2003.

Local5.81

Regional5.6

Intl5.16AgreeDisagree

StronglyNot StronglyStronglyNot Strongly

I dont mind paying taxes because my taxes contribute to making sure we have public schools, clean streets, public safety and a national defense and a cleaner environment61%23%5%10%

I dont mind paying taxes because my taxes are part of my contribution to society as a citizen of the United States56%26%7%10%

I dont mind paying taxes because I want to play a strong role in helping people, when in need46%30%11%12%

I dont mind paying taxes because it is my contributions to make sure our government helps create opportunities and keep the economy growing43%32%10%12%

Source: Survey of 1,000 likely voters conducted for Public Interest Projects by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research between October 21 and October 26, 2003.

Support for a long-term offensive campaign by region

Somewhat AgreeStrongly Agree

South Carolina4349

Chicago3456

Phoenix2864

Philadelphia3558

Seattle3060

All Areas3456

Somewhat ImportantVery Important

Cut Deficit w/ Spending Cuts2516

Cut Regressive Taxes2463

Promote Need for Govt3045

Revenue for Unmet Needs3139

Progressive Taxes w/ Adequate $1777

Econ Growth & Jobs3360

Funding Fed Mandates2961

Highlight Domestic Needs2961

Cut Deficit w/ Spending Cuts

Somewhat UnimportantNot Important

Everyone3719

Service Providers37.312.7

Challenges

Disagree/NoSomewhat Disagree/UnlikelySomewhat Agree/LikelyStrongly Agree/Very Likely

Launch Campaign-3-53456Not LikelySomewhat UnlikelySomewhat LikelyLikely

Participate-21-283116Regional26.527.728.912

Local23.330.733.510.1

Intl22.925.72017.1

State14.530.134.717.3

National20.822.127.524.8

Not LikelyLikelyTotal

National42.952.395.2

Local5443.697.6

State44.65296.6

Intl48.637.185.7

Regional54.240.995.1

Engagement

Develop Common Messages, Themes & Principles69.3

Info on State/Local Impact63.5

Distribute Up-To-Date Tax/Budget Info63.2

Info on Issue Area Impacts63

Internet Resource Center49.5

Funding for Tax/Budget19.880.2

Trainings on Tax/Budget32.767.3

7

Challenges to a Network

Somewhat ChallengeMajor Challenge

Lack of Coordination3541

Limited Leadership & Org Structure3240

Somewhat DisagreeStrongly Disagree

Impossible to Agree on Message3626

Activities to Be Undertaken

Somewhat ImportantVery Important

Develop Policies & Principles the Provide Vision3450

Improve Language We Use -- Values Based Language3153

Voter Mobilization for Accountability2464

Push State & Federal Legislation on Tax/Budget3158

Sheet1

00

00

Somewhat Closely

Very Closely

%

Sheet2

00

Somewhat Agree

Strongly Agree

%

Sheet3

0

0

0

0

0

0

Intensity(0-10 scale)

5.2

5.8

6.6

6.9

00

00

Somewhat Agree

Strongly Agree

%

00

00

Somewhat Agree

Strongly Agree

%

00

00

Somewhat Agree

Strongly Agree

%

00

00

Somewhat Agree

Strongly Agree

%

00

00

Somewhat Agree

Strongly Agree

%

00

00

00

00

00

00

Somewhat Important

Very Important

%

00

00

Somewhat Important

Very Important

%

00

00

00

Very Important

Somewhat Important

%

00

Somewhat Important

Very Important

00

00

Somewhat Unimportant

Not Important

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

&A

Page &P

Inflation Adjusted

Nominal

In Billions

Domestic Non-Homeland Security Spending

0

0

In Billions

Bush Tax Cuts vs. Social Security Surplus(FY 2005-2014)

$2.36 T

$2.34 T

00

Tax Cuts if Made Permanent

75-Year Shortfall in Social Security

In Trillions of Dollars

Bush Tax Cuts vs. Social Security:Present Value of Costs Over 75 Years

$12.1

$3.8

0000

0000

Somewhat Disagree/Unlikely

Disagree/No

Somewhat Agree/Likely

Strongly Agree/Very Likely

%

5

28

3

21

0

0

0

0

Ranking

0

0

0

0

Ranking

0

0

Ranking

00

00

Somewhat Challenge

Major Challenge

%

Top Two Challenges to Success

00

00

Somewhat Challenge

Major Challenge

%

40

41

00

Somewhat Disagree

Strongly Disagree

%

00

00

00

00

Very Important

Somewhat Important

%

12.1

3.8

In Trillions

Bush Tax Cuts vs. Social Security:Present Value of Costs Over 75 Years

00

00

00

00

00

Not Likely

Somewhat Unlikely

%

Somewhat ImportantVery ImportantEveryoneService Providers

Cut Deficit w/ Spending Cuts25164144.9

Cut Regressive Taxes24638788.2

Promote Need for Govt30457566.3

Revenue for Unmet Needs31397064.4

Progressive Taxes w/ Adequate $17779492.7

Econ Growth & Jobs33609392.6

Funding Fed Mandates29619091.4

Highlight Domestic Needs29619090.4

3456

35.753.5

Somewhat Agree

Strongly Agree

%

7717

6033

6129

6129

Very Important

Somewhat Important

%

00

00

00

00

Everyone

Service Providers

%

00

00

00

Everyone

Service Providers

%

Activities to Be Undertaken

Somewhat ImportantVery ImportantSomewhatVery Important

Develop Policies & Principles the Provide Vision34503647

Improve Language We Use -- Values Based Language31533347

Voter Mobilization for Accountability24642362

Push State & Federal Legislation on Tax/Budget31583155

Somewhat TroubledVery Troubled

Budget Cuts19.172

Corporate Tax Avoidance17.569.7

Unfunded Mandates27.754.1

Tax Cuts21.758.9

Defense Spending Increases20.752.2

Devolution2844.9

Privatization23.638.9

Taxes Too High19.718.5

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

Somewhat Troubled

Very Troubled

Strong Support for aTax & Budget Campaign90%91%Given limited time and resources and the fact that there are many other important issues, do you agree or disagree that it is time to launch a long-term offensive campaign around federal tax and budget issues?

Chart11

35.753.5

33.458.4

Somewhat Agree

Strongly Agree

%

Sheet1

Follow Tax and BudgetDomestic Non-Homeland Security

Somewhat CloselyVery CloselyNominaladj 2000Inflation Adjusteddeflator2003 Deflate2000 Deflate

State3436200011.0585What the Public Does Not Mind About Paying Taxes

Federal382620011.02341.03429743990.9771350401

20021.04151.01632261160.9601536246AgreeDisagree

2003376355.21965044873761.058510.9447331129Not StronglyNot Strongly

2004383357.14285714293781.07240.98703841850.9324878777StronglyStrongly

2005382351.81433044763721.08580.97485724810.9209799226I dont mind paying taxes because my taxes contribute to making sure we have public schools, clean streets, public safety and a national defense and a cleaner environment6123510

2006381345.70365665553661.10210.96043916160.9073586789

2007383341.84219921463621.12040.94475187430.8925383792I dont mind paying taxes because my taxes are part of my contribution to society as a citizen of the United States5626710

2008385337.15736929683571.14190.92696383220.8757334267

2009387332.16032958543521.16510.90850570770.8582954253I dont mind paying taxes because I want to play a strong role in helping people, when in need46301112

I dont mind paying taxes because it is my contributions to make sure our government helps create opportunities and keep the economy growing43321012

Support for a long-term offensive campaignSource: Survey of 1,000 likely voters conducted for Public Interest Projects by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research between October 21 and October 26, 2003.

Somewhat AgreeStrongly Agree

Everyone3456

Service Providers35.753.5

Others33.458.42005-2014

Bush Tax Cuts2341Tax Cuts if Made Permanent12.1

Social Security Surplus235775-Year Shortfall in Social Security3.8

Conservative Perspectives on Taxation are NOT Supported

AgreeDisagree

StronglyNot StronglyStronglyNot Strongly

Support for a long-term offensive campaign

State6.92I dont like paying taxes because the government doesnt do anything for me10%12%26%49%

National6.64I dont like paying taxes because government spends too much money on welfare and other handouts15%13%33%36%

All Groups6.2Source: Survey of 1,000 likely voters conducted for Public Interest Projects by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research between October 21 and October 26, 2003.

Local5.81

Regional5.6

Intl5.16AgreeDisagree

StronglyNot StronglyStronglyNot Strongly

I dont mind paying taxes because my taxes contribute to making sure we have public schools, clean streets, public safety and a national defense and a cleaner environment61%23%5%10%

I dont mind paying taxes because my taxes are part of my contribution to society as a citizen of the United States56%26%7%10%

I dont mind paying taxes because I want to play a strong role in helping people, when in need46%30%11%12%

I dont mind paying taxes because it is my contributions to make sure our government helps create opportunities and keep the economy growing43%32%10%12%

Source: Survey of 1,000 likely voters conducted for Public Interest Projects by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research between October 21 and October 26, 2003.

Support for a long-term offensive campaign by region

Somewhat AgreeStrongly Agree

South Carolina4349

Chicago3456

Phoenix2864

Philadelphia3558

Seattle3060

All Areas3456

Somewhat ImportantVery Important

Cut Deficit w/ Spending Cuts2516

Cut Regressive Taxes2463

Promote Need for Govt3045

Revenue for Unmet Needs3139

Progressive Taxes w/ Adequate $1777

Econ Growth & Jobs3360

Funding Fed Mandates2961

Highlight Domestic Needs2961

Cut Deficit w/ Spending Cuts

Somewhat UnimportantNot Important

Everyone3719

Service Providers37.312.7

Challenges

Disagree/NoSomewhat Disagree/UnlikelySomewhat Agree/LikelyStrongly Agree/Very Likely

Launch Campaign-3-53456Not LikelySomewhat UnlikelySomewhat LikelyLikely

Participate-21-283116Regional26.527.728.912

Local23.330.733.510.1

Intl22.925.72017.1

State14.530.134.717.3

National20.822.127.524.8

Not LikelyLikelyTotal

National42.952.395.2

Local5443.697.6

State44.65296.6

Intl48.637.185.7

Regional54.240.995.1

Engagement

Develop Common Messages, Themes & Principles69.3

Info on State/Local Impact63.5

Distribute Up-To-Date Tax/Budget Info63.2

Info on Issue Area Impacts63

Internet Resource Center49.5

Funding for Tax/Budget19.880.2

Trainings on Tax/Budget32.767.3

7

Challenges to a Network

Somewhat ChallengeMajor Challenge

Lack of Coordination3541

Limited Leadership & Org Structure3240

Somewhat DisagreeStrongly Disagree

Impossible to Agree on Message3626

Activities to Be Undertaken

Somewhat ImportantVery Important

Develop Policies & Principles the Provide Vision3450

Improve Language We Use -- Values Based Language3153

Voter Mobilization for Accountability2464

Push State & Federal Legislation on Tax/Budget3158

Sheet1

00

00

Somewhat Closely

Very Closely

%

Sheet2

00

Somewhat Agree

Strongly Agree

%

Sheet3

0

0

0

0

0

0

Intensity(0-10 scale)

5.2

5.8

6.6

6.9

00

00

Somewhat Agree

Strongly Agree

%

00

00

Somewhat Agree

Strongly Agree

%

00

00

Somewhat Agree

Strongly Agree

%

00

00

Somewhat Agree

Strongly Agree

%

00

00

Somewhat Agree

Strongly Agree

%

00

00

00

00

00

00

Somewhat Important

Very Important

%

00

00

Somewhat Important

Very Important

%

00

00

00

Very Important

Somewhat Important

%

00

Somewhat Important

Very Important

00

00

Somewhat Unimportant

Not Important

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

&A

Page &P

Inflation Adjusted

Nominal

In Billions

Domestic Non-Homeland Security Spending

0

0

In Billions

Bush Tax Cuts vs. Social Security Surplus(FY 2005-2014)

$2.36 T

$2.34 T

00

Tax Cuts if Made Permanent

75-Year Shortfall in Social Security

In Trillions of Dollars

Bush Tax Cuts vs. Social Security:Present Value of Costs Over 75 Years

$12.1

$3.8

0000

0000

Somewhat Disagree/Unlikely

Disagree/No

Somewhat Agree/Likely

Strongly Agree/Very Likely

%

5

28

3

21

0

0

0

0

Ranking

0

0

0

0

Ranking

0

0

Ranking

00

00

Somewhat Challenge

Major Challenge

%

Top Two Challenges to Success

00

00

Somewhat Challenge

Major Challenge

%

40

41

00

Somewhat Disagree

Strongly Disagree

%

00

00

00

00

Very Important

Somewhat Important

%

12.1

3.8

In Trillions

Bush Tax Cuts vs. Social Security:Present Value of Costs Over 75 Years

00

00

00

00

00

Not Likely

Somewhat Unlikely

%

Somewhat ImportantVery ImportantEveryoneService Providers

Cut Deficit w/ Spending Cuts25164144.9

Cut Regressive Taxes24638788.2

Promote Need for Govt30457566.3

Revenue for Unmet Needs31397064.4

Progressive Taxes w/ Adequate $17779492.7

Econ Growth & Jobs33609392.6

Funding Fed Mandates29619091.4

Highlight Domestic Needs29619090.4

35.753.5

33.458.4

Somewhat Agree

Strongly Agree

%

7717

6033

6129

6129

Very Important

Somewhat Important

%

00

00

00

00

Everyone

Service Providers

%

00

00

00

Everyone

Service Providers

%

Activities to Be Undertaken

Somewhat ImportantVery ImportantSomewhatVery Important

Develop Policies & Principles the Provide Vision34503647

Improve Language We Use -- Values Based Language31533347

Voter Mobilization for Accountability24642362

Push State & Federal Legislation on Tax/Budget31583155

TROUBLING ISSUES

Service ProvidersSomewhat TroubledVery Troubled

Budget Cuts19.172

Corporate Tax Avoidance17.569.7

Unfunded Mandates27.754.1

Tax Cuts21.758.9

Defense Spending Increases20.752.2

Devolution2844.9

Privatization23.638.9

Taxes Too High19.718.5

INVOLVEMENT DURING LAST YEAR

Service ProvidersCommunicated to Support or Oppose Tax or Budget Issues

Somewhat OftenVery Often

Policymaker on State Issue30.919.750.6

Member or Public24.519.143.6

Policymaker on Fed Issue22.911.834.7

News Media on State12.76.419.1

Research or Analyses8.35.113.4

News Media on Fed8.63.211.8

Participation

Service ProvidersSomewhat ImportantVery Important

Info on State/Local Impacts36.644.681.2

Common Messages & Themes34.744.379

Info on Issue Area Impact29.948.778.6

Current Info on Tax/Budget39.838.578.3

Internet Resource Center35.433.468.8

Workshops, Trainings37.325.863.1

Part of Network34.727.462.1

Funding for Tax/Budget Work23.92144.9

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

Somewhat Troubled

Very Troubled

00

00

00

00

00

00

Somewhat Often

Very Often

%

00

00

00

00

Somewhat Important

Very Important

%

Participation May Be a ChallengePOSITIVENEGATIVE90% of respondents say it is time to launch a campaign BUT 49% say they are unlikely to participate.

Chart1

-5-33456

-28-213116

Somewhat Disagree/Unlikely

Disagree/No

Somewhat Agree/Likely

Strongly Agree/Very Likely

%

28

5

21

3

Sheet1

Follow Tax and BudgetDomestic Non-Homeland Security

Somewhat CloselyVery CloselyNominaladj 2000Inflation Adjusteddeflator2003 Deflate2000 Deflate

State3436200011.0585

Federal382620011.02341.03429743990.9771350401

20021.04151.01632261160.9601536246

2003376355.21965044873761.058510.9447331129

2004383357.14285714293781.07240.98703841850.9324878777

2005382351.81433044763721.08580.97485724810.9209799226

2006381345.70365665553661.10210.96043916160.9073586789

2007383341.84219921463621.12040.94475187430.8925383792

2008385337.15736929683571.14190.92696383220.8757334267

2009387332.16032958543521.16510.90850570770.8582954253

Support for a long-term offensive campaign

Somewhat AgreeStrongly Agree

3456

2005-2014

Bush Tax Cuts2341Tax Cuts if Made Permanent12.1

Social Security Surplus235775-Year Shortfall in Social Security3.8

Support for a long-term offensive campaign

State6.92

National6.64

All Groups6.2

Local5.81

Regional5.6

Intl5.16

Support for a long-term offensive campaign by region

Somewhat AgreeStrongly Agree

South Carolina4349

Chicago3456

Phoenix2864

Philadelphia3558

Seattle3060

All Areas3456

Somewhat ImportantVery Important

Cut Deficit w/ Spending Cuts2516

Revenue for Unmet Needs3139

Promote Need for Govt3045

Cut Regressive Taxes2463

Funding Fed Mandates2961

Highlight Domestic Needs2961

Econ Growth & Jobs3360

Progressive Taxes w/ Adequate $1777

Somewhat UnimportantNot Important

Cut Deficit w/ Spending Cuts3719

Challenges

Disagree/NoSomewhat Disagree/UnlikelySomewhat Agree/LikelyStrongly Agree/Very Likely

Launch Campaign-3-53456

Participate-21-283116

Sheet1

3436

3826

Somewhat Closely

Very Closely

%

Sheet2

3456

Somewhat Agree

Strongly Agree

%

Sheet3

6.92

6.64

6.2

5.81

5.6

5.16

Intensity(0-10 scale)

5.2

5.8

6.6

6.9

4349

3456

Somewhat Agree

Strongly Agree

%

3456

3456

Somewhat Agree

Strongly Agree

%

2864

3456

Somewhat Agree

Strongly Agree

%

3558

3456

Somewhat Agree

Strongly Agree

%

3060

3456

Somewhat Agree

Strongly Agree

%

3045

2463

2961

2961

3360

1777

Somewhat Important

Very Important

%

Somewhat Important

Very Important

%

3139

3045

2463

Somewhat Important

Very Important

%

2516

Somewhat Important

Very Important

3719

Somewhat Unimportant

Not Important

376376

378.0357142857383

372.3954687788382

365.9273205698381

361.8399678686383

356.8810754006385

351.5917088662387

&A

Page &P

Inflation Adjusted

Nominal

In Billions

Domestic Non-Homeland Security Spending

2341

2357

In Billions

Bush Tax Cuts vs. Social Security Surplus(FY 2005-2014)

$2.36 T

$2.34 T

12.13.8

Tax Cuts if Made Permanent

75-Year Shortfall in Social Security

In Trillions of Dollars

Bush Tax Cuts vs. Social Security:Present Value of Costs Over 75 Years

$12.1

$3.8

Somewhat Disagree/Unlikely

Disagree/No

Somewhat Agree/Likely

Strongly Agree/Very Likely

%

5

28

3

21

Even Though 49% say They Might Not Participate in a Campaign

61% Say They Will Help Redistribute Information About the Campaign

Other Ways Groups Say They Would Participate

Getting Service Providers to EngageHow important are the following items to get you or your organization engaged in a long-term campaign about federal tax and budget issues? 82%79%79%79%45%

Chart10

36.644.6

34.744.3

29.948.7

39.838.5

23.921

Somewhat Important

Very Important

%

Sheet1

Follow Tax and BudgetDomestic Non-Homeland Security

Somewhat CloselyVery CloselyNominaladj 2000Inflation Adjusteddeflator2003 Deflate2000 Deflate

State3436200011.0585What the Public Does Not Mind About Paying Taxes

Federal382620011.02341.03429743990.9771350401

20021.04151.01632261160.9601536246AgreeDisagree

2003376355.21965044873761.058510.9447331129Not StronglyNot Strongly

2004383357.14285714293781.07240.98703841850.9324878777StronglyStrongly

2005382351.81433044763721.08580.97485724810.9209799226I dont mind paying taxes because my taxes contribute to making sure we have public schools, clean streets, public safety and a national defense and a cleaner environment6123510

2006381345.70365665553661.10210.96043916160.9073586789

2007383341.84219921463621.12040.94475187430.8925383792I dont mind paying taxes because my taxes are part of my contribution to society as a citizen of the United States5626710

2008385337.15736929683571.14190.92696383220.8757334267

2009387332.16032958543521.16510.90850570770.8582954253I dont mind paying taxes because I want to play a strong role in helping people, when in need46301112

I dont mind paying taxes because it is my contributions to make sure our government helps create opportunities and keep the economy growing43321012

Support for a long-term offensive campaignSource: Survey of 1,000 likely voters conducted for Public Interest Projects by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research between October 21 and October 26, 2003.

Somewhat AgreeStrongly Agree

Everyone3456

Service Providers35.753.5

2005-2014

Bush Tax Cuts2341Tax Cuts if Made Permanent12.1

Social Security Surplus235775-Year Shortfall in Social Security3.8

Conservative Perspectives on Taxation are NOT Supported

AgreeDisagree

StronglyNot StronglyStronglyNot Strongly

Support for a long-term offensive campaign

State6.92I dont like paying taxes because the government doesnt do anything for me10%12%26%49%

National6.64I dont like paying taxes because government spends too much money on welfare and other handouts15%13%33%36%

All Groups6.2Source: Survey of 1,000 likely voters conducted for Public Interest Projects by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research between October 21 and October 26, 2003.

Local5.81

Regional5.6

Intl5.16AgreeDisagree

StronglyNot StronglyStronglyNot Strongly

I dont mind paying taxes because my taxes contribute to making sure we have public schools, clean streets, public safety and a national defense and a cleaner environment61%23%5%10%

I dont mind paying taxes because my taxes are part of my contribution to society as a citizen of the United States56%26%7%10%

I dont mind paying taxes because I want to play a strong role in helping people, when in need46%30%11%12%

I dont mind paying taxes because it is my contributions to make sure our government helps create opportunities and keep the economy growing43%32%10%12%

Source: Survey of 1,000 likely voters conducted for Public Interest Projects by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research between October 21 and October 26, 2003.

Support for a long-term offensive campaign by region

Somewhat AgreeStrongly Agree

South Carolina4349

Chicago3456

Phoenix2864

Philadelphia3558

Seattle3060

All Areas3456

Somewhat ImportantVery Important

Cut Deficit w/ Spending Cuts2516

Cut Regressive Taxes2463

Promote Need for Govt3045

Revenue for Unmet Needs3139

Progressive Taxes w/ Adequate $1777

Econ Growth & Jobs3360

Funding Fed Mandates2961

Highlight Domestic Needs2961

Cut Deficit w/ Spending Cuts

Somewhat UnimportantNot Important

Everyone3719

Service Providers37.312.7

Challenges

Disagree/NoSomewhat Disagree/UnlikelySomewhat Agree/LikelyStrongly Agree/Very Likely

Launch Campaign-3-53456Not LikelySomewhat UnlikelySomewhat LikelyLikely

Participate-21-283116Regional26.527.728.912

Local23.330.733.510.1

Intl22.925.72017.1

State14.530.134.717.3

National20.822.127.524.8

Not LikelyLikelyTotal

National42.952.395.2

Local5443.697.6

State44.65296.6

Intl48.637.185.7

Regional54.240.995.1

Engagement

Develop Common Messages, Themes & Principles69.3

Info on State/Local Impact63.5

Distribute Up-To-Date Tax/Budget Info63.2

Info on Issue Area Impacts63

Internet Resource Center49.5

Funding for Tax/Budget19.880.2

Trainings on Tax/Budget32.767.3

7

Challenges to a Network

Somewhat ChallengeMajor Challenge

Lack of Coordination3541

Limited Leadership & Org Structure3240

Somewhat DisagreeStrongly Disagree

Impossible to Agree on Message3626

Activities to Be Undertaken

Somewhat ImportantVery Important

Develop Policies & Principles the Provide Vision3450

Improve Language We Use -- Values Based Language3153

Voter Mobilization for Accountability2464

Push State & Federal Legislation on Tax/Budget3158

Sheet1

00

00

Somewhat Closely

Very Closely

%

Sheet2

00

Somewhat Agree

Strongly Agree

%

Sheet3

0

0

0

0

0

0

Intensity(0-10 scale)

5.2

5.8

6.6

6.9

00

00

Somewhat Agree

Strongly Agree

%

00

00

Somewhat Agree

Strongly Agree

%

00

00

Somewhat Agree

Strongly Agree

%

00

00

Somewhat Agree

Strongly Agree

%

00

00

Somewhat Agree

Strongly Agree

%

00

00

00

00

00

00

Somewhat Important

Very Important

%

00

00

Somewhat Important

Very Important

%

00

00

00

Very Important

Somewhat Important

%

00

Somewhat Important

Very Important

00

00

Somewhat Unimportant

Not Important

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

&A

Page &P

Inflation Adjusted

Nominal

In Billions

Domestic Non-Homeland Security Spending

0

0

In Billions

Bush Tax Cuts vs. Social Security Surplus(FY 2005-2014)

$2.36 T

$2.34 T

00

Tax Cuts if Made Permanent

75-Year Shortfall in Social Security

In Trillions of Dollars

Bush Tax Cuts vs. Social Security:Present Value of Costs Over 75 Years

$12.1

$3.8

0000

0000

Somewhat Disagree/Unlikely

Disagree/No

Somewhat Agree/Likely

Strongly Agree/Very Likely

%

5

28

3

21

0

0

0

0

Ranking

0

0

0

0

Ranking

0

0

Ranking

00

00

Somewhat Challenge

Major Challenge

%

Top Two Challenges to Success

00

00

Somewhat Challenge

Major Challenge

%

40

41

00

Somewhat Disagree

Strongly Disagree

%

00

00

00

00

Very Important

Somewhat Important

%

12.1

3.8

In Trillions

Bush Tax Cuts vs. Social Security:Present Value of Costs Over 75 Years

00

00

00

00

00

Not Likely

Somewhat Unlikely

%

Somewhat ImportantVery ImportantEveryoneService Providers

Cut Deficit w/ Spending Cuts25164144.9

Cut Regressive Taxes24638788.2

Promote Need for Govt30457566.3

Revenue for Unmet Needs31397064.4

Progressive Taxes w/ Adequate $17779492.7

Econ Growth & Jobs33609392.6

Funding Fed Mandates29619091.4

Highlight Domestic Needs29619090.4

3456

35.753.5

Somewhat Agree

Strongly Agree

%

7717

6033

6129

6129

Very Important

Somewhat Important

%

00

00

00

00

Everyone

Service Providers

%

00

00

00

Everyone

Service Providers

%

Activities to Be Undertaken

Somewhat ImportantVery ImportantSomewhatVery Important

Develop Policies & Principles the Provide Vision34503647

Improve Language We Use -- Values Based Language31533347

Voter Mobilization for Accountability24642362

Push State & Federal Legislation on Tax/Budget31583155

TROUBLING ISSUES

Service ProvidersSomewhat TroubledVery Troubled

Budget Cuts19.172

Corporate Tax Avoidance17.569.7

Unfunded Mandates27.754.1

Tax Cuts21.758.9

Defense Spending Increases20.752.2

Devolution2844.9

Privatization23.638.9

Taxes Too High19.718.5

INVOLVEMENT DURING LAST YEAR

Service ProvidersCommunicated to Support or Oppose Tax or Budget Issues

Somewhat OftenVery Often

Policymaker on State Issue30.919.750.6

Member or Public24.519.143.6

Policymaker on Fed Issue22.911.834.7

News Media on State12.76.419.1

Research or Analyses8.35.113.4

News Media on Fed8.63.211.8

Participation

Service ProvidersSomewhat ImportantVery Important

Info on State/Local Impacts36.644.681.2

Common Messages & Themes34.744.379

Info on Issue Area Impact29.948.778.6

Current Info on Tax/Budget39.838.578.3

Internet Resource Center35.433.468.8

Workshops, Trainings37.325.863.1

Part of Network34.727.462.1

Funding for Tax/Budget Work23.92144.9

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

Somewhat Troubled

Very Troubled

00

00

00

00

00

00

Somewhat Often

Very Often

%

Somewhat Important

Very Important

%

Service Providers Significantly Differ From Other Respondents OnFunding for Tax/Budget Work. Service providers find funding as less of an incentive to get involved than others.Information about Effect of Federal Tax/Budget Policies on State/Local Funding. Service providers find such information as more of an incentive for involvement than others.Information about Effect of Federal Tax/Budget Decision on Substantive Issue Areas. Service providers find such information as more of an incentive for involvement.

Summary of SurveyEven though Service Providers are heavily dependent on government resources, they are less troubled by tax cuts or privatization of government services than other nonprofits.Service Providers are similar to other nonprofits in levels of participation on tax and budget issues over the past year, as well as on objectives (with two exceptions) of what a long-term tax/ budget campaign should be.

Summary of Survey (Cont.)Service Providers present a number of contradictions: They are significantly more concerned about resources for unfunded mandates than other nonprofits;They are very concerned about federal budget cuts;But they are more supportive of spending cuts to reduce the deficit than other nonprofits; And they are significantly less worried than other nonprofits about attacks on the role of government or the need to demonstrate the value of a strong federal government.

Summary of Survey (Cont.)Service Providers differ from other nonprofits on incentives for engaging on federal tax/budget issues. Service Providers place information about impacts of federal issue on state/local funding as the most important incentive. Other nonprofits place developing common messages, themes and principles as the top incentive.