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What next for local government? Carolyn Downs Chief Executive Local Government Association 7 December 2012

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Carolyn Downs, Chief Executive, Local Government Association

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Page 1: What next for local government?

What next for local government?

Carolyn Downs

Chief Executive

Local Government Association

7 December 2012

Page 2: What next for local government?

This is what we would once have called a funding shortfall

£40,000

£45,000

£50,000

£55,000

£60,0002010/1

1

2011/1

2

2012/1

3

2013/1

4

2014/1

5

2015/1

6

2016/1

7

2017/1

8

2018/1

9

2019/2

0

£ (

mill

ion)

Net Expenditure Income

Page 3: What next for local government?

Living within our means: the squeeze on service spending for all councils

Money available for all other services

Social Care

Environmental

£0

£10,000

£20,000

£30,000

£40,000

£50,000

£60,00020

10/1

1

2011

/12

2012

/13

2013

/14

2014

/15

2015

/16

2016

/17

2017

/18

2018

/19

2019

/20

£ (m

illio

n)

Socia l Care - Chi ldren Socia l Care - AdultsEnvironment (inc Waste) Money ava i lable for a l l other services

Page 4: What next for local government?

“Don’t Panic!” “Yes but, no but!”

Page 5: What next for local government?

Living within our means: the squeeze on service spending for all councils

Money available for all other services

Social Care

Environmental

£0

£10,000

£20,000

£30,000

£40,000

£50,000

£60,00020

10/1

1

2011

/12

2012

/13

2013

/14

2014

/15

2015

/16

2016

/17

2017

/18

2018

/19

2019

/20

£ (m

illio

n)

Socia l Care - Chi ldren Socia l Care - AdultsEnvironment (inc Waste) Money ava i lable for a l l other services

Page 6: What next for local government?

The impact of cuts in the last 12 months…and the next 12 months

17%8%

55%

72%

27%20%

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Improved Worsened stayed the same

ComRes survey of councillors: November 2012

Last 12 months Next 12 months

Page 7: What next for local government?

Councils’ borrowing

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

£ b

illio

n

Public sector net borrowing

Local government net borrowing

Page 8: What next for local government?

The Travers’ report

Councils’ borrowing is modest and consistent