what is the optimal number in an ensemble?
DESCRIPTION
What is the optimal number in an ensemble?. Joint Meeting of the Climate Variability and Climate Change Working Groups. Return level curves and their uncertainty Precipitation Extremes. http://www.isse.ucar.edu/extremevalues/evtk.html. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
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What is the optimal number in an ensemble?
Joint Meeting of the Climate Variability and Climate Change Working Groups
![Page 2: What is the optimal number in an ensemble?](https://reader036.vdocuments.site/reader036/viewer/2022062423/56814dbd550346895dbb137a/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
Return level curves and their uncertaintyPrecipitation Extremes
http://www.isse.ucar.edu/extremevalues/evtk.html
![Page 3: What is the optimal number in an ensemble?](https://reader036.vdocuments.site/reader036/viewer/2022062423/56814dbd550346895dbb137a/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
Return level curves and their uncertaintyTemperature Extremes
http://www.isse.ucar.edu/extremevalues/evtk.html
![Page 4: What is the optimal number in an ensemble?](https://reader036.vdocuments.site/reader036/viewer/2022062423/56814dbd550346895dbb137a/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
Single-model ensembles and multi-model ensembles
Heat Wave index
![Page 5: What is the optimal number in an ensemble?](https://reader036.vdocuments.site/reader036/viewer/2022062423/56814dbd550346895dbb137a/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
Single-model ensembles and multi-model ensembles
Heat Wave index
![Page 6: What is the optimal number in an ensemble?](https://reader036.vdocuments.site/reader036/viewer/2022062423/56814dbd550346895dbb137a/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
Single-model ensembles and multi-model ensembles
Max 5 Day Precipitation index
![Page 7: What is the optimal number in an ensemble?](https://reader036.vdocuments.site/reader036/viewer/2022062423/56814dbd550346895dbb137a/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
Single-model ensembles and multi-model ensembles
Max 5 Day Precipitation index
![Page 8: What is the optimal number in an ensemble?](https://reader036.vdocuments.site/reader036/viewer/2022062423/56814dbd550346895dbb137a/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
Single-model ensembles and multi-model ensembles
Extreme Temperature Range index
![Page 9: What is the optimal number in an ensemble?](https://reader036.vdocuments.site/reader036/viewer/2022062423/56814dbd550346895dbb137a/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
Single-model ensembles and multi-model ensembles
Extreme Temperature Range index
![Page 10: What is the optimal number in an ensemble?](https://reader036.vdocuments.site/reader036/viewer/2022062423/56814dbd550346895dbb137a/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
Single-model ensembles and multi-model ensembles
Warm Nights index
![Page 11: What is the optimal number in an ensemble?](https://reader036.vdocuments.site/reader036/viewer/2022062423/56814dbd550346895dbb137a/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
Single-model ensembles and multi-model ensembles
Warm Nights index
![Page 12: What is the optimal number in an ensemble?](https://reader036.vdocuments.site/reader036/viewer/2022062423/56814dbd550346895dbb137a/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
Single-model ensembles and multi-model ensembles
Precipitation Intensity index
![Page 13: What is the optimal number in an ensemble?](https://reader036.vdocuments.site/reader036/viewer/2022062423/56814dbd550346895dbb137a/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
Single-model ensembles and multi-model ensembles
Precipitation Intensity index
![Page 14: What is the optimal number in an ensemble?](https://reader036.vdocuments.site/reader036/viewer/2022062423/56814dbd550346895dbb137a/html5/thumbnails/14.jpg)
Marginal utility vs. marginal cost of additional ensemble members
Single-model ensembles vs. multi-model ensembles
Analyzing “super ensembles” where different models provide different numbers of ensemble members