weekly elliott wave analyzer - transgraph · alternative elliott wave count on bmd cpo futures...

19
Weekly Elliott Wave Analyzer For week beginning For week beginning Oct 20 , 2014 Oct 20 , 2014 1

Upload: nguyenhanh

Post on 25-Aug-2018

257 views

Category:

Documents


8 download

TRANSCRIPT

Weekly Elliott Wave Analyzer

For week beginning For week beginning Oct 20 , 2014Oct 20 , 2014

1

Elliott wave legends

© TransGraph Consulting Put Ltd   Slide 2

Preferred Elliott wave Count on BMD CPO Futures (Long term)BMD CPO Futures (Long term)

BMD CPO Futures 3-Month, price is seen moving lower in the nature of Intermediate Wave ‘Y’ within

© TransGraph Consulting Put Ltd   Slide 3

Cycle Wave 2 Down. Price has most likely culminated Minor Wave ‘a’ at MYR 1914 and now it is expected to move higher towards MYR 2500 in the coming 4-6 months.

Preferred Elliott wave Count on BMD CPO Futures (Long term)BMD CPO Futures (Long term)

Within Intermediate Wave ‘Y’ BMD CPO Futures price has culminated Minor (a) leg at 1914 and now

© TransGraph Consulting Put Ltd   Slide 3

market is seen moving up in the nature of Minor Wave (b). First leg of Minor Wave (b) is likely to have culminated at MYR 2223 and now corrective fall towards MYR 2050 is expected.

Alternative Elliott wave Count on BMD CPO Futures -Long termBMD CPO Futures Long term

The Correction which has started after posting Mar’2008 high of MYR 4486 has been culminated at MYR 1914 and now Impulsive Wave is expected towards MYR 3000 in the coming 4 6 months Price

© TransGraph Consulting Put Ltd   Slide 5

MYR 1914 and now Impulsive Wave is expected towards MYR 3000 in the coming 4-6 months. Price sustaining above MYR 2500 would be confirmation of the pattern and then Cycle Wave ‘2’ can be placed at MYR 1914.

Alternative Elliott wave Count on BMD CPO Futures – Short termBMD CPO Futures Short term

BMD CPO Futures 3-Month, price within Intermediate Wave ‘1’ is moving higher towards MYR 2300 in

© TransGraph Consulting Put Ltd   Slide 6

BMD CPO Futures 3 Month, price within Intermediate Wave 1 is moving higher towards MYR 2300 in the nature of Impulsive Wave Minor Wave (1) up. Price is expected to correct towards MYR 2050 before turning positive again.

Elliott wave Analyzery

Elliott Wave AnalyzerMarket BMD Crude Palm Jan ’15 Futures

Week closing MYR 2142 per ton on Oct.17 , 2014

Preferred Count Alternate Count

Elliott wave count Cycle: 2‐Up Cycle: 3 Up

Primary wave: Y Down Primary wave: 1 Up

Intermediate wave: ‘Y’ down Intermediate wave: 1 UpIntermediate wave:  Y  down Intermediate wave: 1 Up

Minor: (b) Up Minor : (2) Down

Directional component 1‐2 weeks: Negative 1‐2 weeks: Negative

k k d2‐4 weeks: Negative 2‐4 weeks: Sideways

4‐6 weeks: Sideways 4‐6 weeks: Sideways 

Price range (1‐2 weeks)  IL:MYR 2100 IL:MYR 2100

Mentor’s price outlook: Minor corrective wave (b) is likely to stay below MYR 2225 and trade lower

SL:MYR 2050 SL: MYR 2300

© TransGraph Consulting Put Ltd   Slide

Mentor’s price outlook: Minor corrective wave (b) is likely to stay below MYR 2225 and trade lowertowards MYR 2050 before turning positive again in the coming 2‐3 weeks.

7

Preferred Elliott Wave Count on CME Soy oil Futures (Long term)CME Soy oil Futures (Long term)

CME Soy Oil Futures C1, price is seen moving lower in the nature of Primary wave ‘C’ within Cycle

© TransGraph Consulting Put Ltd   Slide 8

CME Soy Oil Futures C1, price is seen moving lower in the nature of Primary wave C within Cycle Wave 2 down. Zone of 28.00-26.00 cents would be target for Cycle Wave ‘2’ down.

Preferred Elliott wave Count on CME Soy oil Futures (Short term)CME Soy oil Futures (Short term)

CME Soy Oil Futures price within Intermediate Wave ‘4’ likely to move higher towards 36.00-37.00 in

© TransGraph Consulting Put Ltd   Slide 9

the nature of corrective wave ‘a’ before turning weak again in the coming 1-2 months.

Alternative Elliott Wave Count on CME Soy oil Futures Long termCME Soy oil Futures – Long term

Th C l W 2 ti i i d i t d 30 00 l t d 28 00

© TransGraph Consulting Put Ltd   Slide 10

The Cycle Wave 2 correction is in progress and price towards 30.00 or even lower towards 28.00 cents is possible before turning positive again in the coming 2-3 months.

Alternative Elliott Wave Count on CME Soy oil Futures – Short termCME Soy oil Futures – Short term

CME Soy Oil Futures price within Intermediate Wave ‘C’ is unfolding as an impulsive Minor ‘5’ wherein

© TransGraph Consulting Put Ltd   Slide 11

CME Soy Oil Futures price within Intermediate Wave C is unfolding as an impulsive Minor 5 wherein price is likely to stay below 34.00 and trade lower towards 30.00/28.00 is possible in the coming few months.

Elliott wave Analyzer

Mentor’s Elliott Wave AnalyzerMarket CME Soy Oil Dec’14 Futures

Week closing 32.05 cents per lb on Oct. 17 2014

Preferred Count Alternate Count

Elliott wave count

Cycle: 2 Up Cycle: 2 Down

Primary wave: C Down Primary wave: Y Down

Intermediate wave: 4 Up Intermediate wave: C DownIntermediate wave: 4 Up Intermediate wave: C Down

Minor Wave: a Up Minor Wave: 5 Down

i i l

1‐2 weeks: Positive 1‐2 weeks: Negative

2 4 k Sid 2 4 k N tiDirectional component 2‐4 weeks: Sideways 2‐4 weeks: Negative 

4‐6 weeks: Sideways to Negative 4‐6 weeks: Sideways to weak

Price range (1‐2 weeks)IL: 34.00 cents IL: 30.00 cents

Mentor’s price outlook:C ti i lik l t t b 31 50 d i h hi h t d 34 00/35 50 t i th i f k

Price range (1 2 weeks)SL: 32.00 cents SL: 32.50 cents

© TransGraph Consulting Put Ltd   Slide

Corrective rise likely to stay above 31.50 and inch higher towards 34.00/35.50 cents in the coming few weeks.

12

Preferred Elliott wave Count on Coconut oil CIF Rotterdam- Long termCoconut oil CIF Rotterdam Long term

Coconut Oil CIF Rotterdam price is seen moving lower in the nature of Intermediate Wave ‘B’ within

© TransGraph Consulting Put Ltd   Slide 13

Primary Wave ‘B’ Up. Zone of USD 1000-950 would be high probability culmination for corrective ‘B’ and then Impulsive ‘C’ Wave upside is expected towards USD 1400 in the coming 1-2 months.

Elliott wave Analyzer

Mentor’s Elliott Wave AnalyzerMarket Philippines Coconut Oil 1M Forward

Week closing USD 1070 per MT on Oct. 17, 2014

Preferred Count

Elliott wave count Cycle: 2 Down

Primary wave: B UpPrimary wave: B Up

Intermediate wave:  B Down

Minor Wave: c Down

i i l kDirectional component

1‐2 weeks: Negative

2‐4 weeks: Sideways

Price range (1‐2weeks)

IL: USD 1000

SL: USD 950

© TransGraph Consulting Put Ltd   Slide 14

Preferred Elliott wave Count on Argentina Sunflower Oil long termArgentina Sunflower Oil –long term

Argentina Sunflower Oil price is most likely has culminated Intermediate wave ‘C’ down and now at

© TransGraph Consulting Put Ltd   Slide 15

least there wave Up is expected towards USD 950/1000 in the coming 1-2 months.

Preferred Elliott wave Count on Ukraine Sunflower Oil –long termUkraine Sunflower Oil long term

Ukraine Sunflower Oil price is most likely has culminated Intermediate wave ‘C’ down and now at

© TransGraph Consulting Put Ltd   Slide 16

least there wave Up is expected towards USD 900/950 in the coming 1-2 months.

Elliott Wave Analyzer

Mentor’s Elliott Wave Analyzer

MarketArgentina Sunflower Oil 1‐M 

Fwd.Ukraine Sunflower Oil 1‐M 

Fwd.

Week closing USD 840/MT on Oct. 17, 2014 USD 805/MT on Oct. 17, 2014

Preferred Count Preferred Count

Cycle: 2 Down Cycle: 2 Down

Elliott wave count

Cycle: 2 Down Cycle: 2 Down

Primary wave: Y Down Primary wave: Y Down

Intermediate wave: 1 Up Intermediate wave: 1 Up

Mi W 1 U Mi W 1 UMinor Wave: 1 Up Minor Wave: 1 Up

Directional component

1‐2 weeks: Sideways 1‐2 weeks: Sideways

2‐4 weeks: Positive 2‐4 weeks: Positive

Mentor’s price outlook:

4‐6 weeks: Sideways 4‐6 weeks: Sideways

Price range 1‐2 weeks:  USD 800‐860 1‐2 weeks:  USD 800‐860

© TransGraph Consulting Put Ltd   Slide

pPrices are likely to trade stay above USD 800 for Argentina Sunflower Oil and Ukraine Sunflower and tradehigher towards USD 860/900 in the coming 3-4 weeks.

17

Thanking you for your attention.Thanking you for your attention.

WWW+91‐40‐30685000

(4 lines)[email protected]@transgraph.com www.transgraph.com

TransGraph Consulting Private Limited6‐3‐655 / 2 / 1, A.P. Civil Supplies Bhavan Lane, Somajiguda,Hyderabad ‐ 500 082, India.

18

LEGAL INFORMATION

This document is the whole property of Transgraph Consulting Private Limited, Hyderabad, India (hereafter “TransGraph”).

The following acts are strictly prohibited:g y pReproduction and/or forwarding for sale or any other usesPosting on any communication mediumTransmittal via the Internet

Terms of usageUpon receipt of this document either directly or indirectly, it is understood that the user will and must fully comply with the other terms and conditions ofTransGraph. By accepting this document the user agrees to be bound by the foregoing limitations.

This publication is prepared by TransGraph and protected by copyright laws. Unless otherwise noted in the Service Agreement, the entire contents of thispublication are copyrighted by TransGraph, and may not be reproduced, stored in another retrieval system, posted on any communication medium, ortransmitted in any form or by any means without prior written consent of TransGraph. Unauthorized reproduction or distribution of this publication, or anyportion of it, may result in severe civil and criminal penalties, and will be prosecuted to the maximum extent necessary to protect the rights of TransGraph.

The information and opinions contained in this report have been obtained from sources TransGraph believed to be reliable, but no representation orwarranty, express or implied, is made that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such.

This report does not constitute a prospectus or other offering document or an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any assets (commodities, currencies, etc) orother investment. Information and opinions contained in the report are published for the assistance of recipients, but are not to be relied upon asauthoritative or taken in substitution for the exercise of judgment by any recipient; they are subject to change without any notice and not intended to providethe sole basis of any evaluation of the instruments discussed herein. Any views expressed reflect the current views of the analysts, which do not necessarily

d h i i f T G h i ffili O i i d diff f i i h d i l di h bli h dcorrespond to the opinions of TransGraph or its affiliates. Opinions expressed may differ from views set out in other documents, including research, publishedby TransGraph.

Any reference to past performance should not be taken as an indication of future performance. No member in the public related to TransGraph accepts anyliability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of material contained in this report.

Analyst CertificationEach analyst responsible for the preparation of this report certifies that (i) all views expressed in this report accurately reflect the analyst's views about anyand all of the factors and assets (commodities, currencies, etc) named in this report, and (ii) no part of the analyst's compensation is directly or indirectly,related to the execution of the specific recommendations or views expressed herein.

Copyright © TransGraph Consulting Private Limited, Hyderabad, India.

Prepared by Consulting Team – TransGraphRegistered Office: 6‐3‐655/2/1, AP Civil Supplies Bhavan Lane, Somajiguda, Hyderabad – 500082 INDIAPhone: +91‐40‐30685000 - 04 | E‐mail: services@transgraph com | Internet: www transgraph com

19