webinar course - intermidate – lesson 1 - how to read a graph (colby)

Todays Objectives:

Intermediate Course Lesson 1Objectives :How to Read a Graph went over cherry picking last courseWhen you signal make a tradeSeparate Columns showing graphing signals.

Why GraphingCharting takes your stock picking from middle class to world class.Learn signalsMake smarter decisionsUse as Stop CriteriaAn Instant Backtest

Different SignalsBullish signals / Bearish SignalsTrend Lines connecting lows, highsSupport and ResistanceLower Lows, Lower HighsHigher Lows, Higher HighsDouble BottomDouble Top

Bullish SignalsTrend Linelet the trend be your friendBouncing off Support Breaking above ResistancePivot PointsLower highsHigh LowsDouble Bottom (BAC june 2012)

Trend LinesUp TrendConnecting high pointsDown TrendConnecting high points

Trend LinesUp TrendBUDAnheuser-Busch5/31/2011 6/19/2013Up TrendBACBank of America5/10/2012 6/19/2013

Trend LinesDown TrendANRAlpha Naturl10/12/2012 6/19/2013Down TrendWLTWalter Energy8/12/2011 6/19/2013

How to Draw a Trend LineConnect Low Point for Bullish lineConnect High Points for Bearish line

AAPL Nov 2008 Nov 2011



AAPL Nov 2008 Nov 2011LowLowLowLowLow

AAPL Nov 2008 Nov 2011LowLowLowLowLow

Up over 400%


Drawdown 10%

How to Use Trend LinesUse Trend Lines for Trading GuidesBullish Trend LineLook for a Bearish signal

Bearish Trend LineLook for Bullish Signal

Bullish Trend LineLook for a bearish signal

NFLXNov 2009 May 2012

Low

Low



Low

Low

Bullish Trend Line



Bearish Signal


*Breakout*

Signals

BullishBearish

Signals

BullishBearishBreaking BELOW the Trend Line

Bearish Trend LineLook for a bullish signal

IBMMarch 2012 Sept. 2012


IBMMarch 2012 Sept. 2012Bearish Trend Line



Highs


Bullish Signal


*Breakout*

Signals


Signals

BullishBearishBreaking BELOW the Trend LineBreaking ABOVE the Trend Line

Recent Example

FGPSept 2010 June 2013




FGPSept 2010 June 2013*Breakout*

FGPSept 2010 June 2013Up 21%




Up 20%




Up 17%In 30 days

Test on Trend LinesGo online for Test on trend lines

Trend LinesSupport and ResistanceHighs and LowsDoubles

Support and Resistance DefinitionColby terms: ranges of a stocks patterns

Stocks trade in channels and patterns.Like the tide of the ocean

QuestionHow much money would you have made on AMZN or XOM from 1/17/13 6/19/13?

Jan 17th 2013 - ________

Jan 17th 2013 - ________

Jan 17th 2013 - ________

Up 3.5%

FlatWhy would you ever buy a stock?

Up 1%

WHY?

Support and Resistance

Support and ResistanceFLOOR


CEILING


CEILINGFLOOR

Support and ResistanceCEILINGFLOOR



CEILING


CEILING


CEILING

FLOOR


CEILING

FLOOR


CEILING

FLOOR

Support and ResistanceCEILINGFLOORCEILINGFLOOR

Support and ResistanceCEILINGCEILINGFLOORCEILINGFLOOR

Support and ResistanceCEILINGCEILINGFLOORCEILINGFLOOR

FLOOR

Support and ResistanceCEILINGCEILINGFLOORFLOORCEILINGFLOOR

PNRAJune 2012 June 2013











PNRAJune 2012 June 20, 2013

BullishBearish


BullishBullishBearish

Signals


Breaking ABOVE the Trend LineBreak ABOVE Resistance


BullishBullishBearish


Bullish


Bullish


BullishBullish

Signals






Bearish

Signals

BullishBearishBreaking BELOW the Trend LineBreak BELOW Support


Trend LinesSupport and ResistanceHighs and LowsDoubles

Price Highs and Price LowsStock Prices move like the tide of the ocean.High tide doesnt just happen, and most stock prices do not drastically rise or fall over night.

IBM

IBM

IBM

IBM

IBM

IBM

IBM

Low Point

IBM

High Point

IBM

High Point

IBM

High PointHigh Point

Higher High

Signals


Breaking ABOVE the Trend LineBreak ABOVE ResistanceHigher High

IBM

IBM

Low PointLow Point

HigherLow

Signals


Breaking ABOVE the Trend LineBreak ABOVE ResistanceHigher HighLower High

IBM

IBM

IBM

IBM

IBM

IBMApril 2012 June 14, 2013





LowerHigh

Signals

BullishBearishBreaking BELOW the Trend LineBreak BELOW SupportLower High

Breaking ABOVE the Trend LineBreak ABOVE ResistanceHigher HighHigher Low

EBAYJuly 2012 May 21, 2013



Down8%In 10 days

XOMJuly 2012 June 21, 2013



Possible downtrend

ANRJuly 2012 Jan 2013

ANRJuly 2012 Feb. 20, 2013

ANRJuly 2012 Feb. 20, 2013

ANRJuly 2012 Feb. 20, 2013

Low Point

Low Point

ANRJuly 2012 Feb. 20, 2013

Low PointLow Point

Lower Low

Signals

BullishBearishBreaking BELOW the Trend LineBreak BELOW SupportLower HighLower Low


ANRJuly 2012 Feb. 20, 2013

ANRJuly 2012 Feb. 20, 2013

Lower Highs

ANRJuly 2012 Feb. 20, 2013

Higher Lows

ANRJuly 2012 Feb. 20, 2013

Lower HighsHigher Lows

ANRJuly 2012 Feb. 20, 2013

ANRJuly 2012 June 2013

Down 40% In 4 months

Signals



Write This DownWhen you see a bullish signal, make a bullish trade

When you see a bearish signal, make a bearish trade

Write This DownWhen you see a bullish signal, make a bullish trade

Write This Down

When you see a bearish signal, make a bearish trade

Stock Direction

BullishBearishBuy StockBuy CallSell PutNeutral

Sell CallSell PutShort StockSell CallBuy Put

Signals



Stock Direction

BullishBearishBuy StockBuy CallSell PutNeutral

Sell CallSell PutShort StockSell CallBuy Put

Graph SignalsBreaking ABOVE the Trend LineBreak ABOVE ResistanceHigher HighHigher LowBreaking BELOW the Trend LineBreak BELOW SupportLower HighLower Low

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webinar course - intermidate – lesson 1 - how to read a graph (colby)

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