webcast – conference call november 10 , 2011...3q10 3q11 q3 2011 results overview 429 502 0 200...

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Third Quarter 2011 Results November 2011 WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL November 10 th , 2011 Mr. Miguel Martínez CFO

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Page 1: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL November 10 , 2011...3Q10 3Q11 Q3 2011 Results Overview 429 502 0 200 400 600 3Q10 3Q11 ... accionistas,inversores,webcast,conference,call,3Q,2011,Repsol

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Third Quarter 2011 Results

November 2011

WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALLNovember 10th, 2011

Mr. Miguel MartínezCFO

Mr. Miguel MartínezCFO

Page 2: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL November 10 , 2011...3Q10 3Q11 Q3 2011 Results Overview 429 502 0 200 400 600 3Q10 3Q11 ... accionistas,inversores,webcast,conference,call,3Q,2011,Repsol

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Disclaimer

ALL RIGHTS ARE RESERVED

© REPSOL YPF, S.A. 2011

Repsol YPF, S.A. is the exclusive owner of this document. No part of this document may be reproduced (including photocopying), stored, duplicated, copied, distributed or introduced into a retrieval system of any nature or transmitted in any form or by any means without the prior written permission of Repsol YPF, S.A.

This document does not constitute an offer or invitation to purchase or subscribe shares, in accordance with the provisions of the Spanish Securities Market Law (Law 24/1988, of July 28, as amended and restated) and its implementing regulations. In addition, this document does not constitute an offer of purchase, sale or exchange, nor a request for an offer of purchase, sale or exchange of securities in any other jurisdiction. In particular, This document does not constitute an offer to purchase, subscribe, sale or exchange of RepsolYPF's or YPF Sociedad Anonima's respective ordinary shares or ADSs in the United States or otherwise. Repsol YPF's and YPF Sociedad Anonima's respective ordinary shares and ADSs may not be sold in the United States absent registration or an exemption from registration under the US Securities Act of 1933, as amended.

The resources mentioned in this document do not constitute proved reserves and will be recognized as such when they comply with the formal conditions required by the U. S. Securities and Exchange Commission. In addition, this document contains statements that Repsol YPF believes constitute forward-looking statements which may include statements regarding the intent, belief, or current expectations of Repsol YPF and its management, including statements with respect to trends affecting Repsol YPF’s financial condition, financial ratios, results of operations, business, strategy, geographic concentration, production volume and reserves, capital expenditures, costs savings, investments and dividend payout policies. These forward-looking statements may also include assumptions regarding future economic and other conditions, such as future crude oil and other prices, refining and marketing margins and exchange rates and are generally identified by the words “expects”, “anticipates”, “forecasts”, “believes”, estimates”, “notices” and similar expressions. These statements are not guarantees of future performance, prices, margins, exchange rates or other events and are subject to material risks, uncertainties, changes and other factors which may be beyond Repsol YPF’s control or may be difficult to predict. Within those risks are those factors described in the filings made by Repsol YPF and its affiliates with the Comisión Nacional del Mercado de Valores in Spain, the Comisión Nacional de Valores in Argentina, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission in the United States and with any other supervisory authority of those markets where the securities issued by Repsol YPF and/or its affiliates are listed.

Repsol YPF does not undertake to publicly update or revise these forward-looking statements even if experience or future changes make it clear that the projected performance, conditions or events expressed or implied therein will not be realized.

The information contained in the document has not been verified or revised by the Auditors of Repsol YPF.

Page 3: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL November 10 , 2011...3Q10 3Q11 Q3 2011 Results Overview 429 502 0 200 400 600 3Q10 3Q11 ... accionistas,inversores,webcast,conference,call,3Q,2011,Repsol

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Agenda

Q3 2011 Results

Status of Upstream activity

Update on unconventional oil in YPF

Startup of Cartagena and Bilbao

Page 4: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL November 10 , 2011...3Q10 3Q11 Q3 2011 Results Overview 429 502 0 200 400 600 3Q10 3Q11 ... accionistas,inversores,webcast,conference,call,3Q,2011,Repsol

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Agenda

Q3 2011 Results

Status of Upstream activity

Update on unconventional oil in YPF

Startup of Cartagena and Bilbao

Page 5: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL November 10 , 2011...3Q10 3Q11 Q3 2011 Results Overview 429 502 0 200 400 600 3Q10 3Q11 ... accionistas,inversores,webcast,conference,call,3Q,2011,Repsol

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1137 1202

0

400

800

1200

3Q10 3Q11

Q3 2011 ResultsOverview

429502

0

200

400

600

3Q10 3Q11

Million €

Excellent performance in YPF

Better results in LNG

Increased results in Upstream

CCS Adjusted Net IncomeMillion €

CCS Adjusted Operating Income

Page 6: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL November 10 , 2011...3Q10 3Q11 Q3 2011 Results Overview 429 502 0 200 400 600 3Q10 3Q11 ... accionistas,inversores,webcast,conference,call,3Q,2011,Repsol

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Q3 2011 Results Upstream Adjusted Operating Income

Million €

310

7103

322

187

(39)

(246)

0

100

200

300

400

500

3Q10 Price effect netof taxes

Volume net ofdepreciation

ExplorationCosts

Exchange rate Others 3Q11

Page 7: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL November 10 , 2011...3Q10 3Q11 Q3 2011 Results Overview 429 502 0 200 400 600 3Q10 3Q11 ... accionistas,inversores,webcast,conference,call,3Q,2011,Repsol

6

346283

0

100

200

300

3Q10 3Q11

Q3 2011 ResultsProduction

Main Factors:

Unrest in Libya

Maintenance & refurbishing works in T&T

Productionkboed

Shenzi production is back to 2010 levelsPeru production increased due to LNG projectLibya already producing

Page 8: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL November 10 , 2011...3Q10 3Q11 Q3 2011 Results Overview 429 502 0 200 400 600 3Q10 3Q11 ... accionistas,inversores,webcast,conference,call,3Q,2011,Repsol

7

47

108

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

3Q10 3Q11

Million €

Q3 2011 Results LNG Adjusted Operating Income

Main Factors:

Higher Peru LNG volumes

Stronger LNG marketing margins

Page 9: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL November 10 , 2011...3Q10 3Q11 Q3 2011 Results Overview 429 502 0 200 400 600 3Q10 3Q11 ... accionistas,inversores,webcast,conference,call,3Q,2011,Repsol

8

258

45

219

(42)

(6)(36)

0

100

200

300

3Q10 RefiningActivity

Chemical Marketing &LPG

Exchange rate& others

3Q11

Q3 2011 ResultsDownstream CCS Adjusted Operating Income

Million €

Page 10: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL November 10 , 2011...3Q10 3Q11 Q3 2011 Results Overview 429 502 0 200 400 600 3Q10 3Q11 ... accionistas,inversores,webcast,conference,call,3Q,2011,Repsol

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Million €

Q3 2011 Results YPF Adjusted Operating Income

393 430

193

(167)(35)

(183)

229

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

3Q10 Price increasesin domestic

markets

Export prices &international pricerelated products

net of taxes

Volume sales &Purchases

Costs Others 3Q11

Page 11: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL November 10 , 2011...3Q10 3Q11 Q3 2011 Results Overview 429 502 0 200 400 600 3Q10 3Q11 ... accionistas,inversores,webcast,conference,call,3Q,2011,Repsol

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199198

0

50

100

150

200

3Q10 3Q11

Million €

Q3 2011 Results Gas Natural Fenosa Adjusted Operating Income

Page 12: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL November 10 , 2011...3Q10 3Q11 Q3 2011 Results Overview 429 502 0 200 400 600 3Q10 3Q11 ... accionistas,inversores,webcast,conference,call,3Q,2011,Repsol

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Agenda

Q3 2011 Results

Status of Upstream activity

Update on unconventional oil in YPF

Startup of Cartagena and Bilbao

Page 13: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL November 10 , 2011...3Q10 3Q11 Q3 2011 Results Overview 429 502 0 200 400 600 3Q10 3Q11 ... accionistas,inversores,webcast,conference,call,3Q,2011,Repsol

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Exploratory programUp to date activity

• Exploratory wells:

− 3 in Brazil (Abaré, Pao de Azucar, Itaborai)

− 1 in Bolivia (Sararenda)

• Appraisal wells:

− Brazil (Guara RDA)

CURRENT ACTIVITY

• Exploratory wells (Brazil):

− Gavea

− Tingua

− Malombe

• Appraisal wells: − Peru (Kinteroni 2, 3)− Venezuela (Perla 4X, 5X)− Carioca NE− GoM (Buckskin 2)− Brazil (Guara Sul)

POSITIVE RESULTS

Page 14: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL November 10 , 2011...3Q10 3Q11 Q3 2011 Results Overview 429 502 0 200 400 600 3Q10 3Q11 ... accionistas,inversores,webcast,conference,call,3Q,2011,Repsol

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Exploratory programRest of the year activity

COUNTRY WELL

BRAZIL SAGITARIO (BM-S-50)

CARIOCA SELA (BM-S-9)

SIERRA LEONE JUPITER

GUYANA JAGUAR

PERU SAGARI

NORWAY ULVETANNA

(*) the six wells will be finished in 2012

Page 15: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL November 10 , 2011...3Q10 3Q11 Q3 2011 Results Overview 429 502 0 200 400 600 3Q10 3Q11 ... accionistas,inversores,webcast,conference,call,3Q,2011,Repsol

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Agenda

Q3 2011 Results

Status of Upstream activity

Update on unconventional oil in YPF

Startup of Cartagena and Bilbao

Page 16: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL November 10 , 2011...3Q10 3Q11 Q3 2011 Results Overview 429 502 0 200 400 600 3Q10 3Q11 ... accionistas,inversores,webcast,conference,call,3Q,2011,Repsol

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YPF Unconventional ProgramProgress on shale oil (II)

• 428 Km2 area where pilot was performed

• 15 positive wells in production

• Initial productions: 200 / 600 BPD

• 43 M Bbl/km2 of OOIP (estimated)

• Recoverable resources: 927 Mboe (80% oil)

9271040741428Loma Campana

BOE (Mboe)Gas (BCFs)Crude (Mbbls)Surface (km2)Loma La Lata Norte +

Page 17: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL November 10 , 2011...3Q10 3Q11 Q3 2011 Results Overview 429 502 0 200 400 600 3Q10 3Q11 ... accionistas,inversores,webcast,conference,call,3Q,2011,Repsol

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• Second area of 502 Km2 area (306 Km2 net) where additional activity is being conducted.

• Two discoveries: Bajada de Añelo, La AmargaChica.

• Positive preliminary data.

YPF Unconventional ProgramProgress on shale oil (III)

Page 18: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL November 10 , 2011...3Q10 3Q11 Q3 2011 Results Overview 429 502 0 200 400 600 3Q10 3Q11 ... accionistas,inversores,webcast,conference,call,3Q,2011,Repsol

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YPF Unconventional ProgramProgress on shale oil (I)

Area 1430 km2

• 15 wells drilled and producing• Further development in 2012• 927 Mboe estimated recoverable resources

Area 2502 km2

Future Areas

• 2 wells drilled with good results• Further appraisal activity in 2012

Activity & Results

• Activity on remaining 11,000 km2

Page 19: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL November 10 , 2011...3Q10 3Q11 Q3 2011 Results Overview 429 502 0 200 400 600 3Q10 3Q11 ... accionistas,inversores,webcast,conference,call,3Q,2011,Repsol

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Agenda

Q3 2011 Results

Status of Upstream activity

Update on unconventional oil in YPF

Startup of Cartagena and Bilbao

Page 20: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL November 10 , 2011...3Q10 3Q11 Q3 2011 Results Overview 429 502 0 200 400 600 3Q10 3Q11 ... accionistas,inversores,webcast,conference,call,3Q,2011,Repsol

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The premium on refining margins would consistently be above 2$/bblIncrease in CCS Operating Free Cash Flow before taxes ~ 1,1 Bn€ / Year (*)

(*) Based on a +2$/bbl premium, and taking into account the difference in investments between both years.

Startup of Cartagena and Bilbao

CARTAGENA

BILBAO

Simulating the premium under current conditions

Premium coming from projects (Cartagena + Bilbao)

0,0

1,0

2,0

3,0

4,0

5,0

May

-10

Jun-

10

Jul-1

0

Aug

-10

Sep

-10

Oct

-10

Nov

-10

Dec

-10

Jan-

11

Feb-

11

Mar

-11

Apr

-11

May

-11

Jun-

11

Jul-1

1

Aug

-11

Sep

-11

Oct

-11

$/bbl

Page 21: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL November 10 , 2011...3Q10 3Q11 Q3 2011 Results Overview 429 502 0 200 400 600 3Q10 3Q11 ... accionistas,inversores,webcast,conference,call,3Q,2011,Repsol

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Third Quarter 2011 Results

November 2011

WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALLNovember 10th, 2011

Mr. Miguel MartínezCFO

Mr. Miguel MartínezCFO