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© WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL First Quarter 2017 Results May 4th, 2017 Repsol Investor Relations www.repsol.com

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Page 1: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL First Quarter 2017 Results · 2020-06-02 · WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL First Quarter 2017 Results May 4th, 2017. Repsol Investor Relations  ©

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WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL First Quarter 2017 Results May 4th, 2017

Repsol Investor Relations www.repsol.com

Page 2: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL First Quarter 2017 Results · 2020-06-02 · WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL First Quarter 2017 Results May 4th, 2017. Repsol Investor Relations  ©

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Disclaimer

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ALL RIGHTS ARE RESERVED

© REPSOL, S.A. 2017

Repsol, S.A. is the exclusive owner of this document. No part of this document may be reproduced (including photocopying), stored, duplicated, copied, distributed or introduced into a retrieval system of any nature or transmitted in any form or by any means without the prior written permission of Repsol, S.A.

This document does not constitute an offer or invitation to purchase or subscribe shares, pursuant to the provisions of the Royal Legislative Decree 4/2015 of the 23rd of October approving the recast text of the Spanish Securities Market Law and its implementing regulations. In addition, this document does not constitute an offer to purchase, sell, or exchange, neither a request for an offer of purchase, sale or exchange of securities in any other jurisdiction.

This document contains statements that Repsol believes constitute forward-looking statements which may include statements regarding the intent, belief, or current expectations of Repsol and its management, including statements with respect to trends affecting Repsol’s financial condition, financial ratios, results of operations, business, strategy, geographic concentration, production volume and reserves, capital expenditures, costs savings, investments and dividend payout policies. These forward-looking statements may also include assumptions regarding future economic and other conditions, such as future crude oil and other prices, refining and marketing margins and exchange rates and are generally identified by the words “expects”, “anticipates”, “forecasts”, “believes”, estimates”, “notices” and similar expressions. These statements are not guarantees of future performance, prices, margins, exchange rates or other events and are subject to material risks, uncertainties, changes and other factors which may be beyond Repsol’s control or may be difficult to predict. Within those risks are those factors and circumstances described in the filings made by Repsol and its affiliates with the Comisión Nacional del Mercado de Valores in Spain and with any other supervisory authority of those markets where the securities issued by Repsol and/or its affiliates are listed.

Repsol does not undertake to publicly update or revise these forward-looking statements even if experience or future changes make it clear that the projected performance, conditions or events expressed or implied therein will not be realized.

In October 2015, the European Securities Markets Authority (ESMA) published the Guidelines on Alternative Performance Measures (APM), of mandatory application for the regulated information to be published from 3 July 2016. Information and disclosures related to APM used on the present Q1 Results Earnings Release are included in Appendix IV “Alternative Performance Measures” of the Interim Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for the three-month period ended 31 March 2017 The information contained in the document has not been verified or revised by the Auditors of Repsol.

Page 3: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL First Quarter 2017 Results · 2020-06-02 · WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL First Quarter 2017 Results May 4th, 2017. Repsol Investor Relations  ©

First quarter 2017 Results

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1. Summary of the first quarter of 2017

2. Operational results

3. Financial results

4. Progress of the key strategic objectives

5. Conclusions

Page 4: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL First Quarter 2017 Results · 2020-06-02 · WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL First Quarter 2017 Results May 4th, 2017. Repsol Investor Relations  ©

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33.9

45.5

45.9 49.3 53.7

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17

Brent - $/bbl

2.1 2.0

2.8 3.0

3.3

1,0

1,5

2,0

2,5

3,0

3,5

1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17

Henry Hub - $/Mbtu Exchange Rate - $/€

1.10

1.13 1.12

1.08

1.06

1,00

1,05

1,10

1,15

1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17

2017B*: 1.05

2017B*: 55

4

Market environment

2017B*: 3.2

*Budget for 2017

Page 5: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL First Quarter 2017 Results · 2020-06-02 · WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL First Quarter 2017 Results May 4th, 2017. Repsol Investor Relations  ©

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Summary of the first quarter of 2017 .

5

Upstream

Downstream

Continued delivery on strategic objectives

Strong EBITDA CCS generation €1.7Bn

Net debt in line with projections €8.3Bn

Production volumes ahead of plan 693 kboe/d

Exploration: discovery in Alaska 1.2 Bn barrels recoverable(1)

Refining business in line with expectations 7.1 $/bbl(2)

Consistent results from Chemical and Commercial businesses (1) Gross contingent resources (2) Refining Margin Indicator

Page 6: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL First Quarter 2017 Results · 2020-06-02 · WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL First Quarter 2017 Results May 4th, 2017. Repsol Investor Relations  ©

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Operational Activity Upstream

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1Q17 volumes were supported by:

Return of Libyan barrels 20 kboe/d in the quarter

Normalization of volumes produced in the UK North Sea (post maintenance)

Full-quarter contribution from Lapa

679 kboe/d

4Q 2016

693 kboe/d

1Q 2017

+ 2%

Exploration program:

5(1) exploratory wells completed (2 positive)

Exploration program for 2017: 17 wells(2)

Development activity:

Flyndre (UK) started production in March

Expected start-up of Monarb (UK) soon

Start-up Juniper (T&T) and Kinabalu (Malaysia) in 2H17

First-gas Reggane and Sagari before year end

FID Red Emperor (Vietnam) in April (1) 4 in 1Q17, 1 post quarter end (2) 15 exploratory and 2 appraisals wells

Page 7: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL First Quarter 2017 Results · 2020-06-02 · WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL First Quarter 2017 Results May 4th, 2017. Repsol Investor Relations  ©

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Operational activity

Utilization rates

Refining Margin Indicator

6.3 6.5 5.1

7.2 7.1

0

5

10

1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17$/bbl

Downstream

Petrochemicals

• Strong performance:

• EBIT in line with 4Q16

• International prices increase

• Firm global demand

87%

Distillation

1Q 2017

97%

Conversion units

Commercial businesses

Marketing

• Strong growing market in Spain

7

6.4(1)

(1) Budget for 2017

Page 8: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL First Quarter 2017 Results · 2020-06-02 · WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL First Quarter 2017 Results May 4th, 2017. Repsol Investor Relations  ©

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Quarterly Results

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CCS Adjusted Net Income Q1 2017 % Variation

+ 10% 630

Net Income 689 + 59%

Q1 2016

572

434

EBITDA CCS Million €

1,731 + 39% 1,242

CCS Adjusted Net Income Q1 2017 Variation

+ 207 224

Q1 2016

17 UPSTREAM

CCS Adjusted Net Income Q1 2017 Variation

- 56 500

Q1 2016

556 DOWNSTREAM

Million €

Million €

Page 9: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL First Quarter 2017 Results · 2020-06-02 · WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL First Quarter 2017 Results May 4th, 2017. Repsol Investor Relations  ©

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Progress of the key strategic objectives

Efficiency & Synergies (€Bn)

Group Capex (€Bn)

Production (kboe/d)

Credit Rating

Refining Margin Indicator ($/bbl)

2017(1)

2.1 Accelerate our 2018 target to 2017

3.6 Downstream and Corporate capex at similiar levels as in 2016

~680 Libya ahead of plan in 1Q17

Inv. Grade

S&P improved outlook to “stable” Net Debt / EBITDA: 1.1x – 1.2x (target for the year)

6.4 Avg. Refining Margin Indicator in April: $7.2/bbl

FCF Neutrality ($/bbl) ~42 Long term goal ~$40/bbl

Upstream Capex (€Bn)

2.7 1Q17: €0.5Bn

Increasing capex intensity during next quarters

2016

1.6

690

3.2

6.3

Inv. Grade

42

2.4

(1) Guidance for FY2017

Page 10: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL First Quarter 2017 Results · 2020-06-02 · WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL First Quarter 2017 Results May 4th, 2017. Repsol Investor Relations  ©

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Conclusions

UPSTREAM

DOWNSTREAM

CORPORATION Cost reduction

Investment optimization New projects on time and budget

Leading margins Strong chemical business

Credit rating: BBB Stable FCF breakeven: $40-42/bbl

Improved macro-economic environment

Hard to predict geopolitical background

Focus on delivering our strategic plan, built on a foundation of value and resilience

Page 11: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL First Quarter 2017 Results · 2020-06-02 · WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL First Quarter 2017 Results May 4th, 2017. Repsol Investor Relations  ©

First Quarter 2017 Results

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Q&A Session

Repsol Investor Relations [email protected]

Page 12: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL First Quarter 2017 Results · 2020-06-02 · WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL First Quarter 2017 Results May 4th, 2017. Repsol Investor Relations  ©

© Repsol Investor Relations www.repsol.com

WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL First Quarter 2017 Results May 4th, 2017