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Weatherization and Renewable Energy: The Colorado Experience Joseph M. Pereira Director of Low-Income Energy Services September 29, 2016 @pereira1_j

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Page 1: Weatherization and Renewable Energy: The Colorado Experience › ... › uploads › 2018 › 02 › wx20renewable.pdf · 2018-06-06 · Weatherization and Renewable Energy: The Colorado

Weatherization and Renewable Energy:

The Colorado Experience

Joseph M. Pereira

Director of Low-Income Energy Services

September 29, 2016

@pereira1_j

Page 2: Weatherization and Renewable Energy: The Colorado Experience › ... › uploads › 2018 › 02 › wx20renewable.pdf · 2018-06-06 · Weatherization and Renewable Energy: The Colorado

The CEO’s vision is to help Coloradans live more prosperous and healthy lives

by promoting innovative energy production and efficient energy consumption

practices that are beneficial to the economic and environmental health of

the state.

DEPARTMENT VISION

MISSION STATEMENT

The CEO’s mission is to improve the effective use of all of Colorado's energy

resources and the efficient consumption of energy in all economic sectors,

through providing technical guidance, financial support, policy advocacy and

public communications.

The Colorado Energy Office

Page 3: Weatherization and Renewable Energy: The Colorado Experience › ... › uploads › 2018 › 02 › wx20renewable.pdf · 2018-06-06 · Weatherization and Renewable Energy: The Colorado

Household Fuel Usage in Colorado

88.3%

4.4%6.3%

1.0%

CO Residential Heating Fuel Usage

Natural Gas

Electricity

Propane

Other

54.0%

19.0%

26.0%

1.0%

CO Residential Energy by End Use

Space Heat

Water Heat

Appliances, etc.

Air Conditioning

Page 4: Weatherization and Renewable Energy: The Colorado Experience › ... › uploads › 2018 › 02 › wx20renewable.pdf · 2018-06-06 · Weatherization and Renewable Energy: The Colorado

Gas and Electricity Costs in Colorado

$0.00

$5.00

$10.00

$15.00

$20.00

$25.00

$30.00

$35.00

$40.00

Natural Gas Electricity

$/M

MBtu

2014 CO Residential Energy Costs Annual CO Residential Energy Costs

Page 5: Weatherization and Renewable Energy: The Colorado Experience › ... › uploads › 2018 › 02 › wx20renewable.pdf · 2018-06-06 · Weatherization and Renewable Energy: The Colorado

$0

$250

$500

$750

$1,000

$1,250

$1,500

$1,750

$2,000

0

25

50

75

100

125

150

Annual Energ

y E

xpendit

ure

Annual Energ

y U

sage (

MM

Btu

)Energy Usage and Expenditure by Region

Gas Usage Electric Usage Gas Bill Electric Bill

Energy Usage• Denver Metro, N. Front Range,

and Plains have similar energy

usage

• Mountain has higher energy

usage

• Western Slope has lower energy

usage

• Gas makes up more than 70% of

usage, but accounts for less than

40% of expenditure

• Gas is relatively inexpensive

compared to electricity (and

vice-versa)

Page 6: Weatherization and Renewable Energy: The Colorado Experience › ... › uploads › 2018 › 02 › wx20renewable.pdf · 2018-06-06 · Weatherization and Renewable Energy: The Colorado

Total

Energy

Savings

Client

Energy

Burden

Environment

Weatherization

Considerations• Energy Savings vs. Energy Burden

• Energy value

• Electricity vs. Natural Gas

• Targeting electric loads

• Targeting seasonal loads

• Solar PV

• Environment

Page 7: Weatherization and Renewable Energy: The Colorado Experience › ... › uploads › 2018 › 02 › wx20renewable.pdf · 2018-06-06 · Weatherization and Renewable Energy: The Colorado

Goal: Reduce Energy Burden

Annual Energy

Expenditure

Annual Income

Energy

Burden

Reduction in

Annual Energy

Expenditure

Reduction in

Energy Burden

Maximize energy cost savings for EACH client

Page 8: Weatherization and Renewable Energy: The Colorado Experience › ... › uploads › 2018 › 02 › wx20renewable.pdf · 2018-06-06 · Weatherization and Renewable Energy: The Colorado

CEO Wx Home Heating

• Weatherization is the building block program to address client cost savings.

• Wx has been highly effective in addressing cost savings related to home heating.

However, most of the potential savings have been realized.

• Adjustments made in Wx take what we are already doing well and improve it by

percentage points.

• Largest gains Wx can make on a “Macro” level are in the homes Wx installs in,

not what Wx installs.

Page 9: Weatherization and Renewable Energy: The Colorado Experience › ... › uploads › 2018 › 02 › wx20renewable.pdf · 2018-06-06 · Weatherization and Renewable Energy: The Colorado

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

Gas Energy Savings by Region

Aggregate Savings Median Unit Savings

Gas Energy Savings

• Savings calculated by

comparing energy usage to

Heating-Degree Days

• Aggregate energy savings

across the state is about

15%

• Median energy savings

across the state is about

12%

• Still looking into

electricity savings

Page 10: Weatherization and Renewable Energy: The Colorado Experience › ... › uploads › 2018 › 02 › wx20renewable.pdf · 2018-06-06 · Weatherization and Renewable Energy: The Colorado

0MM 1MM 2MM 3MM 4MM

1-NECALG 6.8% 29.5% 39.1% 21.8% 2.8%

2-Pueblo 8.3% 24.6% 43.4% 23.2% 0.5%

4-HRWC 2.7% 34.0% 43.8% 17.5% 2.0%

5-NWCCOG 4.6% 18.5% 49.0% 25.0% 2.9%

6-LPEC 1.6% 27.6% 44.8% 21.1% 4.9%

7-Arapahoe 0.6% 24.3% 52.5% 22.5% 0.0%

8-ERC 1.1% 17.7% 34.3% 33.3% 13.7%

Major Measure Installation Rate by Region

Page 11: Weatherization and Renewable Energy: The Colorado Experience › ... › uploads › 2018 › 02 › wx20renewable.pdf · 2018-06-06 · Weatherization and Renewable Energy: The Colorado

Target Electric

and Propane

Heating

Target High

Users/HDD

Deploy Solar

Photovoltaics

Target Older

Homes/

4 Major Measures

Maximize Client Energy Cost Savings

Reduce Energy

Burden

Wx Agencies

CEO Wx

Office

Low Income

Programs

Multi-Tier Client Savings Approach

Page 12: Weatherization and Renewable Energy: The Colorado Experience › ... › uploads › 2018 › 02 › wx20renewable.pdf · 2018-06-06 · Weatherization and Renewable Energy: The Colorado

How Are Client Cost Savings Better Delivered?

• Through effective data gathering and analysis.

• Through effective problem diagnosis.

• Focusing on a common approach.

• Maximizing already existing delivery approaches (Install 4MM)

• Holistic approaches to the problem.

• Summing the programmatic parts.

Page 13: Weatherization and Renewable Energy: The Colorado Experience › ... › uploads › 2018 › 02 › wx20renewable.pdf · 2018-06-06 · Weatherization and Renewable Energy: The Colorado

CEO Wx Client Intake Emphasis

• Build agency capacity to effectively build and mine waitlists.

• Focus agency attention on priority categories.

• 1. Energy Burden 2. Elderly 3. Disabled 4. Families w/ Children 5 or Under

• Enable agencies to conduct sub-category intake.

• Energy Burden- Electric/ Propane Heating, High Energy Users, Older Homes/ Major Measures, PV Potential

• Assist in building capacity to shift approaches/ priorities.

Page 14: Weatherization and Renewable Energy: The Colorado Experience › ... › uploads › 2018 › 02 › wx20renewable.pdf · 2018-06-06 · Weatherization and Renewable Energy: The Colorado

CEO Wx Electric

• Based on the limited additional cost savings gains related to home heating, CEO

has begun exploring ways to deliver client savings through generation.

• Community Solar, Rooftop etc…

• Coupling generation to already weatherized homes has the potential to more

than double energy cost savings for that household.

• Both community solar and rooftop PV show promise in delivering these savings.

• Solar cannot be looked at separately than any other measure the program

delivers (Energy Burden Lens).

Page 15: Weatherization and Renewable Energy: The Colorado Experience › ... › uploads › 2018 › 02 › wx20renewable.pdf · 2018-06-06 · Weatherization and Renewable Energy: The Colorado

Solar PV as an Option

Attic Insulation

Air Sealing

Furnace/

Boiler

Water

Heater

Wall Insulation

Subspace

Insulation

CFLs

LEDs

Refrigerator

Pipe Insulation Duct Insulation Aerators

Showerheads

Heating MeasureElectric Measure

Windows

Solar PV

Page 16: Weatherization and Renewable Energy: The Colorado Experience › ... › uploads › 2018 › 02 › wx20renewable.pdf · 2018-06-06 · Weatherization and Renewable Energy: The Colorado

Are We Ready for Rooftop PV?

Page 17: Weatherization and Renewable Energy: The Colorado Experience › ... › uploads › 2018 › 02 › wx20renewable.pdf · 2018-06-06 · Weatherization and Renewable Energy: The Colorado

Jiacoletti’s Hierarchy of Wx Needs

Page 18: Weatherization and Renewable Energy: The Colorado Experience › ... › uploads › 2018 › 02 › wx20renewable.pdf · 2018-06-06 · Weatherization and Renewable Energy: The Colorado

Applying to DOE for PV InclusionSystem for Identifying and Reviewing Technologies and Techniques (SIRTT)

• Description of the product, how it works, and the principals and laws of science upon which it is based

• Discussion of its energy benefits, costs and cost effectiveness

• Description of the additional site analysis that is necessary

• Its durability, reliability, maintainability and serviceability

• Its useful life and applicable warrantees

• Its availability as a reliable, consumer-friendly product

• A summary of lack of evidence of any potential detrimental health, indoor air quality, life and fire safety, and structural or cosmetic deterioration to the

home

• A listing of the applicable certifying organizations and industry specifications

Page 19: Weatherization and Renewable Energy: The Colorado Experience › ... › uploads › 2018 › 02 › wx20renewable.pdf · 2018-06-06 · Weatherization and Renewable Energy: The Colorado

Applying to DOE for PV Inclusion cont…

• Example of a system’s sizing, cost,

savings and performance (Incorporated

Into NEAT Library)

• NEPA review (Consistent w/ DOE

categorical exclusions B5.16)

• Reviewed through normal DOE WAP

audit channels (In accordance w/ WPN

13-5 and in compliance with CFR

440.21)

Customer Profile:

Previously weatherized household

Grand Junction, Colorado; Xcel Customer

System Size and Performance

Total Purchase Price: $ 3,500.00

Proposed System Size: 1.00 (kW DC) Cost per Watt (DC-STC): $3.50

Estimated Annual Production: 1,519 kWh

Historical Annual Usage: 7,274 Equipment:

Percentage in Load Reduction: 20.88% Panels:

Electric Rate $0.10 Inverters:

Estimated Annual Savings: $159

Savings Analysis

YR

System

Costs

Cumulative

Savings

0 (3,500)

1 (3,341)

2 (3,178)

3 (3,010)

4 (2,839)

5 (2,663)

6 (2,483)

7 (2,298)

8 (2,109)

9 (1,915)

10 (1,716)

11 (1,513)

12 (1,304)

13 (1,090)

14 (870)

15 (645)

20 567

25 1,938

Notes

194

199

225

▪ This analysis assumes an annual electric rate escalation of 3% per year and an annual system efficiency,

degradation rate of 0.5% per year

255

288

This analysis is based on the following assumptions:

▪ Years Before Inverter Replacement: 25 years (See your Owner's Manual for more details)

▪ Labor Warranty from GRID Alternatives: 10 Years

▪ Panel and Inverter Warranties: 25 Years

204

209

214

219

171

176

180

185

189

Savings from Solar

159

163

167

10-May-15

System Details

(16) MEMC MEMC-250W

(16) Enphase M215

Common Area Meter (A6-TOU)

Page 20: Weatherization and Renewable Energy: The Colorado Experience › ... › uploads › 2018 › 02 › wx20renewable.pdf · 2018-06-06 · Weatherization and Renewable Energy: The Colorado

DOE WAP Stipulations

• DOE approved, site-specific audit(s) must be executed and be used in tandem with solar site

analysis to justify cost-effectiveness

• No structural improvements may be made beyond necessary and must not be ground mounted.

Each system is to be net-metered and cannot exceed 5kW

• DOE Project Officer must approve each installation

• CO must comply with Section 106 of national Historic Preservation Act (NHPA)

• WAP funding will be rarely used and is subject to WAP cost limitations ($3,545) on renewable

energy measures

• Approval does not constitute approval of State’s H&S Plan or materials listed for purpose of

allowable expenditures

Page 21: Weatherization and Renewable Energy: The Colorado Experience › ... › uploads › 2018 › 02 › wx20renewable.pdf · 2018-06-06 · Weatherization and Renewable Energy: The Colorado

10-20% of Units Receive Rooftop PV

Wx EE Only Wx EE + PV

3.5 kW

Average Size

$200 $600

Wx EE OnlyWx EE + PV

Typical Unit Annual

Benefit

$0

$50

$100

$150

$200

$250

$300

Network-wide AverageBenefit w/o PV

Network-wide AverageBenefit w/ PV

Network-wide Average Annual Benefit

What Will the Addition of Rooftop PV Look Like?

Page 22: Weatherization and Renewable Energy: The Colorado Experience › ... › uploads › 2018 › 02 › wx20renewable.pdf · 2018-06-06 · Weatherization and Renewable Energy: The Colorado

CEO Wx Next Steps

• Develop sub-grantee capacity for installation rollout

• Develop and secure leveraging opportunities

• Data collection and analysis

• Policy and procedure adjustment

• Full program integration

Page 23: Weatherization and Renewable Energy: The Colorado Experience › ... › uploads › 2018 › 02 › wx20renewable.pdf · 2018-06-06 · Weatherization and Renewable Energy: The Colorado

State of Colorado

John W. Hickenlooper, Governor

1580 Logan Street, Suite OL1

Denver, Colorado 80203

The Colorado Energy Office

@coenergyoffice