weather briefing, 11 am 20070720 contributions from lenny pfister, evelyn quiros, chuck bardeen, and...
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Weather briefing, 11 AM 20070720
Contributions from Lenny Pfister, Evelyn Quiros, Chuck Bardeen,
and Ana Maria Duran
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• Progression of easterly wave in Caribbean toward the west, with wave dividing into two. NHC says the northern part has “some potential for further development.” Hmm
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• Dry slot has moved eastward and gotten smaller as Panama bight and Caribbean convection has gotten stronger.
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9
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6 hour prog does not show the enhanced moisture and Convection in the Caribbean north of Panama, though Development in Panama bight is somewhat simulated
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We expect an active ITCZ tomorrow, with activity in thePanama bight. PLEASE don’t take the position of these Blobs too literally.
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Sunday and Monday have a less active ITCZ.
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Surface Weather conditions
• Tomorrow: Dry condition over us, with easterlies at 925 mb weakening through the day. Wind shift in late morning. Expect very isolated showers after about 3 PM. Along landing flight path to the west convective systems moving northwestward along the coast may pose a problem.
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Surface Weather Conditions
• Sunday we have weaker easterlies and more PW over us. Expect showers by around 2-3 PM. Rain should be more significant than yesterday, today, and tomorrow.
• Monday expect rain possibly by midday
• Conditions improving later in the week.