“we have a dream” ir-communication in danske bank tonny thierry andersen, cfo martin gottlob,...
TRANSCRIPT
“We have a dream”
IR-communication in Danske Bank
Tonny Thierry Andersen, CFOMartin Gottlob, Head of Investor Relations
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IR according to Danske Bank- Integrated internally and externally
Executive Management
Investor Relations
The market
Analysts Authorities
Rating agencies
Investors
Journalists
Credibility
TransparencyAccessibility
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Why dream about excellent IR?- Make money!
CoCi = Rf + i(Rm – Rf)i = im/m
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im = Covariance between stock i and market
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Why dream about excellent IR?- Having fun… and WIN!
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“Houston we have a problem!”- Poor IR ranking in 2002
• IR function: #14 in Denmark
• Website: #336 in EU*• Website: #36 in DK*• Number of FTE: 1.5• Annual budget: < DKr3m*Webranking by Hallvarsson & Halvarsson
www.danskebank.com/ir in 2002
• Financial information
• Share information
• Shareholder information
• Corporate Governance
• News releases and events
• Presentations
• Ethics
• Analysts and investors
• General information about the Group
• Subscription services
• Structure
• Archive
• Contact information
• Webcasts
• Touch and feel
Existing information, but some development necessaryExisting information, but significant development necessaryShould be developed from scratch
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The plan in all its essence- Five steps in reaching the goal
2006
Situation analysis Fix and repair Agility and execution power
Competence is vital Technology – Key driver Reaching your goals
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Where are we now?
• IR function: #4 in Denmark
• Website: #10 in EU*• Website: #1 in DK*• Number of FTE: 3• Annual budget: DKr10m*Webranking by Hallvarsson & Halvarsson
www.danskebank.com/ir in 2005
• Financial information
• Share information
• Shareholder information
• Corporate Governance
• News releases and events
• Presentations
• Ethics
• Analysts and investors
• General information about the Group
• Subscription services
• Structure
• Archive
• Contact information
• Webcasts
• Touch and feel
Existing information, but some development necessaryExisting information, but significant development necessaryShould be developed from scratch
Completed, but continuous improvement
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IR in practise- The Danske Bank way
Planning
Jan.
Feb.
Mar.
Apr.
May
Jun.Juli
Aug.
Sep.
Okt.
Nov.
Dec. Jan.
Feb.
Mar.
Apr.
May
Jun.Juli
Aug.
Sep.
Okt.
Nov.
Dec. Jan.
Feb.
Mar.
Apr.
May
Jun.Juli
Aug.
Sep.
Okt.
Nov.
Dec.
Transparency IR-intelligence
IFRS M&AEvaluation of hosts
5: Outstanding
4: Better than expected
3: As expected
2: Fairly good
1: Poor
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Four quarters of Investor Relations- First the basic one……
Annual report
Q1 report
Interim report
Q3 report
Jan.
Feb.
Mar.
Apr.
May
Jun.Jul.
Aug.
Sep.
Oct.
Nov.
Dec.
Silent period
Road show
Silent period
Silent period
Silent period
Road show
Road show
Road show
• Conferences
• Capital markets day
• 1-n-1 with analysts and investors
Planning
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Four quarters of Investor Relations- Information input and output
Jan.
Feb.
Mar.
Apr.
May
Jun.Jul.
Aug.
Sep.
Oct.
Nov.
Dec.
Internal web audit 1
Internal web audit 2
Internal web audit 3
Internal web audit 4
External web audit 1
External web audit 2
• Daily: News watch service
• Monthly: What’s the story? Internal financial reports
• Continuously: Feedback from CFO: Reports, internal memos, presentations
Meeting with EXCO
Meeting with EXCO
IR Intelligence
IR Intelligence
IR Intelligence
IR Intelligence
Planning
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Increasing transparency- More than just financial reports
Transparency
2001
Financial report
Fact Book Speech & transc.
White Papers
Presentation - analystsPresentation - press
Live picture
2004 & 2005
Interactive accounts
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Preparing a financial report- Diary up to an announcement
T-22 Attend meetings where the story line is discussed
T-21 to T-3 Assist in preparing the report and Fact BookPresentation & speech – conference callPresentation & speech – press conference*
T-7 Dry run 1 with CFO
T-5 “The flip side” – Essential road show input
T-4 FAQ from the press
T-3 Dry run 2 with CFO
T-1 Dry run 3 with CFO
T-1 Management meeting
T Announcement day. IR open until 9 pm
T+5 sec. E-mail to analysts and investors
T+1 day Calibration IR/CFO (CEO). Reactions to our story
Details combined with the full picture
*) Q2 and Q4 only
Transparency
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The flip side- Helping you in telling your story
Comments Y/Y
Comments Q/Q
Transparency
Guidance
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Web site and web cast- Always room for improvement
Structure
Contents
Touch & feel
Audit Commitment
Development is a continuous process
Not only financials• Policies • Integrated communication• Interactive elements
• Alerts and reminders• Flexible elements and
adaptations:font size, contrast
• Customised web sites and targeted micro sites
Transparency
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Sources of information- Be open minded!
Corp
ora
t eB
est
Pra
ctic
e
And of course…
Transparency
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IR intelligence (I/II)- Get and give the message
Questions answered:• Conference call & web cast
• How many participated? • Participant composition
(journalists, investor, analysts)• Topics discussed during the Q&A
• Road show• How many meetings?• Percentage of shareholders met?• Topics discussed• Feedback from road show
(strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, concerns)
• Share price development• Compared to peers
IR intelligence
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IR intelligence (II/II)- Get and give the message
Questions answered:• Analysts estimates
• How have they changed?• How have they developed over time?• Do they follow our guidance?• Where are the most important deviations
to our guidance?• Have the recommendations changed?
• Analyst/broker evaluation• What analyst/broker were closest to total income,
expenses, profit before credit losses, net profit?• Evaluation of road show
IR intelligence
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Evaluation of hosts- Good performance gets rewarded
Evaluation of hosts
Criterion WeightInvestor quality 20%Client profiles 10%Pre road show communication 5%Planning of the day 10%Host 5%Feedback from clients 15%Continuity of DB coverage 20%Analysts knowledge of DB 15%Total 100%
Rating scale
1. Poor2. Fairly good3. As expected 4. Better than expected5. Outstanding
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Communication is difficult- Penalties for insufficient communication
IFRS
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Getting to know your audience- Early and continuous dialogue with key stakeholders
• Analysts’ IFRS knowledge is inconsistent, with the majority lacking basic IFRS training
• Analysts require detailed new numbers to update their valuation models
• Created a menu of self-service tools providing a range of information – from high level to detailed numbers
• Make language less technical and accounting oriented
• Provide analysts with the underlying parameters for financial ratios
IFRS announcement
Follow-up
Feb. 2005 March. 2005Sept. 2004
IFRS drafts sharing
Nov. 2004
Early conversation
s (Danish analysts)
Dec. 2004
2nd round of conversation with foreign
analysts
Jan. 2004
Amendments
Findings Changes made
IFRS
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No questions unanswered- Overview of information published
Presentation/Web cast White paper Spreadsheet with comments
Information provided
Top line Granular Changes in top line
numbers Top line description of
changes Top line impact of each
new standard Financial ratios
Detailed differentiation of quantitative changes due to valuation and presentation
Explanation of how interpretations were reached, deviation from sector trends
Potential future performance trends
Detailed comments on each effect
Full balance sheet and P&L Excel = copy paste in to
your own model
All information published on www.danskebank.com/irifrs
IFRS
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Communication M&A- Transparency needed when surprising the market
Contents• Market data
Macro economics, description of the two banking sectors, competitive landscape, external links
• Acquisition processWhat will happen next? When is approval expected?
• The two targetsFinancials for the two banks and consolidated numbers
• FAQ25 questions and answers
• Downloads13 files: presentations, press releases, Q&A, rating confirmations, excel spreadsheet with dataStatistics – December 14
.COM 1,200 hits
.DK 1,800 hits
M&A
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And of course a web cast- Record high participation
Participation• Teleconference: 143• Web cast (Dec. 14): 124• Web cast (Dec. 15-18): 83
M&A
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Everybody got a dream- What is your IR dream?
www.danskebank.com/ir