watson devcon 2016 - the flu fighters: using ibm cognitive computing to fight epidemics like a rock...

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The Flu Fighters Jeff Goodhue @jeffgoodhue Dave Wakeman @dwakeman Using IBM Cognitive Computing to fight epidemics like a rock star!

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The  Flu  FightersJeff  Goodhue  @jeffgoodhueDave  Wakeman @dwakeman

Using  IBM  Cognitive  Computing  to  fight  epidemics   like  a  rock  star!

Please  note IBM’s statements  regarding  its  plans,  directions,  and  intent  are  subject  to change  orwithdrawal without  notice  and  at  IBM’s sole  discretion.

Information  regarding potential  future  products  is  intended  to  outline  our  general  productdirection  and  it  should  not  be  relied  on  in  making  a  purchasing  decision.

The  information  mentioned regarding  potential  future  products  is  not  a  commitment,  promise,  or legal  obligation  to  deliver  any  material,  code  or functionality.  Information  about  potential  futureproducts  may not  be  incorporated  into  any  contract.

The development,  release,  and  timing  of  any  future  features  or functionality  described  for  our  products  remains  at  our  sole  discretion.

Performance  is  based  on measurements  and  projections  using  standard  IBM  benchmarks  in  a controlled  environment.  The  actual  throughput  or  performance  that  any user  will  experience  will vary  depending  upon  many  factors,  including  considerations such  as  the  amount  of  multiprogramming  in  the  user’s  job  stream,  the I/O  configuration,  the  storage  configuration,  and  theworkload processed.  Therefore,  no  assurance  can  be  given  that  an  individual user  will  achieve  results  similar  to  those  stated  here.

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Detecting  flu  (epidemic)  outbreaks  using  social  mediasuch  as  Twitter  is  now  almost  a  common  practice

Challenges• State-­level  segmentation• Weekly  time  horizon• Manual/Minimal   signal  to  noise  filters

• Epidemic  evolution  and  movement

• Response  Management

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Prototype  Cloud  Solution  Architecture

ODM  Advanced

IBM  BluemixWeather  Company  

Data

Insights  for  Twitter

SDK  for  Node.js

Natural  Language  Classifier

Tone  Analyzer

API  Connect

EPA  Air  Quality  Data

Electronic  Health  

Records

Future Prototype

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The  Flu  via  Twitter

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/11/13/flu-­life-­cycle-­cold-­influenza-­virus_n_4228670.html

I’m  pretty  sure  I’m  getting  the  flu  :(

9  days  in  bed  with  flu!

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Creating  and  Training  a  Flu  Tweet  Natural  Language  Classifier

RELEVANTI  feel  dizzyWhat  a  terrible  headacheI  am  sick,  maybe  fluthe  entire  family   is  feeling  flu  symptomsI  hate  these  flu  stomach  aches  I  have.  Probably  fluDoctor  told  me  I  have  a  flu.  Not  going  to  schoolhere  i  am  suffering  flu  and  sore  throatI'm  pretty  sure  I'm  getting  the  fluFlu  and  fever  in  the  houseFlu  got  me  like  i  can't  even  breathSorry,  I'm  just  getting  over  the  fluWife  has  viral  flu,  son  ear  infection,  daughter  a  cold.  Joy!I  have  the  fluI  really  have  the  flu  againI am  dying  with  this  fluFever  is  getting  better.  Now  got  a  flu.Stomach  flu  or  food  poisoning?   Either  way,  it's  awful9  days  in  bed  with  fluseriously  i  have  not  felt   this  horrible  flu  beforeI missed  a  week  of  school  because  of  that  flu

NOT  RELEVANTCDC  Says  the  Flu  Shot  is  Less  EffectiveDoc  said  ER  waiting  room  is  most  likely  place  to  catch  a  coldWe've  made  changes  to  our  visitor  policies  to  protect  our  patients  &  staff  from  the  #fluErie  County  may  have  a  mild  or  late  flu  seasonThe  flu  vaccine  takes  up  to  14  days  to  start  workingdogs  can  get  the  flu  just  like  peopleFlu  season  startingIn  California  flu  seems  bigGet  Ready  For  Flu  SeasonIncrease  in  flu  cases  this  month  in  the  Bay  AreaLatest  flu  vaccination  uptake  figures  releasedUtah:  Tens  of  flu  cases

Include:• Flu,  fever• Medicines• Correct  parts  of  speech

Exclude:• URLs  (more  likely  articles  than  sickness)

• “Bieber”  +  “fever”  

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Takeaway

Cognitive

1. Insights  for  Twitter

2. Watson Tone  and  NLC• Filter  signal  from  noise

3. Future  extensions  to  Weather,  Air  Quality  and  Medical  Records

Business  Operations

1. Timely,  geographic  alerts

2. Geo-­propagation  prediction

3. Business rule  language

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DEMO  – Node-­RED  Cognitive  Preprocessing  of  Tweets

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DEMO  – Cloudant Dashboard

Presentation  Title11/21/16

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DEMO  – Classifier  Creation

Presentation  Title11/21/16

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DEMO  – Execute  Classifier

Presentation  Title11/21/16

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DEMO  – Node.js App  that  invokes  BM  Services

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DEMO  – Insight  Map  ViewerAdmissions  – Late

Tweets  – EarlierApproaching  Tweets  -­ BEST

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DEMO  – Insight  Inspector

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DEMO  – Insight  Designer

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SOURCES:  

1.  Source  goes   here.  2.  Source  goes   here.  3.  Source  goes   here.4.  Source  goes   here.  

Thank  You

Watson  Developer Conference2016