water use in global dairy farming systems and lessons for breeding policies for dairy production
TRANSCRIPT
Water use in Global Dairy Farming
Systems and lessons for breeding
policies for dairy production Results of a research project in
collaboration with IFCN-Dairy
N.Sultana, K. J.Peters Humboldt Universität zu Berlin
Importance of water in animal agriculture
Agriculture: uses 85% of the present global freshwater consumption, of which Æ 29% by Livestock (Mekonnen and Hoekstra, 2012)
Æ 75% for Irrigation (Shilklomanov, 2000)
2. Increase food production, agricultural pollution
1. Human population. 65 % increase (3.7 mrd) by 2050 (Wallace, 2000)
Future challenges
Importance of water in animal agriculture
4. Climate change impact on rainfall distribution pattern
• 19 to 35% decrease in water availability for agriculture
• Increase water scarcity for human population from 7% to 67%
3. Urbanization and industrial, increase in water use and pollution
WSI = Water Scarcity Index (Pfister et al. 2009. Assessing the environmental impacts of freshwater consumption in LCA. Environ. Sci. Technol. 43 (11), 40984104)
Water Stress Index0 <= 0.2
0.2 <= 0.40.6<= 0.70.7 <= 0.1
ÎLow ÎModerate ÎSevere ÎExtreme
National Water Scarcity Index (WSI)
Water scarcity measured :
Total annual freshwater withdrawals / hydrological
availability.
WSI indicates the portion of CWU depriving other users of
freshwater.
Holistic view of current water scarcity by region
1. Around 1.2 mrd people live in areas of physical scarcity and 500 million people are close to it
2. Another 1.6 mrd people face economic water shortage (where countries lack the necessary infrastructure to take water from rivers and aquifers)
3. Though planet water does not change freshwater is distributed unevenly and too much of it is wasted, polluted and unsustainably
managed.
Sources: Human Development Report 2006. UNDP, 2006 Coping with water scarcity. Challenge of the twenty-first century. UN-Water, FAO, 2007.
Effects of current water scarcity
Holistic view of water scarcity problem by regions
Source: IWMI = International Water Management Institute, 2007.
Economic water scarcity: • <25% of water withdrawn from rivers for human purposes but not enough water infrastructure to
make water available for use
Physical water scarcity: • >75% of river flows are withdrawn for agriculture, industry and domestic purposes.
Water scarcity measures: freshwater available for human requirements Æimplies that dry areas are not Necessarily water scarce).
Water availability and dairying
Dairy production highly depenend on water in its various forms Important to know the water demand of a dairy system
USA
Ethiopia Argentina
China
Bangladesh
India
India
Milk production 2011in mill tons ECM
EU-27
15384
34
30
10
21
42
13832
11
Milk volumes cows & buffalo milk –standardized to 4% fat and 3,3% protein
Status of current milk production
Milk production in mill. tonnes
Milk production 2011 = IFCN ( International Farm Comparison Network)
Milk delivered to processor Milk not delivered to processor
Water footprint definition
• A water footprint is measured in terms of the volume of water consumed, evaporated and polluted.
• Three corresponding categories (Water Footprint Network) Blue Water Footprint: The amount of surface water and
groundwater required (evaporated or used directly) to make a product. Green Water Footprint: The amount of rainwater required (evaporated or used directly) to make a product. Grey Water Footprint: The amount of freshwater required to mix and dilute pollutants enough to maintain water quality according to certain standards as a result of making a product.
Consumptive Water Use • Measures Green and blue water
• removed from a local hydrological system • without return to a water system (e.g. water used in
manufacturing and agriculture) • Indirectly includes grey water
Water footprint methods
Is a incomplete Water Foot print
Water footprint methods
The Water Footprint Network (WFN) method – accounts for the virtual water and is an indicator of direct
and indirect Water Use Volume (green, blue, grey) However – Simple combination of hypothetical pollution volume (grey)
with water consumption (blue) is not meaningful – Inclusion of green water in the WF is misleading, since it does
not fully affect the water cycle and is rather an indicator of land use
Pfister, St. and Ridoutt, B.R. 2013, Environmental Science & Technology 48 (1):4-4
Water footprint methods
The LCA - Water use impact (ISO 14046,2010, standard approach)
– Accounts for blue water grey water and its water scarcity related impacts of
pollutants expressed as water equivalent along the whole LC (H2Oe)
Pfister, St. and Ridoutt, B.R. 2013, Environmental Science & Technology 48 (1):4-4
• Types of water consideration (e.g. rainfall, stored water in surface
and ground, polluted water)
• Concept of water use in farming systems
• Defining goals and interpretation problem 2. Lack of consistent approach
e.g. Classical or volumetric Impact assessment based approach ÎInternational Standard Method which is under Development (ISO, 14046, 2013)
Methodological challenges in water research
Materials and methods
1. Application of consumptive water use (CWU) and its drivers
2. Application of Water use impact 3. Evaluating differences between Consumptive water use and Water use impact (WF)
Application of different WF methods in diverse dairy systems
Steps in our study to measure water use
3. Comparison of Water use assessment method
IFCN: International Farm Comparison Network method. TIPI-CAL: Technology Impact and Policy Impact Calculation
9 Represent the most common farming system within the regions
9 Average management & performance & high proportion of milk in the region
1. Selection of typical farm within the IFCN-Dairy Net
¾ Typical farm data are collected at farm level
2. System boundary
Drinking and servicing
water
Concentrate, by-products
and roughage
Fuel, Electricity
Fertilizer, pesticides
External inputs Internal farm inputs
Total feed and
fodder
Water for feed
mixing
Buildings and dairy
implements
Co-products:
beef and
manure
Heifers
Dairy cows
Functional unit: 1 kg
energy corrected
milk (ECM)
Farm grown feed (main product and by-products)
2. System boundary (Cradle –to Farm Gate)
ECM = Energy Corrected Milk which is standardized by 4% fat and 3.3% protein
Materials and methods
Application of Consumptive Water use (CWU) method (as in Hemme et al, 2010)
960 typical farms from 60 dairy regions of 49 countries and
6 selected dairy systems
Application and comparison of CWU (WFN, 2010) and LCA-based water use impact (WF) (after Ridoutt and Pfister, 2010)
912 typical farming systems from 12 geographical regions
Comparison of Water use assessment methods
Materials and methods
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
NO-2
0CH
-23
FI-25
AT-2
2DE
-31S
DE-9
5NDE
-85E
NL-7
6BE
-40N
LU-5
1FR
-39M
CFR
-50W
ES-5
0NW
IT-1
54UK
-146
NW IE-4
8DK
-128
SE-5
5PL
-15
CZ-4
25RS
-2UA
-150
BY-1
BY-6
08RU
-106
3CA
-58
US-8
0WI
US-3
50W
IUS
-66N
YAU
-275
WA
NZ-3
48M
X-15
AR-1
70UY
-119
PY-4
5CL
-47
BR-2
0SBR
-120
PR PE-7
TN-4
DZ-6
MA-
3NEG
-2UG
-3NG
-5CM
-35
ZA-4
22AM
-10A
IL-67
JO-7
5IR
-90
IN-2
WIN
-13W
IN-2
SPK
-5BD
-2ID
-3NG
ID-3
JACN
-17B
ECN
-6IM
CWU
(L/k
g ECM
)
S. America Africa Asia
C. and E. Europe
Western Europe Regions
*Typical farms
N. A
mer
ica
Oce
ania
CWU for feed CWU for other inputs
Mean (St. Dev.)
1771 (±1035)
62 (±45)
Min (Max.) 706 (5400) 31 (304)
*Typical farm code DE-95N: DE=Germany, 95=95 cows and N=North
Application of Consumptive Water use (CWU) method in dairy farms
= CWU for feed
= CWU for other inputs
Relation between consumptive water use and milk yield (kg ECM/cow/year)
y = -0.1168x + 1849.7 R² = 0.68
0
500
1000
1500
2000
0 5000 10000 15000
CW
U (L
H20
/kg
ECM
)
Milk yield
Europe
y = -0.2038x + 3777.1 R² = 0.31
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
0 10000 20000
CW
U (L
H20
/kg
ECM
)
Milk yield
Asia and Africa y = -0.1601x + 2466.4
R² = 0.65
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
0 5000 10000 15000
CW
U (L
H20
/kg
ECM
)
Milk yield
USA and Oceania
Major results
Production system Intensive Grazing Small-scale Variable Unit DE-95N US-350WI NZ-348 BR-20SC EG-2 BD-2
Breed HF HF HF CB EB Local
Farm land ha 90 270 130 18 0 0
Grazing hrs./day 0 0 12 12 0 0
Climate Mild with no dry season
Humid, severe winter
Mild, no dry season
Mild with dry winter
Desert area
Monsoon
Rainfall mm/m2 850 860 1250 1300 250 1800
T. (Mean) (°C) 12 15 15
27 32 28
Consumptive water use in selected dairy systems Background information
HF = Holstein Friesian; CB = Crossbred; EB: Egyptial Buffaloes
75%
80%
85%
90%
95%
100%
DE-
95N
US-
350W
I
NZ-
348
BR-2
0SC
EG-2
BD-2
Intensive Grazing Small-scale
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
DE-
95N
US-
350W
I
NZ-
348
BR-2
0SC
EG-2
BD-2
CW
U (
L H
20/k
g EC
M)
Feed production & mixing Drnking Servicing Farm manufacturing inputs Capital goods
Intensive Grazing Small-scale
Consumptive water use in selected dairy systems
CWU = Consumptive water use
FEED
Pasture based
Concentrate, by-product + crop residues
Maize + concentrate
based
Major results
Drinking
Conclusion on consumptive water use • The world average CWU Æ1833 L/kg ECM (range: 739 to 5622),
with large inter- and intra-regional differences
• Feed is the highest single input to CWU Æ96-99% water
• Lower CWU associated with high productivity and farm based feeding systems
• Rather high CWU in pasture based systems • Highest CWU associated with low productivity and higher
concentrate feeding
Comparison of CWU and LCA-based water use impact (WF)
1. Volume of water use based on volumetric approach (CWU) 2. Water use impact assessment including water scarcity with
Life cycle assessment (LCA) approach
Blue and grey water volumes
0
250
500
750
1000
US
-350
WI
DE
-95N
CN
-17B
E
JO-7
5
NZ-
348
BR
-25S
E
AR
-170
ZA-4
22
EG
-5
IN-2
S
MX
-15
BD
-2
L H
2O/k
g E
CM
Intensive Grazing Small-scale
Blue water Grey water
Major Results
Major Results
H2Oe = Water equivalent; WSI = Water Scarcity Index
WF (H2Oe) =
Water use impact (WF) based on LCA method
a) Blue & grey water volumes considering water scarcity
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
US
-350
WI
DE
-95N
C
N-1
7BE
JO
-75
NZ-
348
BR
-25S
E
AR
-170
ZA
-422
E
G-5
IN
-2S
M
X-15
B
D-2
L H
2Oe/
kg E
CM
Intensive Grazing Small-scale
0,00
0,20
0,40
0,60
0,80
1,00
US
-350
WI
DE
-95N
C
N-1
7BE
JO
-75
NZ-
348
BR
-25S
E
AR
-170
ZA
-422
E
G-5
IN
-2S
M
X-15
B
D-2
m³/m³
National WSI Local WSI
Intensive Grazing Small-scale
b) Water scarcity of production area
Consumptive water use
• The world average CWU Æ1833 L/kg ECM with huge variability (ranging from 739 to 5622)
• Feed is the main contributer Æ more than 96% of total CWU
• Lower CWU associated with high productivity and farm based feeding systems Water use impact (WF)
• Lower WF associated with pasture based system where water scarcity is low
• Higher WF associated with land less system based on external concentrate supply, and where water scarcity is higher
¾ Planning of dairy production system should include assessment of water foot print and water returns
Home messages
Method perspective
• The summation of water volumes is not a comprehensive tool for assessing water productivity
• Water use impact assessment considering degradative water use and water scarcity is a more appropriate tool for assessing impact of water use
Reasons of WF variation
• Due to interaction effects among the regional water scarcity where production occurs, with amount of degraded water, feeding system and feed efficiency
¾ Dairying in areas with high concentrate feed input in water scarce region is a hotspot of adding to water problem
Home messages (cont.)
Translation of these findings into dairy planning
1. Assessment of water availability and water scarcity 2. Assessment of the appropriate feeding system for a
dairy production system pasture, forage, crop-residues, agro-industrial by-products, LCA grain concentrate
LCA WF Lower larger
3. Assessment of appropriate performance and production efficiency level 4. Define breeding policy
Thank you so far!
and now we need to decide if we can spare time to consider
breeding option for smallholders in Ethiopia
The case of Dairying in Ethiopia Diverse dairy production systems: 1. Commercial Peri-urban dairy systems partly with own Value
Chain (liquid milk and processed products)
2. Semi-commercial Peri-urban and Rural mixed farming systems with linkage to milk collection systems (liquid milk , but also butter and trad. cheese)
3. Extensive Rural mixed farming systems (Trad. Butter and trad. cheese)
4. 99.2 % of the 27 mill. cows are indigenous breeds with a low milk yield, few selected indigenous dairy breeds 129 thousand are cross (0.61 %) and exotic breeds (0.11%); 32 thousand cows with small holders.
Commercial Peri-urban dairy systems � Purebred and grade dairy cows, medium high yield � Modern dairy production and processing technics � Agro-industrial by-products and concentrates � Mais silage, Hay � AI service with own technicians
Semi-commercial systems � crossbred cows of different grade, medium yield � Crop-residues, grazing, hay and agro-industrial by-
products � AI service only in well organized Dairy coops,
otherwise village bull service
Extensive small scale mixed farming systems -Indigenous cows or low grade crossbreds, low yield -Crop-residues, hay, grazing, small amount of by- products -AI service not available, -only NM with available bulls
Agro-ecological breeding policy
,Yilma zelalem,,G.B., Emannuelle aYilmand S., Ameha. 2011. A Review of the Ethiopian Dairy Sector. Ed. Rudolf Fombad, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, Sub Regional Office for Eastern Africa (FAO/SFE), Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, pp 81. The NEXT STAGE IN DAIRY DEVELOPMENTFOR ETHIOPIA, Dairy Value Chains, End Markets and Food Security, USAID/ Land O+Lakes, 2010
• Absence of effective breeding policies and programs to assure optimum performance levels and efficiencies • AI service has been inefficient for different reasons in rural areas
• Bilateral projects through EDDP link up to World Wide Sires, for AI use in commercial peri-urban dairies, through private enterprises (ALPPIS)
• Chance of forming Dairy Farmer and Cattle Breeder Associations
Agro-ecological breeding policy
Yilma zelalem,,G.B., Emannuelle aYilmand S., Ameha. 2011. A Review of the Ethiopian Dairy Sector. Ed. Rudolf Fombad, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, Sub Regional Office for Eastern Africa (FAO/SFE), Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, pp 81. The NEXT STAGE IN DAIRY DEVELOPMENTFOR ETHIOPIA, Dairy Value Chains, End Markets and Food Security, USAID/ Land O+Lakes, 2010
Attempts to improve dairy merit of national herd include:
• Importation of purebred dairy cows • Production and distribution of Crossbred cows on Government farms • Importation of crossbred cows from Kenya • AI-Center with Purebred, crossbreds and local bulls
• Distribution of imported semen form high yielding breeds • Distribution of crossbred bulls
Agro-ecological breeding policy
Options: 1. The intensive commercial dairy sector (ICDS) exotic semen through private sector AI services and purchase of breeding bulls from within the ICDS 3. Less intensive semi commercial and rural dairies obtain crossbred bulls of various grade and sources (appropriateness and supply sustainability?)
Yilma zelalem,,G.B., Emannuelle aYilmand S., Ameha. 2011.FAO, Sub Regional Office for Eastern Africa (FAO/SFE), Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, pp 81.
Agro-ecological breeding policy
Supply of breeding bulls for the rural sector – Link up with existing community actions – Crossbred bulls (?) from commercial dairy farmers in and around Addis Ababa, Asella Livestock Farm, Wolaita Jersey Bull Ranch and DDE – 75 % crossbreed bulls distributed to individual farmers through various agencies – Farmers established breeding bull stations
Constraint: Replacement of bulls was and is linked to a
functional supply chain (sustainability?)
A new scheme for Breeding bull provision
Suggestion of a young sire programme to provide crossbred bulls for rural smallholder dairy farmers
1. Concept for application acrosss the highland dairy shed
2. Action domain Rural administrative Community with
established farmer interaction
Evaluation of bulls on the basis of their ancestors’ performances, eg. bull mothers
- future option also on maternal / paternal halfsisters
A new scheme for Breeding bull provision
Definition: Young sire programme
Features: - short generation intervals (minimum 3-4 years) - low accuracies → relatively high genetic response per year - simple, least expensive breeding scheme
- comprises about 200 farmers
- formation of village service co-operatives (e.g. purchase of agricultural inputs, milk collecting, marketing)
- implementation of village bull service
A new scheme for Breeding bull provision
Rural administrative community e.g. Selale
• Crossbred cow population in a PA –200 small holder
- 2 crossbred cows per farm → 400 crossbred cows
4. A new scheme for Breeding bull provision
Determination of number of replacement bulls for rural community
• Number of replacment bulls needed per year
- Mating ratio: 1 : 40 → 10 bulls for service in Useful life of a bull: 3 years → 4 bulls
5. Model calculation for a Young sire scheme
Establishment of local open nuclei based on cow performance
- Second step:
→ start of a farmer based recording system with community verification
Identification of superior cows to breed bull calves:
- First step (no recording)
→farmer identification of best performaning cows
(e.g. milk yield history, field day comparison)
5. Model calculation for a Young sire scheme
Establishment of local open nuclei based on cow performance
Minimum nucleus size within a PA:
- 14-28 superior cows (7-14% of cow population)
→ no scope for performance selection
5. Model calculation for a Young sire scheme
Establishment of local open nuclei based on cow performance
Selection intensities for different nucleus sizes
Nucleus size 50 100 150
Expected proportion of bulls selected, % 28-56 14-28 9-19
Selection intensity i 1.16-0.69 1.60-1.16 1.80-1.42
6. Conclusions
• Agro-ecological planning including water
conditions essential for securing efficiency • Rural smallholder need increased dairy
performance for efficient use of resources/water • Community based breeding scheme best suited
to secure operational sustainability • Young Sire program with open nucleus breeding
scheme could lead to sutainable performance with best efficiency
6. Conclusions
• It pre-supposes an active participation of the farmers and respective vocational training, • Calls for extended scientific engagement of higher learning institutes interested in R 4 D and aquainted with participartory research methods
Excellent field lab for College / University students