walmart: the road ahead - mbacasecomp.com kedia. adam ellis. key issue define analyze. evaluate....
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WALMART: THE ROAD AHEADGROWTH CONSULTANCY
PRESENTED TO : DOUG MCMILLON, MARC LORE AND THE BOARD MEMBERS
Asper School of Business
Haneen ShoumanNicole PeloquinAditya KediaAdam Ellis
KEY ISSUE
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How does Walmart leverage its core competencies to become the omni-
channel leader?
CRITICAL CHALLENGES
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Growing
• Build• Buy
Tradition vs. Native Digital
• Brick and Mortar
• The gap with Amazon
Brand Perception
• Low Cost• Millennial’s
Interest
STRATEGIC GOALS
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Diversify in categories and
brands
Reach Millennials and new
demographicsNarrow the Gap
with Amazon
RECOMMENDATION
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Offer a seamless brick and click experience by leveraging your core competencies
Merge Expand Lead
WALMART CORE COMPETENCIES
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Supply Chain
Logistics
Brick Footprint
Customer Service
Walmart has reinvented the retail industry practices of supply chain and is the leader in that space.
• Relationships• Processes• Software
• Inventory Management• Shipping• Delivery
• Physical stores• Global Presence
• Expertise• Resources
THE GAP
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Both traditional and digital native giants understand the game, staying on one extreme is losing.
DigitalPhysical
Wal
mar
t
Am
azonThe Sweet Spot
• Stores Matter• Millennials digital presence
WALMART VS. AMAZON
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Walmart’s online sales reflect its traditional retail nature compared to Amazon.
138
444486
1.627.75
89
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
1999 2012 2014
Revenue in $billions
Walmart - Revenue ($ Billion) Amazon - Revenue ($ Billion)
74.10%
2.80%e-Commerce Sales % ofTotal Revenue in 2016
Walmart Amazon
20%
3%
Market share on e-commerce in 2016
Amazon Walmart
GROWTH STRATEGIES TRENDS
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Giants looking for growth follow the acquisition model.
Google• eSports in China
Facebook• WhatsApp
Amazon• Whole Foods
WALMART ACQUISITIONSBENEFITS
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The benefits of acquiring the knowledge of tech savvy companies out ways the risks.
Digital Walmart
Bonobos
Modcloth
Moosejaw
ShoeBuy.com
Hayneedle
Jet.com
• Customer outreach• New demographics• Multibrands• Wider offerings• Online presence• Digital skills• Skilled resources
WALMART CUSTOMERS& THE MILLENNIALS
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Millennials are the shoppers of the future, so how can you get them onboard.
Buying Power
Number 1 generation
Experience-based
purchasingAlignment
with brands
Online and TechsavyLoyal
Aging
Discount Shoppers
Instore shoppers
MillennialsWalmart
ANALYSIS SUMMARY
Strengths Challenges
Opportunities Threats
• Brand perception• Low e-commerce sales• Late to enter online retailing
• Competition• Price War• Imitation
• Changing marketplace• Customer trends• Rising e-Commerce
market in NA
• Retail Industry Leader• Logistics• Supply Chain Optimization• Recent Acquisition
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GROWTH STRATEGIES
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Acquire 3rd Party Seller Platform
Create a Premium Brand
Brick and Click Experience
ALTERNATIVE 1: ACQUIRE 3RD PARTY SELLER PLATFORM
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Walmart will acquire a 3rd
party seller platform to capture millennial buyers
and sellers.
Example: Shopify
Pros Cons
ALTERNATIVE 2: CREATE A PREMIUM BRAND
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Walmart will create a premium brand in-house which caters directly to
millennials.
Example: New website & brick and click
Pros Cons
ALTERNATIVE 3: BRICK AND CLICK EXPERIENCE
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Expand on Jet.com acquisitions and create brick and click
experience for buyers
Example: JetGuide
Pros Cons
DECISION CRITERIA
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Growth
CustomersCore Competencies
• Speed• Potential
• Logistics• Supply Chain• Physical stores
• Loyal • New
DECISION MATRIX
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ALTERNATIVE 1:Acquire a 3rd Party SellerShopify
ALTERNATIVE 2:Create a Premium BrandNew Website
ALTERNATIVE 3:Brick and Click ExperienceJet Guide
GROWTHSpeed of Growth & Growth Potential
CUSTOMERSLoyal Current & New Customers
CORE COMPETENCYLogistics, Supply Chain, Physical Stores
RECOMMENDATION
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Offer a seamless brick and click experience by leveraging your core competencies
Merge Expand Lead
FUTURE FORWARD
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Walmart
Jet Guide
For You. About You.
Captured Millennial sales
Leader in online retailing
First choice for brick and click
Global dominance
STRATEGIC IMPLEMENTATION
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• Brick and click experience
• “Jet Guide” brand
Merge experience
• Personalized experience
• Reposition
Expand• Global
outreach
Lead
JET GUIDE- THE ULTIMATE EXPERIENCE
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Jet.com
Guide-shops
Jet Guide
“Bonobos model”
Brick and click
PHYSICAL SPACE
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Walmart WalmartJet
Guide
JET GUIDE- THE BRAND
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Colors: Black and White
Black leather interiors with wall to ceiling glass doors
Products offered: Medium to high end
Perception: Trendy, energetic and experience
“ For you. About you”
CUSTOMER JOURNEY
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Website Orders products
Arrives at Jet Guide
Trial or pick up at Jet Guide
Jet Guide store Discusses Orders Delivery at
Jet Guide
SPREADING THE WORD
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Awareness
• Social media campaigns
• Celebrity endorsement: Juliana Huff
Conversion
• Discounts• Free returns• Workshops
WHAT DOES JET.COM DO NEXT?
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Continue acquiring• Prospect Neiman Marcus
Criteria• Focus on apparel and skin care
WALMART
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Continues building on third party seller program
Reposition the brand
Leverage data to meet the food needs of online shoppers
Optimize supply chain
EXPANSION
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Open 60 Jet Guides stores in the next year
Focus on Oregon and California
Develop AI and data analytics
Create premium private label apparel
LEAD
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Learn
CaterSeamless experience
Canada
China
SCHEDULE AND COSTS ($MM)Year CostQuarter 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4
Marketing nad Branding For Jet Guide 20 Reconfigure Stores 50 Launch New Stores 1,000 Expand In U.S. and Canada 1,500 Open in China 30 Algorithm Development 50 Reposition 500 Laucnh premium Apparel 50
Total 3,200
2018 2019 2020 2021
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E-COMMERCE SALES GROWTH SCENARIOSYear 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 21/22 22/23ActualRevenue 489,645.06 493,446.40 497,277.26 501,137.85 505,028.42 508,949.19 Actual E-Commerce Sales 17,042
Optimistic (30%) 18,462 24,001 31,201 40,561 52,730 68,549 Neutral (20%) 22,155 26,585 31,903 38,283 45,940 Pessimistic (10%) 15,650 20,345 22,420 24,707 27,227 30,005
New Revenue 515,601 523,863 533,040 543,311 554,889 % of Business E-Commerce 3% 4% 5% 6% 8% 9%Cost of Revenue 374,051 378,947 383,592 388,614 394,085 400,088 Gross Profit 115,594 136,654 140,271 144,426 149,227 154,801
Project Costs 640 960 960 960 1,600 Net 115,594 136,014 139,311 143,466 148,267 153,201
In the Neutral Scenario, Walmart will control 8% of the Ecommerce Space by 2028
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RISKS AND MITIGATIONSPr
obab
ility
Impact
1
2
3
• Access to limited items for top buyers
Customer Adoption
• Change Management Strategy
Operational Changes
• Reposition Purchase Offering through Incentives
Acquisition Difficulties
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KPIS AND CONTROLSConcern Control Fiscal 2023
Customer Acquisition # of New Customers 6,000,000
Customer Demographics Median Age 35
E-Commerce Penetration Sales 8%
Growth Year over Year change 10%
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RECOMMENDATION
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Offer a seamless brick and click experience by leveraging your core competencies
Merge Expand Lead
APPENDIX
US E-Commerce Market 441,059 493,986 558,204 636,352 729,578 842,225 Percentage of E-Commerce Market
1.117 1.12 1.13 1.14 1.1465 1.1544Optimistic Market Share 4.2% 4.9% 5.6% 6.4% 7.2% 8.1%Netural Market Share 3.9% 4.5% 4.8% 5.0% 5.2% 5.5%Pessimistic 3.5% 4.1% 4.0% 3.9% 3.7% 3.6%