vol 35, no 1 january 17, 2017 - constant...
TRANSCRIPT
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VOL 35, NO 1
JANUARY 17, 2017
REVIEW AND PREVIEW
Welcome to the first edition of our 35th year of publication! Every year, it seems, is more important -
more promising, more dangerous - than the prior year. This one is no different in that regard. In fact, I am
referring to 2017 as the start of a “Great Reset” that will last into 2020, when the Jupiter/Saturn/Pluto
stellium in Capricorn unfolds, and perhaps even into early 2026, when Saturn and Neptune cross over
together into Aries.
Why is a “Reset” in store? And a “reset" of what? The year 2017 is significant in at least two ways in
terms of geocosmic movements. First, we are now in the middle of Pluto’s 16-year journey through
Capricorn. It began January 24-26, 2008, when Venus and Pluto ingressed (moved into) Capricorn
together during that two-day period, which just happened to coincide with the start of the “Great
Recession.” The next time two planets move into Capricorn together will be on the Winter Solstice
(December 21) 2017. This time it will be the Sun and Saturn crossing 0° Capricorn, something that has
not occurred since December 21, 1870. My observation is that when the outermost planets (Saturn,
Uranus, Neptune, or Pluto) ingress into Capricorn, major changes take place in world governments and
economies. It is like the rules change, the polices and laws are reset, with a different goal in mind because
it becomes apparent that old models have become obsolete and no longer serve the needs of the collective
as they once did. Something new is conceived, and efforts begin to reset the direction.
Pluto in Capricorn started the Cardinal Climax in 2008. It will also end this cosmic cycle in 2014.
Thus, right now, it is in the middle of that era. That alone suggests a second stage of the Cardinal Climax,
as does the idea of the Sun and Saturn now ingressing into 0° Capricorn on December 21, 2017. The
nature of Capricorn is to seek firm ground, something solid and tangible. Capricorn is very earthy, very
practical. In finances, I think it will manifest as a movement to seek “sound money” policies. In time, this
can be very bullish for Gold and Silver as the trend moves away from fiat currencies backed only by the
good will and faith of one’s government, which is not real Capricornian. We may begin to see tangible
signs of this turning point when Venus turns retrograde, March 4-April 15. At the end of that period,
Venus will turn direct in an exact square to Saturn, which itself is then turning retrograde (April 10-21).
Saturn rules Capricorn, so there is more emphasis on solving practical problems, like finances (Venus), by
ending old practices (in both fiscal and monetary policies) that are seen as being no longer effective.
Longer-term, our focus is on late 2017 through 2020 as the time of “The Great Reset.” Shorter-term,
our focus is on February 22-April 21, the most geocosmic potent period of the year, when some of the
changes begin to take form. It will be right in time for our MMA Investment Retreat, taking place March
9-14 in San Diego, California. You can easily guess what our focus will be on at that gathering.
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GEOCOSMIC CRITICAL REVERSAL DATES
The following geocosmic critical reversal dates for all markets are based on the studies published in
The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing, Volume 3: Geocosmic Correlations to Trading Cycles. The
more stars, the higher the correlation to a reversal. Three stars have the strongest correlation. Look for
cycle crests or troughs to form within three trading days.
Jan 23*
Feb 27-28***
Mar 3** (it is part of the greater one above)
U.S. STOCK INDICES MAKE NEW ALL-TIME HIGHS – AGAIN
Since our last report, both the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the nearby S&P futures contracts
have soared to new all times highs of 19,999 and 2277 respectively on January 6, 2017. This was within
three trading days of our three-star geocosmic critical reversal date (CRD) of January 3, and within 12
trading days of the very important Jupiter/Uranus opposition of December 26. As stated in our Special
Stock Market Report of December 15, “In 10 of these previous 12 cases (of Jupiter in opposition to
Uranus), a primary cycle trough or crest occurred 10 times, within 12 trading days. The other two
exhibited ½ primary cycle crests within only three trading days… The week containing January 11, when
the Jupiter/Uranus time band ends, will be in the 10th week of the cycle. That is too short for a primary
cycle trough, so of the four possibilities, we can rule out a primary cycle trough occurring then… The
overlap period with Jupiter/Uranus for a possible half-primary cycle trough would be December 26-
January 11… However, also remember that the Jupiter/Uranus opposition has its greatest correlation
with primary cycles (83% frequency), not half-primary types. And a primary cycle trough is not called for
here. One is not due. This means the probability is highest that a primary cycle crest will form, sometime
within the next three weeks (before January 11).” It appears that January 5 was either a primary or half-
primary cycle crest. However, that is not yet confirmed until prices close below the 42-day moving
average in the DJIA and 45-day MA in the nearby S&P futures.
Long-Term Cycle Status
There is no change in the long-term cycle status, which remains bullish. As stated before, “Both the
6.5- and 4-year cycle lows are in place as of August 24, 2015, in the DJIA at 15,370, and February 11,
2016 in the nearby S&P futures at 1802.50. The upside price targets for this 4-year cycle in the DJIA is
21,226 +/- 691, 22,713 +/- 1917, or 23,316 +/- 1523. We anticipate this crest will be achieved in 2017,
during the Saturn trine Uranus aspect, which is in effect December 2016-November 2017. More than
likely, it will also happen during the intermediate-term but powerful Jupiter/Uranus opposition, which is
in force December 2016 through August 2017, with the most important times being its first two passages,
December 2016-April 2017. Within that latter period, we are mostly focused on Venus retrograde, March
4-April 15 as a particularly strong geocosmic period of an important cycle reversal as described in this
issue’s introduction.”
Within the 4-year cycle are usually three-five 50-week cycle phases, with four being the most
common. The current 50-week cycle – the second within the 4-year cycle – began with the low of 17,063
on June 27 in the DJIA, and 1981.50 in the nearby S&P. However, the S&P’s 50-week cycle may have
been the low on Election Eve, November 8-9, 2016, since its 4-year low may have expanded to February
11, 2016 (see enclosed charts). We will base our long-term analysis of the cycles on the DJIA chart.
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January 16 starts the 29th
week of the 50-week cycle. The usual range for this cycle is 34-67 weeks.
As stated last issue, “In bull markets, stocks have historically topped out in weeks 25-55, so they are
about to enter the range where its crest occurs within the next 7 months (before the end of July). The
price target for this crest is 19,860 +/- 530 in the DJIA and 2298.75 +/-58.50 on the nearby S&P futures
contract. Both are in those ranges now, and we are fast approaching the first passages of Saturn trine
Uranus and Jupiter in opposition to Uranus, December 24-26.” We have entered the time and price
targets for the 50-week cycle, but there is still time and room for prices to move higher.
If the crest of this cycle did not occur January 6, then my bias remains that it will occur before the
end of April. The most potent geocosmic time band of the year is still February 22-April 21, when the
second Jupiter/Uranus opposition occurs (March 2), and the important Venus retrograde period begins
(March 4-April 15). Keep in mind that Venus, one of the strongest correlations to primary cycles along
with the Jupiter/Uranus opposition, goes retrograde every 19 months. Furthermore, every fifth occurrence
is in the same part of the zodiac, which means this instance has the same zodiacal coverage as the one that
occurred on March 6, 2009. You may remember that was the exact date of the 75-year cycle trough. It
would be quite an impressive symmetry if March 4 (or nearby) correlates with the end of the bull market
that started then. These are the kind of correlations we look for in the study of Financial Astrology.
The Primary Cycle
Within the 50-week cycle are usually two or three primary cycles. The 17,883 low in the DJIA on
November 4 began the second primary cycle phase within the greater 50-week cycle. Therefore, the next
50-week cycle trough will likely happen at the end of this, or the next, primary cycle. As stated last issue,
“For this reason, we need to be very alert to the unfolding of this primary cycle crest. It could be
happening shortly, since we are very close to the first passage of the Saturn/Uranus trine and
Jupiter/Uranus opposition, December 24 and 26. We can allow an orb of 12 trading days for this to
coincide with a cycle turn… Additionally, both the DJIA and nearby S&P futures are in the price
objective zones for a 50-week cycle crest.”
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The week of January 16 starts the 11th
week of the 13-21 week primary cycle in the DJIA. The high
of 19,987 on December 20 was at least a major cycle crest, as labeled on the enclosed daily chart, because
it was followed by a normal 3-8 day corrective decline to 19,718 on December 30 that fell below the 14-
day moving average for an 8-week major cycle trough. The DJIA then rallied to a slightly higher high on
January 6, at 19,999, but under a lower stochastic level, for a case of bearish oscillator divergence in a
critical reversal zone. Normally, this would be a strong sell signal. However, the decline so far has been
very benign and remains above the 19,718 low of December 30. It needs to close below there to validate
the bearish oscillator of the January 6 high. If we are trading solely based on geocosmic signatures, we
would be short with a stop-loss above 20,000, which is not a bad risk-reward proposition. However, the
chart pattern is a bullish flag formation until 19,718 breaks down. A close above 20,000 gives an initial
upside price target of 20,280 +/- 66. A close below 19,718, on the other hand, opens up a more bearish
scenario in which the DJIA could fall back to the 19,000 area, if it first breaks below the upward
trendline, currently around 19,375-19,400.
The cycle labeling is slightly different for the S&P. Here, the prior 50-week cycles may be labeled as
the lows of February 11, 2016 and November 9, 2016. This labelling is a little more bullish than the
DJIA, because it means this is the first primary cycle (not the second) within the greater 50-week cycle.
This gives an upside price target for the current 50-week at 2417.50 +/- 72.50. It also implies that the top
will likely not happen until the next primary cycle, as long as prices remain above the extension of a
former downward trendline, shown on the daily chart above, which comes in around 2100-2120 over the
next month.
January 16 starts the 10th week of the 15-23 week primary cycle in the nearby S&P futures. This
labeling can allow for a sharp decline to an 8-12 week half-primary cycle trough in the next two weeks, if
this is not to be a classical three-phase primary cycle pattern. That is, assuming that both the S&P and
DJIA do not exceed their highs of January 6, both could fall to or below their 42- and 45-day moving
averages very soon. That is currently at 2231.75 in the case of the S&P. If this were to happen, then the
downside price target would be 2195.75 +/- 9.75, and possibly even down to 2100-2120. One potentially
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bearish point to make is that the nearby S&P futures (December contract) topped out at 2278.25 on
December 13, while the March futures topped out January 6 at 2277. This is a type of intermarket bearish
divergence that will be negated if both the DJIA exceeds 19,999 and the March S&P future exceeds
2278.25. That is the risk of going short now.
In summary, cycles and chart patterns are still bullish, pointing to new highs. However, the
geocosmics indicate the highs could be in as of December 13, and January 6, and a sharp decline is
readying, unless those highs are exceeded very soon, before falling before the lows of December 30. If
instead new highs form first, then we have to abandon the idea of a half-primary cycle trough forming in
the S&P. Instead, this would be a classical three-phase pattern consisting of three 5-8 week major cycle
phases. The S&P would be in the second phase now, with an initial upside target for a major cycle crest at
2326.75 +/- 18. One astrological study that supports a possible large rally is the transit of Jupiter in
conjunction with the New York Stock Exchange Jupiter (and trine its Pluto), January 24-February 17, as
Jupiter changes from direct to retrograde on February 6. Our major focus, however, will be on the next
three-star CRD zone of February 27-28, which could easily expand to March 6, given that Venus turns
retrograde March 4. That could either be a primary cycle crest or primary cycle trough. It is too early to
tell just yet, but with the parameters set forth here, you should be able to tell as we get closer and break
some of these support or resistance zones along the way. If in doubt, please refer to our weekly and daily
reports, which will be reporting developments in this market very closely these next few weeks.
Trading Strategies: Our last report stated, “Position traders may remain long with a stop-loss on a close
below 17,063 in the DJIA and 1981.50 in the nearby S&P contract. You may take some profits now, or
even December 22-January 6 if the DJIA is testing 20,000.” The high of 19,999 on January 6 qualifies as
“testing 20,000.” Position traders may remain long with other positions, and may even re-purchase those
longs taken off for profits, if the DJIA falls 1000 points from its high in the next month. Aggressive traders
were also long and advised, “Here too you may look to take profits now, and even sell short. If prices
drop back to the 14 or 15-day moving average or below (but not below the 42-45 day MA), December 28-
Jan 2 +/- 3 trading days, you can go long again” That worked out well as prices did indeed break below
the 14- and 15-day moving averages on the low of December 30. That strategy went on to suggest, “On
the other hand, of the indices are making new highs then, and especially if only one of the markets is
making a new high then but not the other, you may sell short with a stop-loss to be determined at the
time.” You may or may not have sold short on January 6, as both the March S&P and DJIA cash made
new highs, but the March S&P did not take out the all-time high of the nearby S&P (Dec) made on
December 13. If not short, you could sell short with a stop-loss based on both the DJIA trading above
19,999 and the March S&P above 2278.25, as this represents a favorable risk/reward set up, given our
market timing methods. In the event that the S&P falls back to 2100-2120 in the next month, prepare to
get long. We may get long at much higher levels (maybe around 2175-2200) if the technical set up looks
good in that range, and if offered in the next two weeks.
Short-Term Reversal Dates in U.S. Stocks: Look for isolated highs or lows in these solar-lunar periods,
from which prices reverse at least 2.5% (and better if 4%):
Jan 16*** (DJIA closed)
Jan 25-26***
Jan 30-31*
Feb 7-8*
Feb 14-15**
Feb 20**
Feb 28-Mar 1*
Mar 2-3*
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GOLD AND SILVER RECOVER SMARTLY
February Gold and March Silver have both advanced smartly from their multi-month lows of
December 15 and December 20 respectively at 1124.30 and 1567.50. As of today, January 16, Gold has
rallied to a high of 1208.70 on the overseas markets (US markets are closed), and Silver to 1702 on
Thursday, January 12. As stated last month, “On the daily chart of February Gold, one can see a bullish
stochastic oscillator forming. Additionally, the oscillator seems poised to make a double looping
formation below 20%, which is another strong bullish technical signal. If this oscillator moves above
25%, with the solid line widening its distance above the dotted line, it is a strong buy signal, suggesting
the lows are in. A stronger confirming signal would happen if Gold can then close back above the 45-day
moving average, currently around 1182 and falling.” It has done all of that now. Chart-wise, it is
beginning to look that the low in Gold was a contracted 10-week primary cycle, coinciding with the
greater 11-month cycle low that was due November-February.
My bias for Gold longer-term is very bullish, for reasons suggested in the introduction of this report,
and which will be elaborated in more detail in our forthcoming “Forecast 2017 Webinar: The Great
Reset,” taking place on January 29. However, until Gold can exceed a downward 4-point trendline shown
on the weekly chart above (A-B-C-D), currently coming in around 1313, we cannot confirm the primary
or 11-month cycle has yet bottomed on December 15 at 1124.30. You will note on the daily chart that the
high of Monday, January 16, is very close to an exact Fibonacci 38.2% retracement of the move down
following the high on the eve of the USA election, (November 8-9). There may resistance here, especially
as Silver has not made a new high this week (yet).
If Gold can break these current levels, and then also break above 1313, it will support our view that
Gold is in the early stages of a new and bullish 7.4-year cycle. As stated last issue, “Gold’s longer-term
bull market status is in question now that prices have fallen back into a former downward channel... This
leaves open the possibility that Gold could fall to the lower line, which would mean that the low of
December 2015 (#2 on the chart) may not have been the longer-term 7.4-year cycle trough. My view is
that it was the bottom… If this going to be a contracted primary cycle, and also an 11-month cycle low, it
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can do that without much problem. It would then be back on track to continue higher to trade between
1375 and 1525, which is still our target for much of 2017. If not, then Gold is headed to 1000, even back
to 750-900, although it may take 1-3 years to finally bottom. My view is that this is an 11-month cycle
trough that is forming, correlating with Jupiter in Libra, and the low will be in within the next 4 weeks.”
This starts either the 15th
week of an older 15-21-week primary cycle off the low of October 7 at
1243.20, basis the nearby December contract (1246.90 in Feb contract), or the 5th
week of a newer
primary cycle off a contracted 10-week low on December 15 at 1124.30. The difference is huge. If this is
the 15th
week of an older cycle, then the low of December 15 was a 10-week half-primary cycle trough,
and it was below the low that started the cycle (bearish trend). The rally to the crest of the second half-
primary cycle would likely be ending here, as the price target would be 1232.60 +/- 25.60. We are at the
lower end, but the rally has lasted a long time for a bearish primary cycle. The market, in this labeling, is
due to reverse back down now, falling below 1124.30, with a possibility of plunging as low as 992 +/-
41.20 within the next 6 weeks. This happens to be down near the lower line of the channel shown on the
weekly chart. As stated last month, “If this is to be “normal” 15-21 week primary cycle, then it is now in
the time band for an 8-11 week half-primary cycle trough. A bottom is due, and sharp 3-13 day rally
would likely follow. After that, Gold would fall again to even lower levels as the final primary cycle
trough unfolds 5-11 weeks from now.” This outlook is challenged now (but not totally negated) because
the rally has lasted much beyond 3-13 days
On the other side – the bullish side – not only has the rally lasted a long time for a bearish trend, but
the low was in a time band for an 11-mlnthcycle trough, which could support the idea of a contracted
cycle. When longer term cycles come due, the primary cycle often distorts. However, even 10 weeks is
historically a very short time for a primary cycle. I have only seen it happen once in my review of cycles
since 1976. A contracted cycle is more often 11-14 weeks. Should we be overly concerned that this one is
may be only 10 weeks? Let’s put it this way: if Gold doesn’t turn down right now, and Silver also takes
out last week’s high to end the possible intermarket bearish divergence signal, I think we have to go with
this more bullish outlook. And in this more bullish outlook, we are back on track to see Gold, trade
between 1365-1525 this year.
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In the more bullish outlook, this starts the 5th
week of a new 15-21 week primary cycle. The crest of
the first major cycle is now due, to be followed by a 3-8 day corrective decline to the 5-7 week major
cycle trough. That could also start now, especially if Silver does not break above 1702 this week. If the
crest is forming today (January 16), then a normal corrective decline would be back to 1166.50 +/- 10.00,
perhaps into our January 23 CRD, +/- 3 trading days. Supporting this idea is the overbought condition of
the daily stochastic indicator. I presently favor this labeling, that this is a new primary cycle, and a buying
opportunity will arise if Gold drops back to 1150-1170 for a major cycle trough this week or next.
Short-Term Reversal Dates in Gold: Look for isolated highs or lows in Gold in these solar-lunar
periods, and from which prices reverse at least 2.5% (and better if 3% or more):
Jan 17-19**
Jan 20*
Jan 23-24***
Jan 30-31*
Feb 7-9**
Feb 10*
Feb 16-17*
Feb 21-23**
Strategy: Our report last month stated, “Position traders are flat and may look to go long, especially
December 19-January 13, if Gold is making new lows then, but Silver remains above 1583 and even
1615.” Hmmm, it happened just the opposite as Silver made a new low then (Dec 20) but Gold did not.
Let’s now look to buy on a corrective decline to a major cycle trough in the next two weeks, especially if
below the 15-day moving average, and ideally about 1150-1175. If Gold continues to rise this week, we
may have to move that buy point higher. If you get long, your stop-loss will start with a close below
1124.30. Aggressive traders may also look to go long with the same conditions. Very aggressive traders
may want to probe the short side this week if Silver does not break above 1702, for that would mean a
case of bearish oscillator is in force. But if going short, be sure to take some profits, and consider going
long, on a drop to 1150-1175.
SILVER ALSO RALLIES
I always get worried for precious metals when the Sun is in Aquarius (January 19-February 18). For
some reason, there usually seems to be at least one period when Silver (and Gold) sell off sharply when
the Sun is in Aquarius and usually when the Moon is in an air sign too. This solar/lunar condition will be
present January 27, February 6, and February 14-15. Be careful if long during these periods. A 70-100
point drop in Silver is not unusual during one of these times.
Silver’s recent low was on December 20 at 1567.50, a week later than Gold, for a case of intermarket
bullish divergence, and nearby to the December 26 occurrence of the Jupiter/Uranus opposition. That was
the 11th
week of the normal 13-21 primary cycle, and could have been a normal 7-11 week half-primary
cycle trough, or a contracted 11-week primary cycle. If it was a half-primary cycle trough, then this
begins the 15th
week of a normal 13-21 week primary cycle and the 4th
week of the second 7-11 week
half-primary cycle. The rally to the crest of the second half of the primary cycle would be 1740 +/- 41.
Last week’s high of 1702 is near the lower end of this range, which is the Fibonacci 38.2% mark. In this
labeling, Silver is about to turn down now, falling below 1567.50 for its primary cycle trough, due in 3-6
weeks. The price target would be 1489, +/- 50. At that point, we may have to look and see if there is
intermarket bullish divergence to Gold, which might break below its low of 1045 set December 2015,
when Silver bottomed at 1362. A break above 1792 begins to negate this bearish outlook.
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In the bullish outlook, the low of December 20 was a contracted 11-week primary cycle trough,
January 16 thus starts the 4th
week of the new 13-21 week primary cycle. The crest of the first 4-6 week
major cycle could have formed last week at 1702. If so, a 3-8 day corrective decline may be underway
with a downside target of 1635 +/- 16. Our bias is to buy such a correction if it happens, while keeping
alert that a more serious decline could happen on the dates given at the start of the Silver analysis.
Trading Strategies: All traders may look to buy a corrective decline to 1635 +/- 16, with a stop-loss on a
close below 1567.50. Aggressive traders may look to probe the short side this week as long as Silver
remains below 1702. However, look to cover and go long on a drop to 1635 +/- 16.
Short-Term Reversal Dates in Silver: Look for isolated highs or lows in Silver (and probably Gold) in
these solar-lunar periods, and from which prices reverse at least 2.5% (and better if 4%):
Jan 23-24*
Jan 25-27***
Feb 13*
Feb 14-15*
Feb 20**
Feb 27*
Feb 28-Mar 1*
Mar 2-3*
10-YEAR NOTES STARTS A NEW PRIMARY CYCLE
March T-Notes appear to have made a primary cycle low on December 15 at 122/14. The nearby
continuous chart made a low on December 21, one week later, for a type of intermarket bullish
divergence signal. Since that time, T-Notes have rallied, with a high so far of 125/10 on January 6 and 12.
On the second high of last week, T-Notes took out the 45-day moving average, which indicates that this is
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a new primary cycle, and the lows of December 15 and/or Dec 21 were the primary cycle troughs. Still,
the longer-term cycles are bearish following the secondary high of 134/07 on July 6, 2016.
Our last report stated, “Ten-Year Notes continue to fall to new yearly lows, supporting our view that
the 18-year cycle topped out with the all-time highs of last summer in Treasury Bonds. This was not
confirmed with the secondary high in T-Notes, which topped out in 2012, for a case of intermarket
bearish divergence in the long-term cycle. However, there is a possibility that a shorter-term primary
cycle trough is forming now as we make these new yearly lows on a one-star critical reversal date
(December 9-12)…. December 12 starts either the 21st week of an older 15-21 week primary cycle on July
21, or the 7th week of a newer one that started with the low of 129/06 in the nearby contract on October
28. The main difference is that if this is the 21st week of an older primary cycle, it is due to bottom now
and commence a healthy 2-5 week rally.” The low of December 15 was within the acceptable three-
trading day orb for a CRD reversal.
January 16 starts the 5th
week of a newer 15-21 week primary cycle off the 122/14 low of December
15. We are thus in that 2-5 week time frame when the primary cycle crest is ideally due, although
sometimes it can expand as much as 8 weeks. The daily stochastic indicator is nearing an overbought
level, but there is no sign of bearish oscillator divergence yet, which we prefer to see when primary cycles
top out. We will need to watch for this if T-Notes continue to rise over the next few days. If so, a further
upside rally could take prices to 125/16-127/12, an optimal retracement level for a bear market rally.
Further out, we are most concerned about the next three-star CRD, February 27-28, and even into
March 1-4, when Venus turns retrograde and the next Jupiter/Uranus square occurs. That is likely to be a
major turning point for many markets, and especially this one.
Trading Strategy: Positin traders may remain short with a stop-loss on a close above 130 or 128,
depending on your risk allowance. Aggressive traders were advised to “…. take profits on 1/3 of those
shorts now, as we are getting bullish oscillator possibilities in a one-star critical reversal date time band
(December 9-12 +/- 3 trading days).” You may look to sell short again if this rally continues to 125/16-
127/12 over the next 3 weeks.
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EURO FALLS TO YEARLY LOWS, BUT LONG-TERM TROUGH MAY HAVE FORMED
Exactly on our January 3 three-star geocosmic critical reversal date, the Euro currency fell to 1.0339,
its lowest level since January 2003. This appears to be on time for the Euro’s 16.5-year cycle low, which
last bottomed in October 2000 at .8225. As stated last month, “The Euro is headed to its 16.5-year cycle
low, the end of cycle that started in October 2000, and is due at any time now, although the range could
last up to three years. My view is that it will coincide with the US Dollar’s long-term 16-year crest cycle,
due January 2017 +/- 6 months. Two of the most optimal times for this long-term cycle trough in the Euro
would coincide with the heavy geocosmic periods of November 26-January 12 and February 22-April 21.
The end of this current primary cycle would be a good time to look for that low. In fact, we will be
looking to buy all primary cycle lows now in the Euro.” It doesn’t get much better than that for long-term
analysis, if indeed the Euro did bottom on January 3. There are several cases in the past where major
currencies completed long-term cycles right around the turn of the year. This may be another case.
If this is the start of a new long-term cycle for the Euro, then of course the 1.0339 low will hold. The
Euro would rally now for several years, and the U.S. Dollar would fall for several years. However, given
the current political situation in the world – in the USA – we cannot yet rule out another possible serious
wave down into the Venus retrograde period of say, February 22-April 21. After all, Venus rules
currencies, along with Pluto. Not only will Venus be retrograde, but the cardinal T-square between
Jupiter, Pluto, and Uranus will be at its strongest, November 2016-March 2017. If the U.S. Dollar starts to
break above 109-111, then a case can be made for the Euro to break down to 95, or even 75.
January 16 starts the 30th
week of an older 23-37 week primary cycle, or the 2nd
week of a newer one. I
like the idea of this starting a newer primary cycle because 1) the low was right on a 3-star CRD and 2) it
happened with a case of bullish oscillator divergence (see daily chart above). Furthermore, it fits with our
comments last month, which stated, “I would not be so concerned with “prices” right now as “time.”
This appears to be the 7th week of the third and final 8-12 week major cycle phase. Yes, it is possible it
contracted to form in the 6th week last week, December 5. But ideally, it would form closer to a three-star
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CRD, and the next one is due shortly, December 30-January 2, +/- 3 trading days (you may allow a week
either side). Historically, long-term cycle highs or lows in currencies frequently happen within two weeks
of January 1.” As I said, it doesn’t get much better than that, as the low formed on the first trading day of
the year, January 3.
Although a further decline into February 22-April 21 is possible, it is also possible the long-term
lows just formed, and if so, we are on the edge of an exceptional risk-reward opportunity now from the
long side.
Trading Strategy: Our last report stated, “Position traders may look to buy, especially from December
22-January 12. We don’t have a stop-loss to provide at this time, but we will, via our weekly and daily
services.” Remain long with a stop-loss on a close below 1.0339 now. Last issue also stated, “Aggressive
traders are short now from last issue and may bring their stop-loss down to a close above 1.0875. You
may cover 1/3 of the shorts now for excellent profits. Cover all and reverse to the long side on the same
signal as given to position traders, due in the next 4 weeks.” Bingo. It was an exceptional trade from the
short side and now we are long with the same stop-loss. You may take profits on 1/3 of those longs now,
just in case a temporary crest formed with the high of 1.0684 on January 12. If not long, look to buy on a
corrective decline that does not fall below 1.0339. If it does fall below there, then prepare to buy again in
late February, during the next 3-star CRD.
CRUDE OIL – BULLISH MOMENTUM CONTINUES by Nitin Bhandari, MMTA Graduate
Since our report of last month, crude oil has made a new cycle high of 55.24 on January 3, and its
first major cycle low at 50.71 on January 10. Last month`s report stated, “This rally was followed by a
double bottom multi-year low of 26.05 made on February 11, 2016. More likely this multi-year low at
26.05 can be an 18-year cycle trough with a contracted 9-year cycle low and a contracted 3-year cycle
low. As longer term cycles come due, shorter cycles distort.” The month of January starts the eleventh
month from the multi-year low of 26.05 made on February 11, 2016. The longer-term cycle is very bullish
unless prices fall below the low of 26.05.
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January 16 starts 9th
week of the 15-23 week primary cycle off that 42.20 low of November 14. Last
month`s report stated “Prices have rallied sharply from this new primary cycle low and made a new high,
which confirms that this is a new primary cycle. Prices also closed above the 45-day moving average for
another confirmation. The first 5-8 week major cycle trough is due in next 1-4 weeks.” Crude Oil prices
made a new cycle high of 55.24 on January 3, which was the first major cycle crest, and a low of 50.71 on
January 10, which was the first major cycle trough. The week of January 16 also starts the first week of
second major cycle phase. The price target for the second major cycle crest is 63.80 +/- 2.50. If this cycle
is bullish, crude oil will make a new high past Tuesday of 9th week (January 17, 2017). This cycle remains
bullish until the primary cycle low is taken out, which is 42.20. That mark is important. Instead of making
a new high, if prices first fall below 50.71 low, then Crude will be making an 8-12 week half-primary
cycle low, for which the price target would be 45.85-50.27.
Last month`s report stated “From December 19 to January 8, Mercury will be retrograde and this is
the holiday season, so this could be a calm period. On the other hand, On December 26, Jupiter, co-ruler
of Crude Oil will make opposition to Uranus. One is exaggeration and another doesn’t like boundaries,
so it may not be as calm as usual because of Mercury retrograde and other important transits. On
January 1, Mars will conjunct Neptune, the ruler of Crude Oil, which could add price volatility.” Crude
made a new cycle high of 55.24 on January 3, two calendar days after Mars conjunct Neptune.
Last month`s report stated “Note also that as this week starts, Crude Oil is gapping up above the line
connecting previous primary cycle crests. This line is now support at 51.50-52.50, as long as it holds, it
gives an upside projection to 65.13 +/- 3.06.” This line still remains an important support point.
Strategy: Traders are long with a stop-loss on close below 41.00, after booking nice profit on 1/3rd. They
may look to book profit on another 1/3rd of this trade at 56.50 +/- .50.
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SOYBEANS – A NEW PRIMARY CYCLE By Kat Powell, MMTA Graduate
“The year of 2016 will end with a three-star critical reversal zone bridging into the first part of
January 2017 (December 26 to January 3), and impacting all markets. That energy may act as a price
magnet pulling patterns to form an overthrow crest or trough and all traders should be prepared for
reversals, fake-outs or breakouts, and potential price acceleration since Jupiter will oppose Uranus on
December 26. Soybean traders should give this reversal zone additional carryover time into early
January, since Mars will first conjunct Neptune in Pisces on January 1, followed by Venus conjunct
Neptune on January 12. Soybeans may crest into this energy and into early January, since these
geocosmics are correlated to wet energy…”
SOYBEANS DAILY: March Contract – Prices broke below the 45-day moving average (MA) to form a primary bottom (PB) on
January 4, in orb of the critical reversal zone. A second reversal, as Mercury stationed direct on January 8, launched prices back
above the 15- and 45-day MAs and into the Venus conjunction with Neptune. Note the bullish oscillator divergence with the PB.
Well, that was a major understatement, since wet produced “atmospheric rivers” streaming ashore on
the USA west coast and also spawned the ironically named winter storm “Jupiter” that is delivering
weather havoc across the country. In central Argentina, farmers are experiencing significant flooding that
has caused soybean crop damage and may be limiting their potential window for replanting. The USDA
released their crop yield estimates as Venus was conjunct Neptune on January 12, and the market vaulted
back above the 45-day MA. But wait, in the middle of all that, it looks like we started a new primary
cycle. So, let’s pause and review.
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Last month, I was watching the old primary cycle count that began with the August 2 low of 938 in
the March contract and said, it “should be topping out and declining rapidly into a primary cycle low that
correlates to the end of year critical reversal zone or early January.” After our last report, prices dropped
below the 45-day moving average (MA) and reversed with the December critical reversal date (CRD) to
backtest the 15- and 45-day MAs. Prices then fell to the primary bottom low of 992-3/4 on January 4,
2017, within the “Forecast” January CRD, thus completing a 22-week primary cycle for the March
contract. The January PB puts the divergent contract cycle counts back in sync as illustrated on the
weekly chart. We are now beginning the 2nd
week of a new primary cycle
SOYBEANS WEEKLY: Continuous rolling futures with illustrations of Venus aspect reversals. Prices dropped into the primary bottom (PB), finding support at the 18-week MA. The faster 18-week MA remains below the 36-week MA, but at the end of last
week prices traded back above the 36-week MA.
Geocosmics: We’re releasing this report into the stormy aspect of Mars square Saturn on January 19.
However, look for weather energy to change as January ends and Mars leaves the watery sign of Pisces
for its home domain of Aries. In that same time frame, Venus will square Saturn on January 27 in the next
“Forecast” CRD. Soybean prices have been showing a strong correlation to reversals with Venus aspects
to Saturn. Unless prices reverse this week and drop immediately, look to that January 27 CRD for an
important crest in this new primary cycle. A crest and reversal would set up for a decline to a half-primary
or primary cycle trough during the Venus retrograde cycle of March 4 – April 15. Note that Venus in
conjunction to Neptune is not a “fact-based” aspect, whereas Venus square Saturn can deliver a dose of
reality. Traders should pay attention to soybean crop news going into the end of January.
Price Analysis: Last month, we warned that, “The 45-day MA becomes the make or break point for
analysis.” And we advised, “Traders should also watch the 18-week MA for support…” When you are
watching these moving averages, always refer back to the continuous futures contract charts. While prices
broke below the 18-week MA in the March contract, they found support in the continuous weekly chart
and rebounded sharply. So, we are back to watching the 45-day MA for future support. If this is going to
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be a bullish primary, March contract prices will target 1077 +/- 10, followed by 1129 +/- 23. If prices
achieve a bullish breakout, they will run to challenge the 48-month MA.
If the market fails to rise above the November primary top (PT), or forms a double top (DT), prepare
for a lower low and a potentially bearish primary cycle that could still fall back to test support at the
August/September lows.
Strategies: Our last report advised that, “Position traders can go long on any new cycle low that does not
form a weekly close below the 18-week MA and place your stops below that same MA. Aggressive traders
who are long should place stops below the 45-day MA or 18-week MA, and possibly add positions on a
new cycle low anticipating higher prices in January. For all traders, if prices should subsequently fail to
exceed the November highs in your trading contract, exit all positions and prepare for a decline to
August/September support levels or lower.”
Traders can be long into the January 27-30 “Forecast” CRD assuming that prices can climb above
the November highs. Position traders should keep moving their stop-loss up beneath that 18-week MA.
Aggressive traders should take profits on any failure to exceed the November highs. They may also take
short positions at the anticipated late January crest looking for a decline to a cycle trough during the
Venus retrograde cycle.
The next MMA Cycles Report will be issued on February 21-22 (one day later than usual).
Geocosmic Signatures for near-term: Jan 19 (9.50**), Jan 27 (9.40**), Feb 6 (9.14*),
Feb 11 (9.15*), Feb 22 (9.25*), Feb 26 (9.39**), Feb 27 (9.20*), Mar 1
(9.40**), Mar 2 (9.82**), Mar 4 (9.63**), Mar 5 (8.90). The idea is to find a “cluster” in
which there are no more than six calendar days between any two consecutive signatures, and then take the
midpoint of that cluster as a critical reversal date, +/- 3 trading days. For example, there are 7 geocosmic
signatures present February 22-March 5, with no more than 6 calendar days between any two consecutive
ones. The midpoint is February 27-28. Furthermore, there is are five Level 1 signatures (value greater
than 9.40**) nearby, Feb 26-March 4. Therefore, February 27-28 is an important three-star Critical
Reversal Date (CRD), +/- 3 trading days.
PLEASE NOTE: THIS INFO IS FOR PRIVATE USE ONLY OF MMA CYCLES SUBSCRIBERS.
TRANSMISSION OF THIS REPORT BY ELECTRONIC MEANS OR OTHERWISE IS ILLEGAL
UNLESS PERMISSION TO DO SO IS GRANTED BY MMA, INC.
Disclaimer: No guarantees are made. You are solely responsible for any action you initiate in the market. Information is
provided with sincere intent, and according to our own studies and methodologies.
ANNOUNCEMENTS
THIS IS THE MMA EVENT OF 2017 YOU WILL NOT WANT TO MISS! THE MMA 2017
INVESTMENT RETREAT IS GOING TO BE GREAT!!! This unique event is specially designed for
MMA subscribers and independent investors interested in MMA’s outlook for next several years, based
on MMA methods of market timing and trend analysis. The 2017 retreat will take place at the beautiful
Kona Kai Resort on Shelter Island in the almost always sunny San Diego, California, March 9-13, 2017,
located right on the Pacific Ocean. Featured presenters will include Ted Lee Fisher, money manager,
former member of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) and a legend in Commodity Futures trading;
Egon von Greyerz of Matterhorn Asset Management in Zurich, Switzerland, an asset management
company based on wealth preservation principles that owns Gold vaults in Zurich, the Swiss Alps,
Singapore and Hong Kong. Egon was one of the individuals behind the “Save Our Swiss Gold”
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referendum in Switzerland in 2015. Also on the program will be Robert Corre, financial astrologer and
25-year instructor at New York University's Stern School of Business. Robert topic will be “The Federal
Reserve Bank – Its Ever More Important Role in your Future Financial Freedom.” Maria Schoeppel,
financial astrologer and mathematics major from UCLA, will present her research and forecasts on
“China 2019: Similarities to the 1997 Asian Currency Crisis” Along with Retreat Coordinator Raymond
Merriman, the brightest minds from the MMTA (Merriman Market Timing Academy) will present their
latest research on the best investment ideas of 2017-2018. These including MMA analysts Kat Powell
(Soybeans and Silver) Nitin Bhandari (Crude Oil), British Pound and FTSE analyst Ulric Aspegren, and
ICR editor Mark Shtayerman (the XAU and Russell 2000 Index). There will also be a 4-hour optional
class on beginning astrology presented by MMTA graduates Richard Smoot, Darri Murphy, Izabella
Suleymanova along with Robert Corre on Monday afternoon, March 13. MMA’s first Investment Retreat
in September 2015 (Italy) was very successful, as it correctly forecasted long-term lows (and investment
opportunities) that would rise in Crude Oil, Gold, and Silver in 2016. That happened. One of the features
that make this event so exciting is that speakers will be interviewed each day in an informal Q and A with
attendees, emceed by Raymond Merriman and Washington insider Henry Canciglia. For more info,
http://new.mmacycles.com/sandiego2017/index.shtml where you will be able to register and see what our
expert faculty views as the best investments for 2017-2018, and why. Do not miss this powerfully
enlightening opportunity to connect with other investors and some of the best market timers in the world!
Note: special rates at Kona Kai end February 8, so reserve by then before rates go much higher. Call 800-
566-2524, 1-619-221-8000, or visit their web site at http://www.resortkonakai.com/ to make your
reservation. To get this special rate, you must register under the code name MMA2017 prior to February
8, 2017.
Our Forecast 2017 webinar will take place on Sunday, January 29, at 1:45 PM, EST. Participation to the
live event will be limited, to 100 people. The theme of this webinar is “The Great Reset,” which will
discuss the major geocosmic theme of 2017-2020 and how it will affect the Federal Reserve Board,
currencies and precious metals. We will also update the shorter-term outlook for the stock market,
precious metals, US Dollar, and crude oil, and grain prices. All webinars have sold out in the past, so
register early to make sure you have a place reserved in the live webinar event. Call 1-248-626-3034, visit
http://new.mmacycles.com/index.php?route=blog/category&category_id=3, or email us at
[email protected] for further information, or registration. You may also register directly at
http://new.mmacycles.com/index.php?route=product/product&path=64_69&product_id=231.
The Forecast 2017 Book is out! And what a year it going to be! For more information, please visit our
YouTube video on the book and the important geocosmic patterns in effect in early part of the year –
now! at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_LOEop2Hcr8three and see what is coming up – like the
cardinal T-square of November 2016 -April 2017.
Written by Raymond A. Merriman since 1976, this annual Forecast Book is one of the most unique,
affordable ($55.00), and accurate glimpses into the coming year. Utilizing the study of cycles and
geocosmic factors, the annual Forecast book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political,
economic, and financial markets throughout the world. This book has an impressive history of insightful
accuracy into world economic and financial market conditions that you will not want to miss! Please note
that we always order 20% more books than pre-ordered as of December 1. Thus, the print run is set and
there will be no additional printings. Last year’s printed edition sold out within three weeks of its release,
and this one might too, since we have a new president, and no one knows what to expect (but astrology
and cycle studies yield most interesting insights). For further information, go to www.mmacycles.com
and click the banner (or click Products – Books). ORDER NOW AND MAKE SURE YOU RESERVE
YOUR COPY BEFORE THEY SELL OUT!!! (note, we are down to our last 2 boxes now).
For more information, visit www.mmacycles.com or call 1-800-662-3349 or 1-248-626-3034.
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This year’s printed version of Forecast 2017 will also be available in three additional languages:
Dutch: at www.markettiming.nl
German: at http://www.mma-europe.ch/
Japanese: at http://merriman.jp
Our weekly and daily subscription reports continue to be very valuable this year in almost every
market analyzed. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up
with our current thoughts on financial markets, you will be interested in MMA’s Weekly or Daily Market
reports. These weekly reports give an in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro
currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro/Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold
and Silver, and Crude Oil. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in the
Euro Currency, Japanese Yen, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF’s).
Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-
term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. These reports are
valuable to those who trade Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs). For further information, or to subscribe, go
to http://new.mmacycles.com/index.php?route=product/category&path=65_62 or call our offices at 1-
248-626-3034, for more information.
SPECIAL SALE ON DISTRESSED BOOKS FROM SEEK-IT PUBLICATIONS!!!
Over the years, MMA/Seek-It Publications, has had books returned from customers that were damaged or
scuffed from the mail delivery, or that had 1-10 pages missing from the printing process. The vast
majority of these books are in good condition, and will be useful to those who wish the information, but at
a greatly reduced price (50% or more off the listed retail price). Some of these include our more
expensive financial market timing books, such as The Sun, the Moon, and the Silver Market: Secrets of a
Silver Trader, and various volumes from The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing series. There are
also many astrology books that Seek-It has published, including both the hard cover and soft cover
versions of Evolutionary Astrology: The Journey of the Soul Through States of Consciousness, and The
Solar Return Book of Prediction, both by Raymond Merriman, The Power of Pluto (Arlene Robertson),
Astrology: Key to Holistic Health (Marcia Stark), Spiritual Astrology (the original book by Jan Spiller,
who recently passed away), and many others. To see the entire list available at these greatly reduced
prices, please go to http://new.mmacycles.com/index.php?route=product/category&path=64_74, or our
web site at www.mmacycles.com, under Products, and then Discounted Books. Or, for a description of
particular book’s description, call Lisa at 1-800-MMA-3349 or 248-626-3034. These make wonderful
gifts as well!
EVENTS
January 29, 2017 1:45 PM: Forecast for 2017 webinar. Cost will be $45.00. For information, visit
http://new.mmacycles.com/index.php?route=blog/category&category_id=3. To sign up, go to
http://new.mmacycles.com/index.php?route=product/product&path=64_69&product_id=231.
You may also call Lisa at 1-248-626-3034, or email [email protected] if you wish to sign up off line.
March 9-13, 2017: The Second MMA Investment Retreat will take place at the beautiful Kona Kai
Hotel right on the Pacific Ocean, in San Diego, California. Save the dates! It will be special. Cost is
$4000. Go to http://new.mmacycles.com/sandiego2017/index.shtml for details, or on the MMA website at
www.mmacycles.com under the banner at the top of the page. Just click it. There is a special San Diego
Bay boating excursion Thursday afternoon, and “Meet and Greet” dinner that same day, March 9, for
those who wish arrive early.
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June 3-4, 2017: It is on! Trinity College at Oxford University! Two-day workshop on MMA Financial
Market Timing in Oxford, England. Cost is £995. With the British Pound so low, now would be a good
time for non-UK residents to sign up and lock in the great currency conversion rate. For more
information, go to http://oxfordastrologygroup.blogspot.co.uk/. A complete schedule of activities and
topics will be ready shortly, and posted on our website.