video-based accidents, conflicts, and road user behaviourconflicts, and road user behaviour: a step...

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1 VTTI Symposium Video-based accidents, conflicts, and road user behaviour: a step forward in traffic safety research Richard van der Horst 27 August, 2008 VTTI Symposium 2 Accident analysis Real-world observations Instrumented vehicles Driving simulator Laboratory experiments Mathematical modelling + valid - - effects interpretable + Behavioral Research by: vehicle driver

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Page 1: Video-based accidents, conflicts, and road user behaviourconflicts, and road user behaviour: a step forward in traffic safety research Richard van der Horst 2 VTTI Symposium 27 August,

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VTTI Symposium

Video-based accidents, conflicts, and road userbehaviour: a step forward intraffic safety research

Richard van der Horst

27 August, 2008VTTI Symposium2

Accident analysis

Real-world observations

Instrumented vehicles

Driving simulator

Laboratory experiments

Mathematical modelling+ valid -- effects interpretable +

Behavioral Research by:

vehicledriver

Page 2: Video-based accidents, conflicts, and road user behaviourconflicts, and road user behaviour: a step forward in traffic safety research Richard van der Horst 2 VTTI Symposium 27 August,

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IntroductionTraffic Safety Assessment

Accident Analyses

Police report

Traffic Accident

Traffic (un)safety

TrafficSafety Assessment

• Traffic Accidents • limited reflection of traffic (un)safety

• Police reports • limited sample of all accidents• limited for behavioral research

purposes ?• Subjective interviews?

• Accident Analyses• many methods• validated?

• Traffic Safety Assessment• Do the thing right• Do the right thing

27 August, 2008VTTI Symposium4

Introduction (2)Traffic Safety Assessment

Accident Analysis

Traffic (un)safety

TrafficSafety Assessment

BehaviouralAnalysis

Page 3: Video-based accidents, conflicts, and road user behaviourconflicts, and road user behaviour: a step forward in traffic safety research Richard van der Horst 2 VTTI Symposium 27 August,

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Project Outline (1)The elements

TNO Automotive• In-depth studies

• Relational databasesTNO Prevention & Health• Monitoring of injured

• relation between causation and long term effects (quality of life, re-integration, participation in society)

• Measure to determine limitationsTNO Human Factors• Video observations (behavior, conflicts, accidents)

• Road-scene analyses

• Interviews

27 August, 2008VTTI Symposium6

Project outline (2)Validation and testing

Video observations Road-scene analyses

Interviews

Long term effects

In-depth analyses

Relational database

Accident Causation

Page 4: Video-based accidents, conflicts, and road user behaviourconflicts, and road user behaviour: a step forward in traffic safety research Richard van der Horst 2 VTTI Symposium 27 August,

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Long-term video observations

• Observation of 4 blackspots in 2-yr period

• Pijnacker (T-junction) + Delft (3 signalized intersections)

• Rough data: 8 years of video material

• Selection: Collisions (# police-reported?) whole period

Incidents when observed

Conflicts (analyses ala ‘DOCTOR’ method) one day

• Methodology to determine driver behavior in the pre-crash phase

• Insight in the chain of elements of human behavior that either is resulting in, or avoiding an accident

27 August, 2008VTTI Symposium8

Traffic observations

T-junction - Pijnacker

Page 5: Video-based accidents, conflicts, and road user behaviourconflicts, and road user behaviour: a step forward in traffic safety research Richard van der Horst 2 VTTI Symposium 27 August,

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Video recordings

• At each location 1 or 2 CCD cameras• PC + 3 hard discs (750 Gb) (> 2 weeks, 2 cameras)• Separate jpeg pictures in a time-directory structure (date, hour,

min, 60x 12.5 fields)• Motion detection on the spot + specific areas excluded)

• Manual selection of collisions by specially developed fast Windows viewer (at high speed still good interpretable images)

• Windows application for quantitative analysis (semi-automatic), (basically the same as 26 years ago) of collisions and conflicts (speed, distance, TTC, PET, etc.)

• Still urgent need for automated procedure!!

Video analysis

27 August, 2008VTTI Symposium10

Pijnacker P1 T-junction

4 collisions1 rear-end C-C1 right-angle C-C1 ‘right-angle’ C-B

(injury)1 single-bicyclist B

• Left turn from minorroad• Crossing bicyclists• Interaction

Page 6: Video-based accidents, conflicts, and road user behaviourconflicts, and road user behaviour: a step forward in traffic safety research Richard van der Horst 2 VTTI Symposium 27 August,

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Delft D1

7 collisions4 left-turn –opposing

C-C minor road2 rear end C-C1 right-angle C- Moped

• Left turn from minor roads• Left turn from below into wrong carriageway

27 August, 2008VTTI Symposium12

Delft D2

1 collision1 single-vehicle C

• Frequently U-turns ->conflicts (C-B-P-tram)

• Difficult path choice(straight-on -> right turn)Left turn -> wrong carriageway

-> Tram/bus lane

Page 7: Video-based accidents, conflicts, and road user behaviourconflicts, and road user behaviour: a step forward in traffic safety research Richard van der Horst 2 VTTI Symposium 27 August,

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Delft D3

4 collisions2 rear-end C-C1 single-vehicle C1 single-scootmobiel

• Conflicts BU-B/P• Many Bs own path-choice• C straight-on -> left-turn• Left-turn -> wrong carriageway

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Delft D1 Left-turn opposing minor road

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Pijnacker T-junction rear-end + conflict C-C

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Pijnacker Right-angle C-C

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Pijnacker Car-Bicycle collision

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Analysis• VIDARTS (VIDeo-based Analysis of Road Traffic Scenes)• collisions and conflicts

Transformation from video to streetSemi-automatic procedure-> V, DIST, TTC, TTCmin, PET, etc.

• DOCTOR (Dutch ObjectiveConflict Technique for

Operation and Research)

Overall severity (scale 1-5)- probability of collision (TTC or PET)• extent of consequences if collision had occurred

Page 10: Video-based accidents, conflicts, and road user behaviourconflicts, and road user behaviour: a step forward in traffic safety research Richard van der Horst 2 VTTI Symposium 27 August,

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Conclusions (1)

• Traffic conflicts and analysing deviant behaviour together withroad scene analyses give good insight in potential traffic safetyproblems at intersections. Good resemblance with resultsanalysis of collisions from video.

• Remarkably, frequently, another road user (in)directly involved in pre-crash process

• Observing and scoring conflicts according to DOCTOR methodfrom video feasible

• Time-related measures such as TTC and PET promisingsurrogate safety measures for predicting accident risks bymicroscopic traffic simulation models (EU proposal SIMPAC)

27 August, 2008VTTI Symposium20

Conclusions (2)

• We do not have to wait for accidents for improving road environment and traffic management

• Systematic observation of behaviour already gives you lots of clues for improving road safety at intersections

• Video observations rich source of information for natural trafficbehaviour of road users (interactions mutually or in relation withroad environment), in future additional to integral approach? -> Naturalistic driving studies (also on-site)

Page 11: Video-based accidents, conflicts, and road user behaviourconflicts, and road user behaviour: a step forward in traffic safety research Richard van der Horst 2 VTTI Symposium 27 August,

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Example C-C conflict D1

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Example collision D2

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Example conflict C-Tram D2

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Pijnacker: Example conflict B-C conflict