valuengine weekly: consumer discretionary stocks,kroger, miller coors acquisition

8/20/2019 ValuEngine Weekly: Consumer Discretionary Stocks,Kroger, Miller Coors Acquisition

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September 11, 2015

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VALUATION WATCH: Overvalued stocks now make up 40!!" o# ourstocks ass$%ned a valuat$on and &'!" o# t(ose e)u$t$es are calculated to*e overvalued *+ ,0" or more -our sectors are calculated to *eovervalued..w$t( one at or near dou*le d$%$ts

MARKET OVERVIEW

Inde/ tarted week -r$da+ 12 C(an%e C(an%e " +td

3IA %&&(")( %&*+"% .,''5, .&4&" .600"

NA3A7 ,*+"&+ ,+)&",* 86& 0&!" &!5"

9ULL ,000 %%&%")% %%."., .848 .0!4" .4,;"


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SECTOR OVERVIEW

ector C(an%e 2T3 =T3 Valuat$on Last &,.2

9eturn

1>

9at$oAerospace -)")/ -)"%./ -("+/ %)")/ overvalued -."*/ %+")(

Auto.T$res.Trucks )"(*/ -)",/ -+"&/ +",./ undervalued -%"&*/ %,".

?as$c 2ater$als -)",+/ -("&/ -%&",/ %&")&/ undervalued -"/ ()".(

?us$ness erv$ces -)"(+/ -)"*/ -%"*/ )"%/ overvalued -,"&/ (("(*

Computer and Tec(nolo%+ -)",/ -)"&,/ -,")(/ %")/ undervalued -"(&/ (+"

Construct$on -)",/ -)")/ %".&/ ("++/ undervalued -"*/ (%"+(

Consumer 3$scret$onar+ -)")(/ -)"+/ %"+/ )"%&/ undervalued -&"(/ (&"(,

Consumer taples -)")./ -)"./ -.")%/ )"+*/ overvalued -.")/ ("%.

-$nance )",/ -)"&*/ -("&%/ (")/ undervalued -."(%/ %&".

Industr$al 1roducts -)"&/ -%"(./ -"&/ *",/ undervalued -%"((/ %+"*

2ed$cal )".(/ )"&*/ *"(/ +"+%/ overvalued "*/ %"+%

2ult$.ector Con%lomerates )",%/ -)"&)/ -+",/ %")/ undervalued -,"%,/ ()"*

O$ls.ner%+ )"),/ -.".)/ -%*"((/ %("*)/ undervalued -,*"&*/ (."(,

9eta$l.W(olesale -)"/ )"%(/ -&")/ %"%&/ undervalued -("))/ (("*(

Transportat$on )"%/ -%"(%/ -%%"*/ %)".%/ undervalued -%."(+/ %.".+

Ut$l$t$es -)"()/ -%"))/ -"+/ ."/ undervalued -%("(/ (%")

Sector Talk—Con!mer "#cret#onar$Below, we present the latest data on leading Consumer Discretionary Sector

stocks from our 1ro#ess$onal tock Anal+s$s erv$ce These results were filtered bymarket price and volume--no results below 3!share or less than "##k shares!dayvolume$

Top.-$ve Consumer 3$scret$onar+ ector tocks..(ort.Term -orecast9eturns

T$cker Compan+ Name 2arket 1r$ce Valuat$on Last &,.2 9etrnT9@A 0T123-4I5 617-1 +", -%".*/ (")(/

TN 8219 TE4EV0: %%"%& -".(/ (%",,/

OUT9 ;1 ((%"%/

T7 T;W:0?12 =E@I1 %)"* :>1 -",./

http://www.valuengine.com/pub/VeSubscribeInfohttp://www.valuengine.com/pub/main?i=0http://www.valuengine.com/pub/main?i=0http://www.valuengine.com/pub/main?i=0http://www.valuengine.com/pub/VeSubscribeInfohttp://www.valuengine.com/pub/main?i=0http://www.valuengine.com/pub/main?i=0http://www.valuengine.com/pub/main?i=0


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Top.-$ve Consumer 3$scret$onar+ ector tocks..Lon%.Term -orecast9eturns

T$cker Compan+ Name 2arket 1r$ce Valuat$on Last &,.2 9etrn

T9@A 0T123-4I5 617-1 +", -%".*/ (")(/

TN 8219 TE4EV0: %%"%& -".(/ (%",,/

OUT9 ;1 ((%"%/

T7 T;W:0?12 =E@I1 %)"* :>1 -",./

Top.-$ve Consumer 3$scret$onar+ ector tocks..Compos$te core

T$cker Compan+ Name 2arket 1r$ce Valuat$on Last &,.2 9etrn

T9@A 0T123-4I5 617-1 +", -%".*/ (")(/

A2CB 1=6 :ETW;2A0- 1 "(% -%(".&/ %&"+/

OUT9 ;


4/8

%ree "o&nloa' (or Rea'er (s a 0onus to our Free Weekly #ewsletter su0scri0ers,

we are offering a F.EE $W#&$( of one of our Stock .eports

%roger Company &%'( is one of the larger grocery retailers in the )nited States$

The company also manufactures and processes food for sale by its supermarkets$ Thecompany intends to develop new food and convenience store locations and willcontinue to assess e*isting stores as to possible replacement, remodeling, enlarging,

or closing$

+alungine continues its B) recommendation on %'./' C. for 0#"1-#2-"#$ Based

on the information we have gathered and our resulting research, we feel that%'./' C. has the probability to .)T'4.'5 average market performance forthe ne*t year$ The company e*hibits 6TT'6CT7+ Sharpe 'atio and rice Sales 'atio$

.ead our 1omplete etailed Valuation .eport on 2roger H9

http://www.valuengine.com/download/report/TMP_VE_KR_20150911006682.pdfhttp://www.valuengine.com/images/newsletter/weekly/150911KRchart.ashxhttp://www.valuengine.com/download/report/TMP_VE_KR_20150911006682.pdf


5/8

ValuEngine Forecast

Target

rice8

*pected

'eturn

1-onth 31$19 #$:9;

!-onth 39$#< "$=2;

"-onth 39$=9 :$"0;

1-#ear 3( 20

(har)e Ratio "$01 (har)e Ratio Ran& &>( 2=

*-# +vg +nnual Return 01$#:; *-# +vg +nnual Rtn Ran& 2:

Volatility 0#$"#; Volatility Ran& &>( ( 21

ar&et45oo& 9$22 ar&et45oo& Ran& &>( "<

5eta #$=0 5eta Ran& 1:

+l)ha #$30 +l)ha Ran& 20

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W)at* +ot

M#ller Coor !$ Cra(t re&er5olson Coors Brewing Company &T6( is the world?s fifth-largest global brewer$

5olson Coors Brewing Company has "1,### employees worldwide, "= breweries, anda broad portfolio of over :# brands, including 5olson Canadian, Coors @ight and

Carling$

S6B57@@' @C &SB5'( is one of the world?s largest brewers with brewing

interests or distribution agreements in over si*ty countries across si* continents$ Theprincipal activities of the Company and its subsidiaries are the manufacture,distribution and sale of beverages$ The group?s brands include premium international

beers such as /rolsch, 5iller /enuine Draft, eroni Aastro 6urro and ilsner )ruell,as well as an e*ceptional range of market leading local brands$ .utside the )S6,S6B5iller plc is also one of the largest bottlers of Coca-Cola products in the world$

Together these two giants form 5illerCoors @@C and they are the latest macrobrewer to enter the craft beer market A.T by making better beer on their own, but

via an acuisition$ The firms announced this week that they had acuired Saint6rcher Brewing, San Diego, California$ Saint 6rcher produces 31### bbl!year$

This purchase comes on the heels of another high-profile acuisition as

Eeineken also announced this week that it was purchasing a 1#; portion of famedcraft brewer @agunitas$

5acro brewers remain stymied by the better craft beers, and keep losingmarket share to the far more numerous competitors$ 5iller Coors hopes that they canhave an easier time of penetrating the market by pushing the popular Saint 6rcher

76 across the )S$

These sorts of arrangements pose a conundrum for craft beer aficionados as

drinkers want to try uality beers from across the nation, but are reticent to do soonce the craft brand is FtaintedF by its association with a big macro brewer$

5illerCoors promises that Saint 6rcher will remain independent, and Gust FbenefitF fromlarge-sale distribution and sales resources$ But, often that doesn?t pass muster with thenotoriously picky craft drinkers$


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5eanwhile the big boys continue to claim craft cannot continue to e*pand,that Freal menF drink weak 6merican lagers such as Budweiser and Coors, and thatmany of the upstarts will soon go under$ So far, that has not been the case, and

mocking craft beer drinkers via Super Bowl ads and other means has been a colossal

waste of resources which would be better spent on ingredients and some betterbrews$

Below, we present the latest top-ten list of maGor beer brewing!beverage stocksfrom our models$ They are ranked according to their one-month forecast return

figures$ 5embers can always screen for these stocks using our avance screening

)age HERE or our inustry valuation )age HERE6

3ic&er Co')any 7a'ear&et

.riceValuation

Last 1$-

Return

1-

Forecast

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(ector

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K758# KIRI7 HL9/( C: "3$=" A!6 :$:9; #$"3; "$1"; A!6Consumer

Staples

CC; CERV ;7I9+(-+9R 0#$22 -""$3"; -1$


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.ur VE (toc& +nalysis (ervice for Iniviual Investors gives you access to thepower of +alungine right on our website$ 7t includes everything you need to makethe + Stock valuation 5odels work for you and substantially increase your chances

of success in the market$ Hebsite access includes our 6dvanced Screening tools,

Detailed Stock +aluation and 4orecast data on more than

valuengine weekly: consumer discretionary stocks,kroger, miller coors acquisition

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