use of the gibbs sampler in expert systems

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Artificial Intelhgence 56 (1992) 397-398 397 Elsevier Addendum Use of the Gibbs sampler in expert systems * Jeremy York Department of Stattsttcs, GN-22, Untverstty of Washtngton, Seattle, WA 98195, USA In my paper "Use of the Gibbs sampler in expert systems", I attempted to survey statistics and genetics literature of interest to researchers in AII faded to stress, however, that the best reference for understanding Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods is the paper by Hastings [3 ], which generalizes the Metropolis algorithm [7] Several recent papers, and others which I neglected to reference, are described below In early May 1992, papers on MCMC were read by Smith and Roberts [ 10 ], Besag and Green [1 ], and Gilks et al [2] at a meeting of the Royal Statisti- cal Society. The first of these has the most general discussion, and illustrates that the Gibbs sampler IS a special case of the methods presented in [3] Anyone wishing to understand the theoretical issues involved is well ad- vised to consult the thorough and rigorous paper by Tlerney [11] or the abbreviated version [ 12 ] In the genetics literature, Ott [ 8 ] and Ploughman and Boehnke [ 9 ] present methods for drawing independent samples from the distribution of interest if the graphical structure is simple Lange and Matthysse [4] and Lange Correspondence to J York, Department of Statistics, Carnegie MeUon Umverslty, Pittsburgh, PA 15213-3890, USA *Arttf Intell 56 (1) (1992) 115-130 0004-3702/92/$ 05 00 (~) 1992 -- Elsevier Science Pubhshers B V All rights reserved

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Page 1: Use of the Gibbs sampler in expert systems

Artificial Intelhgence 56 (1992) 397-398 397 Elsevier

Addendum

Use of the Gibbs sampler in expert sy s t ems *

Jeremy York Department of Stattsttcs, GN-22, Untverstty of Washtngton, Seattle, WA 98195, USA

In my paper "Use of the Gibbs sampler in expert systems", I attempted to survey statistics and genetics literature of interest to researchers in A I I faded to stress, however, that the best reference for understanding Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods is the paper by Hastings [3 ], which generalizes the Metropolis algorithm [7] Several recent papers, and others which I neglected to reference, are described below

In early May 1992, papers on MCMC were read by Smith and Roberts [ 10 ], Besag and Green [1 ], and Gilks et al [2] at a meeting of the Royal Statisti- cal Society. The first of these has the most general discussion, and illustrates that the Gibbs sampler IS a special case of the methods presented in [3] Anyone wishing to understand the theoretical issues involved is well ad- vised to consult the thorough and rigorous paper by Tlerney [11] or the abbreviated version [ 12 ]

In the genetics literature, Ott [ 8 ] and Ploughman and Boehnke [ 9 ] present methods for drawing independent samples from the distribution of interest if the graphical structure is simple Lange and Matthysse [4] and Lange

Correspondence to J York, Department of Statistics, Carnegie MeUon Umverslty, Pittsburgh, PA 15213-3890, USA

*Arttf Intell 56 (1) (1992) 115-130

0004-3702/92/$ 05 00 (~) 1992 - - Elsevier Science Pubhshers B V All rights reserved

Page 2: Use of the Gibbs sampler in expert systems

398 J ~orh

and Sobel [5] use the Metropohs algorithm to perform calculations on a pe&gree

In Lln [6], a variety of Hastings algorithms for genetics are proposed and assessed In th~s paper, and in Lln's ongomg Ph D work under Thompson, the intent is to overcome the problems of reducibility and slow convergence that plague straightforward Metropolis and Gibbs sampling approaches in this context

Acknowledgement

Th~s material ts based upon work supported under a National Science Foundat:on Graduate Fellowship

References

[1] J Besag and P Green Spatml statistics and Bayesian computation, J Ro~ Star 5oc B (to appear 1993)

[2] W Gllks, D Clayton, D Splegelhalter, N Best A McNeil L Sharpies and h Kirby, Modehng complexity apphcatlons of Gibbs sampling m me&cme, J Rot Stat Soc B (to appear 1993)

[3] W Hastings Monte Carlo samphng methods using Marko~ chains and their apphcatlons Btometltka 57 ( 1 ) (1970) 97-109

[4] K Lange and S Matthysse, Simulation of pe&gree genotkpes by random walks, 4tn J Hum Genet 45 (1989) 959-970

[5] K Lange and E Sobel, ~ random walk method for computing genetic location scores 4m J Hum Genet 49 (1991) 1320-1334

[6] S Lm, On the performance of Markov chain Monte Carlo methods on pedigree data and a new algorithm, Tech Rept 231, Department of Statistics, Umvers~tv of Washington Seattle, WA (1992)

[7] N Metropohs, A Rosenbluth, M Rosenbluth and E Teller, Equations ot state calculations by fast computing machines, J Chem Phvs 21 (1953) 1087-1092

[8] J Ott, Computer slmulauon methods m human linkage analysis, P~o¢ Nat ~kad ~1 86 (1989) 4175-4178

[9] L Ploughman and M Boehnke, Estimating the power of a proposed hnkage study for a complex genetic traat, 4m J Hum Genet 44 (1989) 543-551

[10] A Smith and G Roberts, Bayesmn computatmn via the Gibbs sampler and related Markov chain Monte Carlo methods, J Roy Stat Sot B (to appear 1993)

[11 ] L Tlerney Markov chains for exploring posterior distributions Tech Rept 560 School of StatlsUcs, University of Minnesota, Mmneapohs MN ( 1991 )

[ 12] L Tlerney, Exploring postermr &strxbutlons using Markov chains, in Computmg Science and Statistics, Proceedings 23rd Symposmm on the Interlace, Seattle, W~X ( 1991 ) 563-570