usda foreign agricultural service 7/30/2006igarss_2006 integrated systems for agriculture 1 overview...

7/30/2006 IGARSS_2006 Integrated Systems for Agriculture

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USDA Foreign Agricultural Service

Integrated Systems for Agriculture• Overview of USDA Foreign Agricultural Service.

– Mission of the Production Estimates and Crop Assessment Division (PECAD) and estimating World Agricultural Production

– All source methodology and how FAS uses satellite imagery• Integrated Systems Solution

– Information Delivery– Daily Land Observations– Systematic Vegetation Condition Measurements– Rainfall Monitoring using TRMM-MPA– Improving Global Water Availability Monitoring

• Research to Operations– Characterization of Earth Observation Satellites/Sensors– New Research– Benchmarking


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1 of 2 examples of successful technology transfer from NASA to U.S. Federal Agencies

LACIE & AgriStars pioneer programs for monitoring agriculture with satellites

NRC, http://www.nap.edu/ssb/rapch2.htm


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FAS missionsperformed by Production Estimates and Crop Assessment Division (PECAD)

• Global Crop Production Information and Analysis core mission– World Agriculture Production (WAP)– World Agriculture Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE)– Market and Food Security Reporting

• FSA Early Warning and Crop Conditions program efficiency– Domestic early warning and disaster response

• USDA Satellite Imagery Archive (SIA) program efficiency– USDA space program leadership and centralized acquisition management


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Monthly Reports

InteragencyCommodity Estimates

Committees

World Agricultural Supply and Demand

Estimates(WASDE)

RELIABLE

OBJECTIVE

TIMELY

TRANSPARENT

GLOBAL

ACCURATE

U.S. Crop Production

(NASS)

Foreign

Crop Production

(PECAD)

SUPPLY

Food Security

Decisions

Global Agriculture Monitoring and Reporting Role

U.S. Demand

(ERS,FSA, AMS)

Foreign Demand

(FAS, ERS)

DEMAND


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Global Crop Production Information and AnalysisCOMMODITY PERCENT OF WORLD

PRODUCTIONCOMMODITY PERCENT OF WORLD

PRODUCTION

BARLEY 81 PEANUT 94

COPRA 94 RAPESEED 97

CORN 89 RICE 94

COTTON 93 RYE 96

COTTONSEED 93 SORGHUM 88

OATS 81 SOYBEAN 99

PALM KERNEL 95 SUNFLOWER 95

PALM OIL 95 WHEAT 88

• PECAD reports estimates of area, yield and production for 80 countries. (384 country X commodity pairs)

• Information is updated monthly and can be found at:– http://www.pecad.fas.usda.gov/wap.cfm


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Convergence of Evidence,

All-Source Methodology

PECAD Models andExpert Analysis

PECAD Ground Truth

Land Remote Sensing

FAS Attaché Ground Truth

AtmosphericRemote Sensing

External Ground Truth(Country Reports/News Services)

Ag IndustryTrade Industry

Gov’t Policy Makers


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How does the Foreign Agricultural Service use satellite imagery?

1. Aids in yield analysis prior to harvest.2. Aids in crop identification and determining key growth

stages.3. Aids in confirming or denying rumors and discovering

unreported events.

• Why is it useful?1. Objective2. Reliable3. Timely


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Evaluate similar seasons based on vegetation index data.

WESTERN AUSTRALIAN SPOT NDVI

Current Season


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1. Aids in yield analysis prior to harvest.

2. Aids in crop identification and determining key growth stages.

3. Aids in confirming or denying rumors and discovering unreported events.



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USDA Foreign Agricultural ServiceSatellite Data Over Important

Agricultural RegionsCanola

Victoria, Australia

Field-Level Time-Series AnalysisUsing Landsat TM Satellite

August 19 September 4 September 20 October 22 November 23 December 9

Crop Stage and Field ActivityCoverage: Multi-temporal over

112 days of the 170-day growing season.


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1. Aids in yield analysis prior to harvest.2. Aids in crop identification and determining key growth

stages.

3. Aids in confirming or denying rumors and discovering unreported events.



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Ukraine

RussianCentralDistrict

RussianVolga

District

RussianSouthernDistrict

Belarus

Independent information that supports or conflicts with in-country reports

-Supports – continue to monitor

-Conflicts – notify country, collect new data and analysis, resolve conflict (if possible)


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Information on Impacts of Disasters is needed quicklyHurricane Mitch

Oct. 1998,Aguan Valley,

Honduras

Before

After

Tropical OilPlantations


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NASA transfers technology to the user community through partnerships and an “integrated systems

solution” model.

Earth Observation SystemsSPOT VEG/HRVTRMMJason-1 & Topex/PoseidonMODISVIIRSLandsatALI/HyperionGPMIRS-P6

Earth System ModelsSoil moisture (Modified Palmer, Penman-Monteith) Crop yield/stage (Robertson BMTS, EPIC, Hanway, and others)Hazard models (Winter kill and others)US Air Force weather (AGRMET)

Predictions/Forecasts

National and sub-national yield forecast (grains, oil seeds, cotton and rice) Condition forecasts

Observations, Parameters

and Products

NDVI Rainfall Land use Reservoir height Soil moisture Weather Crop condition

Decision Support Tools

PECAD/CADRE Famine Early Warning

Societal Benefit Areas

Global Commodity Forecast, Mitigate climate change, Disaster response

NASA/FAS partnership

Information Delivery

WAPWASDECrop ExplorerCommodity Intelligence Reports


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www.pecad.fas.usda.gov/cropexplorer

Crop Explorer: Standard Analysis Product Format for Analysis

Information Delivery

Number of Visitors to Crop Explorer

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

45,000

JAN

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2003 2004 2005 2006

Sum of VISITS

YEAR MONTH


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Assimilating NASA Results into FAS/PECAD• NASA-USDA/FAS Cost-Sharing• Project Tasks:

– Daily Land Observations

– Systematic Vegetation Condition Measurements

– Rainfall Monitoring using TRMM-MPA

– Improving Global Water Availability Monitoring


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Daily Land ObservationsJan.2004


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Daily Land Observations

July 7, 2004 July 13, 2004

NASA-MODIS Rapid Response Products:

SE Asia Floods

(Bangladesh)

Dhaka

July 13, 2004


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Daily Land Observations from MODISJuly 2006


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Systematic Vegetation Condition Measurements


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Systematic Global

Vegetation Indices


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Cross-Sensor Comparisons

GIMMS @ NASA/GSFC

Systematic Vegetation Condition Measurements


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TRMM Precipitation

from

NASA GSFC DAACComing soon

PECAD DSS

Integration

Rainfall Monitoring Using TRMM-MPA


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Monitoring Global Water Availability


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Geopositional, Radiometric and Spatial Characterization (Joint Agency Commerical Imagery

Evaluation)

Four targets of opportunity near SSC were selected that are 100s of meters across

– Two gravel pit sand sites

– Large monoculture fields

– Cut grass-amateur golf course

0 200100 Meters 0 400200 Meters

Gravel Pit Sandnear Perkinston, MS

Rye Grass Fieldnear Big Level, MS

Gravel Pit Sandnear Wiggins, MS

Grass Fieldnear Big Level, MS

0 200100 Meters 0 10050 Meters

XW XWXWXW

New Orleans, LA

Gulfport/Biloxi, MS

Wiggins, MS

Stennis SpaceCenter

EE

Gravel Pits

Fields

E

0 5025 km

Specific Target Areas

Highlighted


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Preparing for Future NASA Results• Transition from Research to Operations:

– Daily Land Observations– Systematic Vegetation Condition Measurements– Rainfall Monitoring using TRMM-MPA– Improving Global Water Availability Monitoring

• Prepare for – MODIS -> NPP -> NPOESS – Landsat Data Continuity [http://ldcm.nasa.gov]– Future of Land Imaging [http://landimaging.gov]– GEOSS/JACIE [http:usgeo.gov]

• New Research (SBIR and other funding)• Benchmarking

– Do the new NASA results improve decision making?


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Aqua* AuraCHAMP Cluster (with ESA)FAST GOES-M*Geotail (with Japan) GRACE*ICESat* JASON-1*EO-1* Landsat-7*NOAA-M(POES) PolarQuickSCAT SAGE III (with Russia)SeaWinds* (with Japan) SORCETERRA* TIMEDTRMM* (with Japan)

*Land observations

NASA Earth Observing Systems

AIM Aquarius

CALIPSO CloudSat

CINDI GOES Series*

GPM* LDCM*

NPP* NPOESS*

OSTM OCO

*Land observations

Current Planned


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Contact Information

Bob Tetrault

[email protected]

202 690-0130

usda foreign agricultural service 7/30/2006igarss_2006 integrated systems for agriculture 1 overview...

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