u.s. natural gas pipeline network. future natural gas demand ( 2010-2030) source: energy information...
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U.S. Natural Gas Pipeline Network
FUTURE NATURAL GAS DEMAND(2010-2030)
Source: Energy Information Administration, Annual Energy Outlook 2009-2030.2
FUTURE NATURAL GAS SUPPLY(2010-2030)
Source: Energy Information Administration, Annual Energy Outlook 2009-2030.3
4
North American SupplyProjected US Supply/Demand Balance
(EIA Annual Energy Outlook 2005)
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
25.00
30.00
35.00
Year
Tcf
LNG
Canada
Domestic
Total US Demand
Initial Alaskan gas reaches lower 48
NATURAL GAS SUPPLYNATURAL GAS SUPPLY(JANUARY 1-DECEMBER 31, 2008)(JANUARY 1-DECEMBER 31, 2008)
Source: Bentek Energy LLC, Energy Market Fundamentals, December 31, 2008.
Mar
Sep
5
Shale Basins and the U.S. Pipeline Grid
Source: American Clean Skies Foundation.
UNCONVENTIONAL RESOURCE UNCONVENTIONAL RESOURCE DEVELOPMENTDEVELOPMENT
Traditional Natural Gas Production
UnconventionalGas Resources
Shales, Tight Sands, Coal Seams
Natural Gas Production Barnett Shale 1993-2006
Source: Texas Railroad Commission
General Characteristics of Productive Shales
Source: William Grieser, Halliburton Company.
SHALE GAS RESOURCE ESTIMATESSHALE GAS RESOURCE ESTIMATES
Potential Gas Committee added about 200 Tcf to U.S. resource assessment between 2004 and 2006 – almost all attributed to
new shale-related data
Navigant Consulting, Inc. (2008) estimates 275-842 Tcf from 17 U.S. shale plays
SELECTED SHALE GAS RESOURCE ESTIMATESSELECTED SHALE GAS RESOURCE ESTIMATES
Shale Play Estimate (Tcf) Max Gas In-Place (Tcf)
Antrim 13 76Appalachian 70 1744
Marcellus 34 1500Haynesville 34 717Fayetteville 26 52Barnett 26 168Lewis (New Mexico) 10 61Lewis (Wyoming) 14 98
Mean estimate for U.S. shale resources, 274 TcfGas in-place estimates as high as 3,765 Tcf
(Navigant Consulting, Inc.)
SHALE GAS PRODUCTION ESTIMATESSHALE GAS PRODUCTION ESTIMATES
Depending on the source, some analysts estimate that shale production now at
about 5 Bcf per day will grow to 27-35 Bcf per day by the end of the next decade
Will this be additive to current production rates or will it only replace other
declining production capability?
Daily Natural Gas Consumption by Sector January 1-December 31, 2008
Source: Bentek Energy LLC, Energy Market Fundamentals, December 31, 2008.
PO
UN
DS
OF
CO
2 P
ER
M
MB
TU
NATURAL GAS IS BY FAR THE CLEANEST
OF ALL FOSSIL FUELS
Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration..
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CONSUMPTION PER RESIDENTIALNATURAL GAS CUSTOMER
Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration and American Gas Association. NOTE: Data is “weather normalized” or adjusted to reduce the impact of abnormally warm or cold weather.
32% EfficiencyImprovement
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GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONSGREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS
RESIDENTIAL NATURAL GAS CUSTOMERSRESIDENTIAL NATURAL GAS CUSTOMERSARE GROWING, BUT THEIR GREENHOUSEARE GROWING, BUT THEIR GREENHOUSE
GAS EMISSIONS HAVE DECLINEDGAS EMISSIONS HAVE DECLINEDM
ILL
ION
S O
F T
ON
S/Y
R.
Source: U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, U.S. Energy Information Administration and American Gas Association.
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MIL
LIO
N B
tu
TOTAL ENERGY EFFICIENCY(SOURCE ENERGY REQUIRED TO DELIVER 100 MMBtu
TO END-USE CUSTOMER)
NOTE: National average electricity generation mix.
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DIRECT NATURAL GAS USE REDUCESGREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS
TO
NS
OF
CO
2 /Y
EA
R
18
NUMBER OF NATURAL GASNUMBER OF NATURAL GASCUSTOMERS INCREASINGCUSTOMERS INCREASING
19
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OUR INDUSTRY’S FUTURE LOOKS BRIGHT
Abundant domestic supply resource base to meet demand growth at reasonable costs
Innovative rate designs to align interests of utility and customers
Increased direct use of natural gas can reduce energy consumption and costs, lower carbon emissions and enhance national energy security
Gas utility industry is a solid, safe, responsible investment
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Utility Operations Technologies on the Horizon
• Smart Meters
• Expanded Use of Mapping and Other Informational Systems
• Enhanced Locating Technologies
• Improved Leak Detection (Vehicles and Handheld)
• Improved Design, Construction and Materials
• Enhanced Pipeline Repair/Rehabilitation