university of wisconsin-eau claire global warming/climate change project a survey of middle &...
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University of Wisconsin-Eau ClaireUniversity of Wisconsin-Eau Claire
Global Warming/Climate Change Project
A Survey of Middle & High School Students
Student Researchers
Mahmoud Ahmed, Drew Christensen, Elora Leene, Wesley Meives and Daniel Putman
Faculty Mentor
Dr. Eric Jamelske
University of Wisconsin-Eau ClaireUniversity of Wisconsin-Eau Claire
OverviewOverview
Background Past Research Motivation Survey and Sample Results Questions/Discussion
University of Wisconsin-Eau ClaireUniversity of Wisconsin-Eau Claire
Just the FactsJust the Facts
Anthropogenic
Climate
Change
is
REAL!
http://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/publications_ipcc_fourth_assessment_report_synthesis_report.htm
IPCC – AR4: A State of the Planet ReportIPCC – AR4: A State of the Planet Report “Warming of the climate system is unequivocal, as is now evident from
observations of increases in global average air and ocean temperatures, widespread melting of snow and ice and rising global average sea level.”
“Global atmospheric concentrations of carbon dioxide, methane and nitrous oxide have increased markedly as a result of human activities since 1750 and now far exceed pre-industrial values determined from ice cores spanning many thousands of years.”
“There is very high confidence that the net effect of human activities since 1750 has been one of warming.”
Advances since the TAR show that discernible human influences extend beyond average temperature to other aspects of climate. Anthropogenic warming over the last three decades has likely had a discernible influence at the global scale on observed changes in many physical and biological systems.
Anthropogenic warming and sea level rise would continue for centuries due to the time scales associated with climate processes and feedbacks, even if GHG concentrations were to be stabilized.
http://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/publications_ipcc_fourth_assessment_report_synthesis_report.htm
University of Wisconsin-Eau ClaireUniversity of Wisconsin-Eau Claire
Scientific Consensus on Climate ChangeScientific Consensus on Climate Change
“Reviews of scientific literature and surveys of climate scientists indicate striking agreement, anthropogenic GHG have been responsible for “most” of the ‘unequivocal’ warming of the Earth’s average global temperature over the second half of the 20th century.”
- Anderegg et al. (2010)
“Despite claims sometimes made by some groups that there is not good evidence that Earth's climate is being affected by human activities, the scientific community is in overwhelming agreement that such evidence is clear and persuasive.”
- Oreskes (2004)
“With all of the hysteria, all of the fear, all of the phony science, could it be that man-made global warming is the greatest hoax ever perpetrated on the American people? It sure sounds like it.” 12/28/2003
http://unfccc.int/resource/docs/convkp/kpeng.pdf
Much of the reason that the US Senate failed to ratify the Kyoto Protocol was due to lobbying efforts by right-wing groups including conservative foundations, think tanks, media, and public intellectuals (Dunlap et al., 2008).
Why Didn't the U.S. Sign the Kyoto Treaty?
“More droughts and floods and wildfires are not a joke….My plan will continue to reduce the carbon pollution that is heating our planet. Because climate change is not a hoax.” 9/6/2012
“President Obama promised to begin to slow the rise of the oceans… And to heal the planet… My promise is to help you and your family.” 8/30/2012
University of Wisconsin-Eau ClaireUniversity of Wisconsin-Eau Claire
Previous ResearchPrevious Research Pew Research Center (2008) Dunlap and McCright (2008) Feldman et al. (2010) Rabe and Borick (2010) Villar and Krosnik. (2010) Leiserowitz et al. (2011)
Majority of Americans believe climate change/global warming is real, but less support for anthropogenic causes
Confusion about science and disengagement from policy, there is a political divide
University of Wisconsin-Eau ClaireUniversity of Wisconsin-Eau Claire
University of Wisconsin-Eau ClaireUniversity of Wisconsin-Eau Claire
Previous ResearchPrevious Research
Jamelske, Barrett and Boulter (2012a, 2012b)
US college students similar to other research findings– Confused about science, disengaged from policy and divided politically, the
economy is a priority
By comparison, Chinese college students much more aware and concerned by every measure regarding climate change/global warming issues, environment and economy of equal importance
“A flash point has emerged in American science education that echoes the battle over evolution, as scientists and educators report mounting resistance to the study of man-made climate change in middle and high schools.”
“Although scientific evidence increasingly shows that fossil fuel consumption has caused the climate to change rapidly, the issue has grown so politicized that skepticism of the broad scientific consensus has seeped into classrooms.”
Tribune Washington Bureau, Sacramento Bee, 1/17/2012
Our SurveyOur Survey
What do middle/high school children think about global warming?
Is global warming happening? Is it anthropogenic? Level of risk/concern? What does science say?
What are the impacts? Sources of learning/information?
Yale/George Mason Project on Climate Change Communication*
Our SampleOur Sample
545 middle and high school students from Western Wisconsin
Convenience sample, university connections, science classes
Sample size varies due to non-response on some questions
University of Wisconsin-Eau ClaireUniversity of Wisconsin-Eau Claire
Initial StatementInitial Statement
Recently, you may have noticed that global warming has been getting some attention in the news. Global warming refers to the idea that the world’s average temperature has been increasing over the past 150 years, may be increasing more in the future, and the world’s climate may change as a result
University of Wisconsin-Eau ClaireUniversity of Wisconsin-Eau Claire
Results
A Preliminary Look at the Data…
Results
A Preliminary Look at the Data…
Is Global Warming
Happening?
What is Causing
Global Warming?
Is Global Warming
Happening?
What is Causing
Global Warming?
Is Global Warming
Happening?(View of Science)
What is Causing
Global Warming?(View of Science)
Is Global Warming
Happening?(View of Science)
What is Causing
Global Warming?(View of Science)
How ConcernedAre You About
Global Warming?
How Much Risk of Harm Does
Global Warming Pose to Humans ?
Comparing Responses by GradeComparing Responses by Grade
Comparing Responses by GradeComparing Responses by Grade
Comparing Responses by GradeComparing Responses by Grade
What Are the Three Most Important Issues for Society?
What Are the Three Most Important Environmental Issues for Society?
Comparing Responses by GradeComparing Responses by Grade
(% YES) What Events Have Been Affected by Global Warming?
P < 0.01, Grades 8, 9, 10
P < 0.01, Grades 8, 9, 10
P < 0.01, Grades 8, 9, 10
Hurricane Sandy!
Hurricane Sandy!
University of Wisconsin-Eau ClaireUniversity of Wisconsin-Eau Claire
"You can't say any one single event is reflective of climate change," William Solecki, the co-chairman of the New York City Panel on Climate Change, told me. "But it's illustrative of the conditions and events and scenarios that we expect with climate change."
“In that sense, whatever its causes, Sandy offers a window into the way ahead.”
“The storm took 55 lives in the U.S., and initial estimates of damages and losses run in the range of $30 to $50 billion.”
Will Climate Change Get Some Respect Now?
University of Wisconsin-Eau ClaireUniversity of Wisconsin-Eau Claire
"In reality, winter snows do not invalidate the reality that the planet just experienced the hottest decade on record. Scientists have been warning for decades that global warming would increase the severity of winter storms."
Conservatives Use "Snowmageddon"
to Mock Global Warming
University of Wisconsin-Eau ClaireUniversity of Wisconsin-Eau Claire
Is Climate Change Causing This Drought?
“Droughts have multiple causes. The US has suffered worse droughts in the past. It’s not yet clear whether we’ve reached the point where global warming is making droughts worse again, at least in North America. But evidence suggests that droughts will become more intense in many parts of the world if the planet keeps heating up — a trend that could disrupt the world’s food supply.”
“The best single reference on this topic is the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).”
University of Wisconsin-Eau ClaireUniversity of Wisconsin-Eau Claire
A Melting Greenland
Weighs Perils Against Potential
“The Arctic is warming even faster than other parts of the planet, and the rapidly melting ice is causing alarm among scientists about sea-level rise. In northeastern Greenland, average yearly temperature have risen 4.5 degrees in the past 15 years, and scientists predict the area could warm by 14 to 21 degrees by the end of the century.”
University of Wisconsin-Eau ClaireUniversity of Wisconsin-Eau Claire
Where Have You Learned About Global Warming?
Where Have You Learned About Global Warming?
University of Wisconsin-Eau ClaireUniversity of Wisconsin-Eau Claire
Where Have You Learned About Global Warming?
School: Statistically Significant, many more 9th and 10th graders say they have learned a lot about global warming in school
Television: Not Statistically Significant, but more 6th and 7th graders say they have learned a lot about global warming from TV
What About Girls vs. Boys?What About
Girls vs. Boys?
University of Wisconsin-Eau ClaireUniversity of Wisconsin-Eau Claire
What About Girls vs. Boys?What About Girls vs. Boys?
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What’s Next?What’s Next?
University of Wisconsin-Eau ClaireUniversity of Wisconsin-Eau Claire
Future WorkFuture Work
More surveys across grades 6 - 12
Student focus groups
Science teacher surveys and focus groups
More thorough analysis
Our CHILDREN are our FUTURE!
University of Wisconsin-Eau ClaireUniversity of Wisconsin-Eau Claire
Future WorkFuture Work
What should schools teach about climate change?
When should our children be taught about change?
Who will determine the curriculum?
National Center for Science Education
Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
University of Wisconsin-Eau ClaireUniversity of Wisconsin-Eau Claire
Questions/DiscussionQuestions/Discussion