unity infraprojects ltdunityinfra.com/firstcall research.pdf · 1 unity infraprojects ltd buy...
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1
Unity Infraprojects Ltd
BUY Target Price: Rs.725.00
CMP: Rs.585.00 Market Cap.:Rs.8668.53mn.
Date: 12th
March, 2010
Key Ratios:
Particulars FY09 FY10E FY11E
OPM (%) 14.12 14.37 13.70
NPM (%) 6.15 6.23 6.20
ROE (%) 16.65 17.53 17.31
ROCE (%) 16.17 18.33 18.31
P/BV(x) 0.24 1.75 1.44
P/E(x) 1.42 9.96 8.35
EV/EBDITA(x) 0.62 5.40 5.35
Debt-Equity(x) 1.03 1.02 0.93
Key Data:
Sector Infrastructure
Face Value Rs.10.00
52 wk. High/Low Rs.648.80/68.20
Volume (2 wk. Avg.) 12104
BSE Code 532746
SYNOPSIS
• Unity Infraprojects Ltd is a Mumbai-based engineering,
procurement and construction (EPC) company.
• The current order book position stands at about Rs
4100.00 crores, which is 3.67 times its sales of Rs
1132.32 crores for the year ended March 2009, giving
strong revenue visibility.
• The company has consciously increased their threshold
order size over the years, which has not only allowed
them to enhance their capabilities but also to avoid
over-competitive bidding.
• The company has raised Rs73 crores through QIP issue.
The proceeds from the QIP is expected to be utilized by
the company to partly fund its capital expenditure
(capex) and to meet its working capital requirement.
• The company continues to look at all the new avenues
of business in urban infrastructure space.
• The top line and bottom-line of the company are
expected to grow at a CAGR of 26.43% and 21.06%
respectively over FY08 to FY11E.
Share Holding Pattern:
V.S.R. Sastry
Vice President
Equity Research Desk
91-22-25276077
Dr. V.V.L.N. Sastry Ph.D.
Chief Research Officer
2
Table of Content
Content Page No.
1. Investment Highlights 03
2. Company Profile 08
3. Peer Group Comparison 10
4. Key Concerns 10
5. Financials 11
6. Charts & Graph 13
7. Outlook and Conclusion 15
8. Industry Overview 16
3
Investment Highlights
• Results Update (Q3 FY10)
For the quarter ended on December 31, 2009 (Standalone) the company has registered a 37.18 %
(YOY) growth in the net sales and stood at Rs.4036.11 mn from Rs.2942.11 mn of the
corresponding period of the previous year. The operating profit for the quarter stood at
Rs.557.01 mn from Rs.392.70 mn, for the same quarter of last year. EBITDA margins for the
quarter stood at 13.80 %. The company has reported a net profit of Rs.243.98 mn for the quarter
ended December 31, 2009 as compared to Rs.176.50 mn for the quarter ended December 31,
2008.EPS for the quarter stood at Rs.16.46 per equity share of Rs.10.0
Quarterly Results – Consolidated (Rs in mn)
As at Q3FY09 Q3FY10 %Change
Net Sales 2942.11 4036.11 37.18%
Net Profit 176.50 243.98 38.23%
Basic EPS(Rs) 13.20 16.46 24.70%
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• Strong Order book
The current order book stands at Rs 4150.00 crore providing revenue visibility over the next
three years. Unity currently has L-1 bid of Rs 250 crore. Unity’s average order ticket size has
improved sharply. The average order ticket size has improved to Rs 250-Rs 300 crore compared
to the Rs 50-Rs 100 crore it used to bag earlier. Unity has seen a strong order inflow in the last
few years. The company’s order inflow has grown at a CAGR of 37.9% during FY05-FY09.
Currently, the company’s order book is at Rs 4150.00cr, 3.67x FY09 revenues and 2.90x FY10E
revenues. The strong order book provides revenue visibility over the next two to three years.
Recently the Company have been awarded with the project by Ministry of External Affairs, New
Delhi for "Construction of the Indian High Commission Complex at Baridhara Diplomatic
Encalve, Dhaka, Bangladesh" amounting to Rs. 99.98 crores to be completed in 24 months.
• Combined bids
Unity does not have projects on a build-operate-transfer (BOT) model. Instead, it bids in
consortium with developers as a preferred engineering procurement construction (EPC)
contractor. It, however, does not have in-house design capability and outsources the same.
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Unity also undertakes projects on a joint-venture basis, secured Rs 1145-crore water supply
tunnel project with IVRCL Infrastructures and Projects. Such partnering with varied developers,
while helping the company secure larger orders or enter new geographical areas, may
eventually provide it with technical qualification to bid on its own. The company has earlier
partnered Nagarjuna Constructions, Patel Engineering and Pratibha Industries, among others.
Unity also has interests in real-estate development which is not a significant contributor to
revenues and plans to go slow on these projects.
• The company’s key business strategies:
Size:
The company has consciously increased their threshold order size over the years, which has not
only allowed them to enhance their capabilities but also to avoid over-competitive bidding.
Focused diversification:
The company has used diversification to not only develop their competencies, but also hedge
against unexpected risks.It has started as a Mumbai Centric Company, but has now executed
projects across the country. As on 31st March 2009,30% of our order book is from North India,
and 12% from South India. Building on their expertise in civil construction, it forayed into
irrigation and transportation, and these now constitute 45% of our order book (as on 31" March
2009), up from 35% last year.
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Work with reputed developers:
The company is in selective about choosing projects depending upon client reputation and their
financial abilities.
Focus on turnkey projects:
Around 62% of our order book consists of turn key man dates.
De-risking against increase in raw material costs:
Around 90% of the order book has inbuilt price escalation mechanism. This minimizes the effect
of increase in raw material prices.
Maximize opportunities in urban infrastructure space:
The company continues to look at all the new avenues of business in urban infrastructure
space.
• Approved for Stock split
The Board of Directors of the Company approved Sub-division of existing 1, 48, 17,476 equity
Shares of Rs. 10/- each to 7, 40, 87,380 equity Shares of Rs. 2/- each (In the ratio of 5 (Five)
shares of Rs. 2/- each against 1 (One) share of Rs. 10/- each).
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• Raises Rs 73 cr via QIP issue
The company has raised Rs73 crore by private placement of 14.5 lakh shares with qualified
institutional buyers at the price of Rs506 per share. The proceeds from the qualified institutional
placement (QIP) is expected to be utilized by the company to partly fund its capital expenditure
(capex) and to meet its working capital requirement.
Company Profile
Unity Infraprojects is a Mumbai-based engineering, procurement and construction (EPC)
company that focuses on infrastructure projects.The company was originally incorporated as
Unity Builders Ltd in April 1997 to purchase and take over the construction activities of Unity
Construction Company, a partnership firm. Unity Builders Ltd was renamed Unity Infraprojects
Ltd in February 2000 and the business of Unity Construction Company was transferred to it in
August 2000. It has a large fleet of sophisticated construction equipment, including a slipform
concrete paver, a truck-mounted concrete boom placer and high-capacity concrete batching
plants, all of which are owned by the company directly or through joint ventures.
The company caters to various segments of infrastructure such as integrated engineering,
procurement and construction (EPC) services for civil projects (major revenue contributor) which
include commercial and residential buildings, mass housing projects and townships, industrial
structures, information technology parks.
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The company is intend to continue to target opportunities and pursue more technically complex
projects in this area, including turnkey and design-build projects, to maintain and build on
dominant position.”Activities in the infrastructure projects are mainly related to the
construction of roads and the structures required for irrigation and water supply projects. The
company plans to focus on larger-sized and higher-margin infrastructure contracts. It was also
forayed into the BOT space. way station, stadiums and sports complexes, hotels, hospitals and
universities and educational campuses.The company has received the ISO 9001:2000
certification for the quality management systems it uses while executing projects.
Subsidiaries:
1. Unity Realty and Developers (URDL)
2. Unity Infrastructure Assets Ltd (UIAL)
3. Unity Middle East FZE.
Joint ventures:
1. BSEL Infrastructure Realty Ltd:
2. Backbone Enterprises Ltd:
3. Brahmaputra Infrastructure Ltd
4. Brahmaputra Consortium Ltd (BCL)
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5. Nagarjuna Constructions
6. Patel Engineering
7. Pratibha Industries
Peer Group Comparison
Name of the
company
CMP(R.s)
(As on 12/3/2010)
Market
Cap.
(Rs. Mn.)
EPS
(Rs.)
P/E (x) P/BV
(x)
Dividend
(%)
Unity Infra 585.00 8668.53 53.92 10.79 1.86 45.00
HCC Ltd 143.70 43577.00 2.96 48.55 4.38 80.00
Nagarjuna con 158.85 40758.30 6.56 24.21 2.46 55.00
Simplex Infra Ltd 433.20 21431.40 21.53 20.12 2.53 100.00
Key Concerns
• Rising inflation
• High interest rates.
• Government policies
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Financials
Results update
Profit & Loss Account 12 Months Ended on March 31st (Standalone)
Value(Rs. in million) FY08A FY09A FY10E FY11E
Description 12m 12m 12m 12m
Net Income 8,501.95 11,323.28 14319.62 17183.55
Other Income 121.87 155.67 109.14 120.06
Total Income 8,623.82 11,478.95 14428.76 17303.60
Expenditure -7,433.47 -9,880.22 -12371.52 -14949.68
Operating Profit 1,190.35 1,598.73 2057.24 2353.92
Interest -206.31 -400.44 -593.94 -651.03
Gross Profit 984.04 1,198.29 1463.30 1702.89
Depreciation -73.03 -159.12 -172.40 -181.02
PBT 911.01 1,039.17 1290.90 1521.86
Tax -310.56 -342.65 -398.55 -456.56
Profit after Tax 600.45 696.52 892.35 1065.30
Net profit 600.45 696.52 892.35 1065.30
Equity Capital 133.68 133.68 148.18 148.18
Reserves 3,422.68 4,048.83 4941.18 6006.49
Face Value 10 10 10.00 10.00
Total No. of Shares 13.368 13.368 14.82 14.82
EPS(Rs) 44.91 52.10 60.22 71.89
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Quarterly ended Profit & Loss Account (Standalone)
Value(Rs. in million) 30-Jun-09 30-Sep-09 31-Dec-09 31-Mar-10E
Description 3m 3m 3 m 3m
Net Income 2796.05 3047.74 4036.11 4439.72
Other Income 12.82 29.52 31.81 34.99
Total Income 2808.87 3077.26 4067.92 4474.71
Expenditure -2406.26 -2627.31 -3510.91 -3827.04
Operating Profit 402.61 449.95 557.01 647.67
Interest -135.50 -132.73 -155.10 -170.61
Gross Profit 267.11 317.22 401.91 477.06
Depreciation -41.81 -43.51 -43.11 -43.97
PBT 225.30 273.71 358.80 433.09
Tax -67.60 -86.20 -114.82 -129.93
Profit after Tax 157.70 187.51 243.98 303.16
Net profit 157.70 187.51 243.98 303.16
Equity Capital 133.68 133.68 148.18 148.18
EPS(Rs) 11.80 14.03 16.47 20.46
Face Value(Rs) 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00
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1 Year Comparative Graph
Outlook and Conclusion
• At the current market price of the stock Rs.585.00, the stock trades at a P/E of 9.71 x and 8.14 x
for FY10E and FY11E respectively.
• The EPS of the stock is expected to be at Rs.60.22 and Rs.71.89 for the earnings of FY10E and
FY11E respectively.
• The top line and bottom-line of the company are expected to grow at a CAGR of 26.43% and
21.06% respectively over FY08 to FY11E.
• Price to Book Value of the stock is expected to be at 1.70 x for FY10E and 1.41 x for FY11E
• The company has consciously increased their threshold order size over the years, which has not
only allowed them to enhance their capabilities but also to avoid over-competitive bidding.
UNITY INFRA BSE SENSEX
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• The company has used diversification to not only develop their competencies, but also hedge
against unexpected risks.
• The company continues to look at all the new avenues of business in urban infrastructure space.
• Around 90% of the order book has inbuilt price escalation mechanism. This minimizes the effect
of increase in raw material prices.
• We recommend ‘BUY’ in this particular scrip with a target price of Rs.725.00 for Medium to Long
term investment.
Industry overview
Infrastructure Industry Structure and Development
The existence and development of adequate infrastructure is an essential requirement for
sustaining the growth momentum and to ensure required growth rate. With the rapid growth of
the economy in recent years, the importance and urgency of removing infrastructure constraints
have increased. Traditionally, power, roads, railways, ports, airports and telecommunications were
the exclusive domain of the government.
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Infrastructure investment requires huge initial capital outlay, which was considered to be a big
hurdle in the past due to prohibition or lesser private participation on infrastructure projects. Even
in the present situation it is not possible on the part of the Government to provide the
infrastructure on its own and is under the pressure of rising gaps between demand and supply of
infrastructure. Consequently, the government is encouraging more private sector participation
through Public Private Partnership (PPPs) concept, which is fast evolving in all the aspects of
infrastructure development.
Involvement of private investments not only suffice funding requirement of the projects but it has
also other advantages like improvement in competitiveness of the projects, more efficient
execution, better offerings, etc. Out of the total outlay on infrastructure sector during 11th five
year plan, government expects 29.7% of total outlay to come from private participation and
balance (79.1%) through public funding.
The government has shown greater commitment to accelerate the infrastructure development as
indicated by its plans to raise infrastructure spending during 11th five year plan. According to 11th
five year plan, investment in infrastructure sector is likely to increase to around 8% of GDP
compared to 4.6% in 10th plan period. It is estimated that infrastructure spending of around Rs
23,850 billion is planned during the 11th Plan period. The total spending on infrastructure during
11th five year plan is almost 2.7 times bigger than anticipated spending on infrastructures during
10th five year plan. This spending is planned across the segments, with power likely to see the
maximum spending of 30.4% of total outlay during 11th five year plan. Other sectors to see major
outlay of total infrastructure spending are roads, railways and telecom with total infrastructure
outlay of 15.4%, 12.7%, 13.2% respectively.
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Roads
Indian road network, forms 15% of India's Infrastructure investment in the 11th plan and is also
one of the busiest road networks in the world. While India has one of the longest road system in
the world, only a very small fraction of this is comparable to world standard in terms of width and
quality. About 65% of freight and 87% of passenger traffic is carried by roads in India. Traffic on
Indian roads has been increasing by 7-10% per annum which has led to about 25-30% of national
and state highways being heavily congested with truck speeds of around 25-40 km/hr. India's road
network has witnessed rapid traffic growth, which has far outstripped the capacity increase of the
road network.
The government has successfully experimented participation of private sector in road development
and expects the share of private investments to go up from 5% in 10th plan to 36% in 11th plan.
Driven by the initiatives of National Highways Authority of India (NHAI) as well as the state bodies,
the 11th plan is expected to generate investments of Rs 3,14,200 crore into the roads sector,
representing an increase of more than 110% over the corresponding investment in the 10th plan.
The 11th plan focuses on harnessing investments from the private sector, with such investments
set to increase by more than 14% over the corresponding 10th plan investments. Currently, 60
NHAI road projects are under implementation by private developers. On the other hand,
contribution from the Central and State sectors is expected to grow by just over 50%.
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Railways
Indian Railways has been the prime mover of the nation and has the distinction of being the largest
railway system in Asia and the second largest railway system in the world under single
management. Recognizing the need for substantial financial and managerial capital, the Railways
have been actively seeking and encouraging increased private sector participation. Railways are
targeting Rs 1,20,000 crore of public-private partnership (PPP) investment and will be focused on
the modernization of metro rail stations, logistics, parks and container depots, the establishment of
manufacturing facilities for modern rolling stock and dedicated freight and high-speed passenger
corridors.
Power
The Indian power sector has grown manifold in size and capacity since independence. The per
capita power consumption has increased to approximately 612 kWh (as per Key world energy
statistics 2007) vs 1,802 kWh in China, 2,980 kWh in Middle East countries and 8,365 kWh in OECD
countries. The growth in generation capacity has been witnessed across the regions and has been
made possible by tapping into several energy sources.
While new capacity has been added, demand has far outstripped the supply leading to a widening
gap. The access to electricity has improved tremendously with electrification of almost 87% villages
and energisation of 65% pump sets. The capacity of transmission and distribution lines has also
increased but lot more need to be done. The Ministry of Power has set a vision of "providing
reliable, affordable and quality power for all by 2012".
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From the facts above, it is clear that this provides a tremendous investment opportunity in the
Indian power sector for both the public and the private players. It is clear that the biggest
fundamental issue hampering the viability of the Indian Power Sector is the sheer volume or level
of Transmission and Distribution (T&D) losses that amount to over 30%, a very high level by any
standard. To make the matters worse, indirect calculations show T&D losses to be much higher in
the range of 40-50%. In addition, the distribution system in India is often characterized by
inefficiency, low productivity, frequent interruption in supply and poor voltage. The surge in
interest in adding new power capacity has been driven by rising power shortages, electricity
reforms initiated in 2003, deregulation of electricity sector and potential for higher returns, gradual
improvement in financial situation of some state utilities, allocation of captive blocks to private and
government companies, and initiatives like UMPP at central and state levels.
Over the past few years, the government has taken a number of steps beginning with the Electricity
Act 2003 and securitization of State Electricity Board dues to reform the private sector and attract
more private investments. Distribution reforms were brought under focus and power theft was
made a punishable offence, Accelerated Power Development and Reform programme (APDRP) was
launched to improve T&D infrastructure in the country and electricity regulatory commission has
been set up at the state level to delineate tariff setting from politics.
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Real estate
The Indian real estate sector plays a significant role in the country's economy. Almost 5% of the
country's GDP is contributed to by the housing sector. In the next five years, this contribution to
the GDP is expected to rise to 6%. According to industry players, housing accounts for 4.5% of gross
domestic product (GDP) with urban housing accounting for 3.13%.It has also been suggested that
India's property sector could begin to improve from late 2009 and may attract up to US$ 12.11
billion in real estate investment over a five-year period.
The Indian real estate market is worth around US$ 40-45 billion and can be segregated into
residential, commercial and the retail and hospitality segments. The residential sector forms 90-
95% of the Indian reality space, while commercial segment forms 4-5% and organised retail around
1 %. The IT and ITES sector alone is estimated to require 150 million sq ft of office space across
urban India by 2010.
The organized retail industry is likely to require an additional 220 million sq ft by 2010. Moreover,
growth is not restricted to a few towns and cities but is pan-India, covering nearly all tier-l and tier-
ll cities Investments in commercial real estate are likely to increase three-fold in five years over the
previous five years. According to the Tenth Five-Year-Plan, there is a shortage of 22.4 million
dwelling units. Thus, over the next 10 to 15 years, 80 to 90 million housing dwelling units will have
to be constructed with a majority of them catering to middle and lower-income groups. Urban
housing is expected to grow at a CAGR of 14% and is expected to reach US$ 97.5 billion by 2010.
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Irrigation
The irrigation spends by States have not seen any significant slow down until now, thanks to the
political sensitivity in lowering the spending in this sector. IVRCL is the undisputed leader in
irrigation projects across the country and irrigation projects continue to be a bulk of our water
sector portfolio. IVRCL has, in recent times, bagged some of its biggest lift irrigation projects in
Andhra Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh and Maharashtra, besides exploring the potential opportunities
emerging in other States as well.
_________________________________________________________________________________
Disclaimer:
This document prepared by our research analysts does not constitute an offer or solicitation for the purchase
or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. The information
contained herein is from publicly available data or other sources believed to be reliable but we do not
represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied on as such. Firstcall India Equity Advisors
Pvt. Ltd. or any of it’s affiliates shall not be in any way responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to
any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this report. This document is provide
for assistance only and is not intended to be and must not alone be taken as the basis for an investment
decision.
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