united states department of agriculture grain€¦ · united states . department of . agriculture....

Grain: World Markets and Trade

Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board - USDA

United States Department of Agriculture

Foreign Agricultural Service November 2014

Chinese Imports of Feedstuffs Soar

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2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15Barley Sorghum Corn

China’s imports of barley, sorghum, distiller’s dried grains (DDGS), and cassava soared in 2013/14 (Oct-Sep) as feed millers sought alternative ingredients. China’s domestic corn prices have been elevated by producer support programs, a tariff-rate quota for corn, and uncertainties caused by its heightened enforcement of an unapproved biotech trait for corn (and DDGS). Traditionally, barley and sorghum are the main ingredients for beer, vinegar, and distilled spirits production. Now, however, imported barley and sorghum are being incorporated into rations for the rapidly developing industrial animal feed sector. Imports of barley and sorghum are forecast to continue at elevated levels in 2014/15, making the country the world’s largest sorghum importer and the second-largest barley importer. China accounted for over 80 percent of U.S. sorghum exports in 2013/14 and accounts for nearly all of U.S. export commitments (outstanding sales and shipments) to date in 2014/15, boosting U.S. sorghum export unit values above corn. However, a recent government agreement between China and Argentina to facilitate sorghum exports could bring competition and pressure prices lower. For the next few months, the United States will remain China’s dominant supplier as new-crop Australian and Argentine supplies will not be available until March.

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2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14DDGS Cassava

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

World Markets and Trade: Commentary and Current Data Wheat ................................................................................................................. 4 Rice .................................................................................................................. 10 Coarse Grains ................................................................................................... 15 Historical Data Series for Selected Regions and Countries ............................ 36 Endnotes to Grain: World Markets and Trade ............................................... 55 The Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) updates its production, supply and distribution (PSD) database for cotton, oilseeds, and grains at 12:00 p.m. on the day the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report is released. This circular is released by 12:15 p.m. To download the tables in the publication, go to Production, Supply and Distribution Database (PSD Online): (http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdHome.aspx), scroll down to Reports, and Click the plus sign [+] next to Grains. FAS Reports and Databases: Current World Market and Trade and World Agricultural Production Reports:

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdDataPublications.aspx Archives World Market and Trade and World Agricultural Production Reports:

http://usda.mannlib.cornell.edu/MannUsda/viewTaxonomy.do?taxonomyID=7 Production, Supply and Distribution Database (PSD Online): http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdHome.aspx Global Agricultural Trade System (U.S. Exports and Imports):

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/gats/default.aspx Export Sales Report:

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/esrquery/ Global Agricultural Information Network (Agricultural Attaché Reports):

http://gain.fas.usda.gov/Pages/Default.aspx Other USDA Reports: World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE):

http://www.usda.gov/oce/commodity/wasde/ Economic Research Service:

http://www.ers.usda.gov/topics/crops National Agricultural Statistics Service:

http://www.nass.usda.gov/Publications/

Grain: World Markets and Trade, November 2014

2 November 2014

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdHome.aspx

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdDataPublications.aspx

http://usda.mannlib.cornell.edu/MannUsda/viewTaxonomy.do?taxonomyID=7

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdHome.aspx

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/gats/default.aspx

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/esrquery/

http://gain.fas.usda.gov/Pages/Default.aspx

http://www.usda.gov/oce/commodity/wasde/

http://www.ers.usda.gov/topics/crops

http://www.nass.usda.gov/Publications/

All Grain Summary Comparison

Marketing Year

Wheat Rice, Milled Corn

2014/152013/142012/132014/152013/142012/132014/152013/142012/13

Production

United States (Jun-May) 61.3 58.1 55.1 6.3 6.1 7.1 273.2 353.7 366.0

Other 596.6 656.6 664.7 465.5 470.3 468.0 594.8 635.5 624.4

World Total 657.9 714.7 719.9 471.9 476.4 475.0 868.0 989.2 990.3

Domestic Consumption


Other 648.4 660.4 678.1 462.0 473.1 476.3 606.0 650.9 666.5

World Total 686.2 694.6 711.2 465.8 477.1 480.5 869.0 946.2 969.0

Ending Stocks


Other 155.2 169.7 175.4 108.9 105.4 97.3 116.9 141.6 140.5

World Total 174.8 185.7 192.9 110.1 106.5 98.6 137.8 173.0 191.5

TY Imports


Other 140.1 153.8 147.8 35.8 38.5 38.7 94.6 122.2 109.3

World Total 143.6 158.6 152.2 36.5 39.3 39.4 98.8 122.9 110.0

TY Exports


Other 119.4 130.6 129.7 36.1 38.6 38.2 82.3 78.9 70.5

World Total 147.1 162.1 155.2 39.4 41.7 41.6 100.5 129.6 115.0

Note: Consumption in this table has not been adjusted for differences in marketing year imports and exports

and therefore differs from global totals shown elsewhere.

Marketing years for U.S. grains are: Wheat (Jun-May), Rice (Aug-Jul), Corn (Sep-Aug).

'Marketing Year' column is germane for U.S. wheat only.

November 2014

WHEAT: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE OVERVIEW Global production for 2014/15 is down slightly, but still a record, as smaller crops in Australia, Egypt, and Kazakhstan are only partially offset by larger crops in the EU (mostly in Poland, Germany, Romania and Spain). Global trade is down on import cuts for China, Egypt, Pakistan, Russia, and South Korea. Brazil, Kazakhstan, and Mexico are boosted but do not compensate for the overall decline. U.S. exports and imports are unchanged. The season-average farm price is unchanged.

WHEAT EXPORTER* STOCKS REBUILDING

*Australia, Canada, European Union, Kazakhstan, Russia, Ukraine, and United States. Wheat exporter ending stocks in 2014/15 are forecast up year-to-year on record global production, putting pressure on prices. The EU is the largest driver of rising stocks based on a record crop, quality concerns, and intensified competition, particularly from Russia. Despite record exports, Russian stocks are projected up on a bumper crop. Ukraine’s stocks are expected to rise significantly as its major market for feed-quality wheat, the EU, has an abundant supply of lower-priced feed grains. Ukraine is also facing competition from lower-priced corn in other markets. U.S. stocks are forecast higher because of competition from other exporters and larger supplies in South America. By contrast, Canada’s stocks are projected to decline based on tighter supplies, while Australia and Kazakhstan are nearly unchanged.

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55

60

65

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10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15

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Grain: World Markets and Trade, November 2014 4

November 2014

U.S. PRICES:

Domestic: Prices for most wheat classes rose in October. Soft White Winter (SWW) spiked $21 to $276/ton as supplies tighten. Soft Red Winter (SRW) climbed $14 to $254/ton and Hard Red Winter (HRW) rose $3 to $285/ton. Hard Red Spring (HRS) dropped just $2 to $367/ton, but remains elevated. TRADE CHANGES IN 2014/15 Selected Exporter

• Australia is down 1.0 million tons to 18.0 million based on lower production.

Selected Importers

• Brazil is raised 500,000 tons to 7.0 million because of crop quality concerns in some regions.

• China is reduced 300,000 tons to 1.7 million due to the slow pace and expectations that the tariff-rate quota for the private sector will not be expanded.

200

250

300

350

400

3/1/2014 5/1/2014 7/1/2014 9/1/2014 11/1/2014

$/M

T

U.S. Weekly FOB Export Bids

HRS HRW SRW SWW


November 2014

• Egypt is slashed 800,000 tons to 9.5 million because changes to its bread subsidy program are expected to cut consumption and reduce waste considerably.

• South Korea is lowered 400,000 tons to 3.8 million because of reduced purchases of feed-quality wheat.

• Mexico is raised 300,000 tons to 4.6 million on a smaller crop and the strong early-season pace of shipments.

• Pakistan is down 300,000 tons to 700,000 because the Government implemented a 20 percent import duty to stem the influx of lower-priced imports.

• Russia is cut 300,000 tons to 200,000 due to lower supplies in Kazakhstan. Russia imported significant quantities of wheat from Kazakhstan over the previous 3 years.


November 2014

World Wheat, Flour, and Products Trade

July/June Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

Oct

2014/15

Nov

none

TY Exports

6,0006,0001,6017,45011,9517,742 Argentina

18,00019,00018,33921,26923,03118,455 Australia

22,50022,50022,13818,58117,60316,768 Canada

28,00028,00031,92522,67716,72823,086 European Union

2,0002,0005,3548,6511,72373 India

5,3005,5008,0006,80111,0695,519 Kazakhstan

1,5001,5001,322729790821 Mexico

22,50022,50018,53411,28921,6273,983 Russia

3,2003,2004,2943,5833,6782,944 Turkey

10,00010,0009,7557,1905,4364,302 Ukraine

10,74510,9459,35911,13612,03814,351 Others

129,745131,145130,621119,356125,67498,044 Subtotal

25,50025,50031,49727,73428,14436,098 United States

155,245156,645162,118147,090153,818134,142 World Total

none

TY Imports

2,0002,0002,0501,6002,2002,000 Afghanistan

7,4007,5007,4846,4846,5006,516 Algeria

3,3003,3003,3182,7192,0163,951 Bangladesh

7,0006,5007,0617,5477,0536,742 Brazil

9,50010,30010,1708,30011,65010,600 Egypt

5,0005,0003,9825,2777,3624,621 European Union

7,7007,7007,3907,1466,4576,606 Indonesia

5,0005,0006,6005,6002,400200 Iran

3,0003,0003,2463,9483,7843,631 Iraq

6,0006,0006,1236,5986,3545,869 Japan

3,8004,2004,2885,4395,1884,761 Korea, South

1,8502,0502,0491,9461,5611,474 Libya

4,6004,3004,6363,8265,0203,404 Mexico

3,0003,0003,8923,8253,6714,019 Morocco

4,7504,7504,5504,1403,9314,052 Nigeria

3,6003,6003,4823,6454,0753,224 Philippines

3,2503,2503,4291,9212,9041,739 Saudi Arabia

2,6002,6002,6641,7932,3601,595 Sudan

2,0002,0001,579963680428 Syria

2,0002,0001,6931,8452,6461,943 Thailand

5,5005,5004,1543,3124,4133,545 Turkey

1,8002,0002,2241,8632,6981,618 Uzbekistan

1,8001,8001,9511,6171,6861,469 Venezuela

2,1002,1002,1581,6712,7112,459 Vietnam

3,6003,6003,4253,1492,6852,816 Yemen

45,66546,34550,19543,97146,13638,617 Others

147,815149,395153,793140,145148,141127,899 Subtotal

3,0302,8503,5583,5032,6533,645 Unaccounted

4,4004,4004,7673,4423,0242,598 United States

155,245156,645162,118147,090153,818134,142 World Total

TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.

November 2014

World Wheat Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons

2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

Oct

2014/15

Nov

none

Production

12,00012,00010,5009,30015,50017,200 Argentina

24,00025,00027,01322,85629,90527,410 Australia

6,3006,3005,3004,3805,8005,900 Brazil

27,50027,50037,50027,20525,28823,300 Canada

126,000126,000121,930121,023117,400115,180 China

8,2008,9508,2508,5008,4007,200 Egypt

155,401153,976143,134133,850138,182136,667 European Union

95,91095,91093,51094,88086,87080,800 India

13,00013,00014,50013,80012,40013,500 Iran

12,00012,50013,9419,84122,7329,638 Kazakhstan

25,00025,00024,00023,30025,00023,900 Pakistan

59,00059,00052,09137,72056,24041,508 Russia

15,00015,00018,00015,50018,80017,000 Turkey

24,50024,50022,27815,76122,32416,844 Ukraine

7,1507,1506,8006,7006,3006,500 Uzbekistan

53,77053,93557,88752,02850,38848,144 Others

664,731665,721656,634596,644641,529590,691 Subtotal

55,12955,39458,10561,29854,24458,868 United States

719,860721,115714,739657,942695,773649,559 World Total

none

Total Consumption

10,05010,0509,8509,4508,9508,750 Algeria

12,30011,90011,40010,90011,20010,800 Brazil

9,8309,7509,9659,5989,8527,551 Canada

124,000124,000121,500125,000122,500110,500 China

17,50019,00018,50018,70018,60017,700 Egypt

126,000126,000115,750119,250127,234122,844 European Union

94,48594,46094,00683,82281,40481,760 India

7,5657,5657,0656,6506,2506,035 Indonesia

18,20018,20018,00016,40014,90015,700 Iran

8,9008,9009,0008,3008,8007,850 Morocco

25,10025,10024,10023,90023,10023,000 Pakistan

35,00034,80034,10033,55038,00038,600 Russia

17,40017,40017,75017,50018,10017,300 Turkey

12,00012,00011,50011,40014,95011,600 Ukraine

8,7008,9008,4008,0007,8007,700 Uzbekistan

151,083151,688149,500146,011144,435135,175 Others

679,590681,010669,602641,577665,039623,988 Subtotal

33,09433,09534,17437,76831,96229,424 United States

712,684714,105703,776679,345697,001653,412 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

6,0965,7176,2464,6547,0518,184 Australia

5,9456,0259,7955,0525,9327,360 Canada

62,97463,27460,27453,96055,94659,091 China

16,55815,13310,15710,71613,51611,934 European Union

16,30016,30017,83024,20019,95015,360 India

6,9097,5095,2094,95210,89913,736 Russia

6,2206,2203,6702,5795,3633,341 Ukraine

54,36354,61056,49649,10857,29454,897 Others

175,365174,788169,677155,221175,951173,903 Subtotal

17,53317,79716,04519,53820,21123,487 United States

192,898192,585185,722174,759196,162197,390 World Total

November 2014

Regional Wheat Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Thousand Metric Tons

2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

Oct

2014/15

Nov

2014/15

TY Imports none

6,431 North America 8,541 7,753 9,844 9,180 9,480

1,684 Central America 1,666 1,662 1,845 1,820 1,820

13,158 South America 13,779 14,392 14,806 13,325 13,825

4,621 European Union - 28 7,362 5,277 3,982 5,000 5,000

1,614 Other Europe 1,913 1,633 1,840 1,890 1,890

5,498 Former Soviet Union - 12 8,022 7,228 7,389 7,190 6,885

17,324 Middle East 23,065 24,175 28,304 28,205 28,205

24,427 North Africa 24,855 22,052 25,240 24,350 23,250

15,093 Sub-Saharan Africa 18,484 17,437 19,065 20,075 20,075

13,889 East Asia 16,865 17,352 19,463 14,535 13,835

7,593 South Asia 5,466 5,306 6,680 7,440 7,165

16,341 Southeast Asia 18,016 16,356 17,107 17,750 17,750

2,824 Others 3,131 2,964 2,995 3,035 3,035

130,497 Total 151,165 143,587 158,560 153,795 152,215

Production none

85,844 North America 83,160 91,734 98,982 86,709 86,289

27,560 South America 25,766 18,404 19,985 23,650 23,650

136,667 European Union - 28 138,182 133,850 143,134 153,976 155,401

3,188 Other Europe 3,597 3,504 4,409 4,054 3,854


38,638 Middle East 39,282 36,380 40,918 35,030 35,030

15,914 North Africa 18,366 17,320 19,722 17,450 16,800


116,355 East Asia 118,775 122,483 123,244 127,352 127,442

110,949 South Asia 117,132 126,390 125,690 129,205 129,205

27,855 Oceania 30,288 23,345 27,453 25,510 24,510

183 Others 186 186 181 181 181

649,559 Total 695,773 657,942 714,739 721,115 719,860

Domestic Consumption none

43,425 North America 49,414 53,991 50,789 49,495 49,674

25,598 South America 26,121 26,433 27,137 27,825 28,225

122,844 European Union - 28 127,234 119,250 115,750 126,000 126,000

4,723 Other Europe 4,871 4,696 4,937 4,905 4,905


54,406 Middle East 56,273 56,763 59,642 59,810 59,815

38,805 North Africa 40,927 41,421 42,424 43,150 41,450


123,952 East Asia 137,057 140,083 135,338 137,465 137,055

117,003 South Asia 115,834 121,167 132,200 134,160 134,185

14,977 Southeast Asia 16,665 16,235 16,419 17,305 17,305

6,845 Oceania 7,819 8,106 8,275 8,160 8,160

3,354 Others 3,369 3,358 3,485 3,650 3,650

652,289 Total 688,037 686,199 694,560 712,808 711,207

Ending Stocks none

31,164 North America 26,718 24,868 26,159 24,106 23,807

8,574 South America 3,991 3,464 6,861 6,645 6,811

11,934 European Union - 28 13,516 10,716 10,157 15,133 16,558

1,182 Other Europe 1,327 1,046 1,086 1,055 1,055


12,074 Middle East 10,986 11,964 14,604 14,769 14,794

12,194 North Africa 14,094 11,441 13,480 11,655 11,605


62,150 East Asia 59,242 57,509 63,470 66,661 66,147

21,079 South Asia 25,425 28,144 21,545 20,205 19,905

3,991 Southeast Asia 4,703 4,154 4,056 3,671 3,756

8,580 Oceania 7,415 4,957 6,531 5,972 6,351

382 Others 390 367 415 370 371

197,390 Total 196,162 174,759 185,722 192,585 192,898

NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are reported

using local marketing years.

November 2014

RICE: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE

OVERVIEW Global production for 2014/15 is slightly lower than last month as reductions in Egypt, Australia, and Afghanistan more than offset the increase in South Korea. Global trade is higher primarily driven by Thailand. Global stocks are reduced on stronger consumption in India and Vietnam. U.S. production is raised marginally, and trade is unchanged. Since their peak in 2012/13, stocks in both India and Thailand have declined. Stocks in India are down as the government has released 5 million tons to control rising food prices. Stocks in Thailand are drawn down as the current government actively pursues sales opportunities to reduce stocks, bought under the now-discontinued paddy pledging scheme. The sizable decline in the two countries’ stocks is forecast to drive down 2014/15 global stocks to the lowest in 5 years. SELECTED TRADE CHANGES

• China’s 2014 imports are boosted 300,000 tons to 3.8 million on strong purchases mainly

from Thailand and Burma. Imports for 2015 are up 300,000 tons to a record 4.0 million.

• Egypt’s 2014 exports are cut 200,000 tons to 600,000, while 2015 exports are cut 375,000 tons to 500,000 reflecting a smaller crop in both years.


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15

20

25

30

2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

MMT Top Exporters' Stocks Decline

India Thailand

November 2014

• Nepal’s 2014 imports are up 100,000 tons to 350,000 on larger volumes from India.

• Philippines’ 2014 imports are up 200,000 tons to 1.7 million reflecting large purchases from Vietnam and Thailand. Imports for 2015 are raised 100,000 tons to 1.7 million.

• Senegal’s 2014 imports are raised 100,000 tons to 1.2 million on large shipments from

Thailand. Imports for 2015 are also raised 100,000 tons to 1.2 million.

• South Korea’s 2014 imports are cut 115,000 tons to 330,000 on trade trends to date.

• Thailand’s 2014 exports are boosted 800,000 tons to 10.3 million on continued strong sales by the government. Exports for 2015 are also raised 800,000 tons to a record 10.8 million.


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November 2014

World Rice Trade

January/December Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

Oct

2014/15

Nov

none

TY Exports

600600600526608732 Argentina

400475430460449311 Australia

8008008408301,1051,296 Brazil

1,3001,3001,3001,1631,3571,075 Burma

1,2001,2001,0001,075900860 Cambodia

350350300447267487 China

500875600700600320 Egypt

220190230203194237 European Union

450450450277265260 Guyana

8,7008,70010,00010,48010,2504,637 India

3,9003,9003,9004,1263,3993,414 Pakistan

260260250365262208 Paraguay

10,80010,00010,3006,7226,94510,647 Thailand

9509509309391,056841 Uruguay

6,7006,7006,5006,7007,7177,000 Vietnam

1,0371,0359991,0571,2591,002 Others

38,16737,78538,62936,07036,63333,327 Subtotal

3,4003,4003,1003,2933,2983,246 United States

41,56741,18541,72939,36339,93136,573 World Total

none

TY Imports

450450450430360275 Angola

500500700114531,486 Bangladesh

700700700712732591 Brazil

525525525550450310 Cameroon

4,0003,7003,8003,4832,900575 China

1,2001,2001,1509401,375935 Cote d'Ivoire

450450450413330558 Cuba

1,4001,4001,4001,3751,3131,496 European Union

620620600725595620 Ghana

1,0001,0001,4006501,9603,098 Indonesia

1,7001,7001,6502,2201,5001,870 Iran

1,4501,4501,4001,2941,4781,036 Iraq

700700650690650742 Japan

480480440410400335 Kenya

450450330580238532 Korea, South

1,1001,1001,1008901,0061,076 Malaysia

775775700746680705 Mexico

520520500500445360 Mozambique

3,5003,5003,0002,4003,4002,550 Nigeria

1,7001,6001,6501,0001,5001,200 Philippines

1,3251,3251,3251,3261,1931,059 Saudi Arabia

1,2001,1001,2001,0751,200805 Senegal

1,1001,1001,000990870885 South Africa

460460450440430420 United Arab Emirates

450450450432420337 Yemen

10,95311,06311,50811,39411,1069,551 Others

38,70838,31838,52835,77936,58433,407 Subtotal

2,1892,1972,4712,9092,7072,545 Unaccounted

670670730675640621 United States

41,56741,18541,72939,36339,93136,573 World Total


Note about dates: 2014/15 is calendar year 2015, 2013/14 is calendar year 2014, and so on.

November 2014

World Rice Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

Oct

2014/15

Nov

none

Milled Production

34,60034,60034,39033,82033,70031,700 Bangladesh

8,3508,3508,3008,0377,8889,300 Brazil

12,15012,15011,95711,71511,47311,060 Burma

4,9004,9004,7254,6704,2684,233 Cambodia

144,000144,000142,530143,000140,700137,000 China

4,5004,9004,7504,6754,2503,100 Egypt

102,000102,000106,540105,240105,31095,980 India

37,00037,00036,00036,55036,50035,500 Indonesia

7,7007,7007,8327,7567,6467,720 Japan

4,1804,0504,2304,0064,2244,295 Korea, South

3,1003,1003,3613,0002,9702,680 Nepal

6,5006,5006,7005,8006,2005,000 Pakistan

12,20012,20011,85811,42810,71010,539 Philippines

20,50020,50020,46020,20020,46020,262 Thailand

28,20028,20028,00027,53727,15226,371 Vietnam

38,09638,27038,61738,10037,65737,627 Others

467,976468,420470,250465,534461,108442,367 Subtotal

7,0697,0576,1156,3485,8667,593 United States

475,045475,477476,365471,882466,974449,960 World Total

none

Consumption and Residual

35,20035,20034,90034,50034,30032,400 Bangladesh

7,9007,9007,9007,8507,9288,200 Brazil

11,00011,00010,50010,40010,20010,100 Burma

3,7003,7003,6503,5503,4003,370 Cambodia

148,000148,000146,300144,000139,600135,000 China

4,0004,1004,0004,0503,6203,300 Egypt

99,00098,00099,18094,03193,33490,206 India

39,20039,20038,50038,12738,18838,044 Indonesia

3,4503,4503,4003,3503,3003,250 Iran

8,2008,2008,2508,2508,0508,200 Japan

4,4504,5904,4604,4894,8805,175 Korea, South

6,1006,1006,0005,3005,6004,800 Nigeria

13,20013,20012,85012,85012,86012,900 Philippines

10,90010,90010,87510,60010,40010,300 Thailand

21,90021,50022,00021,90019,65019,400 Vietnam

60,07360,16760,36658,73756,82853,813 Others

478,755477,497475,962464,854456,292440,638 Subtotal

4,1914,1913,9943,7793,4924,329 United States

482,946481,688479,956468,633459,784444,967 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

46,24946,04946,69946,82645,02342,574 China

1,1599911,1561,1591,1171,215 European Union

16,80020,78022,50025,44025,10023,500 India

4,1764,1765,3766,4767,4037,131 Indonesia

2,7642,8242,7642,7422,7472,712 Japan

2,5452,5451,9451,4871,5092,459 Philippines

11,49313,09312,39312,8089,3305,615 Thailand

12,06412,48812,60111,95613,26912,891 Others

97,250102,946105,434108,894105,49898,097 Subtotal

1,3081,2961,0251,1561,3031,514 United States

98,558104,242106,459110,050106,80199,611 World Total

Note: All data are reported on a milled basis.

November 2014

Regional Rice Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

Oct

2014/15

Nov

2014/15

TY Imports none

1,654 North America 1,664 1,776 1,780 1,795 1,795

1,099 Caribbean 845 980 1,025 1,015 1,015

1,396 South America 1,896 1,702 1,847 1,907 1,907

128 Other Europe 114 125 130 130 130

366 Former Soviet Union - 12 456 544 531 441 441

6,099 Middle East 6,455 7,128 6,670 6,765 6,690

381 North Africa 777 487 495 520 485


2,444 East Asia 4,389 5,332 5,385 5,460 5,760

1,864 South Asia 737 722 1,340 1,250 1,250

6,418 Southeast Asia 5,488 3,611 5,105 4,750 4,850

2,314 Others 2,158 2,197 2,295 2,125 2,125

34,028 Total 37,224 36,454 39,258 38,988 39,378

Production none

7,739 North America 5,979 6,479 6,246 7,185 7,216

943 Caribbean 1,002 974 1,040 1,063 1,063

17,197 South America 15,215 15,852 16,280 16,396 16,396

2,172 European Union - 28 2,110 2,100 1,937 1,953 1,953


2,131 Middle East 2,170 2,135 2,330 2,333 2,333

3,139 North Africa 4,289 4,704 4,789 4,900 4,500


151,636 East Asia 155,342 157,692 157,585 158,581 158,711

138,116 South Asia 151,656 150,892 154,286 149,170 149,121

111,008 Southeast Asia 113,649 115,450 116,221 118,301 118,301

1,245 Others 1,364 1,518 1,288 1,335 1,191

449,960 Total 466,974 471,882 476,365 475,477 475,045


5,429 North America 4,668 4,977 5,204 5,431 5,431

1,109 Central America 1,156 1,181 1,208 1,208 1,208

2,055 Caribbean 1,997 1,959 2,066 2,083 2,083

14,427 South America 14,180 14,394 14,526 14,588 14,588

3,250 European Union - 28 3,300 3,250 3,225 3,200 3,230


8,293 Middle East 8,603 8,810 8,970 9,205 9,130

3,677 North Africa 4,045 4,572 4,509 4,560 4,460


151,568 East Asia 155,886 160,248 162,660 164,275 164,135

130,792 South Asia 136,823 137,570 143,836 142,940 143,891

98,530 Southeast Asia 99,148 101,968 103,041 104,221 104,621

634 Others 661 707 717 540 540

442,787 Total 455,630 465,763 477,125 479,398 480,464

Ending Stocks none

1,734 North America 1,455 1,345 1,183 1,489 1,495

249 Central America 273 241 231 230 230

122 Caribbean 157 104 103 98 98

2,220 South America 1,606 1,512 1,793 2,043 2,043

1,215 European Union - 28 1,117 1,159 1,156 991 1,159

1,731 Middle East 1,526 1,943 1,894 1,757 1,757

122 North Africa 487 427 602 517 627


46,690 East Asia 48,899 50,711 50,622 49,765 50,256

25,342 South Asia 27,511 27,019 24,567 22,277 18,347

18,599 Southeast Asia 21,369 23,202 22,187 23,117 20,617

27 Oceania 40 238 171 94 65

200 Others 134 186 179 209 209

99,611 Total 106,801 110,050 106,459 104,242 98,558



November 2014


15

150

175

200

225

250

275

300

325

$/M

T

Corn Daily Export Bids

U.S. Gulf Brazil Paranagua Black Sea Argentina Up River

COARSE GRAINS: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE

OVERVIEW

World corn production in 2014/15 remains a record and is nearly unchanged as smaller

production in the United States and China more than offsets larger crop forecasts for the

European Union, Ukraine, and Mexico. Global trade is down slightly as larger domestic feed

grain supplies in the EU displace more corn imports. In addition, Chinese demand for feedstuffs

is being met from barley and sorghum, reducing prospects for corn (and DDGS) imports. The

U.S. season-average farm price is projected higher this month.

PRICES

Since the release of the October WASDE report, U.S. corn export quotes have mostly climbed,

continuing a trend that began 6 weeks ago. By early November, prices had risen $14/ton to

$191/ton. U.S. export prices are underpinned by a late harvest, high barge rates and other

logistical problems, and strength in the soy complex. However, price growth has been

constrained by expectations for a larger U.S. crop and relatively slow export sales and shipments

(exacerbated by a stronger U.S. dollar). The premium of U.S. quotes over South American has

remained largely unchanged. Argentine and Brazilian quotes are now $14/ton and $6/ton below

U.S., respectively. Black Sea quotes are $14/ton below U.S. and are up slightly over the last

month as EU demand remains sluggish.

November 2014


16

TRADE CHANGES IN 2014/15

Selected Exporters

Argentine corn is cut 1.0 million tons to 12.5 million and Brazilian is down 500,000 tons

to 22.0 million on lower expected global trade and greater competition from Ukraine.

(Ukrainian corn is boosted 500,000 tons to 16.5 million.)

Canadian and EU barley are up 200,000 tons each to 1.2 million and 6.7 million,

respectively, on strong demand from China.

U.S. sorghum is raised 300,000 tons to 5.6 million on continued purchases from China.

Selected Importers

Chinese corn is cut 500,000 tons to 2.5 million as policies favor imports of other

feedstuffs.

EU corn is 1.0 million tons lower to 6.0 million on plentiful supplies of feed grains.

Iranian corn is boosted 200,000 tons to 5.5 million on reports of continued purchases.

Chinese barley is raised by 500,000 tons to 4.5 million on continued strong demand.

(2013/14 is up 400,000 tons to 4.9 million.)

Chinese sorghum is boosted 300,000 tons to 4.6 million because of continued purchases

from the United States.

Mexican sorghum is slashed 200,000 tons to 100,000 on a larger crop.

November 2014


17

TRADE CHANGES IN 2013/14

Selected Exporters - based on trade data

U.S. corn is up 200,000 tons to 50.7 million.

Argentine corn is boosted 300,000 tons to 12.8 million.

Paraguayan corn is raised 400,000 tons to 2.7 million.

Ukrainian barley is up 200,000 tons to 3.7 million.

Selected Importers - based on trade data

Indonesian corn is boosted 200,000 tons to 3.5 million.

Mexican corn is raised 250,000 tons to 11.0 million.

Turkish barley is cut 250,000 tons to 750,000.

November 2014

World Coarse Grain Trade

October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

Oct

2014/15

Nov

none

TY Exports

15,80516,80516,59529,49622,30718,628 Argentina

5,3505,3256,9276,4107,2794,897 Australia

22,01022,51022,05726,07812,67711,591 Brazil

3,5003,3005,3844,6693,8534,427 Canada

9,6059,4057,6808,9147,1775,865 European Union

2,8502,8504,4755,5414,8583,437 India

7,4107,4106,8904,3655,9971,029 Russia

2,5252,5251,8256282,3452,013 Serbia

2,5252,5252,3252,4111,8512,857 South Africa

19,36018,86023,99515,52717,4477,490 Ukraine

6,8256,8258,5827,5297,4634,539 Others

97,76598,340106,735111,56893,25466,773 Subtotal

50,38550,08556,92020,58640,15349,247 United States

148,150148,425163,655132,154133,407116,020 World Total

none

TY Imports

4,0104,0104,9103,2803,6912,949 Algeria

1,2051,2051,2461,2401,211650 Brazil

1,6251,6251,7001,3271,5231,271 Chile

11,72511,40012,4455,6047,9242,697 China

4,7304,7304,7634,0884,1034,155 Colombia

1,2001,2001,1001,0461,054999 Dominican Republic

7,5307,5308,5555,0967,2505,840 Egypt

6,1557,15516,37011,7666,9088,635 European Union

2,6002,6003,5002,7191,7243,041 Indonesia

6,5006,3006,4004,8005,7004,000 Iran

1,8751,8652,1101,5641,5301,446 Israel

18,29018,40017,59817,74317,73018,590 Japan

1,2001,2001,4001,2021,144917 Jordan

9,6909,59010,5008,2657,7268,168 Korea, South

1,2501,2501,1501,220829543 Libya

3,4003,4003,4003,0483,3092,809 Malaysia

11,20011,40011,3317,62312,81910,760 Mexico

2,7002,7002,6401,8312,4792,059 Morocco

2,4252,4252,4252,4041,9282,079 Peru

10,50010,50010,70012,39010,4858,138 Saudi Arabia

4,3504,3504,5504,3984,4784,277 Taiwan

1,0001,0001,4001,6101,071958 Tunisia

3,2503,2502,0001,922782496 Turkey

2,6002,6002,6002,1462,5961,251 Venezuela

2,0002,0002,2001,7001,6001,000 Vietnam

15,79515,92015,11513,01015,11314,890 Others

138,805139,605152,108123,042126,707112,618 Subtotal

6,1945,6708,2302,6113,558953 Unaccounted

3,1513,1503,3176,5013,1422,449 United States

148,150148,425163,655132,154133,407116,020 World Total


November 2014

World Coarse Grains Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

Oct

2014/15

Nov

none

Production

30,61631,11634,46537,24630,10533,258 Argentina

11,20711,20712,37011,41412,25711,485 Australia

78,11378,11382,41384,25375,88460,380 Brazil

21,75021,75028,73524,42722,92122,668 Canada

220,650223,650225,070212,192198,635183,771 China

13,05013,05013,75212,28612,26411,193 Ethiopia

167,094163,738158,427145,888149,881142,829 European Union

37,31037,31042,71039,94042,25043,370 India

9,2009,2009,1008,5008,8506,800 Indonesia

31,34030,14032,10028,88125,68929,226 Mexico

18,60018,60019,20018,57317,42120,720 Nigeria

40,50040,50035,73528,65833,07716,416 Russia

14,09614,09615,34212,87313,26811,310 South Africa

9,2759,27513,07510,59511,29910,184 Turkey

37,79035,79039,91829,52733,47621,503 Ukraine

151,807151,787148,444145,691145,978144,098 Others

892,398889,322910,856850,944833,255769,211 Subtotal

381,370383,064369,448285,311322,451329,695 United States

1,273,7681,272,3861,280,3041,136,2551,155,7061,098,906 World Total

none

Domestic Consumption

14,13114,13113,49512,05010,51011,033 Argentina

59,90359,90358,37855,80353,65352,548 Brazil

20,52020,52022,57120,25720,28521,201 Canada

231,825235,000227,600209,671196,192188,448 China

14,67814,67814,08012,90512,73613,332 Egypt

13,35013,35013,70012,15011,85010,700 Ethiopia

160,570159,670163,595153,095151,460154,642 European Union

35,45035,45037,40035,27537,75038,850 India

18,49018,60017,79018,03017,99018,875 Japan

41,94040,94040,88536,19537,98539,785 Mexico

18,65018,65019,25018,70017,32120,670 Nigeria

32,30032,30028,51925,13427,72818,131 Russia

12,44812,44812,15011,63511,25011,206 South Africa

13,98013,98013,43013,00511,75511,075 Turkey

16,56016,06016,22714,66115,55913,772 Ukraine

231,379231,919224,469217,745213,699206,980 Others

940,485941,482931,722860,429866,235832,032 Subtotal

314,656314,768307,380275,537288,810297,492 United States

1,255,1411,256,2501,239,1021,135,9661,155,0451,129,524 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

4,2434,4483,9532,4831,3375,597 Argentina

18,18317,68918,27814,5599,82110,836 Brazil

78,69378,46678,26868,38660,37050,134 China

18,69817,19215,37412,85215,57916,733 European Union

4,3344,1344,3344,2344,7344,138 Iran

3,7022,6993,6021,6241,8572,041 Mexico

3,9583,1583,3332,3302,4212,149 Ukraine

42,91642,42448,47638,82144,59343,954 Others

174,727170,210175,618145,289140,712135,582 Subtotal

53,92255,75734,40423,53127,81932,288 United States

228,649225,967210,022168,820168,531167,870 World Total

November 2014

Regional Coarse Grains Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

Oct

2014/15

Nov

2014/15

TY Imports none

14,265 North America 16,725 14,647 15,354 15,285 15,086

2,900 Central America 2,769 2,470 3,026 3,200 3,200

2,193 Caribbean 2,159 2,327 2,386 2,510 2,510

10,536 South America 11,968 11,804 13,436 13,300 13,300

8,635 European Union - 28 6,908 11,766 16,370 7,155 6,155

1,133 Former Soviet Union - 12 1,038 725 720 780 780

18,690 Middle East 23,348 24,922 25,720 26,755 26,840

12,349 North Africa 15,320 13,037 18,655 16,490 16,490


33,888 East Asia 38,040 36,163 45,198 43,870 44,185

7,558 Southeast Asia 7,317 8,058 10,550 9,280 9,280

876 Others 1,019 947 1,075 1,080 1,080

115,067 Total 129,849 129,543 155,425 142,755 141,956

Production none

381,589 North America 371,061 338,619 430,283 434,954 434,460

106,037 South America 117,970 135,044 129,974 123,201 122,701

142,829 European Union - 28 149,881 145,888 158,427 163,738 167,094

9,996 Other Europe 9,497 6,584 9,478 9,781 9,816


19,574 Middle East 20,398 18,232 20,767 16,478 16,563

12,159 North Africa 11,142 10,129 11,659 10,689 10,989


185,731 East Asia 200,748 214,647 227,518 226,108 223,108

50,624 South Asia 50,314 48,598 51,738 46,358 46,358

26,374 Southeast Asia 28,379 29,138 30,810 31,676 31,676

12,030 Oceania 12,813 12,082 13,011 11,867 11,867

4,586 Others 4,789 4,869 4,868 4,868 4,868

1,098,906 Total 1,155,706 1,136,255 1,280,304 1,272,386 1,273,768


358,478 North America 347,080 331,989 370,836 376,228 377,116

84,079 South America 85,283 89,413 94,304 97,596 97,496

154,642 European Union - 28 151,460 153,095 163,595 159,670 160,570

8,714 Other Europe 8,374 7,104 7,906 8,196 8,196


38,540 Middle East 40,949 42,798 44,921 45,951 45,911

25,390 North Africa 25,266 24,936 27,400 29,360 29,160


221,781 East Asia 228,692 243,025 262,046 270,361 267,276

46,064 South Asia 45,658 43,484 46,177 44,429 44,429

33,139 Southeast Asia 34,612 35,867 37,811 39,240 39,240

7,495 Oceania 6,518 6,132 6,193 6,517 6,517

9,698 Others 9,692 9,634 10,144 10,423 10,423

1,128,740 Total 1,136,533 1,141,848 1,230,919 1,252,367 1,250,830

Ending Stocks none

37,878 North America 33,066 28,239 42,604 61,719 60,687

20,479 South America 14,043 19,336 24,788 24,741 24,998

16,733 European Union - 28 15,579 12,852 15,374 17,192 18,698

1,455 Other Europe 1,023 611 1,192 1,127 1,162


8,157 Middle East 10,578 9,628 11,676 9,819 9,818

4,784 North Africa 5,447 3,456 5,626 3,623 4,325


53,420 East Asia 63,410 71,061 81,698 81,345 81,590

3,086 South Asia 2,974 2,819 4,085 2,879 2,879

3,508 Southeast Asia 3,061 3,225 4,180 4,077 4,276

1,583 Oceania 978 915 698 733 708

793 Others 792 752 854 979 979

167,870 Total 168,531 168,820 210,022 225,967 228,649



November 2014

World Corn Trade


2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

Oct

2014/15

Nov

none

TY Exports

12,50013,50012,80822,78916,50115,198 Argentina

22,00022,50022,04126,04412,67411,582 Brazil

600600600550200175 Burma

2,5002,5002,4002,1933,2871,096 European Union

2,5002,5003,9004,7684,6743,376 India

1,9001,9002,7142,8582,1881,201 Paraguay

3,0003,0004,1001,9172,02737 Russia

2,5002,5001,8006012,3312,004 Serbia

2,5002,5002,3002,3981,8312,839 South Africa

16,50016,00020,00012,72615,1575,008 Ukraine

4,0404,0406,2275,4074,4644,031 Others

70,54071,54078,89082,25165,33446,547 Subtotal

44,50044,50050,70718,26238,38945,162 United States

115,040116,040129,597100,513103,72391,709 World Total

none

TY Imports

3,4003,4004,2002,9093,2032,683 Algeria

800800846871937287 Brazil

1,3001,3001,500844906526 Chile

2,5003,0003,2772,7025,231979 China

4,2004,2004,3333,2643,2093,511 Colombia

900900900911746838 Cuba

1,2001,2001,1001,0461,054999 Dominican Republic

7,5007,5008,5005,0597,1545,803 Egypt

6,0007,00016,00011,3516,1137,385 European Union

850850750678691676 Guatemala

2,6002,6003,5002,7191,7243,041 Indonesia

5,5005,3005,5003,7004,0003,500 Iran

1,5001,5001,7001,2241,2211,029 Israel

15,40015,50015,12114,41214,89215,648 Japan

9,6009,50010,4068,1747,6368,107 Korea, South

3,4003,4003,4003,0483,3092,809 Malaysia

10,90010,90010,9545,67611,1728,252 Mexico

2,2002,2002,2001,6841,9431,738 Morocco

2,3002,3002,3002,2541,7721,939 Peru

2,9002,9002,6002,0631,8161,933 Saudi Arabia

4,2004,2004,4004,2324,3414,134 Taiwan

9009001,000846853677 Tunisia

2,5002,5001,2501,656729453 Turkey

2,6002,6002,6002,1462,5961,251 Venezuela

2,0002,0002,2001,7001,6001,000 Vietnam

12,16012,28511,6799,39311,56511,099 Others

109,310110,735122,21694,562100,41390,297 Subtotal

5,0804,6556,6541,6862,545728 Unaccounted

6506507274,265765684 United States

115,040116,040129,597100,513103,72391,709 World Total


November 2014

World Corn Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

Oct

2014/15

Nov

none

Production

23,00023,00025,00027,00021,00025,200 Argentina

75,00075,00079,30081,50073,00057,400 Brazil

11,50011,50014,20013,06011,35912,043 Canada

214,000217,000218,490205,614192,780177,245 China

6,5006,5006,6746,1586,0694,895 Ethiopia

73,05471,01664,19058,86668,11858,265 European Union

21,00021,00024,19022,26021,76021,730 India

9,2009,2009,1008,5008,8506,800 Indonesia

23,00022,50022,96021,59118,72621,058 Mexico

7,5007,5007,7007,6309,2508,800 Nigeria

7,9007,9007,5327,2617,1307,271 Philippines

12,00012,00011,6358,2136,9623,075 Russia

6,8506,8506,4003,7506,4006,800 Serbia

13,50013,50014,75012,36512,75910,924 South Africa

27,00025,00030,90020,92222,83811,919 Ukraine

93,35193,54692,45090,08488,36886,329 Others

624,355623,012635,471594,774575,369519,754 Subtotal

365,965367,680353,715273,192312,789315,618 United States

990,320990,692989,186867,966888,158835,372 World Total

none

Total Consumption

9,2009,2008,7007,9007,0007,300 Argentina

56,50056,50055,00052,50050,50049,500 Brazil

12,00012,00012,80711,60511,63611,761 Canada

216,000220,000212,000200,000188,000180,000 China

13,80013,80013,20012,00011,70012,500 Egypt

76,50075,50076,00069,60069,50064,900 European Union

19,50019,50019,50017,50017,20018,100 India

12,00012,00011,90010,90010,5009,800 Indonesia

15,40015,50015,10014,50014,90015,700 Japan

10,1009,9009,9008,4817,8158,214 Korea, South

33,25032,75031,70027,00029,00029,500 Mexico

8,4008,4008,0007,4007,4007,200 Philippines

9,0009,0007,5006,4004,7003,200 Russia

11,80011,80011,50011,00010,70010,650 South Africa

10,4009,4009,9008,1007,8006,500 Ukraine

152,632153,082148,143141,096140,387133,602 Others

669,279670,704658,587601,721605,779567,402 Subtotal

302,528302,401295,392262,973277,914284,549 United States

971,807973,105953,979864,694883,693851,951 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

2,9302,6352,1201,3158994,041 Argentina

17,55017,05017,75014,1509,21210,278 Brazil

77,71577,33577,31567,57059,33549,415 China

6,9346,8966,8805,0906,6665,222 European Union

3,0862,8862,9862,4863,3862,790 Iran

2,8752,2612,7251,0611,3161,112 Mexico

2,8642,8643,3393,0643,6763,418 South Africa

26,54225,80728,48822,18924,90025,127 Others

140,496137,734141,603116,925109,390101,403 Subtotal

51,00852,85031,38820,85925,12228,644 United States

191,504190,584172,991137,784134,512130,047 World Total

November 2014

Regional Corn Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

Oct

2014/15

Nov

2014/15

TY Imports none

9,920 North America 12,684 10,434 12,352 12,250 12,250

2,889 Central America 2,766 2,470 3,025 3,200 3,200

8,372 South America 9,886 9,643 12,086 11,720 11,720

7,385 European Union - 28 6,113 11,351 16,000 7,000 6,000


9,942 Middle East 10,686 10,738 13,375 14,875 14,950

11,265 North Africa 13,799 11,145 16,550 14,700 14,700


29,024 East Asia 32,282 29,673 33,309 32,330 31,830

7,541 Southeast Asia 7,304 8,040 10,510 9,260 9,260

2,193 Caribbean 2,159 2,327 2,386 2,510 2,510

574 Others 590 677 715 735 735

90,981 Total 101,178 98,827 122,943 111,385 109,960

Production none

348,719 North America 342,874 307,843 390,875 401,680 400,465

93,105 South America 103,988 119,769 115,126 109,565 109,565

58,265 European Union - 28 68,118 58,866 64,190 71,016 73,054

8,291 Other Europe 7,810 4,915 7,733 8,031 8,066


6,448 Middle East 7,164 6,330 6,753 6,278 6,348

6,780 North Africa 5,722 5,891 6,001 5,951 5,951


178,955 East Asia 194,585 207,760 220,621 219,149 216,149

27,663 South Asia 28,536 29,705 31,830 28,660 28,660

3,549 Central America 3,698 3,740 3,743 3,743 3,743

26,135 Southeast Asia 28,138 28,893 30,565 31,431 31,431

1,168 Others 1,312 1,380 1,199 1,282 1,282

835,372 Total 888,158 867,966 989,186 990,692 990,320


325,810 North America 318,550 301,578 339,899 347,151 347,778

73,773 South America 74,971 78,381 82,970 85,820 85,720

64,900 European Union - 28 69,500 69,600 76,000 75,500 76,500

6,741 Other Europe 6,392 5,194 5,903 6,160 6,160


16,885 Middle East 17,348 18,131 19,010 21,335 21,285

18,525 North Africa 18,000 18,450 20,450 21,650 21,650


209,870 East Asia 217,047 229,434 243,380 251,885 247,985

23,981 South Asia 23,770 24,480 26,870 27,070 27,070

32,893 Southeast Asia 34,357 35,609 37,560 38,960 38,960

6,375 Central America 6,425 6,200 6,650 6,825 6,825

3,420 Others 3,369 3,556 3,581 3,735 3,735

852,976 Total 866,652 868,955 946,242 970,733 969,010

Ending Stocks none

31,019 North America 27,803 23,469 35,707 56,405 55,177

18,106 South America 12,708 17,413 22,077 21,889 22,652

5,222 European Union - 28 6,666 5,090 6,880 6,896 6,934

1,212 Other Europe 771 353 918 874 909


3,918 Middle East 4,548 3,491 4,299 4,012 4,217

2,102 North Africa 2,960 1,669 3,024 2,515 2,515


52,082 East Asia 61,836 69,729 80,257 79,744 80,151

1,549 South Asia 1,680 2,080 3,240 2,180 2,180

3,504 Southeast Asia 3,058 3,220 4,176 4,072 4,272

547 Central America 564 507 601 694 694

250 Others 241 275 269 291 291

130,047 Total 134,512 137,784 172,991 190,584 191,504



November 2014

World Barley Trade


2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

Oct

2014/15

Nov

none

TY Exports

2,0002,0002,8293,6473,6311,531 Argentina

4,3004,3006,2624,6215,8194,088 Australia

1,2001,0001,7141,3161,4371,052 Canada

6,7006,5004,8006,4733,6464,581 European Union

3003005005425230 India

400400500151659224 Kazakhstan

15151520510 Moldova

4,3004,3002,7002,3663,668969 Russia

25252526149 Serbia

2,7002,7003,7002,6592,1662,446 Ukraine

10104015112035 Others

21,95021,55023,08521,97221,21714,975 Subtotal

250250336163179222 United States

22,20021,80023,42122,13521,39615,197 World Total

none

TY Imports

600600700364479262 Algeria

100100502510025 Belarus

400400400369274362 Brazil

4,5004,0004,8912,1842,5411,656 China

275275275232301251 Colombia

1,0001,0009001,1001,700500 Iran

300300275244276287 Israel

1,3001,3001,2941,3561,2571,359 Japan

650650950831736544 Jordan

400400400388376317 Kuwait

550550500573183179 Libya

1001001054714426 Mexico

500500400147536222 Morocco

1001001001039783 Peru

100100125278372411 Russia

7,5007,5008,00010,2008,6006,200 Saudi Arabia

500500250300200300 Syria

100100400764218281 Tunisia

7507507502664639 Turkey

550550550541524334 United Arab Emirates

9359359089511,4281,259 Others

21,21020,71022,22321,26320,38814,897 Subtotal

390490676441538152 Unaccounted

600600522431470148 United States

22,20021,80023,42122,13521,39615,197 World Total


November 2014

World Barley Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

Oct

2014/15

Nov

none

Production

1,3001,0001,5001,5001,3501,500 Algeria

3,4003,4004,7505,0004,5002,950 Argentina

7,6007,6009,5457,4728,2217,995 Australia

2,1002,1001,6741,9171,9791,966 Belarus

7,2007,20010,2508,0127,8927,627 Canada

1,5501,5501,5001,6261,6371,972 China

1,8001,8001,9331,7821,5921,703 Ethiopia

59,76859,26159,63854,89651,88353,691 European Union

1,8101,8101,7501,6201,6601,350 India

3,2003,2003,2003,4002,9003,580 Iran

2,5002,6002,5391,5002,5931,313 Kazakhstan

1,7001,7002,7001,2002,3402,570 Morocco

19,50019,50015,38913,95216,9388,350 Russia

4,0004,0007,3005,5007,0005,900 Turkey

9,4009,4007,5616,9359,0988,484 Ukraine

9,0859,0709,3098,7488,5698,247 Others

135,913135,191140,538125,060130,152119,198 Subtotal

3,8493,9284,7194,7683,3703,924 United States

139,762139,119145,257129,828133,522123,122 World Total

none

Total Consumption

2,0502,2502,0502,0001,8001,600 Algeria

1,6001,6001,6001,3001,2001,135 Argentina

3,2003,2003,3003,0003,3004,200 Australia

2,1002,1001,8002,0002,1002,000 Belarus

6,8006,8007,7596,8096,9167,464 Canada

6,1005,6006,3004,0003,8004,050 China

1,8501,8501,9501,7251,6001,725 Ethiopia

51,20051,20053,40051,00051,20056,610 European Union

4,3004,3004,5004,6004,1003,900 Iran

2,1002,2002,0001,3751,8251,475 Kazakhstan

2,8002,8002,3001,9003,1003,050 Morocco

14,30014,30012,60012,10014,3009,500 Russia

8,3258,3258,4258,3257,2256,325 Saudi Arabia

6,0506,0506,9506,2006,7506,000 Turkey

4,9005,4005,1005,1006,3006,000 Ukraine

16,73416,73416,78916,13815,77814,894 Others

135,180135,630136,403127,043131,048131,683 Subtotal

4,6594,7684,7804,6384,1704,536 United States

139,839140,398141,183131,681135,218136,219 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

1,0443421,1941,1941,4351,236 Algeria

1,1491,3491,9249831,1951,502 Canada

7,8017,2445,6335,0926,0697,938 European Union

1,2481,2481,3481,7481,3481,348 Iran

1,9731,9739737268481,386 Russia

3,2863,4534,0963,0062,8141,323 Saudi Arabia

1,3881,0888838731,172794 Ukraine

5,3945,4437,0435,4346,4726,883 Others

23,28322,14023,09419,05621,35322,410 Subtotal

1,5201,4901,7861,7501,3061,945 United States

24,80323,63024,88020,80622,65924,355 World Total

11/10/2014 11:05:51 AM

November 2014

Regional Barley Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

Oct

2014/15

Nov

2014/15

TY Imports none

227 North America 620 499 636 725 725

922 South America 851 1,064 960 985 985

288 European Union - 28 364 52 75 50 50

189 Other Europe 209 127 175 175 175


8,604 Middle East 12,543 13,956 12,110 11,710 11,710

960 North Africa 1,458 1,885 2,050 1,775 1,775

77 Sub-Saharan Africa 105 57 100 80 80

3,107 East Asia 3,924 3,663 6,314 5,425 5,925

8 South Asia 68 7 30 30 30

15 Oceania 19 9 15 15 15

15,045 Total 20,858 21,694 22,745 21,310 21,810

Production none

12,223 North America 11,749 13,812 15,519 11,678 11,599

3,869 South America 5,530 6,084 5,880 4,545 4,545

53,691 European Union - 28 51,883 54,896 59,638 59,261 59,768

1,142 Other Europe 1,189 1,193 1,268 1,274 1,274


11,474 Middle East 11,691 10,302 12,449 8,635 8,650

4,546 North Africa 4,410 3,309 4,729 3,809 4,109


2,215 East Asia 1,939 1,928 1,810 1,852 1,852

1,990 South Asia 2,267 2,152 2,457 2,517 2,517

8,303 Oceania 8,538 7,911 9,953 8,010 8,010

123,122 Total 133,522 129,828 145,257 139,119 139,762


12,700 North America 11,786 12,347 13,239 12,268 12,159

2,936 South America 3,077 3,327 3,661 3,695 3,695

56,610 European Union - 28 51,200 51,000 53,400 51,200 51,200

1,339 Other Europe 1,366 1,298 1,423 1,422 1,422


19,884 Middle East 22,016 22,785 24,196 22,871 22,871

5,882 North Africa 6,186 5,555 5,980 6,778 6,578


5,772 East Asia 5,555 5,806 8,055 7,355 7,855

1,992 South Asia 2,197 2,063 1,912 2,068 2,068

4,550 Oceania 3,650 3,425 3,725 3,625 3,625

134,464 Total 135,464 132,210 141,603 139,477 139,068

Ending Stocks none

3,647 North America 2,621 3,014 3,941 3,020 2,850

818 South America 547 685 1,055 890 890

7,938 European Union - 28 6,069 5,092 5,633 7,244 7,801

193 Other Europe 204 227 221 223 223


4,162 Middle East 5,933 6,042 7,294 5,734 5,528

2,612 North Africa 2,426 1,720 2,528 1,027 1,729


680 East Asia 984 768 837 765 759

220 South Asia 281 144 255 259 259

1,040 Oceania 576 591 334 434 434

24,355 Total 22,659 20,806 24,880 23,630 24,803



November 2014

World Sorghum Trade


2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

Oct

2014/15

Nov

none

TY Exports

1,3001,3009533,0592,1631,893 Argentina

8008004051,4251,185575 Australia

757575757575 Ethiopia

50507523113231 India

505050507560 Nigeria

15015023012411334 Ukraine

30303026230 Uruguay

135135163149139147 Others

2,5902,5901,9815,1393,9052,815 Subtotal

5,6005,3005,8432,1361,5493,823 United States

8,1907,8907,8247,2755,4546,638 World Total

none

TY Imports

505050502530 Botswana

250250150404544729 Chile

4,6004,3004,161631844 China

250250150591592391 Colombia

1,5001,5001,1001,8971,4811,418 Japan

1001001001027411 Kenya

1003001621,7891,3692,379 Mexico

100100100127695 Saudi Arabia

200200100175125200 Sudan

1001001001168497 Taiwan

4154158067466261,462 Others

7,6657,5656,9796,6285,0736,726 Subtotal

524325842404378-89 Unaccounted

10324331 United States

8,1907,8907,8247,2755,4546,638 World Total


November 2014

World Sorghum Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

Oct

2014/15

Nov

none

Production

3,7004,2004,2004,7004,2004,400 Argentina

2,0002,0001,1072,2302,2391,935 Australia

2,4002,4002,4002,1022,2222,314 Brazil

1,9001,9001,9401,9241,5001,990 Burkina

1,1501,1501,1501,1001,1501,099 Cameroon

9009007451,172648680 Chad

2,7002,7002,7002,5562,0512,456 China

4,0004,0004,3383,6043,9513,960 Ethiopia

5,0005,0005,2505,3006,0307,000 India

1,3001,3008201,2121,1911,257 Mali

7,7007,0008,5006,1746,4257,385 Mexico

1,2001,2001,2871,3768071,300 Niger

6,3006,3006,5005,9436,9006,750 Nigeria

3,5003,5002,2494,5244,6052,630 Sudan

840840832839807800 Tanzania

6,9476,9447,0396,7327,0476,432 Others

51,53751,33451,05751,48851,77352,388 Subtotal

10,36210,2509,8826,2935,4108,775 United States

61,89961,58460,93957,78157,18361,163 World Total

none

Total Consumption

2,8002,8002,7002,3001,9001,900 Argentina

1,2051,2058051,1051,1051,405 Australia

2,3002,3002,3002,3002,1752,075 Brazil

1,9001,9001,9001,9001,5001,900 Burkina

1,1751,1751,1751,1101,1751,109 Cameroon

9009008501,150650700 Chad

7,2006,9006,8003,2002,2002,200 China

4,2004,2004,2003,7003,7003,700 Ethiopia

4,9004,9005,2005,1506,0006,800 India

1,5001,5001,1001,9001,4751,460 Japan

1,2001,2009501,2001,3001,300 Mali

7,8007,3008,3008,1008,1009,400 Mexico

1,3001,3001,3001,2009501,250 Niger

6,2506,2506,4505,9006,8006,700 Nigeria

3,7003,7002,5504,7004,5003,000 Sudan

8,6858,6858,5209,1659,4769,765 Others

57,61156,65855,81952,85654,51054,679 Subtotal

4,4444,5724,0254,7963,9165,277 United States

62,05561,23059,84457,65258,42659,956 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

7841,2841,084784167950 Argentina

461467361272472425 Brazil

451591376326366467 China

377377602439560354 Ethiopia

643251643281418724 Mexico

208208208208215190 Nigeria

377377382588609399 Sudan

1,4621,4601,3401,4821,2461,673 Others

4,7635,0154,9964,3804,0535,182 Subtotal

941954864385583697 United States

5,7045,9695,8604,7654,6365,879 World Total

November 2014

Regional Sorghum Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

Oct

2014/15

Nov

2014/15

TY Imports none

2,380 North America 1,372 2,032 165 300 101

1,218 South America 1,200 1,071 360 565 565

922 European Union - 28 126 291 200 50 50

0 Other Europe 0 0 0 0 0

121 Middle East 101 194 200 155 155

120 North Africa 54 0 45 5 5


1,523 East Asia 1,655 2,650 5,366 5,905 6,205

17 Southeast Asia 13 18 40 20 20

21 Others 14 11 16 10 10

6,727 Total 5,076 6,871 6,982 7,565 7,666

Production none

16,160 North America 11,835 12,467 18,382 17,250 18,062

287 Central America 312 339 335 335 335

128 Caribbean 128 128 128 128 128

7,351 South America 7,124 7,484 7,342 7,362 6,862

629 European Union - 28 671 495 615 713 716

853 Middle East 764 814 800 800 800

708 North Africa 847 763 763 763 763


2,460 East Asia 2,054 2,560 2,704 2,704 2,704

7,145 South Asia 6,175 5,445 5,395 5,145 5,145


1,935 Oceania 2,239 2,230 1,107 2,000 2,000

61 Others 176 208 250 180 180

61,163 Total 57,183 57,781 60,939 61,584 61,899


14,677 North America 12,016 12,896 12,325 11,872 12,244

300 Central America 320 325 335 335 335

128 Caribbean 128 128 128 128 128

5,739 South America 6,006 6,085 6,077 6,412 6,412

1,535 European Union - 28 760 795 795 770 770

962 Middle East 789 1,052 910 960 960

857 North Africa 908 756 794 756 756


3,764 East Asia 3,771 5,221 8,010 8,510 8,810

6,955 South Asia 6,155 5,305 5,359 5,055 5,055


1,405 Oceania 1,105 1,105 805 1,205 1,205

30 Others 55 80 25 30 30

59,941 Total 56,922 58,876 59,125 60,787 61,459

Ending Stocks none

1,421 North America 1,001 666 1,507 1,205 1,584

32 Central America 25 39 40 40 40

1,429 South America 695 1,107 1,526 1,852 1,346

21 European Union - 28 14 27 38 26 29

35 Middle East 56 65 58 53 53

69 North Africa 60 66 73 80 80


549 East Asia 451 413 462 676 536

327 South Asia 223 145 120 170 170

361 Oceania 230 195 147 142 142

9 Others 17 24 18 19 18

5,879 Total 4,636 4,765 5,860 5,969 5,704



November 2014

World Oats Trade


2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

Oct

2014/15

Nov

none

TY Exports

5551126 Argentina

225200235240174209 Australia

555639 Brazil

1,7001,7001,7281,3591,7631,496 Canada

1001005042106129 Chile

250250300126176113 European Union

1010104181 Russia

101010664 Others

2,3052,2802,3431,7842,2581,967 Subtotal


2,3352,3102,3711,8022,2862,004 World Total

none

TY Imports

000005 Albania

101010794 Algeria

000000 Argentina

555233 Bosnia and Herzegovina

10102691119 Canada

125100116876858 China

555112 Colombia

202020192211 Ecuador

555434 European Union

505046515464 Japan

100100110111134103 Mexico

40405036497 Norway

252525111115 South Africa

505050465649 Switzerland

5556811 Uruguay

00021312 Others

450425473392442367 Subtotal

1851853769114169 Unaccounted

1,7001,7001,8611,3411,7301,468 United States

2,3352,3102,3711,8022,2862,004 World Total


November 2014

World Oats Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

Oct

2014/15

Nov

none

Production

1101101101106788 Algeria

460460445496345660 Argentina

1,1501,1501,3261,1211,2621,128 Australia

450450352422448442 Belarus

380380380361354379 Brazil

2,6852,6853,8902,8123,1582,451 Canada

700700610680451564 Chile

600600580600600525 China

8,0188,0948,3807,9067,9277,500 European Union

250250305200258134 Kazakhstan

9090908451111 Mexico

236236236236231299 Norway

5,0005,0004,9324,0275,3323,218 Russia

210210210210218204 Turkey

580580467630506458 Ukraine

327327327315372296 Others

21,24621,32222,64020,21021,58018,457 Subtotal

1,0111,0239388927281,188 United States

22,25722,34523,57821,10222,30819,645 World Total

none

Total Consumption

1201201201197589 Algeria

475475425500350650 Argentina

1,0001,0001,0259251,100900 Australia

425425375400450475 Belarus

375375375350350370 Brazil

1,4501,4501,7301,5131,3611,530 Canada

600600575575325475 Chile

725700700675625625 China

7,8007,8008,2007,7007,8007,793 European Union

250250275225225130 Kazakhstan

190190185195185185 Mexico

295295270295270295 Norway

5,0005,0004,9004,3005,0003,450 Russia

215215215215215210 Turkey

575575475600500475 Ukraine

489489491451519467 Others

20,14420,11920,47919,13619,58918,124 Subtotal

2,6232,6242,7592,7432,4992,799 United States

22,76722,74323,23821,87922,08820,923 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

464666515776 Argentina

8611116160134146 Australia

5765761,031506805733 Canada

13514413513912784 China

740816767899796832 European Union

219219229203485167 Russia

676767815240 Ukraine

191198197206196169 Others

2,0602,1772,6532,1452,6522,247 Subtotal

442453359527797982 United States

2,5022,6303,0122,6723,4493,229 World Total

November 2014

Regional Oats Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

Oct

2014/15

Nov

2014/15

TY Imports none

1,590 North America 1,875 1,461 1,997 1,810 1,810

24 South America 31 26 30 30 30

4 European Union - 28 3 4 5 5 5

66 Other Europe 110 86 105 95 95


4 Middle East 4 0 0 0 0

4 North Africa 9 7 10 10 10


122 East Asia 122 138 162 150 175

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

1,835 Total 2,172 1,733 2,334 2,125 2,150

Production none

3,750 North America 3,937 3,788 4,918 3,798 3,786

1,644 South America 1,191 1,577 1,478 1,585 1,585

7,500 European Union - 28 7,927 7,906 8,380 8,094 8,018

428 Other Europe 373 369 370 369 369


204 Middle East 218 210 210 210 210

125 North Africa 163 166 166 166 166


527 East Asia 602 602 582 602 602

1,176 Oceania 1,291 1,139 1,357 1,180 1,180

19,645 Total 22,308 21,102 23,578 22,345 22,257


4,514 North America 4,045 4,451 4,674 4,264 4,263

1,563 South America 1,092 1,490 1,448 1,525 1,525

7,793 European Union - 28 7,800 7,700 8,200 7,800 7,800

486 Other Europe 478 474 453 487 487


210 Middle East 215 215 215 215 215

126 North Africa 172 175 176 176 176


685 East Asia 685 730 750 750 775

948 Oceania 1,129 943 1,056 1,030 1,030

20,918 Total 21,849 21,781 23,095 22,583 22,607

Ending Stocks none

1,720 North America 1,605 1,034 1,393 1,035 1,021

126 South America 93 131 130 110 110

832 European Union - 28 796 899 767 816 740

50 Other Europe 48 31 53 30 30


10 Middle East 17 12 7 2 2

1 North Africa 1 1 1 1 1


95 East Asia 134 144 138 153 140

146 Oceania 134 60 161 111 86

3,229 Total 3,449 2,672 3,012 2,630 2,502



November 2014

World Rye Trade


2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

Oct

2014/15

Nov

none

TY Exports

2525252525150 Belarus

10010096181159221 Canada


100100807828422 Russia

55601692 Ukraine

000043 Others

380380436422540469 Subtotal


385385442429548472 World Total

none

TY Imports


251535341119 Israel

4050372746101 Japan

101010121111 Korea, South

151515211112 Norway

252525250150 Russia

555922 Switzerland

000180 Others

170170217197391331 Subtotal

15152111-17-7 Unaccounted

200200204221174148 United States

385385442429548472 World Total


November 2014

World Rye Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

Oct

2014/15

Nov

none

Production

8008006481,082801735 Belarus

190190210337241237 Canada

70706062592 Chile

8,8439,22910,1888,7626,9007,576 European Union

3,5003,5003,3602,1322,9671,642 Russia

350350350370366365 Turkey

450450638676579464 Ukraine

163163168183181197 Others

14,36614,75215,62213,60412,09411,218 Subtotal

183183194166154190 United States

14,54914,93515,81613,77012,24811,408 World Total

none

Total Consumption

404052404540 Argentina

7507506501,000750650 Belarus

959590124101136 Canada

70706062592 Chile

8,9009,3009,7008,7007,4008,204 European Union

4050402555105 Japan

505040503040 Kazakhstan

3,5003,5003,1002,0002,8501,850 Russia

350350350375375350 Turkey

475475625625625650 Ukraine

128118138170142155 Others

14,38514,78514,84913,20512,40612,216 Subtotal

402403424387311331 United States

14,78715,18815,27313,59212,71712,547 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

16516514016711079 Belarus

444449462551 Canada

1,0311,0171,1887927451,013 European Union

666335 Kazakhstan

290290365153129250 Russia

181818182432 Turkey

9898128166132189 Ukraine

4747514 Others

1,6561,6451,8981,3521,1731,633 Subtotal


1,6671,6551,9051,3621,1841,653 World Total

November 2014

Regional Rye Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

Oct

2014/15

Nov

2014/15

TY Imports none

148 North America 174 221 204 200 200

0 South America 0 0 0 0 0

36 European Union - 28 302 68 90 50 50

14 Other Europe 13 31 20 20 20


19 Middle East 14 34 35 15 25


112 East Asia 57 39 47 60 50

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

479 Total 565 418 421 370 370

Production none

427 North America 395 503 404 373 373

45 South America 107 105 115 113 113

7,576 European Union - 28 6,900 8,762 10,188 9,229 8,843

76 Other Europe 62 47 47 47 47


365 Middle East 366 370 350 350 350


0 East Asia 0 0 0 0 0

33 Oceania 40 40 20 20 20

11,408 Total 12,248 13,770 15,816 14,935 14,549


467 North America 412 511 514 498 497

45 South America 107 105 115 113 113

8,204 European Union - 28 7,400 8,700 9,700 9,300 8,900

89 Other Europe 75 78 67 67 67


369 Middle East 386 409 385 365 375


116 East Asia 66 37 50 60 50

30 Oceania 40 40 20 20 20

12,513 Total 12,743 13,558 15,269 15,201 14,800

Ending Stocks none

71 North America 36 56 56 54 55

0 South America 0 0 0 0 0

1,013 European Union - 28 745 792 1,188 1,017 1,031

0 Other Europe 0 0 0 0 0


32 Middle East 24 18 18 18 18


14 East Asia 5 7 4 7 4

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

1,653 Total 1,184 1,362 1,905 1,655 1,667



November 2014

HISTORICAL DATA SERIES FOR SELECTED REGIONS AND COUNTRIES

CONTENTS

European Union: Grain Supply and Demand ............................................... 37 China: Grain Supply and Demand ................................................................ 38 Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand .................................................... 39 Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand ........................................ 40 Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................ 44 Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................... 46 Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................ 48 Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ............................ 49

U.S. Grains: Supply and Distribution……………………………. .... ……..50 Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand ................................. 51 World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand ............................... 52 World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand .............................................. 53 World Rice: Supply and Demand ................................................................. 54

DG F/SA &F


36 November 2014

European Union: Grain Supply and Demand

Wheat and Coarse Grains Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Production Imports Exports Feed Dom.

Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

111.4 115.852.59.97.44.524.5 2003/04 12.0

147.7 123.959.314.77.15.626.2 2004/05 28.3

132.9 128.263.015.76.85.126.0 2005/06 24.0

125.7 126.260.213.95.25.124.7 2006/07 14.8

120.8 117.252.412.46.84.924.9 2007/08 12.8

151.9 127.660.525.47.75.726.8 2008/09 19.4

139.7 125.657.522.35.45.426.0 2009/10 16.6

136.7 122.852.523.14.65.326.0 2010/11 11.9

138.2 127.257.516.77.45.325.8 2011/12 13.5

133.9 119.351.022.75.35.225.9 2012/13 10.7

143.1 115.848.031.94.05.625.8 2013/14 10.2

155.4 126.057.528.05.05.826.8 2014/15 16.6

Coarse Grains

134.1 147.7111.94.08.24.033.2 2003/04 13.6

169.1 155.2118.94.83.05.033.9 2004/05 25.6

149.5 150.7112.44.32.74.533.2 2005/06 22.8

140.0 150.6112.94.58.14.332.4 2006/07 15.6

138.7 157.1121.64.520.34.332.6 2007/08 13.0

164.9 154.2116.15.73.14.834.0 2008/09 21.3

157.5 152.4114.83.02.94.832.9 2009/10 26.2

142.8 154.6116.96.28.54.730.2 2010/11 16.7

149.9 151.5113.26.57.05.030.2 2011/12 15.6

145.9 153.1113.77.411.84.731.3 2012/13 12.9

158.4 163.6121.98.616.35.131.3 2013/14 15.4

167.1 160.6118.49.46.25.431.0 2014/15 18.7

Wheat and Coarse Grains

245.5 263.5164.313.915.64.357.7 2003/04 25.6

316.8 279.1178.219.510.05.360.1 2004/05 53.9

282.3 278.9175.420.09.44.859.1 2005/06 46.8

265.7 276.8173.118.513.24.757.0 2006/07 30.4

259.5 274.2174.116.927.14.557.5 2007/08 25.9

316.8 281.8176.631.110.85.260.9 2008/09 40.6

297.3 278.0172.325.38.25.058.9 2009/10 42.8

279.5 277.5169.429.313.15.056.2 2010/11 28.7

288.1 278.7170.723.314.35.156.0 2011/12 29.1

279.7 272.3164.730.017.14.957.3 2012/13 23.6

301.6 279.3169.940.620.35.357.1 2013/14 25.5

322.5 286.6175.937.411.25.657.8 2014/15 35.3

November 2014

China: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

86.5 104.56.02.83.73.922.0 2003/04 43.3

92.0 102.04.01.26.74.321.6 2004/05 38.8

97.4 101.53.51.41.14.322.8 2005/06 34.5

108.5 102.04.02.80.44.623.6 2006/07 38.6

109.3 106.08.02.80.04.623.7 2007/08 39.1

112.5 105.58.00.70.54.823.6 2008/09 45.8

115.1 107.010.00.91.44.724.3 2009/10 54.4

115.2 110.513.00.90.94.724.3 2010/11 59.1

117.4 122.524.01.02.94.824.3 2011/12 55.9

121.0 125.025.01.03.05.024.3 2012/13 54.0

121.9 121.521.00.96.85.124.1 2013/14 60.3

126.0 124.023.01.01.75.224.1 2014/15 63.0

Coarse Grains

124.0 138.399.17.71.54.626.8 2003/04 45.9

138.3 141.1100.37.62.14.928.0 2004/05 37.6

147.8 147.1103.53.82.35.128.8 2005/06 36.8

159.1 153.6104.95.51.25.130.9 2006/07 38.0

159.2 157.9106.70.91.25.031.9 2007/08 39.5

172.4 161.2109.10.21.75.432.2 2008/09 52.2

169.8 173.3119.10.23.85.133.4 2009/10 52.3

183.8 188.4128.80.22.75.334.6 2010/11 50.1

198.6 196.2132.00.17.95.635.5 2011/12 60.4

212.2 209.7146.10.15.65.737.1 2012/13 68.4

225.1 227.6161.80.012.45.938.4 2013/14 78.3

220.7 231.8165.80.111.75.738.9 2014/15 78.7


210.5 242.8105.110.55.34.348.8 2003/04 89.2

230.2 243.1104.38.88.84.649.6 2004/05 76.4

245.2 248.6107.05.23.44.751.6 2005/06 71.3

267.6 255.6108.98.21.54.954.5 2006/07 76.6

268.5 263.9114.73.71.24.855.6 2007/08 78.6

284.9 266.7117.10.92.15.155.8 2008/09 98.0

284.9 280.3129.11.15.24.957.6 2009/10 106.7

299.0 298.9141.81.13.65.158.9 2010/11 109.2

316.0 318.7156.01.110.95.359.8 2011/12 116.3

333.2 334.7171.11.18.65.461.3 2012/13 122.3

347.0 349.1182.80.919.25.662.5 2013/14 138.5

346.7 355.8188.81.113.45.563.0 2014/15 141.7

November 2014

Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

2.8 4.50.60.01.42.71.0 2003/04 0.7

4.6 5.20.90.31.44.31.1 2004/05 1.3

3.8 5.10.90.21.43.81.0 2005/06 1.1

3.5 4.60.70.31.53.61.0 2006/07 1.2

3.7 4.81.00.51.93.81.0 2007/08 1.5

4.0 5.11.20.41.74.40.9 2008/09 1.7

3.8 5.01.10.51.73.91.0 2009/10 1.7

3.2 4.70.90.61.63.70.9 2010/11 1.2

3.6 4.91.00.51.94.20.9 2011/12 1.3

3.5 4.71.00.71.64.10.9 2012/13 1.0

4.4 4.91.21.31.84.61.0 2013/14 1.1

3.9 4.91.20.91.94.40.9 2014/15 1.1

Coarse Grains

6.6 7.96.90.10.73.12.1 2003/04 0.7

10.4 9.58.40.60.55.02.1 2004/05 1.5

10.2 9.88.61.30.64.82.1 2005/06 1.3

9.9 9.78.60.90.84.92.0 2006/07 1.3

6.9 7.96.80.10.93.42.0 2007/08 1.1

9.7 8.77.61.50.64.62.1 2008/09 1.1

9.7 8.77.51.40.74.92.0 2009/10 1.4

10.0 8.77.32.00.75.02.0 2010/11 1.5

9.5 8.47.02.40.84.62.1 2011/12 1.0

6.6 7.15.90.60.73.22.1 2012/13 0.6

9.5 7.96.61.80.84.72.0 2013/14 1.2

9.8 8.26.92.50.94.82.0 2014/15 1.2


9.4 12.47.40.12.03.03.1 2003/04 1.4

15.1 14.89.30.91.94.83.2 2004/05 2.8

14.0 14.99.51.42.04.53.1 2005/06 2.4

13.4 14.39.31.22.34.53.0 2006/07 2.5

10.6 12.67.80.62.73.53.0 2007/08 2.6

13.7 13.88.81.92.34.63.0 2008/09 2.8

13.5 13.78.51.92.44.53.0 2009/10 3.2

13.2 13.48.12.62.44.62.9 2010/11 2.6

13.1 13.28.12.92.74.52.9 2011/12 2.4

10.1 11.86.91.32.43.42.9 2012/13 1.7

13.9 12.87.93.12.74.63.0 2013/14 2.3

13.7 13.18.13.42.84.72.9 2014/15 2.2

November 2014

Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

115.5 76.525.238.26.62.350.6 2008/09 21.9

114.0 78.326.537.35.42.252.6 2009/10 25.8

81.0 75.724.413.95.51.845.8 2010/11 22.7

115.0 80.028.339.78.02.349.7 2011/12 26.0

77.8 71.721.525.47.21.844.0 2012/13 13.9

103.9 73.122.937.17.42.247.7 2013/14 15.0

111.1 75.124.338.36.92.446.5 2014/15 19.6

Coarse Grains

79.2 58.141.517.20.72.630.2 2008/09 9.4

67.6 55.039.015.00.42.527.2 2009/10 7.4

47.5 41.828.48.81.22.221.9 2010/11 5.5

78.6 54.438.624.61.02.927.0 2011/12 6.2

68.2 50.235.619.90.72.527.5 2012/13 5.0

87.6 56.040.130.60.73.029.4 2013/14 6.8

89.8 60.144.028.90.83.029.7 2014/15 8.4

November 2014

Millions of Tons/Hectares

Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Wheat)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

ProductionYieldCountry Mktg Year

Former Soviet Union - 12

Kazakhstan

22.7 7.62.611.80.01.713.7 2011/12 6.2

9.8 6.82.06.30.00.812.4 2012/13 2.9

13.9 6.82.08.10.01.113.0 2013/14 2.0

12.0 6.71.95.30.21.011.7 2014/15 2.2

Russia

56.2 38.015.521.60.62.324.8 2011/12 10.9

37.7 33.611.911.31.21.821.3 2012/13 5.0

52.1 34.112.518.50.82.223.4 2013/14 5.2

59.0 35.013.022.50.22.523.8 2014/15 6.9

Ukraine

22.3 15.06.15.40.13.46.7 2011/12 5.4

15.8 11.43.17.20.02.85.6 2012/13 2.6

22.3 11.53.49.80.13.46.6 2013/14 3.7

24.5 12.04.010.00.13.96.3 2014/15 6.2

Uzbekistan

6.3 7.81.60.72.74.51.4 2011/12 1.4

6.7 8.01.70.41.94.81.4 2012/13 1.6

6.8 8.41.90.32.24.91.4 2013/14 1.9

7.2 8.72.00.31.85.11.4 2014/15 1.9

Other Former Soviet Union - 12

7.4 11.62.50.24.72.33.2 2011/12 2.2

7.8 12.02.80.34.12.43.2 2012/13 1.9

8.8 12.33.10.44.32.63.4 2013/14 2.2

8.5 12.73.40.24.62.53.3 2014/15 2.4

Total Former Soviet Union - 12

115.0 80.028.339.78.02.349.7 2011/12 26.0

77.8 71.721.525.47.21.844.0 2012/13 13.9

103.9 73.122.937.17.42.247.7 2013/14 15.0

111.1 75.124.338.36.92.446.5 2014/15 19.6

November 2014


Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Barley)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports



Kazakhstan

2.6 1.81.50.70.01.71.5 2011/12 0.2

1.5 1.41.20.20.00.91.6 2012/13 0.2

2.5 2.01.70.50.01.41.8 2013/14 0.2

2.5 2.11.80.40.01.31.9 2014/15 0.2

Russia

16.9 14.39.83.50.42.27.7 2011/12 0.8

14.0 12.17.72.20.31.87.6 2012/13 0.7

15.4 12.68.22.70.11.98.0 2013/14 1.0

19.5 14.39.54.30.12.48.2 2014/15 2.0

Ukraine

9.1 6.34.72.50.02.53.7 2011/12 1.2

6.9 5.13.52.10.02.13.3 2012/13 0.9

7.6 5.13.42.50.02.33.2 2013/14 0.9

9.4 4.93.34.00.02.93.2 2014/15 1.4

Uzbekistan

0.2 0.30.30.00.13.20.1 2011/12 0.0

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2012/13 0.0

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2013/14 0.0

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2014/15 0.0


3.4 3.52.70.00.22.61.3 2011/12 0.5

3.3 3.52.70.00.12.81.2 2012/13 0.4

3.4 3.52.70.00.12.51.4 2013/14 0.4

3.5 3.62.80.00.22.61.4 2014/15 0.4


32.2 26.319.06.70.72.314.3 2011/12 2.7

26.0 22.315.24.60.41.913.8 2012/13 2.2

29.2 23.516.25.70.32.014.5 2013/14 2.5

35.1 25.217.68.70.32.414.7 2014/15 4.0

November 2014


Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Corn)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports



Kazakhstan

0.5 0.50.40.00.05.00.1 2011/12 0.0

0.5 0.50.40.00.05.00.1 2012/13 0.0

0.6 0.60.50.00.05.30.1 2013/14 0.0

0.5 0.50.40.00.05.00.1 2014/15 0.0

Russia

7.0 4.74.02.00.04.31.6 2011/12 0.4

8.2 6.45.61.90.14.21.9 2012/13 0.3

11.6 7.56.64.10.15.02.3 2013/14 0.4

12.0 9.08.03.00.14.62.6 2014/15 0.4

Ukraine

22.8 7.86.515.20.06.43.5 2011/12 1.1

20.9 8.16.812.70.04.84.4 2012/13 1.2

30.9 9.98.520.00.16.44.8 2013/14 2.2

27.0 10.49.016.50.15.94.6 2014/15 2.4

Uzbekistan

0.2 0.20.20.00.04.60.0 2011/12 0.0

0.1 0.10.10.00.03.40.0 2012/13 0.0

0.1 0.10.10.00.03.40.0 2013/14 0.0

0.1 0.10.10.00.03.40.0 2014/15 0.0


3.7 3.32.90.30.24.00.9 2011/12 1.0

2.6 3.02.60.40.22.71.0 2012/13 0.5

3.7 3.43.00.40.33.81.0 2013/14 0.7

3.0 3.12.80.30.33.50.9 2014/15 0.5


34.1 16.414.017.50.35.56.2 2011/12 2.4

32.3 18.115.515.00.34.47.4 2012/13 2.0

46.9 21.418.724.60.45.78.3 2013/14 3.3

42.7 23.220.319.80.45.28.2 2014/15 3.4

November 2014

Million Metric Tons/Hectares

Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


Wheat Competitors

Argentina

16.3 5.40.110.70.02.66.2 2006/07 0.6

18.6 5.70.111.20.02.86.6 2007/08 2.4

11.0 5.30.06.80.02.15.3 2008/09 1.3

12.0 5.80.05.10.03.04.0 2009/10 2.3

17.2 6.00.19.50.03.64.8 2010/11 4.1

15.5 6.00.112.90.03.05.2 2011/12 0.7

9.3 6.20.33.60.02.63.6 2012/13 0.3

10.5 6.10.12.20.03.03.5 2013/14 2.5

12.0 6.20.16.00.02.94.1 2014/15 2.4

Australia

10.8 7.44.58.70.10.911.8 2006/07 4.2

13.6 6.63.57.50.11.112.6 2007/08 3.7

21.4 7.44.214.70.11.613.5 2008/09 3.1

21.8 5.21.914.80.11.613.9 2009/10 5.1

27.4 5.82.518.60.12.013.5 2010/11 8.2

29.9 6.53.224.70.12.213.9 2011/12 7.1

22.9 6.73.418.70.11.813.0 2012/13 4.7

27.0 7.03.618.60.22.013.5 2013/14 6.2

24.0 6.83.417.50.21.713.8 2014/15 6.1

Canada

25.3 9.04.519.40.32.69.7 2006/07 6.9

20.1 6.92.216.10.42.38.6 2007/08 4.4

28.6 7.83.118.90.42.910.0 2008/09 6.6

27.0 7.22.519.00.42.89.7 2009/10 7.7

23.3 7.62.716.60.42.88.3 2010/11 7.4

25.3 9.94.717.40.53.08.6 2011/12 5.9

27.2 9.64.419.00.52.99.5 2012/13 5.1

37.5 10.04.823.20.43.610.4 2013/14 9.8

27.5 9.84.522.00.53.09.3 2014/15 5.9

Total Wheat Competitors

52.4 21.79.138.90.41.927.7 2006/07 11.6

52.3 19.15.834.80.51.927.8 2007/08 10.5

61.0 20.67.340.40.52.128.8 2008/09 11.0

60.8 18.24.439.00.52.227.5 2009/10 15.1

November 2014


Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


67.9 19.35.344.70.62.526.6 2010/11 19.7

70.7 22.38.054.90.62.627.6 2011/12 13.7

59.4 22.58.141.20.62.326.1 2012/13 10.0

75.0 23.08.544.10.62.727.5 2013/14 18.6

63.5 22.88.045.50.62.327.2 2014/15 14.4

India

69.4 73.52.30.16.72.626.4 2006/07 4.5

75.8 76.42.50.02.02.728.0 2007/08 5.8

78.6 70.92.50.00.02.828.2 2008/09 13.4

80.7 78.22.80.10.22.927.8 2009/10 16.1

80.8 81.82.90.10.32.828.5 2010/11 15.4

86.9 81.43.10.90.03.029.1 2011/12 20.0

94.9 83.83.46.80.03.229.9 2012/13 24.2

93.5 94.04.85.90.03.130.0 2013/14 17.8

95.9 94.54.53.00.03.130.6 2014/15 16.3

Turkey

17.5 16.70.82.41.72.08.6 2006/07 1.3

15.5 16.80.81.72.22.07.7 2007/08 0.4

16.8 16.90.72.23.52.27.7 2008/09 1.5

18.5 17.10.84.33.22.47.8 2009/10 1.8

17.0 17.30.83.03.72.18.0 2010/11 2.2

18.8 18.11.43.73.82.47.7 2011/12 3.1

15.5 17.50.73.43.62.07.8 2012/13 1.2

18.0 17.80.94.44.02.37.7 2013/14 1.1

15.0 17.40.33.55.81.97.7 2014/15 1.0

November 2014


Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


Argentina

22.5 6.74.815.40.08.02.8 2006/07 1.7

22.0 6.84.914.80.06.53.4 2007/08 2.1

15.5 6.44.510.30.06.22.5 2008/09 0.9

25.0 6.95.016.50.08.33.0 2009/10 2.5

25.2 7.35.316.30.06.73.8 2010/11 4.0

21.0 7.04.817.10.05.83.6 2011/12 0.9

27.0 7.95.318.70.06.84.0 2012/13 1.3

25.0 8.75.815.50.07.43.4 2013/14 2.1

23.0 9.26.113.00.07.13.3 2014/15 2.9

Brazil

51.0 41.034.510.81.43.614.0 2006/07 3.6

58.6 42.536.07.80.74.014.7 2007/08 12.6

51.0 45.538.57.11.13.614.1 2008/09 12.1

56.1 47.040.011.60.44.312.9 2009/10 10.0

57.4 49.542.58.40.84.213.8 2010/11 10.3

73.0 50.543.024.30.84.815.2 2011/12 9.2

81.5 52.544.524.90.95.215.8 2012/13 14.2

79.3 55.046.021.50.85.115.7 2013/14 17.8

75.0 56.547.519.50.85.015.0 2014/15 17.6

China

151.6 145.0104.05.30.05.328.5 2006/07 36.6

152.3 150.0106.00.50.05.229.5 2007/08 38.4

165.9 153.0108.00.20.05.629.9 2008/09 51.2

164.0 165.0118.00.21.35.331.2 2009/10 51.3

177.2 180.0128.00.11.05.532.5 2010/11 49.4

192.8 188.0131.00.15.25.733.5 2011/12 59.3

205.6 200.0144.00.12.75.935.0 2012/13 67.6

218.5 212.0154.00.03.36.036.3 2013/14 77.3

214.0 216.0158.00.12.55.836.8 2014/15 77.7

South Africa

7.3 8.64.40.51.12.52.9 2006/07 1.7

13.2 9.64.32.20.04.03.3 2007/08 3.1

12.6 9.94.31.70.04.32.9 2008/09 4.1

13.4 10.34.62.10.04.13.3 2009/10 5.2

10.9 10.75.02.40.43.82.9 2010/11 3.4

12.8 10.75.01.80.04.13.1 2011/12 3.7

November 2014


Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


12.4 11.05.12.10.13.83.2 2012/13 3.1

14.8 11.55.43.00.04.83.1 2013/14 3.3

13.5 11.85.62.20.04.23.2 2014/15 2.9

Total Corn Competitors

232.4 201.3147.731.92.64.848.2 2006/07 43.5

246.1 208.9151.225.30.84.850.9 2007/08 56.2

245.0 214.8155.319.31.25.049.4 2008/09 68.3

258.5 229.2167.630.31.75.150.4 2009/10 68.9

270.8 247.5180.827.32.25.152.9 2010/11 67.2

299.5 256.2183.843.46.05.455.5 2011/12 73.1

326.5 271.4198.945.83.75.658.1 2012/13 86.1

337.5 287.2211.240.04.15.858.5 2013/14 100.5

325.5 293.5217.234.83.35.658.3 2014/15 101.1

November 2014


Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


Australia

4.3 4.02.91.90.01.04.2 2006/07 1.0

7.2 3.12.13.40.01.54.9 2007/08 1.7

8.0 4.02.93.20.01.65.0 2008/09 2.4

7.9 4.53.33.90.01.84.4 2009/10 1.9

8.0 4.23.04.70.02.23.7 2010/11 1.0

8.2 3.32.15.40.02.23.7 2011/12 0.5

7.5 3.01.84.50.02.13.6 2012/13 0.5

9.5 3.32.06.50.02.43.9 2013/14 0.3

7.6 3.21.94.30.02.03.8 2014/15 0.4

Canada

9.6 10.28.81.20.03.03.2 2006/07 1.5

10.9 7.86.43.00.12.84.0 2007/08 1.6

11.8 8.97.61.50.03.43.5 2008/09 3.0

9.5 8.77.51.30.03.32.9 2009/10 2.5

7.6 7.56.31.20.03.22.4 2010/11 1.5

7.9 6.95.71.30.03.32.4 2011/12 1.2

8.0 6.85.71.40.02.92.8 2012/13 1.0

10.3 7.86.61.60.03.92.7 2013/14 1.9

7.2 6.85.61.20.03.42.1 2014/15 1.1

European Union

56.4 55.938.93.40.24.113.9 2006/07 5.8

57.8 54.538.93.80.34.213.9 2007/08 5.7

65.8 57.341.73.60.34.514.6 2008/09 11.0

62.4 56.841.71.10.14.514.0 2009/10 15.6

53.7 56.641.34.90.24.312.5 2010/11 7.9

51.9 51.235.83.00.54.311.9 2011/12 6.1

54.9 51.035.54.90.14.412.5 2012/13 5.1

59.6 53.438.05.70.04.812.4 2013/14 5.6

59.8 51.235.56.50.14.812.4 2014/15 7.8

November 2014


Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


Argentina

2.8 1.71.51.10.04.70.6 2006/07 0.2

2.9 1.21.01.20.04.70.6 2007/08 0.7

1.7 1.11.01.10.03.70.5 2008/09 0.2

3.6 1.91.71.80.04.80.8 2009/10 0.2

4.4 1.91.71.70.04.41.0 2010/11 1.0

4.2 1.91.73.10.04.21.0 2011/12 0.2

4.7 2.32.01.80.04.51.1 2012/13 0.8

4.2 2.72.31.20.04.21.0 2013/14 1.1

3.7 2.82.51.20.04.40.9 2014/15 0.8

Australia

1.3 1.21.20.10.02.10.6 2006/07 0.0

3.8 2.22.20.80.04.00.9 2007/08 0.8

2.7 1.81.81.00.03.50.8 2008/09 0.7

1.5 1.21.20.30.03.00.5 2009/10 0.7

1.9 1.41.40.90.03.10.6 2010/11 0.4

2.2 1.11.11.30.03.40.7 2011/12 0.2

2.2 1.11.11.20.03.40.6 2012/13 0.2

1.1 0.80.80.40.02.20.5 2013/14 0.1

2.0 1.21.20.80.03.00.7 2014/15 0.1

November 2014

U.S. Grains Supply and Distribution: Wheat, Corn, Sorghum, Barley, Oats, Rye, and Rice (Working Statistics)

Thousand Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Rough

Production

Production Imports TY Imports Exports TY Exports Feed Dom.

Consumption

Domestic

Consumption

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

19,53837,76810,06627,73427,5443,4423,34161,298nr319,732 2012/13

16,04534,1746,19231,49732,0124,7674,58858,105nr318,345 2013/14

17,53333,0944,89925,50025,1744,4004,62755,129nr318,770 2014/15

Corn

20,859262,973109,60318,26218,5454,2654,063273,192nr835,356 2012/13

31,388295,392130,35850,70748,703727909353,715nr1035,478 2013/14

51,008302,528136,53144,50044,452650635365,965nr1133,628 2014/15

Sorghum

3854,7962,3772,1361,9382432436,293nr32,021 2012/13

8644,0252,2475,8435,380329,882nr42,643 2013/14

9414,4442,4135,6005,8421110,362nr42,499 2014/15

Barley

1,7504,6381,2631631934315074,768nr41,325 2012/13

1,7864,7801,4063363115224084,719nr41,230 2013/14

1,5204,6591,3062502186007623,849nr4989 2014/15

Oats

5272,7431,64018201,3411,601892nr2407 2012/13

3592,7591,67128231,8611,676938nr2408 2013/14

4422,6231,50630291,7001,7241,011nr2416 2014/15

Rye

1038714878221228166nr2101 2012/13

742418467204234194nr2113 2013/14

1140216056200229183nr2104 2014/15

Rice, Milled

1,1563,779nr3,2933,3856756696,3489,06981,084 2012/13

1,0253,994nr3,1002,9857307336,1158,6139999 2013/14

1,3084,191nr3,4003,2626706677,06910,02791,178 2014/15

Notes: Wheat Trade Year (TY) statistics are on July/June years. Barley, corn, sorghum, rye and oats Trade Year (TY) statistics

are on Oct/Sept years. Rice Trade Year (TY) statistics are for the subsequent calendar year; 'Imports' and 'Exports' columns

contain data on the local marketing year: wheat, barley, oats and rye are June/May; corn and sorghum are Sept/Aug; rice is

Aug/July.

November 2014

Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand

Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Production TY Exports Feed Dom.

Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks


1,328.5 420.61,247.9614.5165.22.3570.5 1985/86

1,347.9 469.21,299.4645.6174.72.4565.2 1986/87

1,285.9 423.11,329.8656.5202.22.4544.3 1987/88

1,218.1 339.31,302.0619.4203.32.2541.9 1988/89

1,327.4 320.51,346.2644.4208.92.4548.2 1989/90

1,417.7 368.71,369.5668.7190.12.6545.7 1990/91

1,355.7 359.51,364.9651.4207.52.5543.3 1991/92

1,431.6 399.21,389.1663.0205.22.6545.7 1992/93

1,356.1 366.11,389.3655.7188.22.5535.9 1993/94

1,392.5 362.71,395.8668.9200.12.6534.0 1994/95

1,338.5 319.41,381.9640.1187.52.5527.1 1995/96

1,490.3 367.11,442.6672.9198.32.7546.0 1996/97

1,491.6 414.41,444.2683.9190.32.8535.2 1997/98

1,481.8 447.91,448.3683.3198.72.8520.3 1998/99

1,465.3 444.51,468.2689.0214.02.9506.2 1999/00

1,447.3 419.41,472.4699.1205.02.8509.4 2000/01

1,481.0 404.11,496.4712.2208.42.9511.8 2001/02

1,444.4 342.21,506.3710.1209.32.9502.6 2002/03

1,471.8 278.61,535.4716.0206.02.9510.6 2003/04

1,642.6 335.71,585.5754.5214.53.2514.1 2004/05

1,599.9 319.91,615.7755.1222.63.1516.4 2005/06

1,585.0 275.31,629.6747.0230.03.1516.7 2006/07

1,692.5 293.81,674.0760.1244.93.2533.8 2007/08

1,792.2 363.01,723.1772.0253.63.3538.9 2008/09

1,804.2 399.71,767.5779.2254.23.4533.2 2009/10

1,748.5 365.31,782.9771.2250.23.3522.7 2010/11

1,851.5 364.71,852.0804.6287.23.4538.2 2011/12

1,794.2 343.61,815.3806.6279.23.4532.1 2012/13

1,995.0 395.71,942.9869.6325.83.7543.5 2013/14

1,993.6 421.51,967.8897.0303.43.7538.5 2014/15

Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July/June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the

present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.

November 2014

World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

562.6 177.9547.7111.6113.22.5222.1 1992/93

558.5 183.4553.0109.6101.72.5221.0 1993/94

523.0 164.2542.1101.4101.52.5213.3 1994/95

537.5 155.7546.195.299.22.5216.7 1995/96

581.4 163.6573.499.6104.02.6227.1 1996/97

610.2 197.3576.6103.8104.52.7226.4 1997/98

590.4 209.5578.3106.9102.02.7219.2 1998/99

586.8 210.9585.4102.9111.92.8212.5 1999/00

583.3 207.3586.9109.2102.22.7215.6 2000/01

583.8 204.4586.6110.0108.02.7214.5 2001/02

569.6 169.8604.2113.9106.62.7213.4 2002/03

555.3 135.6589.599.8103.62.7207.6 2003/04

626.7 156.3606.0108.5113.32.9215.8 2004/05

618.9 154.0621.1115.0114.22.8217.6 2005/06

596.5 134.1616.5110.8115.42.8211.6 2006/07

612.7 129.0617.7102.5116.22.8217.1 2007/08

683.9 168.6644.3122.5143.23.1224.2 2008/09

686.8 201.2654.2121.0135.43.0225.4 2009/10

649.6 197.4653.4114.9134.13.0216.7 2010/11

695.8 196.2697.0146.6153.83.2220.7 2011/12

657.9 174.8679.3137.1147.13.0216.3 2012/13

714.7 185.7703.8130.2162.13.2220.8 2013/14

719.9 192.9712.7139.9155.23.3221.4 2014/15

Coarse Grains

868.9 221.3841.4551.491.92.7323.6 1992/93

797.7 182.7836.3546.186.52.5314.9 1993/94

869.5 198.5853.7567.698.62.7320.7 1994/95

801.0 163.7835.8544.988.32.6310.3 1995/96

908.9 203.4869.2573.394.32.9318.8 1996/97

881.3 217.1867.7580.085.82.9308.8 1997/98

891.3 238.5870.0576.496.73.0301.1 1998/99

878.5 233.6882.8586.0102.13.0293.7 1999/00

864.0 212.2885.5589.9102.82.9293.8 2000/01

897.2 199.6909.7602.2100.43.0297.4 2001/02

874.8 172.4902.0596.1102.73.0289.1 2002/03

916.6 143.0945.9616.2102.33.0303.0 2003/04

1,015.9 179.4979.5646.0101.23.4298.3 2004/05

981.0 165.9994.5640.1108.43.3298.7 2005/06

988.5 141.21,013.2636.1114.53.2305.1 2006/07

1,079.8 164.91,056.2657.5128.73.4316.7 2007/08

1,108.3 194.41,078.8649.5110.43.5314.7 2008/09

1,117.4 198.51,113.3658.2118.83.6307.8 2009/10

1,098.9 167.91,129.5656.3116.03.6306.0 2010/11

1,155.7 168.51,155.0658.0133.43.6317.5 2011/12

1,136.3 168.81,136.0669.5132.23.6315.8 2012/13

1,280.3 210.01,239.1739.4163.74.0322.7 2013/14

1,273.8 228.61,255.1757.1148.24.0317.1 2014/15

Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July/June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the

present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.

November 2014

World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Corn

535.6 162.7512.1348.762.64.0133.1 1992/93

475.8 129.4509.0342.057.43.6130.7 1993/94

559.3 153.3535.4371.671.94.1135.2 1994/95

516.4 133.3536.4365.364.83.8135.0 1995/96

592.8 166.3559.8387.966.64.2141.5 1996/97

574.4 167.2573.5401.163.14.2136.3 1997/98

605.8 191.4581.6404.868.74.4138.9 1998/99

608.4 194.4605.4423.172.04.4139.0 1999/00

591.8 175.3610.9427.975.94.3137.1 2000/01

601.8 151.5625.6436.972.74.4137.3 2001/02

603.9 126.9628.5434.076.84.4137.4 2002/03

627.4 104.7649.6446.479.04.4141.7 2003/04

716.8 131.3690.2476.576.04.9145.4 2004/05

700.7 124.5707.5479.182.54.8145.4 2005/06

716.6 110.7730.4479.991.34.8150.3 2006/07

795.5 131.7774.5499.298.25.0160.4 2007/08

799.7 147.5784.0481.683.65.0158.7 2008/09

824.9 146.6825.8491.092.75.2158.7 2009/10

835.4 130.0852.0502.991.75.1164.6 2010/11

888.2 134.5883.7507.5103.75.2172.1 2011/12

868.0 137.8864.7518.8100.54.9177.6 2012/13

989.2 173.0954.0576.1129.65.5180.0 2013/14

990.3 191.5971.8596.7115.05.6177.2 2014/15

Barley

166.3 35.0165.6119.016.42.372.6 1992/93

169.0 34.9169.1123.818.82.373.2 1993/94

160.7 30.0165.6120.915.32.272.2 1994/95

141.2 20.5150.7107.813.42.166.4 1995/96

153.2 24.1149.5106.317.92.464.3 1996/97

153.9 32.2145.8104.112.82.463.8 1997/98

136.0 29.0139.399.517.82.456.6 1998/99

127.4 23.9132.594.017.82.452.1 1999/00

133.0 22.6134.394.616.32.552.9 2000/01

143.4 29.2136.895.517.22.655.7 2001/02

134.2 27.5135.894.716.32.454.8 2002/03

142.2 23.4146.3102.614.82.458.3 2003/04

152.1 33.1142.5100.017.02.657.5 2004/05

136.2 28.3141.097.417.42.555.3 2005/06

136.9 21.5143.798.414.62.456.4 2006/07

133.0 20.6133.991.118.52.455.9 2007/08

155.0 31.6144.0100.418.22.855.2 2008/09

151.1 37.5145.2101.417.32.854.4 2009/10

123.1 24.4136.291.315.22.647.2 2010/11

133.5 22.7135.291.721.42.749.4 2011/12

129.8 20.8131.788.822.12.650.2 2012/13

145.3 24.9141.297.323.42.950.6 2013/14

139.8 24.8139.893.722.22.948.9 2014/15

Notes: Coarse grains trade data are on July/June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the present,

coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.

November 2014

World Rice: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Rough

Production

Production TY Exports Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Rice, Milled

467.3 97.7308.011.8318.03.2144.7 1985/86

464.6 103.3310.412.9316.13.2144.8 1986/87

464.8 105.3313.111.4315.13.3141.4 1987/88

490.8 111.7325.714.0332.13.3146.6 1988/89

510.3 120.6336.311.7345.23.5147.8 1989/90

519.4 126.7345.312.3351.43.5147.0 1990/91

522.8 126.7353.214.4353.23.5147.5 1991/92

524.2 123.2357.514.9354.03.6146.5 1992/93

526.1 119.0358.916.6354.73.6145.3 1993/94

539.9 117.6365.520.8364.13.7147.3 1994/95

547.3 118.1368.319.7368.83.7148.4 1995/96

565.3 120.3379.218.9381.43.8150.1 1996/97

575.2 127.7380.027.6387.43.8151.7 1997/98

587.0 134.0388.624.8394.93.8153.1 1998/99

608.6 143.1400.122.8409.23.9155.9 1999/00

594.1 146.7395.624.3399.33.9152.4 2000/01

594.3 132.9413.327.7399.53.9151.3 2001/02

563.1 103.0408.127.6378.23.8146.9 2002/03

585.1 81.6413.727.3392.33.9149.3 2003/04

596.6 73.9408.629.0400.93.9151.8 2004/05

622.3 76.3415.529.1417.94.0154.0 2005/06

625.6 75.2421.631.9420.54.0154.6 2006/07

642.5 80.8427.329.6432.94.2154.7 2007/08

668.3 92.4437.629.4449.14.2158.1 2008/09

656.6 94.6438.731.8440.94.2155.8 2009/10

671.4 99.6445.036.6450.04.2158.2 2010/11

696.2 106.8459.839.9467.04.3160.3 2011/12

703.6 110.1468.639.4471.94.4158.2 2012/13

710.3 106.5480.041.7476.44.4160.7 2013/14

708.3 98.6482.941.6475.04.4160.9 2014/15

Notes: Stocks, exports and consumption are expressed on a milled basis in marketing years.

November 2014

ENDNOTES TO GRAIN: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE REGIONAL TABLES North America: Canada, Mexico, the United States. Central America: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Panama. Caribbean: Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Aruba, Bahamas, Barbados, Bermuda, British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Cuba, Dominica, Dominican Republic, French West Indies, Grenada, Guadeloupe, Haiti, Jamaica and Dep, Leeward-Windward Islands, Martinique, Montserrat, Netherlands Antilles, Puerto Rico, Kitts and Nevis, St. Lucia, St. Vincent and the Grenadines, Trinidad and Tobago, Turks and Caicos Islands, Virgin Islands of the U.S. South America: Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Falkland Islands (Islas Malvinas), French Guiana, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela. EU: Austria, Belgium/Luxembourg, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, United Kingdom. Other Europe: Albania, Azores, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Former Yugoslavia, Gibraltar, Iceland, Macedonia, Montenegro, Norway, Serbia, Switzerland. Former Soviet Union: Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Russia, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, Uzbekistan. Middle East: Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Turkey, United Arab Emirates, Yemen. North Africa: Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Morocco, Tunisia. Sub-Saharan Africa: all African countries except North Africa. East Asia: China, Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea, North Korea, Macau, Mongolia, Taiwan. South Asia: Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Maldives. Southeast Asia: Brunei, Burma, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam. Oceania: Australia, Fiji, New Zealand, Papua New Guinea.


November 2014

OTHER NOTES Local Marketing Years (LMY): LMY refers to the 12-month period at the onset of the main harvest, when the crop is marketed (i.e., consumed, traded, or stored). The year first listed begins a country's LMY for that commodity (2014/15 starts in 2014); except for summer grains in certain Southern Hemisphere countries and for rice in selected countries, where the second year begins the LMY (2014/15 starts in 2015). Key exporter LMY’s are:

Wheat Corn Barley Sorghum Argentina (Dec/Nov) Argentina (Mar/Feb) Australia (Nov/Oct) Argentina (Mar/Feb) Australia (Oct/Sep) Brazil (Mar/Feb) Canada (Aug/Jul) Australia (Mar/Feb) Canada (Aug/Jul) China (Oct/Sep) European Union (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug) China (Jul/Jun) South Africa (May/Apr) Russia (Jul/Jun) European Union (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug) Ukraine (Jul/Jun) India (Apr/Mar) United States (Jun/May) Kazakhstan (Jul/Jun) Russia(Jul/Jun) Turkey (Jun/May) Ukraine (Jul/Jun) United States (Jun/May)

For a complete list of local marketing years, please see the FAS website (http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdAvailability.aspx). Stocks: Unless otherwise stated, stock data are based on an aggregate of differing local marketing years and should not be construed as representing world stock levels at a fixed point in time. Consumption: World totals for consumption reflect total utilization, including food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste; as well as differences in local marketing year imports and local marketing year exports. Consumption statistics for regions and individual countries, however, reflect food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste only. Trade: All PSD tables are balanced on the different local marketing years. All trade tables contain Trade Year (TY) data which puts all countries on a uniform, 12-month period for analytical comparisons: wheat is July/June; coarse grains, corn, barley, sorghum, oats, and rye are Oct/Sept; and rice is calendar year. EU Consolidation: The trade figures starting from 1999/00 represent the European Union (Croatia plus the former EU-27) and exclude all intra-trade. For the years 1960/61 through 1998/99, figures are the EU-15 and also exclude all intra-trade. EU-15 member states' data for grains are no longer maintained in the official USDA database. Data for the individual NMS-10, plus Bulgaria, Romania, and Croatia, exists only prior to 1999/00. Statistics: (1) Wheat trade statistics include wheat, flour, and selected pasta products on a grain equivalent basis. (2) Rice trade statistics include rough, brown, milled, and broken on a milled equivalent basis. (3) Coarse grains statistics include corn, barley, sorghum, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grains but exclude trade in barley malt, millet, and mixed grains.


November 2014

http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdAvailability.aspx

Unaccounted: This term includes grain in transit, reporting discrepancies in some countries, and trade to countries outside the USDA database. The Global Commodity Analysis Division, Office of Global Analysis, Foreign Agricultural Service, USDA, Washington, DC 20250, prepared this circular. Information is gathered from official statistics of foreign governments and other foreign source materials, reports of U.S. agricultural attachés and Foreign Service officers, office research, and related information. Further information may be obtained by writing the Division or telephoning (202) 720-3448. Note: The previous report in this series was Grain: World Markets and Trade October 2014. For further details on world grain production, please see World Agricultural Production November 2014. This circular is available in its entirety on the Internet via the Foreign Agricultural Service Home Page. The address is: http://www.fas.usda.gov Questions may be directed to the following staff: Teresa McKeivier (202) 690-1151 [email protected] Wheat Andrew Sowell (202) 720-0262 [email protected] Wheat Yoonhee Macke (202) 690-4199 [email protected] Rice Rick O’Meara (202) 720-4933 [email protected] Coarse Grains Lisa Bennett (202) 720-0929 [email protected] Coarse Grains Gene Kim (202) 720-8398 [email protected] Coarse Grains


November 2014

mailto:[email protected]






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