understanding ed attendances in lanarkshire dr veronica devlin lean leader nhs lanarkshire prof...
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UNDERSTANDINGED ATTENDANCESIN LANARKSHIRE
Dr Veronica Devlin Lean Leader NHS Lanarkshire
Prof Graham WattDepartment of General PracticeGlasgow University
population 556,000 3 ED’s 194,000 new attendances in2008/09 10% of ED attendances are GP
referrals Population over 65 close to Scottish
average
Bed complement
•Monklands Hospital -478 inpatient beds
•Hairmyres Hospital-353 inpatient beds
•Wishaw Hospital -633 inpatient beds
A Day in the Life of Monklands
CONTEXT
Mostly urban Set in centre of Airdrie High deprivation High number of single handed GP’s Average 66,500 new attendances per
year
Methodology
ED records pulled for 24 hours – Tuesday
Examined by EA Programme Manager and LTC manager or Charge Nurse from ED
Categorised into broad groupings
Attendance Profile
165 new attendances
Admissions 12 surgical 2 diverted from Wishaw 5 ortho including 2#NOF 33 medical 1 psychiatry 1 ITU 1 Unknown disposition
Medical
9 chest pain 8 chest infection or
SOB 2 alcohol intoxication 1 accidental o/d 1 respiratory failure 1 intentional o/d 1 seizure 1 alcohol withdrawal 1 asthma
1 rash 1 palliative care 1 collapse 1 haematemesis 1 headache 1 pneumonia 1 off legs 1 respiratory failure 1 unclear!
“Primary Care” Appropriate
55 Primary Care appropriate 3 referred by NHS 24 1 by police 1 by GP receptionist- 4/12 old foot inj 1 by GP - reflux 1 by ED for detox team 4 dialled 999 10 children, 5 of those in working
hours
Long Term Conditions
9 with at least 1 LTC 2 known to be on SPARRA register
1 with leg pain self referred, 999, known OA 10.00, discharged
4 admitted with exac COPD 1 admitted with accidental OD 1 incidental head injury 1 ? CVA in patient with COPD and IHD 1 with known IHD admitted with chest pain
Alcohol and Drugs
18 presentations where alcohol was involved – >10% of presentations
6 presentations where drug use mentioned
1 heroin o/d signed IRD
Nursing Home
23 nursing homes in catchment Average 2 admissions from NH per
day 1 documented care home admission
GP OOH
10 patients diverted to GP OOH at triage
2 were 999 self referrals
1 abdo pain 1 chest pain 2 earaches 1 sick baby 2x20 year olds short
of breath 2 back pains 1 unwell 43 year old
GP APPROPRIATE TIME OF ARRIVAL
GP APPROPRIATE ARRIVALS MONKLANDS
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
TIME OF REGISTRATION
NU
MB
ER
S
GP APPROPRIATE ARRIVALS
Also of note…
1 cardiac arrest who died 1 multiple trauma who breached 1 standby for respiratory failure who
was admitted
18 alcohol related attendances 5 drug related attendances
Prospective Audit of “Elsewhere appropriate attendances”at the ED
Prospective clinician collected subjective data for month of June
Acute injuries excluded – musculoskeletal pain non-trauma included
Hairmyres 32 useable audit forms Monklands 90 Wishaw 121
Condition Age and gender distribution Time of registration Referral Source Symptom Duration Outcome
Monklands by Conditionn=90
mus
culo
skel
etal
UT
I
FE
VE
R
CY
ST
S
SK
IN
ST
ING
S gi
psyc
h
resp
ent
dent
al
eyes
mis
cella
neou
s
S1
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
Monklands by condition
Series1
Monklands Gender Split
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
f m
Monklands Gender Split
Series1
Monklands Age SpreadMonklands age spread
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
under 5 age 5-15 16-25 25-45 45-65 65-80 over 80
Series1
Monklands Attendance Spread
Monklands attendance spread
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
Series1
Monklands Referral SourceMonklands referral source
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
GP self GP receptionist NHS 24
Series1
Monklands Duration of Symptoms
Monklands duration of symptoms
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
<24 hours 24-48hrs 48-72 hours 3-7days > 1 week
Series1
Monklands Outcome
Monklands outcome
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
substance misuseteam ref
advised GP d/c with advice referred to GPOOH
treatment unknown xray
Series1
NHS Lanarkshire overview
One of the highest 999 ambulance call to ED attendance conversion rates in Scotland
82% versus 72%
125 999 DNW’S every month
There is a 3 fold variance in GP practice A&E emergency referral rates - from the highest to lowest referring practices - this is consistent over the last 4 years
• Rates have been growing year on year over the last 4 years
• mean rates per 1,000 population - growing as follows
• 264 to 279 to 292 and to 302 in 2008/09
• +6%, +5% and +3% respectively in each year
Standardised emergency admission rates
NHSL is consistently higher than the Scottish average over the last 6 years - although the gap is narrowing in recent years
There is a 200% variance in GP practice emergency admission rates - from the highest to lowest referring practices in 2007/08
There is a 100% variance in GP practice OOH contact (call) rates - from the highest to lowest referring practices in 2007/08
Emergency admissions in context - they account for 75% of all acute admissions and 83% of all acute bed days.
65% of all direct emergency GP referrals to the A&E Department are admitted (49% medical and 16% surgical)
Demand has increased by 9% or circa 16,000 new attendances over the last 3 years.
Table 2 - A&E Attendances - GP Referrals to All Hospitals in Lanarkshire
Annual 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09
Attendances 16,118 16,544 16,590 18,262
Yr on Yr Change 426 46 1,672
% 3% 0% 10%
Cumulative Change 426 472 2,144
% 3% 3% 13%
98 GP Practices Cover paper for each Practice Information Pack 1 - A&E attendances Information Pack 2 - Emergency
admissions
REF NO POPNDEPRIVATION
RANKINGUPPER/ LOWER
QUARTILENUMBER OF
GPs
1 na 4 UPPER 1 582 500 1 UPPER
2 na 27 MID 3 913 467 2 UPPER
3 na 3 UPPER 2 1,134 462 3 UPPER
4 na 18 UPPER 1 854 446 4 UPPER
5 na 2 UPPER 1 449 440 5 UPPER
6 na 56 MID 3 1,367 427 6 UPPER
7 na 9 UPPER 4 2,772 426 7 UPPER
8 na 45 MID 5 2,656 423 8 UPPER
9 na 19 UPPER 2 1,563 419 9 UPPER
10 na 20 UPPER 2 1,535 415 10 UPPER
11 na 39 MID 3 1,511 413 11 UPPER
12 na 1 UPPER 5 3,717 409 12 UPPER
13 na 51 MID 8 4,431 405 13 UPPER
14 na 6 UPPER 3 2,715 403 14 UPPER
15 na 44 MID 3 1,872 397 15 UPPER
16 na 5 UPPER 1 823 396 16 UPPER
17 na 28 MID 6 1,523 394 17 UPPER
18 na 7 UPPER 11 7,028 387 18 UPPER
19 na 30 MID 2 804 378 19 UPPER
20 na 59 MID 1 564 372 20 UPPER
21 na 31 MID 3 1,540 371 21 UPPER
22 na 37 MID 1 745 369 22 UPPER
23 na 57 MID 8 3,418 369 23 UPPER
24 na 47 MID 10 2,754 367 24 UPPER
PRACTICE PROFILE SUMMARY
ALL A&E ATTs
CRUDE RATE PER
1,000 POPN
RATES RANKING
RATES UPPER/ LOWER
QUARTILE
NHSL GP PRACTICE
ALL A&E ATTs
REF NO POPNDEPRIVATION
RANKINGUPPER/ LOWER
QUARTILENUMBER OF
GPs
1 na 4 UPPER 1 582 500 1 UPPER 27 23 73 Mid
2 na 27 MID 3 913 467 2 UPPER 60 31 36 Mid
3 na 3 UPPER 2 1,134 462 3 UPPER 57 23 72 Mid
4 na 18 UPPER 1 854 446 4 UPPER 49 26 58 Mid
5 na 2 UPPER 1 449 440 5 UPPER 21 21 84 Lower
6 na 56 MID 3 1,367 427 6 UPPER 108 34 29 Mid
7 na 9 UPPER 4 2,772 426 7 UPPER 317 49 4 Upper
8 na 45 MID 5 2,656 423 8 UPPER 280 45 6 Upper
9 na 19 UPPER 2 1,563 419 9 UPPER 134 36 20 Upper
10 na 20 UPPER 2 1,535 415 10 UPPER 138 37 17 Upper
11 na 39 MID 3 1,511 413 11 UPPER 109 30 39 Mid
12 na 1 UPPER 5 3,717 409 12 UPPER 254 28 46 Mid
13 na 51 MID 8 4,431 405 13 UPPER 438 40 12 Upper
14 na 6 UPPER 3 2,715 403 14 UPPER 271 40 10 Upper
15 na 44 MID 3 1,872 397 15 UPPER 113 24 65 Mid
16 na 5 UPPER 1 823 396 16 UPPER 38 18 90 Lower
17 na 28 MID 6 1,523 394 17 UPPER 155 40 11 Upper
18 na 7 UPPER 11 7,028 387 18 UPPER 558 31 35 Mid
PRACTICE PROFILE SUMMARY
RATES UPPER/ LOWER
QUARTILE
ALL A&E ATTs
CRUDE RATE PER
1,000 POPN
RATES RANKING
RATES UPPER/ LOWER
QUARTILE
GP A&E ATTs
CRUDE RATE PER
1,000 POPN
RATES RANKING
NHSL GP PRACTICE
ALL A&E ATTs DIRECT GP A&E ATTs
GP PRACTICE A&E ATTENDANCE RATES PER 1,000 PRACTICE POPULATION
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61 64 67 70 73 76 79 82 85 88 91 94 97
2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09
INCREASING YEAR ON YEAR FOR THE MAJORITY OF PRACTICES
PRACTICE NUMBER 63616 = 316
RATES OVER 4 YEARS2008/09 = 3162007/08 = 3182006/07 = 3022005/06 = 283
INCREASING OVER 3 YEARS FOR THIS PRACTICE
A&E ATTENDANCE RATES BY GP PRACTICE - 2008/09BY LOCALITY & THEN NUMERICAL PRACTICE CODE ORDER
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
AIRDRIE BELLSHILL CLYDESDALE COATBRIDGE
RURAL AVERAGE 17 MILES TO NEAREST A&E
CUMBERNAULD
UPPER/MID RANGEDEPRIVATION
MID RANGE DEPRIVATION
EAST KILBRIDE
BEST ACCESS TO ALL 3 SITES
HIGH DEPRIVATION
HAMILTON MOTHERWEL WISHAW
MEAN
MID/LOWER RANGE
DEPRIVATION
LOW RANGE DEPRIVATION
CLOSE PROXIMITY TO LOCAL A&E
MID RANGE DEPIRVATION
MID RANGE DEPRIVATION
6 PRACTICES ONLY 1 MILE FROM LOCAL A&E
PRACTICE NUMBER 63616 = 316
OOH CONTACT RATES BY GP PRACTICE - 2007/08BY LOCALITY & THEN NUMERICAL PRACTICE CODE ORDER
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
MEAN
AIRDRIE BELLSHILL CLYDESDA COATBRIDGECUMBERNAULD EAST KILBRIDE HAMILTON MOTHERWEL
LWISHAW
PRACTICE NUMBER 63616 = 211
GP Information Pack 1 - A&E Presentations
GP Practice profile 1 - demography & deprivation
GP Practice profile 2 - Age & deprivation GP Practice - QOF prevalence
benchmarking GP Practice benchmarking GP Practice ranking GP Practice referral source & flow group Charts comparing trends over time
GP Information Pack 1 - Emergency Admissions
6 year trends - “Navigator” generated Admission numbers and rates Bed day numbers & rates Elective shown for completeness CHI population change Each GP Practice benchmarked against:
NHS LanarkshireNHS ScotlandNorth CHPSouth CHP