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©2016 FINRA Foundation. All rights reserved. Understanding and Combating Investment Fraud Pension Research Council Symposium – May 6, 2016

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Page 1: Understanding and Combating Investment Fraud · 8/11/2018  · Sources: FINRA Investor Education Foundation research reports, Financial Fraud and Fraud Susceptibility in the United

©2016 FINRA Foundation. All rights reserved.

Understanding and Combating Investment Fraud

Pension Research Council Symposium – May 6, 2016

Page 2: Understanding and Combating Investment Fraud · 8/11/2018  · Sources: FINRA Investor Education Foundation research reports, Financial Fraud and Fraud Susceptibility in the United

©2016 FINRA Foundation. All rights reserved.

Protecting Consumers from Fraud

Growing Body of

Research

Victim Profile

Risk Behavior

Psychological Biases

Susceptibility

Individual Differences

Impact of Self-Reporting Error

Page 3: Understanding and Combating Investment Fraud · 8/11/2018  · Sources: FINRA Investor Education Foundation research reports, Financial Fraud and Fraud Susceptibility in the United

©2016 FINRA Foundation. All rights reserved.

Fraud Prevalence and Impact

Sources: FINRA Investor Education Foundation research reports, Financial Fraud and Fraud Susceptibility in the United States (2013) and Non-Traditional Costs of Financial Fraud (2015). Stanford Center on Longevity research report, Scams, Schemes & Swindles: A Review of Consumer Financial Fraud Research (2012)

Financial fraud prevalence is hard to measure. Estimates vary from about 4 to 14 percent.

Page 4: Understanding and Combating Investment Fraud · 8/11/2018  · Sources: FINRA Investor Education Foundation research reports, Financial Fraud and Fraud Susceptibility in the United

©2016 FINRA Foundation. All rights reserved.

13.35

6.47

0

4

8

12

16

Avg # Tactics

Average # Total Tactics per Transcript

InvestmentAll Others

► Scam pitches are tailored to the “hot buttons” of targets► An investment fraud pitch is full of influence

Source: Consumer Fraud Research Group, Off the Hook Again: Understanding Why the Elderly Are Victimized by Economic Fraud Crimes (2006)

Fraud Weapon – Social Influence

Page 5: Understanding and Combating Investment Fraud · 8/11/2018  · Sources: FINRA Investor Education Foundation research reports, Financial Fraud and Fraud Susceptibility in the United

©2016 FINRA Foundation. All rights reserved.

Red Flags of Fraud

Page 6: Understanding and Combating Investment Fraud · 8/11/2018  · Sources: FINRA Investor Education Foundation research reports, Financial Fraud and Fraud Susceptibility in the United

©2016 FINRA Foundation. All rights reserved.

Investment Fraud Victim?

Fraud victims are stupid, naïve, gullible, greedy, mentally deficient, elderly, and easily-led.

Page 7: Understanding and Combating Investment Fraud · 8/11/2018  · Sources: FINRA Investor Education Foundation research reports, Financial Fraud and Fraud Susceptibility in the United

©2016 FINRA Foundation. All rights reserved.

The Demographics of Fraud

► No single victim stereotype

► Age and fraud victimization

► Beyond age

► Gender

► Income

► Education

Page 8: Understanding and Combating Investment Fraud · 8/11/2018  · Sources: FINRA Investor Education Foundation research reports, Financial Fraud and Fraud Susceptibility in the United

©2016 FINRA Foundation. All rights reserved.

The Psychographics of Fraud

► Risk tolerance

► Perceptions of debt

► Impulsiveness

► Financial literacy

Page 9: Understanding and Combating Investment Fraud · 8/11/2018  · Sources: FINRA Investor Education Foundation research reports, Financial Fraud and Fraud Susceptibility in the United

©2016 FINRA Foundation. All rights reserved.

The Role of Targeting

► Two kinds of vulnerability

► Falling victim once targeted

► Likelihood of being targeted

► Examine the role of demographics, psychographicsand targeting on investment fraud

Page 10: Understanding and Combating Investment Fraud · 8/11/2018  · Sources: FINRA Investor Education Foundation research reports, Financial Fraud and Fraud Susceptibility in the United

©2016 FINRA Foundation. All rights reserved.

The Role of Targeting

1.4

1.7

1.6

1.3

0 2

College

Male

Income > $50K

Age (10-yr)

Odds Ratio for Likelihood of Investment Fraud Victimization

Demographic Model

Source: Authors’ calculations based on data from the Fraud Susceptibility Study (2013) and the National Financial Capability Study (2012).

Page 11: Understanding and Combating Investment Fraud · 8/11/2018  · Sources: FINRA Investor Education Foundation research reports, Financial Fraud and Fraud Susceptibility in the United

©2016 FINRA Foundation. All rights reserved.

The Role of Targeting

1.2

1.1

1.4

1.4

0 2

Risk Tolerance

Too Much Debt

Financial Literacy

College

Male

Income > $50K

Age (10-yr)

Odds Ratio for Likelihood of Investment Fraud Victimization

Demographic and Psychographic Model

Source: Authors’ calculations based on data from the Fraud Susceptibility Study (2013) and the National Financial Capability Study (2012).

Page 12: Understanding and Combating Investment Fraud · 8/11/2018  · Sources: FINRA Investor Education Foundation research reports, Financial Fraud and Fraud Susceptibility in the United

©2016 FINRA Foundation. All rights reserved.

The Role of Targeting

1.91.2

1.2

0 2

SolicitationsRisk ToleranceToo Much Debt

Financial LiteracyCollege

MaleIncome > $50K

Age (10-yr)

Odds Ratio for Likelihood of Investment Fraud Victimization

Demographic, Psychographic and Targeting Model

Source: Authors’ calculations based on data from the Fraud Susceptibility Study (2013) and the National Financial Capability Study (2012).

Page 13: Understanding and Combating Investment Fraud · 8/11/2018  · Sources: FINRA Investor Education Foundation research reports, Financial Fraud and Fraud Susceptibility in the United

©2016 FINRA Foundation. All rights reserved.

Who Tends to Get Targeted?

Older Male

Higher Income

College Educated

Page 14: Understanding and Combating Investment Fraud · 8/11/2018  · Sources: FINRA Investor Education Foundation research reports, Financial Fraud and Fraud Susceptibility in the United

©2016 FINRA Foundation. All rights reserved.

Challenges to Preventing FraudPsychological Barriers►Illusion of invulnerability (I can’t be taken.) ►Reactance (You’re not the boss of me.) ►Threats to self-esteem (I am not stupid.)►Too much information (I can’t remember what you taught me.)

Systemic Barriers►Scams everywhere (how do you warn against so many different frauds?)►Scale (how do you reach a critical mass of consumers?)►Proving a negative (how do you show when something doesn’t happen?)►Persistence (if you can show a preventative effect, does it last?)

Page 15: Understanding and Combating Investment Fraud · 8/11/2018  · Sources: FINRA Investor Education Foundation research reports, Financial Fraud and Fraud Susceptibility in the United

©2016 FINRA Foundation. All rights reserved.

Moving Beyond Warning Campaigns

Educating CampaignsWarning Campaigns

Specific Generic

Reactive Proactive

Short-term Long-term

Information-based Skills-based

Source: OECD, Examining Consumer Policy: A Report On Consumer Information Campaigns Concerning Scams (2005)

Investor alerts and warning campaigns have limited focus.

Page 16: Understanding and Combating Investment Fraud · 8/11/2018  · Sources: FINRA Investor Education Foundation research reports, Financial Fraud and Fraud Susceptibility in the United

©2016 FINRA Foundation. All rights reserved.

Investor Protection Strategy

►Ground in research►Build partnerships►Teach Investors to:

• Know that are vulnerable• Recognize persuasion techniques• Take simple, highly protective

steps (“Ask and Check”)

Page 17: Understanding and Combating Investment Fraud · 8/11/2018  · Sources: FINRA Investor Education Foundation research reports, Financial Fraud and Fraud Susceptibility in the United

©2016 FINRA Foundation. All rights reserved.

Field Testing a CurriculumThose who had been to the OIF seminar responded positively to the fraud appeal 50% less frequently than those who had not.

Source: FINRA Investor Education Foundation

Page 18: Understanding and Combating Investment Fraud · 8/11/2018  · Sources: FINRA Investor Education Foundation research reports, Financial Fraud and Fraud Susceptibility in the United

©2016 FINRA Foundation. All rights reserved.

Questions?

Christine N. Kieffer, [email protected] Gary R. Mottola, [email protected]

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Discuss biases Understand influence and how persuasion plays a role in scams Learn how to neutralize bias and influence