tui ag investor presentation · 2021. 5. 15. · t e n t c u s t o m e r self selection individual...
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TUI AG | Investor Relations | Seite 1
TUI AGInvestor Presentation
WestLBDeutschland Conference 2007Frankfurt, 14 - 15 November 2007
TUI AG | Investor Relations | Seite 2
Agenda
I. Strategy
II. Tourism
III. Shipping
IV. Financials & Outlook
TUI AG | Investor Relations | Seite 3
Two-pillar business portfolio
Tourism Shipping
€ ~18 bill turnover~60,000 employees
No. 1 in Europe
€ ~6 bill turnover~8,000 employees
Global Top 5 player
TUI AG | Investor Relations | Seite 4
Two global growth industries
Trips in Europe (mill) Global Container Volume (TEU mill)
1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2010e2008e2006
103119
148 143154
165175
186
Tourism Shipping
2010e1996 1998 2000 2008e200620042002
4147
5664
79
98
116131
TUI AG | Investor Relations | Seite 5
Group strategy
Targets: Elements:
Expand tourism business
Capitalise on strong shipping market position
Take advantage of growth in container shipping market through organic and external growth opportunities
Target best-in-class operator generating consistent industry-leading margins
Actively shape the market through merger with First Choice
Further efficiency improvements in all source markets and delivery of synergies
Identify new niche market segments and growing the specialist portfolio
Selective expansion of hotel & resorts business
Enhance financial strength
Continue to enhance liquidity position
Reduction of tied up capital and net debt
TUI AG | Investor Relations | Seite 6
Tourism
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Listing: London Stock Exchange
Fiscal year: 1 October - 30 September
Major shareholder: TUI AG (51.0%)
Full consolidation in TUI AG accounts with effect
from 1 September 2007Tourism
TUI Travel PLC
51%
Shipping
Hotels
TUI Group structure
Merger of TUI Tourism and First Choice
Container Shipping
Cruises
TUI AG | Investor Relations | Seite 8
TUI Travel PLC overview
Europe’s leading international leisure travel company
Revenue in 2006 of €18.0 bill
Over 30 million customers from over 20 source markets
Circa 160 aircraft
Circa 4,000 retail shops in Continental Europe, UK & Ireland
48,000 colleagues
Widest range of leisure travel experiences available
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TUI Travel business model
Choice of Product Flexibility for the Customer
CONTENT
CUSTOMER
Self SelectionIndividual Components
Self SelectionDynamic Packaging
Traditional Packages
Exclusive / Differentiated Holidays
Tailor Made Holidays
Online
Retail
Call Centre
Providing choice and flexibility for the customer
Flights
Bed-bank
Car hire, transfers, excursions
Differentiated
Exclusive
Added Value
Expertise
Scarce Assets
Component
Specialist
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TUI Travel strategy - delivering growth
Objective Value Driver
- increase aircraft utilisation- optimise yield - flight only and packages- operate flexible fleet profile - leverage market for leisure hotels- optimise specialist brand margins
Content
Enhanced margin opportunity with
combined management expertise
Distribution
- optimise specialist brand margins- increase controlled distribution - maximise web sales & content - build strong brand awareness & loyalty- reduce cost of acquisition
Specialist products distributed in new source
markets
Cost Competitiveness
- deliver synergies - increase procurement capability
approx. €150 mill synergies
Acquisitions
- consolidate fragmented markets - build leadership positions in niche segments at
higher margins- deliver First Choice Holidays track record
Acquisition-led value creation
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TUI Hotels & Resorts
By channelling our customers to our hotels, we optimise capacity utilisation and increase profit margins
No 1 leisure hotelier in Europe
Most hotel companies with local
partners
Focus on four star category (approx.
60%)
High occupancy rates (~80%) through
access to TUI Travel customers
Selective organic growth:
26 new hotels with approx. 20.000
beds until 2008 (ownership/mgmt/
franchise)
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Shipping
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Global volume development container shipping(in TEU mill )
CAGR + 9%
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007e 2008e 2009e 2010e 2011e
Forecast
Actual
Ø∆: 12%
5864
7482
9098
107116
123131
138
Continuously strong market volume growth
Source: Global Insight, February 2007
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Volume development of main trade lanes
World Container Trade 2006 (in million TEU)
15.6 (+10.9%)
Latin America
North America Europe
Africa
Far East
Middle East /Indian Ocean
Australia/New Zealand
4.2 (+4.8%)
5.4 (+7.3%)2.2 (+6.3%*)
4.6 (+6.8%)
2.2 (+7.6%)
1.0 (+9.8%)
Intra Far East
*Growth Rate in % is shown in brackets
10.3 (+15.7%)
22.1 (+10.4%)
Dominant legNon-dominant leg
Source: Global Insight, February 2007
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Hapag-Lloyd at a glance
Top 5 global container shipping company
through acquisition of CP Ships
142 container vessels with a total capacity
of 490,000 TEU
Revenues in 2006: € 6.3 bn
Volume in 2006: 5.0 mill TEU
Share of volume in 2006 (mill TEU):
Austral-asia 13%
Latin America
16%
North Atlantic
28%
Far East 24%
Trans-Pacific 19%
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Overview global Hapag-Lloyd liner services
Total number of services: 80
24 Far East18 Trans-Pacific18 Atlantic
10 Latin America
10 Australasiaas of: 31.03.2007
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Transport chain shippingHighly efficient integrated IT systems
Empty Container (Return)
Factory/ Distribution
Centre
Inland Transport to Consignee
InboundPort
Ocean LegInland Transport
to PortOutbound PortFactory
Empty Container (Delivery)
Source: Company information
Fully integrated throughout the global organisation of more than 260 locations
Covers the entire transport chain (“only one transport file per shipment”)
Infrastructure supports all services throughout the value chain to offer customers efficient and reliable solutions
Developed in-house over past years with significant investment
an industry-leading IT system...
Only one Transport File per Shipment
Provides network to facilitate decentralised, global blueprint organisation
Real-time availability of information worldwide
Provides and combines operational and financial data
Contribution-driven, cost-effective business steering model
Improves accuracy and control of transport and documentation
...with significant efficiency benefits
Hapag-Lloyd operates
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Productivity development
Productivity (TEU/Employee)
693
754
856
916
751
471
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1.000
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
HL land personell CP Ships
(100%)
(82%)
Integration synergies of € 220 mill are expected to be delivered by the end of 2008
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Agenda
I. Strategy
II. Tourism
III. Shipping
IV. Financials & Outlook
TUI AG | Investor Relations | Seite 20
3rd Quarter 2007 – both divisions on track
594
681
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
Q3 2006 Q3 2007
in € mill
+14.6%
Tourism
9
115
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Q3 2006 Q3 2007
Underlying EBITA of continuing operations at €830 mill, showing enhanced performance in tourism and shipping
Tourism earnings with €681 mill significantly above previous year
Strong peak season in shipping with earnings of €115 mill improved by €106 mill y-o-y
Central operations at €34 mill, positively influenced by mark-to-market evaluations of hedging instruments
The good overall performance of 3rd quarter fully meets management expectations
Shipping
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P&L highlights 9M 2007
378
208
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400in € mill
9M 2006 9M 2007
16.716.2
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
Turnover9M 2006 9M 2007
in € bill
ReportedEBITA
9M 2006 9M 2007
in € mill
622
523502
571
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
9M 2006 9M 2007
UnderlyingEBITA
-4.0% +8.9%+2.8%
+81.7%
Group profit after minorities
TUI AG | Investor Relations | Seite 22
Turnover by divisions
€ mill 9M 2007 9M 2006 in %Tourism 12,028.3 11,312.9 + 6.3Central Europe 4,797.5 4,597.2 + 4.4Northern Europe 3766,0 3,893.3 - 3.3Western Europe 2,439.3 2,306.3 + 5.8Incoming agencies 223.7 197.1 + 13.5Other tourism - 70.9 -First Choice Holidays* 500.1 - -TUI Hotels & Resorts 301.7 248.1 + 21.6Shipping 4,644.7 4,756.4 - 2.3Central operations 20.4 172.5 - 88.2Continuing operations 16,693.4 16,241.8 + 2.8
Discontinuing operations - 401.0 -
Turnover by divisions 16,693.4 16,642.8 + 0.3
€ mill 9M 2007 9M 2006 in %Tourism 12,028.3 11,312.9 + 6.3Central Europe 4,797.5 4,597.2 + 4.4Northern Europe 3766,0 3,893.3 - 3.3Western Europe 2,439.3 2,306.3 + 5.8Incoming agencies 223.7 197.1 + 13.5Other tourism - 70.9 -First Choice Holidays* 500.1 - -TUI Hotels & Resorts 301.7 248.1 + 21.6Shipping 4,644.7 4,756.4 - 2.3Central operations 20.4 172.5 - 88.2Continuing operations 16,693.4 16,241.8 + 2.8
Discontinuing operations - 401.0 -
Turnover by divisions 16,693.4 16,642.8 + 0.3
* September only
TUI AG | Investor Relations | Seite 23
Earnings by divisions (EBITA)
€ mill 9M 2007 9M 2006 in % 9M 2007 9M 2006 in %Tourism 407 653 - 37.7 502 523 - 4.0Central Europe 84 137 - 38.7 100 145 - 31.0Northern Europe 84 186 - 54.8 130 186 - 30.1Western Europe 51 28 + 82.1 59 33 + 78.8Incoming agencies 46 46 0.0 46 46 0,0Other tourism - 146 - - - 3 -First Choice Holidays* 10 - - 35 - -TUI Hotels & Resorts 132 110 + 20.0 132 116 + 13.8
Shipping 257 - 91 n.m. 88 77 + 14.3Central operations 26 - 14 n.m. 32 - 29 n.m.Continuing operations 690 548 + 25.9 622 571 + 8.9
Discontinuing operations - 29 - - 30 -
Earnings by divisons 690 577 + 19.6 622 601 + 3.5
Reported EBITA Underlying EBITA
€ mill 9M 2007 9M 2006 in % 9M 2007 9M 2006 in %Tourism 407 653 - 37.7 502 523 - 4.0Central Europe 84 137 - 38.7 100 145 - 31.0Northern Europe 84 186 - 54.8 130 186 - 30.1Western Europe 51 28 + 82.1 59 33 + 78.8Incoming agencies 46 46 0.0 46 46 0,0Other tourism - 146 - - - 3 -First Choice Holidays* 10 - - 35 - -TUI Hotels & Resorts 132 110 + 20.0 132 116 + 13.8
Shipping 257 - 91 n.m. 88 77 + 14.3Central operations 26 - 14 n.m. 32 - 29 n.m.Continuing operations 690 548 + 25.9 622 571 + 8.9
Discontinuing operations - 29 - - 30 -
Earnings by divisons 690 577 + 19.6 622 601 + 3.5
Reported EBITA Underlying EBITA
* September only
TUI AG | Investor Relations | Seite 24
TourismBooking update
y-o-y variation in % Sales Customers Capacity Sales Customers Capacity
UK Mainstream flat flat - 1 + 7 - 3 - 11Nordic + 6 + 3 + 2 + 19 + 16 + 12
Northern Europe + 1 + 1 flat + 8 flat - 6
Central Europe + 6 + 9 + 10 + 9 + 12 + 1
Western Europe + 8 + 6 + 7 + 6 + 4 + 3
y-o-y variation in % Sales Customers Sales Customers
Specialist1 + 14 + 13 + 4 + 6
Activity1 + 3 n/a + 11 n/a
y-o-y variation in % Sales Bednights Sales BednightsOnline Destination
Services2 + 33 + 21 + 62 + 40
Winter 07/08
Mai
nstr
eam
Summer 07
These statistics are up to 28 October 2007
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Increase in customers and turnover
Underlying EBITA (excl. effects from merger) expected to be on last years level:
Central Europe expected below last year caused by difficult market environment in German airline sector Northern Europe estimated to match overall performance of last year due to positive effects from the performed restructuring programme
Western Europe expected to rise considerably mainly driven by the successful restructuring in France and a very pleasing performance in Belgium
Incoming agencies are forecast to deliver stable results
TUI Hotels & Resorts are expected to deliver an increase in earnings due to a better performance of the RIU Group and a better profit contribution of the club business
Tourism full year results will be affected by merger with First Choice
Outlook Tourism 2007
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Shipping Freight rate trends by trade lanes
1.381
1.416
1.4921.5131.522
1.494
1.422
1.2341.211
1.2421.231
1.205
1.459
1.266
1.345
1.3921.434
1.437
1.495
1.4151.432
1.451
1.593
1.466
1.6891.6851.669
1.556
1.1741.1791.1791.203
1.223
1.195
1.282
Q1 06 Q2 06 Q3 06 Q4 06 Q1 07 Q2 07 Q3 07
Freight rate in US$/TEU
Atlantic
Trans-Pacific
Latin America
Far Eeast
Australasia
*2006 incl. CP Ships proforma
TUI AG | Investor Relations | Seite 27
Outlook Shipping 2007
Market growth of at least 9% expected
Good volumes combined with rising freight rates in second half 2007 will lead to
an increase in turnover (growth depending on US$ exchange rate)
Freight rates for the third quarter 2007 have significantly increased compared to
first half 2007 and a further upward trend is expected
Enhance cost efficiencies through optimisation of inland transport, capacity
reduction on Atlantic and speed reduction to save bunker expenses, etc.
Positive operating profit contribution is also expected in the fourth quarter
leading to a significantly improved underlying EBITA in 2007
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13 Dec 2007 TUI Travel PLC: Proforma financials
29 Jan 2008 TUI Travel PLC: Strategic update
18 Mar 2008 Financial Year 2007
07 May 2008 Annual General Meeting
15 May 2008* First Quarter 2008
14 Aug 2008* Second Quarter 2008
14 Nov 2008* Third Quarter 2008
Financial calendar 2007 / 2008
TUI AG Investor Relations - E-Mail: [email protected] - Phone: +49-511-566-1425
* scheduled
TUI AG | Investor Relations | Seite 29
Future-related statements
This presentation contains a number of statements related to the
future development of TUI. These statements are based both on
assumptions and estimates. Although we are convinced that these
future-related statements are realistic, we cannot guarantee them, for
our assumptions involve risks and uncertainties which may give rise to
situations in which the actual results differ substantially from the
expected ones. The potential reasons for such differences include
market fluctuations, the development of world market fluctuations,
the development of world market commodity prices, the
development of exchange rates or fundamental changes in the
economic environment. TUI does not intend or assume any obligation
to update any forward-looking statement to reflect events or
circumstances after the date of these materials.