trump voters and criminal justice reform table 1-1 ......clin- ton/ some- soc soc soc soc soc soc...

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Trump Voters and Criminal Justice Reform April 2017 PAGE 1 Table 1-1 QUESTION A: What is your gender? BANNER 1 CRIMINAL 2016 PRESIDENTIAL TRUMP JUSTICE ELECTION VOTERS REFORM ECONOMIC VS. SOCIAL USR INCARCERATED ================= =========== =========== ===================================================== ================= ============= ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON CONS CONS CONS MOD MOD MOD LIB LIB LIB CLIN- NO/ AND AND AND AND AND AND AND AND AND CLIN- TON/ SOME- SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SUB- TOTAL TRUMP TON OTHER TRUMP OTHER YES WHAT CONS MOD LIB CONS MOD LIB CONS MOD LIB URBAN URBAN RURAL YES NO ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 1200 600 522 78 600 600 438 719 322 81 30 53 384 90 5 30 205 373 585 232 641 538 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% MALE 579 322 217 40 322 257 211 356 181 49 17 23 163 38 4 16 88 189 282 107 325 244 48% 54% 42% 51% 54% 43% 48% 50% 56% 60% 57% 43% 42% 42% 80% 53% 43% 51% 48% 46% 51% 45% FEMALE 621 278 305 38 278 343 227 363 141 32 13 30 221 52 1 14 117 184 303 125 316 294 52% 46% 58% 49% 46% 57% 52% 50% 44% 40% 43% 57% 58% 58% 20% 47% 57% 49% 52% 54% 49% 55% C H A R L E S K O C H I N S T I T U T E PAGE 1

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  • Trump Voters and Criminal Justice Reform April 2017 PAGE 1

    Table 1-1 QUESTION A: What is your gender?

    BANNER 1 CRIMINAL

    2016 PRESIDENTIAL TRUMP JUSTICE ELECTION VOTERS REFORM ECONOMIC VS. SOCIAL USR INCARCERATED ================= =========== =========== ===================================================== ================= =============

    ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON CONS CONS CONS MOD MOD MOD LIB LIB LIB CLIN- NO/ AND AND AND AND AND AND AND AND AND

    CLIN- TON/ SOME- SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SUB- TOTAL TRUMP TON OTHER TRUMP OTHER YES WHAT CONS MOD LIB CONS MOD LIB CONS MOD LIB URBAN URBAN RURAL YES NO ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------

    BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 1200 600 522 78 600 600 438 719 322 81 30 53 384 90 5 30 205 373 585 232 641 538

    100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

    MALE 579 322 217 40 322 257 211 356 181 49 17 23 163 38 4 16 88 189 282 107 325 244 48% 54% 42% 51% 54% 43% 48% 50% 56% 60% 57% 43% 42% 42% 80% 53% 43% 51% 48% 46% 51% 45%

    FEMALE 621 278 305 38 278 343 227 363 141 32 13 30 221 52 1 14 117 184 303 125 316 294 52% 46% 58% 49% 46% 57% 52% 50% 44% 40% 43% 57% 58% 58% 20% 47% 57% 49% 52% 54% 49% 55%

    C H A R L E S K O C H I N S T I T U T E PAGE 1

  • Trump Voters and Criminal Justice Reform April 2017 PAGE 2

    Table 2-1 QUESTION B: In what year were you born?

    BANNER 1 CRIMINAL

    2016 PRESIDENTIAL TRUMP JUSTICE ELECTION VOTERS REFORM ECONOMIC VS. SOCIAL USR INCARCERATED ================= =========== =========== ===================================================== ================= =============

    ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON CONS CONS CONS MOD MOD MOD LIB LIB LIB CLIN- NO/ AND AND AND AND AND AND AND AND AND

    CLIN- TON/ SOME- SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SUB- TOTAL TRUMP TON OTHER TRUMP OTHER YES WHAT CONS MOD LIB CONS MOD LIB CONS MOD LIB URBAN URBAN RURAL YES NO ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------

    BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 1200 600 522 78 600 600 438 719 322 81 30 53 384 90 5 30 205 373 585 232 641 538

    100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

    18-29 238 90 129 19 90 148 100 125 39 11 5 12 77 24 2 11 57 111 86 37 139 92 20% 15% 25% 24% 15% 25% 23% 17% 12% 14% 17% 23% 20% 27% 40% 37% 28% 30% 15% 16% 22% 17%

    30-44 302 137 142 23 137 165 121 173 62 21 12 15 89 28 1 8 66 109 142 46 165 131 25% 23% 27% 29% 23% 28% 28% 24% 19% 26% 40% 28% 23% 31% 20% 27% 32% 29% 24% 20% 26% 24%

    45-64 468 264 176 28 264 204 163 288 162 32 8 20 150 26 2 5 63 113 252 103 252 210 39% 44% 34% 36% 44% 34% 37% 40% 50% 40% 27% 38% 39% 29% 40% 17% 31% 30% 43% 44% 39% 39%

    65+ 181 102 72 7 102 79 46 130 57 15 5 6 63 12 - 5 18 35 102 43 80 99 15% 17% 14% 9% 17% 13% 11% 18% 18% 19% 17% 11% 16% 13% - 17% 9% 9% 17% 19% 12% 18%

    REFUSED 11 7 3 1 7 4 8 3 2 2 - - 5 - - 1 1 5 3 3 5 6 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% - 1% 2% - - 1% - - 3% - 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%

    MEAN 48 51 46 44 51 46 45 50 52 51 47 46 49 45 39 43 43 43 51 51 47 50

    MEDIAN 47 50 43 42 50 43 43 49 52 49 42 44 48 41 37 36 40 39 50 51 46 49

    STANDARD DEVIATION 19 18 19 17 18 19 18 19 18 19 19 18 19 19 14 21 17 18 18 19 18 19 STANDARD ERROR 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 2 1 2 6 4 1 1 1 1 1 1

    C H A R L E S K O C H I N S T I T U T E PAGE 2

  • Trump Voters and Criminal Justice Reform April 2017 PAGE 3

    Table 3-1 QUESTION C: Is your racial or ethnic background...

    BANNER 1 CRIMINAL

    2016 PRESIDENTIAL TRUMP JUSTICE ELECTION VOTERS REFORM ECONOMIC VS. SOCIAL USR INCARCERATED ================= =========== =========== ===================================================== ================= =============

    ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON CONS CONS CONS MOD MOD MOD LIB LIB LIB CLIN- NO/ AND AND AND AND AND AND AND AND AND

    CLIN- TON/ SOME- SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SUB- TOTAL TRUMP TON OTHER TRUMP OTHER YES WHAT CONS MOD LIB CONS MOD LIB CONS MOD LIB URBAN URBAN RURAL YES NO ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------

    BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 1200 600 522 78 600 600 438 719 322 81 30 53 384 90 5 30 205 373 585 232 641 538

    100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

    WHITE 842 520 270 52 520 322 289 522 279 67 22 32 249 59 2 16 116 201 445 191 429 401 70% 87% 52% 67% 87% 54% 66% 73% 87% 83% 73% 60% 65% 66% 40% 53% 57% 54% 76% 82% 67% 75%

    BLACK 145 14 121 10 14 131 64 76 8 1 2 11 58 15 - 6 44 74 49 19 109 35 12% 2% 23% 13% 2% 22% 15% 11% 2% 1% 7% 21% 15% 17% - 20% 21% 20% 8% 8% 17% 7%

    HISPANIC 131 38 84 9 38 93 51 76 24 9 4 5 51 9 - 2 27 61 51 18 71 57 11% 6% 16% 12% 6% 16% 12% 11% 7% 11% 13% 9% 13% 10% - 7% 13% 16% 9% 8% 11% 11%

    ASIAN 62 20 38 4 20 42 23 36 6 3 1 4 22 7 3 3 13 30 29 2 17 42 5% 3% 7% 5% 3% 7% 5% 5% 2% 4% 3% 8% 6% 8% 60% 10% 6% 8% 5% 1% 3% 8%

    NATIVE AMERICAN/AMERICAN 5 2 2 1 2 3 3 2 1 - 1 - 1 - - 1 1 1 3 1 3 2 INDIAN - - - 1% - 1% 1% - - - 3% - - - - 3% - - 1% - - -

    SOMETHING ELSE 12 5 5 2 5 7 7 5 4 1 - 1 2 - - 1 3 4 8 - 10 1 1% 1% 1% 3% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% - 2% 1% - - 3% 1% 1% 1% - 2% -

    PREFER NOT TO ANSWER 3 1 2 - 1 2 1 2 - - - - 1 - - 1 1 2 - 1 2 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 3% - 1% - - - -

    C H A R L E S K O C H I N S T I T U T E PAGE 3

  • Trump Voters and Criminal Justice Reform April 2017 PAGE 4

    Table 4-1 QUESTION D: What is the last grade of school you completed?

    BANNER 1 CRIMINAL

    2016 PRESIDENTIAL TRUMP JUSTICE ELECTION VOTERS REFORM ECONOMIC VS. SOCIAL USR INCARCERATED ================= =========== =========== ===================================================== ================= =============

    ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON CONS CONS CONS MOD MOD MOD LIB LIB LIB CLIN- NO/ AND AND AND AND AND AND AND AND AND

    CLIN- TON/ SOME- SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SUB- TOTAL TRUMP TON OTHER TRUMP OTHER YES WHAT CONS MOD LIB CONS MOD LIB CONS MOD LIB URBAN URBAN RURAL YES NO ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------

    BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 1200 600 522 78 600 600 438 719 322 81 30 53 384 90 5 30 205 373 585 232 641 538

    100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

    HS/LESS 216 112 95 9 112 104 81 120 56 10 3 13 77 7 2 6 42 69 89 54 118 91 ------- 18% 19% 18% 12% 19% 17% 18% 17% 17% 12% 10% 25% 20% 8% 40% 20% 20% 18% 15% 23% 18% 17%

    GRADE SCHOOL OR LESS 3 2 1 - 2 1 2 1 - - - 1 2 - - - - 3 - - 2 1 [GRADE 1-8] - - - - - - - - - - - 2% 1% - - - - 1% - - - -

    SOME HIGH SCHOOL [GRADE 17 8 9 - 8 9 9 7 4 3 - - - - - 2 8 7 8 2 12 5 9-11] 1% 1% 2% - 1% 2% 2% 1% 1% 4% - - - - - 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1%

    GRADUATED HIGH SCHOOL 196 102 85 9 102 94 70 112 52 7 3 12 75 7 2 4 34 59 81 52 104 85 [GRADE 12] 16% 17% 16% 12% 17% 16% 16% 16% 16% 9% 10% 23% 20% 8% 40% 13% 17% 16% 14% 22% 16% 16%

    SOME COLLEGE 391 213 150 28 213 178 148 231 115 23 7 19 142 23 - 8 54 116 187 84 237 150 ------------ 33% 36% 29% 36% 36% 30% 34% 32% 36% 28% 23% 36% 37% 26% - 27% 26% 31% 32% 36% 37% 28%

    VOCATIONAL SCHOOL/ 49 26 18 5 26 23 16 30 13 7 - 6 13 1 - 1 8 10 23 15 32 17 TECHNICAL SCHOOL 4% 4% 3% 6% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 9% - 11% 3% 1% - 3% 4% 3% 4% 6% 5% 3%

    SOME COLLEGE--TWO YEARS 232 125 94 13 125 107 84 141 67 11 3 10 93 14 - 3 31 73 110 48 140 89 OR LESS 19% 21% 18% 17% 21% 18% 19% 20% 21% 14% 10% 19% 24% 16% - 10% 15% 20% 19% 21% 22% 17%

    SOME COLLEGE--MORE THAN 110 62 38 10 62 48 48 60 35 5 4 3 36 8 - 4 15 33 54 21 65 44 TWO YEARS 9% 10% 7% 13% 10% 8% 11% 8% 11% 6% 13% 6% 9% 9% - 13% 7% 9% 9% 9% 10% 8%

    COLLEGE GRADUATE 379 187 164 28 187 192 132 238 108 28 11 11 107 29 3 12 70 118 204 56 189 186 ---------------- 32% 31% 31% 36% 31% 32% 30% 33% 34% 35% 37% 21% 28% 32% 60% 40% 34% 32% 35% 24% 29% 35%

    GRADUATED COLLEGE 379 187 164 28 187 192 132 238 108 28 11 11 107 29 3 12 70 118 204 56 189 186 32% 31% 31% 36% 31% 32% 30% 33% 34% 35% 37% 21% 28% 32% 60% 40% 34% 32% 35% 24% 29% 35%

    POST GRADUATE 211 86 112 13 86 125 75 130 42 20 9 10 57 31 - 4 38 70 103 38 96 110 ------------- 18% 14% 21% 17% 14% 21% 17% 18% 13% 25% 30% 19% 15% 34% - 13% 19% 19% 18% 16% 15% 20%

    POST-GRADUATE DEGREE 211 86 112 13 86 125 75 130 42 20 9 10 57 31 - 4 38 70 103 38 96 110 [E.G. MA, MBA, LLD, 18% 14% 21% 17% 14% 21% 17% 18% 13% 25% 30% 19% 15% 34% - 13% 19% 19% 18% 16% 15% 20%

    PHD]

    PREFER NOT TO ANSWER 3 2 1 - 2 1 2 - 1 - - - 1 - - - 1 - 2 - 1 1

    - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

    C H A R L E S K O C H I N S T I T U T E PAGE 4

  • Trump Voters and Criminal Justice Reform April 2017 PAGE 5

    Table 5-1 QUESTION QSTATE: In what state do you live?

    BANNER 1 CRIMINAL

    2016 PRESIDENTIAL TRUMP JUSTICE ELECTION VOTERS REFORM ECONOMIC VS. SOCIAL USR INCARCERATED ================= =========== =========== ===================================================== ================= =============

    ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON CONS CONS CONS MOD MOD MOD LIB LIB LIB CLIN- NO/ AND AND AND AND AND AND AND AND AND

    CLIN- TON/ SOME- SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SUB- TOTAL TRUMP TON OTHER TRUMP OTHER YES WHAT CONS MOD LIB CONS MOD LIB CONS MOD LIB URBAN URBAN RURAL YES NO ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------

    BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 1200 600 522 78 600 600 438 719 322 81 30 53 384 90 5 30 205 373 585 232 641 538

    100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

    ALABAMA 16 8 4 4 8 8 9 7 5 1 - 2 4 3 - - 1 2 10 3 9 7 1% 1% 1% 5% 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 1% - 4% 1% 3% - - - 1% 2% 1% 1% 1%

    ARKANSAS 15 9 6 - 9 6 4 9 8 - - 1 1 2 - - 3 4 4 7 8 6 1% 2% 1% - 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% - - 2% - 2% - - 1% 1% 1% 3% 1% 1%

    ARIZONA 15 7 7 1 7 8 5 9 3 1 - - 6 1 - 1 3 7 5 3 7 7 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% - - 2% 1% - 3% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1%

    CALIFORNIA 145 60 76 9 60 85 66 74 32 15 7 4 40 10 1 4 32 78 51 14 85 58 12% 10% 15% 12% 10% 14% 15% 10% 10% 19% 23% 8% 10% 11% 20% 13% 16% 21% 9% 6% 13% 11%

    COLORADO 16 6 6 4 6 10 1 14 5 2 1 1 4 - - - 3 4 10 2 11 5 1% 1% 1% 5% 1% 2% - 2% 2% 2% 3% 2% 1% - - - 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 1%

    CONNECTICUT 6 3 3 - 3 3 3 3 - - - - 2 1 - 1 2 1 4 1 1 5 1% 1% 1% - 1% 1% 1% - - - - - 1% 1% - 3% 1% - 1% - - 1%

    DIST. OF COLUMBIA 3 1 2 - 1 2 1 1 - - 1 - - - - - 2 2 1 - 2 1 - - - - - - - - - - 3% - - - - - 1% 1% - - - -

    DELAWARE 4 3 1 - 3 1 3 1 - - - - 2 - - 1 1 1 1 2 3 1 - 1% - - 1% - 1% - - - - - 1% - - 3% - - - 1% - -

    FLORIDA 93 51 41 1 51 42 30 58 21 5 1 4 38 9 - - 15 23 60 10 50 42 8% 9% 8% 1% 9% 7% 7% 8% 7% 6% 3% 8% 10% 10% - - 7% 6% 10% 4% 8% 8%

    GEORGIA 29 14 15 - 14 15 6 22 9 1 1 1 11 2 - - 4 6 17 6 18 9 2% 2% 3% - 2% 3% 1% 3% 3% 1% 3% 2% 3% 2% - - 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 2%

    HAWAII 6 2 4 - 2 4 1 4 2 - - - 2 1 - - 1 - 2 4 3 3 1% - 1% - - 1% - 1% 1% - - - 1% 1% - - - - - 2% - 1%

    IOWA 9 5 2 2 5 4 3 6 4 - 1 - 2 1 - - 1 5 3 1 3 6 1% 1% - 3% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% - 3% - 1% 1% - - - 1% 1% - - 1%

    IDAHO 3 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 2 - - - - - - - 1 - - 3 2 1 - - - 1% - - - - 1% - - - - - - - - - - 1% - -

    ILLINOIS 53 20 29 4 20 33 20 28 9 5 1 2 25 3 - 2 6 20 28 5 20 32 4% 3% 6% 5% 3% 6% 5% 4% 3% 6% 3% 4% 7% 3% - 7% 3% 5% 5% 2% 3% 6%

    INDIANA 31 23 6 2 23 8 6 22 15 2 - 1 8 - - - 5 - 20 11 17 14 3% 4% 1% 3% 4% 1% 1% 3% 5% 2% - 2% 2% - - - 2% - 3% 5% 3% 3%

    KANSAS 5 4 1 - 4 1 2 3 2 1 - - 2 - - - - 2 2 1 2 3 - 1% - - 1% - - - 1% 1% - - 1% - - - - 1% - - - 1%

    KENTUCKY 16 10 5 1 10 6 6 9 4 - - - 8 - 1 - 3 2 8 5 8 7 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% - - - 2% - 20% - 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1%

    C H A R L E S K O C H I N S T I T U T E PAGE 5

    Continued

  • Trump Voters and Criminal Justice Reform April 2017 PAGE 6

    Table 5-1 QUESTION QSTATE: In what state do you live?

    BANNER 1 CRIMINAL

    2016 PRESIDENTIAL TRUMP JUSTICE ELECTION VOTERS REFORM ECONOMIC VS. SOCIAL USR INCARCERATED ================= =========== =========== ===================================================== ================= =============

    ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON CONS CONS CONS MOD MOD MOD LIB LIB LIB CLIN- NO/ AND AND AND AND AND AND AND AND AND

    CLIN- TON/ SOME- SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SUB- TOTAL TRUMP TON OTHER TRUMP OTHER YES WHAT CONS MOD LIB CONS MOD LIB CONS MOD LIB URBAN URBAN RURAL YES NO ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------

    LOUISIANA 22 13 9 - 13 9 9 13 6 3 - 3 5 2 - - 3 7 10 5 16 6

    2% 2% 2% - 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 4% - 6% 1% 2% - - 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1%

    MASSACHUSETTS 23 9 13 1 9 14 15 8 7 1 - - 7 4 - - 4 3 17 3 5 16 2% 2% 2% 1% 2% 2% 3% 1% 2% 1% - - 2% 4% - - 2% 1% 3% 1% 1% 3%

    MARYLAND 20 10 10 - 10 10 4 14 6 2 - - 2 4 - 1 5 5 12 3 10 10 2% 2% 2% - 2% 2% 1% 2% 2% 2% - - 1% 4% - 3% 2% 1% 2% 1% 2% 2%

    MAINE 5 4 1 - 4 1 1 4 1 - - - 3 - - - 1 1 1 3 4 1 - 1% - - 1% - - 1% - - - - 1% - - - - - - 1% 1% -

    MICHIGAN 38 22 15 1 22 16 12 25 14 2 - 2 11 2 - 1 6 15 15 8 24 14 3% 4% 3% 1% 4% 3% 3% 3% 4% 2% - 4% 3% 2% - 3% 3% 4% 3% 3% 4% 3%

    MINNESOTA 17 6 10 1 6 11 7 10 5 1 - 1 3 4 - 1 2 4 8 5 3 13 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% 2% 1% - 2% 1% 4% - 3% 1% 1% 1% 2% - 2%

    MISSOURI 35 22 11 2 22 13 11 23 11 3 2 5 7 2 - 1 4 9 17 9 20 15 3% 4% 2% 3% 4% 2% 3% 3% 3% 4% 7% 9% 2% 2% - 3% 2% 2% 3% 4% 3% 3%

    MISSISSIPPI 4 3 1 - 3 1 1 1 1 - - - 2 - - - 1 - 1 2 3 1 - 1% - - 1% - - - - - - - 1% - - - - - - 1% - -

    MONTANA 2 2 - - 2 - 1 1 1 1 - - - - - - - - - 2 2 - - - - - - - - - - 1% - - - - - - - - - 1% - -

    NORTH CAROLINA 32 18 13 1 18 14 13 18 9 - 1 3 10 5 - 1 3 6 15 10 18 14 3% 3% 2% 1% 3% 2% 3% 3% 3% - 3% 6% 3% 6% - 3% 1% 2% 3% 4% 3% 3%

    NORTH DAKOTA 2 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 1 - - 1 - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - - 1% - - - - - - - 2% - - - - - - - - - -

    NEBRASKA 8 5 2 1 5 3 1 6 1 - 2 - 3 1 - - 1 1 4 2 4 4 1% 1% - 1% 1% 1% - 1% - - 7% - 1% 1% - - - - 1% 1% 1% 1%

    NEW HAMPSHIRE 4 2 2 - 2 2 1 3 1 - - - 2 - - - 1 - 3 1 2 2 - - - - - - - - - - - - 1% - - - - - 1% - - -

    NEW JERSEY 33 10 19 4 10 23 10 23 7 2 1 - 12 - - 1 10 5 21 7 15 17 3% 2% 4% 5% 2% 4% 2% 3% 2% 2% 3% - 3% - - 3% 5% 1% 4% 3% 2% 3%

    NEW MEXICO 3 - 1 2 - 3 1 2 1 - 1 - 1 - - - - - 3 - 3 - - - - 3% - 1% - - - - 3% - - - - - - - 1% - - -

    NEVADA 16 8 7 1 8 8 8 8 2 - - 1 8 2 1 - 2 9 6 1 10 6 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% - - 2% 2% 2% 20% - 1% 2% 1% - 2% 1%

    NEW YORK 86 34 45 7 34 52 37 48 18 3 - 5 25 9 - 3 23 50 29 7 34 49 7% 6% 9% 9% 6% 9% 8% 7% 6% 4% - 9% 7% 10% - 10% 11% 13% 5% 3% 5% 9%

    OHIO 57 26 30 1 26 31 19 37 18 4 2 3 15 4 1 4 6 16 33 8 33 23 5% 4% 6% 1% 4% 5% 4% 5% 6% 5% 7% 6% 4% 4% 20% 13% 3% 4% 6% 3% 5% 4%

    C H A R L E S K O C H I N S T I T U T E PAGE 6

    Continued

  • Trump Voters and Criminal Justice Reform April 2017 PAGE 7

    Table 5-1 QUESTION QSTATE: In what state do you live?

    BANNER 1 CRIMINAL

    2016 PRESIDENTIAL TRUMP JUSTICE ELECTION VOTERS REFORM ECONOMIC VS. SOCIAL USR INCARCERATED ================= =========== =========== ===================================================== ================= =============

    ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON CONS CONS CONS MOD MOD MOD LIB LIB LIB CLIN- NO/ AND AND AND AND AND AND AND AND AND

    CLIN- TON/ SOME- SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SUB- TOTAL TRUMP TON OTHER TRUMP OTHER YES WHAT CONS MOD LIB CONS MOD LIB CONS MOD LIB URBAN URBAN RURAL YES NO ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------

    OKLAHOMA 11 8 1 2 8 3 4 7 3 - - 1 4 1 - - 2 4 3 3 5 5

    1% 1% - 3% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% - - 2% 1% 1% - - 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%

    OREGON 19 8 9 2 8 11 6 12 3 1 - 2 8 1 - - 4 8 6 5 12 7 2% 1% 2% 3% 1% 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% - 4% 2% 1% - - 2% 2% 1% 2% 2% 1%

    PENNSYLVANIA 54 26 23 5 26 28 22 30 15 5 - 1 18 4 - 5 6 16 23 15 32 22 5% 4% 4% 6% 4% 5% 5% 4% 5% 6% - 2% 5% 4% - 17% 3% 4% 4% 6% 5% 4%

    RHODE ISLAND 4 3 1 - 3 1 2 2 1 - - 1 1 - - - 1 1 3 - 2 2 - 1% - - 1% - - - - - - 2% - - - - - - 1% - - -

    SOUTH CAROLINA 22 15 6 1 15 7 5 16 8 3 2 - 6 - - 1 2 4 12 6 14 6 2% 3% 1% 1% 3% 1% 1% 2% 2% 4% 7% - 2% - - 3% 1% 1% 2% 3% 2% 1%

    SOUTH DAKOTA 1 - 1 - - 1 - 1 - - - - 1 - - - - - - 1 - 1 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

    TENNESSEE 26 17 9 - 17 9 8 16 8 3 2 1 7 1 - - 4 5 8 13 13 13 2% 3% 2% - 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 4% 7% 2% 2% 1% - - 2% 1% 1% 6% 2% 2%

    TEXAS 89 52 33 4 52 37 35 54 31 6 1 3 34 4 1 1 8 25 50 12 56 33 7% 9% 6% 5% 9% 6% 8% 8% 10% 7% 3% 6% 9% 4% 20% 3% 4% 7% 9% 5% 9% 6%

    UTAH 12 4 5 3 4 8 4 8 - - - 1 5 1 - 1 4 5 7 - 6 6 1% 1% 1% 4% 1% 1% 1% 1% - - - 2% 1% 1% - 3% 2% 1% 1% - 1% 1%

    VIRGINIA 44 23 20 1 23 21 16 28 7 5 3 1 12 3 - - 13 10 24 10 20 23 4% 4% 4% 1% 4% 4% 4% 4% 2% 6% 10% 2% 3% 3% - - 6% 3% 4% 4% 3% 4%

    VERMONT 2 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 1 - - - - - - - 1 - 1 1 - 2 - - - 1% - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

    WASHINGTON 15 8 6 1 8 7 5 9 2 - - 1 8 2 - - 2 2 10 3 10 5 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% - - 2% 2% 2% - - 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 1%

    WISCONSIN 20 8 8 4 8 12 6 14 8 2 - - 6 1 - - 3 5 11 4 10 10 2% 1% 2% 5% 1% 2% 1% 2% 2% 2% - - 2% 1% - - 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2%

    WEST VIRGINIA 8 4 2 2 4 4 3 5 4 1 - - 3 - - - - - 4 4 5 3 1% 1% - 3% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% - - 1% - - - - - 1% 2% 1% 1%

    WYOMING 1 1 - - 1 - 1 - - - - 1 - - - - - - - 1 1 - - - - - - - - - - - - 2% - - - - - - - - - -

    C H A R L E S K O C H I N S T I T U T E PAGE 7

  • Trump Voters and Criminal Justice Reform April 2017 PAGE 8

    Table 6-1 QUESTION 1: Which candidate did you vote for in the 2016 presidential election?

    BANNER 1 CRIMINAL

    2016 PRESIDENTIAL TRUMP JUSTICE ELECTION VOTERS REFORM ECONOMIC VS. SOCIAL USR INCARCERATED ================= =========== =========== ===================================================== ================= =============

    ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON CONS CONS CONS MOD MOD MOD LIB LIB LIB CLIN- NO/ AND AND AND AND AND AND AND AND AND

    CLIN- TON/ SOME- SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SUB- TOTAL TRUMP TON OTHER TRUMP OTHER YES WHAT CONS MOD LIB CONS MOD LIB CONS MOD LIB URBAN URBAN RURAL YES NO ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------

    BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 1200 600 522 78 600 600 438 719 322 81 30 53 384 90 5 30 205 373 585 232 641 538

    100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

    HILARY CLINTON 522 - 522 - - 522 213 287 31 13 13 18 180 71 3 19 174 206 243 70 274 239 44% - 100% - - 87% 49% 40% 10% 16% 43% 34% 47% 79% 60% 63% 85% 55% 42% 30% 43% 44%

    DONALD TRUMP 600 600 - - 600 - 201 380 271 64 13 27 184 12 2 8 19 140 306 150 324 265 50% 100% - - 100% - 46% 53% 84% 79% 43% 51% 48% 13% 40% 27% 9% 38% 52% 65% 51% 49%

    A DIFFERENT CANDIDATE 78 - - 78 - 78 24 52 20 4 4 8 20 7 - 3 12 27 36 12 43 34 7% - - 100% - 13% 5% 7% 6% 5% 13% 15% 5% 8% - 10% 6% 7% 6% 5% 7% 6%

    C H A R L E S K O C H I N S T I T U T E PAGE 8

  • Trump Voters and Criminal Justice Reform April 2017 PAGE 9

    Table 7-1 QUESTION 1X_1-1X_8: How important are each of these issues to you?

    SUMMARY TABLE OF VERY IMPORTANT

    BANNER 1 CRIMINAL 2016 PRESIDENTIAL TRUMP JUSTICE

    ELECTION VOTERS REFORM ECONOMIC VS. SOCIAL USR INCARCERATED ================= =========== =========== ===================================================== ================= ============= ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON

    CONS CONS CONS MOD MOD MOD LIB LIB LIB CLIN- NO/ AND AND AND AND AND AND AND AND AND CLIN- TON/ SOME- SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SUB-

    TOTAL TRUMP TON OTHER TRUMP OTHER YES WHAT CONS MOD LIB CONS MOD LIB CONS MOD LIB URBAN URBAN RURAL YES NO ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------

    BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 1200 600 522 78 600 600 438 719 322 81 30 53 384 90 5 30 205 373 585 232 641 538 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

    HEALTHCARE 927 438 432 57 438 489 349 548 244 56 19 40 301 69 4 22 172 301 435 185 513 402 77% 73% 83% 73% 73% 82% 80% 76% 76% 69% 63% 75% 78% 77% 80% 73% 84% 81% 74% 80% 80% 75%

    FREEDOM OF SPEECH 893 436 399 58 436 457 341 527 239 61 25 37 278 69 4 20 160 283 428 175 494 383 74% 73% 76% 74% 73% 76% 78% 73% 74% 75% 83% 70% 72% 77% 80% 67% 78% 76% 73% 75% 77% 71%

    JOBS 841 426 365 50 426 415 313 498 229 53 18 42 276 53 4 18 148 266 399 170 467 357 70% 71% 70% 64% 71% 69% 71% 69% 71% 65% 60% 79% 72% 59% 80% 60% 72% 71% 68% 73% 73% 66%

    CRIMINAL JUSTICE, POLICE, 797 405 348 44 405 392 331 441 224 51 15 37 251 56 4 13 146 253 384 155 454 333 AND THE COURTS 66% 68% 67% 56% 68% 65% 76% 61% 70% 63% 50% 70% 65% 62% 80% 43% 71% 68% 66% 67% 71% 62%

    TAXES 727 393 290 44 393 334 276 428 226 54 24 30 239 38 2 9 105 215 365 141 395 320 61% 66% 56% 56% 66% 56% 63% 60% 70% 67% 80% 57% 62% 42% 40% 30% 51% 58% 62% 61% 62% 59%

    K-12 EDUCATION 681 298 338 45 298 383 275 385 164 41 15 30 219 57 2 15 138 235 314 128 390 279 57% 50% 65% 58% 50% 64% 63% 54% 51% 51% 50% 57% 57% 63% 40% 50% 67% 63% 54% 55% 61% 52%

    AMERICAN FOREIGN POLICY 670 348 289 33 348 322 274 374 199 58 23 32 193 40 - 10 115 195 350 122 358 300 56% 58% 55% 42% 58% 54% 63% 52% 62% 72% 77% 60% 50% 44% - 33% 56% 52% 60% 53% 56% 56%

    TECHNOLOGY & INNOVATION 542 259 250 33 259 283 226 304 136 37 13 21 183 32 3 10 107 181 266 91 299 232 45% 43% 48% 42% 43% 47% 52% 42% 42% 46% 43% 40% 48% 36% 60% 33% 52% 49% 45% 39% 47% 43%

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  • Trump Voters and Criminal Justice Reform April 2017 PAGE 10

    Table 8-1 QUESTION 1X_1-1X_8: How important are each of these issues to you?

    SUMMARY TABLE OF IMPORTANT

    BANNER 1 CRIMINAL 2016 PRESIDENTIAL TRUMP JUSTICE

    ELECTION VOTERS REFORM ECONOMIC VS. SOCIAL USR INCARCERATED ================= =========== =========== ===================================================== ================= ============= ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON

    CONS CONS CONS MOD MOD MOD LIB LIB LIB CLIN- NO/ AND AND AND AND AND AND AND AND AND CLIN- TON/ SOME- SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SUB-

    TOTAL TRUMP TON OTHER TRUMP OTHER YES WHAT CONS MOD LIB CONS MOD LIB CONS MOD LIB URBAN URBAN RURAL YES NO ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------

    BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 1200 600 522 78 600 600 438 719 322 81 30 53 384 90 5 30 205 373 585 232 641 538 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

    FREEDOM OF SPEECH 1133 568 496 69 568 565 407 687 304 77 30 46 366 85 5 27 193 351 555 219 606 507 94% 95% 95% 88% 95% 94% 93% 96% 94% 95% 100% 87% 95% 94% 100% 90% 94% 94% 95% 94% 95% 94%

    HEALTHCARE 1126 553 503 70 553 573 410 678 298 74 29 47 365 86 4 26 197 357 545 217 612 497 94% 92% 96% 90% 92% 96% 94% 94% 93% 91% 97% 89% 95% 96% 80% 87% 96% 96% 93% 94% 95% 92%

    JOBS 1122 562 490 70 562 560 409 676 303 76 27 49 359 83 5 26 194 348 548 219 605 497 94% 94% 94% 90% 94% 93% 93% 94% 94% 94% 90% 92% 93% 92% 100% 87% 95% 93% 94% 94% 94% 92%

    CRIMINAL JUSTICE, POLICE, 1115 554 492 69 554 561 409 669 303 76 26 46 355 83 5 26 195 350 547 210 603 493 AND THE COURTS 93% 92% 94% 88% 92% 94% 93% 93% 94% 94% 87% 87% 92% 92% 100% 87% 95% 94% 94% 91% 94% 92%

    TAXES 1081 550 465 66 550 531 390 654 299 74 29 46 353 75 4 23 178 333 536 205 580 485 90% 92% 89% 85% 92% 89% 89% 91% 93% 91% 97% 87% 92% 83% 80% 77% 87% 89% 92% 88% 90% 90%

    AMERICAN FOREIGN POLICY 1079 539 479 61 539 540 394 653 290 78 29 47 339 81 3 24 188 329 538 207 584 477 90% 90% 92% 78% 90% 90% 90% 91% 90% 96% 97% 89% 88% 90% 60% 80% 92% 88% 92% 89% 91% 89%

    TECHNOLOGY & INNOVATION 1031 507 464 60 507 524 391 609 270 67 26 38 343 75 4 24 184 328 512 185 562 452 86% 85% 89% 77% 85% 87% 89% 85% 84% 83% 87% 72% 89% 83% 80% 80% 90% 88% 88% 80% 88% 84%

    K-12 EDUCATION 1024 497 463 64 497 527 388 602 268 67 26 41 330 77 4 24 187 329 500 190 570 439 85% 83% 89% 82% 83% 88% 89% 84% 83% 83% 87% 77% 86% 86% 80% 80% 91% 88% 85% 82% 89% 82%

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  • Trump Voters and Criminal Justice Reform April 2017 PAGE 11

    Table 9-1 QUESTION 1X_1-1X_8: How important are each of these issues to you?

    SUMMARY TABLE OF NOT IMPORTANT

    BANNER 1 CRIMINAL 2016 PRESIDENTIAL TRUMP JUSTICE

    ELECTION VOTERS REFORM ECONOMIC VS. SOCIAL USR INCARCERATED ================= =========== =========== ===================================================== ================= ============= ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON

    CONS CONS CONS MOD MOD MOD LIB LIB LIB CLIN- NO/ AND AND AND AND AND AND AND AND AND CLIN- TON/ SOME- SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SUB-

    TOTAL TRUMP TON OTHER TRUMP OTHER YES WHAT CONS MOD LIB CONS MOD LIB CONS MOD LIB URBAN URBAN RURAL YES NO ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------

    BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 1200 600 522 78 600 600 438 719 322 81 30 53 384 90 5 30 205 373 585 232 641 538 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

    TECHNOLOGY & INNOVATION 156 87 54 15 87 69 43 103 49 10 4 14 39 14 1 6 19 40 68 44 74 78 13% 15% 10% 19% 15% 12% 10% 14% 15% 12% 13% 26% 10% 16% 20% 20% 9% 11% 12% 19% 12% 14%

    K-12 EDUCATION 149 89 49 11 89 60 43 100 47 13 3 10 47 10 1 2 16 40 70 35 63 81 12% 15% 9% 14% 15% 10% 10% 14% 15% 16% 10% 19% 12% 11% 20% 7% 8% 11% 12% 15% 10% 15%

    TAXES 102 41 50 11 41 61 44 54 20 5 1 5 25 13 1 7 25 36 38 25 58 40 9% 7% 10% 14% 7% 10% 10% 8% 6% 6% 3% 9% 7% 14% 20% 23% 12% 10% 6% 11% 9% 7%

    AMERICAN FOREIGN POLICY 100 50 37 13 50 50 32 60 26 3 1 5 37 7 2 5 14 33 41 22 47 51 8% 8% 7% 17% 8% 8% 7% 8% 8% 4% 3% 9% 10% 8% 40% 17% 7% 9% 7% 9% 7% 9%

    CRIMINAL JUSTICE, POLICE, 69 39 22 8 39 30 23 42 17 4 4 6 23 4 - 4 7 18 29 20 32 35 AND THE COURTS 6% 7% 4% 10% 7% 5% 5% 6% 5% 5% 13% 11% 6% 4% - 13% 3% 5% 5% 9% 5% 7%

    JOBS 59 28 24 7 28 31 23 31 15 3 3 3 18 5 - 4 8 19 26 11 28 30 5% 5% 5% 9% 5% 5% 5% 4% 5% 4% 10% 6% 5% 6% - 13% 4% 5% 4% 5% 4% 6%

    HEALTHCARE 54 38 11 5 38 16 20 32 18 5 1 6 12 2 1 4 5 11 27 13 25 25 5% 6% 2% 6% 6% 3% 5% 4% 6% 6% 3% 11% 3% 2% 20% 13% 2% 3% 5% 6% 4% 5%

    FREEDOM OF SPEECH 49 24 19 6 24 25 24 22 16 2 - 5 13 2 - 3 8 17 19 11 26 22 4% 4% 4% 8% 4% 4% 5% 3% 5% 2% - 9% 3% 2% - 10% 4% 5% 3% 5% 4% 4%

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  • Trump Voters and Criminal Justice Reform April 2017 PAGE 12

    Table 10-1 QUESTION 1X_1: How important are each of these issues to you?

    CRIMINAL JUSTICE, POLICE, AND THE COURTS

    BANNER 1 CRIMINAL 2016 PRESIDENTIAL TRUMP JUSTICE

    ELECTION VOTERS REFORM ECONOMIC VS. SOCIAL USR INCARCERATED ================= =========== =========== ===================================================== ================= ============= ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON

    CONS CONS CONS MOD MOD MOD LIB LIB LIB CLIN- NO/ AND AND AND AND AND AND AND AND AND CLIN- TON/ SOME- SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SUB-

    TOTAL TRUMP TON OTHER TRUMP OTHER YES WHAT CONS MOD LIB CONS MOD LIB CONS MOD LIB URBAN URBAN RURAL YES NO ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------

    BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 1200 600 522 78 600 600 438 719 322 81 30 53 384 90 5 30 205 373 585 232 641 538 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

    IMPORTANT 1115 554 492 69 554 561 409 669 303 76 26 46 355 83 5 26 195 350 547 210 603 493 --------- 93% 92% 94% 88% 92% 94% 93% 93% 94% 94% 87% 87% 92% 92% 100% 87% 95% 94% 94% 91% 94% 92%

    VERY IMPORTANT 797 405 348 44 405 392 331 441 224 51 15 37 251 56 4 13 146 253 384 155 454 333 66% 68% 67% 56% 68% 65% 76% 61% 70% 63% 50% 70% 65% 62% 80% 43% 71% 68% 66% 67% 71% 62%

    SOMEWHAT IMPORTANT 318 149 144 25 149 169 78 228 79 25 11 9 104 27 1 13 49 97 163 55 149 160 27% 25% 28% 32% 25% 28% 18% 32% 25% 31% 37% 17% 27% 30% 20% 43% 24% 26% 28% 24% 23% 30%

    NOT IMPORTANT 69 39 22 8 39 30 23 42 17 4 4 6 23 4 - 4 7 18 29 20 32 35 ------------- 6% 7% 4% 10% 7% 5% 5% 6% 5% 5% 13% 11% 6% 4% - 13% 3% 5% 5% 9% 5% 7%

    NOT TOO IMPORTANT 47 27 13 7 27 20 11 35 13 3 4 4 15 3 - 3 2 12 23 12 21 26 4% 5% 2% 9% 5% 3% 3% 5% 4% 4% 13% 8% 4% 3% - 10% 1% 3% 4% 5% 3% 5%

    NOT AT ALL IMPORTANT 22 12 9 1 12 10 12 7 4 1 - 2 8 1 - 1 5 6 6 8 11 9 2% 2% 2% 1% 2% 2% 3% 1% 1% 1% - 4% 2% 1% - 3% 2% 2% 1% 3% 2% 2%

    DON'T KNOW 16 7 8 1 7 9 6 8 2 1 - 1 6 3 - - 3 5 9 2 6 10 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% - 2% 2% 3% - - 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2%

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  • Trump Voters and Criminal Justice Reform April 2017 PAGE 13

    Table 11-1 QUESTION 1X_2: How important are each of these issues to you?

    TECHNOLOGY & INNOVATION

    BANNER 1 CRIMINAL 2016 PRESIDENTIAL TRUMP JUSTICE

    ELECTION VOTERS REFORM ECONOMIC VS. SOCIAL USR INCARCERATED ================= =========== =========== ===================================================== ================= ============= ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON

    CONS CONS CONS MOD MOD MOD LIB LIB LIB CLIN- NO/ AND AND AND AND AND AND AND AND AND CLIN- TON/ SOME- SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SUB-

    TOTAL TRUMP TON OTHER TRUMP OTHER YES WHAT CONS MOD LIB CONS MOD LIB CONS MOD LIB URBAN URBAN RURAL YES NO ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------

    BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 1200 600 522 78 600 600 438 719 322 81 30 53 384 90 5 30 205 373 585 232 641 538 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

    IMPORTANT 1031 507 464 60 507 524 391 609 270 67 26 38 343 75 4 24 184 328 512 185 562 452 --------- 86% 85% 89% 77% 85% 87% 89% 85% 84% 83% 87% 72% 89% 83% 80% 80% 90% 88% 88% 80% 88% 84%

    VERY IMPORTANT 542 259 250 33 259 283 226 304 136 37 13 21 183 32 3 10 107 181 266 91 299 232 45% 43% 48% 42% 43% 47% 52% 42% 42% 46% 43% 40% 48% 36% 60% 33% 52% 49% 45% 39% 47% 43%

    SOMEWHAT IMPORTANT 489 248 214 27 248 241 165 305 134 30 13 17 160 43 1 14 77 147 246 94 263 220 41% 41% 41% 35% 41% 40% 38% 42% 42% 37% 43% 32% 42% 48% 20% 47% 38% 39% 42% 41% 41% 41%

    NOT IMPORTANT 156 87 54 15 87 69 43 103 49 10 4 14 39 14 1 6 19 40 68 44 74 78 ------------- 13% 15% 10% 19% 15% 12% 10% 14% 15% 12% 13% 26% 10% 16% 20% 20% 9% 11% 12% 19% 12% 14%

    NOT TOO IMPORTANT 129 74 43 12 74 55 34 90 40 9 3 13 29 13 1 5 16 35 59 33 64 62 11% 12% 8% 15% 12% 9% 8% 13% 12% 11% 10% 25% 8% 14% 20% 17% 8% 9% 10% 14% 10% 12%

    NOT AT ALL IMPORTANT 27 13 11 3 13 14 9 13 9 1 1 1 10 1 - 1 3 5 9 11 10 16 2% 2% 2% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 1% 3% 2% 3% 1% - 3% 1% 1% 2% 5% 2% 3%

    DON'T KNOW 13 6 4 3 6 7 4 7 3 4 - 1 2 1 - - 2 5 5 3 5 8 1% 1% 1% 4% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 5% - 2% 1% 1% - - 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%

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  • Trump Voters and Criminal Justice Reform April 2017 PAGE 14

    Table 12-1 QUESTION 1X_3: How important are each of these issues to you?

    AMERICAN FOREIGN POLICY

    BANNER 1 CRIMINAL 2016 PRESIDENTIAL TRUMP JUSTICE

    ELECTION VOTERS REFORM ECONOMIC VS. SOCIAL USR INCARCERATED ================= =========== =========== ===================================================== ================= ============= ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON

    CONS CONS CONS MOD MOD MOD LIB LIB LIB CLIN- NO/ AND AND AND AND AND AND AND AND AND CLIN- TON/ SOME- SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SUB-

    TOTAL TRUMP TON OTHER TRUMP OTHER YES WHAT CONS MOD LIB CONS MOD LIB CONS MOD LIB URBAN URBAN RURAL YES NO ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------

    BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 1200 600 522 78 600 600 438 719 322 81 30 53 384 90 5 30 205 373 585 232 641 538 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

    IMPORTANT 1079 539 479 61 539 540 394 653 290 78 29 47 339 81 3 24 188 329 538 207 584 477 --------- 90% 90% 92% 78% 90% 90% 90% 91% 90% 96% 97% 89% 88% 90% 60% 80% 92% 88% 92% 89% 91% 89%

    VERY IMPORTANT 670 348 289 33 348 322 274 374 199 58 23 32 193 40 - 10 115 195 350 122 358 300 56% 58% 55% 42% 58% 54% 63% 52% 62% 72% 77% 60% 50% 44% - 33% 56% 52% 60% 53% 56% 56%

    SOMEWHAT IMPORTANT 409 191 190 28 191 218 120 279 91 20 6 15 146 41 3 14 73 134 188 85 226 177 34% 32% 36% 36% 32% 36% 27% 39% 28% 25% 20% 28% 38% 46% 60% 47% 36% 36% 32% 37% 35% 33%

    NOT IMPORTANT 100 50 37 13 50 50 32 60 26 3 1 5 37 7 2 5 14 33 41 22 47 51 ------------- 8% 8% 7% 17% 8% 8% 7% 8% 8% 4% 3% 9% 10% 8% 40% 17% 7% 9% 7% 9% 7% 9%

    NOT TOO IMPORTANT 69 33 25 11 33 36 19 46 18 2 1 3 24 5 1 5 10 22 33 13 31 38 6% 6% 5% 14% 6% 6% 4% 6% 6% 2% 3% 6% 6% 6% 20% 17% 5% 6% 6% 6% 5% 7%

    NOT AT ALL IMPORTANT 31 17 12 2 17 14 13 14 8 1 - 2 13 2 1 - 4 11 8 9 16 13 3% 3% 2% 3% 3% 2% 3% 2% 2% 1% - 4% 3% 2% 20% - 2% 3% 1% 4% 2% 2%

    DON'T KNOW 21 11 6 4 11 10 12 6 6 - - 1 8 2 - 1 3 11 6 3 10 10 2% 2% 1% 5% 2% 2% 3% 1% 2% - - 2% 2% 2% - 3% 1% 3% 1% 1% 2% 2%

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  • Trump Voters and Criminal Justice Reform April 2017 PAGE 15

    Table 13-1 QUESTION 1X_4: How important are each of these issues to you?

    HEALTHCARE

    BANNER 1 CRIMINAL 2016 PRESIDENTIAL TRUMP JUSTICE

    ELECTION VOTERS REFORM ECONOMIC VS. SOCIAL USR INCARCERATED ================= =========== =========== ===================================================== ================= ============= ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON

    CONS CONS CONS MOD MOD MOD LIB LIB LIB CLIN- NO/ AND AND AND AND AND AND AND AND AND CLIN- TON/ SOME- SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SUB-

    TOTAL TRUMP TON OTHER TRUMP OTHER YES WHAT CONS MOD LIB CONS MOD LIB CONS MOD LIB URBAN URBAN RURAL YES NO ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------

    BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 1200 600 522 78 600 600 438 719 322 81 30 53 384 90 5 30 205 373 585 232 641 538 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

    IMPORTANT 1126 553 503 70 553 573 410 678 298 74 29 47 365 86 4 26 197 357 545 217 612 497 --------- 94% 92% 96% 90% 92% 96% 94% 94% 93% 91% 97% 89% 95% 96% 80% 87% 96% 96% 93% 94% 95% 92%

    VERY IMPORTANT 927 438 432 57 438 489 349 548 244 56 19 40 301 69 4 22 172 301 435 185 513 402 77% 73% 83% 73% 73% 82% 80% 76% 76% 69% 63% 75% 78% 77% 80% 73% 84% 81% 74% 80% 80% 75%

    SOMEWHAT IMPORTANT 199 115 71 13 115 84 61 130 54 18 10 7 64 17 - 4 25 56 110 32 99 95 17% 19% 14% 17% 19% 14% 14% 18% 17% 22% 33% 13% 17% 19% - 13% 12% 15% 19% 14% 15% 18%

    NOT IMPORTANT 54 38 11 5 38 16 20 32 18 5 1 6 12 2 1 4 5 11 27 13 25 25 ------------- 5% 6% 2% 6% 6% 3% 5% 4% 6% 6% 3% 11% 3% 2% 20% 13% 2% 3% 5% 6% 4% 5%

    NOT TOO IMPORTANT 29 21 4 4 21 8 7 22 11 2 - 3 8 - - 3 2 7 15 7 14 14 2% 4% 1% 5% 4% 1% 2% 3% 3% 2% - 6% 2% - - 10% 1% 2% 3% 3% 2% 3%

    NOT AT ALL IMPORTANT 25 17 7 1 17 8 13 10 7 3 1 3 4 2 1 1 3 4 12 6 11 11 2% 3% 1% 1% 3% 1% 3% 1% 2% 4% 3% 6% 1% 2% 20% 3% 1% 1% 2% 3% 2% 2%

    DON'T KNOW 20 9 8 3 9 11 8 9 6 2 - - 7 2 - - 3 5 13 2 4 16 2% 2% 2% 4% 2% 2% 2% 1% 2% 2% - - 2% 2% - - 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 3%

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  • Trump Voters and Criminal Justice Reform April 2017 PAGE 16

    Table 14-1 QUESTION 1X_5: How important are each of these issues to you?

    K-12 EDUCATION

    BANNER 1 CRIMINAL 2016 PRESIDENTIAL TRUMP JUSTICE

    ELECTION VOTERS REFORM ECONOMIC VS. SOCIAL USR INCARCERATED ================= =========== =========== ===================================================== ================= ============= ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON

    CONS CONS CONS MOD MOD MOD LIB LIB LIB CLIN- NO/ AND AND AND AND AND AND AND AND AND CLIN- TON/ SOME- SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SUB-

    TOTAL TRUMP TON OTHER TRUMP OTHER YES WHAT CONS MOD LIB CONS MOD LIB CONS MOD LIB URBAN URBAN RURAL YES NO ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------

    BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 1200 600 522 78 600 600 438 719 322 81 30 53 384 90 5 30 205 373 585 232 641 538 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

    IMPORTANT 1024 497 463 64 497 527 388 602 268 67 26 41 330 77 4 24 187 329 500 190 570 439 --------- 85% 83% 89% 82% 83% 88% 89% 84% 83% 83% 87% 77% 86% 86% 80% 80% 91% 88% 85% 82% 89% 82%

    VERY IMPORTANT 681 298 338 45 298 383 275 385 164 41 15 30 219 57 2 15 138 235 314 128 390 279 57% 50% 65% 58% 50% 64% 63% 54% 51% 51% 50% 57% 57% 63% 40% 50% 67% 63% 54% 55% 61% 52%

    SOMEWHAT IMPORTANT 343 199 125 19 199 144 113 217 104 26 11 11 111 20 2 9 49 94 186 62 180 160 29% 33% 24% 24% 33% 24% 26% 30% 32% 32% 37% 21% 29% 22% 40% 30% 24% 25% 32% 27% 28% 30%

    NOT IMPORTANT 149 89 49 11 89 60 43 100 47 13 3 10 47 10 1 2 16 40 70 35 63 81 ------------- 12% 15% 9% 14% 15% 10% 10% 14% 15% 16% 10% 19% 12% 11% 20% 7% 8% 11% 12% 15% 10% 15%

    NOT TOO IMPORTANT 95 52 35 8 52 43 24 70 30 9 3 6 27 5 1 2 12 30 43 21 40 51 8% 9% 7% 10% 9% 7% 5% 10% 9% 11% 10% 11% 7% 6% 20% 7% 6% 8% 7% 9% 6% 9%

    NOT AT ALL IMPORTANT 54 37 14 3 37 17 19 30 17 4 - 4 20 5 - - 4 10 27 14 23 30 5% 6% 3% 4% 6% 3% 4% 4% 5% 5% - 8% 5% 6% - - 2% 3% 5% 6% 4% 6%

    DON'T KNOW 27 14 10 3 14 13 7 17 7 1 1 2 7 3 - 4 2 4 15 7 8 18 2% 2% 2% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 3% 4% 2% 3% - 13% 1% 1% 3% 3% 1% 3%

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  • Trump Voters and Criminal Justice Reform April 2017 PAGE 17

    Table 15-1 QUESTION 1X_6: How important are each of these issues to you?

    JOBS

    BANNER 1 CRIMINAL 2016 PRESIDENTIAL TRUMP JUSTICE

    ELECTION VOTERS REFORM ECONOMIC VS. SOCIAL USR INCARCERATED ================= =========== =========== ===================================================== ================= ============= ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON

    CONS CONS CONS MOD MOD MOD LIB LIB LIB CLIN- NO/ AND AND AND AND AND AND AND AND AND CLIN- TON/ SOME- SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SUB-

    TOTAL TRUMP TON OTHER TRUMP OTHER YES WHAT CONS MOD LIB CONS MOD LIB CONS MOD LIB URBAN URBAN RURAL YES NO ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------

    BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 1200 600 522 78 600 600 438 719 322 81 30 53 384 90 5 30 205 373 585 232 641 538 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

    IMPORTANT 1122 562 490 70 562 560 409 676 303 76 27 49 359 83 5 26 194 348 548 219 605 497 --------- 94% 94% 94% 90% 94% 93% 93% 94% 94% 94% 90% 92% 93% 92% 100% 87% 95% 93% 94% 94% 94% 92%

    VERY IMPORTANT 841 426 365 50 426 415 313 498 229 53 18 42 276 53 4 18 148 266 399 170 467 357 70% 71% 70% 64% 71% 69% 71% 69% 71% 65% 60% 79% 72% 59% 80% 60% 72% 71% 68% 73% 73% 66%

    SOMEWHAT IMPORTANT 281 136 125 20 136 145 96 178 74 23 9 7 83 30 1 8 46 82 149 49 138 140 23% 23% 24% 26% 23% 24% 22% 25% 23% 28% 30% 13% 22% 33% 20% 27% 22% 22% 25% 21% 22% 26%

    NOT IMPORTANT 59 28 24 7 28 31 23 31 15 3 3 3 18 5 - 4 8 19 26 11 28 30 ------------- 5% 5% 5% 9% 5% 5% 5% 4% 5% 4% 10% 6% 5% 6% - 13% 4% 5% 4% 5% 4% 6%

    NOT TOO IMPORTANT 41 20 15 6 20 21 15 24 11 3 3 - 11 3 - 4 6 14 20 7 21 20 3% 3% 3% 8% 3% 4% 3% 3% 3% 4% 10% - 3% 3% - 13% 3% 4% 3% 3% 3% 4%

    NOT AT ALL IMPORTANT 18 8 9 1 8 10 8 7 4 - - 3 7 2 - - 2 5 6 4 7 10 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% 1% - - 6% 2% 2% - - 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 2%

    DON'T KNOW 19 10 8 1 10 9 6 12 4 2 - 1 7 2 - - 3 6 11 2 8 11 2% 2% 2% 1% 2% 2% 1% 2% 1% 2% - 2% 2% 2% - - 1% 2% 2% 1% 1% 2%

    C H A R L E S K O C H I N S T I T U T E PAGE 17

  • Trump Voters and Criminal Justice Reform April 2017 PAGE 18

    Table 16-1 QUESTION 1X_7: How important are each of these issues to you?

    FREEDOM OF SPEECH

    BANNER 1 CRIMINAL 2016 PRESIDENTIAL TRUMP JUSTICE

    ELECTION VOTERS REFORM ECONOMIC VS. SOCIAL USR INCARCERATED ================= =========== =========== ===================================================== ================= ============= ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON ECON

    CONS CONS CONS MOD MOD MOD LIB LIB LIB CLIN- NO/ AND AND AND AND AND AND AND AND AND CLIN- TON/ SOME- SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SOC SUB-

    TOTAL TRUMP TON OTHER TRUMP OTHER YES WHAT CONS MOD LIB CONS MOD LIB CONS MOD LIB URBAN URBAN RURAL YES NO