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TRUANCY INTERVENTION: A STUDY OF DALLAS INDEPENDENT SCHOOL DISTRICT PARTICIPANTS IN THE DALLAS CHALLENGE TRUANCY AND CLASS C ENFORCEMENT CENTER James John Fairchild Jr., B.S. Thesis Prepared for the Degree of MASTER OF SCIENCE UNIVERSITY OF NORTH TEXAS August 2005 APPROVED: Tory Caeti, Major Professor Eric Fritsch, Committee Member Peggy Tobolowsky, Committee Member Robert W. Taylor, Chair of the Department of Criminal Justice David W. Hartman, Dean of the School of Community Service Sandra L. Terrell, Dean of the Robert B. Toulouse School of Graduate Studies

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TRUANCY INTERVENTION: A STUDY OF DALLAS INDEPENDENT SCHOOL

DISTRICT PARTICIPANTS IN THE DALLAS CHALLENGE TRUANCY AND CLASS C

ENFORCEMENT CENTER

James John Fairchild Jr., B.S.

Thesis Prepared for the Degree of

MASTER OF SCIENCE

UNIVERSITY OF NORTH TEXAS

August 2005

APPROVED: Tory Caeti, Major Professor Eric Fritsch, Committee Member Peggy Tobolowsky, Committee Member Robert W. Taylor, Chair of the Department of

Criminal Justice David W. Hartman, Dean of the School of

Community Service Sandra L. Terrell, Dean of the Robert B.

Toulouse School of Graduate Studies

Fairchild, James John, Jr. Truancy Intervention: A Study of Dallas Independent

School District Participants in the Dallas Challenge Truancy and Class C Enforcement

Center. Master of Science (Criminal Justice), August 2005, 96 pp., 77 tables,

references, 50 titles.

This research examines agency data for participants in a truancy intervention

program. Previous literature provides mostly descriptive information and fails to

examine the effects of truancy intervention efforts. The analysis provides a profile of

truant participants referred to the program and factors that correlate to successful

completion of the program requirements. The results will be applicable to the study

program as evaluation research and will be generalized for application to other truancy

programs. Directions for future truancy research will be suggested based on the need

to continue to evaluate truancy reduction efforts

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

Page LIST OF TABLES AND GRAPHS .................................................................................iv Chapters

1. INTRODUCTION ..................................................................................... 1 Risk and Protective Factors for Juvenile Delinquency Truancy as a Risk Factor for Juvenile Delinquency Overview of the Dallas Challenge Truancy and Class C Enforcement Center Program Overview of Remaining Chapters

2. LITERATURE REVIEW ......................................................................... 11

Truancy: What Is It? Truants: Who Are They? Truancy Prevention: What Is Being Done? Common Themes in Truancy Prevention Truancy: What Does It Cost?

3. METHODOLOGY .................................................................................. 24

Population to be Studied Data Collection Variables to be Examined Statistical Analysis Generalizability

4. ANALYSIS ............................................................................................. 33

Participant Overview School Related Variables Family Related Variables Personal Related Variables Profile of a Truant Juvenile Comparison of Successful and Unsuccessful Completion Groups

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Crosstabulation and Means Comparison Results for Demographic and Truancy Center Related Variables Crosstabulation Results for School Related Variables Crosstabulation and Means Comparison Results for Family Related Variables Crosstabulation and Means Comparison Results for Personal Related Variables Summary of Variables That Indicate a Change in Successful Completion of Truancy Center Program Requirements

5. CONCLUSIONS AND DISCUSSION..................................................... 82

Limitations Associated with Research Conclusions Implications of Analysis Results Generalization of Results to the Truancy Center and Beyond Future Research in Truancy Prevention and Intervention

REFERENCES............................................................................................................ 93

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LIST OF TABLES AND GRAPHS

Page Table 1 – Variables Included in Analysis....................................................................... 29 Graph 1 – Completion of Truancy Center Requirements by Sex .................................. 33 Graph 2 – Gender of Participants by Age...................................................................... 34 Graph 3 – Gender of Participants by Age and Ethnicity ................................................ 34 Graph 4 – Grade Level at Intake ................................................................................... 35 Graph 5 – Number of Grades Failed ............................................................................. 36 Table 2 – Parent Has Been Called to School for Juvenile’s Behavior ........................... 37 Table 3 – Parental Estimation of Juvenile # of Absences.............................................. 37 Table 4 – Juvenile Has Been Suspended/Expelled....................................................... 37 Table 5 – Juvenile has a Learning Disability ................................................................. 38 Table 6 – Juvenile is in Special Education Classes ...................................................... 38 Table 7 – Juvenile with Learning Disability in Special Education Classes..................... 39 Table 8 – Parent/Guardian That Juvenile Lives With .................................................... 39 Table 9 – Is Parent/Guardian Married ........................................................................... 39 Table 10 – Parent Employed......................................................................................... 40 Table 11 – Spouse Employed ....................................................................................... 40 Table 12 – Family has Medical Insurance ..................................................................... 40 Table 13 – Family Member with Criminal Involvement/Arrest ....................................... 40 Table 14 - # of Children in the Household ..................................................................... 41 Table 15 – Age Eligible Children Enrolled in School ..................................................... 41 Table 16 – Previously in Counseling/Treatment............................................................ 42

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Table 17 – Previous Dallas Challenge Referral............................................................. 42 Table 18 – Juvenile Reported Any Abuse ..................................................................... 42 Table 19 – Juvenile Reported Emotional Abuse ........................................................... 42 Table 20 – Juvenile Reported Physical Abuse .............................................................. 43 Table 21 – Juvenile Reported Sexual Abuse ................................................................ 43 Table 22 – Juvenile is Currently Employed ................................................................... 43 Table 23 – Juvenile Has Been Fired From a Job .......................................................... 43 Table 24 – Juvenile Has Use Nicotine........................................................................... 44 Table 25 – Juvenile Has Use Alcohol............................................................................ 44 Table 26 – Juvenile Has Used Marijuana...................................................................... 44 Table 27 – Juvenile Has Used Hard Drugs ................................................................... 45 Table 28 – Parental Knowledge of Alcohol Use ............................................................ 45 Table 29 – Parental Knowledge of Drug Use ................................................................ 45 Table 30 – Parental Knowledge of Marijuana Use ........................................................ 45 Table 31 – Parental Knowledge of Hard Drug Use ....................................................... 46 Table 32 – Parental Knowledge of Juvenile Involvement in Drug Sales ....................... 46 Table 33 – Exclusion from Logistic Regression for Missing Responses........................ 49 Table 34 – Variables Included in Regression and Significance..................................... 49 Table 35 – Regression Model Predicted Outcome for Successful/Unsuccessful

Completion............................................................................................................. 50 Table 36 - Completion Status and Sex Crosstabulation ................................................ 51 Table 37 - Completion Status and Ethnicity of Juvenile Crosstabulation....................... 52 Table 38 – Completion Status by Sex and Ethnicity Crosstabulation............................ 52 Table 39 – Comparison of Mean Age by Completion Status......................................... 54

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Table 40 - Completion Status and Previous Dallas Challenge Referral Crosstabulation

............................................................................................................................... 54 Table 41 - Completion Status and Parental Estimation of Absences Crosstabulation .. 55 Table 42 – Completion Status and Juvenile Suspended/Expelled Crosstabulation ...... 57 Table 43 – Completion Status and Parent Has Been Called to School Crosstabulation57 Table 44 – Completion Status by Parent Called and Juvenile Suspended/Expelled

Crosstabulation ...................................................................................................... 58 Table 45 - Completion Status and Juvenile Has a Learning Disability Crosstabulation 58 Table 46 - Completion Status and Juvenile is in Special Education Classes

Crosstabulation ...................................................................................................... 59 Table 47 - Completion Status and Number of Grades Failed Crosstabulation .............. 59 Table 48 - Completion Status and Juvenile Involvement in Extra-Curricular Activities

Crosstabulation ...................................................................................................... 60 Table 49 - Completion Status and Parent/Guardian Marital Status Crosstabulation ..... 61 Table 50 - Completion Status and Family Member That Juvenile Lives with

Crosstabulation ...................................................................................................... 62 Table 51 - Completion Status and Parent Employment Crosstabulation....................... 63 Table 52 - Completion Status and Parent Spouse Employment Crosstabulation.......... 64 Table 53 – Comparison of Number of Children in Home by Completion Status............ 64 Table 54 – Completion Status and Age Eligible Children Enrolled in School

Crosstabulation ...................................................................................................... 65 Table 55 - Completion Status and Medical Insurance Crosstabulation ......................... 65 Table 56 - Completion Status and Family Member with Criminal Involvement/Arrest

Crosstabulation ...................................................................................................... 66 Table 57 - Completion Status and Juvenile Nicotine Use Crosstabulation.................... 67 Table 58 - Completion Status and Juvenile Alcohol Use Crosstabulation..................... 67

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Table 59 - Completion Status and Juvenile Marijuana Use Crosstabulation ................. 68 Table 60 – Completion Status and Juvenile Hard Drug Use Crosstabulation ............... 68 Table 61 – Comparison of Age of First Use by Completion Status ............................... 69 Table 62 – Completion Status and Parental Knowledge of Alcohol Use Crosstabulation

............................................................................................................................... 70 Table 63 – Completion Status and Parental Knowledge of Marijuana Use

Crosstabulation ...................................................................................................... 70 Table 64 – Completion Status and Parental Knowledge of Hard Drug Use

Crosstabulation ...................................................................................................... 71 Table 65 – Completion Status and Parental Knowledge of Involvement in Drug Sales

Crosstabulation ...................................................................................................... 72 Table 66 – Completion Status and Juvenile Reported Abuse Crosstabulation ............. 72 Table 67 – Completion Status and Juvenile Reported Emotional Abuse Crosstabulation

............................................................................................................................... 73 Table 68 – Completion Status and Juvenile Reported Physical Abuse Crosstabulation73 Table 69 – Completion Status and Juvenile Reported Sexual Abuse Crosstabulation . 74 Table 70 – Completion Status and Juvenile Has Been Picked Up By Police

Crosstabulation ...................................................................................................... 75 Table 71 – Completion Status and Juvenile Has Been Arrested Crosstabulation ......... 75 Table 72 – Completion Status and Parent Reported Gang Involvement Crosstabulation

............................................................................................................................... 76 Table 73 – Completion Status and Juvenile is Employed Crosstabulation.................... 77 Table 74 – Completion Status and Juvenile Has Been Fired From a Job Crosstabulation

............................................................................................................................... 78 Table 75 – Completion Status and Juvenile Counseling/Treatment Crosstabulation .... 78 Table 76 - Variables Values Which Produced Significant Difference from Baseline

Successful Completion Percentage ....................................................................... 79

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Table 77 – Comparison of Percentages within Completion Status to Illustrate Effect on Program Completion .............................................................................................. 85

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CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION

With the ever-growing concern about crime in our society, researchers and

practitioners are continuously seeking options to reduce and prevent crime before it

occurs. The fact that juveniles (individuals under age 18) make up only 19% of the

population while accounting for 29% of criminal arrests (Cottle, Lee, and Heilbrun 2001)

has caused a great deal of attention to be placed on efforts being made in the juvenile

justice field. The juvenile justice system in this nation has made a commitment to deal

with the problem of juvenile crime and delinquency. This includes not only handling

those juveniles who commit crime and delinquent acts but also reducing the juvenile

crime rate and making efforts to prevent juveniles from ever committing crime or

becoming involved in the juvenile justice system. Reduction and prevention programs,

in general, are designed to address juvenile delinquency problems in the best possible

manner and to produce the most promising results.

Many recent efforts within the juvenile justice system have sought to determine

characteristics which place juveniles at risk for committing crime and to incorporate

services into programs that can address these risk factors. By identifying these factors

in the early development of the juvenile, researchers and program administrators hope

that intervention and education can reduce the likelihood that a juvenile will commit

crime (Hawkins, Herrenkohl, Farrington, Brewer, Catalano, Harachi and Cothern 2000).

Along this same line of reason, similar services can be provided to juveniles with a

history of minor delinquency and status offenses in the effort to prevent escalation to

more serious crimes. The provision of services to status offenders has become an

increasingly popular alternative to formal juvenile justice system processing in order to

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avoid negative interaction with the system that could push juveniles toward crime and

limit their offenses to those that are less serious in nature.

The Dallas Challenge Truancy and Class C Enforcement Center is one such

program which addresses truant behavior as a risk factor and seeks to eliminate the

likelihood of future criminality through social service intervention and education. The

program is an alternative to court processing, for those juveniles who have exhibited the

early stages of delinquent behavior, which attempts to alter the behavior and refocus

the participants on their education. Prior to examining the Dallas Challenge program

and its specifics, it is important to understand the concept of risk factors and the place

truancy fits into predicting future criminality.

Risk and protective factors for juvenile delinquency

The concept of risk factors as a predictor of criminal behavior has become a

popular area of exploration within juvenile justice research. Identifying those factors in a

juvenile’s life that contribute to delinquency and the amount of predictive value they

have in leading to crime is a valuable tool in addressing juvenile crime. Conversely,

determining those protective factors that reduce a juvenile’s chance of committing crime

is equally important for juvenile justice practitioners. By recognizing the factors, both

protective and risk, that play a role in predicting criminality, programs can provide more

effective services to juveniles. In numerous studies, researchers have identified both

risk factors that increase and protective factors that decrease the probability of

delinquency (see Bilchik 1995; Brown, Schulenberg, Bachman, O’Malley and Johnston

2001; Carr and Vandiver 2001; Cottle et al 2001; Elliot 1998; Ellis and Sowers 2001;

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Hallfors, Vevea, Iritani, Cho, Khatapoush and Saxe 2002; Hawkins et al 2000;

Herrenkohl, Maguin, Hill, Hawkins, Abbott and Catalano 2000; Holmes, Slaughter and

Kashani 2001; Duncan, Duncan and Strycker 2000; Jessor 1992; Najaka, Gottfredson

and Wilson 2001; Paetsch and Bertrand 1997; Stouthamer-Loeber, Loeber, Wei,

Farrington and Wikstrorm 2002).

Risk factors can be any characteristic, trait, or influence that increases the

probability of a juvenile committing a criminal or delinquent act. Ellis and Sowers (2001)

categorized risk and protective factors as related to the life area that the juvenile

experiences the risk; including individual, family, school, peer and community risk

factors. Within these categories falls a plentitude of factors that can contribute to or

reduce the possibility of criminal behavior. While there is no equation for predicting

delinquency based on risk and protective factors it has been found that as risk factors

increase and protective factors decrease, the likelihood of delinquency multiplies

(Hawkins et al 2000; Herrenkohl et al 2000) and the potential for escalation into more

serious delinquent behavior rises (Huzinga, Loeber, and Thornberry 1994).

The value of identifying risk and protective factors becomes apparent when it is

incorporated into a program setting. Risk factors must be assessed through intake

procedures, interviews and review of the juvenile’s previous record (Heilbrun, Brock,

Waite, Lanier, Schmid, Witte, Keeney, Westendorf, Buinavert, and Shumate 2000;

Taylor, Fritsch and Caeti 2002) in order to determine appropriate services,

interventions, education, and supervision for the juveniles participating in the program.

Those juveniles who are determined to be most at risk, based on the identified risk

factors present, should receive the most intensive and comprehensive services to

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provide the greatest likelihood for avoiding delinquency. It must be considered that risk

factors are often inter-correlated and can perpetuate one another in a cyclical pattern

(Jessor 1992).

Truancy as a risk factor for juvenile delinquency

One of the risk factors that is often associated with increased probability of

criminal behavior in juveniles is truancy. When considering truancy as a risk factor for

delinquency it should be noted that truancy can be considered both a risk factor for

serious delinquency problems and a delinquent behavior that is a result of other risk

factors. For this reason, program administrators and researchers can examine truancy

that is a result of risk factors such as peer associations, family problems or individual

rebelliousness (Bilchik 1995) or as a risk factor that contributes to more serious

delinquent activities such as violence, gang involvement, or substance abuse (Brown et

al 2001; Fergusson, Lynskey and Horwood 1996; Hallfors et al 2002; Huizinga, Loeber,

Thornberry and Cothern 2000; Pritchard, Cotton and Cox 1992; Swadi 1992; Taylor et

al 2002).

Truancy, whether a risk factor for delinquency or a behavior resulting from a high

risk environment, must be addressed appropriately within a program setting. Intake

procedures must determine the nature of the problem that is causing truancy.

Comprehensive services must be available to address the multitude of issues that may

contribute to the juvenile’s truant behavior and at the same time deter the juvenile from

continuing such behavior.

4

Overview of the Dallas Challenge Truancy and Class C Enforcement Center program

Dallas Challenge, Inc. operates as a public/private organization which provides

intervention and prevention services to at risk youth and their families within Dallas,

Denton and Collin County. Dallas Challenge addresses all of the following risk factors

that face the adolescents that come through its doors: alcohol, tobacco, and drug use,

low academic performance, truancy, poor social skills, delinquent behavior, and criminal

behavior. The Dallas Challenge Truancy and Class C Enforcement Center is one of

three departments that make up the larger Dallas Challenge, Inc. which seeks to re-

establish school attendance for its participants by providing individual attention and

social services. The Truancy and Class C Enforcement center (hence forth referred to

as Truancy Center in this writing) operates in conjunction with the Dallas County

Commissioners Court and the Juvenile Board as a county funded agency with an

operating budget of $504,250 (2005 budget). The Truancy Center provides services to

youth who have failed to attend school or failed to follow a judge’s order with regard to a

truancy violation and are being held in contempt of court. The program was developed

to both divert juveniles with contempt charges from involvement in the juvenile justice

system and provide the opportunity to change at-risk behavior prior to escalation to

serious delinquency.

The state of Texas allows for several avenues by which a juvenile can be

directed to participate in the Truancy Center for violation of truancy statutes. In §

25.085 of the Texas Education Code, it stipulates the compulsory school attendance

laws which mandate that any child who is at least six years old and has yet not reached

age eighteen must attend every day of school for the entire period of instruction. A child

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commits the offense of truancy if the he/she fails to attend school on ten or more whole

or partial days in a six month period or on three or more whole or partial days within a

four week period, according to § 25.094 (Failure to Attend School)of the Texas

Education Code. The failure to attend statutes also clarify that truancy violations can

fall into the jurisdictions of either the constitutional county, justice, or municipal courts

and once a finding of truancy is reached the juvenile is placed under court order which

requires that he/she do one of the following: attend school without further absences,

attend a high school equivalency class, attend a program that is determined to provide

services that are in the best interest of the juvenile, attend a class for students at risk of

dropping out with the juvenile’s parents, perform community service, or participate in a

tutorial program sponsored by the juvenile’s school.

The Truancy Center receives its clientele from all of the above mentioned courts

operating within Dallas County and the surrounding municipalities. Dallas County has

enacted three constitutional county courts with the specific function of hearing Dallas

Independent School District truancy cases in 2003 when legislation allowed jurisdiction

to fall under the county courts. Prior to 2003, Dallas ran 2 municipal courts that

operated for the same function, hearing truancy cases. Surrounding municipalities also

refer truancy cases to the Truancy Center from their municipal and justice courts.

Texas statutes also allow, in the Code of Criminal Procedure § 45.057 (Offenses

Committed by Juveniles), for a child and his/her parents to be referred to a program for

social services for offenses defined in Family Code § 51.03 (Delinquent Conduct;

Conduct Indicating a Need for Supervision) and Family Code § 264.302 – 303 (Early

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Youth Intervention Services and Determination of At-risk Child), which reference the

truancy statute in the Education Code.

After a juvenile is found to be truant or non-compliant with an order to attend

school, the presiding judge may order that the juvenile be transported to the Truancy

Center by Dallas County Constables. The juvenile’s parents are also ordered to appear

at Dallas Challenge within 90 minutes of their child being transported. These immediate

actions are designed to increase the accountability of the juvenile for the opposition to

the court order.

Upon arrival, at the Truancy Center, a case manager gives the juvenile the option

to participate in the truancy deferred prosecution program or to be sent to the Juvenile

Detention Center. Upon agreeing to participate in the Truancy program, the juvenile

undergoes a thorough intake assessment to determine the nature and extent of the

problems that contributed to the inability to comply with the court order. The parents are

also included in the intake to allow for input about the child’s history, behavior and

family dynamics. Based on the needs assessed during the intake process an

intervention plan is developed detailing the programs the juvenile and parents are

expected to attend and outlining the behavior expected from the child while participating

in the program.

Following the intake process, the juvenile appears before an on-site referee. The

referee is given jurisdiction by the juvenile board, by Family Code § 51.04 (Jurisdiction),

for proceedings involving conduct indicating a need for supervision, in this case, truancy

cases. The referee issues a court order for the juvenile to complete an informal

7

probationary period with the Truancy Center which is based on the intervention plan

determined by the case manager who performed the intake assessment.

Upon implementation of the case plan, the juvenile’s progress is monitored by

one of the Dallas Challenge case managers for a period of time between 3 and 6

months. The case manager is responsible for assuring the juvenile is in compliance

with the case plan, intervening when needed and taking action when the juvenile

deviates from the guidelines of the case plan. Court reviews of the juvenile’s case are

made to assure compliance with the program stipulations. If at any time the juvenile

strays from the case plan that was agreed upon, the case manager may alter the plan to

address the problems. The case manager may modify the case plan to address new

needs of the juvenile, extend the program time, recommend multiple court reviews,

place the child in a temporary shelter, or develop new resources for the child and

his/her family. If the juvenile complies with the conditions of the court order and follows

the case manager’s outline for services, the case is closed successfully and the juvenile

avoids formal processing in the juvenile justice system.

If the juvenile fails to comply with the Truancy Center issued court order, under

Article 45.050 (Failure to Pay Fine; Contempt: Juvenile) of the Code of Criminal

Procedure, it is considered to be an action that constitutes contempt of court and results

in the referral of the juvenile to the appropriate juvenile court for delinquent conduct for

contempt of the court order. Referral to the juvenile court is considered a last resort

when all program options have been exhausted.

Dallas Challenge has three primary goals for its Truancy program: (1) preventing

further progression of the juvenile into the juvenile justice system, (2) preventing

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juveniles from “falling through the cracks” of the juvenile justice system, and (3) to

involve the community in the truancy intervention strategy. All of these goals combine

to create a program that addresses truancy through a comprehensive, multi-faceted,

community interest driven program. Dallas Challenge Truancy and Class C

Enforcement Center provides a cost-effective alternative to processing juveniles for an

offense that has previously been under recognized and improperly addressed.

According to agency information, Dallas County spends approximately $5000 for each

juvenile who enters the Juvenile Justice system and $20,000 for six months in a juvenile

residential center, while only spending $500 per juvenile who participates in the Truancy

Center. In doing so, the program is providing a quality service not only to its consumers

and their families but also to the community which its consumers come from.

(Information from Dallas Challenge Program Literature 2002 and

www.dallaschallenge.org )

With the increased attention that is being placed on risk reduction programs and

the need for evaluative research in the area of truancy it is appropriate and necessary to

examine the efforts of the Dallas Challenge Truancy and Class C Enforcement Center

to determine if it is accomplishing its organizational goals. This study will examine the

participants in the Dallas Challenge program to determine common characteristics of

the juveniles who are referred to the program. Additionally, statistical analysis will

determine the factors that are correlated to the successful or unsuccessful completion of

the program requirements.

9

Overview of Remaining Chapters

This research is divided into 5 chapters including the preceding introduction.

Chapter 2 is a comprehensive review of the available truancy literature. Included

is an examination of the nationwide definitional problems associated with truancy, the

difficulties associated with collecting reliable offense data and a description of the

factors that contribute to truancy. Additionally, a review of recommendations that

researchers have made in regard to truancy prevention will be presented. Finally, the

costs of truancy will be examined in relation to the individual and the community.

Chapter 3 will provide the methodological procedure for the research study. This

chapter will outline the methods for data collection, variables to be examined, selection

of the sample groups to be studied, statistical analysis techniques to be used, limitations

of the study, and generalizability of the findings.

Chapter 4 will include an analysis of the data and a presentation of the results of

the statistical testing. An examination of the characteristics of the typical truant referred

to Dallas Challenge will provide a “profile” of a generic truant. The researcher will also

perform a logistic regression to determine the variables that predict success or failure

within the program.

Chapter 5 will be a discussion of the results of the research and a conclusion.

Included will be implications of the findings for Dallas Challenge and possible

applications of the findings to other truancy prevention programs. Recommendations

for additional truancy research and its possible benefits will also be made based on the

outcome of this research.

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CHAPTER 2 LITERATURE REVIEW

Despite the recent attention placed on truancy as a growing concern within

educational and juvenile justice areas, there is a relatively small amount of quality

literature on the subject. That which does exist can be best characterized as

descriptive, speculative and exploratory in nature and consists mostly of program

descriptions with little evaluation research, drawing conclusions which are loosely based

on marginal results. Because of the limited research on the subject and the

repetitiveness of the literature that is available, it is best to examine the literature by

subject matter as it relates to the research questions for this project.

In doing so, it is appropriate to examine the general topic of truancy and the

characteristics that truants have been found to possess. Additionally, it is important to

consider truancy prevention efforts and the steps being taken within programs which

target truancy. This will include results from programs that are currently in operation

which have conducted evaluation research. Finally, the consequences of truancy, not

only for the juveniles, but the long term costs to families, schools and communities in

which truant juveniles live, must also be considered.

Truancy: What is it?

One difficulty in examining the issue of truancy is that there is not a universally

accepted definition of the offense or any national measure of its occurrence (Baker,

Sigmon, and Nugent 2001; Bell, Rosen, and Dynlacht 1994; Gabb 1994; Sommer

1985a). Each state has its own compulsory laws regarding school attendance that

translate into individual definitions of truancy (Gonzales and Mullins 2004). For the

11

purposes of law enforcement those definitions serve their intended purpose, but they

also serve to provide enough variance across the nation to inhibit the collection of data

on the occurrence of the offense on a national scale (Baker et al 2001; Gonzales and

Mullins 2004). Considering the variance within state statutes regarding truancy and the

application and interpretation of enforcement of truancy policies often falling into the

hands of school districts or even individual schools, uniform enforcement of a state’s

attendance law, even within its own borders, can be inconsistent (Gonzales and Mullins

2004; Heilbrunn 2004).

This dilemma is further confounded by the fact that researchers have broken the

concept of truancy into even more specific terms, such as non-attendance (DeKalb

1999; Schultz 1987), school refusal (Sommer 1985a), and have even separated truants

into simple and habitual offenders (Bell et al. 1994; Mueller 2000; Sommer 1985a) or

blanket and post-registration truancy (Gabb 1994). Despite the ambiguity of these

definitions, most of the literature characterizes truancy as an unexcused absence from

school, whether authorized or not by the parents.

Even without a national reporting mechanism for truancy, there seems to be no

lack of national, state or local statistics on the offense. Rates, percentages of student

populations and raw numbers of those missing school are available in practically every

report on truancy (see Bell et al. 1994; DeKalb 1999; Garry 1996; WESTMARC

(www.kci.org) 2002; Manual 1996; Mueller 2000; Schultz 1987; Sommer 1985a;

Truancy – Dealing with a School, Community, and National Problem (www.kci.org)

2002). Most of these reports do not reveal the source of the data, but it can be

assumed that it is pulled from school daily absence reports which are sent to the state

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for funding purposes. The difficulty of differentiating between absences for legitimate

reasons and those related to truant activity make using absence reporting an unreliable

source of truancy statistics.

Explanations for truancy can be simplified into two basic categories: personal

factors and school factors (Bos, Ruijters, and Visscher 1990; Colorado Foundation for

Families and Children 1999; Gabb 1994; White, Fyfe, Campbell, and Goldkamp 2001).

Other researchers have further separated the personal factors that contribute to truancy

into family factors (Baker et al. 2001; Bell et al. 1994; Davies 2000; Garry 1996; Pappas

1996; Sommer 1985b), cognitive factors and academic performance (Huizinga, Loeber,

and Thornberry 1994; Sommer 1985b), economic factors (Baker et al. 2001) and

community/societal factors (Bell et al. 1994, Colorado Foundation for Families and

Children 1999; Davies 2000; Garry 1996). The following factors are included in these

categories:

Personal factors contributing to truancy

• Poor social functioning

• Drug/alcohol abuse

• Lack of understanding of truancy laws

• Lack of commitment to school

• Learning disabilities

• Health problems

School factors contributing to truancy

• School size

• Class size

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• Attitudes of teachers and administrators

• Lack of disciplinary consequences for truancy

• Curriculum

Family factors contributing to truancy

• Lack of parental supervision/guidance

• Domestic violence

• Lower social economic status

• Poor attitudes toward education

• Poor parenting skills

Cognitive/academic factors contributing to truancy

• Academic ability

• Poor reading achievement or teacher-rated reading performance

• Grade point average (GPA)

Economic factors contributing to truancy

• Employed students

• Single parent homes

• Parents with multiple jobs

• High mobility rates

• Lack of transportation or child care

Community/societal factors contributing to truancy

• Peer pressure/negative peer groups

• Violence in the neighborhood

• Lack of emphasis on school from racial background (minorities)

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• Lack of acceptance of education as means of success

Researchers have suggested all of the above factors in proposing the causality

of truancy among students. Most have combined the categories and factors into an

equation of truancy, while others stand by a single category as the primary cause of

truancy.

Truants: Who are they?

Because truancy is a status offense, the age of the offender is predetermined by

the fact that he/she must be a juvenile, usually under age 18 (some state truancy laws

extend only through age 16 or 17, while a few only require completion of 8th grade)

(Colorado Foundation for Families and Children 1999). Beyond that general stipulation,

different researchers have found truants to have varying characteristics.

When considering age as a characteristic of truants, researchers propose the

idea that increases in truancy correspond with an increase in age (Bell et al. 1994;

Welsh, Jenkins, and Harris 1999). This can most likely be explained by a “growing into

deviancy” explanation. Studies have found the median age of truants to be 15 years old

(Baker et al. 2001; White et al. 2001) but both older and younger students are included

in truancy numbers as well.

With regards to gender of truants, Baker et al. present the idea that truancy is

split evenly among boys and girls across the nation (2001). This has not proven true in

some of the programs and sweeps that have been reviewed by other researchers.

Truancy sweeps in Richmond, CA picked up boys at a ratio of 2 to 1 to girls (White et al.

2001), while Bell et al. (2001) presents information from two separate studies that

indicate exact opposites, one showing that boys are more likely to be truant during the

15

first 3 years of high school than girls, the other that girls are more likely to be truant than

boys. From information provided by the above researchers, it would seem that this

characteristic of truancy would be contingent on the sample techniques and the size of

the sample that was being examined.

One similarity between truancy demographics is that minorities, especially

African Americans, represent the majority of those students who are truant (Bell et al.

1994; White et al. 2001). Some of the other characteristics that were found to be

shared by truants include: coming from low-income families (Bell et al. 1994), having

poor grades in the years previous to being picked up for truancy, having poor school

attendance (excused or unexcused absences), receiving disciplinary sanctions in

school in the years leading up to truancy, having contact with police agencies (arrest,

suspicion, victims, witnesses, or less formal contact) (White et al. 2001) and reporting

hanging out with large groups of people (Sommer 1985b).

Truancy prevention: What is being done?

There are programs spread across the nation that are either partially or totally

dedicated to truancy prevention as their organizational goal. The methods and

procedures by which a program goes about achieving its goals ultimately determines

the success of the clients in avoiding further truancy and the overall success of the

program. The wide variety of programs across the nation makes it impossible to review

all of their tactics and methods employed. Instead, this section will review some of the

general methods being used to reduce truancy and some recommendations for truancy

prevention programs in order to increase the likelihood of success. Additionally, it will

16

identify some of the mistakes and pitfalls that programs might make when dealing with

truants which could jeopardize the success of the program.

Common Themes in Truancy Prevention

There are several characteristics of truancy prevention programs which are

practically universal across the nation. The involvement of the school and law

enforcement agencies to address the truancy of the student and making the parents

aware of the situation are the most common and necessary characteristics of any

truancy prevention program (Colorado Foundation for Families and Children 1999;

DeKalb 1999; Garry 1996; WESTMARC (www.kci.org) 2002). Additionally, providing

serious sanctions for both truants and their parents in order to ensure responsibility and

dedication to changing behavior is an important factor in preventing further truancy

(Baker et al. 2001; Truancy (www.kci.org) 2002; Mueller 2000).

Truancy prevention programs rely mostly on law enforcement, school officials,

juvenile probation officers, or program employees to detect or catch students who are

truant from school. This initial step brings the juvenile in contact with the truancy

prevention program and begins the process. Depending on the program practices, the

juvenile may be ticketed for the violation (Pappas 1996), returned to school, released to

a truancy processing center to be released to a parent (Baker et al. 2001; Garry 1996),

or detained by the police until a parent picks the juvenile up. After initial contact, there

are a multitude of options that programs utilize to deal with the issue at hand and to

prevent further occurrence of truancy. Often times, the parents are notified of the initial

violation, either through letter, phone, or personally (Colorado Foundation for Families

17

and Children 1999). It is at this point that most programs diverge greatly in their

methods of dealing with truants and it seems best to discuss those program options that

provide the best outlook for reducing/preventing truancy.

Most important in developing a successful truancy prevention strategy is the

incorporation and cooperation of the student, parents, schools, law enforcement,

juvenile courts, social services, religious organizations, and the community in

developing a solution (Colorado Foundation for Families and Children 1999; ERIC 1997;

Manuel 1996; Truancy (www.kci.org) 2002). By utilizing the above mentioned

resources, it becomes possible to examine the root of truancy problems for each

individual juvenile and develop a specialized plan to combat the underlying causes of

the truancy problem (Colorado Foundation for Families and Children 1999). Only by

addressing the entire problem, through the use of every available resource, and being

persistent in changing the circumstances which led to the juvenile’s truancy, can it be

corrected.

The Office of Juvenile Justice and Delinquency Prevention (OJJDP) also

provides four guidelines under Title V Delinquency Prevention Programs that stipulate

requirements that must be met in order to receive program funding. They are:

1. Programs must be based on sound theory that is supported by positive

research results.

2. Programs must incorporate a system for data collection and analysis to

evaluate the program success/failure.

3. The program must be a result of collaborative efforts between public

agencies, private citizens, businesses and volunteers.

18

4. The program must periodically assess its operations and make

appropriate changes to programming, based on changing risk factors

within the community.

(Colorado Foundation for Families and Children 1999)

These four precepts are not only important to ensure funding from OJJDP but also to

make certain that the program has a chance to be effective in its goal of reducing and

preventing truancy. By following basic concepts of program evaluation, administrators

of the program will be able to determine if goals are being reached and if changes are

appropriate to better achieve the goals of the program.

Some of the pitfalls and mistakes that are present in the literature concerning

truancy and truancy prevention are easily identifiable and skew the picture of truancy

prevention efforts. Some studies make generalizations about juvenile populations

without drawing an appropriate random sample or utilizing proper sample sizes to

produce inferential statistics (Schultz 1987; Sommer 1985b). Another problem that has

been noted is the twisting of results, which is presenting results which are perceived in

one report to be poor results or failures and presenting the same results as successes

in another summary of the same program. In Truancy Reduction Efforts (2000), the

Wisconsin Joint Legislative Audit Committee Members and State Auditor Janice Mueller

report that the 65% attendance of school on the day following participation in the

Truancy Abatement and Burglary Suppression (TABS) program is a poor result for the

program. The same statistic is reported as a successful outcome in a summary of the

TABS program within the Manual to Combat Truancy (1996). This type of

19

misinformation only serves to confuse the situation and damage the reputation of the

program and others seeking to achieve the same goals.

Truancy: What does it cost?

Truancy is considered, within the majority of the literature, to be a risk factor to

predicting future delinquency and criminality (Baker et al. 2001; Davies 2000; De Kalb

1999; Fritsch, Caeti, and Taylor 1999; Gabb 1994; Garry 1996; Introduction

(www.kci.org) 2002; Manual 1996; Mueller 2000; Sommer 1985a; White et al. 2001).

That is to say that juveniles who are truant have a higher propensity to become involved

in gangs, drug and alcohol abuse, theft, burglary, and violent crimes than those

juveniles who are not truant. For a truant juvenile, there is an increased propensity

towards a life of crime that could ultimately lead to prison. A study of adult offenders

found that 84% of those who had re-offended had truancy as their first offense on their

arrest records or had been truant without being caught to begin their criminal career

(Truancy (www.kci.org) 2002). Studies have also examined the causal relationship of

truancy to delinquency and the explanatory relationship of delinquency to truancy

(Huizinga, Loeber, and Thornberry 1994; Huizinga, Loeber, Thornberry, and Cothern

2000) in an attempt to recognize the predictive benefits of truancy to future criminality.

The other consequence that a truant juvenile faces besides a higher propensity

towards delinquency and crime is the loss of education and increased probability of

dropping out of school prior to graduation (DeKalb 1999; Garry 1996; Truancy Gale

Encyclopedia 1998; White et al. 2001). It has been suggested that truancy is linked to

poor school performance and increased propensity to dropout prior to completion of

20

high school (Gonzales and Godwin Mullins 2004; Gonzales, Richards, and Seeley

2002; Helibrunn 2003; Helibrunn 2004). ). Missed educational opportunities translate

to reduced chances of graduation, lower earning potential, increased chances of welfare

dependency, and unemployment; all of which cost both the juvenile and the community

at large (Hibbett, Fogelman and Manor 1990). The problems related to non-completion

of high school place the individual at a considerable disadvantage considering that it

has been established that the earning potential for a high school dropout is far below

(approximately 75% for both males and females) his/her counterpart that earned a high

school diploma or equivalency (Heilbrunn 2003; National Center for Education Statistics

2003).

If a juvenile does not have the means to provide for themself due to squandered

educational opportunities, the community often times must bear the cost of supporting

an individual who has wasted the opportunity to become a self-sufficient member of

society. The cost of supporting these individuals falls back on society as a whole in the

form of government programs and actions that are supported by tax revenue, including:

welfare, food stamps, unemployment, Medicare and Medicaid, and Social Security and

SSI. The most costly of expenditures which are related to failure to complete high

school involve criminal justice expenses related to jail, prison and court costs. All

together, it is estimated that a high school dropout will require in excess of $200,000 in

public support expenditures over the course of a lifetime versus a high school graduate

(Heilbrunn 2003; Heilbrunn and Seeley 2003). With truancy being an indicator for high

school completion, it seems appropriate to direct resources toward reducing its

occurrence.

21

A community also suffers from truancy in the form of victimization at the hands of

those juveniles who would be in school who decide to expand their delinquent behavior

beyond non-attendance. Truancy has been related to high incidence of daytime

burglary and vandalism (Gonzales, Richards, and Seeley 2002). Some truancy

prevention programs have been found to reduce daytime crimes such as theft and

burglary that are committed by juveniles (DeKalb 1999; Fritsch et al 1999; Garry 1996;

Manual 1996). By reducing truancy, it stands to reason that the money lost because of

daytime crime committed by truants would concurrently be reduced.

There have also been cost-benefit analysis studies for truancy programs that

show the amount spent on providing truancy prevention services are far less than the

amount that would be spent on incarcerating that juvenile in juvenile custody (Garry

1996; Heilbrunn 2003; Heilbrunn and Seeley 2003). By dedicating the effort and

expense into truancy prevention early enough, it is possible to avoid greater

expenditures in the future when those juveniles escalate their criminal activities beyond

mere status offenses which would require more costly disposition for their actions.

The available truancy literature leaves a great deal of room for expansion. That

literature which is available addresses the main issues of truancy and truancy

prevention, but provides little quality evaluation research of programs that are currently

running. The information that is provided by most of the literature is cursory, at best,

and does not fully explain the phenomenon of truancy. That research which does

include evaluation of truancy prevention/reduction programs does not thoroughly

examine whether the programs effectively achieve the goal of reducing truancy. There

22

has been no research to date which examines the ability of a program to reduce future

delinquent/criminal activity or increase the likelihood of a juvenile completing high

school. This lack of depth in the available research is somewhat understandable

considering the relative infancy of the subject as a focus of research in the juvenile

justice field, but it is an important next step in truancy related research.

This research project will address gaps that exist in previous truancy research by

creating a profile of a truant based on those juveniles who are referred for services to

Dallas Challenge. It will also examine the differences in the characteristics of those

juveniles who completed the Dallas Challenge program versus those who did not.

23

CHAPTER 3 METHODOLOGY

The major problem with previous truancy research is that it has failed to give a

detailed picture of the individuals who commit the offense or programs that have been

found to reduce truancy. Most of the available information on truants and truancy

prevention programs is broad and non-specific in nature. This research project will

address this issue by evaluating the participants who were referred to the Dallas

Challenge Truancy and Class C Enforcement Center. Any child between the age of 10

and 17 in Dallas County, Texas who has been filed as truant, was found to be in

contempt of court related to the truancy charges and is not otherwise active in the

juvenile justice system can be referred for services. The primary objectives of the

Truancy Center are to: (1) cease the truant behavior in the juvenile and (2) reintegrate

the juvenile into school so that he/she may ultimately complete high school or a GED

equivalency program. The purpose of this study is to examine the characteristics of the

juveniles referred to the Truancy Center and whether specific characteristics of the

participants correlate with the successful completion of the program. This study will

answer the following research questions:

• What characteristics profile the typical juvenile who is referred to Dallas

Challenge for chronic truancy?

• What characteristics are correlated with successful or non-successful

completion of the Dallas Challenge program?

24

Population to be Studied

This research will involve a study of the population of juveniles from Dallas

Independent School District schools who have been referred to the Dallas Challenge

Truancy and Class C Enforcement Center since the program’s inception in 1996

through December 31, 2000. Since its opening in 1996, the Truancy Center has

received 5,605 referrals to the program (as of 6/12/2002, when the data was collected

from Dallas Challenge). This research will only examine a sample of 1,313 DISD

students who either successfully or unsuccessfully completed the Truancy Center

program.

Some of the population that is referred to the Truancy Center does not receive

services based on their circumstances within the juvenile justice system. Referred

juveniles are denied services for the following reasons: the juvenile commits a new

delinquency offense while enrolled in the program for less than 20 days, the juvenile is

already active in the juvenile justice department, or the Truancy Center has no

jurisdiction or probable cause for the offense. Any of these conditions can eliminate the

referred juvenile from being eligible for services. Because these juveniles were not

eligible to receive services from the Truancy Center they will not be included in the

analysis.

Data Collection

The data to be used for analysis in this study will be provided to the researcher

by the Dallas Challenge Truancy and Class C Enforcement Center. The Truancy

Center’s Associate Executive Director of Truancy Services, Shelton Stogner, brought

25

this research project to the University of North Texas Criminal Justice Department and

has a vested interest in the completion of the study. Therefore, Mr. Stogner has made

the necessary data and support from the Truancy Center staff available to the

researcher in this project.

The data provided to the researcher by the Truancy Center consists of the

information that was gathered from its participants and that which was collected by the

staff members about the participant’s progress in the program. The Truancy Center has

completed a detailed intake process for each juvenile referred to the program. The

intake instrument collected basic demographic, offense, family history, drug use, abuse

and other criminal information provided by both the juvenile and a parent or guardian.

Each juvenile and his/her parent/guardian was led through this process by one of the

program case managers, who in turn entered the collected data into the database

developed to maintain the records of all Truancy Center participants. The potential for

reliability and validity issues arising from the nature of self reported data from the

juvenile and his/her parent or guardian about potentially criminal behavior must be

acknowledged.

Both the juvenile participant and his/her parent or guardian were asked to

provide information about the child and household during each intake process. The

nature of self reported data in criminal justice settings such as this is cause for concern.

Issues of reliability that arise from self reported data from the juvenile and

parent/guardian include: memory recall problems of the child’s behavior, information

about absences from school, drug and alcohol use and the age when it first occurred,

and if the juvenile had previous arrests or interactions with police. These were all issues

26

addressed during the intake process that required both the juvenile and parent/guardian

to recall the juvenile’s past. Additionally, reluctance to report illegal or delinquent

behavior, such as alcohol or drug use, or potentially embarrassing information, such as

criminal behavior within the family, causes validity problems with the information

collected from the participant and the parent/guardian. Outright refusal to respond to

questions leaving blanks within each case file is yet another issue arising from the self

reported data supplied to researcher from the Truancy Center. These are recognized

problems associated with most self reported data in criminal justice research; but, for

this research project, the information collected from the Truancy Center participants and

their parent/guardian is the only source available and it was unable to be verified or

cross-checked for its reliability or validity.

The potential for error from data entry transcription mistakes also creates an

internal validity problem with the data. There were 23 case managers and additional

administrative/clerical staff who performed data entry for referred juveniles during the

time in question for this research project, all of which had the opportunity to enter

information incorrectly into the database. This combined with open text fields and a lack

of standardized responses within the database for many of the fields opens the door for

human error to affect the quality and integrity of the data collected by the Truancy

Center by allowing a wide variance of responses to be entered for any particular

variable (I.E. – open fields allowed for race description to be entered as white,

Caucasian, or Anglo).

The researcher was provided with the data collected on each referred juvenile in

the database form in which it was maintained in by the Truancy Center. This data was

27

converted into spreadsheet form so that it could be cleaned and formatted into a

useable form within a statistical analysis program. For those variables where it was

possible, text string variables were converted into numerical variables and assigned

values so that the data could be analyzed. The researcher analyzed the data for

spelling errors and variations and replaced those fields with the correct information

when it was clear what was intended to be entered by the Dallas Challenge staff.

These efforts were made to address the internal validity problems that were created by

human error during data entry.

The data provided to the researcher was manipulated for the purpose of this

research in other ways so that it might be useable to answer the specific research

questions. The Truancy Center, for its operational purposes, has more than one

outcome associated with unsuccessful completion of the programs requirements. For

the purpose of this research, the disposition of the juvenile upon failure to complete the

program requirements was not important so it was excluded. Therefore, the closing

category variable was recoded to a new variable which included only successful and

unsuccessful completion, and the unsuccessful variations were eliminated from

consideration.

Additionally, the Truancy Center collects self reported drug use information from

the juvenile during the intake assessment. For the purpose of simplification of that

information, the reported use of hard drugs such as inhalants, cocaine, crack, crank,

amphetamines, barbiturates, hallucinogens, tranquilizers, and heroin were all combined

into one variable called “hard drug use”. The reported information on the age of first

28

use by the juvenile regarding all of the above mentioned hard drugs was combined into

a variable called “hard drug age”.

As mentioned previously, data was collected from the parent or guardian who

picked up the juvenile at the Truancy Center upon referral from court. This data was not

originally entered into the agency database with the juvenile’s information. The

researcher obtained the files for the DISD participants from the Truancy Center and was

able to pull the parent reported information from these files with the help of UNT

Criminal Justice department student assistants. This information was coupled with the

participant data already provided to the researcher to be included in the analysis.

Variables to be Examined

In order to address the research questions previously stated, the following

variables (see Table 1) from each Truancy Center participant included in the sample

population will be examined.

Table 1 – Variables Included in Analysis

Variable Name SPSS

Variable Code

Variable Description Variable Coding

Client ID number CID Agency assigned ID Numerical value Closing Category ID Number Clos_Cat Closing Category 2 = Successful

3 = Unsuccessful, filed 4 = Unsuccessful, Failed/Not Filed 5 = Unsuccessful & 21 day Delinquency 6 = Neutral 9 = Never Opened - Active 10 = Never Opened - No Jurisdiction

Combined Closing category Closing Completion Status Successful = 2 Unsuccessful = 3

Juvenile self reported information

Age Age Age of juvenile at time of intake

Numerical value

Sex Sex Gender of juvenile 0 = Male; 1 = Female Ethnicity Ethnic Ethnic background of 1 = African American

29

juvenile 2 = Caucasian 3 = Hispanic 4 = Other

Previous DC Referral DC_Prev Has the juvenile been to DC before?

0 = No; 1 = Yes

Times Referred TimesRef # of previous referrals to DC

Numerical value

Current School Grade Grd_Crnt Juvenile’s current grade Numerical value Grades Failed Grd_Fail Number of grades of

school failed 0 = No Grades Failed, 1 = One Grade Failed, 2 = Multiple Grades Failed

Juvenile Lives With Liv_With Relation of parent/guardian that juvenile lives with

1 = Father, 2 = Mother, 3 = Father/Mother, 4 = Father/Stepmother, 5 = Mother/Stepfather, 6 = Stepfather/Stepmother, 7 =Stepmother

Victim of Abuse Abuse Juvenile reported being a victim of any abuse

0 = No; 1 = Yes

Emotional Abuse Emo_Abus Juvenile reported being a victim of emotional abuse

0 = No; 1 = Yes

Physical Abuse Phy_Abus Juvenile reported being a victim of physical abuse

0 = No; 1 = Yes

Sexual abuse Sex_Abus Juvenile reported being a victim of sexual abuse

0 = No; 1 = Yes

Have you used alcohol? Alc_Use Juvenile’s alcohol use 0 = No; 1 = Yes Age alcohol was first used? Alc_Age Age of first alcohol use Numerical value Have you used nicotine? Nic_Use Juvenile’s nicotine use 0 = No; 1 = Yes Age nicotine was first used? Nic_Age Age of first alcohol use Numerical value Have you used marijuana? Mar_Use Juvenile’s marijuana use 0 = No; 1 = Yes Age marijuana was first used? Mar_Age Age of first alcohol use Numerical value Have you used hard drugs? Hard_Use Juvenile’s hard drug use 0 = No; 1 = Yes Age hard drugs were first used?

Hard_Age Age of first hard drug use Numerical value

Parent/Guardian self reported information

Employed Employed Is the respondent employed

No = 0 Yes = 1

Spouse Employed Spouse_E Is the respondent’s spouse employed

No = 0 Yes = 1

Family has Medical Insurance Medical Does the parent/guardian have medical insurance

No = 0 Yes = 1

Picked up Picked_U # of times child has been picked up by police

Numeric value

Picked up (collapsed categories)

Pickup2 Juvenile has been picked up by police (collapsed categories)

Never picked up = 0 Picked up once = 1 Multiple times picked up = 2

Child Arrested Child_Ar # of times child has been arrested by police

Numeric value

Child Arrested (collapsed categories)

Arrest2 Juvenile has been arrested (collapsed categories)

Never arrested = 0 Arrested once = 1 Multiple arrests = 2

Family Criminal Involvement/Arrest

Crim_Fam Has an immediate family member been involved in criminal activity or been arrested

No = 0 Yes = 1

Counseling/Treatment Counseli Has the juvenile participated in counseling or treatment previously

No = 0 Yes = 1

Gang Related Activity Gang_Rel Parental knowledge of No = 0

30

juvenile involvement in gang related activity

Yes = 1

Married Married Is the parent/guardian married

No = 0 Yes = 1

# of children Num_Kid # of children in household Numeric value Child in School Kid_Schl Are age eligible children

enrolled in school No = 0 Yes = 1

# of absences Absences Parental estimation of juvenile’s school absences

0 – 10 absences = 1 11 – 20 absences = 2 21 – 30 absences = 3 31 – 40 absences = 4 40+ absences = 5

Extracurricular Extracur Is the juvenile involved in extracurricular activities

No = 0 Yes = 1

Suspended/Expelled Suspende Has the juvenile been suspended or expelled from school

No = 0 Yes = 1

Learning Disability Learndis Does juvenile have a learning disability

No = 0 Yes = 1

Special Education Spec_Ed Is juvenile in special education classes

No = 0 Yes = 1

Called to school Call_ts Has parent/guardian been called to school for child’s behavior

No = 0 Yes = 1

Child Employed Kid_Empl Is the juvenile employed No = 0 Yes = 1

Child been fired Kid_Fire Has the juvenile ever been fired from a job

No = 0 Yes = 1

Drug Use Drug_Kno Parental knowledge of drug use

No = 0 Yes = 1

Alcohol Alc_Know Parental knowledge of alcohol use

No = 0 Yes = 1

Marijuana Mar_Know Parental knowledge of marijuana use

No = 0 Yes = 1

Hard Drugs Hrd_Know Parental knowledge of hard drug use

No = 0 Yes = 1

Sold Drugs Sold_Dru Parental knowledge of child involvement in selling drugs

No = 0 Yes = 1

Statistical Analysis

In order to answer the research questions previously stated, the researcher will

utilize a number of statistical techniques to analyze the data. In order to answer the

first research question, the analysis will focus on percentages, frequencies and

measures of central tendency to determine the variables that characterize the profile of

a truant who is referred to the Truancy Center. The remaining research question will be

addressed with a logistic regression analysis to determine those independent variables

31

that explain the dichotomous dependent variable of successful or non-successful

completion of the Truancy Center program.

Generalizability

The generalizability of this research study is important considering the relatively

small amount of evaluation research in the area of truancy prevention. The profile that

will be generated of a truant referred to the Truancy Center will be applicable not only to

juveniles within Dallas County but also other metropolitan areas across the nation that

are comparable to the Dallas area. More so, those characteristics that are found to

have predictive value in completing the Truancy Centers program, from the results of

this research, will be valuable to similar such programs which provide social services to

juveniles who have committed similar offenses.

32

CHAPTER 4 ANALYSIS

This section will present the results of analysis of the sample group of

participants in the Dallas Challenge Truancy and Class C Enforcement Center. Most of

the information available for analysis was provided voluntarily by the juvenile

participants and their parent or guardian during the intake process. As such, there are

variables within each case that include missing responses. Analysis information in this

section will exclude the missing responses unless otherwise noted during the discussion

of the results.

Participant Overview

The sample group represents the 1,313 juvenile participants in the Truancy

Center from the program’s opening in October of 1996 through the end of December

2000. Of the 1,313 juveniles in question, 870 (66.3%) completed the program

requirements successfully with the remaining 443 (33.7%) failing to complete the

program (see Graph 1). The sample group consisted of 607 male participants (46.2%)

and 706 female participants (53.8%) ranging in age from 9 to 17 years of age with an

average age of 15 years and 6 months old (see Graph 2). Participants of Hispanic

ethnicity made up 59.6% of the participants, followed by African Americans at 32.0%,

Caucasians with 6.2%, and 1.1% of the population from other ethnic backgrounds (14

cases did not have ethnicity indicated in their case information) (see Graph 3).

Graph 1 – Completion of Truancy Center Requirements by Sex

33

Unsuccessful completion Successful completion

MaleFemale

Sex

39.50%175.0

60.50%268.0

49.66%432.0

50.34%438.0

Graph 2 – Gender of Participants by Age

MaleFemale

Sex

9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17

Age of Participant

50

100

150

200

250

# of

Par

ticip

ants

Graph 3 – Gender of Participants by Age and Ethnicity

34

Male Female

Af rican AmericanCaucasianHispanic

Ethnicity of juvenile

* 1 missing case - Age** 14 missing cases - Ethnicity

13 14 15 16 17

Age of participant

25

50

75

100

125

150

# of

Par

ticip

ants

13 14 15 16 17

Age of participant

School related variables

This section will present the analysis results for school related variables from

information that was provided by both the juvenile participants in the Truancy Center

and their parent or guardian who arrived to pick up their child at the intake process.

Participant grade level ranged from 6th to 12th grade, with a majority being currently

enrolled in the 9th grade (53.1%) at the time of program intake (see Graph 4). 992 of

the 1304 participants responding (76.1%) reported that they had never failed a grade

during their school career, while the remaining 312 (23.9%) reported failing a grade in

school. 58 of the participants (22.8%) that had failed a grade, or 4.4% of the total

respondents, reported failing more than one grade (see Graph 5).

Graph 4 – Grade Level at Intake

35

MaleFemale

Sex

* missing 17 cases

6th Grade7th Grade

8th Grade9th Grade

10th Grade11th grade

12th grade

Current Grade

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

# of

Par

ticip

ants

Graph 5 – Number of Grades Failed

No Grades FailedOne Grade FailedMultiple Grades Failed

Grades failed

* 9 missing cases

76.07%n=992

19.48%n=254

4.45%n=58

Parent reported information indicated that 63.7% of the parents of male

participants and 70.0% of the parents of female participants had previously been called

to their child’s school for behavior issues (see Table 2). Of the 288 parents who gave

36

an estimation of the number of absences their child had accrued leading up to the

referral to the Truancy Center, 186 (64.6%) estimated their child’s absences to be under

10 (see Table 3), despite the fact that referrals to the Truancy Center generally are a

result of chronic truant behavior addressed by the court intervention. Additionally,

66.6% of the parents of female participants reported that their child had been

suspended or expelled from school prior to the referral for services while only 51.7% of

the parents of male participants indicated the same (see Table 4).

Table 2 – Parent Has Been Called to School for Juvenile’s Behavior Sex Called to School Frequency Percent Valid Percent Male Valid No 133 21.9 36.3 Yes 233 38.4 63.7 Total 366 60.3 100.0 Missing System 241 39.7 Total 607 100.0 Female Valid No 117 16.6 30.0 Yes 273 38.7 70.0 Total 390 55.2 100.0 Missing System 316 44.8 Total 706 100.0

Table 3 – Parental Estimation of Juvenile # of Absences Frequency Percent Valid Percent Valid 0 - 10 absences 186 14.2 64.6 11 - 20 absences 44 3.4 15.3 21 - 30 absences 25 1.9 8.7 31 - 40 absences 10 .8 3.5 40+ absences 23 1.8 8.0 Total 288 21.9 100.0Missing System 1025 78.1 Total 1313 100.0

Table 4 – Juvenile Has Been Suspended/Expelled Sex Suspended/Expelled Frequency Percent Valid Percent Male Valid No 197 32.5 48.3 Yes 211 34.8 51.7 Total 408 67.2 100.0 Missing System 199 32.8 Total 607 100.0 Female Valid No 158 22.4 33.4

37

Yes 315 44.6 66.6 Total 473 67.0 100.0 Missing System 233 33.0 Total 706 100.0

The Truancy Center also collected information from the parents of participants

regarding their child’s special needs as a student and their involvement in school

activities. 30.8% of female participants had a learning disability and 20.5% were in

special education classes in school, according to their parents. For males, only 20.2%

were reported to have a learning disability with 12.2% being in special education (see

Tables 5, 6). Of the 185 combined male and female participants who reported having a

learning disability, only 52.4% were in special education classes (8 cases missing

special education response) (see Table 7).

Table 5 – Juvenile has a Learning Disability Sex Learning Disability Frequency Percent Valid Percent Male Valid No 293 48.3 79.8 Yes 74 12.2 20.2 Total 367 60.5 100.0 Missing System 240 39.5 Total 607 100.0 Female Valid No 267 37.8 69.2 Yes 119 16.9 30.8 Total 386 54.7 100.0 Missing System 320 45.3 Total 706 100.0

Table 6 – Juvenile is in Special Education Classes Sex Special Education Classes Frequency Percent Valid Percent Male Valid No 366 60.3 87.8 Yes 51 8.4 12.2 Total 417 68.7 100.0 Missing System 190 31.3 Total 607 100.0 Female Valid No 373 52.8 79.5 Yes 96 13.6 20.5 Total 469 66.4 100.0 Missing System 237 33.6 Total 706 100.0

38

Table 7 – Juvenile with Learning Disability in Special Education Classes Learning Disability Special Education Classes Frequency Percent Valid Percent No Valid No 518 92.5 94.2 Yes 32 5.7 5.8 Total 550 98.2 100.0 Missing System 10 1.8 Total 560 100.0 Yes Valid No 88 45.6 47.6 Yes 97 50.3 52.4 Total 185 95.9 100.0 Missing System 8 4.1 Total 193 100.0

Family related variables

This section will provide the results of family related variables as provided by

responses from the participants and parent or guardians. 42.2% of responding

juveniles reported living with only their mother at the time of intake with mother and

father being the next highest response with 33.9% of the respondents (see Table 8).

Only 46.4% of the parents indicated that they were married which corresponds to the

percentage of juveniles who reported living in a single parent home (see Table 9).

Table 8 – Parent/Guardian That Juvenile Lives With Frequency Percent Valid Percent

Father 24 1.8 4.2Mother 244 18.6 42.2Father/Mother 196 14.9 33.9Father/Stepmother 21 1.6 3.6

Mother/Stepfather 69 5.3 11.9

Stepfather/Stepmother 9 .7 1.6

Stepmother 15 1.1 2.6

Valid

Total 578 44.0 100.0Missing System 735 56.0 Total 1313 100.0

Table 9 – Is Parent/Guardian Married Frequency Percent Valid Percent

39

No 474 36.1 53.6Yes 411 31.3 46.4

Valid

Total 885 67.4 100.0Missing System 428 32.6 Total 1313 100.0

Of the parents that chose to respond, 83.4% were currently employed while only

53.6% of their spouses held jobs (see Tables 10, 11). 60.9% of the 716 parent

respondents did not have medical insurance (see Table 12) and only 28.4% of 737

respondents reported having a family member that had been arrested or was involved in

criminal activity (see Table 13).

Table 10 – Parent Employed Frequency Percent Valid Percent Valid No 139 10.6 16.6 Yes 697 53.1 83.4 Total 836 63.7 100.0Missing System 477 36.3 Total 1313 100.0

Table 11 – Spouse Employed Frequency Percent Valid Percent

No 228 17.4 46.4Yes 263 20.0 53.6

Valid

Total 491 37.4 100.0Missing System 822 62.6 Total 1313 100.0

Table 12 – Family has Medical Insurance Frequency Percent Valid Percent

No 436 33.2 60.9Yes 280 21.3 39.1

Valid

Total 716 54.5 100.0Missing System 597 45.5 Total 1313 100.0

Table 13 – Family Member with Criminal Involvement/Arrest Frequency Percent Valid Percent

No 528 40.2 71.6Yes 209 15.9 28.4

Valid

Total 737 56.1 100.0Missing System 576 43.9

40

Total 1313 100.0

The number of children in the house as reported by parents ranged from 1 to 10,

with an average house having just over 3 children. 65.3% of the reporting parents had

3 or fewer children living under their roof (see Table 14). Only 4.2% of 911 parents

responding indicated that there were age eligible children living in their house that were

not enrolled in school (see Table 15).

Table 14 - # of Children in the Household

Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative

Percent 1 child 89 6.8 10.2 10.2 2 children 195 14.9 22.3 32.4 3 children 288 21.9 32.9 65.3 4 children 169 12.9 19.3 84.6 5 or more children 135 10.3 15.4 100.0

Valid

Total 876 66.7 100.0 Missing System 437 33.3 Total 1313 100.0 (a)

a. Mean # of children in the household - 3.08 Table 15 – Age Eligible Children Enrolled in School Frequency Percent Valid Percent

No 38 2.9 4.2Yes 873 66.5 95.8

Valid

Total 911 69.4 100.0Missing System 402 30.6 Total 1313 100.0

Personal related variables

This section will examine those variables which are related to the individual

characteristics of the participants in the Truancy Center program. Information collected

from the parents of the participants revealed that 30.1% of the responding parent’s

children had been previously involved in counseling or a treatment program (see Table

41

16). No specific information as to what type of counseling or treatment programs those

juveniles participated in was collected by the Truancy Center except for the 36

participants (2.7% of the sample population) who had been previously referred to the

Truancy Center and were referred back for a second time (see Table 17).

Table 16 – Previously in Counseling/Treatment Frequency Percent Valid Percent

No 513 39.1 69.9Yes 221 16.8 30.1

Valid

Total 734 55.9 100.0Missing System 579 44.1 Total 1313 100.0

Table 17 – Previous Dallas Challenge Referral Frequency Percent Valid Percent

No 1276 97.2 97.3Yes 36 2.7 2.7

Valid

Total 1312 99.9 100.0Missing System 1 .1 Total 1313 100.0

Of the 1,313 participants in the sample, 11.7% reported being the victim of abuse

at the hands of any family member, friend, or other acquaintance, with 76% of the group

reporting emotional abuse, 42.2% reporting physical abuse, and 29.2% reporting sexual

abuse (see Tables 18, 19, 20, 21).

Table 18 – Juvenile Reported Any Abuse Frequency Percent Valid Percent

No 1159 88.3 88.3Yes 154 11.7 11.7

Valid

Total 1313 100.0 100.0

Table 19 – Juvenile Reported Emotional Abuse Frequency Percent Valid Percent

No 37 2.8 24.0Yes 117 8.9 76.0

Valid

Total 154 11.7 100.0Missing System 1159 88.3 Total 1313 100.0

42

Table 20 – Juvenile Reported Physical Abuse Frequency Percent Valid Percent

No 89 6.8 57.8Yes 65 5.0 42.2

Valid

Total 154 11.7 100.0Missing System 1159 88.3 Total 1313 100.0

Table 21 – Juvenile Reported Sexual Abuse Frequency Percent Valid Percent

No 109 8.3 70.8Yes 45 3.4 29.2

Valid

Total 154 11.7 100.0Missing System 1159 88.3 Total 1313 100.0

Of 899 responses from the parents, only 9.7% indicated that their child was

currently employed (see Table 22). Additionally, only 5.1% of 571 parent responses

indicated that their child had been fired from a job (see Table 23). Considering the

relatively young average age of the participants it would be expected that the amount of

work experience for this sample would be limited.

Table 22 – Juvenile is Currently Employed Frequency Percent Valid Percent

No 812 61.8 90.3Yes 87 6.6 9.7

Valid

Total 899 68.5 100.0Missing System 414 31.5 Total 1313 100.0

Table 23 – Juvenile Has Been Fired From a Job Frequency Percent Valid Percent

No 542 41.3 94.9Yes 29 2.2 5.1

Valid

Total 571 43.5 100.0Missing System 742 56.5 Total 1313 100.0

43

Both the juvenile participants and their parent or guardian provided information

regarding alcohol, nicotine and drug use by the juvenile. The juveniles were asked if

they had ever used the above mentioned illegal substances and at what age each was

first used. Parents were asked about their knowledge of their child’s use of alcohol and

drugs and if they were aware of the child’s involvement in selling drugs. Information

gathered from the juvenile participants showed that 14.9% had used nicotine, 17.7%

had used alcohol, 15.8% had used marijuana and 4.1% had used at least one type of

hard drug (inhalants, cocaine, crack, crank, amphetamines, barbiturates, hallucinogens,

tranquilizers, or heroin) (see Tables 24, 25, 26, 27).

The average age for first nicotine use was 12.3 years with the earliest reported

use at age six. The average age for first alcohol use was 12.5 years with the earliest

reported use occurring at age five. For marijuana use the mean age of first use was

12.4 years with the earliest reported age of first use being seven years old. Hard drug

average age of first use was 13.1 years with nine being the earliest reported use.

Table 24 – Juvenile Has Use Nicotine Frequency Percent Valid Percent

No 1118 85.1 85.1Yes(a) 195 14.9 14.9

Valid

Total 1313 100.0 100.0a. Mean age of first use - 12.3 years Table 25 – Juvenile Has Use Alcohol Frequency Percent Valid Percent

No 1081 82.3 82.3Yes(a) 232 17.7 17.7

Valid

Total 1313 100.0 100.0a. Mean age of first use - 12.5 years Table 26 – Juvenile Has Used Marijuana Frequency Percent Valid Percent

No 1106 84.2 84.2Yes(a) 207 15.8 15.8

Valid

Total 1313 100.0 100.0

44

a. Mean age of first use - 12.4 years Table 27 – Juvenile Has Used Hard Drugs Frequency Percent Valid Percent

No 1259 95.9 95.9Yes(a) 54 4.1 4.1

Valid

Total 1313 100.0 100.0a. Mean age of first use - 13.1 years Parents were questioned about their knowledge of their child’s use of illegal

drugs and alcohol. Of 693 responding parents, 12.1% reported awareness of their child

using alcohol (see Table 28). 28.4% of 782 parents responded that they had

knowledge of their child using any type of drugs with 147 of 695 responding parents

(21.2%) reporting knowledge of their child using marijuana and 27 of 696 responding

parents (3.9%) reporting knowledge of the use of hard drugs by their child (see Tables

29, 30, 31 ). Only 7 of 765 parents (.9%) reported that they had knowledge of their

child’s involvement in selling drugs (see Table 32).

Table 28 – Parental Knowledge of Alcohol Use Frequency Percent Valid Percent

No 609 46.4 87.9Yes 84 6.4 12.1

Valid

Total 693 52.8 100.0Missing System 620 47.2 Total 1313 100.0

Table 29 – Parental Knowledge of Drug Use Frequency Percent Valid Percent

No 560 42.7 71.6Yes 222 16.9 28.4

Valid

Total 782 59.6 100.0Missing System 531 40.4 Total 1313 100.0

Table 30 – Parental Knowledge of Marijuana Use Frequency Percent Valid Percent

No 548 41.7 78.8Yes 147 11.2 21.2

Valid

Total 695 52.9 100.0

45

Missing System 618 47.1 Total 1313 100.0

Table 31 – Parental Knowledge of Hard Drug Use Frequency Percent Valid Percent

No 669 51.0 96.1Yes 27 2.1 3.9

Valid

Total 696 53.0 100.0Missing System 617 47.0 Total 1313 100.0

Table 32 – Parental Knowledge of Juvenile Involvement in Drug Sales Frequency Percent Valid Percent

No 758 57.7 99.1Yes 7 .5 .9

Valid

Total 765 58.3 100.0Missing System 548 41.7 Total 1313 100.0

Profile of a Truant Juvenile

Based on analysis of the sample population from the Truancy Center,

generalizations can be made from the demographic information and other family and

individual factors to create a profile of a juvenile that is at risk for truant behavior. This

information could be used to address at-risk juveniles earlier in their development,

perhaps even prior to actual truant behavior begins, to limit or prevent risk factors from

starting the juveniles down the path toward delinquency.

Considering the previous analysis and combining the data output, it is reasonable

to say that juveniles of Hispanic or African American ethnicity around 15 years of age

and currently enrolled in the 9th grade would fit into the profile. Based on the evenly

divided gender breakdown of the sample, it seems inappropriate to include the gender

46

of the juvenile in the profile except to say that either sex is equally at risk for truant

behavior.

Additionally, the juvenile has most likely experienced behavioral issues that have

resulted in his/her parents being called to school and may have also been suspended or

expelled because of behavior problems. Despite behavioral problems, the juvenile has

most likely never failed a grade in school nor does he/she have a learning disability or

require enrollment in special education classes.

It is likely that the child comes from a single parent or broken home consisting of

a combination of birth parents and stepparents. One or both parents are most likely to

be employed but there is a possibility that the family does not have medical insurance.

The juvenile will also be likely to come from a multiple child household.

Regarding other personal factors of the juvenile, there is a low probability that the

juvenile has been the victim of abuse, has ever been involved in counseling, is currently

employed, or has used nicotine, alcohol or drugs.

This summary provides a loose idea of the profile of a truant juvenile. It should

be understood that because truancy is a status offense and therefore relatively minor in

the spectrum of illegal behavior for juveniles this profile is somewhat benign in nature.

What is important to consider is the presence of school problems that could lead to

disconnection from school by a student and that these problems most likely develop into

truant behavior during the years leading into the 9th grade that was presented as the

target year in the profile. That being said, it would be most useful to anticipate the

development of truant behavior through the identification of the above mentioned profile

characteristics in a juvenile prior to the manifestation of problem behavior. To do so

47

would require forecasting and assessment of individual and family factors for school

populations that fit the profile early in their school career as a proactive measure to

prevent truancy later in the academic career.

Comparison of successful and unsuccessful completion groups

Ideally, every individual referred to the Truancy Center would complete the

program requirements and utilize the services to change the problem behavior

previously exhibited. Unfortunately, that is not the reality of any program of this nature

and it is therefore necessary to compare the group that completed successfully to those

that did not and determine those characteristics that increased the probability of

successful completion based on the outcome of that comparison. To do so, a logistic

regression analysis was used to determine those variables that increase the probability

of completion and the amount of predictive power that each independent variable

contributes to the outcome of the dependant variable, in this case successful or

unsuccessful completion of the Truancy Center’s program requirements.

The incompleteness of data provided by the Truancy Center, due to the self

reported nature of the information gathered, has been previously discussed but plays a

major factor in the regression analysis. The statistical program being used for analysis

eliminates a case from consideration if any variable has a missing response when

processing the logistic regression. Therefore, the independent variables that were used

in the regression analysis were limited to those variables that had few missing cases.

The variables included in the analysis included were: age, sex, ethnicity, previous

48

Dallas Challenge referral, number of previous Dallas Challenge referrals, current grade,

number of grades failed, and report of abuse.

Also included were the two variables that would indicate a pattern of school

problems for the juvenile: (1) has the juvenile been suspended or expelled from school

and (2) has the parent been called to school for their child’s behavior. These two

variables did include a number of missing responses but are salient to the indication of

school problems that could have lead to the truant behavior and therefore their inclusion

in the analysis was important.

After the elimination of cases for missing information, 697 of the 1,313 in the

sample (53.1%) were available for regression analysis. Of the 616 cases eliminated for

missing responses, 592 were eliminated for missing responses to the

suspended/expelled and parent called to school variables (see Table 33).

Table 33 – Exclusion from Logistic Regression for Missing Responses Juvenile has been suspended/expelled

Parent has been called to school for juvenile's behavior Frequency

Missing Response Missing Response 397 No 11 Yes 24 No Missing Response 70 Yes Missing Response 90

The logistic regression determined that five of the variables used in the model

were statistically significant in predicting completion of the program requirements, those

being: age (.012), sex (.001), current grade (.013), suspended/expelled (.000), and

parent called to school (.000) (see Table 34).

Table 34 – Variables Included in Regression and Significance Score df Significance Variables Age 6.348 1 .012 Sex 11.825 1 .001 Ethnicity 2.522 1 .112 Previous Referral .004 1 .951

49

Times Referred .103 1 .749 Current Grade 6.172 1 .013 Grades Failed .424 1 .515 Reported Abuse .303 1 .582 Suspension/Expulsion 15.715 1 .000 Parent Called to School 15.418 1 .000Overall Statistics

38.541 10 .000

Despite the significance of the previously mentioned variables, the predictive

value of outcome of the model was completely divergent from the actual sample group.

While the models predictive value was 94.3% correct for the successful completion

group it failed to predict unsuccessful completion outcomes with any reliability. The

model was only able to predict unsuccessful completion correctly in 10% of the cases

(see Table 35). The overall percentage of successfully predicted outcome was 65.4%,

which while an improvement from a 50/50 chance; the model does not exhibit the

predictive ability that is sought after when conducting a regression analysis.

Table 35 – Regression Model Predicted Outcome for Successful/Unsuccessful Completion

Predicted Completion Status

Observed Unsuccessful completion

Successful completion

Percentage Correct a

Completion Status

Unsuccessful completion 24 215 10.0

Successful completion 26 432 94.3 Overall Percentage 65.4 a. The Cut Value is .500

Considering the inability of the logistic regression model to fit the sample, it is

impossible to use the output as a means to evaluate the variables that contribute to

likelihood of successful completion of the Truancy Center’s program requirements.

Crosstabulation of variables and comparison of means will be used to determine

differences and similarities between the groups that completed the program

successfully and unsuccessfully in lieu of the logistic regression analysis that was

50

originally intended. Comparison of crosstabulation percentages and mean results will

allow for conclusions to be drawn from the independent variables that have missing

responses based on the available responses from the sample of participants.

Crosstabulation and Means Comparison Results for Demographic and Truancy Center

Related Variables

Comparison of the male and female participants in the Truancy Program found

that 71.2% of the 607 male participants completed the program successfully while only

62.0% of the 706 females completed the programs requirements (see Table 36).

Caucasian participants were most likely to successfully complete the program with

74.4% successful, followed by Hispanics (68.8%), African Americans (60.5%) and other

ethnicities (60.0%) (see Table 37). African American females were the least likely

demographic to complete the program successfully, having only 56.7% rate of success.

Caucasian males had the highest rate of success with 85.7% completing the program

successfully. Overall, within each ethnic group, males had a higher successful

completion rate than their female counterparts (see Table 38).

Table 36 - Completion Status and Sex Crosstabulation

Completion Status

Unsuccessful completion

Successful completion Total

Count 175 432 607 % within Sex 28.8% 71.2% 100.0%

Male

% within Completion Status

39.5% 49.7% 46.2%

Female Count 268 438 706 % within Sex 38.0% 62.0% 100.0%

Sex

% within Completion Status

60.5% 50.3% 53.8%

51

Total Count 443 870 1313

% of Total 33.7% 66.3% 100.0% Table 37 - Completion Status and Ethnicity of Juvenile Crosstabulation

Completion Status

Unsuccessful completion

Successful completion Total

Count 166 254 420% within Ethnicity of juvenile

39.5% 60.5% 100.0%

African American

% within Completion Status

38.0% 29.5% 32.3%

Caucasian Count 21 61 82% within Ethnicity of juvenile

25.6% 74.4% 100.0%

% within Completion Status

4.8% 7.1% 6.3%

Hispanic Count 244 538 782% within Ethnicity of juvenile

31.2% 68.8% 100.0%

% within Completion Status

55.8% 62.4% 60.2%

Other Count 6 9 15% within Ethnicity of juvenile

40.0% 60.0% 100.0%

Ethnicity of juvenile(a)

% within Completion Status

1.4% 1.0% 1.2%

Total Count 437 862 1299% within Ethnicity of juvenile

33.6% 66.4% 100.0%

a. 14 missing cases Table 38 – Completion Status by Sex and Ethnicity Crosstabulation

Completion Status Sex

Unsuccessful completion

Successful completion

Total

Male Ethnicity of juvenile(a)

African American

Count 69 127 196

% within Ethnicity of juvenile

35.2% 64.8% 100.0%

% within Completion Status

39.9% 29.7% 32.7%

% of Total 11.5% 21.2% 32.7%

52

a. 14 missing cases

Caucasian Count 6 36 42 % within

Ethnicity of juvenile

14.3% 85.7% 100.0%

% within Completion Status

3.5% 8.4% 7.0%

% of Total 1.0% 6.0% 7.0% Hispanic Count 96 260 356 % within

Ethnicity of juvenile

27.0% 73.0% 100.0%

% within Completion Status

55.5% 60.9% 59.3%

% of Total 16.0% 43.3% 59.3% Total Count 173 427 600 % within

Ethnicity of juvenile

28.8% 71.2% 100.0%

Female Ethnicity of juvenile(a)

African American

Count 97 127 224

% within Ethnicity of juvenile

43.3% 56.7% 100.0%

% within Completion Status

36.7% 29.2% 32.0%

% of Total 13.9% 18.2% 32.0%

Caucasian Count 15 25 40 % within

Ethnicity of juvenile

37.5% 62.5% 100.0%

% within Completion Status

5.7% 5.7% 5.7%

% of Total 2.1% 3.6% 5.7%

Hispanic Count 148 278 426

% within Ethnicity of juvenile

34.7% 65.3% 100.0%

% within Completion Status

56.1% 63.9% 60.9%

% of Total 21.2% 39.8% 60.9%

Total Count 264 435 699

% within Ethnicity of juvenile

37.8% 62.2% 100.0%

53

When comparing the mean ages of the two groups it was noted that while the

average age of those who completed the program successfully were older than those

who did not, the age difference in the two groups was negligible (10 weeks) (see Table

39).

Table 39 – Comparison of Mean Age by Completion Status Completion Status Mean Age N(a) Std. Deviation Unsuccessful completion 15.34 443 1.086Successful completion 15.54 869 1.114Total 15.47 1312 1.109

a. 1 missing case

The data also indicated that those participants who had a previous referral to the

Truancy Center completed the program successfully in only 41.7% of the cases while

those who were participating in their first referral completed the program in 66.9% of the

cases (see Table 40). It should be noted that while the number of second referrals to

the Truancy Center is small (n = 36) the 25.2% difference from those who have not

previously been referred to the program is substantial and could indicate that

alternatives to a second referral would be warranted.

Table 40 - Completion Status and Previous Dallas Challenge Referral Crosstabulation

Completion Status

Unsuccessful completion

Successful completion Total

Count 422 854 1276% within Previous Dallas Challenge referral

33.1% 66.9% 100.0%

No

% within Completion Status

95.3% 98.3% 97.3%

Yes Count 21 15 36% within Previous Dallas Challenge referral

58.3% 41.7% 100.0%

Previous Dallas Challenge referral(a)

% within Completion Status

4.7% 1.7% 2.7%

Total Count 443 869 1312

% within Previous 33.8% 66.2% 100.0%

54

Dallas Challenge referral

a. 1 missing case

Crosstabulation Results for School Related Variables

For those juvenile’s whose parents provided an estimation of the number of

absences that their child had accrued leading up to their child’s referral to the Truancy

Center there was a reverse correlation between estimated number of absences and the

rate of successful completion. Those cases with the fewest number of estimated

absences had the highest rate of completion (69.9%). As the number of estimated

absences increased the rate of successful completion dropped with the exception of

those cases that had estimated 40 of more absences, for which the rate of successful

completion (69.6%) was nearly equal to the group that estimated 10 or fewer absences

(see Table 41).

Table 41 - Completion Status and Parental Estimation of Absences Crosstabulation

Completion Status

Unsuccessful completion

Successful completion Total

Count 56 130 186% within Parental estimation of juvenile's # of absences

30.1% 69.9% 100.0%

0 - 10 absenses

% within Completion Status 58.3% 67.7% 64.6%

11 - 20 absenses Count 17 27 44% within Parental estimation of juvenile's # of absences

38.6% 61.4% 100.0%

% within Completion Status 17.7% 14.1% 15.3%

21 - 30 absenses Count 11 14 25

Parental estimation of juvenile's # of absences(a)

% within Parental estimation of juvenile's # of 44.0% 56.0% 100.0%

55

absences % within Completion Status 11.5% 7.3% 8.7%

31 - 40 absenses Count 5 5 10

% within Parental estimation of juvenile's # of absences

50.0% 50.0% 100.0%

% within Completion Status 5.2% 2.6% 3.5%

40+ absenses Count 7 16 23% within Parental estimation of juvenile's # of absences

30.4% 69.6% 100.0%

% within Completion Status 7.3% 8.3% 8.0%

Total Count 96 192 288% within Parental estimation of juvenile's # of absences

33.3% 66.7% 100.0%

a. 1025 missing cases The effect of a juvenile having served a suspension or expulsion from school

lowered the juvenile’s rate of successful completion of the program from 74.4% for

those who had not faced suspension or expulsion to 62.7% for the group who had been

suspended or expelled (see Table 42). A similar relationship exists for those juveniles

who have had their parents called to school for their behavior. Those participants

whose parents have been called to school exhibited a 61.5% success rate in completing

program requirements versus a 75.2% success rate for those whose parents had not

been called to school (see Table 43). Considering that 59.7% of the respondents had

been suspended or expelled and 66.9% of the respondents had their parents called to

school for behavior issues is important to recognize the effect that school problems play

in the likelihood that a juvenile will complete the Truancy Center program’s

requirements. The combination of the two school problems continues to decrease the

likelihood beyond the effect of each variable singularly. Those juveniles who have been

56

both suspended or expelled and have had their parents called to school have a

completion rate of 58.6% (see Table 44).

Table 42 – Completion Status and Juvenile Suspended/Expelled Crosstabulation

Completion Status

Unsuccessful completion

Successful completion Total

Count 91 264 355% within Juvenile has been suspended/expelled

25.6% 74.4% 100.0%

No

% within Completion Status

31.7% 44.4% 40.3%

Yes Count 196 330 526% within Juvenile has been suspended/expelled

37.3% 62.7% 100.0%

Juvenile has been suspended/expelled(a)

% within Completion Status

68.3% 55.6% 59.7%

Total Count 287 594 881

% within Juvenile has been suspended/expelled

32.6% 67.4% 100.0%

a. 432 missing cases Table 43 – Completion Status and Parent Has Been Called to School Crosstabulation

Completion Status

Unsuccessful completion

Successful completion Total

Count 62 188 250% within Parent has been called to school for juvenile's behavior

24.8% 75.2% 100.0%

No

% within Completion Status

24.1% 37.7% 33.1%

Yes Count 195 311 506% within Parent has been called to school for juvenile's behavior

38.5% 61.5% 100.0%

Parent has been called to school for juvenile's behavior(a)

% within Completion Status

75.9% 62.3% 66.9%

57

Total Count 257 499 756

% within Parent has been called to school for juvenile's behavior

34.0% 66.0% 100.0%

a 557 missing cases Table 44 – Completion Status by Parent Called and Juvenile Suspended/Expelled

Crosstabulation

Completion Status Total Parent has been called to school

Unsuccessful completion

Successful completion

No Juvenile has been suspended/expelled

No Count 35 128 163

% within Juvenile has been suspended/expelled

21.5% 78.5% 100.0%

Yes Count 24 52 76 % within Juvenile

has been suspended/expelled

31.6% 68.4% 100.0%

Yes Juvenile has been suspended/expelled

No Count 38 84 122

% within Juvenile has been suspended/expelled

31.1% 68.9% 100.0%

Yes Count 149 211 360 % within Juvenile

has been suspended/expelled

41.4% 58.6% 100.0%

Those participants who have a learning disability completed the program at a

rate of 57.0% as compared to the 69.5% rate for those who do not have a learning

disability (see Table 45). Similarly, for participants who are enrolled in special

education classes the completion rate differed from those who are in regular classes

with rates of 58.5% and 68.6% respectively (see Table 46).

Table 45 - Completion Status and Juvenile Has a Learning Disability Crosstabulation

Completion Status

Unsuccessful completion

Successful completion Total

Count 171 389 560% within Juvenile has learning disability

30.5% 69.5% 100.0%

Juvenile has learning disability(a)

No

% within Completion Status 67.3% 78.0% 74.4%

58

Yes Count 83 110 193% within Juvenile has learning disability

43.0% 57.0% 100.0%

% within Completion Status 32.7% 22.0% 25.6%

Total Count 254 499 753

% within Juvenile has learning disability

33.7% 66.3% 100.0%

a. 560 missing cases Table 46 - Completion Status and Juvenile is in Special Education Classes

Crosstabulation

Completion Status

Unsuccessful completion

Successful completion Total

Count 232 507 739% within Juvenile is in special eduaction classes

31.4% 68.6% 100.0%

No

% within Completion Status

79.2% 85.5% 83.4%

Yes Count 61 86 147% within Juvenile is in special eduaction classes

41.5% 58.5% 100.0%

Juvenile is in special eduaction classes(a)

% within Completion Status

20.8% 14.5% 16.6%

Total Count 293 593 886

% within Juvenile is in special eduaction classes

33.1% 66.9% 100.0%

a. 427 missing cases Results from the analysis of the number of grades failed variable found that there

was little difference in the success rate of completion between the groups who had not

failed any grades, those who had failed one grade, and those who failed multiple grades

of school. Within all three groups, approximately 2/3 of the participants completed the

program successfully regardless of their history of grades failed (see Table 47).

Table 47 - Completion Status and Number of Grades Failed Crosstabulation

59

Completion Status

Unsuccessful completion

Successful completion Total

Count 338 654 992% within Grades failed 34.1% 65.9% 100.0%

No Grades Failed

% within Completion Status 76.6% 75.8% 76.1%

One Grade Failed Count 83 171 254% within Grades failed 32.7% 67.3% 100.0%

% within Completion Status 18.8% 19.8% 19.5%

Multiple Grades Failed

Count 20 38 58

% within Grades failed 34.5% 65.5% 100.0%

Grades failed(a)

% within Completion Status 4.5% 4.4% 4.4%

Total Count 441 863 1304% within Grades failed 33.8% 66.2% 100.0%

a. 9 missing cases Involvement in extracurricular activities had a minimal effect on increasing

likelihood of successful program completion. The participants responding to the

question were evenly regarding their involvement in extra-curricular activities and the

rate of completion of the program for both responses was inline with the overall

completion percentages of the sample (see Table 48).

Table 48 - Completion Status and Juvenile Involvement in Extra-Curricular Activities Crosstabulation

Completion Status

Unsuccessful completion

Successful completion Total

Count 103 169 272 % within Juvenile involvement in extra-curricluar activities

37.9% 62.1% 100.0%

No

% within Completion Status

51.5% 46.8% 48.5%

Yes Count 97 192 289

Juvenile involvement in extra-curricluar activities(a)

% within Juvenile involvement in extra-curricluar

33.6% 66.4% 100.0%

60

activities % within Completion Status

48.5% 53.2% 51.5%

Total Count 200 361 561

% within Juvenile involvement in extra-curricluar activities

35.7% 64.3% 100.0%

a. 752 missing cases

Crosstabulation and Means Comparison Results for Family Related Variables

There is little difference (less than 5.0%) in the success rate based on whether

the responding parent is married or not (see Table 48). Despite the apparent lack of

effect based on parent marital status, there were noted differences in the success rate

based on the family living situation that the juvenile was in at the time of referral.

Participants who lived with both their mother and father accounted for 33.9% of the 578

responses regarding the family situation that the juvenile lives in and completed the

program successfully in 71.4% of the cases. Those juveniles who lived with just their

mother or father made up 46.4% of the responding population and only completed the

program with a success rate of 63.5% and 62.5% respectively. The parent living

arrangement with the most successful completion rate of the program was the juveniles

who lived with their father and stepmother, completing the Truancy Center requirements

with a rate of 81.0%. The least successful group of juveniles, with a completion rate of

60.9%, was for those juveniles who live with their mother and a stepfather (see Table

49).

Table 49 - Completion Status and Parent/Guardian Marital Status Crosstabulation

Completion Status Total

61

Unsuccessful completion

Successful completion

Count 166 308 474 % within Is parent/guardian married

35.0% 65.0% 100.0%

No

% within Completion Status

57.2% 51.8% 53.6%

Yes Count 124 287 411 % within Is parent/guardian married

30.2% 69.8% 100.0%

Is parent/ guardian married(a)

% within Completion Status

42.8% 48.2% 46.4%

Total Count 290 595 885

% within Is parent/guardian married

32.8% 67.2% 100.0%

a. 428 missing cases Table 50 - Completion Status and Family Member That Juvenile Lives with

Crosstabulation

Completion Status

Unsuccessful completion

Successful completion Total

Count 9 15 24 % within Juvenile lives with

37.5% 62.5% 100.0%

Father

% within Completion Status

4.7% 3.9% 4.2%

Mother Count 89 155 244 % within Juvenile lives with

36.5% 63.5% 100.0%

% within Completion Status

46.6% 40.1% 42.2%

Father/Mother Count 56 140 196

% within Juvenile lives with

28.6% 71.4% 100.0%

% within Completion Status

29.3% 36.2% 33.9%

Father/Stepmother

Count 4 17 21

% within Juvenile lives with

19.0% 81.0% 100.0%

Juvenile lives with(a)

% within Completion 2.1% 4.4% 3.6%

62

Status Count

27 42 69

% within Juvenile lives with

39.1% 60.9% 100.0%

Mother/Stepfather

% within Completion Status

14.1% 10.9% 11.9%

Stepfather/Stepmother

Count 2 7 9

% within Juvenile lives with

22.2% 77.8% 100.0%

% within Completion Status

1.0% 1.8% 1.6%

Stepmother Count 4 11 15 % within Juvenile lives with

26.7% 73.3% 100.0%

% within Completion Status

2.1% 2.8% 2.6%

Total Count 191 387 578

% within Juvenile lives with

33.0% 67.0% 100.0%

a. 735 missing cases Parental and spousal employment results indicate that while there is an increase

in the successful completion rate for juvenile’s who have parents with jobs the

difference of the completion rate between the juveniles with employed parents and

those participants whose parents are not employed is minimal (see Table 51 and 52).

Table 51 - Completion Status and Parent Employment Crosstabulation

Completion Status

Unsuccessful completion

Successful completion Total

Count 53 86 139 % within Parent employeed 38.1% 61.9% 100.0%

No

% within Completion Status

19.5% 15.2% 16.6%

Yes Count 219 478 697

Parent employeed(a)

% within Parent employeed 31.4% 68.6% 100.0%

63

% within Completion Status

80.5% 84.8% 83.4%

Total Count 272 564 836

% within Parent employeed 32.5% 67.5% 100.0%

a. 477 missing cases Table 52 - Completion Status and Parent Spouse Employment Crosstabulation

Completion Status

Unsuccessful completion

Successful completion Total

Count 86 142 228 % within Spouse Employed

37.7% 62.3% 100.0%

No

% within Completion Status

51.2% 44.0% 46.4%

Yes Count 82 181 263 % within Spouse Employed

31.2% 68.8% 100.0%

Spouse Employed(a)

% within Completion Status

48.8% 56.0% 53.6%

Total Count 168 323 491

% within Spouse Employed

34.2% 65.8% 100.0%

a. 822 missing cases When compared, the average number of children in the household was almost

identical between the successful and unsuccessful completion groups (see Table 53).

There was a nominal difference observed between the two comparison groups when

considering whether or not age eligible children within the household were enrolled in

school, whether or not the family had medical insurance, and whether the juvenile had a

family member with prior criminal involvement or arrests (see Table 54, 55, and 56).

Table 53 – Comparison of Number of Children in Home by Completion Status Completion Status Mean N(a) Std. Deviation Unsuccessful completion 3.1707 287 1.39258Successful completion 3.1712 590 1.44257Total 3.1710 877 1.42561

a. 432 missing cases

64

Table 54 – Completion Status and Age Eligible Children Enrolled in School

Crosstabulation

Completion Status

Unsuccessful completion

Successful completion Total

Count 14 24 38% within Age eligible children enrolled in school

36.8% 63.2% 100.0%

No

% within Completion Status

4.6% 3.9% 4.2%

Yes Count 289 584 873% within Age eligible children enrolled in school

33.1% 66.9% 100.0%

Age eligible children enrolled in school(a)

% within Completion Status

95.4% 96.1% 95.8%

Count 303 608 911

Total

% within Age eligible children enrolled in school

33.3% 66.7% 100.0%

a. 402 missing cases Table 55 - Completion Status and Medical Insurance Crosstabulation

Completion Status

Unsuccessful completion

Successful completion Total

Count 142 294 436 % within Medical Insurance

32.6% 67.4% 100.0%

No

% within Completion Status

59.4% 61.6% 60.9%

Yes Count 97 183 280 % within Medical Insurance

34.6% 65.4% 100.0%

Medical Insurance(a)

% within Completion Status

40.6% 38.4% 39.1%

Total Count 239 477 716

% within Medical Insurance

33.4% 66.6% 100.0%

a. 597 missing cases

65

Table 56 - Completion Status and Family Member with Criminal Involvement/Arrest Crosstabulation

Completion Status

Unsuccessful completion

Successful completion Total

Count 178 350 528% within Family member with criminal involvement/arrest

33.7% 66.3% 100.0%

No

% within Completion Status

71.2% 71.9% 71.6%

Yes Count 72 137 209% within Family member with criminal involvement/arrest

34.4% 65.6% 100.0%

Family member with criminal involvement/arrest(a)

% within Completion Status

28.8% 28.1% 28.4%

Total Count 250 487 737

% within Family member with criminal involvement/arrest

33.9% 66.1% 100.0%

a. 576 missing cases

Crosstabulation and Means Comparison Results for Personal Related Variables

For those juveniles who reported having previously used nicotine, alcohol,

marijuana, or hard drugs there were marked differences in successful completion of the

program when compared to those who had never used. The difference between the

successful and unsuccessful completion groups when considering their substance use

history was 67.4% successful and 59.5% unsuccessful for nicotine use, 67.5%

successful and 60.3% unsuccessful for alcohol use, and 67.6% successful and 58.9%

unsuccessful for marijuana use (see Tables 57, 58, and 59). The most notable

difference between the two comparison groups was in the success rate for those

66

juveniles who had previously used hard drugs. For the juveniles who had previously

used hard drugs they only had a 48.1% success rate as compared to a 67.0%

completion rate for the group who had not used hard drugs (Table 60).

Table 57 - Completion Status and Juvenile Nicotine Use Crosstabulation

Completion Status

Unsuccessful completion

Successful completion Total

Count 364 754 1118 % within Juvenile has used nicotine

32.6% 67.4% 100.0%

No

% within Completion Status

82.2% 86.7% 85.1%

Yes Count 79 116 195 % within Juvenile has used nicotine

40.5% 59.5% 100.0%

Juvenile has used nicotine

% within Completion Status

17.8% 13.3% 14.9%

Total Count 443 870 1313

% within Juvenile has used nicotine

33.7% 66.3% 100.0%

Table 58 - Completion Status and Juvenile Alcohol Use Crosstabulation

Completion Status

Unsuccessful completion

Successful completion Total

Count 351 730 1081 % within Juvenile has used alcohol

32.5% 67.5% 100.0%

No

% within Completion Status

79.2% 83.9% 82.3%

Yes Count 92 140 232 % within Juvenile has used alcohol

39.7% 60.3% 100.0%

Juvenile has used alcohol

% within Completion Status

20.8% 16.1% 17.7%

Total Count 443 870 1313

% within Juvenile has used alcohol

33.7% 66.3% 100.0%

67

Table 59 - Completion Status and Juvenile Marijuana Use Crosstabulation

Completion Status

Unsuccessful completion

Successful completion Total

Count 358 748 1106 % within Juvenile has used marijuana

32.4% 67.6% 100.0%

No

% within Completion Status

80.8% 86.0% 84.2%

Yes Count 85 122 207 % within Juvenile has used marijuana

41.1% 58.9% 100.0%

Juvenile has used marijuana

% within Completion Status

19.2% 14.0% 15.8%

Total Count 443 870 1313

% within Juvenile has used marijuana

33.7% 66.3% 100.0%

Table 60 – Completion Status and Juvenile Hard Drug Use Crosstabulation

Completion Status

Unsuccessful completion

Successful completion Total

Count 415 844 1259% within Juvenile has used hard drugs

33.0% 67.0% 100.0%

No

% within Completion Status

93.7% 97.0% 95.9%

Yes Count 28 26 54% within Juvenile has used hard drugs

51.9% 48.1% 100.0%

Juvenile has used hard drugs

% within Completion Status

6.3% 3.0% 4.1%

Total Count 443 870 1313

% within Juvenile has used hard drugs

33.7% 66.3% 100.0%

When analyzing the mean age of first use for nicotine, alcohol, marijuana and

hard drugs there was evidence that those juveniles who successfully completed the

program requirements were older than their unsuccessful counterparts but that mean

68

age differences were minimal between the groups. The largest age difference between

the successful and unsuccessful groups was 6 months for age of first nicotine use. All

other noted differences in mean age were less than 3 months between the two

comparison groups (see Table 61).

Table 61 – Comparison of Age of First Use by Completion Status

Completion Status

Age of first nicotine use (a)

Age of first alcohol use (b)

Age of first marijuana

use (c)

Age of first hard drug

use (d) Mean 12.29 12.14 12.36 13.07N 79 92 85 28

Unsuccessful completion

Std. Deviation 3.122 4.032 3.535 3.042Mean 12.72 12.42 12.47 13.23N 116 140 122 26

Successful completion

Std. Deviation 3.205 4.004 3.891 3.266Mean 12.55 12.31 12.43 13.15N 195 232 207 54

Total

Std. Deviation 3.171 4.008 3.741 3.123a. 1081 missing cases b. 1081 missing cases c. 1106 missing cases d. 1259 missing cases The most telling variables concerning drug and alcohol use that affected the

outcome of completion were those involving parental knowledge of use. For those

juveniles whose parents were aware of alcohol and drug use by the child there was a

notable difference in their ability to finish the program successfully. The children of

parents that were aware of their child using alcohol completed the program with a

success rate of 46.4% as compared to 68.3% that reported that their child did not use

alcohol (see Table 62). The difference in success rate for the children whose parents

knew about their marijuana use was 27.0%, 71.9% successful for those parents that

reported no knowledge of use versus 44.9% successful for the parents reporting that

they were aware of their child using marijuana (see Table 63). The gap in success rate

increased further, to a difference of 30.4%, for parental knowledge of hard drug use

69

respondents. 67.4% of those juveniles who had parents reporting not having

knowledge of hard drug use completed the program as opposed to only 37.0% success

for those juveniles who had parents aware of their child’s hard drug use (see Table 64).

Table 62 – Completion Status and Parental Knowledge of Alcohol Use Crosstabulation

Completion Status

Unsuccessful completion

Successful completion Total

Count 193 416 609% within Parental knowledge of alcohol use

31.7% 68.3% 100.0%

No

% within Completion Status

81.1% 91.4% 87.9%

Yes Count 45 39 84% within Parental knowledge of alcohol use

53.6% 46.4% 100.0%

Parental knowledge of alcohol use(a)

% within Completion Status

18.9% 8.6% 12.1%

Total Count 238 455 693

% within Parental knowledge of alcohol use

34.3% 65.7% 100.0%

a. 620 missing cases Table 63 – Completion Status and Parental Knowledge of Marijuana Use

Crosstabulation

Completion Status

Unsuccessful completion

Successful completion Total

Count 154 394 548 % within Parental knowledge of marijuana use

28.1% 71.9% 100.0%

No

% within Completion Status

65.5% 85.7% 78.8%

Yes Count 81 66 147 % within Parental knowledge of marijuana use

55.1% 44.9% 100.0%

Parental knowledge of marijuana use(a)

% within Completion Status

34.5% 14.3% 21.2%

Total Count 235 460 695

70

% within Parental knowledge of marijuana use

33.8% 66.2% 100.0%

a. 618 missing cases Table 64 – Completion Status and Parental Knowledge of Hard Drug Use Crosstabulation

Completion Status

Unsuccessful completion

Successful completion Total

Count 218 451 669 % within Parental knowledge of hard drug use

32.6% 67.4% 100.0%

No

% within Completion Status

92.8% 97.8% 96.1%

Yes Count 17 10 27 % within Parental knowledge of hard drug use

63.0% 37.0% 100.0%

Parental knowledge of hard drug use(a)

% within Completion Status

7.2% 2.2% 3.9%

Total Count 235 461 696

% within Parental knowledge of hard drug use

33.8% 66.2% 100.0%

a. 617 missing cases

The one statistical outcome that seems counterintuitive is the relationship

between parental knowledge of the juvenile’s involvement in selling drugs and their

completion of the program. For the seven parents who reported knowledge of their

child’s involvement in drug sales, 85.7% of the participants successfully completed the

program. Only 66.5% of the juveniles whose parents reported no knowledge of drug

selling involvement successfully completed the program, which is almost equal to the

overall 66/34% split of successful/unsuccessful completion of the program without

variable consideration (see Table 65). Considering the small number and the

71

contradiction of logic that arises from the increased success rate correlated with

involvement in drug sales the possibility of a statistical anomaly must be considered.

Table 65 – Completion Status and Parental Knowledge of Involvement in Drug Sales Crosstabulation

Completion Status

Unsuccessful completion

Successful completion Total

Count 254 504 758 % within Parental knowledge of juvenile involvement in selling drugs

33.5% 66.5% 100.0%

No

% within Completion Status

99.6% 98.8% 99.1%

Yes Count 1 6 7 % within Parental knowledge of juvenile involvement in selling drugs

14.3% 85.7% 100.0%

Parental knowledge of juvenile involvement in selling drugs(a)

% within Completion Status .4% 1.2% .9%

Total Count 255 510 765

% within Parental knowledge of juvenile involvement in selling drugs

33.3% 66.7% 100.0%

a. 548 missing cases Those juveniles who reported any abuse, emotional abuse, or physical abuse all

had successful completion rates similar to those juveniles who did not report a history of

abuse (see Table 66, 67, 68). The exception was those cases where the juvenile

reported being the victim of sexual abuse. Those juveniles who reported past sexual

abuse only completed the program in 55.6% of the cases whereas those who had not

been abused completed the program with a success rate of 71.6% (see Table 69).

Table 66 – Completion Status and Juvenile Reported Abuse Crosstabulation

72

Completion Status

Unsuccessful completion

Successful completion Total

Count 392 767 1159 % within Juvenile reported any abuse

33.8% 66.2% 100.0%

No

% within Completion Status

88.5% 88.2% 88.3%

Yes Count 51 103 154 % within Juvenile reported any abuse

33.1% 66.9% 100.0%

Juvenile reported any abuse

% within Completion Status

11.5% 11.8% 11.7%

Count 443 870 1313

Total

% within Juvenile reported any abuse

33.7% 66.3% 100.0%

Table 67 – Completion Status and Juvenile Reported Emotional Abuse Crosstabulation

Completion Status

Unsuccessful completion

Successful completion Total

Count 13 24 37% within Juvenile reported emotional abuse

35.1% 64.9% 100.0%

No

% within Completion Status

25.5% 23.3% 24.0%

Yes Count 38 79 117% within Juvenile reported emotional abuse

32.5% 67.5% 100.0%

Juvenile reported emotional abuse

% within Completion Status

74.5% 76.7% 76.0%

Total Count 51 103 154

% within Juvenile reported emotional abuse

33.1% 66.9% 100.0%

Table 68 – Completion Status and Juvenile Reported Physical Abuse Crosstabulation

Completion Status

Unsuccessful completion

Successful completion Total

Juvenile reported No Count 30 59 89

73

% within Juvenile reported physical abuse

33.7% 66.3% 100.0%

% within Completion Status

58.8% 57.3% 57.8%

Yes Count 21 44 65% within Juvenile reported physical abuse

32.3% 67.7% 100.0%

physical abuse(a)

% within Completion Status

41.2% 42.7% 42.2%

Total Count 51 103 154

% within Juvenile reported physical abuse

33.1% 66.9% 100.0%

Table 69 – Completion Status and Juvenile Reported Sexual Abuse Crosstabulation

Completion Status

Unsuccessful completion

Successful completion Total

Count 31 78 109% within Juvenile reported sexual abuse

28.4% 71.6% 100.0%

No

% within Completion Status

60.8% 75.7% 70.8%

Yes Count 20 25 45% within Juvenile reported sexual abuse

44.4% 55.6% 100.0%

Juvenile reported sexual abuse(a)

% within Completion Status

39.2% 24.3% 29.2%

Total Count 51 103 154

% within Juvenile reported sexual abuse

33.1% 66.9% 100.0%

Upon examining juvenile contact with the police through the variables of picked

up and arrested by the police it is apparent that a history of a juvenile engaging in

behavior that leads to police involvement has a detrimental effect on the juvenile

completing the program successfully. For both police pick ups and arrests, as contact

with the police increased the completion success rate decreased. Juveniles who had

never been picked up by the police completed the program with a 70.9% success rate

74

as compared to the 50.0% success rate for those juveniles who had been picked up

multiple times (see Table 70 ). Similarly, 72.0% of the juveniles with no arrest history

completed the program while only 41.4% of those who had multiple arrests were able to

finish successfully (see Table 71).

Table 70 – Completion Status and Juvenile Has Been Picked Up By Police Crosstabulation

Completion Status

Unsuccessful

completion Successful completion Total

Count 145 354 499% within Juvenile Has Been Picked Up By Police (collapsed catagories)

29.1% 70.9% 100.0%

Never Picked Up

% within Completion Status 54.9% 66.3% 62.5%

Picked Up Once Count 83 144 227% within Juvenile Has Been Picked Up By Police (collapsed catagories)

36.6% 63.4% 100.0%

% within Completion Status 31.4% 27.0% 28.4%

Multiple Times Picked Up

Count 36 36 72

% within Juvenile Has Been Picked Up By Police (collapsed catagories)

50.0% 50.0% 100.0%

Juvenile Has Been Picked Up By Police (collapsed catagories)(a)

% within Completion Status 13.6% 6.7% 9.0%

Total Count 264 534 798

% within Juvenile Has Been Picked Up By Police (collapsed catagories)

33.1% 66.9% 100.0%

a. 515 missing cases Table 71 – Completion Status and Juvenile Has Been Arrested Crosstabulation

Completion Status

Unsuccessful completion

Successful completion Total

75

Count 134 345 479 % within Juvenile Has Been Arrested (collapsed categories)

28.0% 72.0% 100.0%

Never Arrested

% within Completion Status

65.4% 79.7% 75.1%

One Arrest Count 54 76 130 % within Juvenile Has Been Arrested (collapsed categories)

41.5% 58.5% 100.0%

% within Completion Status

26.3% 17.6% 20.4%

Multiple Arrests Count 17 12 29

% within Juvenile Has Been Arrested (collapsed categories)

58.6% 41.4% 100.0%

Juvenile Has Been Arrested(a)

% within Completion Status

8.3% 2.8% 4.5%

Total Count 205 433 638

% within Juvenile Has Been Arrested (collapsed categories)

32.1% 67.9% 100.0%

a. 675 missing cases Involvement is gang related activity also set the participants at a disadvantage for

successful completion of the program. Those juveniles who were reportedly involved in

a gang by their parents had a successful completion rate of 41.2%. Those who were

not involved in gang related activity, according to their parents, completed the program

at a rate of 68.2% (see Table 72).

Table 72 – Completion Status and Parent Reported Gang Involvement Crosstabulation

Completion Status

Unsuccessful completion

Successful completion Total

Gang Related No Count 229 490 719

76

% within Gang Related Activity

31.8% 68.2% 100.0%

% within Completion Status

88.4% 95.9% 93.4%

Yes Count 30 21 51 % within Gang Related Activity

58.8% 41.2% 100.0%

Activity(a)

% within Completion Status

11.6% 4.1% 6.6%

Total Count 259 511 770

% within Gang Related Activity

33.6% 66.4% 100.0%

a. 543 missing cases A good indicator of successful completion was employment on the part of the

participant. Those juveniles who had jobs completed the program in 75.9% of the cases

as opposed to 66.5% completion by those juveniles who did not have a job (see Table

73). Conversely, being previously fired from a job decreased the chances of successful

completion to 58.6% in comparison to those who had never been fired that completed

the program at a rate of 68.3% (see Table 74).

Table 73 – Completion Status and Juvenile is Employed Crosstabulation

Completion Status

Unsuccessful completion

Successful completion Total

Count 272 540 812% within Juvenile is currently employed

33.5% 66.5% 100.0%

No

% within Completion Status

92.8% 89.1% 90.3%

Yes Count 21 66 87% within Juvenile is currently employed

24.1% 75.9% 100.0%

Juvenile is currently employed(a)

% within Completion Status

7.2% 10.9% 9.7%

Total Count 293 606 899

% within Juvenile is currently 32.6% 67.4% 100.0%

77

employed a. 414 missing cases Table 74 – Completion Status and Juvenile Has Been Fired From a Job Crosstabulation

Completion Status

Unsuccessful completion

Successful completion Total

Count 172 370 542% within Juvenile has been fired from job

31.7% 68.3% 100.0%

No

% within Completion Status

93.5% 95.6% 94.9%

Yes Count 12 17 29% within Juvenile has been fired from job

41.4% 58.6% 100.0%

Juvenile has been fired from job(a)

% within Completion Status

6.5% 4.4% 5.1%

Total Count 184 387 571

% within Juvenile has been fired from job

32.2% 67.8% 100.0%

a. 742 missing cases Previous participation in counseling or treatment produced only a marginal

difference in the outcome of completion of the Truancy Center’s requirements. Those

who had been involved in counseling prior to their referral were only slightly less likely to

complete the program successfully (see Table 75).

Table 75 – Completion Status and Juvenile Counseling/Treatment Crosstabulation

Completion Status Total

Unsuccessful completion

Successful completion

Counseling/Treatment(a) No Count 163 350 513 % within

Counseling/Treatment 31.8% 68.2% 100.0%

% within Completion Status 65.5% 72.2% 69.9%

Yes Count 86 135 221 % within

Counseling/Treatment 38.9% 61.1% 100.0%

% within Completion Status 34.5% 27.8% 30.1%

Total Count 249 485 734

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% within Counseling/Treatment 33.9% 66.1% 100.0%

a. 579 missing cases

Summary of Variables That Indicate a Change in Successful Completion of Truancy

Center Program Requirements

In lieu of the logistic regression results, it is important to examine those variables

that suggest a positive or negative effect on the participants’ ability to successfully

complete the program. This section will present those variables that produced results

based on the crosstabulation results for successful completion that differed from the

baseline success rate of 66.3%. Variables existed within the analysis that produced a

positive result by substantially increasing the rate at which participants completed the

program beyond the baseline percentage. On the other side, variables also produced a

negative result by considerably lowering the rate of successful completion below 66.3%.

Without testing for significance, the standard change that will be considered significant

by the researcher in this study will be a change in success rate of 8.0% or more in either

direction. Those difference caused by such variables is an important indicator of those

factors that lead to or take away from the probability of successful completion in the

absence of the logistic regression results originally intended (see Table 76).

Table 76 - Variables Values Which Produced Significant Difference from Baseline Successful Completion Percentage

Variable Name and Response

Percentage of Successful Completion

Baseline Percentage of Successful Completion

Difference from Baseline Percentage

of Completion Previous Dallas Challenge referral 41.7% 66.3% - 23.6%

Caucasian males 85.7% 66.3% + 19.4% African American females 56.7% 66.3% - 9.6% Juvenile lives with father and stepmother 81.0% 66.3% + 14.7%

Juvenile lives with stepfather and stepmother 77.8% 66.3% + 11.5%

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Juvenile reported sexual abuse 55.6% 66.3% - 10.7%

Juvenile has used hard drugs 48.1% 66.3% - 18.2%

Juvenile is involved in gang related activity 41.2% 66.3% - 25.1%

Parent estimated 21-30 absences 56.0% 66.3% - 10.3%

Parent estimated 31 -40 absences 50.0% 66.3% - 16.3%

Juvenile has never been suspended or expelled 74.4% 66.3% + 8.1%

Parent has not been called to school 75.2% 66.3% + 8.9%

Juvenile has a learning disability 57.0% 66.3% - 9.3%

Juvenile is currently employed 75.9% 66.3% + 9.6%

Parental knowledge of alcohol use 46.4% 66.3% - 19.9%

Parental knowledge of marijuana use 44.9% 66.3% - 21.4%

Parental knowledge of hard drug use 37.0% 66.3% - 29.3%

Parental knowledge of involvement in drug sales 85.7% 66.3% + 19.4%

Juvenile has been picked up by police multiple times 50.0% 66.3% - 16.3%

Juvenile has been arrested multiple times 41.4% 66.3% -24.9%

This information, despite the fact that the determination of significance is based

on an arbitrary difference in percentage chosen by the researcher, gives an overview of

those variables that produced divergence from the baseline successful completion rate.

Those variables with differences that produced an increase in completion rate, with the

exception of involvement drugs sales (which was discussed previously as a possible

statistical anomaly), indicate a juvenile, that from a cursory and qualitative viewpoint,

live in a supportive environment, have avoided serious trouble at school, or have

undertaken personal responsibility by securing a job. For the variables with a noted

difference that reduced the completion success rate a pattern of school problems,

delinquency, and alcohol or drug use can be postulated that would preclude a

participant from being successful in this particular program. That may be in part due to

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the fact that the program is focused on intervening in behavior that is less serious than

these juveniles are already involved in and thus may put them at a disadvantage for

successful completion prior to their starting in the program.

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CHAPTER 5 CONCLUSIONS AND DISCUSSION

The Dallas Challenge Truancy and Class C Enforcement Center provides

services to those juveniles who have exhibited chronic truant behavior and failure to

change that behavior when ordered to do so by a court of law in an attempt to change

problem behavior and enable the participants to return to school. To this end, it is in the

best interest of the program and the juveniles referred for services to target those

individuals who have the best hope of benefiting from the services provided, as is the

case with any intervention program such as the Truancy Center. The profile of a truant

juvenile referred to the Truancy Center and the identification of factors that contribute to

successful completion of the program resulting from this research is information that can

be used to evaluate the operation of the Truancy Center and to shape truancy

prevention and intervention efforts that are in use in other jurisdictions. Prior to

examining the application of this research back to the Truancy Center and discussing

how it can be generalized to other programs there are several limitations of the research

that, while previously mentioned, must be recognized and discussed in conjunction with

the conclusions drawn from the research.

Limitations Associated with Research Conclusions

First, issues associated with the integrity of the collection of data by agency

employees must be addressed. The Truancy Center utilized many employees to

conduct the intake procedures for participants, all of which presumably had their own

techniques and styles for asking, recording and archiving the information gathered from

the juveniles who were referred for services. This is evident in the manner that much of

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the data was recorded in the agency database and then passed on for the purpose of

this research. It is also difficult to guarantee that each employee was diligent in making

sure that each participant fully understood every question posed during each individual

intake interview. With varying intake interview practices and the lack of standardized

documentation for responses there was a great deal of variance that was created within

the agency data by the Truancy Center’s employees.

Second, there are definitional issues associated with some of the questions that

are posed to each juvenile during his/her intake process. Each juvenile is asked about

previous nicotine use without indication that nicotine is defined to the juvenile as

cigarettes, snuff, or chewing tobacco. Another example of definitional problems occurs

with the question asked of parents regarding their child’s involvement in extracurricular

activities. When examining the open string variable in the agency data, activities such

as hanging out with friends were included in the described activities that the juveniles

participated in. The lack of clarification with regards to the definition of what activities

are extracurricular allowed for the inclusion of behavior that does not necessarily match

the definition of the term in question. The potential for an incorrect response because of

lack of understanding or clarification creates additional reliability issues within the

agency data.

Third, with regards to validity issues within the data provided by the Truancy

Center, missing data within each individual case file created the most significant

reliability and validity problem. Non-response to intake questions, do to the nature of

the self reported information, allowed for blanks within the agency files. Embarrassment

or reluctance to admit to further illegal behavior on the part of both the juveniles and

83

their parents that led to a refusal to respond to intake questions created holes within the

analyzable data. The failure to secure a response, or even indicate non-response, on

the part of agency employees who conducted intake interviews rendered the data

unusable for the originally intended logistical regression analysis because of the missing

data within each case.

Finally, the inability to perform a multivariate analysis drastically reduced the

ability of the results of this research’s efforts to explain the factors that contribute or

detract to successful completion of the program requirements. While there were most

definitely useful results produced through the crosstabulation comparisons, a

multivariate analysis would have illustrated the interactive effects that the included

variables played in predicting successful or unsuccessful outcomes. Being forced to

utilize the crosstabulation analysis made it impossible to determine the amount that any

given variable contributed to the completion outcome.

All of the above mentioned problems with the agency data contribute to the

limitations of the analysis of said data. The limitations and problems associated with the

data provided by the Truancy Center were not intentionally created by the agency, but

were instead the product of the real world application of a program to juveniles in need

versus the conditions that would exist in an ideal laboratory experiment. Intake data

was collected for use within the program context without consideration of possible

research applications later which can possibly explain the lack of attention to detail and

the design of the collection and record keeping methods. The situation created within

this research by the condition of the agency provided data was accepted as the reality

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of working with a program of this nature and adaptations were made to salvage useable

results from the data that was available.

Implications of Analysis Results

When looking at the results of the analysis in a broad overview there is a

sweeping generalization that can be made about the findings, that being that there were

variables that did not appear to have an affect on program completion and there were

also variables which produced a change in successful or unsuccessful outcome (see

Table 77). The specific implications of each variables affect on program completion

cannot be made because of the lack of appropriate statistical results that would allow for

such conclusions to be drawn but it is possible to hypothesize about the possible cause

and effect relationships that exist between the individual variables, the variables as a

group, and program outcome. It is also appropriate to question the results of variables

that seem to contradict the logical affect that a particular variable would have on

successful completion.

Table 77 – Comparison of Percentages within Completion Status to Illustrate Effect on Program Completion

% within Completion Status Variable Name Variable Value Unsuccessful

Completion Successful Completion

Difference

Sex Male 39.5% 49.7% 10.2% Female 60.5% 50.3% 10.2% Ethnicity African American 38.0% 29.5% 8.5% Caucasian 4.8% 7.1% 2.3% Hispanic 55.8% 62.4% 6.6% Other 1.4% 1.0% .4% Age 15.34 years 15.54 years .2 years Previous Dallas Challenge referral Yes 4.7% 1.7% 3.0%

Estimation of absences 0 – 10 absences 58.3% 67.7% 9.4% 11 – 20 absences 17.7% 14.1% 3.6% 21 – 30 absences 11.5% 7.3% 4.2% 31 – 40 absences 5.2% 2.6% 2.6% 40 + absences 7.3% 8.3% 1.0%

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Juvenile has been suspended/expelled Yes 68.3% 55.6% 12.7%

Parent has been called to school for juvenile behavior Yes 75.9% 62.3% 13.6%

Juvenile has a learning disability Yes 32.7% 22.0% 10.7%

Juvenile is in special education classes Yes 20.8% 14.5% 6.3%

Juvenile has failed a grade in school

Yes (one or multiple grades) 23.3% 24.2% .9%

Juvenile is involved in extra-curricular activities Yes 48.5% 53.2% 4.7%

Parental marital status Married 42.8% 48.2% 5.4% Parent employment status Employed 80.5% 84.8% 4.3% Parent’s spouse employment status Employed 48.8% 56.0% 7.2%

Number of children in household 3.17 3.17 0.0

Age eligible children in school Yes 95.4% 96.1% .7% Family medical insurance Yes 40.6% 38.4% 2.2% Family member with criminal involvement/arrest Yes 28.8% 28.1% .7%

Juvenile nicotine use Yes 17.8% 13.3% 4.5% Age of first nicotine use 12.29 years 12.72 years .43 years Juvenile alcohol use Yes 20.8% 16.1% 4.7% Age of first alcohol use 12.14 years 12.42 years .28 years Parental knowledge of alcohol use Yes 18.9% 8.6% 10.3%

Juvenile marijuana use Yes 19.2% 14.0% 5.2% Age of first marijuana use 12.36 years 12.47 years .11 years Parental knowledge of marijuana use Yes 34.5% 14.3% 20.2%

Juvenile hard drug use Yes 6.3% 3.0% 3.3% Age of first hard drug use 13.07 years 13.23 years .16 years Parental knowledge of hard drug use Yes 7.2% 2.2% 5.0%

Parental knowledge of involvement in drug sales Yes .4% 1.2% .8%

Juvenile reported abuse Yes 11.5% 11.8% .3% Juvenile reported emotional abuse Yes 74.5% 76.7% 2.2%

Juvenile reported physical abuse Yes 41.2% 42.7% 1.5%

Juvenile reported sexual abuse Yes 39.2% 24.3% 14.9% Juvenile has been picked up police

Yes (once or multiple times) 45.0% 33.7% 11.3%

Juvenile has been arrested Yes (once or multiple times) 34.6% 20.4% 14.2%

Parent reported gang involvement Yes 11.6% 4.1% 7.5%

Juvenile is employed Yes 7.2% 10.9% 3.7% Juvenile has been fired from a job Yes 6.5% 4.4% 2.1%

Juvenile has been in counseling/treatment Yes 34.5% 27.8% 6.7%

When the percentage within the completion status is examined it appears that

there is little difference between the successful and unsuccessful completion outcomes

86

for many of the variables analyzed. Those variables that do indicate a difference

between the successful and unsuccessful completion groups are primarily factors that

would indicate that the juvenile has engaged in behavior that would intuitively put them

at a greater disadvantage for being successful in an intervention program like the

Truancy Center. Variables that would indicate problems at school, interaction with the

police, and parental knowledge of alcohol or drug use generated the greatest difference

between the successful and unsuccessful participant groups. The converse of that

hypothesis is also assumable, in that the participants who have avoided problem

behavior and have a strong support system, attachment to school or other activities,

and a sense of responsibility prior to referral to the Truancy Center will have the highest

likelihood of completing the program requirements successfully.

There are also results that contradict logic based on their apparent lack of

influence, or even an inverse relationship, on successful completion of the program.

Variables such as grades failed, family member that is involved in criminal activity,

parent reported gang involvement, and the age differences between the

successful/unsuccessful participants for age of first alcohol and drug use showed little

difference between the two possible completion outcomes. The variables of

involvement in drug sales, estimated absences in excess of 40, and juvenile reported

emotional and physical abuse which indicated a inverse relationship that is

counterintuitive to what would be expected are even more perplexing results. There are

several possible explanations for the apparent inconsistencies resulting from the

comparison of outcomes.

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The Truancy Center utilizes a multitude of resources and programs to outsource

participants for services. As mentioned previously, each participant receives a personal

program plan upon intake that is tailored to the individual needs of the juvenile. While

the Truancy Center has standard programs that are mandated for nearly all of the

participants there is also the potential for each juvenile to receive additional services to

accommodate special needs. This information was unavailable to include with the

analysis and could possibly explain variation in program outcome if those juveniles with

specialized needs participated in programs that addressed their needs more effectively

than a participant who was only mandated to minimal program requirements.

Another possible explanation for the divergent results is related, once again, to

the validity and reliability of the data and the ability for its use to produce results. For

example, the data regarding drug use that was reported by both the juveniles and their

parents has produced differing results upon analysis. Juvenile reported information

indicated that the use of nicotine, alcohol, and drugs produced little difference between

the two possible program completion outcomes. The results from the parent reported

information concerning alcohol and drug use indicated a far greater difference between

the successful and unsuccessful completion groups. The fact that there are

discrepancies and contradicting information that came out of the analysis gives cause to

question the validity of the data used and the resulting output. Despite the apparent

shortcomings of the data and analysis results, it is still possible to use the information to

propose theoretical conclusions based on the results.

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Generalization of Results to the Truancy Center and Beyond

With regard to the Truancy Center specifically, the results draw attention to the

population that is most likely to be referred to the program for services in the form of the

profile generated from the sample population. This is a profile that can be generalized

back to the population from which the original sample was drawn, that being students of

the Dallas Independent School District. This profile should not only be used to identify

those juveniles who are at immediate risk for truant behavior but also to forecast for

individuals who exhibit risk factors that lead to truancy.

Efforts to recognize and address actions of those juveniles from minority ethnic

groups who exhibit minor problem behavior in school should be made to avoid

escalating behavior that will later require referral to programs such as the Truancy

Center. Early identification of minor problems and the ability of teachers to put young

students on the right track have the potential to prevent far more truancy than any

program that attempts to intervene in the life of a child who has already exhibited the

behavior. While the profile of a truant can be useful in the program setting, the potential

for its use as a tool for raising awareness of the factors that contribute to truancy is far

more useful if that information is put into an action plan for addressing behavior prior to

it developing into serious conduct.

The identification of factors that predict success in completion of the Truancy

Center’s program requirements is valuable information for the purpose of operation and

selection of individuals who are appropriate for receipt of services. By recognizing

factors and characteristics that place an individual at a lower probability of success

89

within the program upon intake, case managers can better tailor program services to the

needs of the individual. This is a technique that is already in place within the program,

but by increasing the understanding of the factors that substantially reduce likelihood of

success can only improve the ability of program staff to serve its participants.

Also, by identifying the factors that seriously inhibit the ability of a juvenile to be

successful in completing the program it is possible to identify those individuals who may

require more specialized or intensive services than the Truancy Center has at its

disposal. If a juvenile exhibits multiple characteristics that have been determined to

inhibit completion of the program such as drug and alcohol use, serious problem

behavior at school, police interaction or arrest, or gang involvement he/she may be at a

point where truancy intervention will have little possibility of changing his/her behavior.

It must be acknowledged that there were very few variables that lowered the successful

rate of completion below 50%, but those variables that produced such results were

behavior that crosses the line of minor problem or status offense into delinquent actions.

Upon recognition of such issues, it may be appropriate for Truancy Center staff to

recommend that the juvenile participate in an alternative program that is designed to

address the more serious issues that face the child. This is not to say that individuals

that fall into this grouping could not experience benefit from Truancy Center services,

but if truancy is the least serious of their problem behaviors, there may be little benefit

gained from attacking the problem from the angle of truancy intervention.

The results of this research apply to other outside programs in much the same

manner that it relates back to the Truancy Center. For any truancy intervention or

prevention program, it is important to remember what the goals of the program are and

90

to maintain practices that are in line with achieving those goals. This research has

provided a profile of truancy that could be applied to juveniles in any metropolitan

jurisdiction that bears resemblance to the Dallas area to identify juveniles who are at

risk for developing truant behavior. More so, the identification of factors that limit

success in a program of this nature can provide a framework for other programs to limit

participation based on the presence of attributes that reduce likelihood of completion.

Future Research in Truancy Prevention and Intervention

The limitations of truancy research were previously mentioned and this project

made a minimal expansion upon that body of research. For future truancy research to

be truly valuable in determining the benefit of truancy prevention and intervention

programs it most be longitudinal in nature to determine the long term effect of such

programs on the clientele who receive services. Future research should include

survival information to indicate whether participants who successfully completed a

truancy prevention/intervention program were able to reduce school absences after

completion, complete high school, or avoid escalation to delinquent or criminal behavior.

Research has been conducted to determine if delinquents and adult criminals

had a history of school problems, including truancy, prior to criminal activity (see

Huizinga, Loeber, and Thornberry 1994; Huizinga, Loeber, Thornberry, and Cothern

2000). Such research has experienced difficulty in establishing whether school

problems lead to delinquency and criminality or vice versa. Longitudinal research

following completion of a truancy program would help to solidify the nature of truancy’s

relationship to delinquency and criminal activity. Research regarding those individuals

91

who fail to successfully complete a truancy program and the future consequences that

do or do not befall them would also be beneficial in determining the effectiveness of

truancy prevention and intervention efforts.

It is important that the future of truancy research continue to branch out beyond

the limited studies that have been conducted to date. With the potential to understand

how truancy, as a status offense, plays a role in the development of delinquency and

criminal behavior this is a subject that deserves to be explored in greater depth.

92

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