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Trends in Real Driving Emissions from roadside measurements Dr James Tate Institute for Transport Studies, University of Leeds, UK

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Page 1: Trends in Real Driving Emissions from roadside measurements · Trends in Real Driving Emissions from roadside measurements ... Emissions Analyser (Common Configurations) REMOTE SENSING

Trends in Real Driving Emissions fromroadside measurements

Dr James TateInstitute for Transport Studies, University of Leeds, UK

Page 2: Trends in Real Driving Emissions from roadside measurements · Trends in Real Driving Emissions from roadside measurements ... Emissions Analyser (Common Configurations) REMOTE SENSING

CONTENTS

2

▶ Remote sensing Real Driving Emissions (RDE) Method Verification

▶ Results 2015▶ Effectiveness of Euro 6 /VI Passenger cars

+ Emission Factor estimation+ NOX Emission contribution (%)

LGVs HGVs✘ Buses

▶ #dieselgate analysis

▶ Outlook

Page 3: Trends in Real Driving Emissions from roadside measurements · Trends in Real Driving Emissions from roadside measurements ... Emissions Analyser (Common Configurations) REMOTE SENSING

METHOD

3

Page 4: Trends in Real Driving Emissions from roadside measurements · Trends in Real Driving Emissions from roadside measurements ... Emissions Analyser (Common Configurations) REMOTE SENSING

Camera(Number plate)

Vehicle Detector(Speed andAcceleration)

Source/Detector

Mirror Box

Source

Detector

Emissions Analyser(Common

Configurations)

Camera(Number plate)

Vehicle Detector(Speed andAcceleration)

Source/Detector

Mirror Box

Source

Detector

Emissions Analyser(Common

Configurations)

REMOTE SENSING VEHICLE EMISSIONSSurveying the vehicle fleet on the road

ESP RSD-4600 instrument (www.esp-global.com)

UVIR

Page 5: Trends in Real Driving Emissions from roadside measurements · Trends in Real Driving Emissions from roadside measurements ... Emissions Analyser (Common Configurations) REMOTE SENSING

METHOD VERIFICATIONSpeed & acceleration measurements

5

Off carriage-way tests tracked vehicles (VBox: GPS, CAN bus)

Repeated pass-bys

Page 6: Trends in Real Driving Emissions from roadside measurements · Trends in Real Driving Emissions from roadside measurements ... Emissions Analyser (Common Configurations) REMOTE SENSING

RESULTS | 2015Speed & acceleration measurements

6

Aberdeen campaign 2015:

REMOTE SENSING 10 survey days (08:00 – 18:00 hrs)

25, 000 ‘valid’ measurements

5 sites

CAR TRACKING Sample over 2-days

VBox GPS, road speed (CAN Bus)

160 kms

Page 7: Trends in Real Driving Emissions from roadside measurements · Trends in Real Driving Emissions from roadside measurements ... Emissions Analyser (Common Configurations) REMOTE SENSING

RESULTS | 2015Speed & acceleration measurements

7

CAR TRACKING REMOTE SENSING

Time stationary = 26%

0 20 40 60 80 100

-3

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

Speed (km.h1

)

Acce

lera

tio

n(m

.se

c2)

1

33

65

98

130

162

194

226

258

291

323

355

387

419

452

484

516

Counts

10 20 30 40 50 60 70

-3

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

Speed (km.h1

)

Acce

lera

tio

n(m

.se

c2)

1

12

23

35

46

57

68

79

90

102

113

124

135

146

158

169

180

Counts

Page 8: Trends in Real Driving Emissions from roadside measurements · Trends in Real Driving Emissions from roadside measurements ... Emissions Analyser (Common Configurations) REMOTE SENSING

METHOD VERIFICATIONInter-comparison of two Remote Sensing Devices

8

Page 9: Trends in Real Driving Emissions from roadside measurements · Trends in Real Driving Emissions from roadside measurements ... Emissions Analyser (Common Configurations) REMOTE SENSING

METHOD VERIFICATIONCalibration (audit) gas measurements

9

Distribution of the measurement distribution of a controlled gas mixture with known relativeabundances.The binned data shows the measurements with the solid line showing a Normaldistribution derived from the measured data (solid) and theoretical (dashed).

Page 10: Trends in Real Driving Emissions from roadside measurements · Trends in Real Driving Emissions from roadside measurements ... Emissions Analyser (Common Configurations) REMOTE SENSING

METHODPassenger cars | Estimation of Emission Factors

10

ܯܧ ܫ ܫ Ǥݎ�ܥܣܨ� ଵோௌ =

ଶܥ ோௌ

×ଶܥ

ெ ே

× ݎݎܥ ݐ ܨ� ݎݐ ூ

https://www.theccc.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2015/09/Impact-of-real-world-driving-emissions-for-UK-cars-and-vans.pdf

1

1.1

1.2

1.3

1.4

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Div

erg

ence

of

‘rea

l-w

orl

d’f

rom

man

ufa

ctu

rers

’typ

e-ap

pro

valC

O2

(fac

tor)

Year of first registration

Diesel

Petrol

Page 11: Trends in Real Driving Emissions from roadside measurements · Trends in Real Driving Emissions from roadside measurements ... Emissions Analyser (Common Configurations) REMOTE SENSING

PASSENGER CARS | NOXResults Spring/ Summer 2015

11

aP

etr

ol_

E0

aP

etr

ol_

E1

aP

etr

ol_

E2

aP

etr

ol_

E3

aP

etr

ol_

E4

aP

etr

ol_

E5

aP

etr

ol_

E6

ax

bH

ybrid-P

etr

ol_

E4

bH

ybrid-P

etr

ol_

E5

bH

ybrid-P

etr

ol_

E6

bx

Die

sel_

E0

Die

sel_

E1

Die

sel_

E2

Die

sel_

E3

Die

sel_

E4

Die

sel_

E5

Die

sel_

E6

dx z

Hyb

rid-D

iese

l_E

5

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

NO

X(g

ram

s.km

1

)

Page 12: Trends in Real Driving Emissions from roadside measurements · Trends in Real Driving Emissions from roadside measurements ... Emissions Analyser (Common Configurations) REMOTE SENSING

PASSENGER CARS | NOX contributonResults Spring/ Summer 2015

12

E0

petr

ol

E1

petr

ol

E2

petr

ol

E3

petr

ol

E4

petr

ol

E5

petr

ol

E6

petr

ol

E0

die

sel

E1

die

sel

E2

die

sel

E3

die

sel

E4

die

sel

E5

die

sel

E6

die

sel

NO

Xco

ntr

ibution

(%)

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

[0.0

0]

[0.0

9]

[1.3

6]

[8.9

5]

[19.5

8]

[22.9

2]

[1.9

7]

[0.0

0]

[0.0

0]

[0.2

2]

[3.3

1]

[12.1

5]

[27.5

5]

[1.9

0]

Page 13: Trends in Real Driving Emissions from roadside measurements · Trends in Real Driving Emissions from roadside measurements ... Emissions Analyser (Common Configurations) REMOTE SENSING

PASSENGER CARS | Euro 6% of Passenger cars registered since Sept 2014 that are Euro 6

13

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

MER

CED

ES

MIN

I

PO

RSC

HE

BM

W

AU

DI

VO

LKSW

AG

EN

FOR

D

VO

LVO

HYU

ND

I

CIT

RO

EN

VA

UX

HA

LL

SEA

T

PEU

GEO

T

SKO

DA

KIA

HO

ND

A

JAG

UA

R

LAN

DR

OV

ER

MA

ZDA

NIS

SAN

TOYO

TA

%Eu

roV

I

Diesel Petrol

Page 14: Trends in Real Driving Emissions from roadside measurements · Trends in Real Driving Emissions from roadside measurements ... Emissions Analyser (Common Configurations) REMOTE SENSING

PASSENGER CARS | PM (opacity)Results Spring/ Summer 2015

14

aP

etr

ol_

E0

aP

etr

ol_

E1

aP

etr

ol_

E2

aP

etr

ol_

E3

aP

etr

ol_

E4

aP

etr

ol_

E5

aP

etr

ol_

E6

ax

bH

ybrid-P

etr

ol_

E4

bH

ybrid-P

etr

ol_

E5

bH

ybrid-P

etr

ol_

E6

bx

Die

sel_

E0

Die

sel_

E1

Die

sel_

E2

Die

sel_

E3

Die

sel_

E4

Die

sel_

E5

Die

sel_

E6

dx z

Hyb

rid-D

iesel_

E5

0.0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

PM

Index

/C

O2ra

tio

Page 15: Trends in Real Driving Emissions from roadside measurements · Trends in Real Driving Emissions from roadside measurements ... Emissions Analyser (Common Configurations) REMOTE SENSING

LGVs | NOXResults Spring/ Summer 2015

15

Die

selc

ar_

E2

Die

selc

ar_

E3

Die

selc

ar_

E4

Die

selc

ar_

E5

Die

selc

ar_

E6

dx

LG

V_N

1-I

_E

2

LG

V_N

1-I

_E

3

LG

V_N

1-I

_E

4

LG

V_N

1-I

_E

5

LG

V_N

1-I

_F

2

LG

V_N

1-I

I_E

2

LG

V_N

1-I

I_E

3

LG

V_N

1-I

I_E

4

LG

V_N

1-I

I_E

5

LG

V_N

1-I

I_F

2

LG

V_N

1-I

II_E

2

LG

V_N

1-I

II_E

3

LG

V_N

1-I

II_E

4

LG

V_N

1-I

II_E

5

0

50

100

150

200

NO

X/

CO

2ra

tio

*10000

Page 16: Trends in Real Driving Emissions from roadside measurements · Trends in Real Driving Emissions from roadside measurements ... Emissions Analyser (Common Configurations) REMOTE SENSING

LGVs | PMResults Spring/ Summer 2015

16

Die

selc

ar_

E2

Die

selc

ar_

E3

Die

selc

ar_

E4

Die

selc

ar_

E5

Die

selc

ar_

E6

dx

LG

V_N

1-I

_E

2

LG

V_N

1-I

_E

3

LG

V_N

1-I

_E

4

LG

V_N

1-I

_E

5

LG

V_N

1-I

_F

2

LG

V_N

1-I

I_E

2

LG

V_N

1-I

I_E

3

LG

V_N

1-I

I_E

4

LG

V_N

1-I

I_E

5

LG

V_N

1-I

I_F

2

LG

V_N

1-I

II_E

2

LG

V_N

1-I

II_E

3

LG

V_N

1-I

II_E

4

LG

V_N

1-I

II_E

5

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

PM

Index

/C

O2ra

tio

Page 17: Trends in Real Driving Emissions from roadside measurements · Trends in Real Driving Emissions from roadside measurements ... Emissions Analyser (Common Configurations) REMOTE SENSING

HGVs | NOXResults Spring/ Summer 2015

17

Art

ic_E

2

Art

ic_E

3

Art

ic_E

4

Art

ic_E

5

Art

ic_E

6

Rig

id_E

2

Rig

id_E

3

Rig

id_E

4

Rig

id_E

5

Rig

id_E

6

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

NO

X/

CO

2ra

tio*

10000

Page 18: Trends in Real Driving Emissions from roadside measurements · Trends in Real Driving Emissions from roadside measurements ... Emissions Analyser (Common Configurations) REMOTE SENSING

HGVs | NOXCorroboration TfL data

18

aN

2rigid

0%

load

aN

3rigid

0%

load

bN

2rigid

100%

load

bN

3rigid

100%

load

cR

SD

rigid

d

dN

3art

ic0%

load

dN

3art

ic100%

load

zR

SD

art

ic

0

20

40

60

80

NO

X/

CO

2ra

tio

*10000

https://www.london.gov.uk/sites/default/files/In-service%20emissions%20performance%20of%20Euro%206VI%20vehicles%20WEBSITE%20COPY.pdf

Page 19: Trends in Real Driving Emissions from roadside measurements · Trends in Real Driving Emissions from roadside measurements ... Emissions Analyser (Common Configurations) REMOTE SENSING

#DIESELGATEEuro 5 2.0-litre diesel cars with EA189 engine

19

#A

UD

I

#S

EA

T

#S

KO

DA

#V

OLK

SW

AG

EN

BL

AN

K

OT

HE

RS

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0N

OX(g

ram

s.k

m1

)

DIESEL

Euro V Standard

OTHERS:2.0-litre diesel enginesfrom other Marquese.g.BMWFORDKIATOYOTAVAUXHALL

Page 20: Trends in Real Driving Emissions from roadside measurements · Trends in Real Driving Emissions from roadside measurements ... Emissions Analyser (Common Configurations) REMOTE SENSING

2000 2005 2010 2015 2020

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

Year of registration

NO

X(g

ram

s.k

m

1)

Euro III Euro IV Euro V Euro VI

Emission standard

#DIESELGATENOX emissions by marque & Year of 1st registration

Page 21: Trends in Real Driving Emissions from roadside measurements · Trends in Real Driving Emissions from roadside measurements ... Emissions Analyser (Common Configurations) REMOTE SENSING

#DIESELGATENOX emissions of common marques & models

Euro Standard

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5AUDI

Euro 3 Euro 4 Euro 5

BMW FORD

Euro 3 Euro 4 Euro 5

LANDROVER MERCEDES

Euro 3 Euro 4 Euro 5

PEUGEOT SKODA

Euro 3 Euro 4 Euro 5

VAUXHALL VOLKSWAGEN

Euro 3 Euro 4 Euro 5

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5VOLVO

Page 22: Trends in Real Driving Emissions from roadside measurements · Trends in Real Driving Emissions from roadside measurements ... Emissions Analyser (Common Configurations) REMOTE SENSING

OUTLOOK

22

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