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Trends Impacting School Libraries The Info Needs of the DotComs & Ferals www.annimac.com.au AISWA Annimac Workshop 11 March 2005 Futurist

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Page 1: Trends Impacting School Libraries The Info Needs of the DotComs & Ferals  AISWA Annimac Workshop 11 March 2005 Futurist

Trends Impacting School Libraries

The Info Needs of the

DotComs & Ferals

www.annimac.com.au

AISWA AnnimacWorkshop 11 March 2005 Futurist

Page 2: Trends Impacting School Libraries The Info Needs of the DotComs & Ferals  AISWA Annimac Workshop 11 March 2005 Futurist

Are we experiencing

the same world

as our students ?

Page 3: Trends Impacting School Libraries The Info Needs of the DotComs & Ferals  AISWA Annimac Workshop 11 March 2005 Futurist
Page 4: Trends Impacting School Libraries The Info Needs of the DotComs & Ferals  AISWA Annimac Workshop 11 March 2005 Futurist

Role of Teaching : Michael Gurstein IT Education Futurist Canada

Not to replace our basic set of skills -

3 Rs - but to add a set of complex /

conceptual skills.

We must also know how to

manage

construct

deconstruct

information and knowledge

at a conceptual level.

Page 5: Trends Impacting School Libraries The Info Needs of the DotComs & Ferals  AISWA Annimac Workshop 11 March 2005 Futurist

Michael Gurstein, ICT Education Futurist, Canada

So we can make sense of what we are doing

with ITs

So we can control ITs and how they structure our relationship with others and with the physical world

Young are developing such skills

spontaneously

and intuitively

Page 6: Trends Impacting School Libraries The Info Needs of the DotComs & Ferals  AISWA Annimac Workshop 11 March 2005 Futurist

Michael Gurstein, ICT Education Futurist, Canada

We need to catch up

or get out of their way

or help them systematize

what they sense.

Page 7: Trends Impacting School Libraries The Info Needs of the DotComs & Ferals  AISWA Annimac Workshop 11 March 2005 Futurist

What does this mean for libraries ?

First - the bigger picture …

Page 8: Trends Impacting School Libraries The Info Needs of the DotComs & Ferals  AISWA Annimac Workshop 11 March 2005 Futurist

Rate of Change

10 minutes - new technology

10 days - new product / service

10 seconds - new web site

Change we experience in one day

Our Grandparents had in one year

Younger means faster

Page 9: Trends Impacting School Libraries The Info Needs of the DotComs & Ferals  AISWA Annimac Workshop 11 March 2005 Futurist
Page 10: Trends Impacting School Libraries The Info Needs of the DotComs & Ferals  AISWA Annimac Workshop 11 March 2005 Futurist

Driving the speed of change

Technology : by 2020

70 % of job types

do not exist now because

80 % of technology

has not been imagined yet

Page 11: Trends Impacting School Libraries The Info Needs of the DotComs & Ferals  AISWA Annimac Workshop 11 March 2005 Futurist

Likely jobs in next 10 years :

• Director of Emerging Thought

• Chief Human Zookeeper

• Creative Undertaker

• Thought Jockey

• Chief Imagination Officer

• Hacker Relations Manager

• Human Interface Manager *

• Valuer of Intangible Assets * * Exists since 2003

Page 12: Trends Impacting School Libraries The Info Needs of the DotComs & Ferals  AISWA Annimac Workshop 11 March 2005 Futurist
Page 13: Trends Impacting School Libraries The Info Needs of the DotComs & Ferals  AISWA Annimac Workshop 11 March 2005 Futurist
Page 14: Trends Impacting School Libraries The Info Needs of the DotComs & Ferals  AISWA Annimac Workshop 11 March 2005 Futurist

Values & attitudes

From : Masculine old paradigm - Logical wealth driven problem focussed existing processes competitive

To : Feminine new paradigm - Intuitive

values driven create goals innovate processes cooperation

Huge Paradigm Shift in

Page 15: Trends Impacting School Libraries The Info Needs of the DotComs & Ferals  AISWA Annimac Workshop 11 March 2005 Futurist

Huge paradigm shift An Example

To create change :

Masculine old way Feminine new way

- by using fear - use hope

- using desperation - use inspiration

- go for win-lose - go for win-win

Page 16: Trends Impacting School Libraries The Info Needs of the DotComs & Ferals  AISWA Annimac Workshop 11 March 2005 Futurist
Page 17: Trends Impacting School Libraries The Info Needs of the DotComs & Ferals  AISWA Annimac Workshop 11 March 2005 Futurist

Multiple Intelligences : Eight

1. Linguistic - language2. Logical mathematical - number / reasoning 3. Spatial - physical relationship

4. Bodily kinaesthetic - body & movement 5. Musical - music

6. Interpersonal - people relationships7. Intrapersonal - self aware8. Naturist - nature / spiritual relationships

= Masculine - traditional classrooms = Feminine - business & virtual worlds

Page 18: Trends Impacting School Libraries The Info Needs of the DotComs & Ferals  AISWA Annimac Workshop 11 March 2005 Futurist
Page 19: Trends Impacting School Libraries The Info Needs of the DotComs & Ferals  AISWA Annimac Workshop 11 March 2005 Futurist

GenerationsBaby Boomers 45 - 60 yrsb 1945 – 60

Generation X 30 - 45 1960 – 75

DotComs 15 – 30 1975 – 90 first wired gen

Ferals 0 - 15 1990 – now fewest - half GenX

Page 20: Trends Impacting School Libraries The Info Needs of the DotComs & Ferals  AISWA Annimac Workshop 11 March 2005 Futurist

Boomers : (1945-60)

married/divorced empty nesters

retired/ part timersdownsizing everything

set relationshipssense of community

material statusidentity from job

medium term planning

travellers; homebodies

seek new safe experiencessecurity conscious

health conscious

defer to authority

love/hate change.

GenXers : (1960-75)

singlechildless

multicareers, SOHOsmobile nfa renters

Net datingglobal orientation: no commitment

materialism assumed identity ephemeral

short term planning

varied lifestyles: wired

risk takersquick decisions

environmental values,personal journey

deference to heroes

expect, accept change.

DotComs : (1975-90)

temporary pairinggroup socialising

no careers, own pathparental home

Net relationshipsglobal identity

non consumers

identity from activity

immediacy

wired

multichannelled multiactions

planetary mission group focus

temporary deference

need, welcome change.

Ferals :(1990-2005)

momentary relationshipsno patterns

future jobs not importantparental home

global limitless relationshipsglobal no boundaries identityglobal commitment

on consumers; global valuesidentity from self values

very immediate & long term

wired into global village

unlimited channelsunlimited expectations

planetary missionself & global group foci

no deferencemomentary respect per need

are change, live change ignore resistance

Page 21: Trends Impacting School Libraries The Info Needs of the DotComs & Ferals  AISWA Annimac Workshop 11 March 2005 Futurist
Page 22: Trends Impacting School Libraries The Info Needs of the DotComs & Ferals  AISWA Annimac Workshop 11 March 2005 Futurist

Baby Boomers 45 - 60Married or divorced Empty nestersRetired or part time workersDownsizing lives Set relationshipsSense of communityMaterial status Male Identity from jobMedium term plannersTravellers or homebodiesSeek new safe experiencesSecurity conscious Health consciousDefer to authority Love / hate change

Page 23: Trends Impacting School Libraries The Info Needs of the DotComs & Ferals  AISWA Annimac Workshop 11 March 2005 Futurist
Page 24: Trends Impacting School Libraries The Info Needs of the DotComs & Ferals  AISWA Annimac Workshop 11 March 2005 Futurist

Single Childless Net Dating Single Childless Net Dating Mobile No Fixed AddressMobile No Fixed Address Renters RentersVaried lifestyles Global i.d. Varied lifestyles Global i.d. Materialism assumedMaterialism assumedShort term planners Short term planners Multi careers SOHO Multi careers SOHO Risk takers Fast decisionsRisk takers Fast decisionsEnvironmental valuesEnvironmental valuesPersonal journeyPersonal journeyDefer to heroesDefer to heroesExpect accept changeExpect accept change

Generation Xers 30 – 45

Page 25: Trends Impacting School Libraries The Info Needs of the DotComs & Ferals  AISWA Annimac Workshop 11 March 2005 Futurist
Page 26: Trends Impacting School Libraries The Info Needs of the DotComs & Ferals  AISWA Annimac Workshop 11 March 2005 Futurist

DotComs 15 – 30Temporary pairing Group socialisingNo careers Own pathParental homeGlobal I.d. Net relationshipsNon consumers I.d. from activityWired Immediacy

Multi channeled Multi actionsPlanetary group missionTemporary deferenceNeed & welcome change

Page 27: Trends Impacting School Libraries The Info Needs of the DotComs & Ferals  AISWA Annimac Workshop 11 March 2005 Futurist
Page 28: Trends Impacting School Libraries The Info Needs of the DotComs & Ferals  AISWA Annimac Workshop 11 March 2005 Futurist

Ferals 0 – 15

No patterns Wired into global villageNo patterns Wired into global village

Global momentary limitless relationships Global momentary limitless relationships

Global i.d from self valuesGlobal i.d from self values

Parental home Future jobs unimportantParental home Future jobs unimportant

Planetary mission Non consumers Planetary mission Non consumers

Unlimited mind channelsUnlimited mind channels

Very immediate & long term views Very immediate & long term views

No deference Respect when No deference Respect when neededneeded

Live change & ignore barriersLive change & ignore barriers

Page 29: Trends Impacting School Libraries The Info Needs of the DotComs & Ferals  AISWA Annimac Workshop 11 March 2005 Futurist
Page 30: Trends Impacting School Libraries The Info Needs of the DotComs & Ferals  AISWA Annimac Workshop 11 March 2005 Futurist

Summary : Trends

huge rate of change technology driven - unimagined major shift in societal values unknowable workforce requirements relationships focussed curricula

individual responsibility individual pathways young drive change young will create their VR world

Page 31: Trends Impacting School Libraries The Info Needs of the DotComs & Ferals  AISWA Annimac Workshop 11 March 2005 Futurist
Page 32: Trends Impacting School Libraries The Info Needs of the DotComs & Ferals  AISWA Annimac Workshop 11 March 2005 Futurist

thank you WWW.ANNIMAC.COM.AU