transport infrastructure financing mechanism for …
TRANSCRIPT
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TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE FINANCING MECHANISM FOR
FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS IN NIGERIA
PRESENTATION BY
Ross Oluyede
THE AG. MANAGING DIRECTOR/CEO - THE INFRASTRUCTURE BANK PLC
AUGUST 2021
Nigerian
Institute of
Transport
Technology
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Contents
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❑ Introduction
❑ Financing Transport Infrastructure
❑ Funding options for Infrastructure
❑ Public-Private Partnership – a financing option
❑ Opportunities for Transport infrastructure financing
❑ Other opportunities in infrastructure financing
❑ Summary
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Introduction Infrastructure Deficit Challenge
❑ Capital investments in infrastructure have been widely recognized as a veritableroute for engendering sustainable economic development and inclusive growth.
❑ Linkages between economic growth/sustainability and infrastructure development,are validated by the observation that “developed economies typically record coreinfrastructure stock value of about 70% of GDP (roads, rail, ports, airports, power,water, ICT), with power and transportation accounting for at least 50% of totalvolume.
❑ In contrast to international benchmarks, Nigeria’s core infrastructure stock isestimated at about 20% to 25% of GDP, for which the National IntegratedInfrastructure Master Plan (“NIIMP”) estimates that about USD35billion is requiredannually over the next 5years to sustain robust economic growth, in the near term,and USD3trillion is needed over 30 years.
❑ With fiscal and budgetary funding constraints plaguing governments at all levels,the cold reality is that private participation in infrastructure is an economicnecessity, rather than an optional financing solution, as hitherto considered.
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Source: National Integrated Infrastructure Master Plan and TIB’s proprietary research
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Housing and Regional Dev.• $350billion i.e. 11% of total
• Increase the number of housing
units to close current deficit (16
million units deficit)
• Develop urban infrastructure
Agriculture, Water and Mining• $400billion i.e. 13% of total
• Develop water supply and
irrigation networks
• Develop crop processing zones
• Build basic mining infrastructure
Transport• $775billion i.e. 254% of total
• Rehabilitate & expand national
and regional road networks
• Rehabilitate rail links, upgrade
main airports and develop
inland waterways
Social infrastructure• $150billion i.e. 5% of total
• Construction of facilities for
education, hospitals, women
and youth development and
sports centres
Introduction Projected 30-year Investments by Sector...
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Energy• $1trillion i.e. 33% of total
• Increase generation and
transmission capacity
• Construct gas infrastructure
• Increase refining capacity
ICT• $325billion i.e. 11% of total
• Expand mobile network
capacity and coverage area
• Expand broadband fibre optic
network capacity &coverage
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Introduction contd.
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❑ Transport – a derived demand, is vital to the well-functioning of economicactivities and a key to ensuring social well-being and cohesion of populations.
❑ Transport ensures everyday mobility of people and is crucial to the productionand distribution of goods. The only physical infrastructure that connects andoverlaps (sectoral) economies
❑ Adequate infrastructure is a fundamental precondition for transport systems.
❑ In a bid to facilitate transport, governments are faced with physical barriers orhindrances:
❑ insufficient or inadequate transport infrastructures;
❑ bottlenecks and missing links; and
❑ lack of funds to remove them.
Transport Infrastructure pictures - https://www.istockphoto.com/photos/transportation-infrastructure5 5
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Introduction contd.
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Transport Infrastructure defined
❑ Transport infrastructure consists of the fixed
installations including roads, railways, airways,
waterways, canals and pipelines and associated
terminals such as airports, railway stations, bus
stations, warehouses, trucking terminals.
❑ It refers to the framework that supports transport
system.
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Financing Transport
Infrastructure
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❑ Investment is needed to develop new transport
infrastructure and to rehabilitate what is already in
place
❑ These investments will have to come from either public
or private sources
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Financing Transport
Infrastructure
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Infrastructure finance by agent
Infrastructure Financing
Public
Central & Local
Governments
Development Institutions
Private
Corporate Finance
Public Companies
Private Companies
Project Finance
PPP Non-PPP
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Financing Transport
Infrastructure
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Sources of funds (capital) for infrastructure financing
Public Sector Financing
- Tax Revenue
- Non-Tax Revenue
- Public Bond Financing
- Loans/grants from DFIs and official development assistance
Private Sector Financing
- Debt
- Commercial Banks
- Non-Bank Financial Institutions
- Corporate Bonds
- Equity
- Public and Private Equity
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Financing Transport
Infrastructure
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Financing Instruments: An Overview
Financing Tools Private Funding Public Funding
Government Budget None General Taxes
Capital Financing Senior Shares
Mezzanine Financing Equity Preference Shares, Convertible Shares
Debt Subordinated loans, subordinated bonds
Debt Financing Loans Commercial loans Loans from govts, banks and OFIs
Bonds Private Issue Project bonds Bonds with Sovereign Guarantee,
Municipal bonds etc.Public Issue
Guarantees BGs, Credit Line, direct
insurance etc.
Sovereign guarantee, guarantee of
state/International /regional FIs
Revenue generated by projects Toll revenues, Revenue generated by secondary developments
Value capture; using part of the added value
generated by the project, enjoyed by its beneficiaries
None Increase of property taxes, tax
surplus funding, land lease fee etc.
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Funding Deficit for Infrastructure
Government Funding Options
$10 billion p.acurrent Govt. investments in infrastructure
$33billion p.a.investments required over the next 5 years
Required Investments
On-budget Funding
Primarily from government revenue.
Includes: Budgetary Allocation, Enhanced Statutory Allocation, Viability Gap Funding
Off-budget Funding
Govt. assumes some financial commitments as is the case with Special
Intervention Funds, Bonds, Low-interest concessional loans, Financing from aid and donor agencies
Private Sector Funding Options
Funding is sourced through means that may require minimal or no government contribution. Includes: PPPs, Pension Fund, Long Term Commercial Bonds (Capital Markets), Multilateral Agencies, Export Credit Finance, Private Equity, Infrastructure Funds
Funding deficit $23 billion p.a.
i.e.
$100 billion (5yrs)
Funding
Options
Current Investments
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Funding Options for Infrastructure
FISCAL BUDGET
In the face of the dwindling oil
revenues (accounts for over 80% of
FGN income) and ballooning debt
portfolio approaching US$90billion,
budgetary funding should be for social
projects and stimulating investments in
commercial assets
DEPOSIT MONEY BANKS
Banks have (even with N24trillion+
sector balance sheet) developed a
strong apathy to infrastructure projects,
being constrained mostly to short and
medium tenured liabilities.
CAPITAL MARKETS
Capital markets remains largely
confined to basic equities and
government linked securities, and lack
the depth necessary for funding long
term infrastructure investment.
EXPORT CREDIT AGENCIES
Export Credit Agencies virtually only
provide funding having recourse in
some way to commercial banks or
Federal Government balance sheet.
PENSION FUNDS
Pension funds are constrained by
regulation, in addition to a lack of
well-structured infrastructure financing
deals and capable/ reliable project
sponsors.
MULTILATERAL AGENCIES
Multilateral agencies and DFIs only
provide funding with recourse in some
way to the government balance sheet
– already constrained as earlier
described.
PPPs
PPP methodologies have proven
a viable option, especially for
small to medium scale
infrastructure investments.
Hinged on Project Finance
mechanism PPPs will unleash
unprecedent infrastructure
growth
Jump-starting
large scale
investment into
the infrastructure
requires a game-
changing
approach……
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Typical PPP Type Transaction
Project
Implementation
Vehicle
Financial
Sponsor
Technical
Sponsor
Equity Funding
Shareholders
Agreement
Service-
Users/Off takers
(public/citizens)
Government
Concession Agreement
(or similar transaction
agreement), Catalytic
funding, securing
project site or ROW,
relevant approvals, etc.
Service Level
Agreements
Regulators
(ICRC/MDAs)
Constructors
Operation and
Maintenance
Entity
Operations and
Maintenance Contract
Construction ContractBanks/Lender
Project Debt
Project Documents
Political Risk Cover (FGN,
Insurance, ECA, etc)
Oversight of standards during
planning & documentation,
construction, and operation
and maintenance phases
Security
AgreementsGuarantee
Agreement/Insurance
Contract
Letter of Comfort
Support Framework
Revenues
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Development Phase
• High risk
• Low quantum of investment
• No revenue generated
• Financing arduous
• Intangible assets created
• Catalytic funding may be required
• Proprietary (venture capitalism) in nature
Construction Phase
• Financial Closure
• Risk transferred to Constructors
• No revenue generated
• Interest payments may be capitalised
• Repayments may last construction period
• Lenders have recourse to Sponsor
Operation and Maintenance Phase
• Project is significantly de-risked
• Revenue is generated
• Debt service commences
• Refinancing possible
• Royalties/other payments to FGN
• Full regulatory oversight
• Investors/Financiers recoup investment
The risks and issues faced in each phase is different and unique…
Distinct Phases of PPP Project Cycle
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Attracting Private Sector Funding
Private
Sector
Capital +
Project
Concepts
Regulatory and
legal Framework;
Policy Stability; &
Political Risk
Mitigation.
Financial Credit
Enhancements;
Quality Data;
Project Development
Funding; Capacity
building
Principal
Transaction
Agreements,
Bankruptcy remote
– Collaterised Debt
Obligations
Bankable
National
Infrastructure
Projects
Catalyzing Investments
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Bankability Issues Hindering PPP Projects
❑ For Financial Institutions: Successfully deploying private capital into PPPProjects is dependent on the attainment of project bankability. In a broadsense, project bankability can be assessed along three (3) key tenetsnamely:
1. Comprehensiveness of the legal, institutional, and regulatory framework:Pertains to the existence of robust legal, regulatory and institutional framework thatmitigates risks such as: arbitrary policy changes; change in public office holders;non-enforceability of contracts; termination of administrations through democraticand undemocratic means; bureaucratic hurdles, etc. any of which would put privatecapital at risk and would truncate the project.
2. Assurance of financial viability: Which is ascertained via robust analyses(financial, economic, sensitivity, etc.) to determine the ability of revenues to matchcosts (includes construction, O&M and financing costs) over the project lifecycle.Attainment of financial viability is thus a precondition for securing an investmentdecision.
3. Sustainability of the transaction structure: Relates to articulation and definition oftransaction structure that clearly defines and enforces them:
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Other Bankability Issues for PPP Projects
❑ A holistic approach to project development is necessary to enable projects attainbankability parameters i.e. ability of a project to attract and secure fundingcommitments from financiers. To achieve this, an efficient financial ecosystem isrequired to ensure that available funds adequately match the profile of the projectsunder development and that these funds are accessible to Project Proponents.
❑ An efficient financial ecosystem is reflective of the following key characteristics:
❑ Active participation by all relevant financing partners – includes deposit money banks,pension funds, export credit agencies, fund managers, insurance companies equityinvestors, and public financing institutions such as the Central Bank and treasury agencies;
❑ A well-articulated and consistent legal and regulatory environment, which delineates theroles and responsibilities of key players, is devoid of undue political interference andinstitutes appropriate mechanisms for monitoring and compliance enforcement;
❑ An array of market-responsive financial instruments that are able to secure fundingcommitments from the pool of funding sources available; and
❑ A reliable securities valuation system where, the pricing of financial securities isdetermined by market forces such as the riskiness, liquidity and tenor of the security.
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Bankability Issues – A PanaceaCase for Government-sponsored credit enhancements
❑ The application of private capital and expertise in the delivery of infrastructureprojects does not absolve government of its responsibilities for the provision ofpublic services to its citizenry; an obligation that may be conceded to a privatefinancier/operator.
❑ Government must take the lead and play an active role in attracting private capitalby actively supporting transaction structures that incorporate due protections againstaforementioned risks and other project externalities.
❑ A key area where government intervention is urgently required in the provision ofcredit enhancement/ financing instruments capable of providing investors andfinanciers with the requisite assurance/comfort of sustainable and stable returns oninvestments, in order to unlock private capital for infrastructure projects.
❑ Whilst financiers and investors desire comprehensive protections against political,market, legal and regulatory risks, governments are averse to providing blanketguarantees that run high risk of crystallizing as contingent liabilities. As such, it isnecessary to advocate for innovative financing and credit enhancementinstruments such as Minimum Revenue Guarantees, Political Risk Guarantees,Viability Gap Funding (VGF), Take or Pay, etc.
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❑ With a yawning infrastructure gap of $75billion over the next 5 years, the need for privateinvestments is no longer optional, rather it is mandatory, if the nation is to meet itsdevelopmental goals and reverse the trend of poverty, unemployment, inflation, etc.
❑ Infrastructure projects can only attract private sector funding where the project is deemed tobe bankable, as evidenced by the legal and regulatory framework, project’s financialviability and the sustainability of the transaction structure.
❑ Deposit Money Banks (DMBs), Capital market instruments (bonds, commercial papers, etc.),Contractual savings (mutual funds, pension funds, insurance companies) and InfrastructureFunds are sources of funding for infrastructure projects.
❑ Given the varying parameters of these funds, in terms of the gestation period (tenor),expected rate of return, repayment profile, securitization requirements, etc. specialconsideration must be applied to selecting funds of the right temperament to ensurealignment of the funding source with the project’s financial profile.
❑ Given our wealth of experience, TIB is able to prepare projects that are able to attractprivate investments for development of critical national infrastructure projects. TIB standsready to partner with key stakeholders to ensure the development of infrastructure projectsunder a sustainable financing regime.
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Seizing the Initiative…
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Opportunities for Transport Infrastructure Financing
– Some key Project Imperatives
ROADS / BRIDGES ROAD FURNITURES
• Development of new roads connecting economic/commercial centres
• Rehabilitation of existing paved roads connecting key population centres to each other
• Optimisation and commercialisation (via PPP) of existing functional rail lines
• Development of new rail lines, either along exiting Right of Way or new alignment, via PPP
• Re-development of nation’s airports and associated infrastructure
• Infrastructure for integrating the various modes of transportation –marine, road, railway.
Transportation
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Other opportunities for Infrastructure Financing
– Some key Project Imperatives
Real Estate & Mass Housing
• Low-cost Mass and Social housing facilitated by “smart” government intervention
• Provision of engineering infrastructure for planned and existing districts
• Growing the stock of available commercial real estate and hospitality spaces in underserved cities
• Hostel developments for tertiary institutions in all six geopolitical zones
• New cities development and urban regeneration project
Power
• Distribution and transmission infrastructure to complete implementation of power sector reforms
• Gas distribution and transmission infrastructure for power plants
• Institutional support for off-grid power solution for whole towns and communities
• Investment in backbone transmission infrastructure
• Harness the potential of the budding renewable energy sector – solar, wind.
• Coal to power plants proximate to existing coal mines
Water and Others
• Development of water treatment & reticulation systems in cities
• Development of municipal infrastructure – markets, abattoirs, hospitals, recreational facilities
• Provision of agricultural products storage facilities in agrarian States
• Information and Communication Technology (ICT) for rural dwellers with limited or no access
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Strengthening Regulatory Space - ICRC’s role in
supporting attainment of PPP Project Success
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S/n Legal & Regulatory Framework Financial Viability Assessment Ensuring Sustainable
Transaction Structure
1 Issue consistent, unambiguous
regulations and guidelines &
policies
Conduct rigorous, efficient,
independent project appraisals to
enable fair adjudication and
negotiations
Advise FGN on the perils of
political interference and
promote similar practice by
related parties
2 Take charge of, and coordinate
inter-institutional collaboration for
PPP project delivery
Sponsor and drive initiatives for the
implementation of government-
sponsored credit enhancements
Assist MDA with contract
compliance monitoring
3 Proactive advocacy for sectoral
legal and regulatory reforms
Work with MDAs to negotiate and
finalise financing agreements based
on global best practices
Adjudicate and advocate
for contract sanctity and
support implementation of
enforcement mechanisms
4 Advise and assist FGN with
resolutions of existing PPP project
towards providing the FGN with
credibility in the project finance
space
Create or work with stakeholders to
enable a functional faculty for
training and retraining MDAs, PPP
operators in relevant skills
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Summary
❑ Financial institutions can play a very critical role to significantly reducethe huge infrastructure deficit in Nigeria.
❑ PPPs are a veritable mechanism for financial institutions participation ininfrastructure financing.
❑ PPPs underpinned by Project financing mechanism provides the channelfor financial institutions to inject the much needed private funding intotransport infrastructure and other critical infrastructure.
❑ Project bankability is the critical attraction for apposite funds forinfrastructure development.
❑ Appropriate legal and regulatory framework provides the enablingenvironment and boost local and international financial institutions’appetite for infrastructure risk asset investments.
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The Infrastructure Bank Plc
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Our VisionTo be the premier focal
point for infrastructure
development in Nigeria
-- by being the premier
institution in the area of
infrastructure development
-- by serving as a rallying
point for all other
stakeholders
Our MissionTo facilitate the transformation of
Nigerian infrastructure for
enhanced productivity
- - by identifying and structuring
infrastructure projects that will
have a transformational effect
at Local, State and National
level
- by modernizing Nigeria’s
infrastructure base for a more
productive Nigeria
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Who We Are…
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❑ Unique position as an institutional PPP
❑ Private sector leadership and discipline
❑ Licensed to tap and manage Local and Foreign Direct Investment for infrastructure development funding in Nigeria
❑ Track record of collaborating with federal and state governments on infrastructure financing
❑ Internationally trained and experienced staff, skilled in infrastructure project finance structuring
❑ Sound risk management regime
❑ Strategic alliances with international financial and technical partners (DBSA, PwC, IDC, Aurecon, CANAC, Banco Efisa, ICF-GHK)
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TIB Financial Services
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❑ Project Finance Advisory and Arranging: We offer bespoke transaction advisory services toClients to assist them in the preparation of projects, prior to arranging funds required from bothlocal and offshore sources.
❑ Development Loans: The Bank provides price-competitive development loans to commerciallyviable projects that have significant developmental impact.
❑ Project preparation funding: Towards ensuring credible project ideas and concepts reachbankability, the Bank offers funding for project preparation/development activities for candidateprojects.
❑ Bespoke PPP Advisory: Our clients have access to specialized development and technicaladvisory specifically for Public-Private Partnership projects in our operating environment.
❑ Proprietary Equity: The Bank has developed equity and quasi-equity (mezzanine financing)investment products for projects that require risk capital as a form of catalytic funding.
❑ Fund Management: The Bank offers fund management services to both domestic and externalsovereignties and institutions seeking to fund infrastructure development.
❑ Capacity Building and Technical Assistance: The Bank collaborates with other multilateralagencies and DFIs to promote, organize and deliver technical assistance and capacity buildingprograms.
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TIB Track Record
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❑ Preferred Bidder on the Lagos Metro Rail Transit – Redline Project: a 37km rail linefrom Alagbado to Marina with a project capex of US$2.5billion (ProprietaryInvestment/Transaction Advisory)
❑ US$1billion Rehabilitation and Reconstruction of 127km Lagos-Ibadan Expressway(Transaction Advisory/Fund Arranger)
❑ Development of a US$1billion 261-km super-highway from Calabar to Katsina-Alavia Obudu (Transaction Advisory/Fund Arranger)
❑ Development of a US$1.4billion Water Supply Scheme through a Build, Own,Operate, and Transfer (BOOT) Concession to be granted by the Lagos StateGovernment
❑ US$1 billion Renewable Energy and Efficient Energy Projects (REEEP) (TransactionAdvisory/Fund Arranger)
❑ Nigerian Railways Rehabilitation and Revitalization Project (Advisory)
❑ Infrastructure Plaza: high-end mixed use real estate in Abuja (Transaction Advisory/Fund Arranger)
❑ Development of 20,000 Mass Housing units for Federal Paramilitary Forces (Catalytic Loan/Transaction Advisory/Fund Arranger)
❑ N25bn - Public Mass Transit Revolving Fund (Fund Management / Agency Management Agreement)
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Q & A