traffic production – minutes of use

Traffic Production – Minutes of Use Indonesian Telecom Market Facts and Numbers: Charts & Tables 2006 – 2008 [HR.CTD007.V1U1-2009] Dr.Ing. Eueung Mulyana @ Harewos Research 10/29/2009 http://www.ligarvirtual.com/harewos

Traffic Production – Minutes of Use

Harewos.Research http://www.ligarvirtual.com/harewos

Oct. 29

2

Contents

List of Figures & Tables ........................................................................................................ 3

MoU – All Operators ............................................................................................................. 4

Market Share ......................................................................................................................... 6

Traffic Growth ....................................................................................................................... 9

Telkomsel ............................................................................................................................. 10

Indosat ................................................................................................................................. 11

Excelcomindo ....................................................................................................................... 12

Bakrie Telecom .................................................................................................................... 13

Telkom FWA ........................................................................................................................ 14

Telkom PSTN ....................................................................................................................... 15

Abbreviations & Notes ........................................................................................................ 16



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3

List of Figures & Tables

Figure 1 Annual Minutes of Use/MoU – All Operators (Million Minutes) ......................... 4 Figure 2 Annual MoU – Individual Comparison (1) ............................................................ 5 Figure 3 Annual MoU – Individual Comparison (2) ............................................................ 5 Figure 4 Market Share 2006 – 2008 (TSEL, ISAT, XL) ...................................................... 6 Figure 5 Market Share 2006 – 2008 (BTEL, TLKM-FWA, Other) ..................................... 6 Figure 6 Market Share 2006 – 2008 (TLKM-PSTN) ........................................................... 7 Figure 7 Market Share of MoU Final Year 2008 ................................................................. 8 Figure 8 Market Share of MoU – 6 Major Operators/Networks ......................................... 8

Figure Table 1 Growth of MoU – All Operators .................................................................. 9 Figure Table 2 Growth of Total MoU – AGR & CAGR ........................................................ 9 Figure Table 3 Growth of MoU – Telkomsel ...................................................................... 10 Figure Table 4 Growth of TSEL’s MoU – AGR & CAGR .................................................. 10 Figure Table 5 Growth of MoU – Indosat .......................................................................... 11 Figure Table 6 Growth of ISAT’s MoU – AGR & CAGR ................................................... 11 Figure Table 7 Growth of MoU – Excelcomindo ................................................................ 12 Figure Table 8 Growth of XL’s MoU – AGR & CAGR ....................................................... 12 Figure Table 9 Growth of MoU – Bakrie Telecom ............................................................. 13 Figure Table 10 Growth of BTEL’s MoU – AGR & CAGR ................................................ 13 Figure Table 11 Growth of MoU – Telkom FWA ............................................................... 14 Figure Table 12 Growth of Telkom’s FWA MoU – AGR & CAGR .................................... 14 Figure Table 13 Growth of MoU – Telkom PSTN ............................................................. 15 Figure Table 14 Growth of Telkom’s PSTN MoU – AGR & CAGR ................................... 15

Table 1 Annual MoU – All Operators (Million Minutes) ..................................................... 4

Oc

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Figu

TSEL ISAT XL BTEL TLKM‐PSTLKM‐FWOther

1

2

2

3

3

40

wos.Resear/www.ligar

re 1 Annu

STN WA

Table

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

50,000

00,000

rch rvirtual.com

ual Minu

e 1 Annua

2006E

T

m/harewos

utes of Us

2006E18,2009,6002,9002,200

140,825,6161,980

al MoU –

2007

Traffic

MoU

e/MoU – A

E 0 0 0 0 26 6 0

All Opera

7E

c Prod

Traffic

U – Al

All Opera

2007E25,20020,6006,8005,300

165,999,3275,723

ators (Mi

2008E

duction

Production

ll Op

ators (Mil

E 0 0 0 0 92 7 3

illion Min

n

n – Minute

perat

llion Min

200890,2042,8054,9012,60138,4613,5920,67

nutes)

OtherTLKM-FWTLKM-PSBTELXLISATTSEL

s of Use

4

ors

nutes)

E 0 0 0 0 68 3 2

WASTN

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Fig

Fig

1234560708090

100

5

10

15

20,

25,

rch rvirtual.com

gure 2 An

gure 3 An

010,00020,00030,0000,0000,0000,0000,0000,0000,0000,000

T

0

5,000

0,000

5,000

,000

000

T

m/harewos

nual MoU

nual MoU

2006E

Traffic

TS

2006E

Traffic

TLKM-F

U – Indiv

U – Indiv

2007E

c Prod

EL ISAT

2007E

c Prod

FWA Oth

Traffic

idual Com

idual Com

E2

duction

T XL

2

duction

her BTEL

Production

mparison

mparison

2008E

n

2008E

n

L

n – Minute

n (1)

n (2)

s of Use

5

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F


Figu

Figure 5

5

1

rch rvirtual.com

ure 4 Mar

Market S

10.0%

5.3%

1.6%

2006E

Traffi

3.1%

1.1%

1.2%

2006E

Traffi

m/harewos

rket Shar

Share 200

ic ProdTSEL

ic ProdTLKM-Fle

re 2006 – 2

06 – 2008

10.5%

8.6%

2.

2007E

ductioL ISAT

3.9%

2.4%

2.2%

2007E

ductioexi Ot

Traffic

M

2008 (TSE

(BTEL, T

.8%

on 2006T XL

on 2006ther B

Production

arke

EL, ISAT

TLKM-FW

24.2%

11

14.7%

2008E

6-2008

3.6%

5.

3.4%

2008E

6-2008BTEL

n – Minute

et Sha

, XL)

WA, Other

1.5%

8

5%

8

s of Use

6

are

r)

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Fig

rch rvirtual.com

gure 6 Ma

77.7%

2006E

Traffi

m/harewos

arket Sha

ic Prod

are 2006 –

69.5%

2007E

ductioTLKM-PS

Traffic

– 2008 (TL

on 2006STN

Production

LKM-PST

37.1%

2008E

6-2008

n – Minute

TN)

8

s of Use

7

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F

Figure 8

rch rvirtual.com

Figure 7 M

Market S

TLKM3

Traf

TLKM3

Traf

m/harewos

Market Sh

Share of M

BTE3%

M-PSTN37%

TLKM-FWA4%

O

ffic Pr

BTEL4%

M-PSTN9%

TLK

ffic Pr

hare of M

MoU – 6 M

EL%

A

Other6%

roduct

XL15

KM-FWA4%

roduct

Traffic

MoU Final

Major Op

TSEL24%

XL15%

tion 20

TSEL26%

I

L5%

tion 20

Production

l Year 200

perators/N

ISAT11%

008E

L

ISAT12%

008E

n – Minute

08

Networks

s of Use

8

s

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F

Figu

1

1

2

2

3

3

40

Mo

A

Per

cent

age

rch rvirtual.com

Figure Ta

ure Table

050,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

00,000

50,000

00,000

2oU 18

M

AGRCAGR

0.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

60.0

Mi

m/harewos

able 1 Gro

e 2 Growt

2006

0061,322

inutes

CA

200731.831.8

inutes

owth of M

th of Tota

2007

200238,9

s of Us

AGR 43

788

s of Us

Traffic

Tra

MoU – All

al MoU – A

20

7942

se - Tot

3%

se - Tot

Production

affic G

Operator

AGR & CA

008

2008373,233

tal

200856.243.5

tal

n – Minute

Grow

rs

AGR

s of Use

9

wth

Oc

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Figur

910

Mo

A

1

1

2

2

3

Per

cent

age

rch rvirtual.com

Figure T

re Table

010,00020,00030,00040,00050,00060,00070,00080,00090,00000,000

2oU 18

Mi

AGRCAGR

0.0

50.0

100.0

150.0

200.0

250.0

300.0

Mi

m/harewos

Table 3 G

4 Growth

2006

0068,200

inutes

CA

200738.538.5

inutes

rowth of

h of TSEL

2007

20025,20

s of Us

AGR 12

755

s of Us

Traffic

MoU – Te

L’s MoU –

20

700

se - TSE

26%

e - TSE

Production

Tel

elkomsel

– AGR & C

008

200890,200

EL

2008257.9122.6

EL

n – Minute

lkom

l

CAGR

s of Use

10

msel

Oc

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Figu

11202530354045

MoU

A

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

Per

cent

age

rch rvirtual.com

Figure

re Table

05,0000,0005,0000,0005,0000,0005,0000,0005,000

20U 9,6

M

AGRCAGR

104.0

106.0

108.0

110.0

112.0

114.0

116.0

M

m/harewos

Table 5 G

6 Growth

2006

006600

inutes

CAG

2007114.6114.6

inutes

Growth o

h of ISAT

2007

20020,60

s of Us

GR 11

766

s of Us

Traffic

of MoU – I

T’s MoU –

2

700

se - ISA

1%

se - ISA

Production

I

Indosat

AGR & C

008

200842,800

AT

2008107.8111.1

AT

n – Minute

Indo

CAGR

0

s of Use

11

osat

Oc

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F

Figu

1

2

30

40

50

60

MoU

A

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

Per

cent

age

rch rvirtual.com

igure Tab

ure Table

0

10,000

0,000

0,000

0,000

0,000

0,000

20U 2,9

M

AGRCAGR

0.0

100.0

200.0

300.0

400.0

500.0

600.0

700.0

800.0

M

m/harewos

ble 7 Gro

e 8 Growt

2006

006900

Minute

CAG

2007134.134.

Minute

owth of M

th of XL’s

2007

2006,80

es of U

GR 335

755

es of U

Traffic

Ex

MoU – Exc

s MoU – A

20

700

Use - X

5%

Use - XL

Production

xcelc

celcomind

AGR & CA

008

200854,900

L

2008707.4335.1

L

n – Minute

omin

do

AGR

0

s of Use

12

ndo

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Fig

Figur

1

12

14

MoU

A

111111111111

Per

cent

age

rch rvirtual.com

gure Tab

re Table 1

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

0,000

2,000

4,000

20U 2,

Mi

AGRCAGR

136.0136.5137.0137.5138.0138.5139.0139.5140.0140.5141.0141.5

Mi

m/harewos

ble 9 Grow

10 Growth

2006

006,200

inutes

CAG

2007140.9140.9

inutes

wth of Mo

h of BTEL

2007

2005,30

s of Us

GR 139

799

of Us

Traffic

Bak

oU – Bakr

L’s MoU –

20

700

e - BT

9%

e - BTE

Production

krie T

rie Teleco

– AGR &

008

200812,600

EL

2008137.7139.3

EL

n – Minute

Telec

om

CAGR

s of Use

13

com

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F


F

Figure Ta

1

1

14

MoU

A

Per

cent

age

rch rvirtual.com

Figure Tab

able 12 G

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

0,000

2,000

4,000

20U 5,

Minu

AGRCAGR

0.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

60.0

70.0

Minu

m/harewos

ble 11 Gr

Growth of

2006

006,616

utes of

CAG

200766.166.1

tes of

rowth of M

f Telkom’s

2007

2009,32

Use -

GR 56%

711

Use - T

Traffic

T

MoU – Te

s FWA M

20

727

TLKM

%

TLKM

Production

Telko

elkom FW

oU – AGR

008

200813,593

M FWA

200845.755.6

M FWA

n – Minute

om FW

WA

R & CAGR

s of Use

14

WA

R

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F


Fi

Figure Ta

1

Mo

A

Per

cent

age

rch rvirtual.com

igure Tab

able 14 Gr

120,000125,000130,000135,000140,000145,000150,000155,000160,000165,000170,000

2oU 14

Mi

AGRCAGR

-20.0

-15.0

-10.0

-5.0

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

Minut

m/harewos

ble 13 Gro

rowth of

2006

20060,826

inutes

200717.917.9

tes of U

owth of M

Telkom’s

2007

200165,9

of UsePSTN

799

Use - T

Traffic

Te

MoU – Tel

s PSTN M

20

7992

e - TLKN

-0.8

TLKM

Production

elkom

lkom PST

MoU – AGR

008

2008138,468

KM

84%

2008-16.6-0.8

PSTN

n – Minute

m PS

TN

R & CAG

N

s of Use

15

STN

R



Oct. 29

16

Abbreviations & Notes

AGR Annual Growth Rate

CAGR Compound Annual Growth Rate

FWA Fixed Wireless Access A limited mobility service that links to an area code

PSTN Public Switched Telephone Network A fixed wireline telephone network mainly owned, operated and maintained by PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia (PT. Telkom)

MoU Minutes of Use (Minutes of Usage) 2008E End of 2008 TLKM

PT. Telekomunikasi Indonesia / PT. Telkom Indonesia

ISAT

PT. Indosat

XL

PT. Excelcomindo Pratama

BTEL

PT. Bakrie Telecom

TSEL

PT. Telekomunikasi Selular (Telkomsel)

traffic production – minutes of use

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