towards an understanding of decision complexity in it configuration

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IBM T.J. Watson Research Center & Northwestern University © 2006 IBM Corporation Bin Lin Department of Electrical Engineering & Computer Science, Northwestern University [email protected] Aaron Brown IBM T.J. Watson Research Center [email protected] Towards an understanding of Decision Complexity in IT Configuration

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Towards an understanding of Decision Complexity in IT Configuration. Bin Lin Department of Electrical Engineering & Computer Science, Northwestern University [email protected] Aaron Brown IBM T.J. Watson Research Center [email protected]. Context: Quantifying IT Process Complexity. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Towards an understanding of Decision Complexity in IT Configuration

IBM T.J. Watson Research Center & Northwestern University

© 2006 IBM Corporation

Bin LinDepartment of Electrical Engineering &Computer Science, Northwestern [email protected]

Aaron BrownIBM T.J. Watson Research [email protected]

Towards an understanding of Decision Complexity in IT Configuration

Page 2: Towards an understanding of Decision Complexity in IT Configuration

IBM T.J. Watson Research Center & Northwestern University

© 2006 IBM Corporation Towards an understanding of Decision Complexity in IT Configuration2

Context: Quantifying IT Process Complexity

Technical problem

– Identify metrics and develop methodology for quantifying the exposed operational complexity of IT processes

Importance

– Complexity of systems management processes drives labor cost

– Labor cost reductions are extremely important to services/outsourcing organizations and customers

– A quantitative framework for complexity can guide process improvements to reduce labor cost

– Opportunities for deploying autonomic computing in IT environment

Page 3: Towards an understanding of Decision Complexity in IT Configuration

IBM T.J. Watson Research Center & Northwestern University

© 2006 IBM Corporation Towards an understanding of Decision Complexity in IT Configuration3

Previous work

Initialize a model of configuration complexity and demonstrates its value for a change management system.

Metrics that indicate some configuration complexity, including execution complexity, parameter complexity, and memory complexity.

Example: complexity of J2EE provisioning

DB2:

WAS:

createuser

install wiz.(db2)

selectfeatures

(2)

specifycfg. params(7, 5 def.)

reboot app cmd(cli)

env var(3)

cfg file(1 line)

app cmd(cli)

start svc(db2) ...

cfg file(3 lines)

install wiz(db2)

selectfeatures

(4)

app cmd(cli)

app cmd(cli)

install wiz(was)

...

user/pass

db2host

instance

db2_portsvc_name

db_name

node alias

= control flow= cfg data flow

DB2:

WAS:

createuser

install wiz.(db2)

selectfeatures

(2)

specifycfg. params(7, 5 def.)

reboot app cmd(cli)

env var(3)

cfg file(1 line)

app cmd(cli)

start svc(db2) ...

cfg file(3 lines)

install wiz(db2)

selectfeatures

(4)

app cmd(cli)

app cmd(cli)

install wiz(was)

...

DB2:

WAS:

createuser

install wiz.(db2)

selectfeatures

(2)

specifycfg. params(7, 5 def.)

reboot app cmd(cli)

env var(3)

cfg file(1 line)

app cmd(cli)

start svc(db2) ...

cfg file(3 lines)

install wiz(db2)

selectfeatures

(4)

app cmd(cli)

app cmd(cli)

install wiz(was)

...

createuser

install wiz.(db2)

selectfeatures

(2)

specifycfg. params(7, 5 def.)

reboot app cmd(cli)

env var(3)

cfg file(1 line)

app cmd(cli)

start svc(db2) ...create

userinstall wiz.

(db2)

selectfeatures

(2)

specifycfg. params(7, 5 def.)

reboot app cmd(cli)

env var(3)

cfg file(1 line)

app cmd(cli)

start svc(db2) ...

cfg file(3 lines)

install wiz(db2)

selectfeatures

(4)

app cmd(cli)

app cmd(cli)

install wiz(was)

cfg file(3 lines)

install wiz(db2)

selectfeatures

(4)

app cmd(cli)

app cmd(cli)

install wiz(was)

...

user/pass

db2host

instance

db2_portsvc_name

db_name

node alias

user/pass

db2host

instance

db2_portsvc_name

db_name

node alias

= control flow= cfg data flow= control flow= cfg data flow

Process complexity: manual

• Execution• 59 steps, 27 context switches

• Parameter• 32 parameters used 61 times,

18 outside of source context • Source score: 125

• Memory (LIFO stack model)• Size: max 8, avg 4.4

5 1

17 17

094

0 0

automated

See: Brown, A.B., A. Keller, and J.L. Hellerstein. A Model of Configuration Complexity and Its Application to a Change Management System. Proceedings of the Ninth IFIP/IEEE International Symposium on Integrated Network Management (IM 2005), Nice, France, May 2005.

Page 4: Towards an understanding of Decision Complexity in IT Configuration

IBM T.J. Watson Research Center & Northwestern University

© 2006 IBM Corporation Towards an understanding of Decision Complexity in IT Configuration4

s

Next Step: Decision Complexity

Previous metrics assume expert skill

– Do not consider complexity arising from decision-making

Capturing complexity impact of decisions along a specific procedure’s path

– Parameterized by skill level

Understanding the overall complexity across all possible procedures

Quantifying the tradeoff between flexibility and simplicity

goal

s

vs.

Procedure Design Space

Page 5: Towards an understanding of Decision Complexity in IT Configuration

IBM T.J. Watson Research Center & Northwestern University

© 2006 IBM Corporation Towards an understanding of Decision Complexity in IT Configuration5

Install/Config Procedure for J2EE App

...

...

...

...

Install DB2 UDB + WAS ND

...

...

...

...

Install Cloudscape + WAS Express

Need Enterprise Clustering

?

Y

N

...

Decision Complexity (An initial model & methodology)

Factors that affect complexity – constraints

e.g. compatibility between software products, capabilities of a machine

consequences

e.g. functionality, performance

levels of guidance

e.g. documentation, previous configuration experience

Manifestation – task time, user-perceived difficulty,

error probability

A starting point to drive data collection (user study)

After we have the real-world data, refine the model

Page 6: Towards an understanding of Decision Complexity in IT Configuration

IBM T.J. Watson Research Center & Northwestern University

© 2006 IBM Corporation Towards an understanding of Decision Complexity in IT Configuration6

Model details: levels of guidance

Global information

– E.g. documentation, design guide, deployment patterns

Short-term goal-oriented information

– E.g. wizard-based prompts indicating the appropriate next step

Confounding information

– E.g. alternate configuration instructions for a different platform than the target

Position information

– E.g. feedback on the current state of the system and the effect of the previous action

Page 7: Towards an understanding of Decision Complexity in IT Configuration

IBM T.J. Watson Research Center & Northwestern University

© 2006 IBM Corporation Towards an understanding of Decision Complexity in IT Configuration7

Decision Complexity (challenge & solution)

Hard to conduct a full user study to validate the model (constraints, consequences, levels of guidance) using real IT processes

Sol: measuring decision complexity in a simplified domain:

Route-planning

– navigating a car from one point to another

Page 8: Towards an understanding of Decision Complexity in IT Configuration

IBM T.J. Watson Research Center & Northwestern University

© 2006 IBM Corporation Towards an understanding of Decision Complexity in IT Configuration8

Decision Complexity (user study design)

Web-based study

– larger subject pool

– accurate timing data

– standardized information

Questionnaire to collect user background

Recording user interaction

– time spent, each decision point

– comparison b/w user path & optimal path

– user ranking of the complexity for testcases

Page 9: Towards an understanding of Decision Complexity in IT Configuration

IBM T.J. Watson Research Center & Northwestern University

© 2006 IBM Corporation Towards an understanding of Decision Complexity in IT Configuration9

Testcase selection

Testcases

– Different combinations of factors• Static traffic• Dynamic traffic• Expert path• GPS• Difference in travel times• Position information

– Selected 10 most relevant testcases

– Example: dynamic traffic (speed updates) + expert path

Dynamic traffic

Expert path

Page 10: Towards an understanding of Decision Complexity in IT Configuration

IBM T.J. Watson Research Center & Northwestern University

© 2006 IBM Corporation Towards an understanding of Decision Complexity in IT Configuration10

User Study: Overview & Analysis Approach

Overview– 3 experiments, 10 testcases with 1 warm-up– 1st stage, 35 users– 2nd stage, 23 users, with refined experiment

Metrics– Average time spent per step (e.g. time / no. of steps)– User rating (in the end of each experiment)– Error rate (user picked non-optimal path)

Analysis approach– Step I: general statistical analysis of all data

• Each testcase measured as an independent data point• Goal: identify factors that explain the most variance

– Step II: pair-wise testcase comparisons• Get more insight into specific effects of factor value• Goal: remove inter-user variance

Page 11: Towards an understanding of Decision Complexity in IT Configuration

IBM T.J. Watson Research Center & Northwestern University

© 2006 IBM Corporation Towards an understanding of Decision Complexity in IT Configuration11

Summary of results

Significantly different impacts on user-perceived difficulty than on objective measures (e.g. time and error rate)

Time is influenced by:– Constraints

• static constraints > dynamic; static constraints > without constraints– Guidance (goal)

• without short-term goal oriented guidance > with such guidance Rating is influenced by:

– Guidance (goal)– Guidance (position)

• without position guidance > with such guidance– Constraints

• static constraints > dynamic Error rate: hard to say statistically, except

– error rate is reduced when guidance (goal) is present

– error rate is reduced when guidance (position) is not present

Page 12: Towards an understanding of Decision Complexity in IT Configuration

IBM T.J. Watson Research Center & Northwestern University

© 2006 IBM Corporation Towards an understanding of Decision Complexity in IT Configuration12

Summary of results (cont)

– Depending on its goal (user, time or error rate), optimization for less complexity will have different focus, examples:• An installation procedure with easily-located clear info (e.g. wizard-

based prompts) for the next step will reduce both task time and user-perceived complexity

• A procedure with feedback on the current state of the system and the effect of the previous action (e.g. message windows following a button press) will only reduce user-perceived complexity, but unlikely to improve task time or error rate

• Omitting positional feedback (i.e., not showing users effects of their actions) may, counterintuitively, increase user accuracy, but at cost of significantly higher perceived complexity and task time

Page 13: Towards an understanding of Decision Complexity in IT Configuration

IBM T.J. Watson Research Center & Northwestern University

© 2006 IBM Corporation Towards an understanding of Decision Complexity in IT Configuration13

Proposal for a new user study•Validate the model in the IT configuration domain

Page 14: Towards an understanding of Decision Complexity in IT Configuration

IBM T.J. Watson Research Center & Northwestern University

© 2006 IBM Corporation Towards an understanding of Decision Complexity in IT Configuration14

Analogy between two studies

•Driving time per segment

•Global map

•Traffic

•Goal (reach the destination)

•Number of features achieved per step

•Flowchart of the overall process (text)

•Soft compatibility / machine capacity limit

•Achieve the max number of features

Page 15: Towards an understanding of Decision Complexity in IT Configuration

IBM T.J. Watson Research Center & Northwestern University

© 2006 IBM Corporation Towards an understanding of Decision Complexity in IT Configuration15

Further step

AvgTimePerStep

Rating (User perceived complexity)

Error Rate

Operation time

Skill levels

Probability (downtime)

Cost ($)

Complexity

(Constraints, Guidance,

Consequence, …)

•Apply the model to assess IT decision complexity

Page 16: Towards an understanding of Decision Complexity in IT Configuration

IBM T.J. Watson Research Center & Northwestern University

© 2006 IBM Corporation Towards an understanding of Decision Complexity in IT Configuration16

Conclusions

We investigated decision complexity in IT configuration procedures

– Used an carefully-mapped analogous domain to explore complexity space

– Conduct an extensive user study

– Quantitative results showing the key factors

– Some guidance for system designers seeking to reduce complexity

– Next steps are to explore further in simulated IT environment