towards 2nd issue
TRANSCRIPT
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An effort by Stockyard in association with Mantra Consultancy Group
10th April 2008 Issue 2
ww.stockyard.infinites.net
t o w a r d s
… . I
i
l
I
i
A Business Magazine by Business Managers
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Towards….Incredible India This is an attempt to seek a path….Path for a
nation which is at the cross roads….Millions of
years old culture, 10,000 years old history,thousands of years of legacy, 50 years of
Independence ….and we are still young…Millions
of inventions, epics, myths, discoveries, saga,
explorations, adventures and frontiers of
knowledge…and we are still Confused…..
One of the oldest social institutions, political
system, saga of patriotic epics and probably the
most ancient national identities…one that used to
say, I quote “uttarasya yat Himalayat,dakshinechav samudraye, varsham tad naam
bharat, bharati yasya santati” The great
Himalayas stand whose north, and the
ocean touches whose feet, the land is called
Bharat and its children are Indians, bharati”still we have not emerged as nations….We st
a loose tie-up of 30 odd states that are diei
show-off their regional identities surpassing
as a nation. We are still first Kannadiga, T
Malayali, Maharashtrian, Bihari, Punjabi,
Bangali…..and finally when time permits...W
will never ever happen, we are a secon
citizen of a loose federal system called Indi
we are the most confused nation, race
society ever existed on this planet and promost confused compared to any
contemporary nation or society.
So…..towards-----is a quest to find the path…..
And this issue of towards…? Has been dedicated to one road….or one dream…..An incredible India….
It is for you to weave this dream deep inside
you…Let’s dream together, let’s breathe
together...For One India…There is a famous sukta
in Rgveda, I quote :sangadwachham,
samvadatwam, samani mansa jaantaam, yatha
bhawe deva purve, yagyahotre samdwitham”
which means “We walk together, we speak alike,
our minds be emphatic to each other…we explore
together…like the GODS who take our offerings in
Yagna and strengthen us”.
This is the same belief that binds us together and
would make one nation India...Which is still
somewhere lost in so many hullabaloo...And
sloganeering of petty political parties and stupid,
ugly leader with their head less followers..Vedas
are calling you…not for religion …but for people
who are so apart to each other…they all almost
look different nations in themselves. Call for one
nation...One India……Our India…with no
compulsions of caste, creed, language or
region…Lets forget we belong to our state
languages or races or religions...Let’s ca
Oneness…Amen.
So...What is this incredible India..?Go to
streets, go to remote frontiers…villages…sub
gulli-muhallas….go to Nagaland, A
Mizorem..Laddakh…a village in Bihar, Benga
Orissa…..Tanjaur, Mannaar, Rameswaram…
places where, perhaps we have forgot
Indianness..And somewhere left behind our
identity…..
Lets create Incredible India…India of One bil
people…..that talks different languages butheme…that eats different cushions but
flavor..That has different habits...but
feeling…that knows only one place India..
Kashmir to Kanyakumari..From Kutchh to Na
Barua….that is one..Rock solid one na
t o w a r d s
… . ?
From Editor’s Des
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towards….? …with an answer “ Incredible India” is in your hands.With the first issue,we have re
many responses ,most of them encouraging and with genuine suggestions…and finally we are her
this second issue…
This issue starts with social re-engineering...Our readers might think that we are probably over-
emphasizing one this one topic...But we believe we need a social reawakening and we give this utm
importance.
World economy this fortnight continued to be in tail-spin although the pace seems to be slowed no
new wave of confidence building seems to be spreading in world economy and Financial
Markets…though this phase of stagnant downturn is slow enough and can not be termed as revers
global weakness in economy ..at least at this point of crisis..we believe NO BAD NEWS IS THE GOOD
NEWS. With this spirit ,we have covered the latest IMF report on World economy.We have tried to
up some of the key inputs from the report with our bit of analysis.Thiss report has scrutinized vario
factors of global economy.
In our section of Indian Economy,we have analysed credit and monetary scenarios with the inputs
monetary conditions from HSBC report.Our coverage on External sector and Inflation try to presenreal-time economic environment in the country. In the wake of global financial crisis, our team has
to find out the implications of this turmoil on Indian economy. We have also reported on banking s
as banks are the guardian of economic growth as well as symbolize the health of monetary and fisc
environment.
In the same spirit of focusing on economy, we have presented a whole report on Indian economy i
futuristic perspective. This report tries to sketch a projected picture of the economy in coming day
inputs and logical evidences from concurrent variables.
With this feeling…the issue is in your hands…..
Something that I have just learned from…some one….With his blessings…I am just putting
things….Mahabharat…..the name given by Maharshi Vedvyas was actually not intended to name
war…but it meant something else…
Actually the war was for unification...Rather creating a united India…Krishna..The great visionary
times…wanted a united India..which would entail a greater synergy of vivid potentials hidden in v
sects, cultures and cults..It was meant not just for political but also a demographic unificatio
purposefully eliminated all strong warlords…Be it Jarasandh,,Sishupal,Kansh…Drupad..S
Kandhahar..now Afganistan)….He united all Zanapadas and brought everything in just one fold….&
is what Vedvyas called MahaBharata..The Great India……
And perhaps this was the first reference of India….
With Love & Affection…
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towards….. Social re-engineering
Are you concerned?
What you look for when you scroll through news
channel? What news attracts you or better to ask
what news you seek to know? News about how
your country performed in recent cricket match?
How your Dhoni, Sahwag or may be Pathan scored?
Or do you seek to know more what is happening in
the lives of Rakhi Sawants, Sahrukhs, Aish-Amitabh,
Saif-Kareena or you seek to know what is the latest
gossip buzz in Bollywood? Or
may be Formula one race,
Farrari, or latest in fashion
world? And if I may add, things
which are so-called trendy,
frenzy, stylish or fad? Or is
there something in between
these so-called important news clips that moves
you? Is there something in between, that concerns
you, bother you?
I believe if your answer is that YES….there is
something that bother you…something that takes
away the sleepiness of your nights…if something
that stirs you from deep within to revolt…to stand
up and change…to take the responsibility and
then…finally you realize.oofs you are so weak…You
know there is something seriously
wrong…something that should not have been
done..Something so-called civil society should have
stood against…but it didn’t dare to……and finally
this wave of thoughts dies down….
Has it ever happened with you?
With me…YES…Many times…When I heard Gujarat
Riots…When I saw….poorest of poors, weakest of
weaker being beaten up on the streets of Mum
and nasik, helpless….When I saw Tibetan pe
weeping and screaming for their long standing r
and against atrocities done against them…..Wh
see some politicians going their long way to pu
their malicious way overcrossing national inter
And many more times….i can’t just num
them….and at all such times I felt so helpless….
But are we helpless…I thing we are NOT…
And I also believe..there are m
who share this anxiety
me….There are millions…who upset of not being able to stand
against these acts to d
humanity…barbarism…acts
dividing the nation on any A,B,C lines.
And here starts a revolution….I believe…Ja
Watt, the one who invented the steam Engine…
steam pressure is just being built up…
here,,,right now….The only necessity is to sti
more minds….to bring more people in this zon
DISCOMFORT….more people dissatisfied with th
present state of affairs……
Hope I could convey..What I wanted to…
With Love and Affection….
A Small piece of news which has just flashed on TV this very moment……
Telgi (Fake stamp case fame) with 3 others were acquitted due to lack of sufficient evidence.
I know..it sounds ….stupid…..BUT ARE Y
READY TO REMAIN STUPID FOR A WHILE ?
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World Econo
IMF forecast of Global Economy:
The IMF cut its forecast for global growth this
year and has estimated a 25% chance of a world
recession. The world economy will expand 3.7% in
2008, the slowest
pace since 2002.In
January, the fund
projected growth of
4.1%. The reduction
is the 3rd from IMF
since last July whenit had projected the
growth to be 5.2%
claiming that the
world economy
would cope with the
US credit squeeze.
The IMF urged Central banks to conduct policy as
flexibly as the circumstances warrant adding that
European Central Bank has room to lower
borrowing costs.
The financial crisis that originated in the US sub
prime mortgage market in August 2007 has
spread quickly, and in unanticipated ways, to
inflict extensive damage on markets and
institutions at the core of the financial system.
The global expansion is losing momentum.
The world’s biggest financial companies have
reported about $ 232 billion in credit losses andwrite downs since the start of 2007.This is
prompting banks to stop lending to all but safest
borrower, undermining consumer spending and
business investment. The IMF forecast is below
the world economy’s longer-term trends and the
economy is slowing down quite considerab
gave a 25% chance that global growth will dro
3% or less in 2008 and 2009, a pace the f
described as equivalent to a world recession.
last time it happened wa
2001.Fund has lowered
forecast for US econo
growth to 0.5% below a 1
projection made in January.
The Euro Zone will expand 1
in 2008 down from 1.6%,
earlier projection in Janu
The ECB has left its benchm
rate at a six-year high of 4%
inflation runs at 3.5%, abov
goal of 2% and almost
fastest pace in 16 years.
The greatest risk comes from the still-unfol
events in financial markets; particularly
potential that deep losses on structured cre
related to the US sub prime mortgage market
other sectors would seriously impair fina
system capital and initiate a global de-levera
that would turn the current credit squeeze in
full-blown credit crunch.
Japan’s economy, the world’s 2nd largest,
grow 1.4% in 2008, less than 1.5% the
predicted in January. China will grow 9.3%
year, slower than the 10% projection madJanuary.
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Volunteerism at CRY stems from our approach to child rights. We believe that no child exists
isolation and that child rights (CR) are linked to human rights (HR). Thus to address issues of conce
wrt. children and their rights we need to take on a holistic approach. Volunteer Action division at C
aims to build public action for child rights and build a voice that reachs policy makers for pro CR an
HR action. For this purpose we enable volunteers to initiate issue based campaigns. We also mobili
the public to build geographical public action groups towards demanding accountability from t
local administrations.
Volunteers in Mumbai are campaigning on the issue of child labour and education. If you'd like
advocate for a holistic approach to address the issue of child labour, demand that every should
in school and to receive quality education, join the campaign and help build a voice loud enough
reach policy makers.
Volunteers in H west ward in Mumbai covering Bandra (w) Khar (w) and Santacruz (w), have initait
a network of citizen's namely Mumbaites for Child Righgts (M4CR), to demand accountability fro
the local administration on child rights and human rights issues. If you'd like to collectively act w
underprivileged people and mobilise the urban priviledged public to together fight for what is rig
join M4CR!And if you'd like to be part of the volunteer theatre group working towards build
the theatre collective and using theatre as a medium to grow M4CR and initiating public action f
child rights, join us.
We'll require you to attend a volunteer orientation meeting on the 2nd of May 2008 at 7p
Friday at CRY office [189/A Anand Estate, Sane Guruji Marg, Mahalakshmi e, Mumbai - 11, ne
arthor road jail and behind punjab national bank.]. My colleague Ms. Havovi shall be orienting you o
CRY's child rights approach.
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Industry Wa
Entertainment & Media Industry in India
Out-performing the economy
The Indian entertainment and media industry is
witnessing a phenomenal growth and is slated to
grow at 19 percent to US$ 18 billion by 2010 from
its current size of US$ 7.9 billion. The Indian
Entertainment and Media (E&M) Industry has out-
performed the Indian economy and is one of the
fastest growing sectors in India………An Study by
FICCI and PricewaterhouseCoopers (PWC).
The phenomenal growth in the E&M sector can be
attributed to economic growth, rising income levels;
consumerism combined with technolo
advancements and policy initiatives undertake
the Indian government. An added boost to
industry is reduction of personal income tax
the last decade. Two factors that will contribut
the growth of the industry are low m
penetration in lower socio-economic classes
low ad spends..... But efforts to increase it e
slightly are likely to deliver much higher results
a perfect blend of creativity and commerce
provides vast investment opportunities.
Cinema
India has the world's largest movie (film) industry,
which churns out around 1,000 movies a year. It
stands at an estimated $1.5 billion and is expected
to grow around 20 per cent annually. It is projected
to reach $3.4 billion by 2010. 1 The Indian film
industry has more than 3.1 billion admissions. With
a strong appetite for movies and an upward
migration of household incomes in India, thissegment brings out several business opportunities
in this segment. The industry realizes about 85 % of
its revenues from box office collections as
compared with the US film industry where the box
office sales account for only 27 % of the revenues.
Though the number of admissions is the highest in
the world, when one compares the number of
screens available for India's population, the average
is relatively low as compared with other countries.
With around 12,000 theatres in the country that aremostly single-screen, the average screen density
works out to be only 12 screens per a million
populations. Hindi language films command a 40
per cent share of the Indian film market today since
a large portion of the films made in India are
produced in the south and east regions of India in
regional languages. Ancillary revenues - earned by
1 Source: (FICCI-PWC)
film producers by selling their digital right
mobile companies, satellite rights to
broadcasters and distributors (cable companies
DTH players) - are estimated to increase by 20
year. The home video households, which curre
stand at three million, are projected to increas
about 13 million by 2010 - primarily because
and DVD prices are falling. Multiplexes - thoonly 250 compared with the estimated 12
single-screen theatres in the country - are he
the domestic box office revenues. In India,
share of foreign films as compared with the g
box office collections of all films is relatively sma
around 5-10 percent. Hollywood films are
being dubbed in local Indian languages
screened in cinema theatres. The dubbing indu
has grown at 25-30 per cent over the last
years. In fact, almost 75 percent of the tinternational industry revenues are contribute
international content released in local language
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Radio
Indian radio reaches out to 99 percent of the
population and is currently the most cost-effective
mass communication medium in the country. The
segment is estimated to be a $67 million industry. It
is estimated to garner a share of about two per cent
of the total ad spending in India. As many as 338 FM
Radio licenses are now available for bidding for theprivate players. These cover about 91 cities, most of
which till now were being serviced only by the State
Broadcaster. There will be a boom in the radio
industry with 22 per cent growth
rationalizations of the license framework will tr
its size to about US$ 145.9 million by 2009. In
private FM radio sector is expected to get for
investments of US$ 111 million in the next 12 t
months. Worldspace, the only player in the sate
radio sector, has about 47,000 subscribers in I(globally, it has around 115,000 subscribers
India, its target was 100,000 by March 2006.
Print Media
The market highly fragmented with approximately
1900 news publications for a circulation figure of
just 200 million. As per the latest readership survey
NRS 2005, the reach of the print media (dailies and
magazines combined), as a proportion of thereading population (i.e. 15 years and above) is only
27 per cent. The global average readership is
estimated to be over 50 per cent. This highlights the
significant potential of the print media marke
India. The print media with current size of
billion is gradually opening up to foreign investm
due to a booming Indian economy, growing n
for content and government initiatives. The sewith a CAGR of 12 per cent is estimated to gro
$4.3 billion by 2010.
Animation
National Association of Software and Services
Companies (NASSCOM)'s Study on Animation and
Gaming Industry in India, released in December
2005, estimates the global opportunity in this sector
at $55 billion today, with the Indian market taking
$285 million in 2005. It sees the opportunity ris
$950 million by 2009. The total cost for maki
full-length animated film in America is estimate
be $100 million to $175 million. In India, it ca
made for $15 million to $25 million.
Advertising
Indian Advertising spending, as a percentage of GDP
is only 0.34 percent, which is way below the
percentages for both developed and developing
countries. This provides an immense potential for
growth since advertising revenues are key to every
segment in the Indian entertainment and media
industry. The television advertising market in India
today is estimated at about US$ 1,067 million.
Advertising revenue for cable television was $1.02
billion in 2005, and is forecasted to grow to $1.8
billion by 2010. The size of the radio market in I
is currently estimated at US$ 53 million an
expected to have the highest growth at a CAG
22 per cent in the coming years. With an estim
28 million Indians already hooked on to
internet, internet advertising in India is prese
worth $22 million. With the broadband slo
becoming popular, the segment would sho
compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 50
cent.
Animation Sector
Animation industry is nascent at $285 millions. The animation industry, along with gaming
VFX, is projected to grow at the CAGR of 25%,second only to online advertising in
entertainment and media industry, for the next 5 years, according to FI
PriceWaterHouseCoopers report. The animation industry was pegged at Rs 1,300 crore in 2007
24% from the previous year’s Rs 1,050 crore.
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FM Radio Business
The radio business is poised to grow much
ahead of the 24% growth rate that has been
estimated by PWC. According to Mr Prashant
Pandey………………..CEO, Radio Mirchi, If the
TRAI recommendations to allow broadcasting
on radio and to allow broadcasters to operate
multiple channels in a city are implemented,there could be at least one year of 100%
growth for the radio industry in Fiscal 2009-10.
More niche channels would be introduced
operating multiple channels within a city. The
Indian media and entertainment industry is one
of the fastest growing sectors of the Indian
economy. It has benefited from the economic
growth and rising income levels in the country,
and is in a crucial phase of transformation. The
year 2006 was a good year for the industry and
it was characterized by consolidation,
realignment and growth in most segments of
the industry. Further, the industry is expected
to grow faster than India's GDP growth and
consequently more expenditure is expected in
media and entertainment. The whole industry
is expected to grow at the rate of 18% each
year through 2011. The Indian entertainment
and media industry will touch $27 billion by
2011.
Despite the impressive growth rate, the size of the
Indian entertainment and media industry will be the
smallest among BRIC countries at $27.09 billion
within the next three years. The advertising-
supported sector of entertainment in India
recorded the fastest growth of 22 percent in 2007
was would experience a major shift, as digitally
interactive mediums gain popularity. The report
estimated that Internet advertising would hit $104
million in 2008 to touch $272 million in 2012, while
the film industry will top $4.35 billion from $2.37
billion during the period as players discover new
revenue streams. The television industry, that
attracts the most foreign investment, is forecast to
grow from $5.59 billion to $14.8 billion in the
period as it undergoes major transformation with
digital distribution networks.
How is future? With over 700
million people below the age
of 30 and a middle-class of
over 300 million, huge
potential audience has
brought all major M&E
companies to India. SONY,
Paramount, Disney, Fox and
Time-Warner all establishing
their operations here. With
high ROI, 100 percent FDI on
automatic basis, co-production
treaties, vast opportunities for
investing in theatre/ multiplex
infrastructure, increasing
number of cable & satellite
homes and opening up of
foreign investments even in
the print media, this segment
is all set to script its own
blockbuster in the days ahead.
These are being driven by the
spectacular growth of the
television industry, the new
formats for film production
and distribution, the
privatization and growth of
radio in the country, the
gradually liberalizing attitude
of government towards the
sector, easier access to and for
international companies. With
a host of factors contributing
to the double-digit growth of the industry and an added
easing of the foreign
investment norms, the E&M
Industry in India thus is a
sunrise opportunity that
presents significant avenues
for investment.
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Script to Watch: M
Sanra Soft: Animation and Gaming Company
Firm is planning acquisition of studios in India andAbroad. Received a SEBI approval for a GDR issue of upto
$27.5 million. Plan to set aside $10-15 million for
investments to make one or two strategic acquisitions in
gaming and animation space. Company is looking at
expanding its services business with participation in
international trade conferences and forging marketing
tie-ups with overseas companies. Company has received
orders worth $ 3 million recently and would expand its
business to around $ 6 million next year. Two full length
animation movies are expected to be completed by 2009,
one in 3D and another in 2D format. It earned Rs2.8 crore
in 2006-07, and expects to finish FY08 with revenues of Rs
15 crore. The company currently has 150 persons on the
rolls at its Chennai and Bangalore centers, and plans to
ramp up the headcount to 500 in the coming financial
year. It expects a CAGR of around 40% and is looking at
achieving a turnover of around Rs 100 crore in the next 4-
5 years. Company, has signed a memorandum of
understanding (MoU) with the University of Portsmouth
in the United Kingdom to deliver two new media courses
starting October this year in Creative and Cultural
Leadership (M.A. degree) and Creative and Cultural
Entrepreneurship (B.A. degree), according to a pressrelease
.
Raj TVPlanning to launch 3 overseas channels (Malaysis,
US, UK), three 24 hr news channel in different
languages and 1 music channel soon. Company is
also planning to enter into film making by
producing a Tamil movie. The company is
planning to invest around Rs 300 crore onexpansion and movie production. The company
has tied up with Nokia, BSNL and BigFlicks. a part
of ADAG, for its content – sharing requirements.
RAJ TV is also setting up a studio at a cost of Rs
20 crore on 26,000 sq ft close to its corporate
office in Chennai.
ENILTotal Income: Rs 237.6 crore against R
138.9 crore last year. A growth of 71%.EBITDA: Rs 45.3 crore against Rs 40.8
crore.
EBITDAM= 19 %.
PAT Rs 25.1 crore against Rs 21.2
crore.PATM= 105%
MCap on 30th March 07 Rs 1577 crore.
Financials
Equity 47.6 crore
Reserves 243.9 crore
Net worth 291.5 crore
Loan 113.8 croreIncome 170 crore (OI 33 crore).
EPS Rs 6.11
The company has 50 to 60 % marke
share in all the cities, it operates. I
currently operates in around 32 Cities
The industry (E & M) is expected to grow
at a CAGR of over 18% for next 5 years
Currently the industry is of Rs437 billion
($10.92 billion). The low advertising to
GDP ratio, currently at just 0.4%(compared to other developing countrie
like China at 0.6% and Malaysia a
0.9%) indicates that the advertising
industry is likely to outgrow the GDP
for several years to come. Radio wa
the fastest growing segment within the
advertising industry. The radio industry
recorded a growth of nearly 58% i
2006. This took the share of radio up
from 2.4% to 3.1% of the tota
advertising industry. This is furthe
expected to increase to 5.5% by 2011
The radio industry, as per
PriceWaterhouseCoopers report is likel
to grow by more than 3 times from it
current size of Rs. 5 billion to nearly Rs
17 billion in 2011.
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Goldstone Technologies:
IT services company Goldstone Technologies has
tied up with BSNL, television channels and
production houses to launch Internet protocolTelevision (IPTV) services to all BSNL customers in
India. A similar tie up is on the cards with MTNL.
The Hyderabad based company has invested about
$8 million in India and abroad on IPTV business.
Over half of the projected revenues of Rs 500 crore
for the current fiscal will be from IPTV services, a
key driver for growth. The company has launched
IPTV services in Thailand and is now looking at tie-
ups with telecom companies in 11 European and
South East Asian countries. The company is
confident of marketing the services as its IP
technology can stream videos at a low internet
band-width of 600 kilobits per second
(kbps).Company believes that their’s is the best
technology available in the world compared to that
of the Microsoft ,which can stream the videos only
at 1.2 megabits per second internet bandwidth.
Goldstone’s streaming is more suitable to the
bandwidth available in India. Goldstone plans to
offer the services through subscription model
wherein about 50 TV channels will be transmitted
through a set top box. The customer will be charged
a monthly rental of Rs 50.The charges for vide
demand will be Rs 39 per movie. The company
conducted a pilot project in 7 locationsHyderabad. The services will be offered in o
cities in the state within four months. Anothe
TV channels will be added by the year end
channels and movie content production houses
have tied up with Goldstone will be paid per acc
The company also plans to include advertisem
within the movies to generate revenue. Golds
currently has about 2,000 Indian movie titles, 3
Hollywood titles. Another 5,000 Indian titles wi
added this year. Company is also set to invest a
$20 million on its media division that converts b
and white movies into color in India and abr
The company has 275 people working with
division and another 200 with Media divisio
plans to raise the headcount to over 750 in the
few months. The company’s revenue stood a
100 crore in 2007-08 and expects revenues to c
Rs 500 crore this fiscal. Income through the
services will contribute to 50% of the reven
About 20% will come from Biometric services
the rest will be from Media serv
Full Year (200703) TTM (200712) NP - Latest 4 Qtrs
FV BV Div(%) MCap NP EPS P/E NP EPS P/E LQ LQ-1 LQ-2
LQ-
3
10 24.4 0 380.3 7.8 4.2 48.2 8.98 4.78 40.23 2.5 2.14 2.33 2.01
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Company on Radar Scre
Nagarjuna Construction
A robust order, consistent operating margins
and diversification in new verticals along with
the growth in the infrastructure sector seem tobe working in the favour of the company. The
company currently has an order book of Rs
10,000 crore. Total inflows during the year so
far have been at Rs 6000 crore. 46.4% revenues
of the company find its source in the new o
book. The company is venturing into new a
of business to safeguard against any sisector exposure and downturn. Compan
currently into new verticals like irrigation (
order book), roads (24%), power (T & D,
buildings (22%), oil and gas, and plant.
P E Player in Company: Blackstone
On account of the high estimated order intake
during FY08, the construction company’s OPM
would remain under pressure as initial costs on
new projects would be high and over a period
of time would cause the company’s margins to
remain subdued during that period. Higher
depreciation costs and interest charges would
impact the company’s operati
performance. Company is planning to put
capital for its core construction business as
as BOT ventures and real estate. This wo
bring about a necessary cushion to the inte
costs, considering the fact that the compan
planning to put up capital and not d
OPM as on December07 was 11% and NPM is
5%, Sales Rs 779 crore, PAT Rs 39 crore.
KS OILS
KS Oils has acquired 20,000 hectares (50,000
acres) of palm plantation in Indonesia, where it
will invest Rs 230 crore over a period of three
years. The plantation will yield 80,000 tonne of
palm oil annually. The acquisition will help it
secure raw material supplies and avoid global
price volatility. KS Oils imports palm oil torefine and sell in north and east India along
with mustard oil, its main product. The move
will substantially bring down the raw material
costs for the company. The investment in the
plantation has been routed through the
company’s wholly owned subsidiary in
Singapore. The plantation yield of 80,000 tonne
represents 2.5% of India’s palm oil imports that
stands at 3.6 million tonne annually.
Indonesian palm plantations are among
most efficient and productive plantat
across the world. Keeping the spira
commodity and raw material prices it seem
be a prudent strategy to de-risk in the
term. KS Oils, is among the top 5 edible
companies and the largest processor mustard seeds in India, is headquartered
Morena in Madhya Pradesh. Company
backed by private equity firms CitiGr
Venture Capital that own 10.38% and Ba
Private Asia 6.81% equity stake.The comp
reported net sales of Rs 1,373 crore and
profit of Rs 82 crore for the 9 months end
December.
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BEML
BEML pegged its growth on the
booming business of mining and
construction. Expects its contract
mining foray to fructify during thecurrent fiscal with 2-3 blocks
coming to its joint venture.
Company’s M & C business, its
traditional focus, has grown 10 %
over the last year to nearly Rs
1,800 crore and is poised to grow
further with contract mining. A
2007 McKinsey report on The
Indian Earth moving industry has
forecast a six-fold growth in the
equipment business from $2.3
billion to swell to $15 billion by
2015. The company has signed a
MoU with SAIL to supply mining
equipment worth Rs 400 crore for
3 years, including a maintenance
and repair contract (MARC)
The same MARC model would be
replicated for coal and other contracts. Its strategy of having 21 mining equipment dealers ac
the country had paid off with sales of Rs 275 crore for 717 equipment, almost doubling sales y
Company is planning to tap the huge market of mine blocks allocated to some 80-100 PSUs anin the process of JV with some of them. It hopes to have 2-3 blocks to coming to its JV w
Midwest by 2009.
Growth Area:
The rail and metro business, its second growth area, grew 159 % to Rs 272 crore and has an o
books at Rs 1700 crore. The Delhi Metro Rail Corporation has placed an Rs 1366 crore for
coaches.BEML has forayed into railway spares with orders worth Rs 102 crore. They expect to
supplying for the Bangalore, Mumbai, Kochi and Hyderabad projects. We are very bullish on
metro rail sector and expect to touch Rs 500 crore this year, quote Mr. V.R.S.Natarajan, CMD.
Beml, makes the Tatra trucks for the armed forces and has taken over the tipper business f
Tatra Vectra, Hosur, and will make and sell the Hemang brand of tippers and engines from
Mysore facility-which contributes 25% of the turnover.
Sales (provisional) for fiscal 2007-08, 15.5% higher
sales of Rs 3,005 crore
PBT Rs 350 crore up 11% YOY.Announced 55% interim dividend.
Order book Rs 3,795 crore
Expects 18-20 % growth during the current year
With sustainable potential for business growth in al
business segments, in particular mining –
construction and rail and metro,BEML Ltd is poised
to achieve 18 to 20 % growth on yoy basis
It has a 50th
year target of reaching a turnover of
Rs5, 000 crore by 2013.
The company is expected to sustain a net profit
growth similar to the 9.6% growth it saw in the
previous year ended March 31, 2007.
Planned Capital Expenditure Rs 450 crore for 3
years
It has invested Rs 250 crore and the remaining is in
the pipeline for machinery upgradation and others.
Ex orts rew 132% to Rs 257.72 crore.
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The News Sect
India's manufacturing grew at
the slowest pace in eightmonths in March as demand for
goods eased because of high
costs, a key gauge showed. ABN
Amro Bank NV's Purchasing
Managers' Index fell to 57.5 last
month from 59.5 in February,
according to a report released. A
reading above 50 indicates
factory output gained.
ECB cap to be relaxed: The
government and RBI are
expected to raise the ECB ceiling
for the current fiscal year from
$22 billion to $ 28 to $30 billion.
Rs may reach a decade high of 38.61 a dollar by June 30 as th
nation's interest-rate advantage over the U.S. attracts investor
according to Morgan Stanley. The currency has rebounde
almost 1.5 percent from a six-month low touched on March 1
as the Federal Reserve cut its benchmark rate further, widenin
the differential to 5.5 percentage points, from 2.5 percentag
points in early September. The central bank is likely to allo
gains in the rupee to rein in inflation that reached a 10-mon
high. The local currency may advance almost 4 percent by th
end next quarter, Morgan Stanley forecasts. In carry trade
investors get funds in a country with low borrowing costs an
invest in one that offers higher returns, earning the sprea
between the two. The risk is that currency fluctuations can era
the profit. Japan's benchmark rate is 0.5 percent and the Fed
2.25 percent, compared with India's 7.75 percent. A 12.3 perce
rally in the rupee last year, the most since at least 1974, helpe
cool inflation to a five-year low of 3.07 percent in October.
surge in commodity prices, including crude oil, has prevented th
Indian Railways raised the
freight rate for iron ore by
as much as 4 percent
starting today, the Financial
Express reported, citing
officials it didn't identify.
The railway ministry also
imposed a congestion
surcharge of 100 percent on
iron ore to be transported to
the ports, it said. The levy is
much higher than the 60
percent congestion tax so
far charged on such traffic.
Freight costs for iron ore will
increase by 15 rupees a ton
to about 185 rupees a
metric ton.
Inflation Break-up for Week ended March 22, 2008
WPI 22-Mar 15-Mar % change
Primary articles 234.6 230.5 1.8
Fuel,power 341.4 341 0.1
Manufactured proucts 195.4 195 0.2
Food products 201.4 200.2 0.6
Edible oils 197.6 194.5 1.6
Cement 221.2 221.2 unchanged
Pulses 245.7 242.2 1.4Vegetables 200.2 190.8 4.9
Minerals 594.8 430.5 38.2
Total 224.8 223.6 0.5
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Automobile Industry: Rising input cost
Since December, the input
costs such as steel, alloys,
crude oil, copper,
aluminium among have
sharply increased. Rise is
most likely to dent the
operating margin of
automakers in the current
quarter.Prices of alloy
steel has gone up by 8-12
% (nearly Rs 7,000 per
tonne) Aluminium by 18%
to $2,842 per
tonne(Rs113,680),Copper
up to record high of $
8,890 per tonne(Rs 355,600) up by
31%. A 10% rise in steel price may
result in around 2% rise in overall
cost of small car.To make matters
worse,metal players expect a surge
of around 15-65% in prices of
steel,iron,coking coal,copper.
Two Wheeler:
Hero Honda registered a growth of
15% in sales in March at 3, 20,594units. Its total sales in FY 07-08
ENDED FLAT AT 33, 37,142
UNITS.TVS Motors, posted 16.83%
dip in sales in March at 60,908
units. Sales of Honda Motorcycle
and Scooter India Ltd. Grew by 5%
to 79,944 units in March.
Auto Sales in March 08
2006-07 2007-08 Growth %
Maruti Suzuki India 6,35,629 7,11,818 12
TATA Motor 2,26,893 2,14,758 -5
General Motor India 66,543 38,857 71
HONDA Siel Car India 62,802 61,325 2.4
March07 March 08 Growth %Maruti Suzuki India 64,556 64,421 -0.2
TATA Motor 25,760 24,737 -4
General Motor India 4,542 6,836 51
HONDA Siel Car India 8,487 8,895 4.8
Crude oil rose for a third day in New York as U.S. gasoline supplies fell more than forecast an
refiners cut production on lower processing profits. New York gasoline futures rose to a recor
yesterday after the U.S. Energy Department said inventories fell 3.29 million barrels to 229.2 millio
barrels last week. A 2 percent cut in refinery runs potentially means a 10 percent gain in prices
Imports dropped 6 percent to 8.9 million barrels a day, the lowest since March 2007. Crude oil wi
average $92.30 a barrel this year, according to Sanford C. Bernstein & Co., as declining reserve
increase extraction costs.
Iraqi Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki gave militants loyal to Shiite Muslim cleric Moqtada al-Sadr 7
hours to surrender as fighting in the southern oil city of Basra and Baghdad left more than 60 dead.
Impact of 6th Pay Commission on PSU’s profit margin
Employee cost as %
of EBITDA
Employee cost as
% of PBT
MTNL 169.6 478.3
BEML 106.7 114.2
Engineers India 102.8 107.6
BHEL 59.3 65.2
SAIL 47.4 55.3
There are many PSUs where employee cost accounts for
a small proportion of their operating profits. GAIL,
NALCO, PFC, IDBI and CONCOR are a few companies in
this category.
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Indian Econo
Credit Growth:
With the RBI indicating that
steps would be taken to curb
inflation, banks are expected
to witness a sharp slowdown
in credit growth. Credit grew
at about 21% in 2007-08 and
may witness a deceleration
in the current financial year
as interest rates are set to
rise. Credit growth in 2006-
07 was at 31%. Growth in
credit could drop to a level
of 15-16%, if RBI decides totake stringent monetary
steps to rein in inflation.
Infrastructure and exports
are likely to drive credit in
2008-09.The demand for
real estates and consumer
durables will decline.
Export
India’s export grew 35.25% in dollar terms to $14.23billion and 21.7% in rupee term to Rs 56,569 crore,
the fastest in 4 months. This was partly due to
depreciation in Rupee from 39.4 to 39.9 at February
end. Various sops dolled out by the Government
have also aided fast pace recovery. In January,
exports grew 20.5 % gain. Exports accounts for
about 15% of Indian economy. For April 07-Feb 08
was at $ 138.43 billion as against $ 112.63 billion, a
growth of 22.9% in dollar terms and 8.94% in rupee
terms over the same period last year. However,
export will fall short of $160 billion target as is
expected to stand a $ 155 billion. While the 24.6%
growth of merchandise trade in the April-Decemperiod of 2007-08 was marginally higher than
in the corresponding period last year, service se
exports decelerated by nearly a third to 17.1%.
overall export shortfall was less neutralized
42.5 % increase in remittances. The current acc
deficit rose by 14.5% in dollar terms. Net in
went upto $81.9 billion in April – December pe
far overshooting $ 30.1 billion same period
year. Foreign Exchange reserve increased by $
billion in 9 months. Outward FDI from Indian f
stand at $ 10 billion range.
External Sector Net foreign exchange earnings from software
and other services rose by nearly 50 % in the
quarter ended December 07 compared to the
same period last year (from $6.167 billion to
$9.270 billion).
Net software export contributes $ 2.4 bil
Private transfers from individuals and corpo
entities showed a similar near 50%
Portfolio investment $14.56 billion ($ 3,
billion last year same quarter)
HSBC Report: Rs to touch 36 against US$ by 200
HSBC Global research projects the Indian rupee to touch Rs 36 agathe US$ during CY 2009. During the period Oct -8 to Dec 08, rupe
expected to slip to 39.5 though is likely to remain at the level of 40.5
period April-Sep 08.According to JP Morgan, US$/Rs will stay un
pressure owing to likely weakness in the capital inflows. It expects $
to remain at a level of 40-41 range in the very near term wit
possibility of breaking above 41 if foreign equity outflows pers
Partly based on expectations of improvement in the US in the seco
half, it maintains that Rs will strengthen thereon.The report notes t
the peak of the investment/capital goods cycle is behind and theref
one could see a gradual softening through 2008 even as the expdownturn and lagged effect of the higher interest rates begin to t
their toll.The report also notes that, small caps and mid cap firms
expected to see their net incomes clock a growth rate of 34.8% a
32.5% respectively. The 12 month forward P/E is pegged at 8 and 1
for the small and mid-caps respectively while for large caps it is 14.2 a
the BSE-500 as a whole it is kept at 13.4 times with a net earni
growth rate of 25.9%.
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FDI Investment in India
FDI inflow in February 08 was $ 5.67 billion (up
by 712%). FDI in April- February 2007-08 were $
20.13 billion (up 70% from $ 11.88 billion in the
same period a year ago). The $ 20.13 billion is
the highest FDI in the country during any year.
From August 1991 to December 2007, the totalFDI received by the country was worth $ 67.32
billion. Mauritius has been the top source of
FDI with it accounting for around 45% of the
total FDI inflows and $20.1 billion worth FDI
coming into India from that country from April
2000-December 2007 period. USA is the next
with $4 billion (9.12%) during the same period
and UK $3.4 billion (7.8%). The service se
(both Financial and Non-Financial) received
maximum FDI worth $8.9 billion (19.8
during April 00-Dec 07), followed by comp
software and hardware sector with $7 bi
(15.65%) during the same period. In Febr2008, China received $ 6.928 billion worth
an increase of 38.31% over the same mo
last year. In January and February 2008,
flowing China was $ 18.12 billion. The ac
FDI inflows into China on a YOY in January
$112 billion, an increase of 109.78%.In 20
07,China got $ 63 billion worth FDI.
Inflation in India
If one dissects the inflation numbers, the rally is
lead by basic metals, alloy and metal products
group, which rose by 6.7%,due to higher prices
of blooms and billets and slabs(30% each),wire
(all kinds 25%), skelps (23%), oromild steel and
tensile plates(20%),crude oil(19%),etc. In
contrast, the price index of food articles
gone up only by 0.3%. Government has lowe
the import duty on edible oils from 75% to
on most of the refined oils, and to 20%
crude oils.
Global financial turmoil and impact on Indian Growth
The effect of tighter domestic monetary policy and
rupee’s outsized and sudden appreciation againstthe UD$ and an already mature stage of economic
cycle were poised to set the stage for a mild
slowdown in economic activity. The recent
intensification of the global economic and credit
woes has further increased the downside risk to
India’s growth outlook. Full year GDP growth in
2008-09 is poised to moderate to be in the 7-8%
range, after averaging slightly less than 9% annually
in last 4 years. India is likely to be least affected
Asian economy owing to lesser integration
exposure to variations in global growth dynamWe have a far lesser Export/GDP ratio compare
other Asian economies. However local eq
markets are heavily influenced by changes in gl
risk appetite and FII inflows. Some Indian b
have reported losses on credit derivative expos
necessitating more capital provisioning. He
credit flow to non-blue chip borrowers like S
will be hit. Credit growth is already slowing dow
Possible RBI defense:
Options to RBI against this credit crunch are unwinding the MSS bonds
Keeping dollar inflow unsterilized
Reducing CRR
Relaxation of curb on External Commercial borrowings.
Infrastructure investment and large corporate capex being largely unrelated to interest rates sh
continue. However all EMI related consumer demand like housing, automobile, housing materials, w
goods and construction and other services are would slowdown.
The unfolding global economic woes will probably fail to derail the Indian growth momentum. At wIndia will experience a brief slowdown in the upcoming fiscal year, and recover in the subsequent year.
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…& when storm settles down…would Indian elephant still be dancing..?
Macro Economic Environment in India:
India is growing with a rate of 8.5 % for past 4
years, second only to China.1 billion + country has
an economy of the size $913 billion. India needs
around $500 billion in 11th plan and further $350
billion in 12th plan in order to support its economy
keep growing at a rate of 8%+ in next 10 years. This
amount has to be spent only on infrastructure
expansion and capacity up gradation for sustaining
growth. It leads to huge growth in sectors like road
transport, freight transport, Electricity,
communication and other basic amenities. India has
huge demand –supply gap of electricity. An addition
of 87GW capacity is needed in next 5 years
terms of steel consumption, India stands among
last in world, a mere 37 kg steel per ca
compared to 247kg in China and 400kg
developed nations. Country is expanding very fa
terms of capacity expansion, employm
generation, inclusive growth, infrastruc
development and industrial production. T
initiatives, on the line of PPP model are suppose
yield results resulting in very high growth
standard of living.
India is currently facing problem of high inflation and infrastructural bottleneck:
Reasons for high inflation are:
A very slow Agriculture sector contributing 18% of
GDP and growing by mere 2.7%.We believe, one
more green revolution is needed in the sector.
Eventually, consequent to high food inflation and
higher value realization per unit of food in India and
also globally, farm sector would start attracting
bigger players, corporate and farmers back to thefarm sector expansion. Farm sector in India holds
immense potential in it and is about to show
dramatic changes. We believe, more and more
investment is about to follow farm sector and in
medium term, within 2-3 years, the face of Indian
agriculture is about to change. We are expected to
see more productivity and investment in farm
sector which would not only cater to domestic
demand, but also likely to earn export profits in
terms to farm goods. One more lucrative sector
would be food –processing and cold-storage.
Another reason of higher inflation is the hi
mineral prices which challenge productivity
growth in infrastructure, capital goods
manufacturing sector very heavily by ma
several sectors and industries unattractive.
Indian corporate is hunting globally, this could
raw material prices. China, which is often attribto high mineral consumption, thus driving t
prices in world market, has already started show
signs of a slowdown. Chinese steel industr
already producing more than domestic demand
country is cooling down from nearly 11 % gro
rate to 9.5% in last year.
Hence a reduced demand for industrial inputs f
China will ease off price pressure of minerals
metals in world market, making them cheapenext growth driver, i.e.India.
Monetary Outlook of India:
Benchmark Interest rates in India are at all time
high at 7.5%.All the rates, like REPOs, Mibor, CRR,
SLR and other are at their peak. This show, RBI and
the Government has kept monitory discipline very
tight. This is very significant in a way that,
consequent to various fiscal and monitory policy
initiatives, Inflation, the prime concern is likely to
cool off in about 2 quarters. Global easemen
prices of core commodities, both farm
industrial, as predicted by IMF, in 2-3 quar
slower demand from China and USA, supporte
a better farm production in India will automati
ease down inflation in I
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.
Two tricky steps taken by Government here are very crucial.
They are Fiscal expansion and monetary contraction.
Policy makers in India are aware that growth as well
as Inflation control is two equally important factors
for India’s economic health and sustainability. By
fiscal expansion, Government tries to increase
public and private expenditure, more investment,
capacity and infrastructure expansion and easy
borrowings. As a monetary contraction, RBI is trying
to regulate money flow in the system, managing the
foreign inflows to optimum level and also handling
Rs against US$ to a level which eases domestic
inflation with farm import in short term …and also
making key export unit competitive by providing
subsidies and incentives. RBI is well placed in the
monitory scenario to handle any downside risk in
the country in the wake of global slowdown. Now,
while the inflation control measure mostly related
to fiscal steps, it gives a greater head-room to
keeping its monitory tools in tact for a later pa
economic expansion. A virtual scenario is expe
wherein; inflation could be cooled off without m
tinkering with interest rate.i.e keeping rates hig
the economy sustains a growth rate of
percentage point in a scenario of world slowdo
and higher inflation with a nominal interest
14.75%+…it is in deed a very promising scenario
We believe, after taming inflation to a comfort z
of 5% around, RBI will cut rates to boost econo
growth to higher level. This is expected to be d
in the 3rd
quarter of current fiscal where glcommodity prices will show a downw
movement.
Reasons to believe that global commodity prices will cool down by year end:
Global economic slowdown will start showing its
anti-inflationary effect by the end of year. Crude oil
rates, one of the most important factors for Indian
economy will settle to 85-90 US $ per barrel.US, EU
and Chinese slowdown will ease demand pressure
on crude. Better refining capacities and new
installations will add to supply boost. Already above
average prices, fueled by speculations will come to
equilibrium levels. Higher usage of alternative and
renewable energy along with better prudence on
energy savings will also add to lower fuel prices.
Newer capacities in Brazil, Canada, Venejuela,
Australia and Russia will substantially increase the
supply. Global food prices, however pose a great
risk and challenge. However, provided proper
policy initiatives taken in India, there is a good
chance that, in India, farm output can substantially
be increased. This is because our per acre
output in India is much below the world ave
and developed countries. Consequent to f
shortage, country is supposed to take initiativ
increase its productivity per acreage. The s
phenomenon is to be observed in all develo
countries where a poor per acreage yield indic
that farm output can be substantially incre
without increasing agricultural land. There is
important observation to be made in world, in
last part of CY08.US dollar will substantially dev
compared to major currencies of the world
Indian scenario, it means a lower cost of imp
especially crude oil import. This has already hed
to an extent the rising crude prices in In
Scenario.
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The FII’s – today’s market makers and
breaker’s. We should certainly watch out for
what their international monetary pressure
they are facing. The monetary policy of our
central banks, the demand supply scenario,
the levy’s and duty cut changes an industry
faces..... all this and much more.....
But what I would suggest is that if you have
done your due diligence and find your
diamond in the dust..... Buy it and ape
Van Winkle’ (who went off to sleep
twenty years!!!).well may be if twenty sou
a bit too long wait for a year at lest by t
the dust would have settled and y
diamonds shall certainly be shining. An
you are still not convinced about anyt
and stand confused depending on your
appetite go for an apt debt equity mix
simply wait till the dust settles!!!
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towards….. Political awaren
India, China and Left
A difference between US and THEY…is not just what
WORLD is observing now. This is also not what we
as mute captives of farcical democracy, are being
witness to….But rather this is the difference…ourfuture generations…our fore-children will pay
for…and will definitely ask us the answers…Answ
to questions which neither I and you have nor
people ,at the helm of affairs,have.Pe
like,Prakash Karat,Pranab Mukharjee or NatiSecurity Advisor Mr. M.K.Narayan has…..
What is the difference….?
The difference between two countries…India and
China…..I am not talking about the differences on
development or economic grounds. Though they
are also part and parcel of it…This difference is what
made a Chinese to call our ambassador at 2.30
A.M.in the night, summoned and being harshly
scolded about the lame position, this country of
billion has.It also gets reflected when
government takes all the pain and brutally
suppress the rightful demand and peaceful pro
of Tibetan just to appease the Chinese God Fath
And what in turn New Delhi gets in return…
Arunachal Pradesh in the official map of
China….C.M.of Sikkim and Arunachal Pradesh not
being allowed in China. A large 32,000 square
Kilometers of Indian Territory. All this just because
we are weak..Much much weak country than
anybody on the planet. Let me put few facts here.
China has for years armed, trained, supplied and
supported logistics to armed militants in Assam,
Nagaland, Manipur and Mizoram. According to areport from our own internal affairs ministry
documents. There are strong evidences that China
supports, arms and trains all the Nexal groups in
India. They are funded and trained to run naxalite
movements in the country to de-stabilize Indian
homeland. This is the report of Internal Affairs
Ministry based on RAW and IB documents. China
has long given political asylum to many militant
leaders in North-East. China has never accepted
Jammu and Kashmir, an Indian territory. In factPakistan has given thousand of kilometers of Indian
land, that too very sensitive, strategically
Siyachin to China. China is the one country, w
has opposed, vociferously, India’s entry to Sec
Council.
One more crucial input….Chinese Congress
Communist Pary of China,the apex body has pa
a resolution that talks about the word….”Ak
Chin”..The meaning of this word is Gre
China,that typically includes entire no
East,Bhutal,Nepal,Mongolia in Northern front,
of Myanmar and far –eastern islands.And this is
just a theoretical concept…China is m
strategically and tactically to the Aksaa
ambition.To know the ground realities you can
to people in the border areas, how each day C
is moving ahead into Indian Territory and is ea
up our crucial lands and posts without
Government in the Air-conditioned Parliament
power corridors to even take a pinch of.
Now the bigger question….Is Tibet a Chinese territory?
No… if you go by the Historical evidences….Tibet
has never been a Chinese part…It is as an
independent nation as Nepal or Bhutan would
be…..It was not even a Chinese territory in the
British colonial rule. It has always maintaine
independence and exclusivity in the world poli
map..
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Now, is Tibetan independence important for India?
Yes…Strategically an independent Tibet is very
crucial and important for India. It would act as a
natural cushion to India diplomatically. It is also
important for India from ecological point of view as
well. Our important river glaciers, Gangotri,
Yamunotri and other, are in Tibetan region. As
statistics says…China can any day create ecologicaldisturbances in the region whose repercussions
would be felt on India. I and you can not even
imagine the scale of damages to entire Northern
Indian gangatic plane where any ecological
disturbances in Glaciers region can collapse our
agriculture and bring in huge flood and damages to
entire north India. Do not take these things as day
dream as already China has shown ,few indications
of these sort by building a road to Mount
Averaest,through ecologically, extremely sensitive
Himalayan region.Bottom line is to unders
that Chinese ambitions and intentions are
lethal and dangerous for the sovereignity
existence of India.We need
strategically,economicall and even milit
prepare ourselves against Chinese might.Chin
the most important danger India ftoday…..And China is never your friend…it
never be….It has always seen India as a compe
,through skeptical eyes.It has already ta
strategic and military advances in the nea
regions covering whole of Indian territory.It
tie-ups with Myanman,Nepal,Pakistan and e
Bangladesh…and these are diplomatic as we
military.It has its huge fleet in Bay
Bengal..covering India through sea as well.
So what our Government is doing..literally nothing as usual… Now comes our Glor
LEFT..CPM..Communist Party of China…opps ,sorry Communist Party of India, Marxist. On not a s
occasion they have shown their solidarity for India nation. You know..why there are two parties..CPI
CPM..Actually there was only one party CPI, before Chinese invasion in 1962...After invasion, one side…
the bigger side..Has supported China..Literally against India…Now that is CPM
They are the one, who were the only creed to oppose Pokharan bomb blast in 1974 and in 1998.Now
are the same, who are championing the cause of national sovereignty against nuclear deal with USA
NSG. The underline..China, their Godfather, which not only ideologically feeds them but also funds th
does not want India at nuclear map of the world. T
are the people who always
been against Israel in Pales
USA in Afghanistan
Iraq and on number
occasions have vociferously c
against USA, West or any other nation, for that matter. And what is their response, when it come
atrocities against Tibetans by China..We can understand where their human rights and equity goes, wh
comes to their Ideological homeland-China. And to make the History, little brushed up in your minds…In
Communists were the only creed in the world that supported China against massive killing of more t10,000 students in Thiamine square.
This article is personal opinion of Mr Akshar Prem and he is sole responsible opinions/views stated he
Magazine may, or may not vouch his ideas and views.
I quote Mr Prakash Karat and Sita Ram Yechuri… “Happenings in Tibets are an internal affair of China. I
Indians must not meddle with the issue against China” Mr Prakash Karat
“ Dalai Lama must not speak against China from Indian Soil. He should learn to behave himself” Mr S
Yechuri..
We are a country…which used to give our
land,,jewels,,daughters,,and money to appease the intruders
through ages..Tamoor, Zanjess, Gazanies, and most recently
britishers….And we are probably repeating the same..trying to
appease china
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