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Tom Wallace & Bob Stahl www.tfwallace.com Executive S&OP A Presentation to: APICS Southeast Florida by Tom Wallace 3-20-08

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Page 1: Tom Wallace & Bob Stahl  Executive S&OP A Presentation to: APICS Southeast Florida by Tom Wallace 3-20-08

Tom Wallace & Bob Stahl www.tfwallace.com

Executive S&OPExecutive S&OP

A Presentation to:

APICS Southeast Floridaby

Tom Wallace

3-20-08

Page 2: Tom Wallace & Bob Stahl  Executive S&OP A Presentation to: APICS Southeast Florida by Tom Wallace 3-20-08

Tom Wallace & Bob Stahl www.tfwallace.com

AgendaAgenda

• Executive S&OP: Role, Structure and Benefits

• Implementation

• The Future of S&OP

Page 3: Tom Wallace & Bob Stahl  Executive S&OP A Presentation to: APICS Southeast Florida by Tom Wallace 3-20-08

Tom Wallace & Bob Stahl www.tfwallace.com

The Four FundamentalsThe Four Fundamentals

Demand Supply

Volume

Mix

•How Much?•Rates•The Big Picture•Families•Strategy/Policy/Risk•Monthly/out to 36 Mos

•Which Ones?•Timing/Sequence•The Details•Products•Tactics/Execution•Weekly/Daily 1-3 Mos

Page 4: Tom Wallace & Bob Stahl  Executive S&OP A Presentation to: APICS Southeast Florida by Tom Wallace 3-20-08

Tom Wallace & Bob Stahl www.tfwallace.com

Sales & Operations PlanningSales & Operations Planning

Demand Supply

Volume

Mix

Executive S&OP

Master SchedulingSupplier and Plant Scheduling

Distribution Scheduling

Demand Planning/Forecasting

Supply (Capacity) Planning

bodell
I think the key thing to hit is "what is Executive S&OP"? Should we have some bullet points somewhere that give some basic description? And can we link this back to some key points:?1) This is about Executive" Decision Making"2) This is about" Business Performance" (not just demand/supply balancing)3) This is not "detailed execution review"
Page 5: Tom Wallace & Bob Stahl  Executive S&OP A Presentation to: APICS Southeast Florida by Tom Wallace 3-20-08

Tom Wallace & Bob Stahl www.tfwallace.com

More Terminology Changes?More Terminology Changes?

Sales & Operations Planning may

become the successor term to ERP/MRPII

Thus the term Executive S&OP was developed to

• Eliminate confusion

• Avoid what happened with ERP

• Put high focus on the Executive role

Page 6: Tom Wallace & Bob Stahl  Executive S&OP A Presentation to: APICS Southeast Florida by Tom Wallace 3-20-08

Tom Wallace & Bob Stahl www.tfwallace.com

Executive S&OP . . .Executive S&OP . . .• Is an executive decision-making process

• Balances demand and supply

• Deals with volume in both units and $$$

• Ties operational plans to financial plans: one set of numbers

• Is the forum for setting relevant strategy and policy

• Is what we called , for years,

Sales & Operations Planning

Page 7: Tom Wallace & Bob Stahl  Executive S&OP A Presentation to: APICS Southeast Florida by Tom Wallace 3-20-08

Tom Wallace & Bob Stahl www.tfwallace.com

The Leader of the Business Unit (General Manager, President, COO) Needs to be Hands-On with Executive S&OP:

1. Stewardship2. Leadership

• Break ties• Set high standards• Motivate

Monthly Time Commitment: 1.5

The Role of Top ManagementThe Role of Top Management

hours

Page 8: Tom Wallace & Bob Stahl  Executive S&OP A Presentation to: APICS Southeast Florida by Tom Wallace 3-20-08

Tom Wallace & Bob Stahl www.tfwallace.com

Step #5ExecutiveMeeting

Decisions &Game Plan

Step #4Pre-

MeetingConflict Resolution, Recommendations &

Agenda for Exec. Mtg.

Step #1Data

Gathering

End of Month

Sales Actuals, Statistical Forecasts

&Supply Actuals

Step #2DemandPlanning Management Forecast

1st-pass spreadsheets

Step #3Supply

Planning Capacity constraints2nd-pass spreadsheets

Heavy

Lifting

The Executive S&OP Process

Page 9: Tom Wallace & Bob Stahl  Executive S&OP A Presentation to: APICS Southeast Florida by Tom Wallace 3-20-08

Tom Wallace & Bob Stahl www.tfwallace.com

Three Examples ofThree Examples ofBest PracticesBest Practices

Three Examples ofThree Examples ofBest PracticesBest Practices

Three (of 13) Companies Studied:

• High Seasonality

• High Cyclicality

• Highly Complex New Product Launch

Page 10: Tom Wallace & Bob Stahl  Executive S&OP A Presentation to: APICS Southeast Florida by Tom Wallace 3-20-08

Tom Wallace & Bob Stahl www.tfwallace.com

Seasonality Curve fora Typical Scotts Product

(data at Point of Sale)

Figure X-1

Executive S&OP in Make-to-Stock w/ High Seasonality: The Scotts Co.Executive S&OP in Make-to-Stock

w/ High Seasonality: The Scotts Co.

Important Questions:• When start Pre-Build?• At what rates?• Which SKUs?• When ramp up & how much?• When ramp down?

Pre-BuildPre-Build

S&OP helps to answer these & other questions

Page 11: Tom Wallace & Bob Stahl  Executive S&OP A Presentation to: APICS Southeast Florida by Tom Wallace 3-20-08

Tom Wallace & Bob Stahl www.tfwallace.com

The Scotts CompanyThe Scotts Company

“During the last four years, almost half of the company’s increase in earnings has come from Supply Chain savings: inventory down, manufacturing efficiency up, purchase and transportation costs down. All of these are due to improved planning.”

Ken ReiffVice President, Product

Planning

Page 12: Tom Wallace & Bob Stahl  Executive S&OP A Presentation to: APICS Southeast Florida by Tom Wallace 3-20-08

Tom Wallace & Bob Stahl www.tfwallace.com

S&OP in Make-to-Orderw/ Extreme Cyclicality: Cast-Fab

S&OP in Make-to-Orderw/ Extreme Cyclicality: Cast-Fab

Cast-Fab Technologies – Year-to-Year Sales Change

1993199419951996199719981999200020012002200320042005

%Chg

15386

121425141

322518

upup

downdown

updowndowndowndowndown

upup up

Implemented S&OP

Some competitors go out of business

Acquired fromCin’ti Milacron

46!!!12

Page 13: Tom Wallace & Bob Stahl  Executive S&OP A Presentation to: APICS Southeast Florida by Tom Wallace 3-20-08

Tom Wallace & Bob Stahl www.tfwallace.com

Cast-Fab TechnologiesCast-Fab Technologies

“During 2004, we posted sales increases of over 40%, which meant employee call-backs, retraining, new hires, initial training, getting up the learning curve and so forth.

“During the same year, we had productivity gains of up to 3%! We never would have believed this was possible if we hadn’t done it.

“S&OP played a key role in this; it gave us the forward visibility to make the right decisions on a timely basis.”

Ross BushmanPresident and COO

Page 14: Tom Wallace & Bob Stahl  Executive S&OP A Presentation to: APICS Southeast Florida by Tom Wallace 3-20-08

Tom Wallace & Bob Stahl www.tfwallace.com

New Product Launch . . .New Product Launch . . .

. . . in the Pharmaceutical Industry

• Multiple stages of testing

• Multiple approvals by FDA

• Multiple years

• Multiple 100s of millions of dollars

Page 15: Tom Wallace & Bob Stahl  Executive S&OP A Presentation to: APICS Southeast Florida by Tom Wallace 3-20-08

Tom Wallace & Bob Stahl www.tfwallace.com

Eli Lilly and CompanyEli Lilly and Company

New Product Launch Performance:

IndustryAverage Lilly

2001-04 1.8

Years Required

(avg per product) >14

9

<11

Page 16: Tom Wallace & Bob Stahl  Executive S&OP A Presentation to: APICS Southeast Florida by Tom Wallace 3-20-08

Tom Wallace & Bob Stahl www.tfwallace.com

Eli Lilly & CompanyEli Lilly & Company

“In the past three years we have launched 9 new products and met all demand despite 2 products that sold significantly above the high-side forecast.

“Without Global Sales & Operations Planning, we would have been driven to reaction mode, which could have resulted in an increase in investment in new assets, a slow down in our launch plans, and/or missed demand opportunities.”

Ron Bohl

Supply Chain Coordinator

Page 17: Tom Wallace & Bob Stahl  Executive S&OP A Presentation to: APICS Southeast Florida by Tom Wallace 3-20-08

Tom Wallace & Bob Stahl www.tfwallace.com

These 3 Examples:A Common ThreadThese 3 Examples:A Common Thread

Executive S&OP is being used extensively in areas of the business that are:

• Mission Critical

• Very Difficult to Manage

Page 18: Tom Wallace & Bob Stahl  Executive S&OP A Presentation to: APICS Southeast Florida by Tom Wallace 3-20-08

Tom Wallace & Bob Stahl www.tfwallace.com

Hard BenefitsHard BenefitsHard BenefitsHard Benefits• Customer Service UP• Inventory DOWN• Obsolescence DOWN• Freight Costs DOWN• Order Lead Times DOWN• Supplier Lead Times DOWN• Time to Launch New Products DOWN• Plant Productivity UP

Page 19: Tom Wallace & Bob Stahl  Executive S&OP A Presentation to: APICS Southeast Florida by Tom Wallace 3-20-08

Tom Wallace & Bob Stahl www.tfwallace.com

Soft BenefitsSoft BenefitsSoft BenefitsSoft Benefits• Enhanced Teamwork • Improved Communications• Better Decisions with Less Effort and Time• Better $$$ Plans with Less Effort and Time• Greater Accountability• Greater Control • Window into the Future

Top Management’s Handle on the Business

Page 20: Tom Wallace & Bob Stahl  Executive S&OP A Presentation to: APICS Southeast Florida by Tom Wallace 3-20-08

Tom Wallace & Bob Stahl www.tfwallace.com

AgendaAgenda

• Sales & Operations Planning: Role, Structure and Benefits

• Implementation

• The Future of Executive S&OP

Page 21: Tom Wallace & Bob Stahl  Executive S&OP A Presentation to: APICS Southeast Florida by Tom Wallace 3-20-08

Tom Wallace & Bob Stahl www.tfwallace.com

The Real Issue . . .The Real Issue . . .

. . . is not in understanding S&OP.

That’s easy. The hard part is . . .

Organizational Behavior Change Changing the way we do our jobs

“The hard stuff is the soft stuff.”

Page 22: Tom Wallace & Bob Stahl  Executive S&OP A Presentation to: APICS Southeast Florida by Tom Wallace 3-20-08

Tom Wallace & Bob Stahl www.tfwallace.com

Implementing Executive S&OP Is Different

Implementing Executive S&OP Is Different

Active, Hands-on Participation by theLeader and Staff

The leader of the business (president,

COO, CEO, general manager) must provide:• Support• Funding• Commitment• Leadership

So what’s new?

Each and Every Month

Page 23: Tom Wallace & Bob Stahl  Executive S&OP A Presentation to: APICS Southeast Florida by Tom Wallace 3-20-08

Tom Wallace & Bob Stahl www.tfwallace.com

Implementing Executive S&OP Is Different

Implementing Executive S&OP Is Different

• Highly focused on Top Management

• Relatively few people

• Low cost/high impact

Page 24: Tom Wallace & Bob Stahl  Executive S&OP A Presentation to: APICS Southeast Florida by Tom Wallace 3-20-08

Tom Wallace & Bob Stahl www.tfwallace.com

Implementation PrinciplesImplementation Principles

• Implementation begins and ends with the Leader of the business

• “Build it and they will come” carries a low probability for success

• “Gain and hold the high ground”

and success will almost always follow

Page 25: Tom Wallace & Bob Stahl  Executive S&OP A Presentation to: APICS Southeast Florida by Tom Wallace 3-20-08
Page 26: Tom Wallace & Bob Stahl  Executive S&OP A Presentation to: APICS Southeast Florida by Tom Wallace 3-20-08

Tom Wallace & Bob Stahl www.tfwallace.com

The Implementation Path The Implementation Path

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9Months

Bu

sin

ess

Imp

rovem

en

t

Phase IPhase ILive Pilot

Phase IIPhase IIExpansion

Live PilotGo/No-Go #2

Phase IIIPhase III$$$

Integration

ExecutiveBriefing

Go/No-Go #1

KickoffSession

Low Risk Low Cost

Page 27: Tom Wallace & Bob Stahl  Executive S&OP A Presentation to: APICS Southeast Florida by Tom Wallace 3-20-08

Month #1•Assignment of Responsibilities

•Kickoff Education & Planning

•Development of Project Schedule

•Families & Sub-Families (Pilot Family)

•Data Definitions, Sources & Displays

Month #1•Assignment of Responsibilities

•Kickoff Education & Planning

•Development of Project Schedule

•Families & Sub-Families (Pilot Family)

•Data Definitions, Sources & Displays

Month #3•Pilot Preparation & Execution

Go/No-Go Decision #2

Month #3•Pilot Preparation & Execution

Go/No-Go Decision #2

Month #2•Demand Planning Processes & Data Feeds

•Supply Planning Processes & Data Feeds

Month #2•Demand Planning Processes & Data Feeds

•Supply Planning Processes & Data FeedsExecutive Briefing& Go/No-Go Decision #1

Executive Briefing& Go/No-Go Decision #1

Phase IPhase IPreparation

Phase IIPhase IIExpansion

Phase IIIPhase III$$$

IntegrationLow RiskLow Cost

Months 4 – 6 • Add All Product Families• Full Supply Planning• Limited Financials

Months 4 – 6 • Add All Product Families• Full Supply Planning• Limited Financials

Months 7-9• Full Financial Integration•Institutionalize the Process

Months 7-9• Full Financial Integration•Institutionalize the Process

Page 28: Tom Wallace & Bob Stahl  Executive S&OP A Presentation to: APICS Southeast Florida by Tom Wallace 3-20-08

Tom Wallace & Bob Stahl www.tfwallace.com

AgendaAgenda

• Sales & Operations Planning: Role, Structure and Benefits

• Implementation

• The Future of Executive S&OP

Page 29: Tom Wallace & Bob Stahl  Executive S&OP A Presentation to: APICS Southeast Florida by Tom Wallace 3-20-08

Tom Wallace & Bob Stahl www.tfwallace.com

The Future of S&OP: Growth Factors

The Future of S&OP: Growth Factors

• Success breeds success• Lean Manufacturing and S&OP• Globalization• New users outside traditional manufacturing• S&OP specific software• Greater financial integration, power and utility• A growing presence in the executive suite

Page 30: Tom Wallace & Bob Stahl  Executive S&OP A Presentation to: APICS Southeast Florida by Tom Wallace 3-20-08

Tom Wallace & Bob Stahl www.tfwallace.com

Implications for APICS Members (CPIM)

Implications for APICS Members (CPIM)

Premises: • Executive S&OP is a powerful tool for top

management • It’s here to stay and it’s growing• It’s in APICS’ space• CPIMs know more about Sales & Operations

Planning than most others

Therefore, CPIMs are positioned to take part in this growth and to be more valuable to their companies

Page 31: Tom Wallace & Bob Stahl  Executive S&OP A Presentation to: APICS Southeast Florida by Tom Wallace 3-20-08

Tom Wallace & Bob Stahl www.tfwallace.com

Implications of Executive S&OP for APICS

Implications of Executive S&OP for APICS

• It’s in APICS’ space.

• It “lives” in the Executive Suite

• It can help attract new members:– executive perception– non-manufacturing companies

• APICS can play a – the? – leadership role in the widespread adoption of Executive S&OP

Page 32: Tom Wallace & Bob Stahl  Executive S&OP A Presentation to: APICS Southeast Florida by Tom Wallace 3-20-08

Tom Wallace & Bob Stahl www.tfwallace.com

APICS is Getting On Boardwith S&OP

APICS is Getting On Boardwith S&OP

• S&OP Conference – Chicago – June 19, 20

• Demand/S&OP Flight at APICS Conference in Kansas City – September 14-16

• Frequent Webinars (most recent: 2-25: Sales & Operations Planning –

The Executives’ Role)

Page 33: Tom Wallace & Bob Stahl  Executive S&OP A Presentation to: APICS Southeast Florida by Tom Wallace 3-20-08

Tom Wallace & Bob Stahl www.tfwallace.com

Thanks for ListeningThanks for Listening

Go to www.tfwallace.com for:

• Copies of slides

• Periodic newsletter

• White papers

• Books and videos