tom peters’ re-imagine ! business excellence in a disruptive age learning annex/toronto/19november...
TRANSCRIPT
Tom Peters’
Re-imagine!
Business Excellence in a Disruptive Age
Learning Annex/Toronto/19November 2003
“Behind Surging Productivity: The Service
Sector Delivers. Firms Once Thought Immune to
Boosting Worker Output Are Now Big Part of the Trend” —
Headline/WSJ/11.03
“As Economy Gains,
Outsourcing Surges” —Headline/Boston Globe/11.03
“14 MILLION service jobs are in
danger of being shipped overseas” —
The Dobbs Report/USN&WR/11.03/re new UCB
study
“Know we know what all that fiber-optic cable is
good for: BROADBAND’S KILLER APP, IT TURNS
OUT, IS INDIA” —Fortune/11.24.03
“WHERE IS YOUR JOB GOING”: writing software, designing chips,
reading MRIs, processing mortgages, preparing tax returns, managing
computer networks (etc: GE Capital’s 15,000 in Delhi), preparing PP slides
for McKinsey (350 in Chennai), equity analysis of U.S. companies (Morgan
Stanley) …Source: Fortune/11.24.03
“WHAT ARE PEOPLE GOING TO DO WITH
THEMSELVES?” —Headline/
Fortune/ 11.03 (“We should finally admit that we do not and cannot know, and regard that fact with serenity
rather than anxiety.”)
Slides at …
tompeters.com
“Uncertainty is the only thing to be sure of.” –Anthony Muh,
head of investment in Asia, Citigroup Asset Management
“If you don’t like change, you’re going to like irrelevance even less.” —General Eric Shinseki, Chief of Staff,
U. S. Army
Re-imagine! Business Excellence in a Disruptive Age
1. It is the foremost task —and responsibility— of our generation to re-imagine our enterprises and institutions, public and private.
It is the foremost task—and responsibility—of our generation to
re-imagine our enterprises, private
and public. —from the cover, Re-imagine
Re-imagine!
2. War-making, commerce, politics, and the essential nature of human interchange have come unglued. We are in a … Brawl with No Rules. We have to make it up as we go along.
“We are in a
brawl with no rules.”
Paul Allaire
S.A.V.
“Reward excellent
failures. Punish mediocre
successes.”Phil Daniels, Sydney exec
Re-imagine!
3. Incrementalism is .. Out. Destruction is … In. Built to last is … Out. Built to flip is … In.
No Wiggle Room!
“Incrementalism is innovation’s worst enemy.”
Nicholas Negroponte
Forbes100 from 1917 to 1987: 39 members of the Class of ’17 were alive
in ’87; 18 in ’87 F100; 18 F100 “survivors” underperformed the market
by 20%; just 2 (2%), GE & Kodak, outperformed the market 1917 to 1987.
S&P 500 from 1957 to 1997: 74 members of the Class of ’57 were
alive in ’97; 12 (2.4%) of 500 outperformed the market from 1957 to 1997.
Source: Dick Foster & Sarah Kaplan, Creative Destruction: Why Companies That Are Built to Last Underperform the Market
“Good management was the most powerful reason [leading firms] failed to stay atop their industries. Precisely because these firms
listened to their customers, invested aggressively in technologies that would provide their customers more
and better products of the sort they wanted, and because they carefully studied market trends and
systematically allocated investment capital to innovations that promised the best returns, they lost
their positions of leadership.”
Clayton Christensen, The Innovator’s Dilemma
Forget>“Learn”
“The problem is never how to get new, innovative
thoughts into your mind,
but how to get the old ones out.”
Dee Hock
“I don’t intend to be known as the
‘King of the Tinkerers.’ ” —CEO, large
financial services company
Re-imagine!
4. There is no higher priority than the Total Transformation of all business practice to eBusiness practice—encompassing every element of the enterprise and every member of its family of alliances and partners. The Internet changes everything. Now.
“The organizations we created have become tyrants. They have taken
control, holding us fettered, creating barriers that hinder rather than help our businesses. The lines that we drew on our neat organizational diagrams have turned into walls
that no one can scale or penetrate or even peer over.” —Frank Lekanne Deprez &
René Tissen, Zero Space: Moving Beyond Organizational Limits.
“The corporation as we know it, which is now 120 years old, is
not likely to survive the next 25 years. Legally and
financially, yes, but not structurally and economically.”
Peter Drucker, Business 2.0
100 square feet
“Dawn Meyerreicks, CTO of the Defense Information Systems Agency, made one of the most fateful military calls of the 21st century. After 9/11 … her office
quickly leased all the available transponders covering Central Asia. The implications should change everything about U.S. military thinking in the
years ahead.
“The U.S. Air Force had kicked off its fight against the Taliban with an ineffective bombing campaign, and Washington was anguishing over whether to send in a few Army divisions. Donald Rumsfeld told Gen. Tommy Franks to
give the initiative to 250 Special Forces already on the ground. They used satellite phones, Predator surveillance drones, and GPS- and laser-based
targeting systems to make the air strikes brutally effective.
“In effect, they ‘Napsterized’ the battlefield by cutting out the middlemen (much of the military’s command and control) and working directly with the
real players. … The data came in so fast that HQ revised operating procedures to allow intelligence analysts and attack planners to work directly
together. Their favorite tool, incidentally, was instant messaging over a secure network.”—Ned Desmond/“Broadband’s New Killer App”/Business
2.0/ OCT2002
5. Ninety percent of white-collar jobs (90 percent of all jobs) as we know them will be disemboweled in the next 15 years. Done. Gone. Kaput.
Re-imagine!
Steel: 75,000,000 tons in ’82 to 102,000,000 tons in
’02. 289, 000 steelworkers in ’82 to 74,000
steelworkers in ’02.
Source: Fortune/11.24.03
E.g. …
Jeff Immelt: 75% of “admin, back room, finance” “digitalized” in
3 years.
Source: BW (01.28.02)
6. “Winners” (survivors!) will become de facto bosses of Me Inc.
Free the Cubicle Slaves! Self-reliance replaces corporate cosseting. Hooray!
Re-imagine!
“If there is nothing very special about
your work, no matter how hard you apply yourself, you won’t get noticed, and that
increasingly means you won’t get paid much either.”
Michael Goldhaber, Wired
First Step: E-V-E-R-Y TASK MUST BE CONVERTED INTO A “BRAGGABLE.”
(Success = Sense of Impermanence + Portfolio
of Braggables + Network Mastery.)
Re-imagine!
7. We must learn to add value through creativity … by inventing … Extraordinary Experiences … which provide scintillating “solutions” to customers’ oft unexpressed desires and dreams. Out: Tangibles. In: Intangibles.
“The ‘surplus society’ has a surplus of
similar companies, employing
similar people, with similar educational backgrounds, coming up
with similar ideas, producing
similar things, with similar prices
and similar quality.”
Kjell Nordström and Jonas Ridderstråle, Funky Business
Gerstner’s IBM: Systems Integrator of
choice. Global Services:
$40B. Pledge/’99: Business Partner
Charter. 72 strategic partners, aim for 200. Drop
many in-house programs/products. (BW/12.01).
WHAT CAN BROWN DO FOR YOU?
Experience: “Rebel Lifestyle!”
“What we sell is the ability for a 43-year-old accountant to dress in black leather, ride
through small towns and have people be afraid of him.”
Harley exec, quoted in Results-Based Leadership
“Experiences are as distinct from services as services are from
goods.”Joseph Pine & James Gilmore, The Experience Economy:
Work Is Theatre & Every Business a Stage
The “Experience Ladder”
Experiences Services
Goods Raw Materials
And the Winners Are …
Televisions –12%Cable TV service +5%
Toys -10%Child care +5%
Photo equipment -7%Photographer’s fees +3%
Sports Equipment -2%Admission to sporting event +3%
New car -2%Car repair +3%
Dishes & flatware -1%Eating out +2%
Gardening supplies -0.1%Gardening services +2%
Source: WSJ/05.16.03
FEES! FEES! FEES!
—Cover Story, BW/09.29.03
<TGWvs.
>TGR
It’s All About EXPERIENCES: “Trapper” to “Wildlife Damage-control Professional”
Trapper: <$20 per beaver pelt.
WDCP: $150/“problem beaver”; $750-$1,000 for flood-control
piping … so that beavers can stay.
Source: WSJ/05.21.2002
Re-imagine!
8. Design Rules … in an Age of Experiences/ Dream Fulfillment.
Design Transforms even the [Biggest] Corporations!
TARGET … “the champion of America’s new design democracy” (Time) “Marketer of the Year 2000”
(Advertising Age)
Westin’s …
Heavenly Bed
“We don’t have a good language to talk about this kind of thing. In most people’s
vocabularies, design means veneer. … But to me, nothing could be further from the
meaning of design. Design is the fundamental soul
of a man-made creation.”
Steve Jobs
Re-imagine!
9. Brand Value = All Value = Obeisance to Metaphysical Management.
“WHO ARE WE?”
“WHAT’S OUR
STORY?”
“We are in the twilight of a society based on data. As information and intelligence become the domain of computers, society will place more value on the one human ability that cannot be automated: emotion.
Imagination, myth, ritual - the language of emotion - will affect everything from our purchasing decisions
to how we work with others. Companies will thrive on the basis of their stories and myths. Companies will need to understand
that their products are less important than their stories.”
Rolf Jensen, Copenhagen Institute for Future Studies
“Most executives have no idea how to add value to a market in the metaphysical
world. But that is what the market will cry out for in the future. There is no lack of ‘physical’ products to
choose between.”
Jesper Kunde, Unique now ... or never [on the excellence of Nokia, Nike, Lego, Virgin et al.]
Re-imagine!
10. WOMEN ROAR. Women buy (ALL) the stuff. Re-imagine the brand itself—and all business practices—around women-as- purchasers.
?????????
Home Furnishings … 94%Vacations … 92% (Adventure Travel … 70%/ $55B travel
equipment)
Houses … 91%D.I.Y. (“home projects”) … 80%
Consumer Electronics … 51% Cars … 60% (90%)
All consumer purchases … 83% Bank Account … 89%
Health Care … 80%
$5+T > Japan
10M/28M/$3.6T > Germany
91% women: ADVERTISERS DON’T
UNDERSTAND US. (58% “ANNOYED.”)
Source: Greenfield Online for Arnold’s Women’s Insight Team (Martha Barletta, Marketing to Women)
Read This Book …
EVEolution: The Eight Truths of Marketing to Women
Faith Popcorn & Lys Marigold
“Men and women don’t think the same way, don’t communicate the same
way, don’t buy for the same reasons.”
“He simply wants the transaction to take place. She’s interested in
creating a relationship. Every place women go, they make
connections.”
EVEolution: Truth No. 1
Connecting Your Female Consumers to Each
Other Connects Them to Your Brand
“The ‘Connection Proclivity’ in women starts early. When asked,
‘How was school today?’ a girl usually tells her mother every
detail of what happened, while a boy might grunt, ‘Fine.’ ”
EVEolution
“Women don’t buy
brands. They join them.”
EVEolution
2.6 vs. 21
Editorial/Men: Tables, rankings.*
Editorial/Women: Narratives that cohere.*
*Redwood (UK)
1. Men and women are different.2. Very different.3. VERY, VERY DIFFERENT.4. Women & Men have a-b-s-o-l-u-t-e-l-y nothing in common.5. Women buy lotsa stuff.6. WOMEN BUY A-L-L THE STUFF.7. Women’s Market = Opportunity No. 1.8. Men are (STILL) in charge.9. MEN ARE … TOTALLY, HOPELESSLY CLUELESS ABOUT WOMEN.10. Women’s Market = Opportunity No. 1.
Ad from Furniture /Today (04.01):“MEET WITH THE EXPERTS!: How
Retailing’s Most Successful Stay that Way”
Presenting Experts: M = 16;
F = ?? (94% = 272)
0
Re-imagine!
11. Boomers & Geezers have (ALL) the money. Pay attention!
“ ‘Age Power’ will rule the 21st century, and we are woefully
unprepared.”Ken Dychtwald, Age Power: How the 21st
Century Will Be Ruled by the New Old
2000-2010 Stats
18-44: -1%
55+: +21%(55-64: +47%)
Aging/“Elderly”
$$$$$$$$$$$$“I’m in charge!”
50+
$7T wealth (70%)/$2T annual income50% all discretionary spending
79% own homes/40M credit card users41% new cars/48% luxury cars
$610B healthcare spending/74% prescription drugs
5% of advertising targets
Ken Dychtwald, Age Power: How the 21st Century Will Be Ruled by the New Old
“Marketers attempts at reaching those over 50 have
been miserably unsuccessful. No market’s motivations and needs are so poorly understood.”—Peter
Francese, founding publisher, American Demographics
Re-imagine!
12. Creative Enterprises demand … Awesome (& Creative) Talent. Everywhere.
Age of AgricultureIndustrial Age
Age of Information IntensificationAge of Creation Intensification
Source: Murikami Teruyasu, Nomura Research Institute
“When land was the productive asset, nations
battled over it. The same is happening now for talented people.”
Stan Davis & Christopher Meyer, futureWEALTH
Model 25/8/53
Sports Franchise GM
Brand = Talent.
Re-imagine!
13. WOMEN RULE. Women are … Tomorrow’s Leaders. (Period.)
“AS LEADERS, WOMEN RULE: New Studies find that female managers
outshine their male counterparts in almost
every measure”Title, Special Report, BusinessWeek, 11.20.00
Women’s Strengths Match New Economy Imperatives: Link [rather than rank] workers;
favor interactive-collaborative leadership style [empowerment beats top-down decision making]; sustain fruitful collaborations; comfortable with sharing information; see redistribution of power
as victory, not surrender; favor multi-dimensional feedback; value technical & interpersonal skills, individual & group contributions equally; readily accept ambiguity; honor intuition as well as pure
“rationality”; inherently flexible; appreciate cultural diversity.
Source: Judy B. Rosener, America’s Competitive Secret: Women Managers
Psssst! Wanna see my “porn” collection?
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
14 to 168*
*Leadership Positions/D&T/1992-2002/WIAR
Women Rule
Match market power
Attributes fit N.O.W. (New Org World)
10M biz owners
Re-imagine!
14. “Talent Development” rests upon Total Re-imagining of our insipid schools. Those who “color outside the box” and “can’t sit still” are the New Heroes.
“My wife and I went to a [kindergarten] parent-teacher conference and were informed that our budding
refrigerator artist, Christopher, would be receiving a grade of Unsatisfactory in art. We were shocked. How could any child—let alone our child—receive a poor
grade in art at such a young age? His teacher informed us that he had refused to color within the lines, which was a
state requirement for demonstrating ‘grade-level motor
skills.’ ”Jordan Ayan, AHA!
Re-imagine!
15. Weird Wins … in Weird Times.
(Innovation = Easy. Hang Out with Weird = Get Weird.) (Q.E.D.)
Saviors-in-Waiting
Disgruntled CustomersOff-the-Scope Competitors
Rogue EmployeesFringe Suppliers
Wayne Burkan, Wide Angle Vision: Beat the Competition by Focusing on Fringe Competitors, Lost Customers, and Rogue Employees
“To grow, companies need to break out of a vicious
cycle of competitive benchmarking, imitation and pursuit.” —W. Chan Kim & Renée Mauborgne, “Think
for Yourself —Stop Copying a Rival,” Financial Times/08.11.03
Audie Murphy was the most decorated soldier in WW2.
He won every medal we had to offer, plus 5 presented by Belgium and France. There was one common medal he
never won …
… the Good Conduct medal.
Re-imagine!
16. Leading = Re-imagining = Unleashing Passion in One & All. Winners … Pursue Quests to Places as Yet Unimagined. Leaders applaud their “followers’ ” Quirky Bravery … and egg them on to ever more wild & woolly experiments.
“I don’t know.”
The Kotler Doctrine:
1965-1980: R.A.F.(Ready.Aim.Fire.)
1980-1995: R.F.A.(Ready.Fire!Aim.)
1995-????: F.F.F.(Fire!Fire!Fire!)
“Fail faster. Succeed sooner.”
David Kelley/IDEO
Fail. Forward. Fast. –High-tech Exec
“In Tom’s world it’s always better to try a swan dive and deliver a colossal belly flop than to step timidly off the board while holding your
nose.”—Fast Company /October2003
“If things seem under control, you’re just not
going fast enough.”
Mario Andretti