tmdl: an agricultural perspective, bill hafs, 9/2010

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    TMDLan

    Agricultural

    Perspective

    Wauwatosa, WisconsinSeptember 15, 2010

    7th Annual Clean Rivers, Clean Lake Conference

    Mark Hagedorn

    Brown County

    UW Extension

    Bill HafsBrown County

    Land and Water Conservation Department

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    Presentation Overview

    Current livestock situation inNE Wisconsin

    Industry trends Land use trends

    Distribution/densities of

    livestock Surface water

    Overview of the Lower FoxRiver TMDL

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    Livestock Numbers

    All Cattle and Calves (Fox- Wolf Basin)

    Cattle Cropland Acres/Cow

    Brown 105,000 162,000 1.54Outagamie 85,000 194,700 2.29Winnebago 32,000 127,600 3.99Calumet 60,000 120,900 2.02Fond du Lac 100,000 242,700 2.26Waupaca 55,000 134,400 2.44Shawano 85,000 171,900 2.02

    Counties with highest cattle numbersGrant 173,000 330,000 1.91Dane 143,500 363,400 2.53Marathon 139,000 288,200 2.07Clark 136,500 235,800 1.73

    Dodge 106,500 304,400 2.86Manitowoc 97,000 183,800 1.89

    * 2009 Wisconsin Agricultural Statistics

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    Brown County 18 existing CAFO permits (>1000 AU)

    13 potential (>500 AU) CAFO permits.

    1000 (1400 lb) dairy cows generatesthe waste = 18,000 humans (source

    DNR)

    80,000 animal units = 1,440,000humans (waste equivalents).

    City of Green Bay + De Pere Metro

    area = 200,000 humans on GBMSD.100 Staff work at sewage district.

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    1000 Animal Unit

    Operations(statewide 2007 DNR)64/134 Dairy CAFOs in NE Wisconsin

    Less than 5 CAFOs In Wisconsin in 1985

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    Crop

    Potatoes

    Barley

    Corn

    Hay

    Peas

    Oats

    Snap Beans

    Soybeans

    Sweet Corn

    Wheat

    1969

    50

    700

    67,800

    87,000

    1,600

    47,300

    300

    100

    2,100

    150

    207,100

    1981

    750

    65,000

    74,000

    2,500

    31,500

    1,200

    200

    1,600

    2,050

    178,800

    2008

    62,000

    61,800

    22,400

    15,800

    162,000

    Brown County Crop

    Production Overview

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    Production/Cow

    # Cows# HerdsAve. Herd SizeCattle All

    19699,950

    #/head

    40,9191,348~ 30

    198113,200

    #/head

    39,200

    91,400

    200822,300

    #/head

    41,000239

    ~172105,000

    In 1975, there were 40,000 cows.

    Cattle All = 88,200

    Brown County Dairy

    Production Overview

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    Land Use

    Brown County total land areaapproximately 350,000 acres.

    Year Farms Land in Farms

    1954 2,672 300,900 acres1972 1,920 274,800 acres

    1978 1,730 263,400 acres

    1983 1,480 241,500 acres

    2008 1,053* 162,000 acres

    2010 ??

    (Source: 1991 Brown County Farmland Preservation Plan; NASS 2007*, 2009)

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    Fox River and Milwaukee River

    Upstream Areas with largeAgriculture areas flow downstream

    to Large Urban area. Trends reduced agriculture areas

    because of urban sprawl and lesscropland.

    Fewer farms, larger farms, milkproduction and manure productionper cow increased.

    Urban sprawl + increased farmsize = potential for conflict.

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    Distribution and

    Livestock Density

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    Trends2009 US Dairy Statistics Milk Production

    (Source: Progressive Dairyman)

    State Ranking in Total Milk productionWisconsin is #2 nationwide.

    Wisconsin average herd size = 95

    Number dairy herds 13,170 (13,730 in 2008)

    TOP DAIRY COUNTIES IN MIDWEST Region

    (12 states) Milk 2008-09

    1. Stearns Mn (106 million lbs) +67%

    2. Clark (103 million lbs) +35%3. Marathon (94 million lbs) +25%4. Dane (94 million lbs) +15%5. Fond du Lac (81 million lbs) +39%6. Brown (80 million lbs) +16%

    (14% in 2008)

    7. Outagamie (75 million lbs) +40%

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    Sustainability

    How many acres are needed per AU forland spreading of animal waste forPhosphorus?

    Clemson University 3 acres/cow P(Planning Free stall Facilities for the Expanding Dairy John P. Chastain,Ph.D. Department of Agricultural and Biological Engineering ClemsonUniversity 2000 )

    UWEX,CALS, DATCP, USDA 1.6 2.9 acres/ cow P(UWEX, CALS, USDA-ARS Dairy Forage Research Center, USDA-CSREES Initiative for future agriculture and food systems, WDATCP)

    80,000 AU in Brown County x 2 acres/AU = 160,000 acres cropland needed.

    Distribution of Livestock operations.Density standards need to bedeveloped or other waste technologiespromoted and funded.

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    Land Application of

    Wastes 162,000 acres of cropland in Brown

    County. (2009 NASS)

    1/3 of Cropland is estimated to

    have spreading restrictions suchas:

    Set backs to streams

    Set backs from wells

    Set backs from wetlands Set backs from KARST, Bedrock,

    sinkholes

    Slope restrictions

    106,920 acres of cropland (66%)is more accurate estimate ofspread able cropland.

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    Other Waste

    DNR approved land spreadingsites Brown County 2/14/07:

    Industrial= 566 sites, 23,214 acres,18 facilities.

    Municipal = 243 sites, 4854 acres,9 facilities.

    Septage= 31 sites 1300 acres, 8facilities.

    Total = 29,368.9 acres/162,000acres total cropland acres in

    Brown County = 18% ofcropland approved for land

    spreading of other wastes.

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    Surface Water

    The Fox River is the largestcontributor of phosphorus to

    Lake Michigan of all tributarystreams (21%).

    The Fox River is the 3rd

    largest contributor of Sedimentto Lake Michigan of all tributarystreams.

    (U.S.G.S. Water Resources)

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    Surface Water - Phosphorus

    AgriculturalLand44%

    Barnyard3%

    Urban9%

    ConstructionSites3%

    Othernonpoint

    3%

    MunicipalPoint

    17%

    IndustrialPoint21%

    Total Phosphorus ExportLower Fox River Basin and Duck Creek

    2004 Baseline, Total 238,912 kg

    (Data Sources: Integrated Watershed Approach Demonstration Project: APollutant Reduction Optimization Analysis for the Lower Fox River Basin and

    the Green Bay Area of Concern. August 2007; prepared by the CadmusGroup for the U.S. EPA, with contributions from the University of Wisconsin-Green Bay, 26 pp. Solids data from P. Baumgart, UW-Green Bay, 2008.)

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    Phosphorus

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    Suspended Sediment

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    Nutrient Management

    in Brown County

    2010 nutrient managementplans = 115,000/162,000 acresof cropland covered (71%)

    Private agronomists NE WI sayabout 50% are currently

    implemented within reason.

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    Soils Phosphorus PPM in TMDLRed >100 ppm Orange 50 100 ppm P

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    PI 6 is agronomic based

    The DNR will not seek to base nutrient managementplanning on the potential delivery of nutrients to surfacewater. Rather, nutrients will be managed in accordancewith the needs of a crop.(June 23, 2010 Wisconsin DNR Board approves changes to NR 151)

    Rotation Soil test Rotation Soil testPI P ppm PI P ppm

    4.1 146 1.5 953.9 166 1.9 843.6 141 4.1 2373.2 124 3.1 753.6 196 5.0 595.5 102 1.9 1014.5 63 1.4 693.7 131 2.0 87

    4.0 60 1.8 601.6 110 3.0 705.3 103 4.2 62

    0.6 59 0.9 572.8 85

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    Opportunities Nutrient Management state required, 2010

    Brown County 115,000/ 162,000 acres Needbetter plan implementation, revised PItargets lower than 6.

    Winter spreading plans -100 per year

    Promotion of new technologies

    and funding by state of waste water treatment,

    digesters, dewatering, Waste TransformationTechnology to overcome cropland shortage andincrease sustainability.

    Adequate staff to enforce, inspect, monitor.Green Bay Metro Sewage has 100 employeesto monitor and treat waste from estimated200,000 human residents. 80,000 animal units

    = 1,440,000 humans and there are less than 10County and DNR staff monitoring animal waste.

    Regulation protects water quality andAgriculture from liability (3 billion dollar/ yearindustry in Brown County)

    Great Lakes Initiative grants

    Baird Creek $377,000 Buffer strips

    West Shore Pike $395,000

    TRADING?

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    To Trade orNot to Trade

    GBMSD to reduce P discharge by 25,000pounds per year will cost over$200,000,000.

    The cost share for farmers in BrownCounty from DATCP and DNR in 2011will be $60,931.

    Annual discharge of Phosphorus by subbasin :

    Duck Creek 63,172 lbs/yr

    East River 48,748 lbs/yr Apple Creek 35,088 lbs/yr

    Plum Creek 31,569 lbs/yr

    Bower Creek 27,777 lbs/yr

    Total sub watersheds in Basin = 549,703 lbs/y ofwhich 45.7% is Ag (251,382 lbs/year)

    http://www.dnr.state.wi.us/org/water/wm/wqs/303d/DraftTMDLs/Lower%20Fox%20River%20TMDL%20Report%20(public%20draft%2006-24-10)%20-%20complete[1].pdf

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    Education NeededSurvey of Dairy Farmers in Lower Fox by UW

    ( February 2007)

    168 (58%) responded (CAFOs not in survey) 86% agreed it is their responsibility to

    protect WQ. Only 14% would be willing to pay moreto improve WQ.

    Twice as many (36%) identifiedWaterfowl droppings as more seriousthan Agriculture (18%).

    Respondents see water pollution asgenerated principally by non Agsources.

    Two most influential factors areprofitability (88%) and out of pocket

    expense (87%). 75% will maintain or expand herd size

    in next 5 years.

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    Total Maximum Daily

    Loads (TMDLs)

    TMDLs require that best

    management practices bedesigned to meet the waterquality objectives of animpaired water body.

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    Total Maximum Daily

    Loads (TMDLs) TMDL means the amount of

    pollutants specified as a

    function of one or more waterquality parameters, that can bedischarged per day into awater quality limited segment

    and still ensure attainment ofthe applicable water qualitystandard.

    Phosphorus

    Sediment

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    BMP #1

    Reduce phosphorus in dairy cow feedby 25%

    Phosphorus feeding recommendations for

    lactating dairy cows.*

    Milk yield

    (lb/cow/day)

    Ration P(%, dry

    basis)

    55 0.32

    77 0.35

    99 0.36

    120 0.38

    *Assumes feed intake rates of the NRC

    (2001) model.

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    BMP #1 (continued)

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    Dairy Ration Phosphorous Trends

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    BMP #2

    Manure Incorporation Increase the proportion of

    applied manure that is

    incorporated within 72 hours How did we approach this

    BMP?

    Surveyed the 5 county area

    Increase manure storage

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    BMP #2Manure Incorporation

    Storage Survey

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    BMP #3

    Nutrient Management Stabilize soil test phosphorus

    at 40PPM

    Examines crop removal versusphosphorus production fromlivestock

    Largest challenge is theuneven distribution of livestock

    We will go into more detail aswe review BMP #7

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    BMP #4

    Conservation Tillage Mulch tillage versus zone

    tillage

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    BMP #5

    Cover Crops Utilized on low residue fields

    There is a great deal of corn

    silage chopped in conjunctionwith a decreasing amount ofalfalfa

    The financial overview of thispractice was interesting toexamine

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    BMP #6

    Vegetative Buffer Strips Impacted by NR151 revisions

    We have a unique situation in

    that Brown County has anordinance for VBSs

    This yields a wide variety ofestablishment costs

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    BMP #7

    Nutrient Management Reduce soil P from 40 PPM to

    25 PPM

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    BMP #7

    Nutrient Management Hyperlink to the online

    Phosphorous Balancer for

    Brown, Calumet, Manitowoc,Outagamie, and WinnebagoCounties

    http://www.co.brown.wi.us/departments/page_4b3351439d09/?department=68d3c3d55278&subdepartment=9207c5a3d3d5

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    BMP #8

    Bio-Fuel Crops Adding switch grass to the

    typical cash-crop rotation of

    alternating soybean and corn-grain

    No where to go with the endproduct shy of dairy

    replacement and dry cow feed

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    BMP #9Water And Sediment COntrol

    Basins

    Affectionately referred to as aWASCOB

    Expensive to construct Limited opportunities to utilize

    Not a lot of interest

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    BMP #10

    Anionic Polyacrylamides

    New technology to help controlrunoff, soil erosion, and

    nutrient loss Proprietary technology

    Has been used in reseedingwildfire areas and forestablishment of cover growthat construction sites

    Indications are that it is

    expensive and little use inproduction agriculture

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    Wrap-up for the day!

    Opportunities/benefits

    Challenges

    Questions