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Vinit Sambre – Head of Equities January 2021

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Page 1: [Title to come] · 2021. 1. 25. · The image part with relationship ID rId5 was not found in the file. [Title to come] [Sub-Title to come] Date Strictly for Intended Recipients Only

The image part with relationship ID rId5 was not found in the file.

[Title to come][Sub-Title to come]

Strictly for Intended Recipients OnlyDate* DSP India Fund is the Company incorporated in Mauritius, under which ILSF is the corresponding share class

The image part with relationship ID rId5 was not found in the file.

Vinit Sambre – Head of Equities January 2021

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For Professional Investor use only 2

Learnings through time

Source: Internal.

1. Lower Macro focus

Bottom up company research is more useful than predicting macro.

2. A rising tide lifts all boats

beware of blindly investing in themes

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For Professional Investor use only 3

Beware of blindly investing in themes

Boom & bust during early phase of my career

100 PE club

Everyone wanted to participate in this boom

Source – Internal, Bloomberg.

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For Professional Investor use only 4

Beware of blindly investing in themes

Decade of no return from the peak

Don’t completely ignore the valuation

Source – Internal, Bloomberg.

10 yrs no return

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Wipro – 2 decades for market cap to recover despite sound fundamentals

Source: Bloomberg, Internal.

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Sales & EBIT (INR bn)

Net Sales EBIT [RHS]

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For Professional Investor use only 6

Beware of blindly investing in themes

Infra Theme - 2008

Order book based investment

Cash flow stuck in receivables

Project delays

Over-leveraging

Source: Internal.

Stock price chart of NCC Ltd

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For Professional Investor use only 7

How to play themes

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For Professional Investor use only

INVESTED ON FUNDAMENTALS ..

The company has been in existence for ~50 years

Strong competitive advantage in the Specialty Chemicals and Refrigent Business which acts as an entry barrier

Filed 294 process Patents of which 80 have been granted

Capital allocation from cyclical businesses to non cyclical with better ROCE

Highly capable management with high standard of corporate governance.

Catering to scalable industries like Automobiles, Agriculture, Pharmaceuticals

NOW IT’S A THEME

8

SRF Ltd.– 7 year journey from Micro cap to Large cap

Source: Internal, Bloomberg, Nov 2019. The sector(s)/stock(s)/issuer(s) mentioned in this presentation do not constitute any research report/recommendation of the same and the Representative Portfolio may or may not have any future position in these sector(s)/stock(s)/issuer(s).

21%

30%27%

24%

28%

34% 34%32% 32%

41%

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30%

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45%

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FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20Revenue - Chemical Segment % of total revenue

21%

29% 31%

38%44% 43% 43%

48% 50% 48%

0%

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30%

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50%

60%

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FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20

Capital Employed - Chemical Segment

% of total Capital Employed

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000 SRF Rs 35000 crsmcap

Rs 1200 crsmcap

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Learnings through time

Source: Internal.

1. Beware of Manager Biases

Deep analysis of historical business cycles (over 10-15 years), not merely

management’s future guidance.

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Beware of Manager biases - Atul Ltd

Honest & Aspirational

Source: Atul Annual Report (FY17), Internal.

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After many years of winning streak the stock was still available at Rs 3600 crs. market cap in early part of 2015

Atul Ltd

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Learnings through time

Source: Internal.

1. Look for Temporary disruptions

Contra-cyclical plays – use temporary disruption / downcycles to buy good companies.

Best combination – good companies & bad time

Normally investors turn nervous and are willing to move out

Sit back and analyse deeply if the problem is resolvable and ability of the management to deal

with the same

Stocks available at zero impact cost

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For Professional Investor use only

Under new leadership business had started showing signs of improvement. Salil Parekh joined in Jan 2018

Faced whistleblower problem in Oct 2019, evaluated in-depth and concluded that it was bit frivolous

Whistleblower led to steep correction – Buy or sell ?

Provided good entry opportunity – stock was available at 13-14X

13

Infosys – temporary disruption

Source: Internal, Bloomberg

10 yr Average

ROCE 35%PAT CAGR 10%Dividend Payout 44%

Infosys Price Chart

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Strong management, superior ROCE and cost efficient pharma play

Vertically integrated into API – gives huge costadvantage

One of the most capital efficient companies within thesector – average ROCE FY10-15 = 25%

Faced USFDA challenge in 2014 – Buy or Sell ? ROCE cracked from 28% in FY14 to 5% in FY16; now

back to 20%

14

IPCA Laboratories Ltd

Source: Internal, Bloomberg, Nov 2019. The sector(s)/stock(s)/issuer(s) mentioned in this presentation do not constitute any research report/recommendation of the same and the Representative Portfolio may or may not have any future position in these sector(s)/stock(s)/issuer(s).

0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%

D:E ROCE OPM %

37%32% 31% 30%

36%

42% 43% 43% 44%41%

0%5%10%15%20%25%30%35%40%45%50%

02000400060008000

100001200014000160001800020000

FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20

India Sales (Rs Cr) % of Total Revenue

India business was on strong footing with 12% CAGR.. ROCE also started normalizing with margin normalizing..

20% 22% 22% 25% 17% 11% 13% 14% 19% 20%

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FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20

RM cost Employee Expenses Other Expenses EBITDA Margin

Gross margin remain stable and with fixed cost absorption of US business, EBITDA Margin normalized gradually..

Source: Internal.

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Temporary disruption – Buy or sell ?

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Jan-07 Dec-07 Dec-08 Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 Nov-13 Nov-14 Nov-15 Nov-16 Nov-17 Oct-18 Oct-19 Oct-20

IPCA Laboratories

USFDA challenge

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Learnings through time

Source: Internal.

1. Basic checks to minimize accidents

• Base rates – valid justification for being an outlier

• Cash conversion

• Working capital structure – many times used to inflate sales

• Cash tax paying

• Capital allocation – superior ROCE / ROEs through cycle

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IPO – basic checks

No returns since IPO

15%

21%19%

8%

Source: DHRP, Internal.

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Was this an identifiable problem ?

Source: Annual Report, Internal.

Particular For the year ended on 31-March-2019

For the year ended on 31-March -2018

Provision for doubtful recovery against Capital Advances 26,688.77 -

Provision for Expected Credit Loss against Trade Receivables 11,765.31 -

Provision for doubtful recovery against Other Receivables 40.56 -

38,687.64

The Company has faced certain critical events/aggressive competition and foul plays from some competitors/market forces during the year and period subsequent to balance sheet date resulting into disturbed operations, distribution, collections and operational losses during the current year owing to events explained hereunder below:

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Deviation from industry norm needs further investigation

Frequent fund raising – IPO 2015, QIP 2016

We didn’t invest in this company

Basic checks

Source: Internal.

Sales / GB+CWIP (X) FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20

XXX 2.5 3.1 1.6 1.3 1.5 1.3 1 0.1Dabur 3.7 3.9 4 4.6 3.8 3.7 4.2 3.6Marico 2.5 5.3 5.3 5.5 5.4 5.6 5.5 5.0

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Basic checks – As simple as debtor days can give clues

XYZ Ltd

Mar-14 Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18Debtor Days 96 80 92 82 92

Mar-14 Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18WC Changes -229 -139 -337 -156 -449

Operating CF before WC changes 248 331 346 394 504Net Cash from Operating Activities 19 192 9 238 55

Net Cash Used in Investing Activities -53 -164 -100 -275 -108Net Cash Used in Financing Activities 17 -17 107 83 35

Mar-14 Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18ROE 32% 24% 18% 17% 6%

050

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XYZ Ltd – Share Price

Source –Internal, Capital Line.

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Basic checks

Hatsun AgroMar-14 Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18

Debtor Days 3 2 2 4 1

Mar-14 Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18WC Changes 39 -128 -54 89 -65

Operating CF before WC changes 161 190 272 344 342Net Cash from Operating Activities 201 62 219 433 277

Net Cash Used in Investing Activities -212 -124 -134 -569 -523Net Cash Used in Financing Activities 13 76 -79 162 223

Mar-14 Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18ROE 46% 18% 26% 39% 25%

Source –Internal, Capital Line.

0100200300400500600700800900

Jan-17 Dec-17 Dec-18 Dec-19 Dec-20Hatsun Agro Buy Sell

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Learnings through time

Source: Internal.

1. Don’t forget learnings from past mistakes, general tendency is to forget them in a bull markets

2. Beyond numbers – qualitative factors

3. Temperament – Ignore noise and not react to every news

4. Patience

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Beyond Numbers – qualitative factors necessary to build long term conviction.

• Key ingredient defining the longevity and success of any business is the people running it. Long association and experience matters. Key monitorables here are as follows -

• Track Record

Actual performance vs guidance

Adversity is best time to judge management, go back to analyze decision taken during bad cycle.

Management’s are optimist and hence it is important to differentiate between what looks achievable and what is optimistic.

IPCA, SRF, Suprajit Engineering, Welspun India

• Capital Allocation

Most important matrix to gauge the future course the company is taking

Choices available – ploughing back into the business, giving dividends, doing buy back, reducing leverage and diversifying into new areas.

Tube, Chambal

• Integrity, Passion – Foresightedness, minority interest, focus and time spent in the business vis-a-vis other external activities at personal or group level, business practices

SRF, Atul, Jubilant Food

• Stakeholder relationship – Relationship with employees, customers, vendors, and society at large defines the attitude of management and their approach towards the business. Inclusive and sustainable approach is critical for long-term durability of the business.

KPR Mill, Narayana

• Governance standard

Source: Internal.

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To summarize

24Source: Internal.

Businesses take time to build and so does investments

Don’t predict - too many unknown variables at play

Invest in good businesses with long term view

Basic checks are important before investing

Avoid themes / market noise.

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DSP Mid Cap Fund – Portfolio as on December 31, 2020

Source: Internal. Past performance may or may not sustain in future and should not be used as a basis for comparison with other investments. The sector(s)/stock(s)/issuer(s) mentioned in this presentation do not constitute any research report/recommendation of the same and may or may not have any future position in these sector(s)/stock(s)/issuer(s).

APPLYING THE INVESTMENT FRAMEWORK IN STOCK SELECTION & PORTFOLIO CONSTRUCTION

Investment framework is the key driver for building high conviction positions

TOP 20 HOLDINGS % OF NET ASSETSInfosys 4.6%IPCA Laboratories 4.5%Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company 4.3%Balkrishna Industries 3.8%Manappuram Finance 3.7%Supreme Industries 3.6%Coromandel International 3.6%Atul 3.1%Max Financial Services 3.0%Jubilant Foodworks 2.9%City Union Bank 2.8%AIA Engineering 2.8%The Ramco Cements 2.8%SBI Life Insurance Company 2.8%Bata India 2.7%Voltas 2.7%Exide Industries 2.4%Alembic Pharmaceuticals 2.3%The Federal Bank 2.3%Bharat Forge 2.3%

20.8%

19.7%

16.7%

10.0%

9.8%

7.5%

4.9%

2.6%1.3%

GICS SECTOR CLASSIFICATION

Financials

Consumer Discretionary

Materials

Industrials

Health Care

Information Technology

Consumer Staples

Utilities

MARKET CAP NET ASSETS

Large Cap 19.8%

Mid Cap 64.0%

Small Cap 9.5%

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DSP Small Cap Fund – Portfolio as on December 31, 2020

Source: Internal. Past performance may or may not sustain in future and should not be used as a basis for comparison with other investments. The sector(s)/stock(s)/issuer(s) mentioned in this presentation do not constitute any research report/recommendation of the same and may or may not have any future position in these sector(s)/stock(s)/issuer(s).

APPLYING THE INVESTMENT FRAMEWORK IN STOCK SELECTION & PORTFOLIO CONSTRUCTION

Investment framework is the key driver for building high conviction positions

TOP 20 HOLDINGS % OF NET ASSETSAtul 4.6%IPCA Laboratories 4.3%APL Apollo Tubes 3.7%Tube Investments of India 3.4%Ratnamani Metals & Tubes 3.2%Nilkamal 3.1%Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals 2.9%Manappuram Finance 2.8%Welspun India 2.5%Suprajit Engineering 2.5%Cera Sanitaryware 2.4%K.P.R. Mill 2.3%Sheela Foam 2.2%Finolex Industries 2.2%DCB Bank 2.1%Dhanuka Agritech 2.0%Finolex Cables 2.0%VST Industries 2.0%SRF 1.9%Kajaria Ceramics 1.7%

MARKET CAP NET ASSETS

Mid Cap 19.1%

Small Cap 77.4%

33.9%

28.0%

11.6%

8.9%

7.3%4.3%

1.5% 1.0%

GICS SECTOR CLASSIFICATION

Materials

Consumer Discretionary

Industrials

Health Care

Financials

Consumer Staples

Information Technology

Communication Services

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Annexure

27Source: Internal.

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Investment Philosophy – Focus is sustainable long term wealth creation

Source: Internal

• Fundamental bottom-up analysis, preferring companies exhibiting:

a) Scalability of their businessesb) Sustainable high Return on Equity and

earnings growth over timec) Incremental capital allocation in equivalent

or better ROE businessesd) Stakeholder awareness and responsible

governance

What we are wary of

Capital misallocation Disruptive competition High sensitivity to changing regulations

Our edge: Temperament, research capability and eliminating behavioral biases

Universe Coverage

BSE 500+~US$ 2.02trn

Covered ~340~US$ 1.81trn

Active coverage

Market Cap

Stocks

Owned

Owned ~50 stocks in the DSP Strategy

STOCK SCREENING

Long-term investment horizon, turnover ratio 31% (with position sizing through cycles) Sell Discipline - Profitable positions where valuations rise to unsupportable levels, or loss-making

positions where investment thesis is not unfolding as envisioned

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Pillars of stock selection

29

Business Management ValuationSimple & predictable Exide – Leading battery manufacturer Ramco Cement – Most profitable south based cement playerSupreme Industries – Largest polymer processor

Large & high growth potential sectorsFinancials, Healthcare, Agriculture

Competitive advantage Divis – Unique chemistry skills leading to durable topline and bottom line growth(10 year sales CAGR 14%). Very low competitionIPCA - Lowest cost manufacturing, backward integrationRamco Cement – Lowest cost and most efficient cement producerVoltas – Brand & Distribution

Positive Cash Flows & High ROE 5 Year avg ROE of some of our investee companiesBajaj Finance (20.6%)Symphony (39.8%)Supreme Industries (27.7%)

Businesses at the cusp of a turnaround Identified companies like Atul Ltd and SRF Ltd early in their cycle which showed: Consistent profit growthMassive turnaround in ROE P/E re rating

Credible & Capable managementsBajaj Finance which moved from being a small cap to a mega cap in the past decadeProfit Growth – 55%Price Appreciation – 84%Average ROE – 18%

Passion & Ownership of promotersBasic check for all portfolio companies

Past track recordBasic check for all portfolio companies

Prudent capital allocation SRF - Superior capital allocation strategy, enablingthe company to diversify from technical textiles (commoditized) to high entry barrier businesses such specialty chemicals and refrigerant gases

Valuation to be looked at in conjunction with strength of business and quality of management

• Bought Symphony at 14 P/E in Dec 2012.• Company showed earnings growth of over

35% from Q1 FY 14 to Q3 FY 15• Held the stock as valuations rose from 14x to

90x• Trimmed position in 2015 as valuations and

growth were not in conjunction and fundamentals were marginally declining

Source: Internal

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Investment Framework

Quantifiable metrics to evaluate the 3 pillars

Business Model

Management

Valuations

3 Yr. Avg. ROE >16%5 Yr. Avg. EBITDA Growth > 13%5 Yr. Avg. PAT Growth >13%Margin Increase: EBITDA Growth > Sales GrowthEarnings per share (EPS) Growth variation <100%Net Debt/EBITDA < 3xPositive free cash flow yieldReceivables, Inventory & Payable days variation < 30 days

Tax Rate > 20%Payout Ratio > 15%

P/E based on ROE

~75% of our portfolio meets these criteria.

The balance ~25% includes companies that we believe are on the cusp of turnarounds and may not satisfy one or more of these

criteria today

Source: Internal. The DSP Strategy has been implemented since 14 Nov 2006 by DSP Investment Managers Pvt. Ltd., and is not registered with regulators in any jurisdiction except for India. The data mentioned in this presentation do not constitute any research report/recommendation of the same and the metrics being followed by the DSP Strategy may change in future, Internal, Aug 2019. Past performance may or may not sustain in future and should not be used as a basis for comparison with other investments

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Stock Elimination

31

Avoid highly cyclical commodity companies as it is not our strength to predict these cycles (such as in metals and commodities companies)

Avoid companies that are frequently diluting equity / raising capital because principally it may be a sign of capital inefficiency and misuse of cash, except banking companies

Avoid companies with complex holding / capital structure, multiple subsidiaries created without strong justification and promoters with multiple business interests

Avoid companies with known corporate governance issues (these become tempting investments during strong bull markets)

Source: Internal.

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For Professional Investor use only 32

To start with ….

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

Sep-

17O

ct-1

7N

ov-1

7D

ec-1

7Ja

n-18

Feb-

18M

ar-1

8Ap

r-18

May

-18

Jun-

18Ju

l-18

Aug-

18Se

p-18

Oct

-18

Nov

-18

Dec

-18

Jan-

19Fe

b-19

Mar

-19

Apr-1

9M

ay-1

9Ju

n-19

Jul-1

9Au

g-19

Sep-

19O

ct-1

9N

ov-1

9D

ec-1

9Ja

n-20

Feb-

20M

ar-2

0Ap

r-20

May

-20

Jun-

20Ju

l-20

Aug-

20

Turnover Ratio – DSP Small Cap Fund

DSP Small Cap Fund - Reg - Growth Small Cap - Moving Average (5 years)

In stock market, money is made by investing in capital efficient businesses for long term

Source: Internal.

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For Professional Investor use only 33

Very few analyst read

Should be read like a story book .. (4-5 yrs)

Comprehensive information about the management’s overview, business outlook (MD&A),

accounting details, subsidiary information, forex, management’s remuneration, auditors,

shareholding information etc

Better than analyst report

Gives insight into softer issues beyond numbers

Annual Report – First hand information

Source: Internal.

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Jubilant Foodworks Ltd – Foresight

Source: Jubilant Foodworks Annual Report, Internal.

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Jubilant Foodworks Ltd

Source: Jubilant Foodworks Annual Report, Internal.

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Jubilant Foodworks Ltd – Covid response

Source: Jubilant Foodworks Annual Report, Internal.

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New economy survivor vs old economy .

Source: Internal.

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Suprajit Engineering

‘The vision of Suprajit 2.0 is to pursue organic growth aggressively, and to explore focused inorganic growthopportunities, with the desire to grow profitably and to perform better than our peers. Team Suprajit continues towork in this direction relentlessly’ – Chairman’s Speech, FY16 Annual Report

“We've always said that we would grow 5% to 10% faster than the industry and we have been able toachieve that”. – Management Commentary, 3QFY15 Investor Conference Call

We still believe that we can out perform Indian automotive industry. If you think Indian automotive will beminus 10% this year, we will still out beat that, so that confidence is there.” – Management commentary,4QFY20 Investor Conference Call

-20%

0%

20%

40%

60%

FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20

Standalone Revenue Growth vs Domestic Auto Production Growth

SEL Standalone Revenue YoY (%)

Total Domestic Auto production YoY (%)

-20%

0%

20%

40%

60%

FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20

Consol Revenue Growth vs Domestic Auto Production Growth

SEL Consol Revenue YoY (%) Total Domestic Auto production YoY (%)

Source FY20 Annual report

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IPO – Dressing up the bride

28% below the IPO price as on 24th Dec 2020 (PS)

Source: DHRP, Internal.

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IPO – Dressing up the bride

84% below the IPO price as on 24th Dec 2020 (KI)

Source: DHRP, Internal.

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Appropriate capital allocation enhances value

Management’s vision is the key

Capital allocation drives value creation

Source: Internal.

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Cera Sanitaryware – DCF considering one line of business

Cera’s implied fair value at Rs 1,429/share discounting only Sanitaryware’s cashflows.

Sanitaryware business matrix FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27EBIT 79 84 91 97 104 112 120 Other Income 18 20 20 24 28 33 38 Interest 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 PBT 91 98 105 115 126 139 152 Tax 24 26 27 30 32 35 37 Tax rate (%) 26% 26% 26% 26% 26% 26% 26%

Working Capital Changes - -4 -4 -5 -5 -5 -6 Capex -30 -26 -17 -18 -19 -20 -21 FCFF 62 69 84 92 101 111 122

Growth rate FY21-FY27 7%

WACC 10%

Sum of PV 471

Terminal growth 4%

Terminal Value 1,087

Total 1,858

No of shares 1

Per Share value 1,429

Rs crs

Source: Internal.

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Cera Sanitaryware – Value creation by diversifying into complementary categories

Cera diversified into faucets and tiles in 2014 Increased the addressable opportunity size Medium term growth rate increased to 15% led by

newer categories As a result fair value per share almost doubled to

Rs 2948/share

Consolidated FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27EBIT 132 142 158 185 217 254 296 Other Income 18 23 29 36 44 53 65 Interest 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 PBT 144 159 181 215 255 301 354 Tax 37 41 47 57 65 75 86 Tax rate (%) 26% 26% 26% 26% 26% 26% 26%

Working Capital Changes - -17 -19 -22 -25 -29 -33 Capex -30 -40 -31 -32 -33 -34 -35 FCFF 116 103 128 152 180 213 251

Growth rate FY21-FY27 15%WACC 10%Sum of PV 826 Terminal growth 5%Terminal Value 2,706 Total 3,832 No of shares 1 Per Share value 2,948

Source: Internal.

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Don’t predict the market. Invest for long term

JAN 2008SENSEX – 20300 NIFTY – 6144NIFTY P/E - 27

DEC 2008SENSEX – 9647NIFTY – 2959NIFTY P/E - 13

May 2008 – 120$December 2008 – 40$

Source – Sell side reports, MFIE, NSE

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Don’t predict the market

JAN 2009SENSEX – 9903 NIFTY - 3033

DEC 2009SENSEX – 17464NIFTY - 5201

Key Learnings

1. Consensus generally goes wrong

2. Keep focusing on core fundamentals

3. Market’s will surprise/shock you

Source – Sell side reports, MFIE, NSE

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For Professional Investor use only

CY 2018 Performance - Nifty 50 4.6%, Nifty Midcap 100 -14.6%, Nifty Small Cap 250 -26.1%

46

Balance sheet strength is important

Worst 50 performers amongst Nifty 500 index for CY 2018 (Avg performance - CY 17 103%, CY 18 –62.5%)

-300000

-200000

-100000

0

100000

200000

FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18

Profits (in INR Mn)

-5

0

5

10

15

FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18

Average ROE (%)

600000

700000

800000

900000

1000000

1100000

1200000

FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18

Profits (in INR Mn)

-5

0

5

10

15

20

25

FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18

Average ROE (%)

Source – Elara Capital, MFIE.

Best 50 performers amongst Nifty 500 index for CY 2018 (Avg performance - CY 17 101%, CY 18 39.1%)

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Investor behavior – We change our product strategy in investors interest

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Swaraj Engines Ltd

19%

18%

15%

DSP owns 5.9% of the company capital

Source: Swaraj Engines Annual Report

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12%

8.4%

6%

Source: Swaraj Engines Annual Report

Swaraj Engines Ltd

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Case Study: Corning

020406080

100120140

Price P/E Ratio

Source –Internal, Bloomberg

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0

20

40

60

80

100

120

Oct-00 Nov-00 Dec-00 Jan-01 Feb-01 Mar-01 Apr-01 May-01 Jun-01 Jul-01 Aug-01 Sep-01 Oct-01 Nov-01 Dec-01

Price P/E Ratio

51

Case Study: Corning

Key Learnings Themes can change quickly

100 PE = what is the payback ? even if profit were assumed to grow at 25%, it would need 18yr + for

payback (assuming FD rate of 6% as discount rate)

Robust companies with robust balance-sheets outperform in long run

Source –Internal, Bloomberg

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Compare key matrix with peers

Outlier should trigger further investigation

Base rate

Source: Internal.

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Learning from 2000 market peaks

We started trimming at extreme valuation at first sign of business outlook changing.

Perception change from technology to commodity

53

2018 – Learnings from the past

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

Sep-

16O

ct-1

6

Nov

-16

Dec

-16

Jan-

17

Feb-

17M

ar-1

7

Apr-1

7M

ay-1

7

Jun-

17Ju

l-17

Aug-

17

Sep-

17O

ct-1

7

Nov

-17

Dec

-17

Jan-

18

Feb-

18M

ar-1

8

Apr-1

8M

ay-1

8

Jun-

18Ju

l-18

Aug-

18

Sep-

18O

ct-1

8

Nov

-18

Dec

-18

Jan-

19

Feb-

19M

ar-1

9

Apr-1

9M

ay-1

9

Jun-

19Ju

l-19

Aug-

19

Price

Source –Internal, Bloomberg

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Disclaimer

In this material DSP Investment Managers Pvt. Ltd. (the AMC) has used information that is publicly available, including information developed in-house. Information gathered and used inthis material is believed to be from reliable sources. The AMC however does not warrant the accuracy, reasonableness and / or completeness of any information. The data/statistics aregiven to explain general market trends in the securities market, it should not be construed as any research report/research recommendation. We have included statements / opinions /recommendations in this document, which contain words, or phrases such as “will”, “expect”, “should”, “believe” and similar expressions or variations of such expressions that are “forwardlooking statements”. Actual results may differ materially from those suggested by the forward looking statements due to risk or uncertainties associated with our expectations with respectto, but not limited to, exposure to market risks, general economic and political conditions in India and other countries globally, which have an impact on our services and / or investments,the monetary and interest policies of India, inflation, deflation, unanticipated turbulence in interest rates, foreign exchange rates, equity prices or other rates or prices etc. Thesector(s)/stock(s)/issuer(s) mentioned in this presentation do not constitute any research report/recommendation of the same and the Fund may or may not have any future position inthese sector(s)/stock(s)/issuer(s). The portfolio of the scheme is subject to changes within the provisions of the Scheme Information document of the scheme. Please refer to the SID forinvestment pattern, strategy and risk factors. Past performance may or may not be sustained in the future and should not be used as a basis for comparison with otherinvestments. All figures and other data given in this document are as on August 30, 2019 (unless otherwise specified) and the same may or may not be relevant in future and the sameshould not be considered as solicitation/ recommendation/guarantee of future investments by DSP Investment Managers Pvt. Ltd. or its affiliates. Investors are advised to consult their ownlegal, tax and financial advisors to determine possible tax, legal and other financial implication or consequence of subscribing to the units of DSP Mutual Fund. For scheme specific riskfactors and more details, please read the Scheme Information Document, Statement of Additional Information and Key Information Memorandum of respective Scheme available on ISC ofAMC and also available on https://www.dspim.com/

Indices are unmanaged and used for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be indicative of any fund’s performance. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. Pastperformance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

DSP Equity Fund (‘DSPEF’), DSP Equity Opportunities Fund (‘DSPEOF’) and DSP Tax Saver Fund (‘DSPTSF’), which are benchmarked to the Nifty 500 Index, are not sponsored,endorsed, sold or promoted by NSE INDICES LIMITED (formerly known as India Index Services & Products Limited (IISL). NSE INDICES LIMITED is not responsible for any errors oromissions or the results obtained from the use of such index and in no event shall NSE INDICES LIMITED have any liability to any party for any damages of whatsoever nature (includinglost profits) resulted to such party due to purchase or sale or otherwise, of DSPEF, DSPOF or DSPTSF marked to such index. DSP Midcap Fund (‘DSPMCF’), which is benchmarked to theNifty Midcap 100 Index, is not sponsored, endorsed, sold or promoted by NSE INDICES LIMITED. NSE INDICES LIMITED is not responsible for any errors or omissions or the resultsobtained from the use of such index and in no event shall IISL have any liability to any party for any damages of whatsoever nature (including lost profits) resulted to such party due topurchase or sale or otherwise of DSPSMF marked to such index.

The S&P BSE 100, S&P BSE 200, S&P BSE Small Cap, S&P BSE Metals, S&P BSE Oil and Gas, S&P BSE SENSEX & S&P BSE Healthcare are product of Asia Index Private Limited,which is a joint venture of S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC or its affiliates (“SPDJI”) and BSE, and has been licensed for use by DSP Investment Managers Pvt. Ltd. Standard & Poor’s® andS&P® are registered trademarks of Standard & Poor’s Financial Services LLC (“S&P”); BSE® is a registered trademark of BSE Limited (“BSE”); and Dow Jones® is a registered trademarkof Dow Jones Trademark Holdings LLC (“Dow Jones”). © Asia Index Private Limited 2014. All rights reserved.

The strategy mentioned has been currently followed and the same may change in future depending on market conditions and other factors.

Mutual Fund investments are subject to market risks, read all scheme related documents carefully.