title of the brief (times new roman, bold, 28, …...2016/06/05 · 1) what keeps me up at night?...

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Why is the Asia-Pacific Important? There are more people who live in this circle than live out of it!

UNCLASSIFIEDLeading America’s Rebalance to the Pacific 3UNCLASSIFIED

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5 of 7 U.S. Treaty Alliances (Australia, Japan, Philippines, South Korea, Thailand) (Other 2 are Rio Treaty and NATO) 7 of the 10 largest Armies 5 of the declared 8 nuclear nations (Russia, China, India, DPRK, U.S.) (other 3 are UK; France; and Pakistan)

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UNCLASSIFIEDLeading America’s Rebalance to the Pacific UNCLASSIFIED

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Globalization Fuels Prosperity

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Tokyo 1945

The Han River 1953

Singapore 1950sShanghai ~1970

Globalization Fuels Prosperity

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Tokyo Today

Singapore Today

The Han River Today

Shanghai Today

What is PACOM?

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UNITED STATES PACIFIC COMMAND AT A GLANCE

379,000+MILITARY & CIVILIAN PERSONNEL

COMPONENT COMMANDSU.S. Pacific

FleetU.S. Army

PacificMarine Corps

Forces, PacificU.S. PacificAir Forces

140,000PERSONNEL

1100AIRCRAFT

5AIRCRAFT CARRIER

STRIKE GROUPS

200SHIPS

106,000PERSONNEL

309AIRCRAFT

1CORPS

2DIVISIONS

86,000PERSONNEL

640AIRCRAFT

2EXPEDITIONARY

FORCES

46,000PERSONNEL

420AIRCRAFT

Special Operations Command Pacific

1,200PERSONNEL

12AIRCRAFT

What keeps COM up at night?What about China? Is the Rebalance for real?

Commonly Asked Questions

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Everything else

3 Questions . . .

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1) What keeps COM up at night?

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Increasingly Challenging Security Environment in the Pacific

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Proliferation of WMD Resurgent Russia

Unresolved History

Increasing Importance of Space and Cyber

Terrorism

Accelerating Rates of Change

Assertive China

Natural Disasters

Fiscal Constraints = Difficult Choices

Narrowing U.S. Capability Advantage

Militarization of the Arctic

Homeland Part of Battlespace

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An overview of the security environment in which PACFLT operates… and the challenges we must help address. Korean protesters tear a flag depicting Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe during a rally in Seoul to demand an official apology for Japan's war crimes during World War II, March 28, 2013. (Kim Hong-Ji / Courtesy Reuters)

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Cyber Threat Landscape

TERRORIST

CRIMINAL ELEMENTS

HACKTIVISTS

FOREIGN INTELLIGENCE

INSIDER THREAT

NATION STATES

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Defending America’s Interests in the Indo-Asia-Pacific

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The threats to USPACOM in the cyberspace domain are gaining in complexity and speed. Exploitation and theft are real challenges and are emanating from nation states and criminals. There are many cyber events that appear in the press. A few of these include the Chinese cyber theft of F-35 military secrets, Russian cyber attack against Georgian government sites prior to invasion, Iranian malware attack on Saudi Energy Company that damaged or destroyed more than 30,000 computers and the North Korean cyber attack against Sony Pictures in retaliation for unflattering movie. While these get the headlines, one of our most common threats is phishing. Not only is the frequency increasing, but the phishing emails have grown more sophisticated. Phishing is a low cost technique to gain access to valuable information which is used by both criminal groups, as well as, nation state actors. Our networks also come under attacks denying access to our resources such as websites by both nation states and hacktivists, who do not agree with US policies. Finally, although PACOM rigorously screens its personnel, our network defenders and our investments in cyber technology allow us to remain vigilant in protecting our critical data from the insider threat.

Cyber Mission Forces

Combat Mission Forces Cyber Protection Forces

USPACOM Joint Cyber Center Stakeholders

National Mission Forces

USPACOM Joint Cyber CenterPlans, integrates, synchronizes, and directs cyberspace operations for USPACOM inorder to provide assured theater command and control, support operations, andprovide information sharing with joint, coalition, partner forces and organizations.

Supporting OrganizationsInteragency SupportOSD

DOT&E

Cyber Policy FBI NSA CIA

DHS DOS

Joint Staff

J3

J6

DOD

CIO

COCOMs

NORTHCOMTRANSCOM CENTCOM

STRATCOMEUCOM

PACOM

J-Staff

Sub-unifiedCommands

DRUs

Support to the Cyber Mission

JCC

JCC

JCC

JCC CYBERCOM

JCC

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Defending America’s Interests in the Indo-Asia-Pacific

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USPACOM Joint Cyber Center is able to accomplish its mission through the coordinated efforts of multiple organizations. Our most important partner is the Defense Information Systems Agency (DISA), which provides a forward presence in the PACOM AOR via their Enterprise Operations Center (EOC). The JCC plan, integrates, synchronizes, and directs cyberspace operations for USPACOM to provide assured C2 and ensures information sharing with joint, coalition and partner forces. Another key player is the Cyber Mission Force. The CMF is growing to 133 teams by 2018 with the primary missions consisting of: Defend DoD networks, systems, and information Defend the U.S. homeland and U.S. national interests against cyberattacks of significant consequence Provide cyber support to military operational and contingency plans We refine our processes and validate our procedures through our daily operations and through periodic exercises.

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Directly responsible for provocative actions

Attention Seeker…North Korea

Troops wearing backpacks with radiation symbol, Jul 2013

ROKS CHEONAN Bow section recovered, Apr 2010

Chang Song Taek Executed, Dec 2013Shelling of Y-P Do, Nov 2010

Space / Missile / Nuclear Tests

Cyber Attack Sony pictures, Nov 2014

Assessment: Kim has established his own regime, separate from his father. Kim will continue to use a range of provocation options in a similar manner to ensure his regime’s hold on power.

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Slide #19: Most Volatile Challenge: North Korea North Korea—Our Most Volatile Challenge From North Korea sinking the ROK CHEONAN in March 2010 To the satellite launch in December 2012 To the consolidation of power and cyber attacks in recent months, Kim Jon-Un is increasing his hold on power in a way that threatens regional stability

3 Questions . . .

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2) What about China?

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1) What keeps me up at night?

1999

Defending America's interests in the Indo-Asia-Pacific

= 25 Fighters = 25 Maritime Recce A/C

= 2 Attack Submarines = BMD (THAAD)

= 2 Destroyer/Cruiser = US Forces

= 25 A2/AD Ballistic Missiles = PRC Forces

= 1 Aircraft Carrier UNCLASSIFIED//FOUO

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Sources; JIOC provided the rough PRC numbers. Friendly forces information provided by CNA (Dr. North) and J5

2016

A2/AD-DF-21: 1500km






= 1 Aircraft Carrier

Notional

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2020 (projected)






= 1 Aircraft Carrier

Notional

A2/AD-DF-26: 3,500km

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Source: The Guardian: “South China Sea Images Reveal Impact on Coral of Beijing’s Military Bases”

Fiery Cross Reef (Before)

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Source: The Guardian: “South China Sea Images Reveal Impact on Coral of Beijing’s Military Bases”

Fiery Cross Reef (After)

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The Chinese efforts are causing severe economic and ecological damage to reefs that support protein sources for nations highly dependent on the sea life they support

Source: JanesUNCLASSIFIED

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And the construction efforts are military in nature. Let me show you what you are looking at: 10,000 foot runway… Only need 7500 feet for a 747 Another 1000 feet it could handle a space shuttle landing Hardened stuctures and port facilities

South China SeaLand Reclamation Comparison…

China has largely ceased reclamation efforts…focus is now on building infrastructure

~3000 acres in 18 MONTHS

Before After~215 acres in 40 YEARS

(Minimal Reclamation) Each flag represents ~10 acres

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Illustrations of this unprecedented coercion and unilateral action

Port

Airfield

After 2020: Impacts to USPACOM Operations

S-400 Surface-to-air missile

BrahMos cruise missile

J31 Stealth Fighter

“We say freedom of navigation must be observed in accordance with international law. No freedom of navigation for warships and airplanes.”

-China's ambassador to the Philippines, Zhao Jianhua, August 11, 2015

• Scarborough Reef

• Woody Island

• Subi Reef

• Johnson Reef• Fiery Cross Reef

source: Global Military Review on lineUNCLASSIFIED

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If they are allowed to continue their efforts, these claims will give them the ability to completely control the sea lanes in the South China Sea and nothing can be done about it outside the United States taking kinetic action.

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Which China is it?

“The United States welcomes the rise of a peaceful, prosperous, and stable China….” -- SECSTATE Kerry, August 14, 2014

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PEACE ARK

JIANGKAI II

YUZHAO RIMPAC

NEO

“China will depend on the ocean to prosper and will steadily promotethe building of its maritime power…”

– PRC President Xi, Jul 2013

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And we don’t know if this presence will be on the one hand, a good thing … One the one hand, China’s engaged in productive activities conducive to normal relations with members of the international community. Chemical Weapons removal from Syria Counter-Piracy in GoA NEO in Yemen MH370 search HADR – Typhoon relief RIMPAC (Though their participation was somewhat tarnished by their sending of an AGI). ------------------------------------------- (U)China Helps 10 Countries Evacuate Nationals from Yemen Beijing – The Chinese government helped 10 countries evacuate 225 nationals in conflict-ridden Yemen on 1 April, following its own evacuation of 571 Chinese nationals. The people come from Pakistan, Ethiopia, Singapore, Italy, Germany, Poland, Ireland, Britain, Canada and Yemen, and were evacuated at the request of these countries for humanitarian aid. The frigate carrying the 225 nationals departed the Port of Aden in Yemen at 0845Z for Djibouti. Chinese warships have also evacuated eight foreigners from Romani, India and Egypt during its evacuation of Chinese nationals. (Xinhua, 2 April)

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:HS_Peace_Ark-1.jpg

https://intellipedia.intelink.sgov.gov/w/images/a/a7/Tsicorponi92515.jpg

So, really… What’s the Bottom Line with China?

• “China is out of step with both the international rules and norms that underscore the Asia-Pacific’s security architecture, and the regional consensus that favors diplomacy and opposes coercion.”

-- Dr. Ashton Carter, Secretary of Defense

• We seek a military dialogue with China that is sustained and substantive

• We want China to be a contributor to stability not a source of insecurity

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The Pacific is big enough for all of us…but we must be ready for all outcomes from a position of strength

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Slide #X – So, really . . . What’s the Bottom Line with China? So, what’s the bottom line with China? My approach: Bottom line: We must be ready for all outcomes

3 Questions . . .

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3) Is the Rebalance for real?

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2) What about China?1) What keeps me up at night?


Lead Rebalance

Operationalize Theater C2Drive Activities IAW TCO

Fight Tonight

Organizational Coherence/Climate

Defend the Homeland

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Slide #X – 3 Questions . . . (BUILD) 3) Is the Rebalance for real?

F-35 Joint Strike Fighter

DDG-1000

P-8 Poseidon

Gerald R. Ford-Class Carrier

Virginia-Class Submarine

THAADTerminal High Altitude Area Defense

B-2 Spirit

E2-D

MV-22 Osprey

National Security Cutter

US Asymmetric Advantages

• Undersea warfare superiority

• Quality of people and training

• Technical industrial base

• Innovation

• New capabilities and concepts

• Allies, friends, and partners

• Maritime-Air battle management

National Power… advanced military capabilities

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Littoral Combat Ship/Frigate

AH-64E Apache

http://www.naval-technology.com/projects/nssn/

KoreaYongsan Relocation Plan Land Partnership Program

JapanDefense Policy Review Initiative (DPRI)

SingaporeNaval Force Posture Initiatives

PhilippinesEnhanced Defense

Cooperation Agreement (EDCA) Guam/CNMI

DPRIResiliency

Additional Naval Forces (SSN/AS)

AustraliaForces Posture Agreement (FPA)

Resiliency

HawaiiDPRI

UNCLASSIFIED National Power… diplomatic and political initiatives, force posture

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UNCLASSIFIED//FOUODefending America’s Interests in the Indo-Asia-Pacific

Lead Rebalance

Operationalize Theater C2Drive Activities IAW TCO

Fight Tonight

Organizational Coherence/Climate

Defend the Homeland

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Discussion

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title of the brief (times new roman, bold, 28, …...2016/06/05 · 1) what keeps me up at night?...

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