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Three Year Projections 2018 2021 May 17, 2018 Diane E. Scott, CPA, CGMA Retirement Systems of Alabama

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Page 1: Three Year Projections 2018 2021 - Retirement Systems of ... · Total Cost of Coverage by Plan Type $713 $563 $780 $429 $1,833 $1,460 $1,790 $1,119 $-$200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200

Three Year Projections2018 – 2021

May 17, 2018

Diane E. Scott, CPA, CGMA

Retirement Systems of Alabama

Page 2: Three Year Projections 2018 2021 - Retirement Systems of ... · Total Cost of Coverage by Plan Type $713 $563 $780 $429 $1,833 $1,460 $1,790 $1,119 $-$200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200

Southeastern States Total Premium (Single vs Family)

Alabama (PEEHIP)Arkansas

(Premium)Florida (Standard

PPO)Georgia (UHC

HMO)Louisiana

(Magnolia Open)Mississippi (Select

Coverage) (H)South Carolina(Standard Plan)

Tennessee(Partnership PPO)

Individual only $429 $488.42 $707 $661.93 $716.42 $402 $482.10 $719

Individual + Spouse + Children $1,119 $1,440.24 $1,591 $1,853.40 $1,604.96 $1,062 $1,261.20 $1,869

$429 $488.42

$707 $661.93 $716.42

$402 $482.10

$719

$1,119

$1,440.24

$1,591

$1,853.40

$1,604.96

$1,062

$1,261.20

$1,869

$0

$200

$400

$600

$800

$1,000

$1,200

$1,400

$1,600

$1,800

$2,000

pe

r M

em

be

r p

er

Mo

nth

Southeastern States Total Premium*

*Rates provided by Segal Consulting

Conclusion – PEEHIP’s claim costs are generally significantly less than the other states’ plans even when other states utilize coinsurance rather than copay for member share.

Page 3: Three Year Projections 2018 2021 - Retirement Systems of ... · Total Cost of Coverage by Plan Type $713 $563 $780 $429 $1,833 $1,460 $1,790 $1,119 $-$200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200

Most States Offer a Choice of Plan Types

PEEHIP Offers # of States Percentage of States Offering

Yes 47 PPOs/POS Plans

92%

No 30 HDHPs/CDHPs

59%

Yes 29 HMOs/EPOs

57%

No 4 Indemnity Plans

4%

Source: Segal Consulting 2017 w/ PEEHIP providing PEEHIP Data

Page 4: Three Year Projections 2018 2021 - Retirement Systems of ... · Total Cost of Coverage by Plan Type $713 $563 $780 $429 $1,833 $1,460 $1,790 $1,119 $-$200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200

Total Cost of Coverage by Plan Type

$713

$563

$780

$429

$1,833

$1,460

$1,790

$1,119

$-

$200

$400

$600

$800

$1,000

$1,200

$1,400

$1,600

$1,800

$2,000

PPOS/POS HDHPS/CDHPS HMOS/EPOS PEEHIP FY2017

Tota

l Co

st o

f C

ove

rage

Plan Type

Employee

Family

2016 – 2017 Change

Conclusion: PEEHIP total premium cost is significantly below other state plans. Source: Segal Consulting 2017 w/ PEEHIP providing PEEHIP data

10% 11% 14% 16% 8% 6%

10%

4% 6%

Page 5: Three Year Projections 2018 2021 - Retirement Systems of ... · Total Cost of Coverage by Plan Type $713 $563 $780 $429 $1,833 $1,460 $1,790 $1,119 $-$200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200

Employer Cost (State Share) of Coverage by Plan Type

$602

$508

$682

$399

$1,378

$1,108

$1,403

$812

$-

$200

$400

$600

$800

$1,000

$1,200

$1,400

$1,600

PPOS/POS HDHPS/CDHPS HMOS/EPOS PEEHIP FY2017

Tota

l Co

st o

f C

ove

rage

Plan Type

Employee

Family

Conclusion: PEEHIP employer cost is significantly below other state plans. Source: Segal Consulting 2017 w/ PEEHIP providing PEEHIP data

Page 6: Three Year Projections 2018 2021 - Retirement Systems of ... · Total Cost of Coverage by Plan Type $713 $563 $780 $429 $1,833 $1,460 $1,790 $1,119 $-$200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200

Employee Cost of Coverage by Plan Type

Conclusion: PEEHIP cost to Employees is significantly below other state plans. Source: Segal Consulting 2017 w/ PEEHIP providing PEEHIP data

$111

$55

$98

$30

$455

$352

$387

$307

$-

$50

$100

$150

$200

$250

$300

$350

$400

$450

$500

PPOS/POS HDHPS/CDHPS HMOS/EPOS PEEHIP FY2017

Tota

l Co

st o

f C

ove

rage

Plan Type

Employee

Family

Page 7: Three Year Projections 2018 2021 - Retirement Systems of ... · Total Cost of Coverage by Plan Type $713 $563 $780 $429 $1,833 $1,460 $1,790 $1,119 $-$200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200

Multiple Coverage Tiers Offered

PEEHIP Offers Percentage of States Offering Type of Coverage

Yes Employee + Family

51%

Yes Employee + Children

30%

Employee + Child

14%

Yes Employee + Spouse

30%

Employee + 1

10%

Yes Employee Only

51%

Page 8: Three Year Projections 2018 2021 - Retirement Systems of ... · Total Cost of Coverage by Plan Type $713 $563 $780 $429 $1,833 $1,460 $1,790 $1,119 $-$200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200

Proprietary information of UnitedHealth Group. Do not distribute or reproduce without express permission of UnitedHealth Group.

Historical CMS Medicare Advantage (MA) Funding ChangesWhy Group Medicare Advantage is more cost-effective

8

Benefit

Year

Final Rate

Notice –

Individual

Plans

Final Rate

Notice -

Group Plans

2019 +3.40% +2.70%

2018 +0.45% +0.45%

2017 +0.85%* -0.50%

2016 +1.25% +1.25%

2015 -3.0% -3.0%

2014 -6.7% -6.7%

Page 9: Three Year Projections 2018 2021 - Retirement Systems of ... · Total Cost of Coverage by Plan Type $713 $563 $780 $429 $1,833 $1,460 $1,790 $1,119 $-$200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200

Proprietary information of UnitedHealth Group. Do not distribute or reproduce without express permission of UnitedHealth Group.

Medicare Advantage costs continue to fall relative to original Medicare

9

90

95

100

105

110

115

120

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Falling cost of MedicareAdvantage to taxpayers compared totraditional Medicare

Cost of traditionalMedicare healthinsurance to taxpayers

Today, Medicare Advantage health plans cost taxpayers the same as traditional

Medicare, all while offering more benefits like vision, dental, and hearing coverage

MedPAC’s published ratio of MA payments to Medicare FFS costs

In 2016, MA plans were paid on par with Original Medicare Fee For Service

Ratio

Page 10: Three Year Projections 2018 2021 - Retirement Systems of ... · Total Cost of Coverage by Plan Type $713 $563 $780 $429 $1,833 $1,460 $1,790 $1,119 $-$200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200

Proprietary information of UnitedHealth Group. Do not distribute or reproduce without express permission of UnitedHealth Group.

However, Medicare Advantage membership continues to increase

10

0

5

10

15

20

25

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

MedicareAdvantageMembership*

Annual membership by million. Source:CMS.gov / Research / Statistics

Page 11: Three Year Projections 2018 2021 - Retirement Systems of ... · Total Cost of Coverage by Plan Type $713 $563 $780 $429 $1,833 $1,460 $1,790 $1,119 $-$200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200

Proprietary information of UnitedHealth Group. Do not distribute or reproduce without express permission of UnitedHealth Group.

The Medicare Advantage outlook continues to be favorable

11

20.9 Million enrollees, or nearly

34% of all Medicare beneficiaries

20.9million

A bipartisan supermajority

of Congress oppose any

cuts to MA funding

PPACA funding cuts

fully implemented as of 2017

Expanding cash & GASB savings

in the group MA marketplace for plan

sponsors

CMS funding increases in 2019 will be the largest in many years

Page 12: Three Year Projections 2018 2021 - Retirement Systems of ... · Total Cost of Coverage by Plan Type $713 $563 $780 $429 $1,833 $1,460 $1,790 $1,119 $-$200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200

Legislative PEEHIP Funding Rates 2007 - 2020

$717 $775 $752 $752 $752

$714 $714 $714 $780 $780 $800 $800 $800 $800

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020*

Rate Per Active Employee Per Month

* Requested Rate for FY 2020 will be $800Estimated to generate $943 million in FY 2019

Page 13: Three Year Projections 2018 2021 - Retirement Systems of ... · Total Cost of Coverage by Plan Type $713 $563 $780 $429 $1,833 $1,460 $1,790 $1,119 $-$200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200

Total PEEHIP Employer Costs 2007 - 2019

$882

$962 $925 $912 $900

$825 $829 $835 $917 $920 $945 $943 $943 $943

$0

$200

$400

$600

$800

$1,000

$1,200

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018* 2019* 2020*

Total Dollar Amount (In Millions)

* Based upon $800 per active (98,205 actives) rate for FY18, FY19 and FY 20.

(Excludes Universities)

Page 14: Three Year Projections 2018 2021 - Retirement Systems of ... · Total Cost of Coverage by Plan Type $713 $563 $780 $429 $1,833 $1,460 $1,790 $1,119 $-$200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200

Active Funding – Increase in Retirees with

PEEHIP 2007 - 2018

45,000

55,000

65,000

75,000

85,000

95,000

105,000

$-

$200

$400

$600

$800

$1,000

$1,200

RE

TIR

EE

S

CO

ST

(IN

MIL

LIO

NS

)

Funding Cost Retirees with PEEHIP Hosp Medical Total TRS Retirees

Conclusions: 1) The number of retirees eligible for PEEHIP hospital medical coverage is greater than the number of retirees taking the coverage by 26,016. 2) PEEHIP’s funding from the Legislature has remained relatively flat over the period 2007 – 2018 while the number of retirees covered by PEEHIP’s hospital medical coverage has increased by 20,723 or 44.6%.

Page 15: Three Year Projections 2018 2021 - Retirement Systems of ... · Total Cost of Coverage by Plan Type $713 $563 $780 $429 $1,833 $1,460 $1,790 $1,119 $-$200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200

Active Funding – Dependents 2007 - 2018

120,000

125,000

130,000

135,000

140,000

145,000

150,000

155,000

$-

$200

$400

$600

$800

$1,000

$1,200

De

pe

nd

en

ts

Co

st (

in M

illi

on

s)

Funding Cost Dependents (Spouses and Children)

Conclusions:1) The number of dependents covered by PEEHIP hospital medical coverage has increased by 13,717 or 10.2% from 2007 – 2018. 2) The funding received from the Legislature has remained relatively flat since 2007.

(Excludes VIVA)

Page 16: Three Year Projections 2018 2021 - Retirement Systems of ... · Total Cost of Coverage by Plan Type $713 $563 $780 $429 $1,833 $1,460 $1,790 $1,119 $-$200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200

Total Medical and Pharmaceutical Costs2003 - 2021

Conclusion: The annual growth rate of medical and pharmaceutical costs from 2003 to 2021 is 5.45%.

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Co

sts

(in

Mill

ion

s)

Fiscal Year

Page 17: Three Year Projections 2018 2021 - Retirement Systems of ... · Total Cost of Coverage by Plan Type $713 $563 $780 $429 $1,833 $1,460 $1,790 $1,119 $-$200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200

Increasing Medical and Pharmaceutical Costs2003 - 2021

$588 $642$727.4

$791.1$858.6

$935.9$1,055.2

$1,107.9$1,030.7

$1,066.0$1,118.3

$1,160.2

$1,305.6$1,301.1

$1,281.0$1,297.7

$1,327.4$1,445.2

$1,528.1

Total Medical & Pharmaceutical Costs (in millions)

*Amounts for 2018, 2019 and 2020 are estimated per Segal Consulting per projections using actual claims through 3/31/2018. Includes costs of BCBS, MedImpact and United Healthcare.Annual Growth rate = 5.45% since 2003.

Page 18: Three Year Projections 2018 2021 - Retirement Systems of ... · Total Cost of Coverage by Plan Type $713 $563 $780 $429 $1,833 $1,460 $1,790 $1,119 $-$200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200

2018 2019 2020 2021

Unrestricted funds expected @ year end (in millions)

$ 239.1 $ 190.1 $ 89.4 $ (91.2)

Working capital requirement (in millions)

$ 111.1 $ 113.7 $ 123.4 $ (130.3)

Amount over (under) working capital required (in millions)

$ 128.0 $ 76.4 $ (34.0) $ (221.5)

$ Required increase to per active/mo amount

$ 0.00 $ 0.00 $ 29.00 $ 188.0

$ Projected per active per month $ 800.00 $ 800.00 $ 829.00 $ 988.0

PEEHIP Funding Projection(FY 2019 Budget Request with

Health Insurer Tax (HIT) suspension)

Assumptions:• No funds restricted• No Premium rollback • 5/1/2018 premium structure remains

Updated based upon Segal projections through 3/31/2018, received 5/4/2018 and impact of HIT suspension for calendar 2019.Conclusion: If premium increases remain and no refunds are issued, an additional $188 per active per month (or $221.5 million) will be required in FY2021 to maintain an 8% reserve. HIT: Under the ACA, all insurers that offer fully insured health insurance must pay an annual fee—Health Insurance Tax (HIT)Assumptions: FY 2019 includes $ 24.7 million transfer out of PEEHIP to TRS to pay for the TRS Retiree Lump Sum Cola to be paid June 2018

FY 2020 and 2021 include a 3% transfer from the Retiree Trust ($40 million per year) to PEEHIP

Page 19: Three Year Projections 2018 2021 - Retirement Systems of ... · Total Cost of Coverage by Plan Type $713 $563 $780 $429 $1,833 $1,460 $1,790 $1,119 $-$200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200

What happened in 2018?

Trend is projected at 3.1% for medical and 9% for pharmacy.

Through March 31, 2018, PEEHIP is trending slightly lower than these projected trends.

Effective May 1, 2018, PEEHIP implemented a new premium tier : Member + Spouse.

The following reconciliation shows the change from the previous FY 2018 projections. Loss of enrollments is primarily in the pre-65 retirees.

Projection Reconciliation (in Millions)

Prior Projection (computed based upon 9/30/2017) $ 1,319.4

Gain due to reduction in Pre-65 retiree enrollment (18.9)

Gain due to claims experience offset by ABA coverage (2.8)

Current Projection (computed based upon 3/31/2018) $ 1,297.7

Page 20: Three Year Projections 2018 2021 - Retirement Systems of ... · Total Cost of Coverage by Plan Type $713 $563 $780 $429 $1,833 $1,460 $1,790 $1,119 $-$200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200

FY 2019 projection at 3/31/2018 is down from the FY 2019 projection at 9/30/2017 by $87.6 million. This is primarily due to the following:

$ 32 million reduction due to suspension of health insurers tax for FY 2019.

$ 26.9 million improvement in MAPDP due to favorable Medicare payments from Call Letter.

Reduction in $ 23.0 million due to fewer pre-65 retirees.

Projection of FY 2019 includes transfer of $ 24.7 million to TRS for Retiree lump sum COLA to be paid June 2018.

Assumptions for 2019

Page 21: Three Year Projections 2018 2021 - Retirement Systems of ... · Total Cost of Coverage by Plan Type $713 $563 $780 $429 $1,833 $1,460 $1,790 $1,119 $-$200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200

Assumptions for 2020 and 2021

3% ($40 million) budgeted as transfers from Retiree Trust Fund to be used to pay retiree healthcare costs.

Assumes minimal growth of pre-65 retirees.

Procurement will occur in FY 2019 for rates applicable 2020 – 2022.

Page 22: Three Year Projections 2018 2021 - Retirement Systems of ... · Total Cost of Coverage by Plan Type $713 $563 $780 $429 $1,833 $1,460 $1,790 $1,119 $-$200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200

Appendix

Page 23: Three Year Projections 2018 2021 - Retirement Systems of ... · Total Cost of Coverage by Plan Type $713 $563 $780 $429 $1,833 $1,460 $1,790 $1,119 $-$200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200

PEEHIP Funding Sources—FY2017

Member Contribution, $406.0

EGWP, $71.6Univ Retiree Billing, $57.9

Investment Income, $1.30

Total Per Month Funding from Legislature, $945.3

Amounts in Millions

Member Contribution

EGWP

Univ Retiree Billing

Investment Income

Total Per Month Fundingfrom Legislature

63.8%

27.4%

4.8%3.9%

0.1%

Total Funding = $1,482.1 Million

Page 24: Three Year Projections 2018 2021 - Retirement Systems of ... · Total Cost of Coverage by Plan Type $713 $563 $780 $429 $1,833 $1,460 $1,790 $1,119 $-$200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200

Total Annual PEEHIP Employer CostSince Inception (1984 - 2017)

$-

$100,000,000

$200,000,000

$300,000,000

$400,000,000

$500,000,000

$600,000,000

$700,000,000

$800,000,000

$900,000,000

$1,000,000,000

An

nu

al C

ost

Fiscal Year

(Excludes Non-Participating Universities for Actives)

Page 25: Three Year Projections 2018 2021 - Retirement Systems of ... · Total Cost of Coverage by Plan Type $713 $563 $780 $429 $1,833 $1,460 $1,790 $1,119 $-$200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200

Employee Monthly Premium Since Inception (1984 – 2018)

(Active Only, excludes spousal surcharge)

$0.00

$30.00

$60.00

$90.00

$120.00

$150.00

$180.00

$210.00

Mo

nth

ly P

rem

ium

Fiscal Year

Individual Coverage Family Coverage

Fiscal Year 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000

Individual Coverage

$17.00 $30.75 $10.00 $2.00 $2.00 $2.00 $2.00 $2.00 $2.00 $2.00 $2.00 $2.00 $2.00 $2.00 $2.00 $2.00 $2.00

Dependent Coverage

$75.00 $106.50 $110.00 $93.00 $93.00 $93.00 $122.00 $122.00 $122.00 $122.00 $122.00 $122.00 $122.00 $122.00 $122.00 $122.00 $122.00

Family Coverage $92.00 $137.25 $120.00 $95.00 $95.00 $95.00 $124.00 $124.00 $124.00 $124.00 $124.00 $124.00 $124.00 $124.00 $124.00 $124.00 $124.00

Fiscal Year 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Individual Coverage

$2.00 $2.00 $2.00 $2.00 $2.00 $2.00 $2.00 $2.00 $2.00 $2.00 $15.00 $15.00 $15.00 $15.00 $15.00 $15.00 $30.00 $30.00

Dependent Coverage

$132.00 $132.00 $132.00 $132.00 $132.00 $132.00 $132.00 $132.00 $132.00 $132.00 $162.00 $162.00 $162.00 $162.00 $162.00 $162.00 $177.00 $177.00

Total $134.00 $134.00 $134.00 $134.00 $134.00 $134.00 $134.00 $134.00 $134.00 $134.00 $177.00 $177.00 $177.00 $177.00 $177.00 $177.00 $207.00 $207.00

Page 26: Three Year Projections 2018 2021 - Retirement Systems of ... · Total Cost of Coverage by Plan Type $713 $563 $780 $429 $1,833 $1,460 $1,790 $1,119 $-$200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200

Individual coverage premium remained unchanged at $2 per month from 10/1/1986 – 9/30/2010 (24 years)

Except for the first 3 transitional years of PEEHIP’s existence (1984 – 1986), Individual coverage premium has been steady: FY 1987 – FY 2010: $2/mo – 24 years

FY 2011 – FY 2016: $15/mo – 6 years

FY 2017 – present: $30/mo – 2 years

Except for the first 3 transitional years of PEEHIP’s existence (1984 – 1986), Dependent coverage component has the following history: FY 1987 – FY 1989: $93/mo – 3 years

FY 1990 – FY 2000: $122/mo – 11 years

FY 2001 – FY 2010: $132/mo – 10 years

FY 2011 – FY 2012: $162/mo – 2 years

FY 2013 – present: $177/mo – 6 years

Effective 5/1/2018, PEEHIP implemented new tiers for Member + Spouse only coverage

Employee Monthly Premium Since Inception Conclusions

Page 27: Three Year Projections 2018 2021 - Retirement Systems of ... · Total Cost of Coverage by Plan Type $713 $563 $780 $429 $1,833 $1,460 $1,790 $1,119 $-$200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200

PEEHIP $800 Per Active Per Month Funding Usage for FY 2017

Active Employee Subsidy, $341.14

Active Dependent Subsidy, $231.26

Retiree Subsidy, $125.38Retiree

Dependent Subsidy, $26.05

Administrative Expenses, $3.49

Fund Working Capital, $72.68

Per Active Per Month Usage FY 2017

Active Employee Subsidy

Active Dependent Subsidy

Retiree Subsidy

Retiree DependentSubsidy

Administrative Expenses

Fund Working Capital

PEEHIP received $800 per active per month in funding from the Legislature for FY 2017 ($945.3 million). This amount is used to cover the cost for the following after members have paid their monthly premiums and all other sources of funds are received:

• Active subsidy

• Retiree subsidy (except University Retirees)

• Dependent subsidy (Active & Retiree)

• Administrative expenses

PEEHIP also received funding in FY 2017 from the following sources:

Universities to cover their retirees when only University retirees are covered by PEEHIP ($57.9 million)

Employer Group Waiver Plan funds for Medicare eligible retirees ($71.6 million)

Investment Income ($1.3 million)

Page 28: Three Year Projections 2018 2021 - Retirement Systems of ... · Total Cost of Coverage by Plan Type $713 $563 $780 $429 $1,833 $1,460 $1,790 $1,119 $-$200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200

Hospital/Medical, $850 , 61%

Rx, $290 , 21%

MAPDP, $141 , 10%

HMO, $23 , 2%Optionals, $60 , 4%

ADPH, $6 , 0%

Flex, $7 , 0%

AH, $8 , 1%

ACA Fees, $7 , 1%

Admin. , $4 , 0%

Hospital/Medical

Rx

MAPDP

HMO

Optionals

ADPH

Flex

Active Health (AH)

ACA Fees

Admin. Expenses

PEEHIP FY 2017 Program Cost ChartAmounts in Millions

Page 29: Three Year Projections 2018 2021 - Retirement Systems of ... · Total Cost of Coverage by Plan Type $713 $563 $780 $429 $1,833 $1,460 $1,790 $1,119 $-$200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200

PEEHIP Breakdown of Covered Lives on Hospital Medical Plan

Since spousal surcharge implemented, reduction in spouses = 3,741Reduction in spouses primarily contributed to an annual $24 million reduction in costs.

Actives and

Retirees

Spouses

Not

Otherwise

Eligible for

PEEHIP

Non-

Spousal

Dependents Total

Actives

and

Retirees

Spouses

Not

Otherwise

Eligible for

PEEHIP

Non-

Spousal

Depende

nts Total

Actives

and

Retirees

Spouses

Not

Otherwise

Eligible

for PEEHIP

Non-

Spousal

Depende

nts Total

Actives

and

Retirees

Spouses

Not

Otherwis

e Eligible

for PEEHIP

Non-

Spousal

Depende

nts Total

150,380 69,817 84,906 305,103 151,478 69,617 85,360 306,455 151,525 66,660 84,341 302,526 150,691 66,323 83,910 300,924

5,114 (5,114) - 5,301 (5,301) - 5,324 (5,324) - 5,361 (5,361) -

155,494 64,703 84,906 305,103 156,779 64,316 85,360 306,455 156,849 61,336 84,341 302,526 156,052 60,962 83,910 300,924

153,029 63,789 83,037 299,855 154,427 63,471 83,619 301,517 100,135 43,959 82,475 226,569 97,814 43,523 82,081 223,418

2,465 914 1,869 5,248 2,352 845 1,741 4,938 2,375 739 1,611 4,725 2,299 732 1,595 4,626

54,339 16,638 255 71,232 55,939 16,707 234 72,880

155,494 64,703 84,906 305,103 156,779 64,316 85,360 306,455 156,849 61,336 84,341 302,526 156,052 60,962 83,910 300,924

March 31, 2018September 30,2015 September 30,2016 October 1,2017

Page 30: Three Year Projections 2018 2021 - Retirement Systems of ... · Total Cost of Coverage by Plan Type $713 $563 $780 $429 $1,833 $1,460 $1,790 $1,119 $-$200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200

Member Spouse Non-Spousal Dependent

Active $ 4,116 $ 5,400 $ 1,912

Non-Medicare Eligible Retirees $ 6,376 $ 8,033 $ 2,510

Average Cost Per Covered Life – PEEHIP 2/1/2017 – 1/31/2018

Note: Spouses otherwise eligible for PEEHIP are included with members

Census (BCBS) on plan at 1/31/2018-Included claims incurred 2/1/2017 – 1/31/2018 with run out through 3/31/2018.

Conclusion: Based upon analysis of PEEHIP claims, spouses are over 2 times more costly than the non-spouse dependents (children).

Page 31: Three Year Projections 2018 2021 - Retirement Systems of ... · Total Cost of Coverage by Plan Type $713 $563 $780 $429 $1,833 $1,460 $1,790 $1,119 $-$200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200

Total (in millions) % of Total

Hospital/Medical $ 850.0 60.9%

Rx 290.0 20.8

MAPDP 141.0 10.1

Subtotal $ 1,281.0

HMO 23.0 1.6

Optionals 60.0 4.3

Alabama Dept. of Public Health 6.0 0.4

Flex 7.0 0.5

Active Health 8.0 0.6

ACA Fees/Assessment 7.0 0.5

Administrative Expenses 4.0 0.3

Total Program Costs $ 1396.0 100.0%

Less admin. fees paid to claims administrators (37.0)

Less admin. expenses paid from fund 0551 (4.0)

Claims paid to providers $ 1355.0

PEEHIP FY 2017 Program Cost Chart

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Cost (in millions) % of Total Program Cost

Total Program Cost $ 1396.0 100.0

Admin Fees Paid to Claims Administrators (37.0) 3.0

Admin Expenses From Fund 0551 (4.0) 0.3

Claims Paid to Providers $ 1,355.0 96.7%

PEEHIP FY 2017 Program Cost Chart

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Premiums in 2019 BudgetAmounts in millions

Revenue From Member PremiumsProjected Hospital

Medical Claims% Covered by Member

Current Coverage $ 310.1

Retirees - New 5.4

Total Hospital Medical $ 315.5

Premium Discount (5.1)

Tobacco Surcharge 12.6

Wellness 6.4

Subtotal Hospital Medical $ 329.4 $ 1,395.7 23.6%

Optionals 68.7

Flex 7.0

Total Member Premiums (Estimated in FY 2019 Budget) $ 405.1

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Alabama Retired Education Employees’ Healthcare Trust Fund

The Retiree Trust had a market balance of $1.322 Billion as of9/30/17. The assets of the Trust help to offset PEEHIP’s unfundedliability. As of 3/31/2018, fair value was $1.366 Billion.

The Retiree Trust has been funded by two transfers from PEEHIPin 2007 and 2008 (totaling $631M), by monies from federalprograms between 2007-2014, and by investment income.

Monies were transferred from the Trust to PEEHIP in 2015 ($92M)and 2016 ($32M) to address funding shortfalls.

The legislature has never appropriated money to this Trust.

No member money has ever been placed in this Trust.

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Actuarial Valuation

ActuarialAccrued

Liability (AAL)

Actuarial Value of Assets (AVA)

Unfunded AAL (UAAL)

2009 $ 11,916 $ 670 $ 11,246

2010 $ 11,585 $ 750 $ 10,835

2011 $ 9,081 $ 778 $ 8,303

2012 $ 8,957 $ 930 $ 8,027

2013 $ 8,994 $ 1,075 $ 7,919

2014 $ 9,523 $ 1,208 $ 8,315

2015* $7,463 $ 1,154 $ 6,309

2016 $7,920 $1,240 $6,680

PEEHIP – OPEB Liability

* The 9/30/2015 Valuation reflects the move to MAPD for post-65 benefits and the change in funding method from projected unit credit to entry age normal

Amounts in millions

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Fiscal Year

Market Value

Return %

2008 $ 598.9 -11.91

2009 $ 682.7 8.01

2010 $ 768.0 8.22

2011 $ 802.7 1.09

2012 $ 953.3 15.26

2013 $ 1,073.6 11.34

2014 $ 1,184.9 10.21

2015 $ 1,097.5 0.19

2016 $ 1,182.9 10.79

2017 $1,322.0 11.60

Retiree Trust - Investment ReturnAmounts in millions

Page 37: Three Year Projections 2018 2021 - Retirement Systems of ... · Total Cost of Coverage by Plan Type $713 $563 $780 $429 $1,833 $1,460 $1,790 $1,119 $-$200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200

Alabama (PEEHIP) Georgia (UHC HMO) Mississippi (Select Coverage) (H) Tennessee (Partnership PPO)

Individual only $30 $172.56 $38 $150

Individual + Children $207 $313.65 $366 $225

Individual + Spouse $282 $426.14 $503 $314

Individual + Spouse + Children $307 $567.22 $717 $389

Hospital Co-Insurance (paid by Member) None 20% 20% 10%

Average BA Minimum Teacher Salary** $ 36,946 $ 34,607 $ 34,660 $ 35,334

Average Teacher Salary*** $ 48,868 $ 54,602 $ 42,925 $ 48,456

Southern States Premiums ComparisonPaid by Active Employees* (per month)

Florida (Standard PPO) Louisiana (Magnolia Open) South Carolina (Standard Plan) Arkansas (Premium)

Individual only $50 $175.56 $97.68 $183.46

Individual + Children $180 $252.72 $143.86 $470.54

Individual + Spouse $180 $570.34 $253.36 $831.20

Individual + Spouse + Children $180 $611.10 $306.56 $833.40

Hospital Co-Insurance (paid by Member) 20% 10% 20% 20%

Average BA Minimum Teacher Salary** $ 37,154 $ 39,646 $ 32,367 $ 33,664

Average Teacher Salary*** $ 49,407 $ 50,000 $ 48,598 $ 48,616

* 2018 Premiums. Amounts are net of any Tobacco, Wellness, or Spousal premiums (if applicable).** Data obtained from National Education Association Bargaining and Member Advocacy Salary Database, December 2016. *** Data obtained from National Education Association Rankings and Estimates, August 2017. • Plans with Premiums effective 1/1/2018 – 12/31/2018: South Carolina, Louisiana, Georgia, Florida, Arkansas and Tennessee• Plans with Premiums effective 10/1/2017 – 9/30/2018: Alabama • Plans with Premiums effective 7/1/2018 – 6/30/2019: Mississippi (H – denotes Mississippi Horizon Employee, hired on or after 1/1/2016)• Hospital Coinsurance – Percentage of contracted rate member pays out of pocket for a hospital stay after member has paid their deductible. See next page for a comparison of PEEHIP deductible/copay policy to coinsurance.

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Southern States Premium ComparisonIndividual Coverage Only

$30

$183.46

$50

$172.56 $175.56

$38

$97.68

$150

$0

$20

$40

$60

$80

$100

$120

$140

$160

$180

$200

Alabama (PEEHIP) Arkansas (Premium) Florida (Standard PPO) Georgia (UHC HMO) Louisiana (MagnoliaOpen)

Mississippi (SelectCoverage) (H)

South Carolina (StandardPlan)

Tennessee (PartnershipPPO)

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Southern States Premium ComparisonFamily w/o Spouse Coverage (Children only)

$207

$470.54

$180

$313.65

$252.72

$366

$143.86

$225

$0

$50

$100

$150

$200

$250

$300

$350

$400

$450

$500

Alabama (PEEHIP) Arkansas (Premium) Florida (Standard PPO) Georgia (UHC HMO) Louisiana (MagnoliaOpen)

Mississippi (SelectCoverage) (H)

South Carolina (StandardPlan)

Tennessee (PartnershipPPO)

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Southern States Premium ComparisonFamily w/ Spouse and Children Coverage

$307

$833.40

$180

$567.22 $611.10

$717

$306.56

$389

$0

$100

$200

$300

$400

$500

$600

$700

$800

$900

Alabama (PEEHIP) Arkansas (Premium) Florida (Standard PPO) Georgia (UHC HMO) Louisiana (MagnoliaOpen)

Mississippi (SelectCoverage) (H)

South Carolina(Standard Plan)

Tennessee (PartnershipPPO)

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