thoughts about population projections applied demography conference january 9, 2014 qian cai,...
TRANSCRIPT
Thoughts about Population Projections
Applied Demography Conference
January 9, 2014
Qian Cai, University of Virginia
Rebecca Tippett, University of North Carolina
Projection Methodologies
“Looking Into the Past: Thomas Circle, Washington, DC” by Jason E. Powell
Purposes & Use of Projections
Accuracy & Plausibility
http://xkcd.com/605
{Total Population
Sex * Age * {RaceHispanic Origin
Priority #1
Priority #2
Priority #3
Priority #4
Population Projections
Our Approach
1. is guided by statistical and demographic theories
2. is straightforward, practical, and easy to implement
3. produces reasonable results
Contact
Qian CaiDirector, Demographics Research GroupWeldon Cooper Center, University of [email protected] | (434) 982-5581
Rebecca TippettDirector, Carolina Demography
Carolina Population Center, UNC-Chapel [email protected] | (919) 966-2829
http://www.coopercenter.org/demographics/national-population-projections